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The other day we went over the top 20 catchers for 2009 and today we look at the top 20 1st basemen for 2009 fantasy baseball. This was after going over our top 10 for 2009 fantasy baseball and top 20 for 2009 fantasy baseball.  All this can be found in the 2009 fantasy baseball rankings page.  This top 20 list could probably go to 40 and still have worthwhile names on it, so after we go through all the top 20 lists for every position, maybe I’ll add some more.  Is this the 28th day of Christmas or some shizz?  No, I’m just real giving like Bono and Chris Tucker on an Africa trip.  As with the catchers, the first basemen are broken up into tiers.  Also, there’s some guys below other guys that I want more. They’re below on this list because they can be drafted later than the other schmohawks.  Also, check out our 2009 Fantasy Baseball Player Rater.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 1st basemen for 2009 fantasy baseball and 2009 projections:

1. Albert Pujols – See the top 10 for 2009 fantasy baseball post for Albert Pujols’s projections.

2. Miguel Cabrera – See the top 10 for 2009 fantasy baseball post for Miguel Cabrera’s projections.

3. Ryan Howard – See the top 10 for 2009 fantasy baseball post for Ryan Howard’s projections.

4. Mark Teixeira – See the top 20 for 2009 fantasy baseball post for Mark Teixeira’s projections.

5. Prince Fielder – See the top 20 for 2009 fantasy baseball post for Prince Fielder’s projections.

6. Lance Berkman – See the top 20 for 2009 fantasy baseball post for Lance Berkman’s projections.

7. Justin Morneau – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here to Votto.  I call this tier, “If you didn’t get one the 1st basemen in the first tiers, you better get one in this tier.”  I prefer a guaranteed 30 home run hitter from my 1st baseman, so I tend to miss Morneau.  And that’s not miss as in “long for.”  2009 Projections:  90/27/115/.285

8. Adrian Gonzalez – Imagine Adrian Gonzalez traded out of Petco.  Ah… Dare to dream. (Speaking of dreams, I had this dream where there’s two unicorns having sex and right before one… becomes satisfied, he practices the withdrawal method and does his business on a giant, oversized toothbrush.  And, in my home, that’s how toothpaste became known as unicorn jizz.  But I digress.)  2009 Projections:  85/34/95/.280

9. Kevin Youkilis –  Morneau is very close to Youuuuuk and the former goes way before him.  (Is it just me, or does former and latter always trip you up?)  2009 Projections:  95/25/110/.295

10. Joey Votto – I already went over why Votto’s a 2009 fantasy sleeper.  This doesn’t mean he’s going to outproduce the top guys on this list, but I could see Votto taking Berkman’s spot at number six for 2010.  I’m a big believer.  2009 Projections:  85/28/100/.300/12

11. Derrek Lee – This a new tier.  This tier goes from here to Carlos Pena.  I call this tier, “For better or worse, you know what you’re getting with these guys.”  Derrek Lee has played in 150+ games in 7 of the past 8 years and besides 2005 when he hit 46 home runs, he’s never really showed much power.  When I was writing this up, I was looking at how Derrek Lee’s career has taken shape and I realized something.  In 2009, Lee’s going to be 33 years old for the majority of the season and he’s not putting together a HOF career.  For some reason, I thought he was a much better player stat-wise.  This was really a personal observation that didn’t have much to do with fantasy baseball.  Carry on.  2009 Projections:  95/22/90/.295/8

12. Garrett Atkins – The Holliday trade to the A’s hurts Atkins value too.  And, frankly, for the last three years, Atkins was hurting his own value.  He’s gone from 29 to 25 to 21 home runs since 2006.  If you were taking the SATs, the next number in that sequence would be 17.  His slugging percentage has been following suit, as well.  The way Atkins is headed, he’s going to need 2nd base eligibility to have any value by 2010.   2009 Projections:  80/24/90/.290

13. Carlos Delgado – Delgado could be the poster boy for someone who won’t exceed expectations in 2009.  I almost put Delgado above Atkins, cause I think he might outproduce Atkins, but then I thought about if I were drafting and whether I would draft Delgado before Atkins.  I wouldn’t.  2009 Projections:  80/31/110/.260

14. Carlos Pena – Here’s the last guy in this tier of boring guys.  I don’t think guys in this tier will be on many 1st place teams in September.  2009 Projections:  75/32/95/.265

15. Chris Davis – Now we’re in a new tier.  This tier goes from here to Cantu.  I call this tier, “Too interesting to be in the above tier, but too risky as well.”  Everyone and Voletta Wallace is going after Chris Davis in 2009 fantasy drafts.  I added my own hype when I posted, Chris Davis, 2009 Fantasy Sleeper.  Okay, sleeper my coolie hole.  Not after Bill James gave him MVP projections.  2009 Projections:   75/30/95/.275/3

16. Jorge Cantu – He’s showed that he can be absolutely worthless for entire seasons so I’d be careful about making Cantu your 1st baseman, but, as a corner man, you can do much worse.  He’s also going to be the magical 27-years-old in 2009.  (An age when hitters supposedly peak and porn stars hopefully retire.)  2009 Projections:  80/25/90/.270/5

17. Aubrey Huff – Now we’re in a new one person tier.  Let’s call this tier, “Guys Named Aubrey Huff.”  In 2008, Huff outperformed about ten of the names listed above him here.  Whatevs.  I wouldn’t draft him on any team and couldn’t, in good conscience or while conscious, tell you he should go in the top ten.  2009 Projections:  75/22/75/.280

18. Mike Jacobs – This last tier, goes from here to Jackson.  I call this tier, “Late fliers.”  Jacobs’s average in 2008 of .247 was actually a little bit worse than it should’ve been.  He’s more of a .260 hitter.  I know, big whoop.  Well, it’s a small enough whoop to make him intriguing late in a draft.  Though the Royals situation is a bit murky with their seventeen 1B/DHs.  2009 Projections:  65/28/75/.260

19. Nick Swisher – Is Swisher going to be a doughy bagel, i.e., a top ten performer?  Nah, you just got carried away with yourself.  I see a small keep-expectations-in-check rebound coming after a dreadful 2008.  He’s ranked 19th, but he could exceed this ranking.  2009 Projections:  70/30/80/.255

20. Conor Jackson –  Conor Jackson almost equals Derrek Lee.  Cust kayin’.  2009 Projections:  85/17/85/.300/10

After the top 20 1st basemen for 2009 fantasy baseball, there’s a lot of names but two stand out:

Carlos Guillen – Sure, C. Guile is sneaky fast, which am0unts to, like, 10 steals.  At 1st base, I’d actually prefer Huff.  2009 Projections:  80/14/80/.300/10

James Loney – Since I’m such a Pollyanna, I’m going to leave you on a positive note.  Loney is a cheap-as-dog-balls Derrek Lee with some slight upside.  No, Loney didn’t pay me to say that.  Don’t expect too much from Loney and you might be pleasantly surprised.  2009 Projections:  75/17/85/.295/7

  1. Eric W says:
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    still pushing the “doughy bagel” hard I see
    In a shallow 3b pool you got to love youk huff and Davis third base eligibility

  2. big o says:
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    mock drafters are , perhaps , the dregs of fantasy baseball society .
    recent mocks have davis and votto (mostly in that order) going in rounds 6 – 8 , and always within a few picks of each other . both picks qualify as “reaches” in relation to current ADP .

    the 2nd Razzball Slow Mock Draft can be accessed in the forum .
    this may very well be the last one of the pre-season .
    some spots still available .
    choose your draft position soon .
    draft starts 1/24 @ 9pm

  3. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:
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    I love how this article is all “HEY GOOGLE, LOOK AT ME” and such.

    @big o: Agree with you that Mockers are reaching for Votto and Davis, too. I started to feel that way when I noticed Delgado starting to fall to the 11th after he was being drafted as early as the 6th-7th round in November.

    i love your
    writing style,
    big o.
    i
    feel like i’m
    reading
    an ee cummings
    poem

  4. big o says:
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    some concessions have been made , iowa.
    certain capital letters.
    and to appease that mustachioed guy , an attempt
    to place periods (.) closer to the last written word.
    further compromises have been made ,
    but attempts to eliminate the use of the word “i” ,
    altogether , sometimes fail.
    apologies to those offended.

    am reminded , by some writers , of alfalfa (spanky’s friend …”our gang”) gargling in front of a mirror , and singing
    “me me me me , me me “.
    (perhaps that is not spelled correctly)

  5. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Eric W: Doughy bagel is not sweeping the US like I first imagined when me and my focus group came up with the phrase.

    re: Huff — I wouldn’t be loving Huff anywhere.

    @IowaCubs: @IowaCubs: I’d be slightly worried about Delgado’s fly ball rate dropping last year. If he hits 28 home runs and a .255 average, it’s a lot different than 38 home runs and .270.

  6. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:
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    @Grey: I guess I’m just concerned that I’d have to reach in to the 6th round to grab Votto. I rarely consider taking Delgado. I usually try and draft a top 5 1B in the first two rounds.

  7. DUDE….how am I supposed to brush my teeth now. All I’ll think about is Unicorns and that’s SO wrong.

  8. Sal Rosenberg says:
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    I find that Colgate uses the unicorns who make the tastiest “toothpaste.” They must feed them asparagus or something. Mmmmm.

  9. Tony Y says:
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    Unicorns aside… You rank Votto and Derek Lee side by side. I’ve gotten into discussion about people taking LEE before Votto multiple times. Votto’s going up, Lee’s going down? I take Votto EVERY TIME and probably a round or TWO after LEE?

    Yet somehow I keep getting ‘tude when i mention it in a mock, well at least from ONE donkey i do…. Votto for president in 09

  10. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Tony Y: Votto is indeed going up, but Lee is probably going horizontal. Also, it’s going to be hard for him to win the presidency in ’09.

  11. martin1 says:
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    1B is odd this year. youk isn’t appealing if he reverts back to his old power #’s. outside of your top 8 who will all be off the board in round 5, I don’t feel very comfortable with any of those guys.

    when do you start to consider drafting votto or davis? is there a problem with taking votto/davis in the 6th/7th? If you miss out on them here and have yet to draft a 1B, you could be in real trouble.

    if 6th/7th is way too early, what hitters do you consider taking around that area? (can you trust mclouth? chris young? pence? etc)

    (i’ve been having some trouble drafting and sorting out 5th-8th round so far)

  12. martin1 says:
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    looks like someone else already uses martin, lol

  13. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @martin1: First off, I changed your name to Martin1, so to not confuse you with the other Martin. If you want a different commenting name, go for it. Votto in the 6th round is early, but you need to draft the team that is going to win. If you don’t have a 1st baseman or a Corner guy by the 6th round then it’s a move you may want to do. 1st base/Corner is a key spot, you should reach for one of these guys more so than say a catcher or a MI.

  14. @Grey: President of the Hair Club for men???

  15. sean says:
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    OK, so it’s the seventh round on draft day and I haven’t been able to get a quality 1B yet. Problem is that everyone through Davis, save for Delgado, has been taken….

    Team looks like
    Reyes
    Utley
    Markakis
    Rios
    Chipper
    McLouth

    Do I stack the OF and go for a Dunn type since I’ve missed out on a power 1B? Do I look to pick up power from a scarce position like MI/C?

    I would think Dunn+CJack/Loney > Huff/Delgado+(usual suspect 4th OF — Milton Bradley perhaps…)

  16. @sean: You’re in a tough spot. I don’t like going 6 rounds w/o a 1B or any pitchers (though I love McLouth in the 6th round). I’d hold off for a round or two on 1B and start grabbing SPs. I like Delgado and D-Lee better than Chris Davis at this point though Davis can move to 3B when Chipper inevitably would get hurt…Plus, you’ve got Dunn and Pena still on the board so you’re not going to get shut out.

  17. sean says:
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    @rudy: i was trying to give a hypo where the players i selected would be good enough to convince you that i coudn’t/didn’t take a 1B yet… I try to establish power corners early, but this example isn’t out of the possibilities, especially if you get in a spot where you take Reyes and then a guy like Utley is available second round…

  18. Steve says:
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    Any thought given to noting where you expect these guys to be drafted? The ones outside the overall top 20 I mean.

  19. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Which guys? Guys not listed? Like Konerko? Or the guys right after the top 20, like C. Guile? The top 20 list takes you to about 175 to 200 overall.

  20. Steve says:
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    @Grey: You actually kinda started to cover it with Martin. Pretty much anyone on the list outside the top tier I guess.

  21. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: It’s really about your team as you draft it. If there’s a 1st basemen run and Atkins is staring at you in the 5th, you might have to reach. I wouldn’t recommend it, but it’s a draft to draft situation. Atkins shouldn’t really be drafted before the 6th round or after the 9th, but you never know.

  22. Steve says:
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    Sorry – meant to preface my original comment with “I know every draft is different, but… ”
    You and Martin1 have almost covered it for me though.

  23. BigFatHippo says:
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    @Grey: @Steve: All this mocking is driving me nuts, bring on baseball!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Two weeks before we see another football game, months before baseball starts, I’m left with one option………..Baseball movies.

    Watched Field of Dreams for the fifteenth time tonight, gonna watch Major League tomorrow night. Again!

    How about Grey and Rudy’s top ten baseball movie list between now and March?

  24. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @BigFatHippo: I’d like to add three more exclamation marks on that. Seriously, pitchers and catchers report already.

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