Don't be shellfish...FacebookTwitterGoogle+

After drudging through an Andy Dufresne-type tunnel for the top 20 catchers for 2012 fantasy baseball, I find myself with a group that actually really hurt or helped your team depending on how you drafted. If you went wrong with your 1st baseman, it could kill your season.  Hey, Eric Hosmer, no hard feelings from me.  We are totally fine.  Please enjoy these cyanide pills I made special for you.  If you went right, you might’ve won your league.  To recap, this final ranking is from our Fantasy Baseball Player Rater with my comments.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 1st basemen for 2012 fantasy baseball and how they compared to where I originally ranked them:

1. Miguel Cabrera – You know that famous picture of Babe Ruth with a crown and a cigar?  That reminds me of Bill Clinton… Oh, and Miguel Cabrera.  It’s funny (which is to say not funny at all), players who seem the least aware of anything are the ones that seem to be the most talented.  It’s idiot savant syndrome and Miggy’s got it spades.  Preseason Rank #1, 2012 Projections:  105/32/115/.325/3, Final Numbers: 109/44/139/.330/4

2. Edwin Encarnacion – I went back and looked at my final fantasy rankings for 2011 and then started playing Final Fantasy and forgot what the hell I was doing.  Then I remembered why I was looking at last year’s rankings.  I was wondering if this Edwin showing was the most out of nowhere 1st baseman season ever.  No, it probably wasn’t.  I’m sure no one saw a 35-year-old Al Oliver coming out of nowhere in 1982, but this is the most out of nowhere 1st baseman season in the last year.  At 29 years old, Edwin surpassed his previous homer career high by his previous season’s home run total…Oh, about 40 more RBIs than his previous career high, almost doubled his previous career high in steals and he officially made Dwayne Murphy the first guy who should be inducted into the Hall of Fame as a hitting coach.  You can sit there, and I am assuming you are sitting, and say that I didn’t come close to predicting his season and then told you to sell him mid-way through this season, but you’re a damn liar if you say you saw this season coming.  Preseason Ranked #21 for 3rd basemen, 2012 Projections:  60/20/70/.255/3, Final Numbers: 93/42/110/.280/13

3. Prince Fielder - It’s the man behind Saberhagenmetrics.  Next year it’s a lock he’s going to hit 40 homers or my name isn’t Grey Pablo Albright.  In the end, he, uh, ended giving more homers than his usual even year down season, but next year you can guarantee 40+ homers.  Preseason Rank #5, 2012 Projections:  100/37/115/.280, Final Numbers:  83/30/108/.313/1

4. Albert Pujols – When was the last time we had anything to say about Pujols in a year end rankings?  Not since his rookie year.  Because never before did he cause any stress.  He used to be your shadow on your ten birthday.  You know, when your shadow was still fun and carrying around your balloons and not complaining about it being cold.  When Pujols had 0 homers and a .217 average at the end of April, did any of us think we’d see Pujols ranked this high at the end of the year?  Ponder that over a nice sifter of flour.  Or snifter of brandy.  I always confuse those two.  Preseason Rank #2, 2012 Projections:  100/35/110/.305/7, Final Numbers:  85/30/105/.285/8

5. Buster Posey - Went over Posey in the top 20 catchers for 2012 fantasy baseball.

6. Billy Butler – He filled out a C-cup before he filled out as a power-hitting 1st baseman, but he looks like he’s finally there.  At 26 years old, he obviously just hit puberty late like Andy Milonakis.  Preseason Rank #15 1/2 (due to his eligibility he was a half ranking), 2012 Projections:   90/20/100/.300, Final Numbers:  72/29/107/.313/2

7. Joe Mauer - Went over Mauer in the top 20 catchers for 2012 fantasy baseball.

8. Adam LaRoche - On one hand, it’s surprising I didn’t rank him.  On the other hand, he’s exactly the kind of guy I never draft that Rudy likes — the boring late round draft pick that has no upside and just gives you the usual, solid if unspectacular stats.  On a third hand that is actually a candlestick wearing nail polish, at 32 years old, LaRoche had a near-career year, something no one could have expected.  On a side note, it seems like a theme running through the catchers and 1st basemen is a lot of vets had career years.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  76/33/100/.271/1

9. Paul Goldschmidt - And just as I mention the theme running through the first two recaps, we get a younger player who sorta made good on his promise.  I say sorta because he didn’t show great power, but showed more speed and average.  It was an odd season all around.  AuShizz never had double digit steals in any minor league season, so, of course, he goes steal-crazy.  For those that missed our Steve Garvey interview, Goldschmidt was the one guy Rudy and I agreed on that we are crazy excited about for next year.  Preseason Rank #20, 2012 Projections:   75/27/85/.245/7, Final Numbers:  82/20/82/.286/18

10. Adrian Gonzalez - A really odd season.  His HR/FB% fell off the map, but his ground ball rate went down (not literally) and his fly ball rate went up (literally).  Since when did A-Gon become A-Slap Hitter?  Since this year.  I’m finding it hard to believe at 30 years old, his power is gone.  I’m trying to keep this about last year and not next, but I expect a nice bounce back for A-Gon.*  *At the College of Fantasy Baseball at Charlestown, I took a class by Matthew Berry called “The Least Scientific You Are, The Easier It Is To Go Back On Anything You Say” 101.  So, I may not stick with the A-Gon bounce back when I really examine things in January.  Preseason Rank #6, 2012 Projections:   100/32/115/.275, Final Numbers: 75/18/108/.299/2

11. Adam Dunn – I’m pretty surprised he finished this high in the rankings.  Not just because I didn’t want any part of Dunn in the preseason, convinced he was finished, kaput, Dunn.  I’m surprised even after looking at his season-ending stats.  Even with a terrible 2nd half, Trumbo feels like he was better than him.  Hard to believe Dunn was even better than Konerko, even though the latter took an extended dump for about 3+ months.  This goes more to how poor the 1st basemen were.  If you had Buster Posey and Joe Mauer at catcher and 1st base, you were better off than Paul Konerko and A-Gon.  Wrap your prosciutto around that melon.  Preseason Rank #28, 2012 Projections:  55/22/80/.220, Final Numbers:  87/41/96/.204/2

12. Mark Trumbo – In my projections, I went out of my way to include the plate appearances because I wasn’t sure if he would see the necessary time in the lineup.  An early season hot streak gave Scioscia all the help he needed to get Trumbo in the lineup.  Unfortch, with the 2nd half swoon Trumbo put together, you’re looking at a guy who was tenuous at best and another SAT word at worst for the last few months.  Preseason Rank #19, 2012 Projections:   60/25/75/.260/7 (in 500 PAs), Final Numbers:  66/32/95/.268/4

13. Freddie Freeman – I didn’t like him when I put him in the rankings last year and he did close to what I thought he would, but — and this is a J. Lo-sized but — there’s no offense anywhere.  Bring back steroids, you Puritanical bastards!  I really thought the only way Freeman could end up in the top 13 overall is if a college board saw his name and gave him an affirmative action boost then he took C. Thomas Howell Soul Man pills.  Preseason Rank #24, 2012 Projections:   60/19/75/.280/3, Final Numbers: 91/23/94/.259/2

14. Paul Konerko – The last time Konerko had a year that was this bad everyone thought it was the end of a fine career.  But also in that year, Grady Sizemore looked like he was going to be a Hall of Famer, so there’s that.  Preseason Rank #7, 2012 Projections:   85/29/100/.290, Final Numbers: 66/26/75/.298

15. Chris Davis – FWIWuertz, and it should be Wuertz something if you’re reading this, Davis was ranked 20th as of mid-September.  Potatoes to chips, the takeaway there is a two good weeks boosted you five spots in 1st basemen rankings.  BTW, I just thought of a good Indian restaurant name, “The World Went And Got Itself In A Big Damn Curry.”  Take it, our one Indian reader.  It’s yours.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  75/33/85/.270/2

16. Ike Davis – Sticking with the Davis theme, Ike was probably one of those guys that gave you fits this year.  If you carried him through his miserable 1st half, there’s a good chance you didn’t like him, even after his respectable 2nd half.  If you dropped him during his tough stretch, there’s an even better chance you hate him.  Preseason Rank #18, 2012 Projections:   85/22/90/.280, Final Numbers: 66/32/90/.227

17. Garrett Jones – Wanna know how weird a year it was for offense?  Look no further.  I mean, look back at Garrett Jones ranked 17th, then continue on otherwise you’re just going to be staring at this one spot until someone tries to stick smelling salts under your nose or admit you to De Niro’s hospital from Awakenings.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  68/27/86/.274/2

18. Mark Teixeira – In the preseason, I told you Mark Teixeira was overrated.  I had no clue he would go out and have this awful of a year.  Him and A-Gon combined for the same amount of homers as Edwin Encarnacion.  Now I feel like Marvin in Pulp Fiction cause my mind’s blown.  Preseason Rank #6, 2012 Projections:   100/35/110/.260, Final Numbers: 66/24/84/.251/2

19. Kendrys Morales – Ding, ding, ding!  Morales wins the award for closest to my preseason projections and rankings.  For this I win nothing, but lost something when I was wrong about Hosmer.  Preseason Rank #21, 2012 Projections:   65/22/75/.290, Final Numbers:  61/22/73/.273

20. Joey Votto – He had zero post-All-Star Break homers.  That’s zilch, nada, bupkis.  Sure, we can write that off as he had knee surgery, but don’t even make me pop a boner over here telling you who also had knee surgery in the middle of the year and hit more than zero homers.  Preseason Rank #3, 2012 Projections:  100/30/110/.315/10, Final Numbers: 59/14/56/.337/5

73 Responses

  1. Steve says:
    (link)

    Butler was the best 1B I had? Oh dear.

    BTW, came THIS close last night to posting the comment that hope was not lost for the A’s – they still had Valverde…

    You gotta figure that they’ll find Verlander pretty tough to beat, but what the f*** do I know?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Steve, Wow, when you say it like that, it really hurts… The best 1st basemen I owned anywhere was Konerko. They just need to get Verlander out by the 8th and let in Valverde.

  2. MC Hammer says:
    (link)

    No allen craig on this list? He qualifies at OF but plays most of his games at 1B. ESPN has him as the #10 1B, and extrapolated to a full season he wouldve had prince fielder’s numbers.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @MC Hammer, He’s not in the Player Rater for 1st baseman. This is a recap. This is for last year.

  3. Scott Luke says:
    (link)

    Votto at #20??? Clown rank bro

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Scott Luke, This is a recap. This is for last year.

  4. NYCS10011 says:
    (link)

    Finally got my first place winnings and I owe you for all the help. I believe in tithing to my Fantasy Baseball gods so this Daiquiris is for you.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @NYCS10011, Congrats and thanks!

  5. Grey's da man! says:
    (link)

    Why is it so much more boring to watch baseball in October than in June? Oh yeah, no more fantasy baseball!

    What do you think Grey, Tigers or A’s???

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Grey’s da man!, Rooting for the A’s… Gotta go with the underdog, no? How about you?

      • Grey's da man! says:
        (link)

        @Grey, Definitely rooting for the A’s, I just don’t see them beating Verlander. If I were a betting man, I could see a Tigers First 5 innings bet paired with an A’s ML. As long as Verlander doesn’t go the distance I could see that happening!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          We need to all form a prayer square for the A’s…

  6. Nelson Santovenia says:
    (link)

    Where do you think Rizzo will end up ranked next year? Just pro-rating his stats would probably have had him about 8 or 9 this year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Nelson Santovenia, Rizzo will be around a top ten guy next year… A few of the guys that are in the 7 to 12 range won’t be staying there…

  7. VinWins

    VinWins says:
    (link)

    The Player Rater misses Allen Craig as a 1B. I believe he would rank after Freeman.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @VinWins, Yeah, misses his eligibility… I just told Rudy to add him…

  8. Nate says:
    (link)

    Grey: Would you say your overall player projections for 2011 were better/ more accurate than for 2012?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Nate, Projections feel more accurate this year, rankings feel slightly off.

  9. Eng says:
    (link)

    Already doing the 2013 rankings; this is what makes Grey the motherfucken’ boss.

  10. Eng says:
    (link)

    Oops, I meant 2012. You get my point. Off-season work is appreciated by the computer-bound no end.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha… No problem….

  11. Sky

    Sky says:
    (link)

    Yeah man, get my sleeper Craig on this list! And I do mean mine. Right up there with my Rosario one but miles above my Russ Canzler one

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thursday morning quarterback!

      • Sky

        Sky says:
        (link)

        @Grey, hey, I’m the Wuh-wuh-wuh-Waterboy and don’t you forget it!

  12. Justin says:
    (link)

    Price or Hamels in a keeper league?

    h2h 16 team league. QS and L count.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Price

      • Justin says:
        (link)

        @Grey,

        any particular reasoning why? They are damn close in talent just wondering what gives price the edge.

        Thanks for taking the time as always :)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          He’s trending up in his career and Hamels has nowhere to go but down…

  13. Jordan73 says:
    (link)

    I took a chance this year and drafted Hosmer at 1B instead of securing a surer bet. I still get teary-eyed thinking back on the day Posey gained that sweet, sweet 1B eligibility.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I was right there with you, unfortunately…

      • Dick Hertzer says:
        (link)

        @Grey, thoughts on Hosmer for ’13?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Probably will come at a nice discount and be worth gambling on… Will go over him deeper into the offseason..:

  14. letsgobravos says:
    (link)

    Does does Dusty know this is game 5? Leaving Latos out there after he’s already given up 2 runs and several hits…

  15. letsgobravos says:
    (link)

    …and literally right as I hit “submit”, Posey hits a Granny to make it a 6-0 lead. WTF was Dusty thinking? That’s got to be some of the worst playoff managing of all time to not go to the pen there…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ouch…

  16. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    Would you want to be anywhere besides the OdotCo tonight? Living the dream, A’s fans.

    • letsgobravos says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve, That place should be rocking. You would think the A’s would pull the tarps off the upper deck and open up another 10k+ seats for the game…

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @letsgobravos, At this point we change nothing. Not socks, underwear, brand of toothpaste….

    • TheNewGuy says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve, They allow a small section of fans up there I saw for game 3, any reason why the whole deck isnt allowed like Bravo says? Really pulling for you guys against the Tigers, what a team sprit you have, plus would still rather face you than the Tigers in the ALCS! ;)

      • TheNewGuy says:
        (link)

        @TheNewGuy, Just watched the highlights of the game, great comeback!!

        Fitting it was off Valverde too, who has quietly been terrible all year and getting very lucky (as his fantasy owners will know).

      • OaktownSteve says:
        (link)

        @TheNewGuy, I’d be careful what you wish for. It’s still uphill with Verlander going today, but can you imagine the momentum if they win another 3 straight in Oaktown? Not a place anybody is going to want and play.

        • TheNewGuy says:
          (link)

          @OaktownSteve, Im English so the A’s games gonna be a 3am start for me. Definately watching the whole of the Yankees game but I might just stay up all night and watch baseball tonight (and call in sick tommorow). What a night of baseball ahead.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hell yeah… Have a great time… Want a full report…

    • Prezii says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve, hell yeah. Im nervous as hell already…

  17. TheNewGuy says:
    (link)

    Raul your so COOL!!! Unbelievable, how clutch is this guy!

    Sorry for the delayed reaction, game was on too late here in England so just watched the highlights back lol. He might not be a great player anymore, but MAN does this guy get some big hits.

    • TheNewGuy says:
      (link)

      @TheNewGuy, Just noticed he pinch hit for A-Rod late on. GREAT call Giradi, that mustve taken a hell of a lot of guts.

      A-Rod can’t be complaining after seeing the results, be interesting to see if he starts tonight.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, definitely came up big last night…

  18. TheNewGuy says:
    (link)

    Cincys not done yet…massive Bruuuccing going on now. Can he come through.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      And they’re done…

    • Chris says:
      (link)

      @Grey,

      Very cool stuff…and a big thanks to Vin for putting it together.

      I’m pretty shocked that someone drafted Encarnacion 124th overall. I guess at least 1 person sorta saw it his season coming? That or we have at least 1 raging Jays homer.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        A raging Jays boner… Yeah, kinda insane that someone drafted him there…

  19. royce! says:
    (link)

    What an epic bearded battle!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha… Yup!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Maybe they can throw Strasburg for 1 and a third tomorrow…

      • royce! says:
        (link)

        @Grey, Gio’s got this, man… Would be pretty ridiculous if the A’s advanced and the Nats did not, y’know, considering the Gio trade. Though I certainly like the Nats over the A’s for next year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’m still trying to wrap my proscuitto around my melon that the Giants beat the Reds… Giants and A’s World Series, but this time there’s an earthquake in Oakland, leaving Bubb Rubb the only one with working electricity… And people find him in the dark from his whistling…

          • Prezii says:
            (link)

            @Grey, bubb rubbs makes millions as he powers america with his whistle tip! Hahaha

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Romney and Obama, “One thing we agree on, thank God for Bubb Rubb.”

              • Prezii says:
                (link)

                @Grey, as a matter of fact…. Bubb rubb for president! No?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Oh, great idea… Whistle if you want Bubb Rubb… Verlander’s dealing right now, btw… Gonna be tough for your A’s…

                  • Prezii says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey, i know im stressed off my rocker right now.. i thought it was over last night but these guys just never say die. Its a lovely thing for a team.. but i think you just jinxed verlander! Do it again!!

                    • Prezii says:
                      (link)

                      @Prezii, ahh.. nevermind.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, it’s not getting better… Well, it was a good run…

                    • Prezii says:
                      (link)

                      @Grey, verlander too strong. It was a very good run! Still sucks to see it end though..

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, he would’ve beat any team tonight…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You gotta watch the Tribe Called Quest documentary… Really excellent…

  20. Chris J says:
    (link)

    Rather wordy for Edwin Encarnacion. Could have just said PEDs.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha… And that.

  21. Chris says:
    (link)

    A’s season looks just about….OVAH! Damn shame.

    Meanwhile, the O’s have gotten themselves yet another 1 run lead to probably blow.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Uh-oh, Jim Johnson…

  22. what's a recap i'm dumb says:
    (link)

    where’s player i really like??? why come other player i like is ranked so low?? fuck this, i’ma go chew on some batteries.

  23. Vacation says:
    (link)

    Grey, if you’re still responding to comments to this post, I’m looking for early 1B projections for next year so that I can declare my keepers. How do you rank the following players and which, if any, do you see primed for a breakout that makes them a top5-10 1B? Thanks.

    Rizzo, Freeman, AuShizz, LaRoche, C. Davis, I. Davis

    The first three all have the possibility of becoming great fantasy 1Bs, right?

Comments are closed.