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One word about this top 100 for 2016 fantasy baseball, before I give you another 5,000 words.  I’m going to avoid repeating myself from the position rankings in the 2016 fantasy baseball rankings.  If you want to know my in-depth feelings about a player, then you need to go to his positional page, i.e., the top 20 1st basemen for 2016 fantasy baseball, the top 20 2nd basemen for 2016 fantasy baseball, the top 20 Gucci handbags for 2016– Ah, I almost got you.  This post is meant to give you an idea where guys from different positions are in relation to each other.  Since this post is only the top 100, there’s more players where this came from.  400 or so, to be inexact.  Next up, there will be a top 500.  Then after that there will be a top 7,500, then a top 25,000, then a top 600,000, until we end up with a top kajillion in April.  Or maybe I’ll stop at the top 500.  Yeah, that makes sense.  Not to get all biblical on you, but this is the gospel.  Print it out and take it to Mt. Sinai and it will say, “Win your 2016 fantasy baseball league, young prematurely balding man.”  Projections were done by me and a crack team of 100 monkeys fighting amongst themselves because there were only 99 typewriters.  Somebody please buy Ling-Ling his own typewriter!  Anyway, here’s the top 100 for 2016 fantasy baseball:

1. Mike Trout – As most of us know, everyone came from the sea, then we evolved into land creatures.  We also know everything is circular.  So, I propose we will reach a pinnacle of the ultimate human, then devolve back into sea creatures.  So, that pinnacle is Trout, which, of course, means that everyone having a baby from today forward will give birth to a baby with gills.  Thank you for coming to The Ever-Evolving World by Grey Albright, donuts and coffee are in the Sheraton lobby.  Please try to avoid eye contact with the protestors being led by Carl Everett.  Also, I’d think first before eating sushi.  2016 Projections: 108/40/101/.303/16

2. Bryce Harper – And I ain’t ever drafted Harper before, no.  And I ain’t ever drafted Harper before, no.  I ain’t ever drafted Harper before, no.  Mr. Draft Man, please don’t let someone draft Harper before me, no.  I said, “Yeah, baby, sound like a plan.”  Still tryin’ to play it cool, damn, Harper look like the man.  But I am scared to death, my stomach turnin’.  Knowin’ damn well, I am an “owning Harper virgin.”  I should’ve prolly held that back for G. Cole.  2016 Projections:  104/36/107/.297/12

3. Paul Goldschmidt – Even if Jim J. Schmohawk and his brother, Leisure Suit Schmohawk, are drafting in front of you, you can only do so wrong with the third pick.  Can’t really do that wrong with the 4th pick either.  Or the 5th.  Or 6th.  Or–you get the picture.  2016 Projections:  101/30/115/.297/14

4. Anthony Rizzo – From Au Shizz to HR to the Rizzo.  Uh-oh, I feel a rhyme coming on.  Tryin’ to fight the urge, my Powerball salesman’s name is Serge, why can’t anyone in California merge?  Drop a few words on Rizzo, but need Missy Misdemeanor to rhyme on that with “skizzo, bizzo, wizzo,” or just any old shizz-o.  Rizzo’s last year was 31 homers and 17 steals.  Dot dot dot.  Fo’reals.  Too bad that’s his peak, cause we know no one’s ever done better at the age of 27.  Just ask Winehouse, Cobain, Morrison, Hendrix and Joplin, they said they couldn’t get any higher, all now in heaven.  “What walks on two legs in the morning, two legs at noon, two at close of day and is about to challenge Goldy as the top 1st baseman?” asked the fantasy baseball Sphinx.  Now, I got to get out of this verse to avoid the “writing a rhyme for a player” jinx.  2016 Projections:  103/36/114/.291/12

5. Manny Machado – The Manny can’t be stopped, which is a great thing, unless you’re talking about ‘The Manny,’ the Vin Diesel movie where he acts as a nanny, not being able to be stopped because it’s stuck in your DVD player.  2016 Projections:  94/30/109/.298/18

6. Giancarlo Stanton – I have a lavender candle burning and Peabo Bryson playing.  Now all I need is the 6th overall pick and romance will happen.  2016 Projections:  94/46/115/.272/7

7. Nolan Arenado – Weird how expectations work.  Last year, I drafted Arenado around 20th overall and was so pumped.  This year, I don’t foresee being pumped taking him 7th overall, but I will.  One love!  2016 Projections:  91/38/110/.299/2

8. Josh Donaldson – See what I said for Arenado and add in Toronto and subtract Coors and that adds up to… *shakes calculator*  Ugh, I have the curtains drawn and it’s a solar calculator.  2016 Projections:  104/32/97/.269/4

9. Kris Bryant – If you want to know about my love for Bryant, then read my mind!  Or you can see the top 10 for 2016 fantasy baseball (Link dump!).  2016 Projections:  95/31/108/.268/15

10. Carlos Correa – Besides catchers, there’s also a huge lack of shortstops in the top 100.  If I don’t draft Correa, I could see not drafting a shortstop until the final rounds…But then I won’t be drafting a 2nd baseman either….Or a starter…Or closer…Okay, I’m basically only drafting outfielders.  2016 Projections:  103/24/95/.292/26

11. Jose Altuve – As I mentioned in the top 20 for 2016 fantasy baseball, it surprised me how high I ranked Altuve.  It’s the highest Altuve’s been in my mind since I had that dream where he was wearing David Eckstein as stilts.  2016 Projections:  103/12/57/.304/35

12. Starling Marte – There’s a little special sauce that goes into these rankings like track record/skills, upside/downside, ketchup/mayonnaise/relish, but for the most part I do try to look at my projections for a given player then rank them accordingly.  Marte is one where the projections say he should be here, has a track record, has skills, has upside, has downside and ketchup/mayo/relish.  Put Marte on a sesame seed bun and you’re set.  2016 Projections:  86/20/93/.282/31

13. Mookie Betts – Last October, I figured I’d be higher than anyone on Betts in 2016, ranking him around 20th overall, then I saw where some others were ranking him and I was like, “Nah, homey, I’m gonna be crazier for Betts than you.”  Now if someone ranks him 1st overall, I will make adjustments.  2016 Projections: 105/24/67/.307/22

14. J.D. Martinez – True story!   Just Dong is not only J.D.’s nickname, but it is also the advertising slogan for the sneakers made by Vivid Entertainment, and instead of a swoosh they depict a dong. 2016 Projections:  88/34/105/.287/5

15. Andrew McCutchen – The Dread Pirate will go one of two ways this year.  He’ll either return his value and stay around this ranking next year, or he will drop precipitously like Adam Jones.  This will be the last year he’s ranked based solely on his track record.  My guess is he’ll have one more year holding his value.  2016 Projections:  89/24/98/.289/14

16. Clayton Kershaw – I know it’s a little crazy ranking Kershaw this low, but I also don’t want to draft a starter with my first pick.  Honestly, I could’ve went a little crazier because if you were to say to me in March, “Would you trade Jose Abreu for Kershaw?”  I wouldn’t.  I’d prolly go to about as low as Dee Gordon before I traded Kershaw straight up for someone, but if I would’ve ranked Kershaw 25th overall, people would be calling for me to get committed.  2016 Projections:  18-6/2.28/0.90/277 in 224 IP

17. Miguel Cabrera – You know how I know you’re old?  Cause you remember Miggy as a 20-year-old rookie and Miggy is going to be 33 this year.  How do I know you remember Miggy as a rookie?  I can’t reveal that.  2016 Projections:  101/25/104/.318/1

18. Jose Abreu – In the wild, wacky world of Cuban imports, Abreu is a total bore, and this is the one time I like boring.  2016 Projections:  93/29/105/.296/1

19. Edwin Encarnacion – I have a feeling I’m not going to be drafting Edwin this year.  I have him ranked above where others have ranked him, but if I draft a 1st baseman in the 1st round, which I have every intention of doing, then no Edwin.  2016 Projections: 84/33/97/.260/3

20. George Springer – I’ll admit to being in a tight spot with how many outfielders I want in the top 20.  Betts?  Yes!  Marte?  Please!  Springer?  Gimme gimme gimme, ABBA!  2016 Projections:  104/31/89/.269/22

21. Justin Upton – *knock, knock* Grey?  Um, I only have three outfield spots in my league, should I really draft three outfielders in the first three rounds?  No, of course not.  And that is the worst knock, knock joke ever.  2016 Projections:  95/29/102/.254/12

22. Todd Frazier – Continuing my train of thought from Upton’s blurb, maybe you don’t draft all outfielders, but 3rd base is getting–getting–getting kinda ugly after this point, so if you want one of them, act now.  2016 Projections:  86/30/98/.250/14

23. Chris Davis – One thing I didn’t mention in the top 20 1st basemen about Davis, I do think he’s a bargain this late if he were guaranteed a .260+ average.  His 30+ K% worries me.  A 30+ K% quickly leads to a .230 average, and then he has to hit 50 homers to make that more palatable.  2016 Projections:   84/37/101/.252/3

24. Jose Bautista – He’s getting older and that’s why he’s getting docked like Ziggy Sobotka.  2016 Projections:  88/32/98/.255/5

25. Joey Votto – You know Votto and I’ve written about him at the top 20 1st basemen, but one thing just stuck out to me when I was looking at Votto’s age (32) and his minor league numbers.  The Reds really wasted two great years by Votto (last two minor league seasons:  22/24 in 2006, 22/17 in 2007).  Funny (not funny) how a club’s decision like that can really change a guy’s entire career stats.  2016 Projections:   87/25/75/.307/6

26. Dee Gordon – Steals are down, ya hurd?  Ugh, now I have Surfin’ Bird stuck in my head.  I can’t even go near a rhyme of bird without those very serious consequences.  Any hoo!  SAGNOF for steals still applies because you can get cheap steals much later.  Is Billy Hamilton as good as Gordon?  No, but if you need Gordon for 60 steals, you could just get Hamilton later and get a power cornerman here.  2016 Projections:  101/3/42/.297/59

27. Jake Arrieta – I loved, loved, lurved owning Arrieta last year, which makes it hard to pass him by this year, but not impossible.  Rob Schneider says, “You can do it.”  2016 Projections:  17-8/2.38/0.96/224 in 220 IP

28. Chris Sale – Instead of starters here, I’ll be drafting a corner man or an outfielder likely.  That will depend more on how my team is shaping up.  I’m all for a bargain, but not for a Sale.  Weird!  2016 Projections:  17-6/2.49/0.99/245 in 205 IP

29. Max Scherzer – I wonder at what point Scherzer’s age will finally catch up to him.  I’m hoping it’s this year, then he drinks some kind of tonic so I can draft him next year when he bounces back.  I’m selfish, y’all!  2016 Projections: 16-8/2.65/0.98/258 in 220 IP

30. Charlie Blackmon – I feel like we’re playing with fire by drafting Blackmon this early, because if the Rockies trade him midseason, his value is going to plummet, but, as 2Pac said, you can’t keep a good Blackmon down.  By the by, y’all see any pics from the new 2Pac movie?  I saw them and I was like, “Damn, 2Pac is alive.”  It does look like Bizzaro Dre and Suge with him too. 2016 Projections:  96/19/64/.285/35

31. A.J. Pollock –  I don’t want any part of Pollock this year, but not in an ethnic cleansing type way. 2016 Projections:  101/14/63/.291/27

32. Gregory Polanco – Two quick things:  Yes, I’m aware that Polanco is ranked insanely high in my rankings vs. other people’s rankings.  And, yes, I’m going to own Polanco on every team.  Confession Alert!  I had Polanco in the top 20 overall prior to seeing where others ranked him and moved him down a round.  I could’ve moved him down six rounds and still had him higher than everyone.  Polanco feels like an Arenado situation from last year.  By that I mean, I will say something to another fantasy baseball ‘pert like, “Do you like Polanco?”  They’ll reply, “Yeah, I love him.” I’ll follow up with, “Then why do you have him ranked 110 overall?”  They’ll answer, “I don’t know.”  Then my head will explode.  2016 Projections:  101/15/62/.269/30

33. Ryan Braun – On one hand, I have Braun in a general spot to draft him.  On the other hand, I have him after a guy like Polanco, so I don’t see anyway I’m drafting Braun.  On a third hand that is actually Hamburger Helper, Braun only has one working hand.  2016 Projections:  90/25/98/.280/14

34. Albert Pujols – As of now, Pujols is hoping to return early to mid-April.  Last year, his April was 3 HRs, .208, so maybe it’s best to wait for May flowers.  2016 Projections: 82/30/93/.257/4

35. Jacob deGrom – Bosnian word for thunder?  You guessed it, grom.  Jacob deThunder may stutter step on the mound with a runner on base but he never be Balkan!  2016 Projections:  17-7/2.61/0.97/217 in 210 IP

36. Matt Harvey – Was a bit surprised to see some ‘perts rank deGrom after Harvey, but since we’re not drafting either, it doesn’t matter.  Or in the words of NWA, it don’t matter, just don’t bite it.  Words that should really be in every valedictorian speech.   2016 Projections: 15-9/2.86/1.06/206 in 200 IP

37. Yoenis Cespedes – As I was doing the top 100, I realized something.  I may have three outfielders drafted in the first five picks of my fantasy team.  I believe in drafting stats and not positions, so if the best stats are in the outfield, then I’m drafting outfielders.  2016 Projections:  85/27/102/.278/7

38. Lorenzo Cain – I’m gonna be like The Jerk only instead of only needing a chair, this remote control, this pen, etc.  I’m going to have my arms filled with outfielders.  2016 Projections:  97/15/80/.295/25

39. Jason Heyward – Because I’m gonna have seven outfielders for five outfielder slots in the first six rounds, I will likely draft Heyward instead of Yoenis or Cain in some leagues, because I wanna taste all of these guys.  It’s all about context with that last sentence.  2016 Projections:  87/22/77/.274/15

40. David Price – Now how can I draft a starter when there’s outfielders to draft?  Please, I don’t have time to wait for your answer, I need to get back in the draft room and grab another outfielder!  2016 Projections: 17-7/3.03/1.10/225 in 220 IP

41. Madison Bumgarner – I’m not drafting a starter yet as I said in the top 20 starters for 2016 fantasy baseball, but even if I were, I’m not going near Bumgarner.  2016 Projections:  17-9/2.95/1.03/216 in 215 IP

42. Adrian Gonzalez – Honestly, some of my rankings are a crock of shizz.  Like fo’reals.  I don’t mean I put them out there and would never use them.  Oh, I use them.  Rudy sometimes laughs at how silly I am about following my rankings.  The laugh is derisive, by the way.  I mean they’re a crock of shizz as in, am I really taking A-Gon?  I don’t see it happening.  Is there a possible scenario where I take A-Gon?  Sure, Pujols is gone already, that’s Pujols whose ADP is after A-Gon, I haven’t drafted a 1st baseman yet and Springer and Polanco are gone.  Now does that seem likely to you?  2016 Projections:   79/26/92/.270

43. Freddie Freeman – Same crock of shizz that I mentioned in the A-Gon blurb.  By the way, I’m not using the phrase ‘crock of shizz’ as in “Mario Batali got so drunk that he used his Croc as a toilet.”  2016 Projections:  74/24/87/.293/4

44. Buster Posey – Fun fact!  There’s a Giant in San Fernando Valley with a name very similar to Buster Posey but he’s a porn actor.  2016 Projections:  75/20/91/.310/2

45. Prince Fielder – See what I said for A-Gon and Freeman because Mario Batali’s drunk again and unable to find a legitimate bathroom.  2016 Projections:  75/23/94/.282

46. Gerrit Cole – And I’m drafting a starter!  Though dot dot dot not really.  I mean, I would draft Cole, but I’m guessing he’s gone by this point.  Too bad, so sad.  Don’t fear, there will be more starters where he came from.  2016 Projections:  15-9/2.78/1.06/217 in 215 IP

47. Jose Fernandez – Again, doesn’t seem likely Jo-Fer happens fer Grey.  Speaking of which, I should be rocking a full-length mink coat.  All the time.  Like an I-M-P-P, said the pimp who dropped out of high school and doesn’t know how to spell.  2016 Projections:  13-5/2.44/1.01/210 in 180 IP

48. Noah Syndergaard – Finally, a guy that I could not only draft, but want to.  It’s a lovely day, lovely day, lovely day, and the sunlight hurts my eyes.  Perhaps someone could throw shade my way.  2016 Projections:  15-6/2.88/1.07/208 Ks in 185 IP

49. Stephen Strasburg – Could someone promise to explain to me why I was so excited about Strasburg in the preseason if he takes another turn for bad this year, and, from the ashes, rises Stressbird?  2016 Projections: 14-9/2.89/1.08/231 in 205 IP

50. Xander Bogaerts – Member above what I was saying about Mario Batali taking a dump in his indoor/outdoor footwear?  I like Bogaerts and would draft him around here, but it’s more likely I’m drafting a starter at this point, so the rankings are true but they have some Batali turds to them.  On a side note, I’d love to be in the person’s mind who skipped right to Bogaerts’s blurb and didn’t read above.  2016 Projections:  88/17/84/.306/12

51. Corey Seager – I already gave you my Corey Seager fantasy.  It was written on the deck of the S.S. Minnow during some choppy weather.  2016 Projections:  81/19/63/.284/8

52. Maikel Franco – I’m a bit surprised by the lack of groundswell building around Maikel.  It could be due to the general lack of excitement about the Phils.  I get that, but Jose Abreu knocked in 101 RBIs last year on a team offense that ranked worse than the Phils last year.  The Reds were about even with the Phils last year in offense, but you had no problem with Votto and Frazier.  Is Maikel as good as those guys mentioned?  Well, he’s not until he is, if you catch my drift.  2016 Projections: 81/27/95/.284/2

53. Brian Dozier – Don’t you want this guy to die his hair blonde and shave it into a mullet and call himself “The Doz?”  No?  Guess it’s just me.  2016 Projections: 92/24/72/.231/10

54. Kyle Seager – Since I just ranked Corey Seager and now his brother Kyle, I have an idea.  In my keeper league, I’m drafting all of Corey and Kyle’s dad’s sperm.  2016 Projections:  85/25/75/.269/8

55. Craig Kimbrel – Here’s what I said this offseason about Kimbrel, “Traded to Red Sox for Carlos Asuaje, Javier Guerra, Logan Allen and Manuel Margot, four guys that sound like background extras in the movie, Casablanca.  “Manuel Margot, I need you behind Bogart, and stop looking into the camera!”  Member last year when the Padres were pretending to be a contender so they went out and got a top-notch closer?  Feels like longer ago than it is.  Shame the Padres gave up on being a winner, it was fun to watch them fail when they had expectations.  Now it’s just depressing.  Kimbrel will once again be a top closer, but, ya know, SAGNOF.”  And that’s me quoting me!  2016 Projections:  3-3/2.03/0.98/89 with 43 saves in 60 IP

56. Carlos Carrasco –  Asking you to make one of the guys in this next mini tier to be your first starter, which I would do, is a bit of a trust exercise.  You need to fall backwards into their gorgeous K-rates.  2016 Projections:  14-8/3.09/1.04/223 in 202 IP

57. Chris Archer – He had a 3.23 ERA last year, but, as of September 25th, it was 2.92.  Late in September, he was mollywhopped by the Jays for nine runs that killed his overall ERA from looking really purdy.  2016 Projections:  12-10/3.02/1.12/238 in 204 IP

58. Corey Kluber – I believe I mentioned this in the top 20 starters for 2016 fantasy baseball, but one group of fantasy baseballers (<–my mom’s term!) you won’t have to battle for Kluber are those that got Kluber’d in the nethers last year.  I say ‘I believe’ because I’ve written about 400,000 words in the last three weeks and I need to Icy/Hot my brain.  2016 Projections:  14-10/3.18/1.08/235 in 217 IP

59. Danny Salazar – This year K-zar will rule all of my starting rotations or my last name isn’t Lothario.  2016 Projections:  13-11/3.12/1.10/216 in 200 IP

60. Rougned Odor – I already gave you my Rougned Odor sleeper.  It had the makings of a great post until I opened it with, “Um, hello?  Is this thing on?”  2016 Projections:  81/19/69/.253/15

61. Francisco Lindor – You know why I didn’t write a Lindor sleeper post?  Cause I didn’t think he’d be a sleeper, but don’t let that stop you from thinking I’m crazy for him.  I am.  *circles index finger around right ear making the ‘I’m crazy’ sign*  See?  2016 Projections:  86/10/62/.289/22

62. Eric Hosmer – This is one sexy cluster of players right here.  Not being sarcastic either.  I know, shock!  I love Salazar, Odor, Lindor, Hosmer and Belt.  Give ’em all to me!  2016 Projections:   86/20/94/.303/8

63. Brandon Belt – I already gave you my Brandon Belt sleeper.  On a serious note, sleepers are tough for me.  I see a guy like Belt ranked way too low by others, then I write up a sleeper post, then I project him for what I think he’ll do, then I rank him based on those projections and he’s now ranked way higher then where he’d be a sleeper.  It’s like the “What comes first, the chicken or the egg” or the “Mario Batali’s in a forest crapping in his Crocs in the woods, but does anyone hear him?” or some cliché.  2016 Projections:  79/21/90/.288/10

64. Nelson Cruz – If I draft Cruz, he will finally disappoint after a few years of me saying he would.  If I don’t draft him, he’ll be fine.  The Clash of “If I do, there will be trouble” vs. “If I don’t, there will be double.”  2016 Projections:  85/35/98/.270/4

65. Adam Jones – If I was caca-cuckoo for outfielders earlier in the top 100, I’m obviously down on these guys in a non-sexual way, and won’t be drafting them.  Now, before you say, “Grey, you’re handsome as the devil when Brad Pitt played him in that awful movie, but you say you’re down on Jones, right?  Well, what if he’s available at this point in the draft?”  First, then draft something else.  Second, you should already have at least two outfielders drafted by now, you don’t need another one.  Third, there’s no third.  2016 Projections:  82/28/95/.266/4

66. Carlos Gonzalez – This is a little mini tier within the top 100 that makes me want to put on Kendrick Lamar’s Hood Politics.  “Call me on Shaniqua’s phone.  Tulo used to be A-1, now he just gets boo-boos.  CarGo was your homeboy, but he’s prone to boo-boos.  Lil Ellsbury used to be cool, now he’s prone to a boo-boo.”  2016 Projections:  81/27/88/.262/3

67. Jacoby Ellsbury – “Obama say, “What it do?”  Tellin’ you, watch out for the boo-boos!”  2016 Projections:  87/12/67/.269/26

68. Michael Brantley – “He already has a boo-boo!”  2016 Projections:  71/14/79/.319/13

69. Carlos Gomez – “If last year was any indication, he’s bound to get a boo-boo!”  2016 Projections:  74/18/84/.248/12

70. Matt Kemp – “He’ll be batting behind Yangervis and I wouldn’t trust him to avoid a boo-boo!”  2016 Projections:  68/22/85/.259/10

71. Hunter Pence – “The Gangly Manbird missed three-quarters of last year with boo-boos!”  2016 Projections:  64/18/75/.271/7

72. Dallas Keuchel – Having a group of hitters I don’t want backed up against pitchers I don’t want has its problems.  I.e., what am I drafting here if I’m not taking any of the guys from Jones to F-Her?  Y’all assuming that a draft will actually go as I have these guys ranked.  Some players will fall from above.  Why did you just put up your umbrella?  No one is actually falling from above.  What I mean is, you get to this part of the draft and there’s a bunch of players I’ve said to not draft, then draft Belt, who I have above that no one else has drafted yet.  Or if you chickened out about Polanco earlier, take him here.  Or one of at least 20 guys that I have ranked above that likely haven’t been drafted yet.  Like anyone else is drafting Belt in the top 60.  Please.  2016 Projections: 15-10/2.98/1.15/172 in 215 IP

73. Zack Greinke – Here’s a guy that is like a reverse Arenado from last year as explained in Polanco’s blurb.  I could ask ‘perts why they rank Greinke high this year when they don’t like him and they will have no answer for me.  2016 Projections:  15-8/3.54/1.16/194 in 210 IP

74. Felix Hernandez – As I’ve said in the past, I rank while in a bubble.  The benefit of that, others don’t influence me.  The drawback, trying to get through door frames.  Could someone make some bubble-accessible doors?  When I come out of my bubble and see how others are ranking players, some surprise me.  F-Her was one.  I thought people would still be higher on him.  I’m still lower than just about everyone, but I thought it would be a bigger difference.  2016 Projections:  14-10/3.43/1.16/190 in 204 IP

75. Tyson Ross – A guy with a 9 K/9 that pitches his home games in Petco, and you don’t want him?  Oh.  *pauses to get medical degree*  Kay.  2016 Projections:  11-12/3.09/1.26/209 in 200 IP

76. Miguel Sano –  I do like watching Sano’s moonshots into the upper deck, but I’m also on the verge of potentially writing a schmohawk post for him due to his Ks.  They are just so ugly.  2016 Projections:  62/32/77/.231/4

77. Kyle Schwarber – Some people will see this ranking of Sano, Schwarber, Hanley and Dickerson and think, “All of those guys could be steals that late.  Also, I make a lot of sense when I talk to myself.  Man, I’m smart.  Or is it, ‘Man, me is smart?’  I could ask someone but I may not look that smart.”  I see this little sub-section tier of players and I hit the brakes.  2016 Projections: 68/24/75/.228/7

78. Hanley Ramirez – Every year a few guys have a dead cat bounce.  Last year, I can think of Brandon Phillips.  We call them Zombinos here.  Is Hanley capable of that?  Yeah, I think so.  Will he do it?  No one knows, and anyone that says they know is either a witch or a liar.  Burn them at a stake to find out which it is.  2016 Projections:  65/17/72/.277/7

79. Corey Dickerson – Not only did he miss last year with a foot issue that could flare up at any time, but his last year that he stole over ten bases was 2012 in High-A/Double-A.  Dickerson is Kole Calhoun leaving Coors.  I will call him, Kole Miner’s Daughter.  2016 Projections:  68/20/75/.296/4

80. Johnny Cueto – As I say in the top 40 starters for 2016 fantasy baseball, I would draft Cueto.  What I didn’t know then that I know now is others are still more excited about him.  Continued in Hamels’s blurb.  2016 Projections: 14-9/3.31/1.09/186 in 210 IP

81. Cole Hamels –  Hey, everyone from Cueto’s blurb, glad you could make it.  Sadly, our speaker for the day, the guy who actually put a “Donald Trump for President” sticker on his bumper couldn’t make it, and instead we have Grey Albright, Fantasy Master Lothario.  So, like I was saying in Cueto’s blurb, same applies for Hamels.  People are drafting him higher than I have him.  I’ll have a post in a few days about how to draft a rotation, and none of these guys are necessary.  2016 Projections:  14-10/3.60/1.18/202 in 204 IP

82. Evan Longoria –  After looking around at other people’s rankings, I see I’m actually high on Longoria.  Well, to quote nine of ten MLB GMs during the offseason, “Our interest in Longoria is being overblown.”  A guy that has played 160 games in three straight years with 22 HRs, 80 runs, 80 RBIs and a .265-ish average isn’t sexy, but there’s a place for that.  That place is around here.  2016 Projections:  81/23/84/.264/3

83. Adrian Beltre – What I said about Longoria, but a bit more counting stats, less upside due to age, more downside due to injury and less patting on the head.  2016 Projections:  87/19/91/.290/1

84. Francisco Liriano – No one likes Liriano.  No idea why but it’s going on three years in a row where he’s being under-drafted.  I get that the walks are a tad scary, but he has three straight years of an ERA of 3.38 or lower with 9+ K/9.  By the by, Tad Scary sounds like a Garbage Pail Kid or a villain on Jessica Jones.  2016 Projections:  13-9/3.46/1.23/195 in 180 IP

85. Jon Lester – Looking at Liriano’s projections vs. Lester’s projections I’m reminded of something.  I accidentally put my TV remote in the freezer.  I’m also reminded that I like guys that give stats in less time.  195 Ks in 180 IP is better than 199 Ks in 206 IP.  Also, 13 wins vs. 15 wins means so little.  Wins are fickle.  Put wins in one hand and losses in the other hand and you have two empty hands.  How can you put wins and losses in a hand?  2016 Projections:  15-10/3.51/1.14/199 in 206 IP

86. Wade Davis – Watch out, I’m about to drop a truth bomb.  I want to own one of the next four closers.  Will I?  Highly unlikely.  Maybe in some deep leagues (15 or more teams), but it’s not worth it in shallower leagues.  SAGNOF, playa!  And, no, I’m not calling you a Spanish beach.  2016 Projections: 4-1/2.31/0.99/81, 41 Saves

87. Ken Giles – Same as I said with Wade Davis, and I just Googled Wade Davis and he’s also a gay ex-NFL player.  Hunh.  Had no idea.  I’m in a serious non-football bubble.  When and who will be the first gay current major league player?  I’m gonna guess this year, Giancarlo with me.  Wait, what?!  2016 Projections:  5-2/1.97/1.08/81, 41 saves

88. Kenley Jansen – If you must know about the closer projections, wins are totally fickle.  Take fickle and multiple it by arbitrary and you have saves projections.   A closer on a terrible team could get 45 saves and a guy on a great team could get 25 saves.  No rhyme, no reason.  2016 Projections: 3-1/2.35/0.96/75, 38 Saves

89. Jeurys Familia – Ah, the closer whose name looks like it was spelled by a cat walking across the keyboard.  I get a feeling that he’s going to be replaced out of nowhere just as he took over last year out of nowhere, but that’s completely a gut call, and we’re not ranking on gut.  That would be my top ten sushi restaurant rankings.  2016 Projections:  4-2/2.44/1.02/67, 40 Saves

90. Matt Carpenter – This little area here with Carpenter and Cano I like to call The Shrug.  Sounds like a nickname of a downtown area in a city with less than 100,000 people.  “You gotta go check out what they did with The Shrug in Kalamazoo.”  But it’s not a downtown area, it’s my feelings on these two guys.  They could be okay, but *shrug* I don’t care, I’m not drafting them.  2016 Projections:  97/19/62/.275/5

91. Robinson Cano – “Cano could hit .310 again!”  *shrug*  Doesn’t matter to me.  2016 Projections:  75/17/80/.275/3

92. Jonathan Schoop – I already gave you my Jonathan Schoop sleeper.  It had a little extra pa-DOW!  2016 Projections: 73/26/85/.245/3

93. Brett Lawrie – I already gave you my Brett Lawrie sleeper.  One word on that and all of my sleepers.  You look at my projections vs. our Razzball/Steamer projections and you see I’m way above on them.  Steamer does a great job, the best in the business, but it doesn’t project breakouts.  That’s why you have to go out on a limb sometimes.  2016 Projections: 71/20/82/.264/14

94. Starlin Castro – It’s weird to me that I’m seemingly the only one liking Castro this year.  I figured at least some Yankee buzz would be get baked into the rankings for other ‘perts.  For those that just Googled “Baked + buzz,” welcome!  Those brownies will wear off soon.  2016 Projections:  72/16/77/.274/7

95. Troy Tulowitzki – How many of you can name the last time Tulo played more than 150 games?  Too slow.  2009.  When was the last time he stole more than two bases?  Wrong.  2011.  Okay, last chance to redeem yourself.  Why does your dad pretend to not know you in public?  Nope!  The answer is, “In case any women are around because you make him seem too old.”  2016 Projections: 75/20/78/.271/2

96. Steven Matz – Start drafting starters hard.  I don’t mean that entirely as it sounds.  Okay, I do.  Giggle, giggle.  Giggle, giggle. 2016 Projections:  12-7/3.34/1.12/180 in 175 IP

97. Carlos Rodon – I already gave you my Carlos Rodon sleeper.  I wrote it while roleplaying with Cougs where she’s Channing Tatum and I’m Steve Carell and we act out wrestling scenes from Foxcatcher.  2016 Projections:  13-8/3.52/1.31/182 in 180 IP

98. Taijuan Walker – I already gave you my Taijuan Walker sleeper.  I wrote it while tapping that A.  2016 Projections: 14-10/3.44/1.21/189 in 205 IP

99. Joc Pederson – So, that is 98 outfielders in the first 100 picks.  Like a baller!  Who’s drafting eight outfielders in the first nine rounds!?  C’mon, who’s with me!  Hello?  Anyone out there?  Are you still on the line?  Stop making sounds of waves and answer!  Oh, I had a seashell up to my ear instead of a phone.  My bad.  2016 Projections:  67/26/69/.235/12

100. Khris Davis – All right, one more outfielder.  But that’s it!  2016 Projections:  67/32/79/.249/5

 
  1. Malicious Phenom says:
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    I must say, you have really gone out on a limb with some of these projections, I sure hope that is a strong branch.

    • Goldirocks says:
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      @Malicious Phenom:
      Ya Schoop and Lawrie stand out as pretty high to me, among a few others. Thats a good way to find value in players I guess? Obviously if they do anything close to Grey’s predictions – will be great value pickups compared to where you can actually wait to get them…

    • Plies says:
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      @Malicious Phenom: that’s some quality stuff from you right there, MP…just quality stuff

      • Moscowitz says:
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        @Plies: LOL!

  2. Vaxxen says:
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    Keep 5, 12 team league

    R/HR/RBI/SB/AVG/OPS

    I’m keeping AuShizz, Rizzo, Arrieta and Correa so far, who gets the last spot?

    Mikael Franco or Miguel Sano?

    • Malicious Phenom says:
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      @Vaxxen: Sano

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @Vaxxen: Franco

      • Malicious Phenom says:
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        @JeF WiTh 1 F: agree with F, I did not see Franco’s ranking. only Sano.

    • Dirty Johnson says:
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      @Vaxxen: Franco, I think he’ll be better and 3rd base gets real bad real quick after him.

    • farcus says:
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      @Vaxxen: I know the rankings are gospel and all, but I would go sano. his k rate and bb rate compare favorably to kris Bryant, but he hits the ball even harder. in fact the only guy in the league who hits as hard as him is Stanton.

      he might bust… for sure he might, but if he doesn’t, I think you’re looking at a top 15 guy for years to come. if he does bust you just throw him back and keep someone else, it seems like you don’t struggle to find value keepers.

      I look at these rankings for Franco and sano and see grey betting on one of the best possible outcomes for Franco and one of the worst for sano. but that’s me, I’ve definitely been wrong before.

      • Mantis Toboggan MD says:
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        @farcus: franco has already shown to have a good hit tool. if OBP leagues it’d be closer question.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Vaxxen: Sano has bigger upside for a keeper

  3. Fantasy with Dase or Days

    Fantasy with Dase or Days says:
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    Good morning (very) (very) early morning to the Razzball community. I really hope that this is not going to cause a stir or stepping over any boundaries. I have created a mock draft over at couchmanagers. It’s set up just like the RCL Master (roster/scoring). It’s completely free and open to anybody that wants to join. Here is a link to the draft http://www.couchmanagers.com/mock_drafts/index.php?draftnum=37601
    The draft order will be randomized once full and then automatically start with a eight hour window to make a pick.

  4. Runningfrog says:
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    Greetings from North North Korea, Grey!

    So if Joey Bats gets a pet duck and names his car Princess, am I supposed to take that as a good sign? Or a bad sign?

    Curious why so light on the SB prediction for Heyward. He’s only 26. He’s stolen at least 20 the last two seasons, and he just moved to a team where even Big Papi would get the green light. Are you expecting a big change in Maddon’s aggressive philosophy?

    Second question (the Ziggy Bats questions don’t count). In an ESPN 10-teamer $260 5×5, where you already were keeping:

    $14 Machado
    $22 Bryant
    $10 Correa
    $11 Just Dongs
    $15 DeGrom
    $10 Thor
    $10 Archer
    $10 Sano

    Would you spend $25 to keep Starling Marte? Or toss him back for some cheaper guys? Thanks for making this long cold Chinese winter bearable. We were above freezing today for the first time since November. Time for some baseball!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Runningfrog: Good sign… Just think as a player gets older, steals come down a little…Hopefully Heyward steals as many… I’d spend $25 on Marte

  5. Carl Everett says:
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    Man came from a fish? Come on, man! Same people saying man came from a fish probably going to also say that Dinosaurs existed and you know that is a lie! Did you SEE this fish-man creature? Uh-huh that is what I thought!

  6. Dodger Rabbit says:
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    Sorry to ask for the cover sheet for your TPS report, but for those of us charting K/9, how many IP for Wade Davis, Jansen, Familia, & Giles? Thanks again for your Greyt work.

    • DodgerRabbit says:
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      @Dodger Rabbit: I guess a better question is, “Where can we find your projections for RPs?” Smokey’s closer report is nice, but I was hoping for stats.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @DodgerRabbit: Same place, same time, tomorrow with my top 500

  7. Cheese says:
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    Not gonna lie, but I actually skipped right to Bogaerts, mainly because I only have 5 min this morning and have a pending trade involving him. Plan to catch up on the rest of the post later today.

    But as confusing as the verbiage was, it didn’t phase me because I’ve been trained over the years to not be shocked by anything you write. Keep up the craziness!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Phil: Cool

      • Christine Michael: one Unlucky Whitehead (just pop him or not) says:
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        @Grey: be careful Greyist one, soon that guy’ll have your job. he might have to borrow some hair though at some point, so i’m sure he’ll keep you around.

  8. Rabbit says:
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    With all of the Bosnian references in your deGrom blurb, how can you have no Serbian references? You’re going to start a (regional) civil war! The Austrian Archduke is going to Take You Out.
    Keeper Q for you. Roto auction league ($260), 11 teams, keep 5 (for 3 years max), standard cats except K/9 instead of total Ks. Here are my possible keepers (and yes, I am happy with my choices here):
    Bryant $6 (yea, baby)
    Blackmon $9
    C. Davis $12
    S. Marte $18
    X Bogaerts $4
    F Lindor $2
    J Heyward $11
    G Cole $12
    AuShizz $36
    D Salazar $3
    Adam Jones $34 (just kidding)

    My inclination is to go with the first five listed, but I am not sure about Bogaerts over Lindor, and I kind of want to keep AuShizz but then again a $36 keeper seems like not the best idea. And Heyward, Cole and Salazar entice. Thoughts? Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Rabbit: My apologies to the Serbs… Especially Serb Score, the great Indians pitcher… Au Shizz, Heyward, Davis, Bryant, Cole

  9. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    Man this is so good. I wanted to read it slowly to savor it like when I really enjoy reading a good book, a book you know is going to be stellar. Then I said forget that, I have to have it all in one go. Fantastic, mensch!

    a. Thanks for jinxing Harper on the one team I have him so far! Just thanks! I’m referring to the dope rhyme you threw down in his honor which will make him get injured in ST chasing a squirrel across a wet outfield.

    b. And then I read the Rizzo blurb! Thanks a million, again for jinxing Rizzo too! So that’s Harper and Rizzo jinxed! Maybe I should re-post my entire starting lineup but that raised quite a shiftstorm last time that needed Feliz, MP and many others to put out. So, I’ll desist for the greater good.

    c. On the Donaldson blurb, why do you have the curtains drawn in the middle of the day? Don’t answer that if you have to answer the door like Delmon (http://deadspin.com/delmon-young-accused-of-choking-valet-attendant-threat-1757843158). That’ll be my new code word for going commando…’answering the hotel room door like Delmon’.

    d. Put the wins and losses in the Hamburger Helper hand!

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Ha, thanks! A. No problem! B. You got it! C. Ha!

    • Plies says:
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      @Ante GALIC: MP didn’t put out anything. He’s a clown, just like you…he knows it, and you know it.

    • Christine Michael: one Unlucky Whitehead (just pop him or not) says:
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      @Ante GALIC: don’t worry about heart full of hate douchbags that should stay in espn or junior high cafeterias.

  10. GG says:
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    Keeper Question:
    12 team League where we keep 12 with no cost associated with keepers and then auction to fill out the rosters. 6×6 with holds and OPS added.
    So far I’ve got Rizzo, Arenado, Kinsler, Beltre, Abreu, Pollock, Brantley, Scherzer, Kluber, Carrasco and Melancon pencilled in as keepers and I have C. Seager and Polanco as “prospects” that don’t count against my keeper total so need to fill one more spot.
    Options are to keep McCullers and add some youth to the rotation, keep Boxberger for a 2nd closer since they tend to be expensive in the auction or keep a bat like Fowler or Castro.
    Thanks for any and all advice!

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @GG: Id keep Castro

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @GG: What F said

    • J-FOH says:
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      @GG: keep McCullers my man.

  11. Dirty Johnson says:
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    Thanks Grey, Starlin ranked higher than Tulo?? its almost like you want us to win our leagues by projecting for next season instead of last season like most other ‘perts.

    Also which side you like in a vacuum Bryce/Soler or Abreu/Marte?

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @Dirty Johnson: I like the Bryce side…seems fair though

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Dirty Johnson: Yeah, that’s the goal, but don’t tell anyone…Harper, it’s fair

  12. hankg says:
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    Grey,
    Love the rankings – a highlight of the offseason! Quick question regarding keepers. I can keep 5 players at the draft rounds assigned to them. Right now, I have two obvious choices – Goldschmidt in the 16th round and Betts in the 24th. I have a number of good options for the remaining 3 spots (draft round in parenthesis):

    Bogaerts (10)
    Cole (22)
    Franco (25)
    Odor (25)
    Lindor (25)

    Based on today’s rankings and associated draft value, I am leaning toward keeping Cole, Franco and either Odor or Lindor. Do you agree with these choices and who would you prefer between Odor and Lindor? Thanks so much.

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @hankg: Bogaerts, Cole and Franco…you should still be able to get good value on Odor or Lindor in the draft…the other three will be gone early.

      • Def says:
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        @JeF WiTh 1 F: I doubt you get get Lindor or Odor with a value pick. Later in the draft.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @hankg: Agree with F

      • hankg says:
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        @Grey: Thanks, guys. Appreciate the input. I am leaning in that direction as well. Only catch is that Bogaerts costs a 10th round pick whereas the other two are valued as 25th round picks. If either breaks out this year, I will have great value going forward. Therefore, while I feel confident that Bogaerts is primed for a big year, I hate giving up on the potential of either Odor or Lindor. Does any of this change your mind or would you still go with Bogaerts? Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Doesn’t change my mind dramatically, but go with Lindor if you like his value…They’re close to a coin flip and obviously 25th round is much better

  13. Scott says:
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    If I was playing it safe, I would draft Kershaw before McCutcheon.

  14. First Lady of the Nation says:
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    Never be Balkan… That’s trade craft people.

  15. Joe says:
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    Grey, why do you hate M. Carpenter so much? Is it because you don’t know “which Carpenter” you’re going to get? Because every year he is in the top 10 at his position and still gets no love from you.

    • Fungazi says:
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      @Joe: If you look at his personal abilities and throw out counting stats which are team-based, you get a 10 homer, 4 steal guy with .275 avg. 28 homers was flukey, you gonna bank on that early?

      • Joe says:
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        You can’t “throw out” a player’s counting stats, you have to take into consideration what team he plays for and where he bats in the lineup. I don’t necessarily have any issues where he gets ranked, I was basically asking about the blurbs that Grey writes about him, he clearly does not care for him and I just wondered why.@Fungazi:

  16. Sport says:
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    Using your projections Deshields ranks in the top 100 on my list. Can get him much later but anything changed about your thoughts on him? OF is just too deep for him to be top 100?

    Thank you.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Sport: He’s ranked at 103 for me

  17. Prettay, Prettay, Pretaaay... Prettay good says:
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    Grey,

    I’ve done some terrible things in the keeper department lately… two years ago I kept Gyorko at $9, then last year I made the Wong decision to keep him at $9. Sexy, cheap, young middle infielders are my kryptonite.

    This year, I have another tough call, and I’m interested in your thoughts from a strategy standpoint.

    Quick league setup:
    14 Teams
    Modified ESPN Rosters (i.e. 10 hitters, 3 OF, 2 UT, 9 Pitchers)
    Head to Head 5×5
    $260 budget (reference point: Miggy went for $60 as the top non-kept player)
    6 Keepers (can keep guys for 4 years total with a $5 uplift each year)

    Here are my keepers so far:
    Harper $43
    Donaldson $15
    Arrieta $5
    Syndergaard $3

    Now, I need to keep two of the following three guys:
    Lindor $3
    Corey Seager $1
    Wade Davis $3

    Your rankings would suggest keeping Lindor and Seager, but I’m not sure if it a dumb move to put a SS in a UT spot, even if they are one of the top guys. I hate keeping closers due to their volatility, but Davis is in about as solid a situation as they come.

    Which two guys do you keep? And I’m interested in your thoughts on having a SS at UT if the price was right…

  18. Tweak says:
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    After these rankings, I feel pretty solid about my first draft.

    C – Wieters
    1B – Belt
    2B – Dozier
    3B – Machado
    SS – Correa
    OF – JDong
    OF – Cain
    OF – A. Eaton
    Uti – Pederson (OF)
    Uti – Sano (3B)
    BN – Pillar (OF)
    BN – Plouffe (1B/3B)
    BN – Semien (SS)
    BN – Castellanos (3B)

    P – Syndergaard, Stroman, Gausman, Matz, T. Walker, Nola, McCullers, Smyly

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tweak: I would too, nice team… You’re missing RPs though

      • Tweak says:
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        @Grey: Yeah. I’ve got Betances, but no real saves producer. Gausman qualifies at SP/RP. Typically, I avoid closers (this is a standard 5×5) in the draft because the position is so volatile and pick up the best SPs/batters that I can find. Then, I snag someone once the closer-by-committee thing seems to shake out in May or so. Hunter Strickland and Will Smith are targets for me later in the year.

        Still can’t believe Machado dropped to pick 18 and JD at 25.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I hear ya

  19. Oliver says:
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    Hi Grey,
    Thanks again for all the tips the past few years, it’s been invaluable.

    Now, for a keeper question…I can keep 4 for the first 4 rounds plus 1 rookie as my last round pick (Buxton) Yahoo 16 team H2H

    Which 4 do I keep?
    Goldschmidt
    Machado
    Dee Gordon
    Cespedes
    Davis
    Puig

    I can’t see keeping Puig over any of them but I’d love to know your thought on the last two keepers since Goldschmidt and Machado are a lock…

    Thank you!

    • Jason E. says:
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      @Oliver: According to his rankings in this article, Dee and Davis (assuming it’s Chris) are the highest rated.

    • Moneyball says:
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      @Oliver: Isn’t the answer above in the top 100 list?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Oliver: Obviously not Puig… Then you can dealer’s choice on Gordon or Yoenis, I’d just keep Gordon

  20. First Lady of the Nation (not of California) says:
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    12 team -25 keeper- 5×5
    Halfway through a rebuild and my pitching is…
    Archer, grey, Richards, Waingrow then meh sagnof closers. Prob trading my first rounder for Iglesias.

    Would you do smyly and gausman for grey and a slight draft pick upgrade?

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        @Grey: Grey!! He of course meant your son Gray. But you would get a big haul if someone were to trade you. Like the entire top 10 should do it! But you knew all of that, you cunning guy you!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh, I knew it!

      • First Lady of the Nation (not of California) says:
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        @Grey: auto correct is wonderful, and for you my friend this deal wouldn’t have got past jump let alone to the message board.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’d hope I’d be vetoed

  21. the swinging says:
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    This is so good I could pet you.

    Def drafting Matz hard.

    Soler is sexual like that u got him in.

    Almost went crosseyed when reading the strausberg writeup.

    Cheers King Grey.

  22. Ghost Ride the WHIP says:
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    Grey,

    Thanks as always for these rankings, keep up the solid work! I see that you want no part of Pollack this year but is that merely due to where he is being ranked/drafted? I’m contemplating my 6 keepers as the first six below and feel like he makes the cut. Would he be the first player you would offer in a trade of the group below and then pull up one of the bottom 3? Ideally i can trade all of the bottom 3.

    Rizzo
    Arenado
    Polanco
    Pollack
    Franco
    Scherzer

    Adam Jones
    Lindor
    Kemp

  23. Jason E. says:
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    This is one of my favorite articles of the year! I am really excited about Hosmer this year for fantasy. Maybe it’s because it feels like it’s been a decade of, “well maybe next year is when the break out will come”….then I look and remember he is only 26. He feels so much older

  24. spit says:
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    Would you say your general strategy this year is:

    ‘Punt’ C and one of 2B/SS, grab strong 1B/3B (at least one of these first 2 rounds), draft strong/upside pitchers in the mid-late rounds (your forte), and grab good OF all along the way?

    To me, Altuve seems the perfect complementary pick in the second round, especially if you took a power bat in the first. Kind of like Gronk in FFB – others at the position may come close, but he’s reliable and a good bet to finish as the top 2B.

    • Moneyball says:
      (link)

      @spit: In just about every league draft right now, Grey would end up with 1. Rizzo 2. Marte 3. Springer/Upton. But if Altuve were to drop into the 2nd round… then the answer is yes. He has him at 11 overall for a reason.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @spit: Agree with Moneyball… Altuve’s ranked above where I have him, so I’m likely not drafting him

  25. Gonzo_The_Great says:
    (link)

    Grey – You are a true national treasure who is making America great again one column at a time.

    Here’s a humdinger for you involving Jose Altuve- 12 team keeper league (keep four, one at no cost and three costing a draft pick). Do you?

    A) Keep Altuve at no cost, and keep the following at the cost of draft picks – Keuchel (10th), Kluber (14th), Frazier (19th)

    or

    B) Keep Justin Upton at no cost and keep Altuve (3rd), Kluber (14th), and Frazier (19th)

    My guess is that you think he’s a huge value if all I have to give up is a 3rd round pick, but just want to make sure my brain is calibrated right.

    • Moneyball says:
      (link)

      @Gonzo_The_Great: Re-calibrate. It looks like Keuchel for a 10th vs J.Upton for a 3rd. The rest doesn’t change.

  26. Moneyball says:
    (link)

    5th round might be tough to take 1st SP. I could very well see this playing out as having 4 hitters… and then being left with the choice of only Danny Salazar (overall #70) or picking a Maikel Franco type in round 5. Rankings say take Franco (esp if got 1B in round 1 and didn’t like Todd Frazier in rd.3) but then you’ve got an SP problem… you’re dropping to the Keuchel tier in round 6.

    Might want to go SP in round 4 to nab one of the high K/9 guys.
    With the way these ranks play out in a snake draft, you’ll probably get the hitters you still like in rounds 5 (and 6) before nabbing SP’s (Matz, Rodon, Tiajuana) in rounds 7-10.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Moneyball: Rankings are saying Salazar b/c you need an SP if you don’t have one by then, but I doubt you get to the 5th round and don’t have one SP to choose from

  27. jack florida says:
    (link)

    great work as usual, for any of us that follow this, it will surely shake up some drafts

  28. Gary W says:
    (link)

    Re: Braun and Polanco, you wouldn’t take Braun to try to maximize Polanco, since Polanco is likely to be around for the net pick? Feels like you’re leaving value on the table.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Gary W: If you wanna play it like that, sure

    • Christine Michael: one Unlucky Whitehead (just pop him or not) says:
      (link)

      @Gary W: you have to do your own ADP vs rankings work of course.

      • Gary W says:
        (link)

        @Christine Michael: one Unlucky Whitehead (just pop him or not):

        I mean, Polanco is going 93 in NFBC, Braun 42. The value difference between the two has to be negligible with Grey ranking them back-to-back, except for gaming the system, which rewards you for taking Braun a high % of the time. Think that has to be factored in.

  29. the swinging says:
    (link)

    The Dickerson ranking at 80 is surprising since I heard on the podcast he was somebody who even when healthy you thought had a decent chance of being dropable. I agree he’s somebody to avoid.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @the swinging: Yeah, maybe I have him a bit too high, but that’s where he ended up due to projections

    • SwaggerJackers says:
      (link)

      @the swinging: Agreed. The way that podcast went, I figured he’d be buried way outside the top 100.

  30. Scott says:
    (link)

    I got Jonesed in the nethers last year, so I won’t be drafting him.

  31. Evan says:
    (link)

    I can keep 2 of the following:
    Schwarber – 25th rnd
    Polanco – 15th rnd
    Matz – 25th rnd
    Taijuan – 25th rnd
    Severino – 25th rnd

    Who do you nab?

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
      (link)

      @Evan: Polanco…Schwarber

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Evan: Agree with F

  32. Snarky Anklebiter says:
    (link)

    In Yahoo, Matt Duffy has 2B eligibility. Would you place him gently on top of Starlin?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Snarky Anklebiter: Duffy’s ranked close by after the top 100, so I could see it

  33. Funny Name says:
    (link)

    This was a weird article for me. First I was sitting a few rows back from the 3rd base dugout for the Carl Everett headbutt game. I’ll always remember the name Ron Kulpa. Then you mentioned Ziggy Sobotka and I recently started watching the wire and am in the middle of season 2.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Funny Name: I’m speaking to you….from three feet behind you…don’t turn around…yet.

  34. Big Money Matt says:
    (link)

    If you follow Grey’s rankings to a t, in most yahoo and ESPN leagues you can take a few luxury picks like Posey, a top SP or top RP and still get some of the guys in the top 40 between 50-100

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Big Money Matt: Prolly, if against all people using their rankings

  35. 'Saul Gooood, Man says:
    (link)

    F@$# me, I’m right there with ya on the amount of OF’ers. It’s going to drive me insane draft day. As long as I have Betts or Marte, I’ll survive.

    Love the Jessica Jones references. No one will listen to my referrals on the show, little do they know.

      • 'Saul Gooood, Man says:
        (link)

        @Grey: You’re going to love what is coming.

        I just binged season 1 right after Netflix added it, as I’m sure we all did.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I watched it live, loved it

    • Zeus says:
      (link)

      @‘Saul Gooood, Man: agreed on Jessica Jones and OF. I’m going to have a hard time not having 4 OF in my first 8 picks along with the corners and 2 Indians pitchers

      • 'Saul Gooood, Man says:
        (link)

        @Zeus: Yessir. We’ll have the same team.

        • Zeus says:
          (link)

          @‘Saul Gooood, Man: yeah and catcher parity is there value wise but the stars can vary so you can figure out your best option according to your lineup. MI is going to be rough this year but there’s always guys that surprise like Duffy past year.

  36. Curtis says:
    (link)

    You’re the best Grey. Any thoughts on draft position for NFBC? I am waiting on a Draft Champions league to start (15 teams, 50 rounds, draft and hold), and currently have them ranked 8th down to 1st, then 9th to 15th (so my first choice is the 8 slot, eighth choice is 1 slot, last choice is 15 slot). I looked at your top 20 vs. the NFBC ADP info and felt like 8 was the sweet spot for the first few rounds.

    Thank you sir.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Curtis: Thanks! 7th to 12th feels solid

  37. Big Mike says:
    (link)

    I will never doubt Grey again. Two years ago, he told me to hold tight on keeping Rizzo. Last year, he gave me the thumbs-up on keeping Arenado and Betts even though both were borderline. That allowed me to trade Longoria and a pitcher for two high draft picks. I went with the chalk and didn’t pickup Arietta with the extra pick, and regretted the decision. In a public head-to-head league, I wound up drafting Goldschmidt in round 1, Harper in round 2, Arenado in round 3, and sleepwalked to the title.

  38. Teddy Heater says:
    (link)

    BFF! Great breakdown!! Surprised you had Dickerson so high, not that I’d draft him but I figured he’d be around 120-130.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Honestly, if you have 2 or 3 OFs by then, which I’m guessing people might, there’s no way he’s being drafted

  39. ERad says:
    (link)

    I guess Ryan Braun and I have more in common than I thought

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      One working hand?

      • ERad says:
        (link)

        @Grey: And it’s all I need!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, you’re good to go right there

  40. ChrisL says:
    (link)

    Thoughts on Yelich?

  41. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Woah Polanco! Love it!

    1. Totally get your MEH on Carpenter…but, does that change for OBP leagues? Looking over the 3B, after the top 4 superstars, there really isn’t anyone besides Carp who has average, let alone plus, OBP. Guys like Frazier could really do some OBP damage. (Carp is 70 overall on ESPN and 50 on our OBP player rater rankings . . . )

    2. Speaking of trying to draft a 1B in the first round, would you say, in 12 team OBP + OPS leagues, that Miggy and Votto become legit late first round picks and Davis becomes an early 2nd rounder?

    I love the idea of having an elite OBP guy like Votto (or hopefully Votto-lite, Brandon Belt!) as my UTl or 1B with an OBP risk higher-counting stat upside guy. Did that last year with Carlos Santana . . . who was a disaster in AVG leagues but, at the very least, helped keep my OBP healthy to balance out my free swingers.

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
      (link)

      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Also, THANK YOU for yet another year of bold, amazing rankings. Every draft I’m amazed by the values I can get, particularly in the early/mid rounds when other people are drafting names and capital A Aces.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1. No, he’s solid for OBP 2. Yup

  42. Zeus says:
    (link)

    Great list compared to the rote lists from some of the other industry folks. Curious if you’ve seen other lists and if so which is the best and which is the worst. I love catty Grey. Meeeeeeow

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I haven’t really looked yet

      • Zeus says:
        (link)

        @Grey: the negative aspect of berry retiring is I don’t get to make fun of him. maybe I’ll start trolling the CBS guys. Some of their opinions are ridiculous

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Berry retired?

          • 'Saul Gooood, Man says:
            (link)

            @Grey: From baseball.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              ‘S’all good man!

              • Zeus says:
                (link)

                @Grey: I only do DFS football so thankfully no berry in my life. Except on Stern where Michael Rappaport harasses him

  43. Copperhead Road says:
    (link)

    I’m sure this may become clearer after tomorrow but I’ll ask your opinion anyway. I can keep Belt for $10 and Castellanos for $1. Belt is only 1B eligible. I have Votto and Machado as keepers. Looking at potential keepers of other owners the big bats available are corners so I’ll prolly go big for my CO.. So both would likely be used as my util. Who do you think is the better value? It’s kinda coming down to one of those as a final keeper with a $1 W Myers or $6 McCann as another possibility. Thanks and always appreciate the work on the posts.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! I’d keep Belt

      • Copperhead Road says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks. Just wish he was OF for me too. Not sure he gets the 10 game needed for in season eligibility for my league. Giants are a little deeper this year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  44. Mac-10 says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    First time post, Great rankings, love the site, keep up the great work.

    Keeper Question

    5×5 roto, 15 team league, up to 10 keepers (keep forever), 25 man roster where all players are active, 2 at every infield position, 5 OF, and 10 total pitchers.

    My current keepers are
    1B Anthony Rizzo
    1B Jose Abreu
    2B/3B Anthony Rendon
    3B Miguel Sano
    OF JD Martinez
    OF George Springer
    OF Mookie Betts
    P Max Scherzer
    P Matt Harvey
    P Felix Hernandez

    I am trying really hard to find a way to add Addison Russell to this keeper list but not sure who to remove. Doing what Russell did at the age of 21, I think in a year or 2 he could be a top 50 player. My initial gut feeling tells me to cut ties with Felix do to the depth of pitching these days. Any advice would be much appreciated.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Think you gotta let Russell go

      • Mac-10 says:
        (link)

        Yeah I figured you would say that. Its tough, he will be the first pick of the draft. I was looking more for 2017 and beyond.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Go with him over Rendon then if you’re feeling him

  45. Snoman says:
    (link)

    Yahoo has some insanely different projections. And it seems to me that is because they are clearly insane. Just a few that stood out to me most. I trust your rankings more so than theirs so it’s looking like easy pickings here this year in Yahoo at least. That is until Yahoo spies on this post and re-ranks them all.

    Bogaerts #77
    Polanco #86
    Franco #153
    Schoop #267
    Lawrie #238
    Soler #145

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Keep in mind, I drafted Carrasco and Arrieta last year in a Yahoo expert league after picks 80

  46. Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
    (link)

    The Bill Withers reference was on point. So was the Polanco ranking, but I’m a yinzer so take my wishful thinking with a grain of salt n’at.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks, SchnozH20! See what I did there?

      • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
        (link)

        Ha!

        One of these days I’m going to comment on my own post as James Westfall.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You mean, DOCTOR James Westfall

          • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
            (link)

            Or the OCTAGON….you fantasy baseballers play your cards right, you might just get to meet the whole gang.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Be a fun time for everyone!

  47. Ldbowe10 says:
    (link)

    Pick three and one alterenate. 14 team h2h league. Stanton 2rd, davis 4th rd, machado 5th rd, pollock 9th rd, carrasco, 12 rd, rodon 22rd?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Stanton, Machado, Pollock, Carrasco

  48. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    I think you’re the only person who has deGrom higher than I do in terms of positional rankings. Daring me to move him up? Challenge accepted! You have him about the same as I do in the overall though.

    Gomez and Dickerson are the players that we’re way off on. .248 with 12 steals for Gomez? Really? That feels like a projection that’s tweaked to fit the ranking. And Dickerson has a .249 career batting average away from Coors, with shaky LHP splits and a bum foot to boot.

    I dig Polanco, Franco, Heyward, and Odor too. Hope to get those players on multiple teams.

    I think there’s a problem with the site though. I’m seeing Schoop where Duda should be. Might want to call the tech guy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I just don’t want Gomez, feels on the wrong side of things… I’m not drafting Dickerson, no matter the ranking… You can’t be that excited about Duda, it’s seriously not possible… He’s only good for three weeks out of six months

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Fair enough on Gomez and agreed on Dickerson.

        And Duda? Well, I knew you didn’t actually read my articles! Take out the six weeks that he was playing through a bum knee and he’s been very good for the last two years. Don’t you like 30 HR players?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Are you using reverse psychology on me, Magoo? I’m not going to fall for this line of questioning. I do like 30 HR players. Okay, here’s using your sneaky questioning back at ya… Duda hits 27 HRs and .250… Why not draft Colby Rasmus instead 200 picks later who is good for 25 HRs and .250?

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Because Rasmus has hit .238 or lower in four out of the last five years, never hit more than 23 homers prior to last year’s 25, and has a much higher K-rate and much lower BB-rate, and isn’t an asset at all in terms of counting stats?

            Duda hit 30 homers in 2014 and would’ve hit another 30 last year without the knee issue (still hit 27). I’m sure that a replacement level 1B off of the wire like a Bour during his cold streak would’ve gotten you to 30 homers out of that lineup slot.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Okay, but why not Rasmus, Magoo? Hmm… Kidding, Duda’s obviously better than Rasmus, don’t put words in my mouth! You know who I’m liking when I see how deep he’s going? Same mold as Duda, Trumbo

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
                (link)

                @Grey: You brought the Rasmus comp into the conversation! I had to put on my timberlands and squash that one.

                Trumbo’s a much better comp. The main differences are that Duda is an everyday player while Trumbo could be platooned/pulled for a defensive replacement, Duda hits in a better spot in the lineup (cleanup to probably 6th for Trumbo), and Duda has a much better OBP thanks to a superior BB-rate which gives him better run scoring potential.

                I can at least see the Trumbo argument. Rasmus? How dare you!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Fair points, Magoo… I don’t see Duda as a top 100 player though, but fair points… (Rasmus!)

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: That’s fine. He’s right around that cutoff for me too. We all have our favorites. Don’t make me break out the Belt comps!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Oh boy…

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I with Magoo on Duda and Gomez, through first two months Duda had a line of 31/9/25/.297. Of course we want the RBI’s to be higher but thats still pretty nice. He got hurt at the end of May and played through it and it showed. Last two months were better and by September he had the his best K/BB ratio and pitchers were staying away from him. With Cespedes back his RBI opps should be there all year as well as getting better pitches to hit.

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Did someone say Duda?

  49. Brian says:
    (link)

    would you deal xander/sano and 1 of either degrom/salazar/price for bryant and 1 of blackmon or carlos gomez?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure, Salazar…Blackmon…

  50. Jobu Needs a Refill says:
    (link)

    Which 4 guys would you keep in this group:

    Corey Seager (very late rounder)
    Andrew McCutchen (1st)
    Buster Posey (3rd)
    Miguel Sano (very late rounder)
    Schwarber (very late rounder)
    Arrieta (2nd)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not Arrieta, McCutchen

      • Jobu Needs a Refill says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        If you have 12 teams, and everyone carries over 5 players, likely the best 40ish players in baseball are going to be gone. (assuming the distribution of great players isn’t even across the teams).

        Given that, doesn’t it make sense to carry over a guy like McCutchen because his replacement even in the 1st round won’t be as good? You’d essentially be trading McCutchen for Sano + #45 ranked player (in your case : Prince Fielder). Is that a good trade?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Sure

  51. J-FOH says:
    (link)

    I finally finished the Fargo’s. Wow, I like both seasons equally. Lou was great and I love the crazy Indian. My only wish would of been for Mike to use his wrist gun on the corporate mob guy and walked out of the building like a gangsta!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice!

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I get your guys love now but am I the only one that doesnt want the characters to go away? Tell me the Indians story after he becomes moses. Show me peggy in the pen. Tell me more about Mike, what happens to mike in a few years. I have questions dammit!

        I thought they were gonna tie the aliens and ted dansons weird hyroglyphs together which would of led to some kind of low key comment to Lou like,”and those aliens, saw them back in 72″

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I look forward to next year when it’s present day again

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Grey: me too, but right now I need to be held. I’m not adjusting well to life without Fargo

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Sorry to give you a hit of it

  52. papasmurf says:
    (link)

    That Dickerson trade really sucked for my team. Talk about a limper. I had to keep someone and went with Longoria, who’ll probably be swing his stick in front of CDick.

    Longo to CDick, there’s a sexy lineup combo.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha!

  53. ChefBoyRG54 says:
    (link)

    I think it is fair to say I will be listed somewhere in the top Kajillion for fantasy baseball this season. Since this is the case, could you give me some projections for myself?

    Some vital background:
    -Probably never saw a pitch faster than 80mph growing up playing, so ill have to sit on offspeed pitches
    -Never really saw many breaking pitches in local rec ball, so will basically be guessing
    -Only had back surgery once so far
    -Very limited upside, but if given the chance i would at least show up to the field everyday
    -pretty decent at slow pitch softball, but speed is not something i possess

    I’d like to think that if we were to assume about a ‘kajillion minus 1’ injuries, that i could get a solid 100 ABs, right? That has to be good for……at least one BB and a few HBP if i lean into them?

    • Jobu Needs a Refill says:
      (link)

      @ChefBoyRG54:

      I’d probably rank you just above Jay Bruce

      • ChefBoyRG54 says:
        (link)

        @Jobu Needs a Refill: i tried to think of a witty response, but could only keep laughing every time i read this. Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You’re right behind Eric Thames

      • ChefBoyRG54 says:
        (link)

        @Grey: and here i was hoping for Marcus Thames…wherever he is, im pretty sure he is in scoring position

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Even on deck he’s in scoring position

  54. Jr says:
    (link)

    Love the rankings! I have 16 of your top 100 (6 in the top 30) of my 12 team, 7×7 h2h keeper league so I hope you’re on!

    I know you’re gonna say I have too much pitching, but I’m curious what you think of my team. It’s pre draft so I have to fill a few positions but this is what I will have going into the draft.
    1b Abreu
    2b Altuve
    3b Frazier
    SS Tulo
    OF marte, Braun, Pence
    UTIL Beltre
    DL Brantley
    SP Kershaw, Scherzer, Strasburg, Cueto, Lester, Samardzija, Iwakuma
    RP Kimbrel, Jansen, Allen

    Guys like Goldy, machado, trout, Harper, Stanton Correa aren’t going to be traded, but where do you think I could try to upgrade at offense?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You know what I think from my rankings and comments… Too much pitching…Too many old, injury prone OFs, Beltre and Tulo aren’t good… Your team is old on hitting in general

  55. Bill Lumbergh says:
    (link)

    Grey: 12 team dynasty H2H roto – trade my Strasburg/Pollock/Ian Desmond for his Gerritt Cole/Soler/Semien/Grichuk?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah

  56. Bobv says:
    (link)

    Which way would you go with the draft
    Rizzo, marte, Frazier
    Machado,encarnacion, Jd Martinez

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      What?

      • Tigres says:
        (link)

        I think it’s a poem?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I do enjoy a nice verse

      • Bobv says:
        (link)

        @Grey: as your first 3 picked which combo you like

  57. Jeff says:
    (link)

    How much does Chris Davis move up in OBP (no average) formats?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      15 spots

      • Jeff says:
        (link)

        As in top 5-7 range?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          5-7 range of what? Overall? No. Of 1B? Yes

          • Jeff says:
            (link)

            You have him at 23 overall. Roughly, where would he be overall in OBP only formats?

            thanks and sorry for confusion.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I’m the reason for the confusion, I misunderstood… I’d take him in the 15-20 range

  58. Polka

    Polka says:
    (link)

    love the truth bomb on Sano!
    I love him like a Step brother with down syndrome, but a lot of these Perts’ have him boner high on a snow bank-
    I have a 5 guys/$80 keeper cap in my $1000 local league- I mean toothpicks not dollars-
    it’s 7×7 with OPS/K’s for hitter and Holds/Losses for pitchers

    $52 AuShizz
    $13 Marte
    $11 Heyward
    $2 Pence
    $2 Archer-
    $5 Giles
    $10 A. Miller
    I can prolly get Shizz for a little more if I drop him back in my over inflated league, and keep Arch/Giles/Marte/Heyward and have lots of extra cash to re own him or maybe Migs but 1B blows goat this year and he’s a beef cake?
    Any thoughts??
    Thanks,
    one protest- 5 days a week podcast dammit!!!
    like the WHO SANG- the BEST I EVER HAD!!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Gary Allen? Thanks! No idea who you’re taking if not Goldy, Pence is kinda whatever… But if you want, go for it

      • Polka

        Polka says:
        (link)

        Yeah I know, it’s still almost $9 under my projected price for him in the 10 team-
        just means I cant keep both Marte and Heyward …I’ll figure it out but, Marte fo sho..Heyward just seem intriguing in that stacked line-up, and Gangle-Bird maybe?
        @Grey:

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          If you can get Goldy back for near the same price, then sure

  59. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    I’ve seen you reference “pitches in Petco” a couple of times. Member a couple years ago when I was the first person practically anywhere to say Texas was no longer a power hitters park. And then it came true?

    Just giving you a heads up I said the same thing about Petco. Moved the fences in. Played small and eff me if I don’t reamed for this but…climate change.

    My folks are like weather nuts, they have a weather station in their backyard so I get a 10 minute weather update about 3 times a week minimum. Relative humidity has gone through roof, heavy ocean fog no longer a summer staple with the rise in ocean temp. Ball is traveling like a mother. Was actually a very above average hitters park last year and may keep playing that way.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I saw how Petco played last year, but I’d like to see it for more than one year before declaring it a hitters park

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Go ahead…stay behind the curve!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Just looking for a larger sample size — what she said, as well

          • GhostTownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            Tis a small sample size. But I think I’d be very careful about adding a Petco boost to any pitcher there. Especially if you don’t really believe in the underlying skill set.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              I believe in 9+ K/9

              • GhostTownSteve says:
                (link)

                @Grey:

                Wasn’t referring to any particular guy

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Figured Ross, since he’s the only Padres pitcher I’m even remotely interested in

                  • GhostTownSteve says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey:

                    Nope. Just meant it might be time to bury the pitches/plays in Petco narrative until we see how the park plays last year.

                    Just like with breakout players, Petco was kind of a breakout park last year. If you’re suggesting anybody adjust their evaluation of a player to suggest pitchers get a boost and players get a ding, it might be time to at least give that narrative a sabbatical and send it to find itself in Tuscany for awhile.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      I didn’t sell that narrative much this year, think I mentioned Petco twice in the past 50,000 words… I saw how it played last year… I’m just saying maybe we should wait for a bigger sample size either way

                    • GhostTownSteve says:
                      (link)

                      @GhostTownSteve:

                      If we should wait, why are we saying ” A guy with a 9 K/9 that pitches his home games in Petco…”

                      Purveyor of narrative…what would Plato say?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Cause it’s been ten years as a pitchers’ park and one year as a hitters’ park

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Oh, and Arlington wasn’t a pitchers’ park last year

                    • GhostTownSteve says:
                      (link)

                      @GhostTownSteve:

                      Never said Texas was a pitchers park. Just said it pivoted to play more neutral. ESPN rank 12 best place for HR hitters last year, 17th the year before.

                      Petco was 10th last year. 24th the year before. Worth thinking about.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Arlington wasn’t neutral last year

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      You’re implying I haven’t thought about it, of course I saw Petco was more hitting friendly last year…

                    • GhostTownSteve says:
                      (link)

                      @GhostTownSteve:

                      let us never speak of this again

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha… Agreed!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Until morrow has a 2.50 ERA in June, of course

                    • GhostTownSteve says:
                      (link)

                      @GhostTownSteve:

                      I love Morrow. He was excellent on that Alaska show.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      The Real Eskimo Housewives of Anchorage?

                    • GhostTownSteve says:
                      (link)

                      @GhostTownSteve:

                      “You got a view of Russia from your house, you skanky mooseknuckle ho? Uh uh didn’t think so.”

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha… “She’s been terrible to me ever since I married the biggest salmon canner in Juneau.”

                    • Christine Michael: one Unlucky Whitehead (just pop him or not) says:
                      (link)

                      @GhostTownSteve: you should know better than to use ESPN’s park factors. BP’s got em down (better sample size and i’d actually trust their metric) for 109 for righty homers and 113 for lefty, so it’s clearly not a pitchers park. it’s mid pack (actually right next to TEX for those same numbers)

              • The great knoche says:
                (link)

                @Grey: agree, love Ross and Shields this year as walk rates were career outliers for both (yes Ross is still going to walk a ton) and Shields had an ungodly HR/FB% even with global warming. Shields should be a nice rebound value play.

                Plus without Gyorko at SS more of those ground balls should become outs.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  I’m not crazy about Shields, he’s okay, bit too unpredictable, went over him in the starters

                  • The great knoche says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: Lots of outliers last year like you said in top 60. I just think for where he’s going in drafts after giving up 23% HR/FB he could easily be a Top 25 starter and a value if the walks come back down to his career norms.

                    I get it, You won’t pay to find out, but around Pick 125 I think I would.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      That’s fair, it could easily work out for you, his K/9 was nice, he was unlucky, I’m not sold on Petco being a bad pitchers’ park… Only real pause on him is his age

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      …and unpredictability

                    • The great knoche says:
                      (link)

                      @The great knoche: Dont forget about El Niño.

    • royce! says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: I’m with you on this one and made a similar observation last season. There had always been a period post-ASB where the Padres finally started hitting at home and everyone got excited about the future, only to be let down by their bats again come April. So last year when our “spring” was like a normal mid-summer, from what I recall, offenses were doing well at Petco.

      But! I don’t think you should put too much weight on this observation because the Padres defense was really, really atrocious last year, so I’m going to wait and see how it goes this year with an actual CF (as much as you can call Melvin that) etc.

  60. Bobv says:
    (link)

    Are you getting a shortstop only when there’s value for it you said you weren’t going to get one in the top 100 so is your plan to get boagerts as soon as your roster will let you or doesn’t really matter what ss you get?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I draft one MI usually in the top 100, SS or 2b

  61. Phil says:
    (link)

    In a keeper league where I get to keep Carrasco very late in the draft. What round would you recommend I take my next pitcher?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’ll go over pitcher pairings in a soon to be released post… Around Matz works

      • Phil says:
        (link)

        @Grey: That’s right forgot about that post. Thanks!

  62. Jason says:
    (link)

    Oh boy, Yahoo ranks are whack and if I posted some of my lineups you guys would prob call b.s. Thanks again Grey for the rankings/humor, should be a fun season!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No problem!

  63. ChefBoyRG54 says:
    (link)

    How much would it cost for you to move Soler up to #1 overall for a couple hours so i can have some fuel for a trade? 3,000,000 clicks?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha! 3 million clicks is about 42 cents

      • ChefBoyRG54 says:
        (link)

        @Grey: by that math you should be doing daily updates that only include 3.2 words per click.

        Or run your site from Burundi and live like a king!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Why do you say I’m not in Burundi?

  64. Tigres says:
    (link)

    OBP league: Puig + C Santana or Belt + Bruce? Grazie Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Belt

  65. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    Schwarber’s is a strange case. His NFBC ADP is 29. And yes it’s a two catcher format but man. Somebody took him 7th!

    I feel like even where you have him here is too high for your projection. If he’s going to hit .228? No thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, the power’s big, but I’m not drafting him this year

    • The great knoche says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: agree ADP is nuts. He could end up being Jay Bruce this year very easily.

  66. Nick says:
    (link)

    Great work Grey ^^

    so if i resume well

    in a 10 teams keeper league i have
    Rd#1 Goldy
    Rd#2 Alty
    Rd#3 Encarnacion Springer Bautista !! wow
    no Rd#4
    no Rd#5 … that works with the 2Cortisone shots
    Rd#6 Archer
    Rd#7 Salazar
    Rd#8 Sano
    Rd#9 KJansen + M.Carpenter
    Rd#10 TJWalker

    i’d add Khris Davis / Ian Desmond / cody Allen to complete the team

  67. Mike says:
    (link)

    I’m allowed to keep three…

    Marte in the 4th
    Wade Davis in the 16th
    Sano in the 17th
    Kyle Swchaber in the 18th

    I know you love Marte and are down on Sano/Schwarber, but does the value outweigh the love?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not Davis

  68. JohnnyBeGood says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! cant decide between these 3 keepers in 6×6 roto league:

    B Hamilton in 16th
    Hosmer in 17th
    Darvish in 18th

    Im.leaning Hamilton over Hosmer, what u think?…thanks!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hosmer

      • JohnnyBeGood says:
        (link)

        @Grey: thanks man…is it fairly close IYO, or u def rather have Hos?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Pretty clear from the post you’re commenting on

  69. royce! says:
    (link)

    I was rereading what you had written about Schwarber and it seems that all of his negatives apply equally to Bryant. For example, you pointed out how crap his contact rate was, stating, “If he qualified last year, he would’ve been the 4th worst player for contact rate.” Bryant did qualify, at least at Fangraphs, and he was the actual leader, just above Pederson and Chris Davis. The difference can’t he hard contact percentage, because Schwarber had a higher one than Bryant. So what it seems to come down to, if you don’t mind me putting words in your mouth, is that Bryant seems to have adapted to MLB pitching after a crap July, whereas Schwarber has yet to do so.

    It’s clearly been too long since baseball bc I don’t care at all about either player and probably won’t end up with them unless they fall far, but their similarities were too intriguing to keep quiet. Also, I’m in a lull at work.

    • royce! says:
      (link)

      @royce!: More on Schwarber- he could just need to platoon. .143 avg with nearly 45% K and .481 OPS. Looks great against righties.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        This!

        • royce! says:
          (link)

          @Grey: Yeah, this…Probably shouldn’t draft a platoon player in the first 5 rounds.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Exactly

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You still working? I thought you were full time Sam Malone now… Yeah, I’m not on Schwarber for his career but he’s too high for this year before adjustments and he’s in a platoon

      • royce! says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Haha, Sam Malone. I wish! I wouldn’t be a good bartender anyway. I like to think that I am capable of hiding my disdain for certain people but Lauren tells me otherwise…

        I worked on the bar for a month, gonna go back maybe a couple of times in March (once to get it all together, the other for opening party), but I’m mostly still doing the law thing.

        Speaking of bars, a guy who used to bartend down in SD opened a place in Portland called Victory Bar a while back. Why am I telling you this? Because he seems to respond to all negative reviews on yelp in hilarious ways. For example, here’s one of his responses to a generally bad review:

        Thank you Sara A for your constructive criticism. Your review reminds me of a fun little story about a friend of mine named Larry. Larry is a real turd. Recently Larry and I were hanging out together. Larry said to me: “This room smells terrible”. And then I told Larry: “Take a look in the mirror.” And then Larry said: “I’m in the jacuzzi, I can’t see the mirror from here.” And then I said: “Larry, that’s not a jacuzzi. That’s a toilet bowl.” The moral of this story is this: If something seems wrong, take a look in the mirror before you waste other people’s time. Thanks for your feedback Sara, hope you give us another try.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Why isn’t the Victory owner a writer on Razzball?! He’s awesome… Sara is a turd, btw… Thought you guys were even considering moving up to Seattle, must be remembering it wrong…

          • royce! says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Yeah, some real gems in those reviews. I don’t recall him being into fantasy baseball, so there’s that. But who really cares as long as he’s dropping knowledge like The Story of Larry the Turd.

            We were considering moving to Seattle but won’t do it bc of family down here. The bar will provide me an excuse to travel there a lot more often, though. If the Seattle bar works out, I’m hoping to do something closer to home in the next year or two. It’s crazy how much more expensive it is to do something in SD or LA, though. So we’ll see.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Twice as much? Three times as much?

            • Christine Michael: one Unlucky Whitehead (just pop him or not) says:
              (link)

              @royce!: bryant’s hit tool was ranked higher as he came up too in minors.

              RE: working in a bar with assholes as customers. I’m not a bartender, but i would make a good one, i got the philosophy degree requirement down, and the trick to dealing with assholes is to enjoy their stories, no matter how bad they themselves actually are in said stories. It’s actually funniest the farther from an asshole they try to make themselves out to be in their stories. Getting a guy to tell his stories also makes him a better customer, as other patrons often don’t want to hear this stuff, but you, the listener would likely get him to stay longer when you are a good listener.

        • Zeus says:
          (link)

          @royce!: your friend is awesome. Someone needs to tell these self obsessed millenial assclowns what to insert where. Definitely will hit that bar up next time in Portand.

  70. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    Just did a mock on Fantasy Pros out of the 5 slot where I picked Stanton, Marte, Blackmon and Upton in 4 out of my first 5. Took Stras as my SP1. Thought it looked pretty good. I think you can get good value around the diamond later. Not a terrible strategy.

    • GhostTownSteve says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve:

      And also took Kalhoun in the 8th

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Liking that first five a lot

  71. dem ribbies says:
    (link)

    My:
    $27 Abreu and $4 Brantley
    for his:
    $18 Betts and $6 DeGrom

    you hold or make that deal?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Betts side

  72. Raoul Duke says:
    (link)

    My current keepers are Trout, Machado, Bogaerts, Pederson, Rendon, Fernandez and Harvey. I like Bogaerts okay, but I am thinking about trading Trout for Correa and Cespedes. Then trying to move Bogaerts for an upgrade over Pederson in the OF. Is it crazy thinking about trying to trade Trout?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Little crazy

      • Raoul Duke says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks for being my voice of reason. I have a fantasy baseball crush on Correa.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  73. torenado says:
    (link)

    So, you are saying I should join that dynasty league that fields 5 OF’s I’ve been considering?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup!

  74. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    Grey I feel like you might be feeling what I feel but just fighting against it. Tap deep into your feelings and see if you really really believe. I just said this to the NFBC boys…

    Strasburg is this year’s Arrieta. He’s the guy to own. There’s something in the ether, right? He’s going to be a top 5 pitcher at a discount price. Maybe top 3. Maybe #1. Right. Spider sense.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’m not fighting it, I said I wanted to to draft him this year

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Feeling it!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Feeling it!

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        But you’re fighting it a little. Trust issues. Are you feeling it or FEELING IT?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’d like to draft him, I’m not reaching prior to where I ranked him…Seeing ADP so far, I’ll likely own him

          • GhostTownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            FEELING IT

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              *FEELING IT*

              • GhostTownSteve says:
                (link)

                @Grey:

                Oh yeah that’s an AMEN

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Amen!

                  • Bye Felica says:
                    (link)

                    @Grey: DONT DO IT MAN!!!!
                    He’s burned us way too many times over the years! HAHAHAHA

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      HA

  75. Hurleyman says:
    (link)

    Interesting keeper options for me. 13 team mixed 5×5 with up to 5 keepers.

    For sure – Rizzo and Arenado

    Then either –
    A) Trout and one of Heyward, Strasburg, or Carrasco

    B) Heyward, Strasburg, and Carrasco

    One more minor consideration is that Trout can not be kept past this year but others potentially could, the lower ranked guys could be kept this year and next.

    Thanks.
    PS I can’t keep Au Shizz any longer…woe is me.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Trout, Heyward

  76. Mike says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey,

    Happy early Valentine’s Day!

    14 team OBP keeper league

    I hav Arenado ($10) which is awesome. But…I have been offered this trade.

    I give up Harvey ($12) and Familia ($9)
    For
    Frazier ($16).

    Frazier would go into my CI, but I would lose my best pitching keeper.

    What do you think?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d want Frazier

  77. Awesome Auger says:
    (link)

    De Grom would be “Boy Thunder” in Bosnian… I don’t know if that’s a kick ass nickname or something I should be worried about typing in to Google.

    “Why don’t you have a seat over there…”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA!

  78. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    millenial assclowns is phrase of the day

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      According to Oxford Dictionary?

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        coined by zeus above and endorsed here

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yung Zeesus, the Great

  79. FrankGrimes says:
    (link)

    say something positive about mad bum for once!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I did on Tidal, but it didn’t buffer right so you couldn’t hear it

  80. DonnieB says:
    (link)

    Would you keep Fielder at $10 or Belt at $7? Fielder starts season as DH only. Also have Lawrie at $5.

  81. NOMNOM says:
    (link)

    So you’ve already released your top 400, hidden within the previous years rankings of the top 400…sweet!

  82. Hot Rod

    JimmyBond says:
    (link)

    is anyone doing the Fantasy War Room excel spreadsheet this year? My draft won’t be the same without it. Last year I customized mine with some conditional formatting to make players’ names red when they were picked by others, and incorporated the Razzball rankings too…

  83. Dave F says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Are their hitters on this list that you would avoid in an OBP league where Ks count against you?

    Are their pitchers on this list that you’d avoid in a league that counts both WHIP and BB/9?

  84. Jonny says:
    (link)

    What up Grey! Thanks for all your hard work! Who would you keep out of the below player pool? It’s a dynasty auction h2h league where the salaries inflate by the greater of $3 or 20% every year. $260 auction budget. Standard 5×5, except we use QS instead of wins and K/9, instead of K’s. We’re allowed to keep any 8 players…I’m thinking about rolling with: Goldy, Dozier, Frazier, Correa, Crush, Harper, Sano, Kimbrel. However, would you keep a guy like Matz, since my pitching is so weak? Or just use my excess auction dollars/play the wire in hopes of landing some stud SP/Closers? Thanks for your time brother!

    Player 2016 Salary
    J.P. Arencibia C, 1B — $4
    Paul Goldschmidt 1B — $7
    Brian Dozier 2B — $9
    Todd Frazier 3B, 1B — $7
    Carlos Correa SS — $4
    Brett Lawrie 3B, 2B —- $4
    Miguel Cabrera 1B, DH —- $53
    Chris Davis 1B, 3B, OF, DH — $20
    Bryce Harper OF — $22
    Jason Heyward OF — $34
    Carlos Gonzalez OF — $41
    Kevin Kiermaier OF — $4
    Miguel Sano DH — $4
    Craig Kimbrel RP — $16
    Hector Rondon RP —$19
    Jaime Garcia SP — $4
    Alex Wood RP — $17
    Steven Matz SP — $4
    Andrew Heaney SP —$4
    Taylor Jungmann SP —-$4
    Tyler Duffey SP — $4
    Rich Hill RP, SP — $4
    Wil Myers OF, 1B — $14
    Hisashi Iwakuma SP — $4
    Collin McHugh SP —- $4

  85. Darren says:
    (link)

    I had to laugh at your question about people that jump straight to Bogaerts’ write up. I did, but for keeper purposes. haha

  86. tyler says:
    (link)

    Polonco over J Hay? whaaaaaaaa!?!? He may be lead ing off in the best lineup in the NL!
    Thanks for all the work you have done with the rankings, I look forward to them everyday. I am sorry if this is a repetitive question, but I know Rudy does a $ value for all the players based on steamer projections, but is that used to rank players somehow? Last year in the draft I used your rankings, and then ranks of each player in a position based on $ values, and used the highest dollar amount to draft the next player available. Is that how you/Rudy draft a team?

  87. papasmurf says:
    (link)

    I am on the Polanco train with you, Grey. I confess, In my keeper league I originally wanted Corey Seager or Lindor, but both got snatched up in the two picks right before my pick, so I went with Polanco even though I already have Stanton in RF.

    So yes, I am aboard the P train. Let’s go!

    I would be happy with 12 homers and 25 steals and a .270 BA.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice, me too!

  88. SpecialFNK says:
    (link)

    unless I missed it, are you going to do a ranking for just closers? I see some closers in this list but I haven’t seen a list for just all of the closers.

  89. Andrew says:
    (link)

    i’m keeping rizzo in the 4th rd and machado in the 6th. for my last keeper, would you choose starling in the 7th or arrieta in the 9th? 10 team head to head. thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Marte

Comments are closed.