Fantasy Baseball Advice

Arizona and Toronto Trade Cheap Feels

August 24, 2011 By: Grey Category: Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 66 Comments →

Aaron Hill and John McDonald were traded to the Diamondbacks for Kelly Johnson.  Regarding the title, each team got to 2nd base with the other.  Nothing to brag about, nothing for the rest of us to get jealous over.  I guess this is what happens when Alex Anthopoulos and Kevin Towers lock themselves in a closet for 7 minutes of trading heaven.  “Can you throw in J.P. Arencibia?”  “What kind of GM do you think I am?”  Maybe Florida and Seattle will trade John Buck for Miguel Olivo.    I’ll trade you this tomato.  Okay, I’ll trade you a tomahto.  Deal.  Sure, I’m taking an extra h on the payroll, but it’s worth it to get that shorter vowel sound into our lineup.  You say tomato, I say tomahto, let’s call the whole deal….on!  This proves one thing, without a doubt, neither team owned Hill or Johnson in fantasy this year.  If this trade happened in one of your fantasy leagues, you’d just be glad you weren’t one of the teams doing the trading.  Neither player is guaranteed to get a boost with the trade and either player could get knocked out of their slump with the new scenery.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Matt Holliday – Monday night he had to have a trainer remove a moth from his ear.  They should try and put a moth in Zambrano’s ear.  Maybe they’ll find a bat.

Alex Rodriguez – Out of yesterday’s lineup with a jammed thumb.  Thumb up the jam, thumb it up while your feet are stompin’ and the jam is pumpin’, look here the crowd is jumpin’.  Sorry, once I start that it’s hard to stop.

Ryan Howard – Out with heel bursitis and the Phils are officially in cruise control mode.  Speaking of which…

Cole Hamels – Reports are that he’s absolutely fine for next week’s start so the Phils put him on the DL in media res.  I’m a broken record with this, if the kids today even know what a record is or what it means to be broken, but how come there’s no rules that you can’t put healthy people on the DL.  Seems like a shortcut at expanding the roster that shouldn’t be allowed.  Now get off my lawn, kid!

Vance Worley – 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 baserunners, 9 Ks.  Fair enough, I wouldn’t care about DL’ing healthy Hamels with this kind of depth either.

Raul Ibanez – Received an injection for a sore groin.  Sounds like a line a doctor would deliver in a porn movie.

John Mayberry – 2-for-3, 3 RBIs and now has three homers in the last five games.  Even when Ibanez’s groin is better (something you don’t read every day), Mayberry should be starting.  That’s not saying he will be.  In the meanwhile, I would add Mayberry in most leagues while he’s hitting-slash-playing-slash-I just like saying slash.

Colby Rasmus – Left the game with a jammed wrist.  Somewhere, Tony La Russa’s laughing like Nelson Muntz.

Brandon Morrow – 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 12 baserunners, 5 Ks vs. the Royals.  FMFBBL

Shin-Soo Choo – 4-for-8, 2 homers in the doubleheader and his 3rd homer in three days as he bats over .400 since his return from the DL.  He’s hotter than a kimchi burrito in Megan Fox’s hand.

Kosuke Fukudome – 5-for-8 with a homer.  He’s on my opponent’s H2H team and said Fukutome.

Kyle Seager – 6-for-9 and a homer in the doubleheader.  Be a good time to mention that the starters in the second game were both peg boys.  Either way, Seager has 2 homers in the last five games, but didn’t show much power in the high minors.  I’d let Seager go.  Like a rock.

Marco Estrada – 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 baserunners, 2 Ks.  He bounced up and down the minors for so long it was like teams were playing Marco…Yo-Yo…  But if you need to take a flyer, he’s a hot hand.

Casey McGehee – Two for his last nine with two homers.  This guy’s like Rich Little impersonating Rob Deer.  And there goes our 18-35 demographic.

Justin Upton – Hit on the elbow by a pitch and left the game.  It’s said to not be too bad.  This is a day after B.J. went down with a shoulder sprain.  Aren’t these things only supposed to happen to twins?

Brandon Allen – 2-for-4 with 2 monster shots.  As frequent commenter, nyydj2 said yesterday, “Brandon Allen just put a monster shot into the upper deck at Yankee Stadium, only the second ball to reach there since it opened. Branyan hit the other…. Which isn’t quite the same as ‘where only Mickey Mantle has ever reached.’”

Logan Morrison – With a .167 average and one homer in Triple-A, the Marlins had seen enough and are recalling Morrison.  Couldn’t they just have easily put a bar of soap in his mouth while he tweeted?  If Morrison was dropped in your league, I’d take a chance that he comes back looking to prove something.  One thing to prove, for instance, that Hanley shouldn’t run the ball club.

Leo Nunez – 2/3 IP, 4 ER and the epic blown save.  This is the kind blown save that makes managers try out Edward Mujica as their closer.  Also, remember Nunez was funky as in bad not funky as in good at the end of last season.

Ross Ohlendorf – 5 IP, 4 ER.  Might want to consider returning to making straight-to-video classics like ‘Dorf on Golf.

Adrian Gonzalez – 3-for-4, 3 runs, 3 RBIs and 2 homers.  A-gone-gone a-bout time-time.

Eric Hosmer – 3-for-5, with the slam & legs.  In only 385 at-bats so far, he has 11 homers and 7 steals.  This is at the age of 21.  I.e. big things.  I.e. there stands for I expect.

Tommy Hanson – Quite the surprise; Hanson’s bullpen session was cancelled a day after he said his shoulder was fine.  Yup.

Jason Heyward – 3-for-4, 4 RBIs and a homer as he fills in for Constanza…Or was Constanza filling in for him?  This is the most confusing re-imagining of All About Eve.

Jimmy Paredes – 1-for-4 and a homer.  The power may stop when he leaves Coors, but he’s worth a flyer for speed in deep leagues.

Aramis Ramirez – 5-for-5 with a double and 4 singles to match David Eckstein’s best game.

Kevin Kouzmanoff – Was acquired by the Rockies for cash.  “Here’s a McDonaldland coupon for two apple pies.  You can CONSIDER it as cash.”

David Price – 8 IP, 2 ER, 8 baserunners, 6 Ks as Price got topped by Penny to lose the Showcase Showdown.

Desmond Jennings – 3-for-5 with a caught stealing.  Not cute moving the base 91 feet away.  Not cute at all.

Colby Lewis – 6 IP, 7 ER.  Hopefully Vogelsong doesn’t take this guy’s career trajectory two years removed from Japan.

Alfredo Simon – 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 baserunners, 8 Ks and, better still, he didn’t kill anyone.

Adam Jones – Was hospitalized with shortness of breath and mild chest pains.  Sounds like me after a weekend in Vegas.  Early tests say Jones will be fine.

Rod Barajas – 3-for-5, 4 RBIs and now has 3 homers since last Friday.  Aye carambarajas!

Lucas Duda – 1-for-4, homer.  Know one way to stay hot while unattractive in mixed leagues?  Go 1-for-4 with a homer every couple of games.

Jon Niese – To the DL with a rib strain.  After giving up 8 runs, it’s more like the Phils gave him an RBI strain.

Jose Reyes – Set to return Monday.  Though the Mets didn’t say which Monday.  Very tricky, Mets, very tricky.

Angel Pagan – Almost went to the DL because of stomach pains during Monday’s game.  “You’re hitting out of the two hole.  Hitting!”

I Can Call You Betty, Youk Could Call Me DL

August 19, 2011 By: Grey / Rudy Category: Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 38 Comments →

Kevin Youkilis, the Greek God of Back Pain, is off to the DL.  Yesterday, Ortiz took a boot to the foot and today this.  The Sawx are officially in rest up for the playoffs mode, which is great for all the pasty-faced Sawx fans, but it’s not great for fantasy.  So far this year, Youuuuuuk has 17 homers in 395 at-bats while batting .266.  So that means, if he were healthy in September, he’d give you some runs, RBIs and 3 homers.  I just popped a zit into a mirror and the puss read, “Whatever.”  You can find a replacement for Youk on waivers in most leagues.  So put on your Burger King crown you stole from some kid, open up your fantasy waivers and replace him.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Ryan Lavarnway – Was called up.  Stephen just went over his Lavarnway fantasy.  He wrote it while throwing darts at a picture of me.  Lavarnway is worth noting because he hit 30 homers between Double- and Triple-A this year.  Now, rookie catcher is a tough position to be in.  Ask any recently incarcerated felon.  But Ortiz and Youk are both out, so Lavarnway will see everyday time at DH for the time being.  This is great news since he’s catcher eligible.

Marco Estrada – 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 baserunners, 5 Ks.  I ignored him after his first start in the Brewers rotation when he threw five shutout innings vs. the hey-are-they-still-contending Pirates.  Now he threw another solid start but against a terrible offense.  His K-rate is nice and he could surprise against some weaker teams.  At this point, I’d really only push all my CHIPs in with Estrada in NL-Only leagues.

Mike Minor - 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 baserunners, 9 Ks.  Before you get too turned on by a minor, just remember this was against the Giants.  Minor’s last two starts against the Mets and Cubs were mediocre except for 11 Ks in 11.1 IP.

Tim Lincecum - Took the loss after giving up 1 ER in 7 IP.  He’s 11-10 with the third best ERA in the NL (2.53).  Matt Cain is just 10-9 with a 2.86 ERA (8th best in NL).  If I were Lincecum or Cain, I’d contact Greg Anderson or Victor Conte for some of the clear and then put it in every hitters’ after-game Anchor Steams.

Tommy Hanson – Won’t return on Tuesday.  Wake me when there’s something I don’t know! (Not really asleep, but I am a bit drunk.  Hey, is that an ad for a vacation to Burundi on Razzball?  I might like to go there!)

Clayton Kershaw – 8 IP, 0 ER, 5 baserunners, 6 Ks.  You know how Jim Leyland’s cigarette-stained teeth make him look like one of those clown head’s at a carnival that has water sprayed into its mouth but instead of water it’s urine?  Now the exact opposite of that image is Kershaw.

Colby Rasmus  - Hit a HR in his 2nd straight game (and had 4 RBIs in the game before).  Must be because his Dad can finally coach him without the meddling of LaRussa and McGwire.

John Buck and Rod Barajas – Both catchers hit HRs on Thursday – Buck’s 14th and Barajas’ 11th.  Both are hitting under .230.  If Miguel Olivo kills a man, we just need 10 more peers for the jury.

Tyler Flowers – AJ Pierzynski’s rookie replacement has now hit in 4 straight games (7 hits) including a double, triple, and HR.  He’s had strikeout rate issues in the minors but also gets his share of walks and moderate power.  So, in essence, he’s Adam Dunn 2011.

Ricky Romero – A 3-hit shutout against the A’s with 6 Ks.  Imagine they still had Halladay and Marcum?  They’d be the best 3rd place team in the majors!

Joe Mauer – Started in the outfield for the first time in his pro career.  The Twins are reacquainting him with the outfield fences.

Erick Aybar – In the midst of a 6-for-56 August slump (.107).  Aybarumba!

Mark Trumbo – Hit a walk-off HR off Mike Adams.  The other Angels made sure to stay out of his way as he touched home.  The Morales family does the same thing whenever Kendry walks off.

Denard Span – Back to the DL because of the concussion he suffered in June.  At least he thinks it was June.

Jack Hannahan – Returned after his wife gave birthahan.  If the baby is half-Korean, my AL-Only team and his wife have something in common.

Mike Jacobs -  Has been suspended 50 games for testing positive for HGH.  On a related note, Marc Jacobs injected suspenders into his latest fashion line and it tested positively fabulous.

Minor League Review, Nationals

December 09, 2009 By: Stephen Category: Fantasy Baseball Prospects 63 Comments →

Washington Nationals 2009 Minor League Review
Overall farm ranking via Baseball America (2009)
2009 (21) | 2008 (9) | 2007 (30) | 2006 (24) | 2005 (26) | 2004 (30)

Record of Major and Minor League Teams
MLB: [59 – 103] NL East – worst record in majors
AAA: [76 – 68] International League
AA: [70 – 72] Eastern League
A+: [79 – 58] Carolina League
A: [56 – 78] South Atlantic League
A(ss): [34 – 41] New York – Pennsylvania League
R: [36 – 19] Gulf League

The Run Down
The Nationals just signed Brian Bruney and Ivan Rodriguez which gives them a few veterans on a team that graduated eight prospects this year. Jordan Zimmermann, before his injury (Tommy John surgery), was looking sharp and had some significant support for his future ace status. Now his future is up in the air. Enter Stephen Strasburg, whose hype is beyond the stratosphere, and Drew Storen, who was drafted in 2009 with the 10th overall pick in the draft. The Nats received the 10th draft pick because they failed to sign Aaron Crow in 2008 (Crow was drafted and signed by the Royals in 2009). Grey has already mentioned what to expect from Strasburg, and consequently, I won’t belabor the point – just keep your expectations in check.

Even with so many rookies playing this year, many of them pitchers, the Nationals could actually contend within this year. They have a decent infield (Dunn, Ian Desmond, Cristian Guzman and Ryan Zimmerman) and a young, athletic outfield (Elijah Dukes, Nyjer Morgan and Justin Maxwell). If the Nationals can sign a veteran starting pitcher, they could have some success in 2010. It wouldn’t be a stretch to see the team win 10 more games this year with a slightly improved rotation. John Lannan pitched decent in 2009, repeating all his 2008 numbers besides his terrible strikeout per nine innings. They still have a lot of ground to make up, however, the Nationals should start to make noise in the near future.

Graduate Prospects
#1 – (SP) Jordan Zimmermann; #2 – (SP) Ross Detwiler; #11 – (OF) Justin Maxwell; #12 – (SP) Garrett Mock; #13 – (SP) Shairon Martis; #20 – (SP) Craig Stammen; (P) Tyler Clippard; (2B/SS) Alberto Gonzalez

Arizona Fall League Players – Phoenix Desert Dogs
Pitchers – Strasburg, Storen, Jeff Mandel, Josh Wilkie
Hitters – #3 – (1B) Chris Marrero, #14 – (SS) Danny Espinosa, (C) Sean Rooney

Players of Interest
Hitters
#3 – Chris Marrero | 1B | 20 | A+/AA | .284/.358/.452 | 489 AB | 27 2B | 17 HR | .178 ISO | 115:50 K:BB | .343 BABIP | 46.3 GB% | 15.3 LD% | 38.4 FB%
Back in early September, I wrote a Scouting the Unknown article on Marrero. Here is me quoting me, “Marrero is projected to hit 20 to 25 homers with decent average and above average plate coverage and average plate discipline. He is a below average runner and defensive range at first base, but does have a good arm and soft hands – which serve little worth if he cannot get to the ball. Scouts, managers and team reps rave about his work ethic and have high hopes … He should start in AA to open the 2010 season and possibly move up to AAA by the middle of June and get a chance to show himself to the world by September – assuming he doesn’t get injured or struggle with the jump to AAA. However his promotions go, he still strikeouts too much for a hitter to have an average over .275 and his plate discipline is adequate – nothing spectacular, but nothing awful – and his ISO has been average too. He isn’t the sexy power hitter like Mike Stanton, the all round player like Heyward, or even the hitting scarce position prospect like Carlos Santana. However, he reminds me of Kyle Blanks [and can do what he] did this year before he went down with an injury. He has the potential to be the Nationals starting first baseman by 2011.” Much the same remains.

#6 – Derek Norris | C | 20 | A | .286/.413/.513 | 437 AB | 30 2B | 23 HR | .227 ISO | 116:90 K:BB | .342 BABIP | 35.6 GB% | 20.2 LD% | 44.2 FB%
He has great plate discipline and is an extremely patient hitter. He’s thrown out 39% of runners in his young career. After playing third base until his senior year in high school, Norris doesn’t have a lot of experience behind the plate as noted by 28 passed balls this year and 16 last year. His defense projects to be adequate at best, while most inside organizational members predict him changing positions to utilize his tremendous hitting skills.

#14 – Danny Espinosa | SS | 22 | A+ | .264/.375/.460 | 474 AB | 31 2B | 18 HR | .196 ISO | 29/11 SB/CS | 129:74 K:BB | 50.1 GB% | 13 LD% | 35.7 FB%
Espinosa is an average player at best with only a strong and accurate arm as his plus tool. His defense is above average too. However, he is a scrappy player that projects to be nothing more than a bench player. The other asset, besides his stellar defense, is his excellent base stealing skills. He isn’t extremely fast, but he knows when and how to get that extra base. He was rated a higher prospect than Ian Desmond (14 to 19) and if there are an abundance of injuries in the infield next year, Espinosa could get called upon.

Pitchers
#21 – Marco Estrada | RH (SP) | 25 | AAA | 6.5 K/9 | 2.2 BB/9 | 136 1/3 IP | 3.63 ERA | 3.46 FIP | 1.22 WHIP | .300 BABIP | 42.6 GB% | 14.2 LD% | 39.4 FB% | 14.7 IF/F
Throws his fastball between 90 and 94 mph, keeping it regularly in the upper half of that range. He has a plus change-up and a curve he throws at two different speeds to keep hitters off guard. Not much of strikeout pitcher, but he throws strikes and makes them count. He has thrown 20 innings in the majors the last two years combined with little success. Estrada has the tools to fight for a back-end rotation spot in spring training. Think 2009 Carl Pavano-type numbers if given a chance to pitch all year.

Josh Wilkie | RH (RP) | 24 | AA/AAA | 8.2 K/9 | 2.1 BB/9 | 71 2/3 IP | 2.64 ERA | 1.17 WHIP | .327 BABIP | 53.9 GB% | 5.5 LD% | 37.8 FB% | 11.7 IF/F [Career rates of 52.4 GB% | 12 LD% | 33.6 FB% | 11.8 IF/F in 239 2/3 IP]
Does an awesome job keeping the ball in the park (10 homers allowed in 239 2/3 IP) and on the ground (52.4 GB%; For perspective, Joel Pineiro has a career 48.2 GB% and a 60 GB% in 2009). Wilkie has never been a starter and consequently has never been a top prospect. Wilkie may get a chance in spring training, but more realistically he’ll open the season in Triple-A and get a call up if the Nationals need bullpen help in the middle of the summer.

Brad Meyers | RH (SP) | 23 | A+/AA | 7.1 K/9 | 2.1 BB/9 | 136 1/3 IP | 1.72 ERA | 1.05 WHIP | .279 BABIP | 47 GB% | 14 LD% | 34 FB% | 13.4 IF/F
Like Wilkie and Pineiro, he keeps the ball on the ground and in the park (13 HR in 283 2/3 IP). Keep an eye on him if he can keep pitching well at Double-A. His numbers were better at Double-A than at High-A this year too.