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This is one of the hardest posts to write all year.  There’s so many different ways the top 20 for 2013 fantasy baseball could go.  I almost wrote a top 10 for 2013 fantasy baseball and just made the tenth ranked guy a ten way tie with these guys and washed my hands of this post entirely.  Isn’t David Wright as risky as Longoria but Wright didn’t even make the top 20?  Then Beltre’s low with seemingly no risk?  Where’s the pitchers?  Posey’s not ranked?  You know the NL MVP?!  What gives, GA?  McCutchen was crazy high and now Kemp is crazy low!  Was I taking meds when I wrote this?  Was I not taking my meds?!  There’s a lot of questions to be answered as we continue our 2013 fantasy baseball rankings.  There are not as many guarantees as I’d like.  Verlander seems more safe than any of these hitters, but you can find so much pitching later, he didn’t even make the top 20.  Thankfully, as VinWins’s data about our leagues shows, a 2nd round pick that you Mr. Bungle doesn’t spell doom.  Last year, a Cano second round pick was solid and you finished around sixth out of 12 teams.  An Adrian Gonzalez pick, which wasn’t great, had you finishing around sixth, too.  One pick does not a team make.  Here’s just twenty picks you should make.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 for 2013 fantasy baseball:

11. Carlos Gonzalez – This tier started in the top 10 for 2013 fantasy baseball.  This tier ends at Jones.  I call this tier, “I really like these guys.  Question marks be damned.”  I could have also called this tier, “I’m hoping for big things from guys in the prime of their career, previous setbacks be damned.”  Previous Setbacks, “Well, damn you right back!”  CarGo doesn’t stay healthy for whole seasons, but he’s still only 27 years old.  He’s good for 135 games and a 20/20 season.  The rest of it is icing on the cake.  Here’s hoping for a season with a lot of icing and his owners needing their insulin.  2013 Projections:  100/28/102/.307/19

12. Evan Longoria – Like Baby Jessica, eventually we have to stop going to this well.  I’ll be the first to admit that if Longoria has a poor season in 2013, he’s gonna fall far in 2014, like, six to seven rounds later.  Still, I refuse to write off a 27-year-old with MVP potential.  He wasn’t bad last year.  He was hurt.  I know, over-the-internet friend.  He’s always hurt.  As late as November, he had an operation on his hamstring, the same hammy that plagued him last year.  He says he’s fine now.  He just needs to stay healthy.  That is the only thing stopping him.  If you prorate his 2012 over a full year, he had a solid year.  A 32-homer, 100+ RBI, .285 season.  3rd base is a wasteland after the top eight, and even some of those (Wright, Hanley, Headley, Zimmerman, Aramis) aren’t without their question marks.  Beltre was conspicuously absent from that list, but I’ll get to him quicker than you can say, “You have Longoria above Beltre?!”  As I said in my Todd Frazier sleeper post, there’s a lot of late, terrible 3rd basemen.  If you’re gambling on Hanley bouncing back, that’s a different problem.  If you’re gambling on Aramis not emitting a stank smell, that’s a different issue.  If you’re gambling on Zimmerman and Headley, they’re a whole set of other problems.  I’ll take the gamble on Longoria’s health first.  Now if he’s having hamstring issues in the spring… Well, we’ll cross that bridge when we come to it, presumably on crutches.  2013 Projections:  89/32/107/.283/5

13. Adam Jones – I almost put Jones in the top ten and Justin Upton here.  I lurve 27-year-old hitters entering their prime.  Big time lurve.  My lurve doesn’t have a painting of the Mona Lisa, it has a painting of Adam Jones.  Here’s what we know for absolutely sure.  Over the past two seasons, he’s averaging 28 homers, 14 steals, .284 average and 156 games.  He is now in the prime of his career.  Even if we only got an “average” year from him, you have a number one outfielder.  There’s no weird injury issues.  He had a flukey wrist injury in June and his power was zapped for two-plus months.  In September, his power returned with six homers for the month.  No odd spikes in K-rate or ground balls or BABIP.  His line drive rate went up last year and, when he hit homers, only six of them were “Just Enough” out of 32.  The only thing that hurt his value last year were his 82 RBIs.  You and I — hey, pal! — both know that RBIs have nothing to do with him.  2013 Projections:  90/34/100/.284/15

14. Matt Kemp – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until A-Gon.  I call this tier, “Eff me in the coolie, why do I have so many concerns this early?!”  Kemp couldn’t swing a bat until January due to a shoulder injury after he had surgery in October to reattach his labrum.  Here I thought reattaching a labrum was something you’d hear about in a Breaking Amish reunion special.  After the surgery, Kemp said, “I was definitely surprised and disappointed.”  <sarcastic>This sounds awesome!</sarcastic> I think he’ll probably be his old-new-old self by late-May, and wouldn’t be surprised to see him put up numbers similar to last year.  Unfortunately, his numbers last year were solid, but not spectacular.  It’s a bit sucky that I’m going to miss out on his special brand of speed/power/handsomeness, but, with where I have him ranked, I probably won’t be owning him in 2013.  2013 Projections: 88/25/100/.294/19

15. Josh Hamilton – I went over my Josh Hamilton 2013 fantasy when he signed with the Angels.  I wrote it while counting Arte Moreno’s checkbook zeroes.  2013 Projections:  92/29/109/.277/7

16. Adrian Beltre – The argument against my ranking of Beltre vs. Longoria is obvious.  I am counting on a guy with burgeoning skills but health problems rather than a guy who looks like he could decline, but has been terrific the last two years.  I’m going with the injury risk over the guy who will be 34 years old on April 7th.  Beltre is admittedly a tough call for a few reasons.  His Texas home run per fly ball rates are above his career average, but he’s also in Arlington and not Dodger Stadium or Safeco.  He has been injured in the past, but one was of the Jockular Sphincteritis variety when a ball clipped his testicles, which sounds like an injury that would happen to a labradoodle.  Stop licking your wound!  That injury was of no fault of his (if it was his fault, he should see a shrink), so it’s a bit too fluky to say he’s injury-prone.  Also, care of baseballheatmaps.com (a site you could get lost in for about an hour before you even start making sense of it; that’s a compliment), Beltre’s average home run went from 294.75 feet in 2010 to 287.6 feet in 2012, losing distance every year.  To continue the Longoria comparison, his 2011 distance was 287.5 and 2012 it was 295.3.  If Beltre reverts to his career mark in HR/FB% and he loses another few feet on his homers, you’re going to have him go from a 32-35 homer guy to a 26-29 homer guy.  Then where do balls go if they’re not leaving the park?  In outfielders’ gloves.  If that happens, does he start hitting more ground balls?  He has in years past.  This isn’t saying stay away from Beltre, but he’s later on my draft board than I’ve seen him elsewhere.  2013 Projections:  82/28/103/.281/2

17. Ian Kinsler – Someone in this tier, if not the whole tier, will fail.  I trust Kinsler as far as I can throw him.  And I’m one hundred and sixty pounds soaking wet, and have been to the gym three times in my life; each time to sign up for a one-year membership that I never used.  I can’t throw Jose Altuve!  Between Kinsler and Nelson Cruz, the Rangers could do an off-Broadway adaption of M.A.S.H.  (It’s the cross-dressing, Corporal Kinsler.), and that’s the bulk of the Rangers offense.  Last year, Kinsler’s HR/FB rate went into the toilet, but it seems to happen every other year, which leads him to hit 30+ homers every odd year.  He’s second base’s equivalent to Prince Fielder.   Call him Kingsler.  2013 Projections:  102/25/77/.258/20

18. Jose Bautista – Nothing in his line from last year looks necessarily bad if you account for bad luck.  According to out Expected Average Chart, he should’ve hit .281.  The power was there as it’s been.  Unfortunately, he had wrist surgery and wasn’t able to swing a bat until November.  He says, I feel “great” and his strength is “coming back quickly” and the chicken parm is “like Mama used to make.”  Hey, Bautista should work for Zagat.  I expect he’ll be fine, but there’s a chance he has a setback and you lose him for the year.  2013 Projections:  91/32/100/.272/5

19. Paul Goldschmidt – His 2012 reminds me of random middle infielder year like Asdrubal’s 2011 or Aaron Hill’s every fourth year he produces.  AuShizz had no business stealing 18 bags last year, and had every right to hit about ten more home runs than his 20 homer total.  For those that missed our Steve Garvey interview, Goldschmidt was the one guy Rudy and I agreed on that we are crazy excited about for thirteen after twenty.  His park is a solid hitters’ stadium — that’s assuming the Diamondbacks don’t trade away Goldschmidt because he has a Germanic last name — “Be gone, Krauts!”  That’s Kevin Towers. — and Paul has great upside.  Something that is not easy to find early in the 1st basemen rankings.  Out of this tier, I’m most excited about drafting Goldschmidt.   After this year, he’ll be on everyone’s radar.  2013 Projections: 84/29/104/.274/12

20. Adrian Gonzalez – Unlike Te(i)x, Konerko, Howard and other aging 1st basemen, I think A-Gon still has something left to give.  Oh, no, Rappin’ Grey!  “A-Gon’s old like a reference to Minnie Pearl, coming off a disappointing year… Some things never go out like your preference for jheri curl and calling Montana God’s Country and New Jersey God’s Rear… A-Gon’s still filled with diesel in that tank, no biggie… Maybe he needs Stoli and pineapple juice like Frank the Tank and Miggy…”  A-Gon’s line drive rate went up to a career high in 2012 and his fly balls were normal.  His HR/FB rate was in the dumper.  He should’ve hit 27 homers last year.  His walk rate that has been on decline for the last three years hit a new low in 2012 at 6.1%.  For a guy that had a walk rate of 17.5% as recently as 2009, that’s hideous.  Since he’s only going to be 31 years old in May, I think he can hold his line drive rate and rebound a bit with his walks.  The homers will definitely rebound.  Remember, we are drafting for 2013, not for the mistakes you made in 2012.  Edwin Encarnacion was great last year, but unless you’re driving a DeLorean to your fantasy draft that means absolutely nothing.  2013 Projections:  86/29/112/.292/1

Top twenty lists for every position and a top 400 for 2013 fantasy baseball will be coming, but here’s one name that stands out that I omitted:

Buster Posey – Anyone familiar with my rankings knows that I always put at least one player right after the top 20 that I don’t want any part of.  Well, ma nishtana this post?  No ma nishtana!  This post is the same as past years.  I don’t want anything to do with Posey.  The last time everyone was crazy about a catcher in the 2nd round was Joe Mauer after he hit 28 homers.  You probably have a ton of reasons why Mauer is not the same as Posey.  Let me say this, four years ago, you thought Mauer was the King Shizz of Shinola.  You asked your girlfriend to wear a Mauer jersey when you were feeling amorous and then you’d tell people you were calling her, “Joe,” like it was a cutesy nickname.  You loved Mauer.  Exactly the same love you now have for Posey.  Do us all a flippin’ favor, don’t draft a guy you’re going to put in your catcher slot in the mother-flippin’ second round.  It is the surest recipe for disaster.  Let’s go with the assumption that Posey is capable of repeating his MVP season, even if that makes an ass out of u and mption.  His year was 78/24/103/.336/1.  He barely broke 100 RBIs and didn’t break 80 runs.  Aside from the batting average, nothing in his line looks exceptional.  Discussion starter:  Is there any chance he’s a .336 hitter?  I guess.  He just did it.  He also needed a BABIP thirty points over his career average.  If he hit 25 homers and .300 with those counting stats, we’re not even discussing this.  Discussion ender.  You are basically looking at drafting a guy that could give you the power and counting stats over the course of the season that Jay Bruce could give you in four months.  But…BUT Bruce would give you more steals.  You draft Posey, and I’ll take Salvador Perez 100 picks later.  Yeah, I said it.  2013 Projections:  74/25/97/.309/1

  1. Random Collmenter says:
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    GODDAMIT I love how high you ranked Goldschmidt. I’m gonna own that dude everywhere- think you can wait until the 3rd round at least though…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Random Collmenter: Yeah, probably… Unless an entire league are all following my rankings…

      • Simply Fred

        simply fred says:
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        @Grey: not sure about the 3rd round. MDC currently shows an average of #24 with an earliest of 16.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I don’t think MDC is all that accurate right now…

  2. Steve says:
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    Interesting. Reckon Razzballers might cause a few raised eyebrows in drafts this year…

    • costaricanchata says:
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      @Steve:

      raised uni-brows , perhaps , considering that fish like to school

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Steve: And maybe a “Hmm…”

      • Steve says:
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        @Grey: Not to mention the occasional chin-stroke.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Of course!

  3. Big Daddy Fatsack says:
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    The second round is rather anxiety inducing this year. I’ll be picking 17th in my 12 team mixer. I use your rankings as my holy grail, but damn you for ranking and tempting me with Longo so high once again (my second rounder last year, but I still won)! So my league goes overboard on SP each year. I never draft a starter before the 5th, but it’s always tough to patch together a good rotation in my league. I’ve been thinking that if Strasburg happens to be around at my pick in rd 2, I can’t pass. Is this ludicrous of me? Btw, good call on Aushizz…I’ll be grab him in the 5th this year and smile, the power is coming!

    • Wallpaper Paterson says:
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      @Big Daddy Fatsack: Don’t draft a pitcher in the first two rounds.

    • ScottyM says:
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      @Big Daddy Fatsack: One thing to consider with Strasburg is he won’t get the full on Ace treatment next year. He’ll get 200 innings, but they won’t reshuffle the rotation to allow him extra starts etc. likely limiting his innings to ~200 instead of a Verlander/Kershaw-esque 220+. They are going to want him fresh for a playoff run after last year’s public relations debacle.

  4. Tom says:
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    Grey are these rankings based on how you think there going to end the year or how we should target on draft day?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tom: Both, hopefully…

      • Votto-Voom says:
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        @Grey: Both Hopefully….. classic

  5. PublicEnemy#1 says:
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    Your Posey piece is giving me 2nd thoughts about making him a 12th round keeper for thirteen after twenty. Should I keep Adam Jones in the 10th instead?

  6. Tony Starks says:
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    any chance you handsome gents at razzball would consider doing a pts league rankings? not talking h2h roto instead of straight-up roto, i’m talking POINTS, similar to how fantasy football is scored. we’ve been using this method for as long as I can remember and it’s really tough to get a good feel on where guys should be getting drafted when most all rankings are based on category scoring. I swear (sorry, not really swearing) points leagues are the thing of the future. I mean doesn’t it seem a bit trivial to trade away player A because you don’t need his SB’s for player B and his OBP? I realize this is the way the game has been played for 25+ yrs but we also used to think it was kosher to not afford women the same rights as men. ok, bad example but you get my drift….

    Typical scoring in pts league are as follows:

    Single: 1pt
    Walk: 1pt
    Double: 2 pts
    Triple: 3 pts
    HR: 4 pts
    Runs: 1 pt
    RBI’s: 1 pt
    SB’s: 2 pts
    K’s: -0.5 pts
    GIDP: -1 pt

    APP’s: 1 pt
    W’s: 5 pts
    Losses: -3 pts
    QS’s: 5 pts
    CG’s: 5 pts
    Shutouts: 5 pts
    No Hitters: 10 pts
    Perfect Games: 15 pts
    Saves: 5 pts
    BS: -3 pts
    Innings: 1.25 pts
    HA: -0.25 pts
    BB’s: -0.25 pts
    K’s: 1.25 pts
    Earned Runs: -1.5 pts

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tony Starks: Ha… Draft for perfect games! There will be Points Leagues posts and maybe Rudy will do Point Shares designed for it..,.

  7. ML says:
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    Are Goldschmidts peripherals even better than a guy like Tex? I like him, but feel like he’s going to be crazy reached for; leaving more value for some of the other 1B closely ranked around him.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @ML: Much better than Te(i)x…

      • ML says:
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        @Grey:

        Yea..gonna have to call BS on that one…walk rates are comparable, teix strikes out less, has a higher ISO….and most everything else (last year anyway) was comparable.

        just dont see the “much better”.

        • Jay29 says:
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          @ML: Goldy is going to steal at least 10 more bags than Teix. And Teix’s downward trend probably indicates Goldy has a good shot at 20 more points on the BA. Teix hammering balls into the shift has killed his BABIP — it’s HR or nothing for him now. (I’m in an OPS league where I’d say that category’s a tossup, but I assume you’re talking standard scoring.)

          Plus the sky’s the limit on Goldy’s power…

  8. Schlitzy says:
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    I just got a lot more excited about keeping Goldy at $10 in my NL only.

  9. Curt says:
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    Keep Lohse as a 15th rounder or Minor at 9th??

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Curt: Minor

  10. Jon says:
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    Are we getting Top 20 catchers tomorrow? This is good stuff – my excitement for baseball is getting kicked into high gear. Thanks for your awesome work, Grey! There’s no one I trust more on the Interwebs with my precious teams.

    Unfortunately while my head is swimming with visions of sugar plums and Goldschmidt, I’m about to get schooled in my fantasy hockey draft tonight. Haha. Any help there?

    • curt says:
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      @Jon: @Jon: Yeah, Jordan Eberle will be baseball’s version of Goldshmidt…..

      • Jon says:
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        @curt: I did know that name so maybe I won’t totally be screwed. I’m a Pens fan so I probably can’t go too wrong drafting all Penguins, either!

    • Wallpaper Paterson says:
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      @Jon: I finished in 3rd place the last time I did a hockey league. I had heard of only 2 or 3 players on my team. Once the season got rolling I compared their stats to free agents. If a move was necessary I did it. I then retired from fantasy hockey.

      • Carlos says:
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        cool story bro

        • Wallpaper Paterson says:
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          @Carlos: Not cool that you did not read between the lines for my hockey advice.

  11. Jet says:
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    Love the new site design and the rankings. Pick 3 for keepers this year: A. Craig, I. Desmond, D. Espinosa, D. Jennings, Doumit or J. Willingham? Keep up the excellent work.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jet: Thanks! Jennings, Craig, Desmond…

  12. Sideshow says:
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    Sorry I usually like the ballsy calls but Goldschmidt 19 is way off IMO. It is a deep position & honestly I would rather have Billy Butler.

    • costaricanchata says:
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      @Sideshow:

      the stolen bases give goldschmidt a decided edge , however ,
      if these guys were to switch home ballparks , butler’s HR and RBI stats would flourish .

      • alldayLT says:
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        @costaricanchata: butler will be better when hosmer and moustakas decide to figure it out too…

    • ScottyM says:
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      @Sideshow: Butler should regress on HRs in 2013. His HR/FB was double his career number. He has shown that he can not create loft with his swing. Career 47% GB. Last year his LD% was up 5%, but most of that came straight from his FB%. He consistently hits ~62 2B+HR each year. Every year people talk about turning some of those 2B into HR. Last year he finally did. Unfortunately he just reallocated some 2Bs to HRs but ended with the same 61 total. The rest of his metrics remained similar. His avg. HR distance decreased 10ft. confirming that those balls will probably regress to 2B again next year bringing his HR total down closer to 25 than 30 if it makes a difference to you.

  13. alldayLT says:
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    just got a little to giddy knowing that i’m keeping goldschmidt at $7 on my $360 33 man roster league. can i compete this yr with the rest of my keepers that i have grey? they may not be the best in the league but i think they should be valued in a $360 league much higher than i am keeping them and i have finally have come to my decision on which to keep.
    $13 Buster Posey-still gotta keep him at that crazy low price
    $7 Paul Goldschmidt
    $15 Jason Kipnis
    $6 Brett Lawrie
    $20 Adam Jones
    $3 Alex Gordon
    $4 Mike Moustakas

    • james d says:
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      @alldayLT: how many teams and what categories?

      • alldayLT says:
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        @james d: 10 teams. like i said 33 man though so still very deep. hr, rbi, sb, r, avg, obp for hitters. ks, wins, era, whip, sv, holds for pitchers

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @alldayLT: Yeah, you can compete…

  14. Big Magoo says:
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    The early round hitters this year are as shaky as I can ever remember. After the top 7 guys, I could make a case for about 25-30 guys who should go next. I like that everyone seems to be in love with Goldschmidt, but he kinda has the feeling of ’12 Lawrie to me. I’d roll the dice on Tulo, Hanley, Ellsbury, Pedroia, or a high-end starter like Strasburg before I’d even think about him. I agree with you on Posey though – way overvalued.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Big Magoo: Tulo, Hanley and Ellsbury are way more shaky…

      • Big Magoo says:
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        @Grey: They’re all shaky, but those other guys have more of a track record and fill shallower positions. I think the risk is worth it for those guys in the third round, while Goldschmidt is more of a fifth-rounder in my eyes. I mentioned Lawrie as a “hype” comp from last year, but Hosmer might be a more accurate comp.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I don’t think their track record is all that great over the last few years…

          • Big Magoo says:
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            @Grey: Mostly due to injuries though… 120 games from Tulo + 42 from a replacement level SS = third round value easily. 122 gp, 81/27/92/9/.297 – those are Tulo’s lows in each category from ’09-’11. I’ll take that over a potential ’12 Hosmer/Lawrie.

            • Big Magoo says:
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              @Big Magoo: Btw, I liked Goldy as a potential fifth-rounder but I’m comparing him to those other guys because most places have him ranked as a third rounder (which is a little surprising – and a little risky for my taste)

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, and injuries seem to be the only thing we can count on from Tulo…

              • Big Magoo says:
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                @Grey: Perhaps. I think that he was overvalued as a first rounder the past few years, but a bit underrated as a third rounder this year. It’s all about risk/reward with a player like him. Unfortunately, there seems to be a whole lot of risk everywhere you look this year…

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, that’s true…

                  • Big Magoo says:
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                    @Grey: I understand that you ranked him there more as a statement than anything else (and possibly an indictment of the other players in that draft range). I always enjoy debating rankings – how else are we going to pass the time until spring training? Great job, as always, and I look forward to the rest of the rankings.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yeah, no harm in debating at all… It’s what they’re here for and why in most drafts Goldschmidt will go as late as at least the 3rd round…

                • mic says:
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                  @Big Magoo: there’s always those few special people that still believe in Tulow, he will not reach you in the 3rd…

                  • Big Magoo says:
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                    @mic: I’ve been in eight leagues each of the last two years, and I can tell you that plenty of surprising things happen in almost all of them. I think he’ll last into the third in half of them…

                    • Tony says:
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                      @Big Magoo: Tulo won’t last just like Hanley didn’t last year…. Hanley was ranked late 2nd or even going into the 3rd ish last yr and in every draft I did, he was gone by the 13th pick…..

  15. Puff Daddy says:
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    5 keepers, dynasty format can keep as long as you want, 12 team league, standard scoring

    Miggy
    Votto
    Verlander
    Price
    Kinsler
    Bruce

    Who is going to be left out and who should I look to trade?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Gotta leave out Bruce…

      • Ray says:
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        @Grey: I would keep Bruce over Kinsler. Kinsler is so up and down while Bruce’s power numbers keep climbing. In GABP, he could approach 40 bombs this year.

        • mic says:
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          @Ray: 2nd base is shallow as shit and outfield is deep as…

  16. royce! says:
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    Seems that the Goldschmidt ranking has proven the most surprising, but given his current ADP over at MDC (21) and Bill James’ projections for him (pretty close to yours), I think we might find that he’s gone by the third round in many leagues. Fortunately, ESPN’s early top 250 has him at 72…it’s nice for them to provide us with such opportunities!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      They are sweet…

  17. OaktownSteve says:
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    Have you made your standard disclaimer yet? I haven’t seen it. The old “I’m not saying you have to draft Goldy in the second round if ADP and your estimate of your league has him going lower. I’m just saying this is where I think he will be ranked when the dust settles.”

    The 18 bags from Goldie are huge. Him, Hosmer and EE were the only 1st base eligible to give you double digits last year. Allows you to take a power guy instead of a speed guy with your 5th outfielder or maybe even in the middle infield. Roster flexibility…a good thing.

    With regards to Longoria, being “injury prone” is just such an odd thing and a weird label. Remember Ian Kinsler was the poster child for “injury risk” up until 2011 and in the last two years he’s give you 731 and 723 plate apperances. It is worrisome that it’s a hammy with Longoria though.

    I think of the guys not in the top 20 the guy you might be able to make the best case for would be Laser Show. Second base thinning out this year. He’s going to contribute a little bit in every category and has an MVP season on his resume.

    Josh Hamilton is really interesting. I was at all three games the Rangers played to finish the season in Oakland last year and I can tell you there was something just not right about that boy, as evidence by the whiff on the flyball and the slow trot after it. I think there’s three flavors of risk around him: change of team/ballpark risk, off-field risk, injury risk. Not to mention he struck out a ton last year.

    Nice work again. Baseball fever much better than flu fever.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah, no disclaimer… Laser Show? Pedroia? Hamilton struckout so much I almost dropped him into the 3rd round… I’ll never feel safe with him…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That’s awesome…

        • The next great razzball writer! says:
          (link)

          @OaktownSteve: this video was great, last year I was last one of my leagues at the end of april, then what happened, LASER SHOW!!!!!!!!

    • mic says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: I avoid Hamilton every year, i don;t even do projections for him…

    • Steve says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: Asked you a question in the Forums, when you have a sec…

  18. hankg says:
    (link)

    Is A. Jones in the 4th round too high for a 12 team mixed keeper league that counts OPS as a 6th category? Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nope…

  19. quimmy says:
    (link)

    Have a quick question:

    Keepers
    Giancarlo 4th Round
    Granderson 5th Round
    Adam Jones 6th Round
    Billy Butler 7th Round

    We can start 4 OF and 2 U. I got offered Goldy in the 10th for my Adam Jones in the 6th. I already have Butler and don’t know that I like locked up a U spot with a keeper. Thoughts appreciated?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hold

  20. RandomItalicizedVoice says:
    (link)

    Hey all,

    Still looking for a few managers for the RCL champions league that I will be running this year. It will be an RCL league, the only requirement being that you had won your RCL league in 2012. There are still a few spots left, so shoot me an email if interested. We already have the 2012 RCL expert league winner signed up, as well as the 2011 overall RCL winner (which would be me ;) )

    takecareofyourshoes@gmail.com

    • captainpyper says:
      (link)

      @RandomItalicizedVoice: I emailed you back in October. Do I have a spot in the league? or do I need to follow up with another email?

      • RandomItalicizedVoice says:
        (link)

        @captainpyper: yes.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ugh… Okay, I’ll have my web person look at it…

    • Otis Nixon says:
      (link)

      Yea I caught a virus from Razzball last year on my work computer (YIKES!). So now I just murder my eyes reading the articles on my iPhone everyday. I don’t know what’s wrong – every few months I see a commenter mentioning something about a virus lurking on this site.. Bummer. I really want to stab all hackers directly in the face with a hot soldering iron.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Web person looked into and thinks they found the problem… Let me know if you see anything again…

        • George says:
          (link)

          @Grey: Dont suppose you could let me know what the problem was. Its plaguing me too – and i can still see it on your site??

          Cheers G

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Still? Such a pain… Could you check again? I thought I removed the problem…

            • George says:
              (link)

              @Grey: Yes – please recheck – still there… How did you remove the first time around?
              What is the use in hacking – nasty people…..

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                I removed an ad that I thought was the problem…

  21. Turk says:
    (link)

    Your kind words on Adam Jones have dragged my co-owner and I back into a lot of hand wringing on keepers. Just when we thought we’d decided to keep McCutcheon at $29 you taunt us with Jones, who we can keep at $14. Two keeper league, with Trout netted (as it were) as our other keeper. WWGD? (What Would Grey Do?)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d keep McCutchen…

  22. KCC26 says:
    (link)

    tough decisions in my future as well! need to pick 5 of the following to keep:

    kemp-2nd
    tulo-2nd
    (if i keep both, one gets pushed to my 3rd rounder)
    mccutchen -4th
    goldschmidt- 6th
    medlen- 16th
    EE – 8th
    wainwright 12th
    rosario – 17th

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Kemp, McCutchen, Goldy, Edwin, Medlen…

  23. otisbird says:
    (link)

    Grey, do you think T. Flowers is worth keeping for 1$ in a 2-catcher AL only league? I figure he’ll get playing time… Side question: for your second catcher, is it better to have a catcher with playing time who kill your ratios or a backup catcher who won’t add much to the counting stats but minimizes the damage to ratios?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d keep Flowers for $1, I’d prefer a starter as 2nd catcher for counting stats if possible…

  24. mic says:
    (link)

    i always look at it this way: there are 4 counting stats and average, would you rather accumulate some stats or save your average (minus speed)… so it really depends on the rest of your roster… Just as long as you don’t have too many Adam Dunns and Mark Reynolds on your team…

    • otisbird says:
      (link)

      @Grey: Thanks. @mic: Makes sense…

  25. Salty Balty says:
    (link)

    Holy Goldschmidt! you’ve got Paul up there . . . you see what I did there, Goldschmidt sounds like . . .

    Nevermind – great to be back. Hope you had a good winter.

    Love the rankings, but I have A Gon. a bit higher (almost cracking the top 10) due to his duel eligibility and relative consistency. 1B/OF aren’t shallow positions, but it certainly gives you some flexibility in the later rounds of the draft and in your lineupe. I see him as a lot safer than just about every person you listed from 10-20. Boring, but safer. Just nitpicking ’cause I don’t have anything else to do . . . except work, of course.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You too! Yeah, the OF eligibility can’t hurt…

  26. slew says:
    (link)

    Looks like Soriano snagged a two-year deal with the Nats for $28M!
    What about Storen and Clippard? Crazy shiz

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      It’s the end of Storen’s value… Clippard wasn’t gonna close…

  27. TJ says:
    (link)

    Grey, you seem to be down on Kemp for 2013 because of his injury.

    You have Cano higher in your 2013 rankings, but how do you feel about these two guys in a keeper league? Which player would you rather have for the next three years?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d take Kemp for the next 3 years…

  28. birrrdy! says:
    (link)

    @Grey, your disdain for David Wright will come back to bite you this year! Just my humble opinion. He only just turned 30, and to celebrate, he’s gonna pop a 100/30/100/.310/20 on y’all this year. The concussion, the broken pinky, the fractured back, and the rectus abdominis tear are all, er.. behind him now. And he’s still only two years removed from a 29/19 season even with all that injury crap in the interim. I also think he steals more next year. Call it counterintuitive, but he’s got the safety of a new contract, the Mets can’t suck forever, and this guy clearly wants to shatter all of the team record books. All coming from the 3B position, no less. Please be sure to quote this post later when it comes true, Grey! Don’t let pride f*& with you! ;)

    I also would put in some strong predictions for Hanley with the stacked Dodgers this year (110/25/90/.300/35) and Stras on a redonkulous (and contagious) Nats pitching staff (20-8/240/2.69/1.08). Them’s top-20 numbers I tell you, Kershaw and Verlander be damned!

    Thanks for making January interesting again, Grey!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Wright’s not a 30 homer hitter… What about Hanley on the stacked Marlins lineup last year? I do like Strasburg too…

      • birrrdy! says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Touche on the 2012 Marlins! BUt I’d have to say its no comparison to the spending firepower of the 2013 Dodgers — we’re talking Yankees big here! — and they get to play against the hapless NL West (Giants excluded). Big things in LA this year, and I hate the Dodgers.

        I also seem to remember a conversation this time last year where you called me cuckoo for cocoa puffs over predicting that Chris Young would be in the Mets starting rotation by the All Star Break, and he made it by June 5th. Granted, getting it right on a $1 sleeper pitcher is a lot different than picking Hanley or Wright over A-Gon and being WRONG, but I’ll stand by my words and be sure to quote them again come the summer! ;)

        BTW, LOVE the Goldschmidt pick. Gutsy, and feels right. Good luck, though, with J-UP on every one of your team’s this year. Hopefully they’ll be the Smash Brothers of 2013 because you’ll likely have them both.

        Thanks again for all you do. Daiquiris coming shortly!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha… No problem… Kershaw and Kemp already injured, then Crawford and Hanley… What could go wrong?

  29. Wilsonian says:
    (link)

    Ok, so I need me some keeper action in a 16 Team H2H.

    Stats: H, R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBPS, W, L, SV, K, Ks/9, ERA, WHIP

    Giancarlo, A.Jones, and Price are three locks, but I need two more of these guys. It’s a tough call, as some of these guys underperformed last year but could bounce back to be huge. So who are the other two?

    Lawrie, I.Desmond, Tulo, Moore, Minor, Aroldis

    It’s a “dynasty” keeper where we can keep these five forever.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Lawrie, Moore…

  30. Giacomo says:
    (link)

    Grey – Great work as always! I was hoping you might help with some keeper trouble –

    We can keep 8, and I have 6 set, but need assistance with the last two. The players I’m set with are as follows:

    Pujols, Goldschmidt (Util), Cargo, Bautista, Wainwright, Hamels

    My other keeper options are as follows. I am leaning towards the top two on this list, but wanted to make sure I shouldn’t consider something else. We only start 3 outfielders.

    Potentials
    Hanley, Ian Desmond, Dan Uggla, Ryan Howard, Yoenis Cespedes, De Aza, Avila, Jon Lester

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Yeah, the first two…

  31. AJA says:
    (link)

    As a Goldschmidt owner last year I will say that he has the nice feature of being completely predictable. He murders lefties and mediocre righties (and tim lincecum). If you have a bench 1b or can grab a hot hitter from the waiver wire to plug in when he goes against a tough righty…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, hopefully he gets a bit better vs. righties… He wasn’t miserable though…

  32. JoeT says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I want to buy you some Daiquiris via my Credit Card.

    Cannot find the hit that accomplishes the task.

    Help!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Razzball.com and click thing under first post…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Oh, and thanks!

  33. Big AL says:
    (link)

    Hey as a fellow Jersey boy, no I’m not Frankie Valli who wrote “Big Men Don’t Cry ” Except in fanasty baseball. Jersey isn’t God’s rear we’re more like God’s toilet.You can see God’s rear from there though.
    My Mom used to say Jersey was the end of the world. It ends on exit 999 and off the end of the world you go.Newark is Exit 998.
    Adam Jones and Goldschmidt are making my nether regions stir. I really think J Up is the go to guy this year if he stays in Arizona.He’s got a chip the size of a Redwood tree on his shoulder.But if they trade him to a pitcher’s park he’ll be goof but not “Special” A little hating on the management is a great motivator.There goes the nether regions stirring again.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA! Nothing can’t be fixed by hating your boss…

  34. John says:
    (link)

    Dear January Grey –

    Before you turn into February Grey I need to get your keeper advice.

    I get 6 keepers. Who do you keep?

    I have as possible keepers:

    Miguel Cabrera (1)
    Evan Longoria (2)
    Justin Upton (4)
    Starlin Castro (7)
    Giancarlo Stanton (4)
    Anthony Rizzo (15)
    Buster Posey (12)
    Matt Moore (8)
    Aroldis Chapman (15)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Miggy, Upton, Giancarlo, Posey, Aroldis, Castro… Nice keepers…

  35. DansUggla says:
    (link)

    (I posted this on Sky’s thread, to show him some love and ask for his opinion as well)

    What Would Grey Do?

    Early-early-season trade help:

    Standard12 team 5×5, h2h, $260, C,1b,2b,3b,ss,CI,MI,OF,OF,OF,OF,OF,Util, 9 P, 3 Bench (With 6 held on a minor league roster)

    Which Side: (Keeper Price for THIS year)

    A. Gets Goldschmidt ($14) and Gerrit Cole

    B. Gets Votto ($37) and Jackie Bradley (OF, Bos)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      A

  36. Random Collmenter says:
    (link)

    Get to keep 8. Definitely keeping Miggy in 1st, Prince in 2nd, and Cano in 3rd. (psyched to own 3 players in your top 7!).

    Need to pick FIVE more of these, and TWO need to be pitchers.

    Tulo (4)
    Lee (5) (or 4 if I don’t keep Tulo)
    Heyward (7)
    Beltre (9)
    Matt Moore (22)
    Chris Sale (23)
    Machado (25)

    I think I gotta keep J-Hey since he’s my only outfielder, but other than that I’m torn. Your three cents would be appreciated! Thanks January Grey.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Heyward, Tulo, Moore, Sale, Beltre…

  37. The Fridge says:
    (link)

    Keeper time – 14 team auction. Please pick 4 of these keepers for next year:

    Sale – 5
    Miggy – 50
    Medlen – 13
    Jennings – 14
    Posey – 20
    Rizzo – 11

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ugh, not easy choices… I’d lose Miggy and Medlen…

      • The Fridge says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I can see losing Medlen but I had Miggy as a lock – paid $47 for him last year and consider $50 to the going rate in my league for “He of 3 Coronas”….Does it make a difference if I tell you it’s an OBP / QS league?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          If you really want him, then I’d lose Sale for him… $50’s a lot of money and I usually don’t like to spend more than $30, let alone $50…

  38. MAOooohLaLa says:
    (link)

    in my humble opinion (AKA not grey’s) I’d go forward with Heyward, Machado, Moore, Tulo, Sale. Tulo in the 4th isnt great but IF (that’s a big if, literally capitalized) he stays healthy he provides awesome return at a shallow position. Maybe swap Lee for Sale since Sale’s arm is going to fall off and Lee has been extremely consistent since his trip to AAA a while back. Beltre is tantalizing, too, so you have a decision to make between him and the upside of Machado. Based on the fact that you must keep two pitchers, Moore is a no-brainer. Could be looking at huge numbers post-hype…heyward also seems (to me) to be a no brainer. . More info would be needed on the league structure to finetune the selection, however.

    • MAOooohLaLa says:
      (link)

      @MAOooohLaLa: beat me to the punch there, G.

      • MAOooohLaLa says:
        (link)

        @MAOooohLaLa: and this was all directed to RandomCollmenter, to clarify. Shabby posting. Yikes.

  39. Bill Lumbergh says:
    (link)

    @Grey: Cannot wait for the season to start, as I’ve already got a trade offer in my 12 team dynasty league (roto)… Trade my Allen Craig for his Austin Jackson? Triples is a scoring cat. Thx!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I like it…

  40. Brickroad says:
    (link)

    @Grey : Great job on the new site, looks awesome.

    Looking for a little help on keepers. 12 team 5×5 standard roto league with following rules on keepers (max of 8, don’t have to keep anyone, players acquired keep there original draft positon unless dropped to FA):

    Top 4 rounds: Can keep a maximum of 2 of these players (counting as rounds 1 and 2, if only one guy is kept then he is your first, if you decide to keep 0 then you will be able to draft from all the available players in rounds 1 and 2)
    Rounds 5-10: Each player moves up 1 round
    Rounds 11- 24: Each player moves up 2 rounds
    FA pickup: any player that was on FA (regardless of what round they were drafted in) will count as a round 20 pick, if you keep 3 of them they are your round 18, 19, 20 picks

    Final 2012 roster:
    Norichika Aoki (FA)
    Allen Craig (FA)
    Coco Crisp (FA)
    Michael Cuddyer (r7)
    Ryan Doumit (FA)
    Jacoby Ellsbury (r1)
    Adrian Gonzalez (r1)
    Carlos Gonzalez (r2)
    Manny Machado (FA)
    David Ortiz (r10)
    Brandon Phillips (r5)
    Martin Prado (r13)
    Jose Reyes (r3)
    Dan Uggla (r6)

    Brett Anderson (FA)
    Rafael Betancourt (r11)
    Chris Capuano (FA)
    Mike Fiers (FA)
    Roy Halladay (r2)
    Cole Hamels (r4)
    Casey Janssen (FA)
    James McDonald (FA)
    Jason Motte (r14)
    J.J. Putz (r11)
    Daniel Straily (FA)
    C.J. Wilson (r8)

    I know this is a lot, so any help would be greatly appreciated. Also, I’ve been offered Justin Upton (r1) for my 14th round pick (i.e. I get to keep him instead of another top 4 on my roster) and Goldschmidt (r8) for my 5th rounder (so I’d give away my 5th and get him as my 7th). Liking the value in the trade offers and considering pulling the trigger. Thoughts? Thank you.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! I’d take Upton and Goldy…

      • Brickroad says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Yeah I’m almost for sure going to take those trades. The free agents are ones I’m mostly struggling with if you had to choose up to 5 (don’t have to keep) for my 15-20 round picks, who would you choose.

        Norichika Aoki (FA)
        Allen Craig (FA)
        Coco Crisp (FA)
        Manny Machado (FA)
        Chris Capuano (FA)
        Mike Fiers (FA)
        Casey Janssen (FA)
        James McDonald (FA)
        Daniel Straily (FA)
        Ryan Doumit (FA)

        Thanks agian!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Aoki, Craig, Straily, Machado, Fiers…

  41. steve b says:
    (link)

    Grey is A Gon a real 31 years old or a spanish 31 years old.My mama told me theres a difference.She said she learned from our spanish gardner when she bent over to pick a tulip

  42. Jack Full of Hate says:
    (link)

    not sure if I like billy moobies better than gonzo, but i get it. I really like the omission of Posey from the top 20. i thought he had that career type year that went along with how well his team played, you know out of their skulls. I’m still not even sure he was the MVP last year, but what do I know, i didn’t think harper deserved ROY.

  43. JP says:
    (link)

    This is great Grey.

    Aside from the Goldschmidt rank, which has been covered already in previous comments, what surprised me the most what not seeing your 2012 man crush, Giancarlo. What gives?

  44. Stooler says:
    (link)

    Love your work.
    Not a moment too sion, either.
    I was wondering what you’d think about Jones. Is Heyward close or is the difference more than a round of value?

    I need some advice:
    I’m in a standard 10 team yahoo 5×5 scoring league. We have 4 keepers plus a rookie that can be kept for three seasons in the rookie slot. I currently have Pujols, Braun, Kemp, and Bautista with Jesus Montero as the rookie. With giving up Kemp I can add Price and also Harper as my new rookie. I’m thinking about it. Would you do that?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Heyward’s close… Sounds decent…

      • Stooler says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks.
        My bet is Harper becomes a beast. Equal in beastliness to Trout with less SBs and more long ball. Anything in his stats that stand out to you?

  45. GrandOlePal says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! Which two should I keep? 4 keeper league, 12 team h2h, 3 OF 1 Utl

    Keeping Trout ($10) Goldschmidt ($1)

    Butler ($7)

    Kipnis ($1)

    Reyes ($30)

    D. Jennings ($15)

    Bumgarner ($20)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Kipnis, Butler…

  46. tenaciousdeucer says:
    (link)

    2013 Projections: 84/29/104/.274/12

    Doesn’t look like a #19 overall stat line from a 1B. Looks like Laroche plus 10 SB.

    Gotta say I’d take a top SS over that 1B line and also over Kinsler. Prolly even take BJ Upton before Goldshmidt.

  47. Whiskey Diet says:
    (link)

    Was going down the page one player at a time and spit coffee onto my iPad when I saw Goldschmidt that high. And yet I think it’s awesome. Surprising though. Can you mail me ~$250 so I can get this thing fixed? I’ll make a donation, I promise.

    Great read Grey. I’ll be back every day from now through Sept. Or until you croak. Or shut down the site after one too many ‘how’s this team I just mock drafted?’ questions in mid Feb.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA! Thanks…

  48. Baron Von Vulturewins

    Baron Von Vulturewins says:
    (link)

    I’m in a three-player keeper league for the first time and you’re killing me by ranking my 4th best player (Adam Jones) at #13. DON’T YOU UNDERSTAND I CAN’T KEEP HIM? HAVE YOU NOT BEEN LISTENING TO A WORD I’VE SAID?

    If you’d swapped him with Justin Upton and put him at #10 I’d be dead right now. Inside a cold, cold grave.

    Anyhoo, thanks for the rankings. Makes the blood pump, knowing pretend-baseball is coming back.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Why can’t you keep him? Why did no one file this info for me?

      • Baron Von Vulturewins

        Baron Von Vulturewins says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I’m keeping Dread Pirate, Pujols, and Giancarlo Stanton. I know: EMBARRASSMENT OF RICHES.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Geez, to complain there just isn’t right, but if only you could keep Jones too… Alas…

  49. birrrdy! says:
    (link)

    Grey, how far has Ryan Zimmerman fallen in your eyes? I’ve got a potential 1-for-1 trade to get him ($24) for Cliff Lee ($27) in my 5×5, 10 team, NL only auction ($300) w/8 keepers (13 hitters, 10 pitchers total w/1C, 5OFs, 3U).

    You gave me previous keeper advice here:
    http://razzball.com/matt-harvey-2013-fantasy-outlook/#comment-1884367

    and my current plan was to go with Wright $31, Strasburg $30, Hanley $28, The Adverb $27, Marte $22, Crawford $19, Lincecum $16 and either Minor $8/Santana $6/Taveras $1.

    Zims would give me some much needed additional power, but would add another 3B to my mix. Oh, and with those prices (either way), I only have about $120 left for my draft, with incoming guys like Shin Choo and B.J. Upton probably going for around $50+. thx!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d go Zimmerman over Wright, but you’re trading a pitcher for a 3rd baseman which you already have? Trade Lee for a top guy at a different position…

      • birrrdy! says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I would like to say I could, but the best I’ll get for Lee is someone like Rickey Weeks at 2B for $22, or maybe an Ike Davis at 1B for $19 or Cuddyer for $18. Folks in our keeper league are concerned about age, and The Adverb is now 34. I feel pretty confident that I could flip Zimmerman or Wright pretty easily for an A-Gon, Freeman or Goldschmidt, but those guys would not be available for Lee.

        With that in mind, yay or nay on the trade and then any subsequent flip recommendations? THANKS FOR ALL YOU DO, GREY!!!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Sure, if you can flip Wright for A-Gon or Goldy…

  50. Mac says:
    (link)

    Yo Grey

    I’m being offered David wright and Hanley Ramirez in exchange for Brett Lawrie and Troy Tulo.

    It’s an 8 team 5 X 5 Roto

    Would ya?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d take Wright…

  51. Jeff Z says:
    (link)

    Glad I could suck up your time Grey. I have a huge time waster just about done take even more of it.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Very nice!

  52. Ritchie Goldstein says:
    (link)

    Hi guys,
    It is never to early to think baseball so here is my first question
    of 2013:

    I play in a 10 team , mixed,H2H points league.
    We have a budget of $250.00 to build a team of 33 guys.
    We are allowed only 3 keepers from last years roster.
    We add $ 5.00 to their bid price from last year to keep them
    this year. So of the pool of guys listed below, which 3 would
    you keep ?

    THE GUYS: Jason Kipnis $6.00
    Joe Nathan $8.00
    Gio Gonzales $16.00
    Paul Goldschmidt $6.00
    Ryan Demptster $6.00
    Mike Moustakas $6.00
    Kubel $6.00

    Thanks,
    Ritch

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Goldy, Kipnis, Gio…

  53. Anthony says:
    (link)

    would you call me crazy if i took longo in the first round? I dunno I thinks this is is MVP year.

    • Anthony says:
      (link)

      @Anthony: would you call me crazy if i took longo in the first round? I dunno I thinks this is his MVP year

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You’d just be going on gut, and there’s no reason to get him in the first unless it’s a 12 team league and you’re picking last…

      • Anthony says:
        (link)

        longo is like my good luck charm , every year i’ve owned him I’ve won. honestly what is the fall off in value 5×5 roto H2H if i wait to get let’s say Zimmerman, is this to much of a risky move just to own my favorite player and still be competitive?

        • Anthony says:
          (link)

          @Anthony: 12 teams

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Zimmerman was better last year by a lot… Depends on Longo’s health… If he’s healthy, he’ll be great…

  54. Fungazi says:
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    Love the Goldy recognition. Everyone that owned him knows what he did after May. Seems like everything he touched was at least a double. A little more power & luck, 40 bombs would not surprise me..

  55. David Bowies Nephnew says:
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    College kids on the green. Love it (gay old guy with no teeth voice).

  56. Darin McGee says:
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    G – Who do you like better in a die-nasty format? Goldie (1b Ariz) or Myers? I was 100% sure until your top 20 came out

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      For 2013? I like Goldie…

  57. Jay29 says:
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    Grey, I think one reason Adam Jones had so few RBIs last year for a 3rd/4th hitter was because of how often he was hitting behind JJ Hardy and his .280 OBP. If they stick with Hardy in the top third of the order, Jones is still going to struggle to reach 100 RBIs in 2013. Now, if they go with something like McLouth-Markakis-Wieters-Jones, I think he’ll have no problem hitting 100.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, that’s definitely the reason, no doubt about it…

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