Fantasy Baseball Advice

This is the league we won last year hosted by Scott White of CBS Sports.  Yay, us.  Okay, new year, new league.  Well, not so fast.  Last year’s league coasted through the season in first place from about May on and if you were industrious enough to click on that link, you’ll see it looks like a bit of a mess.  We won with Freddy Sanchez and Skip Schumaker?  We didn’t just win; we won in a walk.  I don’t tell you to beat into your heads how good we are (maybe a little).  I tell you this so you know how deep the league is you’re about to look at.  No, I don’t like Clint Barmes, but if he’s getting ABs at MI in this here league, he’s worth a roster spot.  Anyway, here’s our 2012 fantasy baseball team with thoughts on different draft picks:

For sake of clarity:  12 teams, NL-Only, Roto, 5 x 5 — C, C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI, MI, OF, OF, OF, OF, OF, Util, BN, BN, BN — P, P, P, P, P, P, P, P, P, BN, BN, BN, BN, DL, DL

C – Ryan Hanigan $4
C – Geovany Soto $11
1B – Gaby Sanchez $17
2B – Aaron Hill $13
3B – Pablo Sandoval $24
SS – Alex Gonzalez $3
MI – Clint Barmes $6
CI – Ryan Zimmerman $26
OF – Jay Bruce $27
OF – Tony Campana $5
OF – Jason Kubel $10
OF – Laynce Nix $0 (free round)
OF – Justin Upton $36
U – Gerardo Parra $1
Bench – Stephen Lombardozzi $0 (free round)
Bench – Chase d’Arnaud $0 (free round)
Bench – Tony Gwynn $0 (free round)
Bench – Brett Jackson $4

P – Trevor Cahill $10
P – Daniel Hudson $19
P – Anibal Sanchez $14
P – Ricky Nolasco $4
P – Juan Nicasio $4
P – Chris Narveson  $1
P – Aaron Harang $2
P – Javy Guerra $11
P – Luke Gregerson $8
Bench – Brad Lidge $0 (free round)
Bench – Brandon Lyon $0 (free round)
Bench – Travis Wood $0 (free round)

THAT’S NOT SAGNOF… THIS IS SAGNOF!

Saves and steals were going for really high prices.  Marmol, who I like, went for $18 (a price I don’t like him at), Axford went for $18, Madson at $19… The list goes on; I won’t bore you (further).  So we overpaid for Gregerson praying he would sneak some saves and we have Guerra.  Um, blech.  We’ll need to acquire some saves off waivers or in a trade, which is totally doable, so there’s that.  For those with an advanced degree from the College of Fantasy Baseball at Charleston, Kenley Jansen went for $8, but it was early in the draft and we didn’t know we’d be hamstrung without saves.  Yes, in hindsight, the right move would’ve been to get Jansen, but then we would’ve been paying $19 for all of the Dodgers saves, which is kinda absurd.  As for the other half of SAGNOF, our team felt pretty lead-footed so we grabbed Campana to kill those cockroaches.  With only the crap-oika of Byrd, Soriano and DeJesus ahead of him, ABs should be had.  At $5, if he gets 25 steals, he’s a bargain.  To back up that gamble, we invested in Brett Jackson.  When he is called up, we’ll be a strong bargaining chip or we just insert him in our lineup over, say, Laynce Nix.

RICKY NOLASCO IS A FRIEND OF RAZZBALL? OH, HELLS NO

As kinda alluded to in the lede, in a league this deep, you’re not going to have a team where you like all the guys.  Maybe I’ll grow to like Nolasco, but at $4 we just need him to have 150 Ks and an ERA south of 4.50.  I kinda hate his guts though, so I hope that hatred doesn’t manifest itself into self-fulfilling prophecy where he gives us a 7.50 ERA.  Aaron Harang isn’t really a friend of Razzball either, but you know what makes up for all of this?  Sweet, sweet Anibal!  (Please let his shoulder be okay.  Thank you, whoever I’m addressing right now.)

“YOU ALWAYS TELL US NOT TO TAKE BENCH BATS.  WHAT GIVES YOU, GOOFTARD?!”

It’s a deep, weekly league and we need some flexibility when the best bat on waivers is Henry Blanco.  For most of you, you don’t need four bench bats, three of which are in the minors.  In very deep leagues, you should take some bench bats.  A 12 team, mixed league isn’t a very deep league.  How do you know when you’re in a deep league?  When you’re looking at starting Rico Suave in your Utility spot.

IN OCTOBER, I HAVE AN APPOINTMENT FOR SEX WITH JAY BRUCE

I hope.  Or I’m gonna wanna kill him, because as mentioned in the podcast and multiple times on the site, people are lower than I am on Bruce this year and I’m getting him everywhere.  I mean, like, everywhere everywhere.  I may end up with him on an AL-Only team.  Why are people down on Bruce?  I’m confounded in my perplexatude!  (Perplexatude isn’t yet a word, but I’m gonna start a grassroots campaign to try to change that.)  Bruce just came off a great year and he’s still young.  What, you people need me to shine a flashlight on him like how Ron Roenicke gets Nyjer Morgan’s attention?

I contemplated picking up Lonnie Chisenhall for about as long as it takes me to eat a pupusa from my neighborhood El Salvadorean lady that has different hairnets to match her camisas.  About 12.7 seconds.  I’ll risk indigestión for those cheesy-pork flapjacks of wonderful.  At the waiver wire, I was like, “So many rookies have come up — rookies with great pedigrees — and they’ve been pretty yawnstipating– Screw it, he has 3rd base eligibility.”  In Arizona this spring, Rudy and I took in an Indians game and saw Chisenhall firsthand.  He impressed us with his hitting — seemed like a bona fide mollywhopper — and was one of those guys we felt would make an impact in 2011.  This year in Triple-A, he has 7 homers in 64 games and 17 homers in 117 games last year in Double-A.  He may not hit for much average, and could be off some of my mixed teams in a few weeks because his power doesn’t immediately appear, but I’ll risk indigestión for some rookie nookie upside.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Mat Gamel – The Brewers recalled him.  According to Rudy’s Point Shares, Gamel is a league replacement value 3rd baseman in a 12-team NL-Only league at 26/7/30/2/.256.  The camera pans to Gamel for his reaction and he’s fumbling his drink.  What a klutz.  McGehee doesn’t have the corner locked down quite like Marlo Stanfield, but Gamel will probably only be up for a week during interleague.  If Gamel hits like a beast as he’s done in Triple-A this year — 17 homers in 75 games — he could stick around.  Or if the Brewers move back to the AL, which seems less likely.  He’s worth an immediate pickup in all deeper leagues for a shot of adrenaline to your fantasy baseball heart.

Zach Braddock – Back up too.  Hopefully the Brewers will stop hitting the snooze button on his season.

Jhoulys Chacin – 5 IP, 6 ER.  You can blame the wind blowing out if you want, but I blame me for jhinxing us.  Sorry, feel free to replace my name with your favorite curse word.

Carlos Gonzalez – 2-for-4 and his 11th and 12th home runs.  He’s actually not far off his 1st half last year, but his 2nd half was predicated on everything breaking right, so I still think he falls somewhat below his huge year in 2010.

Carlos Pena – 2-for-4, 3 RBIs and 2 homers.  Sticking with the newly-established Carlos theme, Pena is now up to 16 homers.  Can set your watch to his 32-35 homer, low average season, assuming you have a watch that keeps fantasy baseball time.  Dork!

Aramis Ramirez – 3-for-4, 3 RBIs and 2 home runs.  His stats:  29/8/37/.289.  Ryan Zimmerman’s stats:  11/3/11/.244.  What’s that?  There’s been like 3 good players in the first two rounds of fantasy drafts this year?  Yeah, I know.  Pardon me while I go pour some McDonald’s coffee on my lap.

Max Scherzer – 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 baserunners, 9 Ks.  Now that’s not that sour, Kraut, as he struckout his season high last night vs. the Blue Kays.

Jonny Gomes – 1-for-3 with a homer.  Since I told you late last week he gets crazy hot for no apparent reason, he’s hit two homers in the last four games.  Wigginton may be the mayor of Hot Schmotatown, but Gomes is a newly-elected sheriff.  Or seriff.

Brandon Phillips – 4-for-5, 2 runs and 2 RBIs.  Hitting .299 on the year, but his power (6 homers) and speed (4 steals in 7 attempts) have been pretty pedestrian so far this year.  He probably just needs a wake up call from me, which usually involves me singing Kelis’ Milkshake at 7 in the morning.

Mike Leake – 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 baserunners, 3 Ks.  I’m not a huge Leake fan.  Tends to give up around 3 to 4 runs per game without the Ks.  Than, but no thans.

Chris Perez – Hey, look a Putz in a Perez sandwich.  Better than seeing a Putz in Perez Hilton.  Oofa!

Asdrubal Cabrera – 2-for-4 with his 13th homer as Orlando Cabrera also went deep.  It’s a Cabrerathon!

Mat Latos – 6 IP, 3 ER, 9 baserunners, 6 Ks.  He’s been good but far from exceptional.  Still don’t trust Latos to be exceptional this year, which hurts me to say because I do enjoy hodgepadres.  I’ll be back in next year as I practice my Saberhagenmetrics.

Mike Morse – 2-for-4 and his 15th home run.  Did someone send him the message that I called him a sell last week?  Or do I need to write it in dots and dashes?

Adam Kennedy – 1-for-4 with a homer.  Not to rag on a guy that just homered, but the Mariners hit Adam Kennedy third as the DH in interleague.  It’s like the M’s are the NL team.

Brian McCann – 3-for-4 with his 14th home run as he bats .307.  It took three years of me ranking McCann first for catchers for it to finally make sense.

Brandon Beachy – 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 baserunners, 9 Ks.  I have nothing to say other than I’ve been telling you to own him since March.

Jonny Venters – He actually did not pitch yesterday.  Crazy!

Jordan Walden – Thoreau’s favorite closer registered his 6th blown save via a 2-out HR to Danny Espinosa.  Can anyone find a reliable closer in all of the greater Los Angeles area besides Kyra Sedgwick?

Scott Downs – I’d grab Downs, in the non-perverse way, if I were speculating on Walden being removed from the closer job.  I don’t think it happens, or for long if it does.  Though Walden has blown three straight saves, so there’s that.

Jonathan Broxton – Headed for an MRI.  Looks like I altered my Toni Braxton, “Braxton Rules” t-shirt for nothing.  BTW, the MRI is being administered by Dr. Neal ElAttrache.  Not sure why, but the doctor’s name made me giggle.  “Say aaahhh…And look deep into my dark-as-midnight eyes while I put my hair into a ponytail.  I am Dr. Neal ElAttrache.  I will now check your tonsils with my tongue.”

Chad Billingsley – 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 baserunners, 4 Ks.  Nothing wrong with Billingsley a little hideous Twins offense can’t fix.  Do not resuscitate the Comatose Twins Fan.

Tony Gwynn – 4-for-6 with 2 steals.  On Sunday, he went 3-for-5 and I was going to mention him in the roundup to tell you to grab him if you need steals.  Damn!  He would’ve been a nice play on a short schedule day.  Damn!  Damn!  Only other thing that can generate that kind of electricity is a bolt of lightning.  A bolt of lightning!

Matt Kemp – 4-for-5 with his 22nd home run.  In honor of Kemp’s year, I’d like to sing a little song, “As long as there’s the two of us… We’ve got the world and all its charms…And when the world is through with us…We’ve got each other’s arms…”  I love you, Matt Kemp.

Trent Oeltjen – 4-for-4 with a home run.  He has some mild pop and speed and might see time for the next week while the Dodgers play in AL parks.  And, to impress your friends, Oeltjen is pronounced like Meltjen.  (But if you have friends impressed by that, you might want to reconsider your friends.)

Dodgers – Filing for bankruptcy protection.  I never understood why they were called the Dodgers.  What were they dodging?  Now I know…the bills!

Jay Bruce has hit four homers in the last four days while hitting over .500 in the last week.  Now has 22 homers in only 74 hits with 73 Ks to go along with 3 steals.  I never thought Mark Reynolds would steal 24 bases.  I didn’t think he had 15 in him.  So, don’t take this comparison the wrong way, but Mark Reynolds is lucky he snatched up the Mini Donkey nickname because Jay Bruce looks like he could be headed that way next year.  Bruce is still very young, and his propensity to strikeout leaves him vulnerable to big slumps, so I won’t predict a huge breakout in 2010.   But he can hit 30 homers and steal 10 bases while batting .250.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Homer Bailey – 7 IP, 1 ER, 7 Ks.  Now we’re getting to the point where he might actually be touted by the analcysts over at ESPN, which would mean his 2010 sleeper status could be in jeopardy.

Rick Porcello – 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER.  He was in the borderline starters post for this week with a very mild recommendation.

Denard Span – 4-for-9 in the doubleheader.  Quietly having a very solid year.  Those Minnesotans are so modest!  He needs a spokesman.  His Wikipedia page is a third the size of the Wikipedia page for mutton.  He needs the mutton man!  His numbers are looking a lot like Victorino’s.  Let’s see, someone already has the nickname, Feign Victorino.  (I think I gave it to Fowler.)  So, Victorino’s The Flying Hawaiian.  Maybe The Flying Twinkie?  Hmm… That needs work.  Maybe The Flying Minnesotan?  Hmm, that sounds like someone on a roller derby team.  How about Wing Span?  Too cutesy?  Yeah, probably.  Forget it, this is a job for the mutton man.

Josh Hamilton – Shutdown for the season.  Back date this to April.

Mark Buehrle – Also shutdown for the season.  Back date this to his perfect game.

Jack Wilson – Lastly, shutdown for the year.  Back date this to the day he was drafted.

Ian Desmond – 2-for-4, HR and a steal yesterday.  He hit the longest homer (460 feet, which was not this homer, but I just heard this yesterday) for any Nationals player at home this year.  This is a team with Paul Bunyan aka Big Donkey aka Adam Dunn on it.  Ian Desmond’s a shortstop.  You ready for a math problem?  Come on, I hear Winnie Cooper from The Wonder Years loves math.  Okay, here it is:  A shortstop that can hit a ball 460 feet + speed = Fantasy Sleeper.

Cameron Maybin – Speaking of fast guys with sneaky power, Maybin has two homers in the past 4 games.  I was pushing him last March for a reason, and I’ll be pushing him again next March.

J.A. Happ – 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 Ks.  He has a 2.85 ERA on the year with 12 wins.  Is he generating Rookie of the Year buzz?  Is there such a thing as Rookie of the Year buzz?

Ryan Madson – 2 IP, 0 ER and his 10th save.  On Sunday, he got a four out save.  Manuel’s finally figured out how to make the set-up man comfortable in the closing role.  Start him in the 8th inning.

Huston Street – 1 IP, 3 ER.  Maybe he’s still injured?  I don’t know, that’s why I put a question mark on it.

Trevor Cahill – 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER as the A’s continue to flummox me.  I might need to reach out to Bubb Rubb to see if he can counsel me.

Tony Gwynn – Has 4 steals in the last week.  SAGNOF!

Cesar Ramos – 5 IP, 1 ER.  The latest HodgePadre.  Okay, close your eyes for a second.  Don’t worry, I won’t pickpocket you.  Now imagine Adrian Gonzalez is traded to the Rockies for Ubaldo Jimenez.

Miguel Montero – 2 HRs.  Speaking of trades, hopefully the Diamondbacks move Snyder this offseason.

Scott Kazmir – Scratched to ready himself for the playoffs.  He probably won’t see anything more than a tuneup before the end of the season.

Curtis Granderson – 2 HRs with the 2nd being his 30th.  He also has 20 steals.  Sure, his average is .252, but don’t get so tied up in average.  That’s how you ended up missing Mark Reynolds this year.

Grant Balfour - Now has saves in back-to-back games.  This could mean he doesn’t see another save this year, or it could mean he saves two more games.

Wade Davis – 7 IP, 1 ER.  He’s still going to be too young and prone to major mistakes in the AL East for me to get that excited about him in 2010.

Adam Lind – 3 HRs yesterday.  Now has 35 homers on the year.  I already went over my Lind for 2010 campaign.

Clay Buchholz – Had a 3.21 ERA coming in, now has a 3.74 ERA.  7 earned runs in 5 innings is one way to make your 2009 stats look worse than they are.

Josh Beckett – Supposed to start on Saturday.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see him pitch 5 innings and then get pulled from the game.  Or as Dodgers fans say, “A Kershaw start.”

Edwin Encarnacion – Out with groin tightness.  Sounds like an injury that would sideline a porn actress.

You never owned Aubrey Huff before, but going into your draft you glanced at your cheatsheets and saw Huff’s 2008 numbers and thought you really found something purdy.  You called your lady and said, “Baby, tonight we can watch any Kate Hudson movie you want, I got Aubrey Huff in my draft!” So you sat through Ten Things I Hate About Kate Hudson and Matthew I’m-Kinda-Gay and thought life’s okay, this movie will end and Huff will still be on my team.  Now you’re thinking about how you wish you had Gordo Sandoval and those two hours of your life back.  No fear, Flav loves reindeer.  Aubrey Huff hit .231 last May and .337 in June.  Then .332 in the 2nd half.  In 2007, he hit .309 compared to .258 in the 1st half.  Listen, I hate Huff.  Seems like he leaves 20% in the locker room, but he’s repeatedly shown to be a 2nd half hitter.  I wouldn’t buy him with Gallardo, but I think at this point, you don’t have to.  You can probably get him for very cheap.  Anyway, here’s some more players to Buy or Sell this week in fantasy baseball:

BUY

Mike MacDougal – I gave up on the Nats and their perpetually frustrating closerousel, but you, friend, you’re your own person.  I’d grab some Tagamet if you’re going for Macky D’s.

Ryan Madson – Oh, but Lidge will return and then Madson will lose the job and…. Oh, Grey what do I do?!?! Pickup Madson, random italicized voice.

Ryan Hanigan – If you get an erection for longer than four hours after picking up Hanigan, then you should see a doctor, but he does have catcher eligibility and he’s been playing and hitting (.313 in June).

Scott Podsednik – SAGNOF!

Tony Gwynn – Batting .429 in the last 7 games.  I think his average ends up closer to Chris Gwynn than Tony, but he has speed to burn (not calories like his old man).

Juan Rivera – I debated whether to add him because he’s really just about any other random schmohawk outfielder on waivers with power, but he’s been hot.  He can probably out-homer Vlad on the season.  Though that’s less an endorsement of Rivera and more an indictment of Vlad.

Nick Masset – MR. B’s alert.  Masset has 23 Ks in 23 2/3 IP and has only given up 2 runs so far this year.

Gavin Floyd – I had every intention of putting Floyd in the sell section, then I started looking at his numbers.  Floyd has a 40/12 K/BB in his last six games.  His road/home splits are atrocious, so I wouldn’t start in away games, but I’d grab him in 12 team leagues for home games.  And that’s me semi-sorta-endorsing Floyd!  It’s a brand new day, Sting.

Russell Branyan – This Buy is for the guys in the back of the room.  He’s at 35/14/29/.317/2 on the season.  He’s currently showing Cantu what he can do when he do the voodoo he do.

Colby Rasmus – He’s on his way to a 20/10 season, which is yawnstipating in 10 team leagues, but there’s a place on it in deeper leagues.  If he gets the oh-so-coveted number two slot in the order in front of Pujols, his Meatballs To Hit Ratio will go up.  If he gets the cleanup spot, his future will be cloudy with a chance of meatballs, but his RBIs will increase.  This blurb was brought to you by Sony Pictures.

Clint Barmes – Over .400 in June… Near .500 over the last week.  Hmm… Those are kinda the same thing.  Hey, ya’ll, we got a new MI to pickup.

Sean West – Okay, in NL-Only leagues, but you’re basically asking to get tied to the WHIPping post in mixed leagues if you go West, young man.

SELL

Dan Haren - I almost made him the lead, but I didn’t want to panic people by doing one of my patent pending Sell Yells.  (It involves lots of exclamation marks and a title rhyming Haren with barren.)  Haren’s a notoriously weaker 2nd half pitcher, but it’s not like he becomes Sidney Ponson.  He’s just not as dominating in the 2nd half.  I wouldn’t trade him for a ticket to see Jersey Boys, but I would start exploring offers.  History tells us that the best is not yet to come.

Kendry Morales – Four!…Air ball!…Punt!

Nick Blackburn – 4.01 K/9 for Blechburn.

Geovany Soto – I told you to sell him the 3rd week of the season.  Well, he hit two homers this last week.  If you can get anything, and I mean anything (MacDougal, comes to mind), I’d do it.

Carlos Quentin – I’m contractually obligated to trash a White Sox player after I’ve trashed a Cubs one – The Abe Froman Peace Accord of 1986.  I think some time in August is a safe bet for Quentin’s return.  At which point, two things can happen.  1) He returns and he’s productive.  2) He returns, struggles and reinjures himself.  You may want to believe in one, but two seems more likely at this point.  For those who don’t know, before Quentin broke out last year, he was an injury-prone prospect.  You can change the spots but not the leopard, or whatever that cliche is.

Scott Feldman – He’s a solid number two.  I’m not talking about the number he is in anyone’s rotation.