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All of the infield has been done for the 2016 fantasy baseball rankings.  Where it says 2016 fantasy baseball rankings, that’s a link, and that link goes to the 2016 fantasy baseball rankings where there are more links to all of the positions that have been ranked for 2016 fantasy.  Seamless linking!  The top 20 outfielders for 2016 fantasy baseball is going to go into the top 40, top 60, top 80 and finally top 100.  I love a lot of outfielders this year, and will go over this more at a later time, but I could see myself leaving the top 100 overall with three outfielders while wanting, like, twenty-five of them.  Shoot (not you, Dick Cheney!), I desperately want five of the top ten outfielders and I’m not even counting the top four that are a given.  McCutchen is the only outfielder in the top ten I’m kinda whatevs on.  The last time I was this excited for an outfielder Ryan Klesko was delicately connecting his sideburns to his mustache.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 outfielders for 2016 fantasy baseball:

1. Mike Trout – Went over him in the top 10 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

2. Bryce Harper – Went over him in the top 10 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

3. Giancarlo Stanton – Went over him in the top 10 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

4. Kris Bryant – Went over him in the top 10 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

5. Starling Marte – Went over him in the top 20 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

6. Mookie Betts – Went over him in the top 20 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

7. J.D. Martinez – Went over him in the top 20 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

8. Andrew McCutchen – Went over him in the top 20 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

9. George Springer – Went over him in the top 20 for 2016 fantasy baseball.

10. Justin Upton – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Braun.  I call this tier, “All make strong cases to be in the top 9 outfielders, with no known law school training.”  As I mentioned in the top 20 overall, this tier of players were right there when I was ranking Springer.  In the grand scheme of things, this tier isn’t much later than the top 30 overall.  When I do a top 100 or top 400 in about ten days, that’ll become clearer.   As for Upton, he’s one of those guys that it took the offseason to come back to my senses that he’s definitely worth a relatively high draft pick.  If you would’ve asked me in August or September, I likely would’ve said I’m not going near him.  And, more than likely, I’ll get to August of 2016, while owning Upton, and will be wondering what the hell I was thinking, but looking at his stats from last year (26 HRs, 19 SBs) and his stats from the previous five years and…Well, guys and five girl readers, I can’t see a reason to not own him.   Perhaps this is the worst case of revisionist history since the U.S. claimed the Japanese internment camps’ curfews allowed everyone to get a good night’s sleep.  Upton signed with Detroit (finally!) and will be batting in front of the Martini (plural for Martinez) and behind The One Who Drinks Martinis (Miggy), which has to be better than hitting anywhere near Yangervis and Co., which is the least trafficked mall store since ironically The Walking Company.   “I’m going to go into The Walking Company and hide from the truancy officer for two months.”  That’s you in high school.  Obviously being away from Petco will help Upton.  …Or will it?!  Yes, it will, Reversal Question, though the numbers don’t support that claim.  Last year, he hit 15 homers and .277 at home, and 11 HRs and .225 away.  Though, as I said on the last podcast and the podcast before that, I really think something else is at work with home/away numbers.  I.e., home cooking means more than where the fences are unless you’re in Coors.  2016 Projections:  95/29/102/.254/12

11. Chris Davis – Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2016 fantasy baseball.

12. Jose Bautista – Joey Bats, as he’s known familiarly, doesn’t neatly fall into this tier, but why are you categorizing people?  You racist?  Bautista finds himself more in this tier because he’s old, and I surprised myself a little by ranking him this low.  Last year’s 40 homers feels like the last time he reaches those heights.  I’m just not betting on a 35-year-old to keep staying healthy and keep surpassing previous accomplishments.  None of this is to say he’s as terrible as Honey Boo Boo’s reading comprehension, but I’d only expect 32 homers in about 140 games.  For full disclosure purposes, or porpoises if dolphins have finally taken over the world, up until the last minute, I had Bautista and Edwin switched in my rankings.  2016 Projections:  88/32/98/.255/5

13. Charlie Blackmon – There were 7 guys last year that stole 30 bags.  There were 20 guys that hit 30 homers.  Over the last ten years, there have been regularly 16-18 guys that have stole 30 bases a year.  Prior to last year, the low for one year in the last decade was 12 players in a year.  I’m not abandoning the SAGNOF credo that steals (along with saves) have no face, but guys that give power and speed can’t be ignored for their value, i.e., #BlackmonMatters.  Charlie Blackmon’s age gives me a little pause like a Chihuahua.  In July, he will turn 30 years old.  He just stole 43 bases last year, and I think he might only have one more season of 35 steals in him.  I hate that I think he’ll only have one more year of elite speed to go with his 15+ homers.  But as long as he has one more year of it, I think we should be okay.  You know what else is okay?  He’s the leadoff hitter for the Rockies and they play in Coors.  You know Coors, that’s the place that made DJ LeMahieu not seem like Pepe LePew and make Nick Hundley not seem like Nick Hundley.  Arenado would be a third rounder anywhere but Coors, and CarGo was a 4th outfielder before Coors.  Cust kayin’.  Am I concerned Blackmon will be traded with the addition of Gerardo Parra?  Not much, I think CarGo or Dickerson get moved.  If Blackmon is traded, then he’ll obviously be lowered in the rankings.  2016 Projections:  96/19/64/.285/35

14. A.J. Pollock – There’s a good chance that not only is Pollock overrated and long gone by the time he comes up on my draft sheet, but he also has a feel of an overrated post to come in February.  Last year, he hit 20 HRs and stole 39 bags.  His previous career high was 20 HRs… Oh, I’m sorry.  I was actually adding all of his homers from the previous three years combined in the majors and minors.  Yeah, that’s silly.  He stole 14 bases in 2014 in a half of a season.  In 137 games in 2013 with the Diamondbacks, he only stole 12 bases.  I get it, he was young then, and he figured out how to use his speed.  To the tune of 39 steals though?  C’mon.  Yeah, I don’t see myself drafting him this year.  2016 Projections:  101/14/63/.291/27

15. Gregory Polanco – Let’s not make this about me.  Let’s make this about Steamer… Though, I am taking my homemade Grey Albright puppet and putting a shirt on it that says Steamer.  So, my Grey Albright puppet wearing a Steamer shirt says what?  My puppet says, “What’s the difference between Marte and Polanco?”  I have to say, that is one smart puppet, because there isn’t much difference.  Steamer’s projections for Marte:  81/18/76/.286/28; Polanco’s are:  78/14/59/.263/27.   Besides the RBIs, that’s essentially the same within a 1% margin of error.  Nate Silver can’t even get within that margin of error.  Mayor Quimby’s got more “error.”  When you move within a 10% margin of error as I like to deal in, you start seeing Polanco could easily be better than Marte.  Polanco’s HR/FB last year was 5.5%.  That’s goofy low.  He could easily have a 10% HR/FB.  If he had that last year, he would’ve hit 16 HRs and we’d be talking about how he is definitely better than Marte.  Polanco’s track record is short, which I’m starting to think is the dopiest reason to not draft someone.  Sure, Polanco didn’t hit lefties well last year, but he hit them at a rate of .313 in the minors and, in August, he homered off the best lefty in baseball, Kershaw, and had his best month on his way to a solid 2nd half.  Pollock didn’t have a track record either, until he did it.  Bryce Harper’s track record was kinda flimsy going into last year and now he’s a top 3 overall player.  Track records are nice for Zola Budd.  For us, not as much.  Yes, with this ranking, I will own Polanco on every team. 2016 Projections:  101/15/62/.269/30

16. Ryan Braun – He’s progressing well from offseason back surgery and, the plan is, according to the Hebrew Hammer, to be ready for spring training.  This brings up a question.  Has anyone ever said they wouldn’t be ready for spring training?  I mean, teams say a player won’t be ready.  Doctors say it.  If you ask a player, he’s always ready.  Every R&B song sung by a female is right, players lie.  I guess we should hate the game.  Braun’s numbers were fantastic last year — 25 HRs, 24 SBs, .285.  He repeats that, he’s a top 25 player, even with rotten runs and RBIs.  Can he repeat it?  Meh, I have my doubts, but his stats don’t yell regression.  Also, his stadium is nice.  Miller is in the same realm as Coors, as in the hitter’s stats there make it seem like you have a nice buzz and the pitchers are piss.  2016 Projections:  90/25/98/.280/14

17. Yoenis Cespedes – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until the top 40 outfielders for 2016 fantasy baseball.  I call this tier, “I’d take last year again.  That’s not being greedy, is it?”  Okay, it prolly is being greedy.  All the guys in this tier were in the top 35 for outfielders on the Player Rater last year.  Belt was the lowest ranked last year at 35, but I’m anticipating a boost in value from him.  Most of the guys in this tier ended much higher last year than they’re ranked now, which means I’m expecting them to fall off a little.  It’s optimistic to think they’ll all fall off just a little.  Glass is half filled or half empty or filled with Half & Half?  Great question.  As for Yoenis, the world’s longest tango finally came to an end.  The Marachi band was asked to play, “The Dance of the Baseball Free Agent” and it went like this:  Yoenis’s Agent to the Mets, “The Angels are very interested in making a deal.”  The Angels, “No, we’re not.”  Yoenis’s Agent to the Mets, “The Nats want to sign him for five years.”  The Nats, “Hey, we hate Michael Taylor almost as much as Drew Storen, but we’re not signing Yoenis.”  Yoenis’s Agent to the Mets, “Oh, just make an offer already!”  Finally, the Mets tilted their head so the light would gleam off of their pencil-thin mustache and asked Yoenis to dance.  Last year, Yoenis’s HR/FB% was a bit high for him as his fly balls dropped.  Neither are great signs, but he feels like a 25-28 HR, 5-9 SB guy if all things are neutral and that has value.  2016 Projections:  85/27/102/.278/7

18. Lorenzo Cain – Out of 551 ABs last year, he hit third for 507 ABs and hit 2nd for 43 ABs (he hit cleanup for one at-bat for you completists).  I love that.  Uh-oh, I feel the Grand Fantasy Master Lothario coming on… Cain…Sugar!  Cain..Sugar!  Other Royals hitting third rejected, Moustakas’s swing corrected!  Alcides, Hosmer and Morales are thoroughly respected!  Cain’s stats get divided, fantasy baseballers get excited!  Now Infante’s broke and Paulo Orlando is kind of a joke.  It’s hard as hell to fight it.  Cain?  I buy it!  2016 Projections:  97/15/80/.295/25

19. Jason Heyward – Here’s what I said when he signed with the Cubs, “Javier Baez takes another shoveling of dirt as he gets buried further.  “Is this a staged Off Broadway adaption of The Revenant?”  Javier asks as he spits dirt out of his mouth.  “You have a toothpick?  I have dirt stuck between my teeth.  Hello?”  Baez doesn’t know why this shadowy figure won’t stop shoveling dirt on top of his body; he’s obviously not dead.  Or is he?  Just then, the camera swings around, and, in a crazy twist that only M. Night Shamalamadingdong could’ve came up with, the person that is doing the shoveling is Arismendy Alcantara.  “If I can’t have fantasy value, then neither can you!”  Arismendy yells as he cackles maniacally.   Then, “You still want that toothpick?”  And…scene!  So, Jason Heyward signs with the Cubs and moves Arismendy and Baez even further down the depth charts.  At this point, they are closer to playing on the Padres after a trade than they are at playing in Chicago.  Heyward had sneaky value last year, as in it seemed like he disappointed, but since steals are scarcer, and since Heyward provided some value in all categories, he wasn’t that bad.  His numbers last year seemed like a poor man’s Lorenzo Cain.  I will call him Crack Cocaine.  Moving to the stacked Cubs lineup and into Wrigley could provide Heyward’s best season to date.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2016 Projections:  87/22/77/.274/15

20. Brandon Belt –  Went over him in the top 20 1st basemen for 2016 fantasy baseball.

 
  1. Slick says:
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    BOLD! Brandon Belt in the top 20 OF’s? Gimme some of that Kool Aid. I’m guzzling it down.

  2. BraveArnie says:
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    Hi Grey,

    thank for the great stuff!
    Keeper question in a 16 team, H2H OPS league, 6 keepers (I won last year thanks to your advice). which 6 do I keep?

    Harper 39$
    Goldschmidt 33$
    Rizzo 23$
    Marte 23$
    Ross13$
    K. Jansen 19$
    Soler 3$
    Melancon 18$

    Thanks a lot!

    • Heatcheck3 says:
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      @BraveArnie: The bottom 3 are Jansen, Melancon and Ross. I would ditch the two closers.

  3. Copperhead Road says:
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    Man. You know it’s a loaded position when you couldn’t fit Cargo, Cruz etc in top 20. My league requires 20 games (10 in season) for position so Belt is out. I can’t see him getting 10 very easily this year unless injury bug hits the Giants this year again. Bummer. Love the Polanco assessment. He’s the type of guy that gets over looked at drafts because he hasn’t had the breakout everyone expected. Good work and as always thanks for the write ups.

  4. Charles says:
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    I’m getting a strong sense that I’ll be going corner infielders very early before sucking on the beautiful large teat of outfielders.

    Have Rudy run the numbers on your home theory. Given the home teams win more than 50% of the games in every sport, theoretically driven by better stats from the players, I think you’re on to something. Maybe Rudy can even build it into the DFS Bot and other tools.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Charles: Oh, home advantage is already built into DFS, Hitter-Tron and Stream-o-Nator…

  5. Tim says:
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    Keeping 5 out of degrom, cmart, rodon, mcullers, t.walker, matz, corbin, abreu, piscotty. Starting Pitchers score lots of points in our league. What’s your take and thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tim: DeGrom, Rodon, McCullers, Abreu, C-Mart

  6. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    a. Agree with others that someone should dive into the HOME v AWAY numbers for all hitters. I agree more than I disagree (like 3.5 out of 5) in your theory. My reason for not agreeing is if you have a wife and / or mother-in-law you don’t want to come home to, making being AWAY a better option.

    b. Would you rather have an OF or a 3B in the Utility / DH position? Or does it matter just as long he’s the best player available at the time?

    c. Where do you usually draft the Utility / DH position in a H2H mixed points redraft league?

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Copperhead Road says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Maybe that was Braun’s case last year. He was much better on the road.

    • Heatcheck3 says:
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      @Ante GALIC: OF is a lot deeper than 3B, so I assume you would prefer an OF in that spot, but in general pick whoever is better.

      Depending on how deep the league is, it’s probably better to stream a hot bat in that position.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: A. Haha B. More or less, you want the best player C. Not until very late

  7. Friedman for Freeman says:
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    10 team standard roto, everybody keeps 5.

    Current keepers are Trout, Sano, C Seager, Upton, Sale. Feeling a bit OF heavy after Sano made the jump and a dude just offered me Freeman for Upton.

    Pull the trigger or hold?

  8. Chucky says:
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    Nice top 20. Id swap out AJ for Marte. Marte is merely average v RHP. Besides AJ can run for a white boy out of Ct, plays in a better park and has a better supporting cast around him.

  9. Job3rd says:
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    In 5×5 with OBP instead of BA, how far would Upton fall if at all? Thanks and I love your rankings!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Job3rd: I wouldn’t drop him

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Job3rd: Oh, and thanks!

      • Ruben says:
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        @Grey: same format except dynasty, Giancarlo and Votto or machado and arenado?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Machado

  10. Matty says:
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    It’s good to be back. Reading and rereading your book all winter doesn’t fill the void like daily content does.
    What’s the schedule going forward? Are you doing all of the OF then starters?
    I’m trying to schedule my outside research for the league with keepers due on Feb 1.
    Thanks for everything like usual.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Matty: Thanks! All OFs then DHs then SPs

  11. Nate says:
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    Hi Grey,

    First year reader here. I’m having trouble with my keepers, looking for a little help. Pick 3 keepers

    Schwarber $3
    Seager $1
    Cain $1
    Arrieta $14

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Nate: Not Arrieta, nice keepers

  12. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Polanco ahead of Heyward/Cain + Belt in the top 20?! This is going to be a fun year of drafting. Looking forward to seeing where you have DeShields.

  13. stock says:
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    OK…Belt is top 20 OF and 14 in 1st base…so 13 1st base are in the top 20..guess I have to wait unlil the top100

  14. Matt says:
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    Trying to figure out my 3 keepers (for next year only, H2H w/ OPS), could use some advice.
    Get to choose 3 and they replace the round listed:
    Goldschmidt (1), Votto (5), Arenado (6), JD Martinez (7), Pollock (7), Pence (16)

    Notes:
    -Obviously keeping Arenado (6).
    -If I want to keep Pollock AND JD, they will count as rds. 5 and 7.
    -If I DON’T keep Goldschmidt, he will be taken by the defending champ 1st overall (adding to his likely keepers Bautista (2), Bryant (8), and Arrieta (9)) so I really don’t think I want to give him that advantage…

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Matt: Goldy, Arenado, JD

  15. Wilson says:
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    Hi Grey, thanks to your articles.

    I own Bautista and J Upton and try to trade for a good starter.
    I may trade Upton for a low A grade starter and Bautista for a mid A grade starter.

    Who do you think to be traded away? Thanks

  16. Theo says:
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    Which side is your preference in a keep forever obp league?
    Betts and Schwarber
    or
    Abreu and Pollock

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Theo: Abreu

  17. Turn Two says:
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    In an NL Only 4×4 Keeper League..$260 Cap.

    I already have, and will likely keep Marte $15, Conforto $12, and Dickerson $15 (if he’s not traded to AL) as 3 of my 4 OF’s.
    I have Scherzer at $30, Cole at $15, and Thor at $5… among others..
    Do I offer Scherzer for a $15 Polonco and lock up my OF?
    Do I keep those 3 starting pitchers and dominate pitching? is Cole/Thor enough of an anchor for my staff? Wow, that’s a lot of questions in a row!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Turn Two: Cole/Thor are enough…I bet you can do better by trading Scherzer though…

  18. JE says:
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    Klesko reference…BOOOM.

    My favorite all time hitter…the definition of bomb or no bomb.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JE: Loved Klesko

      • JE says:
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        @Grey: He once did a bat flip 3/4ths of the way up the first base line. Epic.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha

  19. Clint says:
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    I had a feeling January Grey would believe Pollock was a bit of Schmohawk. Nice to see my sizeable gut was on the same page.

    • SwaggerJackers says:
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      @Clint: I suspect Grey will value Pollock similarly to how Gomez was ranked over the years. Lower than the masses for a few years then finally in the top 10 just in time for him to not live up to the hype. ;)

      Full disclosure: I’m a Pollock owner in a keeper league.

  20. los locos says:
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    Wow, Cargo didn’t break the top 20 OF after last season 40 HR season, he played like sh*t for the beginning of the season and i guess when it warmed up in colorado he played out of his mind. In a keeper league would you hold Lindor or Cargo.

    My definate keepers are:
    Arenado
    JDMart
    Kershaw
    Strausburg
    Salazar

    On the fence:
    Cargo
    Lindor
    Darvish

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @los locos: I’d hold all three of those… Lindor

  21. Jax says:
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    Dammit, Grey…you rhymed in Cain’s post and now he’s gonna disappoint *shakes fist*

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jax: Dah!

  22. theearly90s says:
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    If Cargo stays in Colorado he as to be top 20.

    • theearly90s says:
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      has

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He wasn’t in 2014, and I’d be shocked if he stays

  23. BK1 says:
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    Grey…in a total points league (+1 BB/-1K), would you bump Cutch and Bats into the first round? I agree Bats age is a concern, but guys with his plate discipline age more gracefully in that format.

    By the way, every day i read the rankings is like a Christmas Advent calendar building with anticipation to your Strasburg write-up. You want to hate him, but you’ll own him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, thanks! I’d bump up McCutchen to 1st and Bautista to early 2nd

  24. Phil says:
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    16 tm H2H Dynasty league. Outfielders are Stanton, McCutchen, Braun, Cargo. Which would you try to trade away, and what kind of player could I realistically target?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      The one that’s not ranked yet? CarGo…Depends what you need

  25. seph meier says:
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    Is greinke or kluber too much to offer for Upton? Which Sp would you prefer to give for Upton?

    Keep up the great work!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Greinke isn’t too much to offer

  26. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    Ugh, now I have all these Pollocks and no one to remove them. Thanks Stalin!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha!

  27. Fungazi says:
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    Based on this ranking, would you keep Polanco over Dickerson & Schwarber?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah

      • Fungazi says:
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        @Grey: Wow, he wasn’t even my short list of keepers, but sounds like a solid idea. Thanks.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  28. J-FOH says:
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    I posted this last night

    After a delay because of work we got back to watching Fargo last night. Episode three of the new season was f***ing awesome. Lou is pretty sharp with the tongue there. Didn’t catch on that he is Molly’s dad right away. I love when he tells Dod, “To be fair I found the gun, I think you’re dancing with the wrong girl” and his momma jokes to Mike Mulligan. Hilarious!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, 2nd season is legit in a totally different way… Your man Donovan is great too…And Boke Woodbine is a revelation as some cheesy movie critic would say

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: Boke is Dope! I got hooked on Donovan from his Burn Notice run, so glad he got a chance to show his chops. Even Jean Smart is no dummy here

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, they’re all great… Love Bokeem though, he’s my spirit animal

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: That’s a kinda logic reference. I’ll take it!

            So on a different note I watched Straight Outta Compton the other night. Well I wouldn’t call it watched as much as criticized that heinous piece of crap over and over and over. First take away is it felt like a borderline made for TV movie. No BS, it was so light and lacking any grit. I’ve never seen the ghetto that clean ever. Like I told my buddy from South Central, “ain’t no pinto in the ghetto looking brand new in 1986”.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, I feel ya… I didn’t hate SOC but I didn’t love it either… I think it reached a lot of people that didn’t really know the truth… It was like a VH1 movie

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: I hated it, maybe it was being alive and aware of that world during that time or the fact everything was super bright and the script was garbage. Too much polish and nothing was varied. I knew I was in for a long night when in the opening scene it says it’s 1986 and dude has a sox hat on that didn’t come out til 1991. Then they keep showing Dre in hats that looks like they picked up at Lids for the shoot. Its like the James Brown movie or the Jackie Robinson movie, they took stories that could be really cool and turned them into a piece of crap. Any critic that gave it 4 stars needs to lose their job and forced to write reviews of adult diapers.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, I wrote on the site after seeing it that I wanted it to be more micro, meaning I wanted the movie to be 2 hours of that nine months when they were together… I didn’t need the writing of Friday and Tupac and all the other crap they added… I wanted the end to be them breaking up…

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: maybe its my background in history and the fact that I know peeps from college who got jobs in the movie biz making sure period pieces were accurate, but I find those small details annoying when they get it wrong. Call it my pet peeve, but its my thang.

                    Word up to that part too, they show snoop, talk about Dre going solo, show the billboard, but I don’t get to hear Nuttin’ but a G thang at all…..and BTW, I would of understood what micro meant, I might of gone to junior college off and on for 10 years, but I would of got that.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Was just expanding on my train of thought

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      sorry, this movie really brought the old school hate out of me. I haven’t felt this angry since I drafted Crush and Fielder two years ago.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Compounding that was Crush and Fielder last year not on your teams

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      I had crush on some teams

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Ah, nice

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      speaking of Crush I had a discussion on Twitter last year with a former writer from here and writers from other sites. They kept referring to 2014 as his floor and I told them they don’t know how floor works and that they were being fools. Long story short I didn’t make any new friends that day and no one came back to apologize for being a moron

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      What’s his floor then?

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      it didn’t matter. They said he was a .200 25 HR floor guy, basically his numbers from 2014. I argued the awful .242 BABIP and very down HR/FB were not who he was. Not to mention the adderall thing. It was an outlier year for him and last year proved it was

                  • Old School Brother says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: I hated that movie, turned it off with 30 minutes left to go

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      @Old School Brother: I walked out of the room after first two minutes. But after a shot of whiskey and some puff puff pass got back in there to the shizz show it was.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, it was super repetitive

  29. Steve says:
    (link)

    Keeper question 12 team keeper, OBP friendly format:

    $22 Jose Bautista or $16 Chris Archer?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Bautista

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  30. Evan says:
    (link)

    One thing I absolutely want and need out of someone who runs fantasy baseball numbers/stats like you guys do is some sort of consistency outcome to determine which players are super consistent, and which ones are streaky, and when they are the streakiest. There has to be a way to do this with looking at category variability over the course of a season. Is this possible?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rudy did this last year

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: that got me thinking. We need a razzball “who’s your daddy” shirt with you and Rudy’s pic on it…..I’m on it

  31. High Five City says:
    (link)

    Love Polanco’s placement. Highly underrated player. People just don’t realize how good he is becoming, which is good news for me, since I can afford to not keep him and take a compensatory draft pick! Best of both worlds. heh heh heh

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice!

  32. stock says:
    (link)

    II really need the online war room…It really helps me out.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      After the rankings it’ll be along

  33. MB says:
    (link)

    This is a really good list. Seems like a lot of safety too, which will be nice for us who use it. Good job.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  34. FKA Ralph says:
    (link)

    Keeper question, given your bullish ranking of Belt, I think I know what you’ll say:

    I have Trout (19), Cutch (1), Miggy (2), Springer (13), Freeman (14), Pederson (25) as my definite keepers

    I also have Salazar (7) and Darvish (26) as keepers.

    I was planning to keep Lester in round 8, but given how high you are on Belt I could keep him there, instead. He’d fill my LF spot, which would be nice. Thoughts?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d want Belt

      • FKA Ralph says:
        (link)

        @Grey: thanks! Working on trading Miggy and Lester for Arenado. Assume that also gets the Grey seal of approval?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup

  35. Boomer19 says:
    (link)

    Polanco or Franco for a final keeper in a 5×5 roto league? Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Polanco

  36. Ruben says:
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    How does obp format impact polanco ranking?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Knocks him down a little, he’s not terrible for OBP… Around .340

  37. Matty says:
    (link)

    So last week i asked you your advice on my keeper draft which was much appreciated. Since then i have learned more about who will be available in the draft which i have the first over all pick. My keepers are Trout, Bautista, Syndergaard, Cueto(My keepers are not that great because i tanked last year to get trout and picks in various trades) Anyway its looking like i am going to be picking between McCutch, Sterling Marte, Joey Votto. Obviously you have Marte over both guys but i will shock everyone if i take him over mccutchen. Do you think taking marte is a good choice there or is it safer to take Mccutchen with the first pick?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Marte

  38. Anti-E says:
    (link)

    Would you keep Gomez ($17) or JHey ($21) in 6×6 OPS. Steamer has them at $12.84 and $17.91 under those league settings, with inflation pushing them up to $24 and $34.

    Before looking at the numbers, I assumed Gomez over Heyward, but for this year, it’s much closer (and for the years after, Heyward has the advantage, but I’m weighing this year more)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d want Heyward

  39. Ryan T. says:
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    Some of these I question, but I’ll take em where you rank em! You’ve helped me win two championships in a row! Keep up the good work and thank you!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  40. Mike says:
    (link)

    Dynasty league trade

    Stanton (round 1) for Schwarber (15) and Puig (18)

    Which side?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Depends on other factors, but I guess Schwarber

  41. SIMPSON, JAMES says:
    (link)

    In quite the conundrum. In my keeper league I have Sano, Franco, and Arrenado, with only 1 util spot. my potential keepers are Arrenado (at mid 2nd round value then back to the draft pool the following year), Blackmon at 6th round value, buxton at 19th and Sano, Franco, Odor, and Nola were all undrafted and fill out my bottom 2-4 picks, depending on who i keep. so most likely 22 21 20 then buxton and if decided to keep all 4 one would be in the 18 hole. We keep 6 and I have 7, but obviously the 3 aforementioned are 3rd base/util spots.

    Who should I try to move in the offseason, or not keep and take the draft pick instead.

  42. Cram It says:
    (link)

    Happy hump day Grey. Hump dayyyyyyy. Totally random question that I can’t put any where else. Anyone see a Norwegian film “Headhunters” that’s on Netflix now? I’ve got questions the internet couldn’t answer.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I haven’t watched it, worth seeing? I watched Winter on Fire last night, Ukrainian documentary…Wanted it to be better…

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Absolutely. I put it on as I was weary-eyed and ready for bed, noticed the subtitles, and was like “I can’t pay attention to this.” But it had me in the first two minutes.

        I’ll pass then. Not really interested in the Ukraine’s fight for free shit anyway.

        • J-FOH says:
          (link)

          @Cram It: what is headhunters about? This better not be the wegians version of concussion

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            @J-FOH: Oh no. It’s a thriller/dark comedy. A white collar headhunter who’s a supreme insecure douchebag moonlights as an art thief. Things go wrong when he attempts to steal something from a guy he actually wants to hire. Lots of action, blood, twists and some boobs. Like if the Coen brothers directed a movie starring Christian Bale’s character from American Psycho.

            I read there’s an American remake coming down the pipe.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Cram It: you had me at boobs

              • Cram It says:
                (link)

                @J-FOH: If there were more I would have put that first.

            • I don't want to brag, but i have irritable bowel syndrome says:
              (link)

              @Cram It: first i thought you meant that scandi movie about troll hunting (real mythical trolls, not Kid A/Kid A’s Father/Tehol’s song and dance from round here), but of those two descriptions given by you that 2nd one sounds awesome. that movie that i was thinking about is actually more appropriately titled Trollhunter.
              http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1740707/?ref_=fn_al_tt_2

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Sweet, I’ll have to check it out

  43. Timby says:
    (link)

    If we all had to pick two out of : ($3) Soler, ($4) A. Russell, and ($3) Rendon for a 10 team NL keeper, and we’ve half-decided to lock up ($15) Blackmon, ($19) Bumgarner, ($3) Franco, and Trea Turner/Jose Peraza ($1)s , we’re all taking Rendon and Russell and calling it a day, right?

    Or do I save the cash and swap out the expensive kids for a free Raisel Iglesias and ($3) Jeurys?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Unlikely

  44. Curt C says:
    (link)

    Dynasty league——–Stroman(12th round), Salazar(12th), or Carlos Rodon(20th)?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rodon

  45. UL's Toothpick says:
    (link)

    I like the NFBC format in the early draft season and have moved on Giancarlo twice at pick #11 and pick #4 in first rounds. On both those teams I have Desmond Jennings in the 5/6 slot.

    Is there any hope for Jennings? Steamers pegs him for 10HR and 14 steals in 476 at-bats. Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      10/14 seems doable if he stays healthy

      • UL's Toothpick says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Cool.

        You think Franklin Gutierrez gets enough at-bats to be relevant. Dude flashed some major power last season (HRS in 189 at-bats)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          He’s a LLAMA, no?

          • UL's Toothpick says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            “Hitters that excel against lefties. Loves Lefties As Much As Sex. ”

            Just thinking with those crazy power numbers they would give him a chance. I kind of remember he was a plus defender.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              They have three guys that are solid vs. righties in front of him, maybe if/when Aoki gets hurts

              • UL's Toothpick says:
                (link)

                @Grey:

                Thanks, Bro

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  No problem

              • I don't want to brag, but i have irritable bowel syndrome says:
                (link)

                @Grey: do not be talking jive bout my leonys missing at bats yet again. i’ve had quite enough of that stuff.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  I hear ya

  46. Michael A says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey, great stuff.
    Which 4 do you keep? (draft round cost in parenthesis, 12 team league)
    McCutchen (2)
    Frazier (4)
    Arenado (9)
    Bogaerts (11)
    Britton (12)
    Pineda (15)
    Dee Gordon (18)
    Carlos Martinez (20)
    d’Arnaud (21)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      McCutchen (2)
      Frazier (4)
      Arenado (9)
      Gordn

  47. MJL says:
    (link)

    pretty certain you forgot to list Adam Jones

    • The Harrow says:
      (link)

      @MJL: either that or you are forgetting he’s in top 40 OF’ers. it’s only the hardest to grasp binary issue of the day.

  48. Chris says:
    (link)

    I still would want Carlos Gomez as my outfielder over Belt for next couple of years. But I can respect the Belt hype for the 4th year in a row. :)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gotcha

  49. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    Pollock’s 2015 seems like it was a consolidation of his strides in 2015. His SB percentage was 85% safe. He’ll have the green light for sure. There’s nothing in the skill set that screams regression in the SBs or any other cat.

    I’m thinking of a conversation we had about Jose Bautista after his breakout. I remember you were pretty convinced he’d come nowhere near those numbers. It’s tough when a guy breaks through a career ceiling. But I put myself on notice when I can’t find any specific evidence, qualitative or quantitative, that regression is coming.

    I think you were pretty on point yesterday in putting the pin in Rendon yesterday or whenever that was. But the case against Pollock seems much more anecdotal to me.

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: haha. I had this discussion with magoo yesterday on the phone. Even if he goes 15/30-35 with a .300 batting average the counting stats will still be good enough to be up there. This of course poses the question. If you are at the turn do you go betts pollock or altuve?

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @J-FOH:

        I think I go Altuve/Betts/Pollock

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Where’s your confidence in Pollock, GTS?

          • GhostTownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            If it were just last year, I’d be looking for a little more track record, but some of the peripherals were actually trending even better in 2014 before he got hurt. I love the steal % and think with his LD/GB profile and speed he’s a really good bet to be one of the few guys who gets to 30 SBs. Like his chances to get to double digit HRs and 160+ RBIs and R. I like the player and feel like B+/A- confident. Have him above Cutch in my rankings right now.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Well, you’re definitely more optimistic than I am

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Grey: hey you guys are switching roles

        • J-FOH says:
          (link)

          @GhostTownSteve: me too but Betts gets my nether regions going

          • GhostTownSteve says:
            (link)

            @J-FOH:

            He could be an absolute beast. One thing I love about Mookie is the demeanor. I love confidence. Superb athleticism. Gonna hit at the top of a premium line up in the premium division for offense. The only reason I go Altuve just a tick above is I like getting the production from the MI spot.

            • J-FOH says:
              (link)

              @GhostTownSteve: agreed on all points. It feels like we’re on the same team

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t like how few fly balls he hits

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        He traded in both FB and GB for LDs last year. Yeah you’d like to see a little more lift in the swing. Arizona park plays so small that helps a little.

        Like I said above I go Altuve/Betts/Pollock in that order at the turn and pair them with a bopper and I’m pretty happy

        • J-FOH says:
          (link)

          @GhostTownSteve: this is going to be the best fantasy year post PED’s ever

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, don’t think we see the power and feel like he’s pretty much Lorenzo Cain

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
          (link)

          @GhostTownSteve: Glad to see you feel that way. Now I know that the backlash will be minimal if I pull the trigger on Altuve. Wasn’t sure about that earlier.

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Big Magoo: it will only be bad if you are wrong

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
              (link)

              @J-FOH: Good point. I’ll be sure to keep my fantasy opinions to myself from now on (outside of my posts, of course).

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                @Big Magoo: you know you can’t you chatty cathy

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
                  (link)

                  @J-FOH: Challenge accepted. It’ll be a relief to shut down any dynasty noise, that’s for sure.

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    @Big Magoo: hold that over my head? Two can play that game

  50. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    The only thing that worries me about Belt is the concussion stuff. It was really weird how long it took Morneau to get back near where he was prior to the injury. Jaso too. Like a year and a half or more.

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: I’m with you there. I had too many concussions growing up and I still ain’t right. That said I took him as my CI in a OBP writers mock I did with sky. Middle of the 11th round. It felt safe enough to take the chance.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      And Mauer… I hear ya, hopefully it’s behind him

    • The Harrow says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: morneau never got back (which of course only furthers your point, at least the worry of it)

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: That and a it just feels like Belt would have had that breakout by year 4. His K% is still over 25%, and even though line drives went up last year, I’m not sold the breakout is ever coming. In my eyes he could be James Loney in a few years.

  51. mr W says:
    (link)

    Love the optimism on Polanco but top 20 was a shock. What order do you rank these guys in a dynasty league? Judge, Mazara, Polanco, Conforto. I’m being pressured to add one but i really dont want to get rid of any of them, especially since they’re all on the doorstep to the bigs. Thanks for the help

    • mr W says:
      (link)

      @mr W: add to trade offer that is

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Polanco, Conforto

      • mr W says:
        (link)

        @Grey: you would add one of these two to a trade? Or you would hold on to these two?

  52. Woolly the Mammoth says:
    (link)

    You da man Grey! Would Sano be in the top 20 if he already had OF eligibility?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He’d be close

  53. Fausto

    THE HAND OF SAGNOF says:
    (link)

    Thank you for talking me out of drafting GORDON (2nd rd)I did a mock up on paper using ranks and my team looked VERY Mesoraco-ish OR “MESO” aka …it was UGLY.(if you need a glossary term for ugly there you go) Not sure what i was thinking there, plus now ill have a crack at A-Riz(snake draft i hate them) anyway ill stick with Bill Burns/delino and other sagnofers ..anywhos
    keeper question 16tm roto better keeps polanco@$9 or soler and yelich(the singling brothers)@$12 for both. ? (i think this is a no brainer)
    Thanks again. many blessings from the hand of sagnof….. avatar will get an update so people can “witness the strenf of sag-knowledge” … Love the ranks so far its greatly appreciated i bought a zine to compare and fwiw you and the razz staff are still the knees on bees in the fbb world

  54. Theo for President says:
    (link)

    Throwing it back a couple of days on you here …

    You projected Lindor’s average to drop about 25 points. Do you see his walk rate improving or regressing?

  55. Test Kitchen says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I’ve already got Machado and

  56. Test Kitchen says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I’ve already got Machado and Arenado. Thoughts on giving up Franco and JD for Betts? OBP keeper format.

    Thanks

    • JD Sucks says:
      (link)

      @Test Kitchen: JD sucks. pull the trigger in a heartbeat if you can.

  57. Every Rose Has It's Thorn says:
    (link)

    Hello, I submit to you a keep question. Standard rotisserie chicken up until playoffs…it switches to head to head same standard categories…add holds. Second nugget of importance…I can keep 6 players for eternity if I so choose. Without further adieu…here are my choices: Posey,Abreu, Bogaerts, Jose Bautista, Cain, Cargo, Lindor, Rendon, Puig, Soler, Hanley, Corey Seager, Danny Salazar, King Felix. I trust my fantasy life with you.

  58. Mike says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Trade Question for you: Currently in a 12 team H2H league with 8 keepers. Trade is:

    Abreu and my 1st round pick (11th)
    Blackmon and his 1st round pick (1st)

    Have owned Abreu since he first came to the bigs, but own Rizzo and Miggy as well (although league has 2 utilities). You characterize Abreu as “boring” which couldn’t be more true. But that is also part of what I love about Abreu…I know exactly what to expect. Plus I can hope that he regains some of the power numbers from his rookie season (although unlikely). What do you think?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Abreu side

  59. Paul Before Swine says:
    (link)

    Current keepers are Goldschmidt, Bryant, Bautista, Scherzer, and Dee Gordon.

    One more keeper between Jose Fernandez, Carlos Gomez, and Kyle Schwarber in a 5 X 5 league.

    Who should it be?

Comments are closed.