Comments on: Top 100 for 2009 Fantasy Baseball

By: Grey

Grey — Thu, 05 Mar 2009 16:43:30 +0000

@Travis: I'd definitely reach for Davis.

By: Travis

Travis — Thu, 05 Mar 2009 16:35:33 +0000

Grey–
I’m in a ten 10 mixed league where we get 5 keepers, and I’ve got Grady Sizemore, Jimmy Rollins, Brandon Phillips, Adrian Gonzalez, and Dan Haren right now. I’m assuming, generally, that your top 50 will more or less be taken by keepers on other teams and by the fact that I’m drafting 9th in our snake draft (giving me the 59th and 61st picks in essence). Who do you really like from your 50-75 range, because it seems like you’re really down on most of them (lots of closers and catchers there). Would you reach for Chris Davis as the equivalent of a late 6th or early 7th round pick, especially considering my need at third base? I’d love to have Aramis or Chipper but I don’t see them being there at that point. Garrett Atkins may also be available.

By: Grey

Grey — Tue, 03 Mar 2009 18:42:02 +0000

@PhillyYorker: I would chose the same four. Cust is much better in an OBP league, but he's still below the four you have.

By: PhillyYorker

PhillyYorker — Tue, 03 Mar 2009 18:36:14 +0000

Dilemma. Keeper league reconstruction. Only get to keep 4. Prospects: Hamilton, Longoria, C. Davis, Ankiel, Cust, Ichiro, Ellsbury, and Soto. It’s a R, HR, RBI, OBP and SLG league.

Who do you keep? I realize Hamilton is just gonna suck this year, but I feel I must keep him. After that, I can’t say. Leaning towards Jacoby over Ichiro, but then I think keep both and lock down steals. It’s a quandry. As I look at last years numbers, I just don’t see why Cust isn’t more highly rated. Anyhow, as of now I’m going with Josh “the most overrated player of all-time” Hamilton, Longoria, Ellsbury and Davis.

Any ideas?

By: Grey

Grey — Thu, 26 Feb 2009 15:47:49 +0000

@Jeff: Howard

By: Jeff

Jeff — Thu, 26 Feb 2009 15:31:46 +0000

What is a better value; Howard as a 1st round pick (13th pick of 16), Ibanez as a 8th round pick, Atkins as a 8th round pick, or Dempster as a 17th round pick?

I’m trying to decide on my last keeper in a 16 team 5×5 roto league. Other 2 being kept are Holliday in the 9th round and Fuentes in the 20th.

By: Grey

Grey — Thu, 26 Feb 2009 00:57:15 +0000

@Clodbuster: Corey Hart's a 20/20 player and Pence has never put up more than 11 steals. They're not the same player.

By: Clodbuster

Clodbuster — Thu, 26 Feb 2009 00:30:57 +0000

Corey Hart being 48 spots higher than Hunter Pence is a little confusing to me. They are essentially the same player with Pence being the one with the higher ceiling.

Either way, you didn’t have to put Torii Hunter 9 spots ahead of him. That’s just no way to treat a man named Hunter!

By: Grey

Grey — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 22:37:32 +0000

@Cheez Whit: If you scroll your mouse over "2009 Fantasy Baseball Rankings" at the top of the page (next to Home), you'll see our Player Raters. Those have dollar amounts.

By: Cheez Whit

Cheez Whit — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 22:34:42 +0000

Just found your site. Much better rankings than any other site or magazine!!! Do you guys put out Auction values in your rankings?

By: Grey

Grey — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 21:13:50 +0000

@Jeff 1: Glad to hear it! I bumped all of those risky pitchers down my rankings (http://razzball.com/2009-fantasy-baseball-rankings/) some. For instance, I was really high on Nolasco prior to Rudy’s research, now less so.

FYI, I changed your username so the comment count would be correct. Feel free to pick another name other than Jeff 1.

By: Jeff 1

Jeff 1 — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 21:02:23 +0000

Thank you for your quick response! Yes, the targeting of specific players is worrisome, but I’m hoping I’ll be picking them slightly earlier than others would (whether that’s good or bad will be determined). If not I’ll wing it!

Also, I’m a brand new fan of Razzball, as I found it thru a link off Baseball-Intellect to Rudy’s Riskiest Pitchers post which was incredibly helpful, yet scary as I was targeting several of those pitchers. Nolasco, Greinke, E. Santana, and Baker were the ones I was most bummed seeing on the list, although glad that I am now aware of this. Will you be generally avoiding these pitchers?

Fantastic site and I see myself visiting several times a day…I’ve already been here a bunch today!

By: Grey

Grey — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 20:47:14 +0000

@Jeff: I'd hate to get into taking specific players because what if someone reaches up and scoops you on Alexei or Davis or Rollins? Then you're whole strategy is thrown off-kilter. But in general it sounds like it could work for you.

By: Jeff 1

Jeff 1 — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 20:40:43 +0000

Grey, I have my own strategy for a draft in a 12 team h2h league. I want to take one of the top 3 SS no matter what my position is in the first round. Then go OF for rounds 2 & 3. Then I have precise players that make this work, by taking Alexei Ramirez in round 4 and Chris Davis in round 5. Another OF in round 6. Votto in Round 7. and then going on a pitching run. I’ll wait to grab a 4th OF and Sandoval for my C somewhere in the teen rounds depending on how the draft is going. I really don’t care about closers as i’ll just grab whoever is around towards the end and figure that out as the season goes. What do you think of this strategy?

do you think this is smart to possibly take Rollins over the other top players on the board if ramirez & reyes are gone by the time it gets to me?

By: Grey

Grey — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 16:09:31 +0000

@arussell1983: Yeah, go with that strategy. @AJ: The added OBP changes things. Maybe not drastically, but some names would move up, while others would move down. For the most part, I prefer guys that are well-rounded and have a good OBP so this list probably isn't drastically off, but it would change some.

By: AJ

AJ — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 15:58:59 +0000

Grey, any drastic changes you’d make to this list using OBP instead of AVG? I refuse to draft Reyes again cause his value just isn’t there for my 5×5 H2H league.

For my kind of league, is it as simple as making a list of projections, ranking each player in by category, and averaging out those rankings? I know it’s rather rudimentary, but this list seems to be a good representation of the multi-tool guys. I do have to revise the projections a bit here and there cause it tends to skew some players. Love to hear your thoughts…

By: arussell1983

arussell1983 — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 08:49:37 +0000

then wouldnt you think I’d be better off holding on to Fielder and then hope to redraft kemp in the 2nd rnd of the draft, 30-somethinth overall (its a 10 team w/ 2 keeper league, going to 10 team w/ 5 keeper next year).

By: Grey

Grey — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 06:52:00 +0000

@arussell1983: They move closer to each other and then it probably goes to Fielder by a hair.

By: arussell1983

arussell1983 — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 06:49:05 +0000

Just some props, that short article ‘Dustin Pedroia – 2009 Fantasy Schmohawk’ is by far my favorite 2009 MLB Preseason article out there. I totally back that, and you kicked its ass.

Do you change your view on kemp/fielder if it becomes a 3 years keeper league?

By: Grey

Grey — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 06:38:12 +0000

@arussell1983: They're not in the convo, no. It's between Fielder and Kemp.

By: arussell1983

arussell1983 — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 06:36:05 +0000

if it is not a slam dunk do you still fully eliminate ARAM and Doc Halladay from the equation?

By: Grey

Grey — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 06:32:19 +0000

@arussell1983: Sure, when I said we've seen Fielder's best I meant 50 HRs, which is great and I think he can come close again. I do like him, after all I did rank him 17th overall. All I meant is Fielder has the body type that breaks down. Matt Kemp does not. If I had to bet on one for the next five years, I'd go with Kemp. He can be a 100/30/100/.300/30 player. The only caution with Kemp is he has not done it yet, so he's riskier. Your choice is not a slam dunk. EDIT: Typo.

By: arussell1983

arussell1983 — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 06:23:08 +0000

Dont forget that Prince and Kemp are both only 24 years old. Kemp improving, absolutely, but I think its an agressive statement to say that Fielder is no longer improving. Maybe he had a MVP caliber season at 23 and declined at 24, but I see that no reason of why he cant regain his top tier stats again, with the prime of his career ahead of him. 50HR/.285+/120RBI is in the future.

By: Grey

Grey — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 06:07:30 +0000

@arussell1983: Kemp's getting better and we've seen Fielder's best. The Brewers were trying to move him because like other big men before him (his dad, Ortiz) they break down is they age. As of next year, you'll probably want Kemp. For five years, you'll definitely want Kemp.

By: arussell1983

arussell1983 — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 06:03:27 +0000

wow… was expecting the same ole ‘gotta take Fielder’ response. I have been posing this question across the board whenever I get the chance. I definately agree in some aspects but I still I think thats a really hard move to make over Prince. It is 17 vs 31 on your rankings above. Not sure I can justify it yet.

By: Grey

Grey — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 05:38:39 +0000

@arussell1983: Kemp

By: arussell1983

arussell1983 — Wed, 25 Feb 2009 04:56:50 +0000

Grey, Who do you like best in a 5 year keeper league, I can only keep one for this year:
Prince Fielder
Matt Kemp
Roy Halladay
Aramis Ramirez

By: Grey

Grey — Tue, 24 Feb 2009 21:58:28 +0000

@Mike: Because for the draft spot you have to take him, he's not worth it. You may end up with a guy who gives you 75 innings. He topped 80 innings once in the last five years. If you own him and he hits the DL for a few months, you're going to want to drop or trade him away quickfast.

By: Mike

Mike — Tue, 24 Feb 2009 21:51:01 +0000

Grey,

Love the site. Question about Harden – why do you hate him? With the numbers you’ve got Harden putting up, he’ll be a top 50 player on the Yahoo rankings, with better peripherals than any other pitcher. If you combine his season with another 50-60 innings of replacement player, I think you have a top 5 pitcher. Last year, he wound up No. 23 overall on the Yahoo 5×5 rankings, in only 148 innings.

By: Grey

Grey — Tue, 24 Feb 2009 21:02:30 +0000

@Jack: I'd usually tell you to go Phillips, but with Howard you are already susceptible to a low average. I'd go Markakis, Phillips, A-Gonz, Rios then Victorino.