Fantasy Baseball Advice

The Chissen The Hall

June 28, 2011 By: Grey Category: Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 97 Comments →

I contemplated picking up Lonnie Chisenhall for about as long as it takes me to eat a pupusa from my neighborhood El Salvadorean lady that has different hairnets to match her camisas.  About 12.7 seconds.  I’ll risk indigestión for those cheesy-pork flapjacks of wonderful.  At the waiver wire, I was like, “So many rookies have come up — rookies with great pedigrees — and they’ve been pretty yawnstipating– Screw it, he has 3rd base eligibility.”  In Arizona this spring, Rudy and I took in an Indians game and saw Chisenhall firsthand.  He impressed us with his hitting — seemed like a bona fide mollywhopper — and was one of those guys we felt would make an impact in 2011.  This year in Triple-A, he has 7 homers in 64 games and 17 homers in 117 games last year in Double-A.  He may not hit for much average, and could be off some of my mixed teams in a few weeks because his power doesn’t immediately appear, but I’ll risk indigestión for some rookie nookie upside.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Mat Gamel – The Brewers recalled him.  According to Rudy’s Point Shares, Gamel is a league replacement value 3rd baseman in a 12-team NL-Only league at 26/7/30/2/.256.  The camera pans to Gamel for his reaction and he’s fumbling his drink.  What a klutz.  McGehee doesn’t have the corner locked down quite like Marlo Stanfield, but Gamel will probably only be up for a week during interleague.  If Gamel hits like a beast as he’s done in Triple-A this year — 17 homers in 75 games — he could stick around.  Or if the Brewers move back to the AL, which seems less likely.  He’s worth an immediate pickup in all deeper leagues for a shot of adrenaline to your fantasy baseball heart.

Zach Braddock – Back up too.  Hopefully the Brewers will stop hitting the snooze button on his season.

Jhoulys Chacin – 5 IP, 6 ER.  You can blame the wind blowing out if you want, but I blame me for jhinxing us.  Sorry, feel free to replace my name with your favorite curse word.

Carlos Gonzalez – 2-for-4 and his 11th and 12th home runs.  He’s actually not far off his 1st half last year, but his 2nd half was predicated on everything breaking right, so I still think he falls somewhat below his huge year in 2010.

Carlos Pena – 2-for-4, 3 RBIs and 2 homers.  Sticking with the newly-established Carlos theme, Pena is now up to 16 homers.  Can set your watch to his 32-35 homer, low average season, assuming you have a watch that keeps fantasy baseball time.  Dork!

Aramis Ramirez – 3-for-4, 3 RBIs and 2 home runs.  His stats:  29/8/37/.289.  Ryan Zimmerman’s stats:  11/3/11/.244.  What’s that?  There’s been like 3 good players in the first two rounds of fantasy drafts this year?  Yeah, I know.  Pardon me while I go pour some McDonald’s coffee on my lap.

Max Scherzer – 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 baserunners, 9 Ks.  Now that’s not that sour, Kraut, as he struckout his season high last night vs. the Blue Kays.

Jonny Gomes – 1-for-3 with a homer.  Since I told you late last week he gets crazy hot for no apparent reason, he’s hit two homers in the last four games.  Wigginton may be the mayor of Hot Schmotatown, but Gomes is a newly-elected sheriff.  Or seriff.

Brandon Phillips – 4-for-5, 2 runs and 2 RBIs.  Hitting .299 on the year, but his power (6 homers) and speed (4 steals in 7 attempts) have been pretty pedestrian so far this year.  He probably just needs a wake up call from me, which usually involves me singing Kelis’ Milkshake at 7 in the morning.

Mike Leake – 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 baserunners, 3 Ks.  I’m not a huge Leake fan.  Tends to give up around 3 to 4 runs per game without the Ks.  Than, but no thans.

Chris Perez – Hey, look a Putz in a Perez sandwich.  Better than seeing a Putz in Perez Hilton.  Oofa!

Asdrubal Cabrera – 2-for-4 with his 13th homer as Orlando Cabrera also went deep.  It’s a Cabrerathon!

Mat Latos – 6 IP, 3 ER, 9 baserunners, 6 Ks.  He’s been good but far from exceptional.  Still don’t trust Latos to be exceptional this year, which hurts me to say because I do enjoy hodgepadres.  I’ll be back in next year as I practice my Saberhagenmetrics.

Mike Morse – 2-for-4 and his 15th home run.  Did someone send him the message that I called him a sell last week?  Or do I need to write it in dots and dashes?

Adam Kennedy – 1-for-4 with a homer.  Not to rag on a guy that just homered, but the Mariners hit Adam Kennedy third as the DH in interleague.  It’s like the M’s are the NL team.

Brian McCann – 3-for-4 with his 14th home run as he bats .307.  It took three years of me ranking McCann first for catchers for it to finally make sense.

Brandon Beachy – 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 baserunners, 9 Ks.  I have nothing to say other than I’ve been telling you to own him since March.

Jonny Venters – He actually did not pitch yesterday.  Crazy!

Jordan Walden – Thoreau’s favorite closer registered his 6th blown save via a 2-out HR to Danny Espinosa.  Can anyone find a reliable closer in all of the greater Los Angeles area besides Kyra Sedgwick?

Scott Downs – I’d grab Downs, in the non-perverse way, if I were speculating on Walden being removed from the closer job.  I don’t think it happens, or for long if it does.  Though Walden has blown three straight saves, so there’s that.

Jonathan Broxton – Headed for an MRI.  Looks like I altered my Toni Braxton, “Braxton Rules” t-shirt for nothing.  BTW, the MRI is being administered by Dr. Neal ElAttrache.  Not sure why, but the doctor’s name made me giggle.  “Say aaahhh…And look deep into my dark-as-midnight eyes while I put my hair into a ponytail.  I am Dr. Neal ElAttrache.  I will now check your tonsils with my tongue.”

Chad Billingsley – 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 baserunners, 4 Ks.  Nothing wrong with Billingsley a little hideous Twins offense can’t fix.  Do not resuscitate the Comatose Twins Fan.

Tony Gwynn – 4-for-6 with 2 steals.  On Sunday, he went 3-for-5 and I was going to mention him in the roundup to tell you to grab him if you need steals.  Damn!  He would’ve been a nice play on a short schedule day.  Damn!  Damn!  Only other thing that can generate that kind of electricity is a bolt of lightning.  A bolt of lightning!

Matt Kemp – 4-for-5 with his 22nd home run.  In honor of Kemp’s year, I’d like to sing a little song, “As long as there’s the two of us… We’ve got the world and all its charms…And when the world is through with us…We’ve got each other’s arms…”  I love you, Matt Kemp.

Trent Oeltjen – 4-for-4 with a home run.  He has some mild pop and speed and might see time for the next week while the Dodgers play in AL parks.  And, to impress your friends, Oeltjen is pronounced like Meltjen.  (But if you have friends impressed by that, you might want to reconsider your friends.)

Dodgers – Filing for bankruptcy protection.  I never understood why they were called the Dodgers.  What were they dodging?  Now I know…the bills!

It’s Duffman! Oh Yeah!

May 18, 2011 By: Grey Category: Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 297 Comments →

Danny Duffy is much better than Stan Stuffy.  Or Brian Bruffy.  Now Gerry Guffy, well, he’s another story.  Stephen literally just went over his Danny Duffy fantasy.  He wrote it in pink highlighter while having cornrows put in his hair.  Oh, Stephen.  So what can we expect of The Duffman?  Maybe just a spot start.  Though when the Royals announced it was only a spot start they did wink, wink, nudge, nudge the Royals beat reporter.  His stuff/numbers have been dynamite this year.  The Royals should just keep him in the rotation.  I mean, who are they rushing to get back to in this rotation?  Jeff Francis?  Vin Mazzaro?  Nadir Bupkis?  No, blech and belch.  I’d grab Duffy in AL-Only and very deep mixed leagues then wait to see if he stays in the rotation.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Matt Guerrier – Just when you thought you had the Dodgers bullpen figured out, Don Mattingly bats his long, beautiful eyelashes and brings Guerrier on for the save.  How many closers do the Dodgers have now?  I don’t know, but more the Guerrier!  What’s that circling above Dodgers Stadium?  Oh my God, it’s save vultures!  Don’t you dare peck at Vin Scully!  He’s a national treasure!  I think everyone knows how I feel about Padilla.  I think he’s crizz to the ap.  He’s not an effective closer.  Guerrier, actually, can be.  That still means to get Guerrier to five saves on the year in the City of Angels he needs a wing and a prayer.  (Pun point!)  But I would grab Guerrier if I had room and really needed saves.

David Wright – The Mets made a shocking move yesterday putting Wright on the DL a day after saying he wouldn’t need the DL.  The Mets lie, when they cry…

Ubaldo Jimenez – 7 IP, 3 ER, 9 baserunners, 7 Ks.  After having a 16:15 K:BB ratio in his previous three starts, it’s good to see him have 7 Ks and only one walk in this game.  Well, I mean, it’s good for his owners to see, I don’t own him.  Natch!  (Though I do own Pedro Alvarez… Biatch!)

Troy Tulowitzki – 1-for-3 with his 11th home run.  Guess this means he’s going to now hit 10 homers in the next two games.  Well, ain’t you Prince Charles?  (Not sure what that means, but some old lady said it to me at the post office when she thought I was cutting.  Actually, it was more like, “Back of the line, Prince Charles!”)

Josh Johnson – His arm MRI came back negative, which is positive, not just in opposite world.

Rafael Soriano – To the 15-day DL with an elbow injury.  Or maybe he just didn’t like where they were planning on batting him during interleague.

Alex Rodriguez – 2-for-4 with 2 homers.  Or one homer for each time Cameron Diaz calls Jeter’s name out during sex.

Daisuke Matsuzaka – To the DL.  Alfredo Aceves will take Dice-BB’s spot in the rotation.  I look forward to Alfredo throwing meatballs to Saltimbocca.

Gio Gonzalez – 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 baserunners, 7 Ks.  Here’s what I said in the preseason about Gio, “He went 13 innings over the 30 inning Verducci threshold last year, but Verducci’s a crackpot who told you to avoid F-Her, Latos and Josh Johnson (in 2010).  I’m sorry, but he’s throwing darts at a board.  Can we all agree to never listen to him again?  This year I expect Gio to up his K-rate from 7.67 to a mid-8 and to keep his walk rate (which isn’t great) around where it is or lower it slightly.”  And that’s me quoting me!  So far his K-rate is in the mid-8′s and his walk rate is slightly lower than where it was.  Gio is real and he’s beautiful.

John Danks – 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 10 baserunners, 2 Ks as his team won but he stayed at 0-6.  My Win Karma is so terrible –> Match Game refrain, “How terrible is it?” It’s so terrible that we’re in 2nd in one league, 5 points out of first and we have a one in wins.  Not only is it a one, but we have only 12 Wins, making us 5 wins away from getting 2 points.  We have 12 wins after a month and a half!  That’s two wins a week even though our ERA is 3.49!   And one day in April we got 4 wins in that league.  We have 8 wins in 41 other days of the season.  Or less than a win every five days.  In one of our NL-Only leagues, we have 22 Wins.  Sorry, that was probably only interesting to Rudy and me.

Elliott Johnson – Now has 2 homers in his last two games and three steals.  For a middle infielder, I say the same thing as Fonzie’s horse, “What the hey!”  I’d grab him just to see if this hot schmotato can keep hitting.  Keep in mind, his minor league numbers say he has very little power, but he could steal 20 bases.

Wandy Rodriguez – 8 IP, 0 ER, 7 baserunners, 6 Ks, but no win because Mark Melancon blew the save.  Second time in 4 games Wandy’s gone this deep into the game and lost the win.  This Wandy no decision has me feeling Melancholy.  I would’ve been Lyon about it two weeks ago.  Maybe Wandy could help ingratiate himself to the bullpen by taking them to Six Flags and buying them spray-painted t-shirts.

Mark Melancon – First, the Astros refused to name Melancon the closer, now he blows the game.  In one of my leagues, I went to the Wilton Lopez dispenser and grabbed one.

Brett Wallace – 1-for-4, batting .321 and hit his 3rd homer yesterday.  Not terrible numbers, but, wow, this guy is yawnstipating.

Hiroki Kuroda – 7 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 8 baserunners, 7 Ks and his ERA is down to 2.80.  And, for whatever reason, I will still get questions on whether or not Kuroda’s worth owning.

Francisco Liriano – 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 baserunners, 9 Ks.  Honestly, if he didn’t do this vs. the Mariners I was going to tell everyone to drop him.  So, now you have the good fortune of holding onto him.  Yay, you.

Jaime Garcia – 8 IP, 0 ER, 6 baserunners, 5 Ks.  Now has a 1.64 ERA.  I could totally be remembering this wrong but I think Jaime Garcia has had a 1-something ERA two years in a row now.  Who died and made him Prince Charles?!

Roy Oswalt – 5 IP, 1 ER, 8 baserunners, 3 Ks in his return from the DL.  After the game, he said, “I felt good out there.  I was mumbo-jumboing around like a lily pad on the back of hornet’s nest.  Now where’s my tractor?!”

Asdrubal Cabrera – Hit his 7th homer yesterday.  In a race that has captivated Razzball nation and made me want to cry, Asdrubal now leads Morneau by 6 homers.  You don’t even want to know how many RBIs Asdrubal has compared to Morneau.  Let’s just say it’s more than double.

Brian McCann – 2-for-2 with 2 homers as he hit a pinch hit homer to tie the game, then in his next at-bat he won it.  Pretty heroic stuff.  Could be McCann hinting at another presidential run.

Julio Teheran – For what it’s worth — or wurst if you’re German — after his start on Wednesday, Teheran is being sent right back down due to the Braves schedule not needing a fifth starter for two weeks.

Daniel Hudson – 7 IP, 1 ER, 10 baserunners, 6 Ks.  Brought his ERA down to 4.03, next stop 3.50.  Woot, woot.

Matt Garza – 6 IP, 0 ER, 9 baserunners, 3 Ks.  Hope everyone took my advice to grab him.

Carlos Pena – 2nd day in a row with a home run.  He could hit 15 homers this month and it wouldn’t surprise me.

Tyler Colvin – Singer/songwriter, Tyler Colvin, was demoted to the minors.  As recently as last week, Matthew Berry said Colvin would hit 40 homers this year.  I kid you not.  Berry, “My motto’s go big or go home!  Maicer Izturis will be the MVP!  I go big or I go home!  Miguel Olivo will hit more homers than Miguel Cabrera!  I said it!  I go big or I go home!  I’m not saying all of these things will be true!  Or that some of them will!  Or any of them!  I go big or I go home!”

2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Top 20 Catchers

January 13, 2011 By: Grey Category: 2011 Fantasy Baseball Draft, 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings 97 Comments →

Went over the top 20 for 2011 fantasy baseball and top 10 for 2011 fantasy baseball.  Now, friends, it’s time for the top 20 catchers for 2011 fantasy baseball.  The top 20 catchers are the glass of warm milk right before you go to sleep.  Hey, I just drafted Jorge Posada!  Snooze.  I love Kurt Suzuki this year!  Yawn.  I don’t draft top catchers in one catcher leagues.  Because I ignore the top catchers doesn’t mean I’m starting the top 20 catcher list at number twenty-one (Chris Snyder?  Belch.); some of you might want to know the top catchers.  You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make them draft Napoli.  In two catcher leagues, catchers are a little more valuable, but I’d still prefer to avoid them.  You can see other top 20 lists for 2011 fantasy baseball under 2011 Fantasy Baseball Rankings.  Listed along with these catchers are my 2011 projections for each player and where the tiers begin and end.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 catchers for 2011 fantasy baseball:

1. Brian McCann – This is the first tier.  This tier goes from here until Posey.  This tier is called, “I’ll draft any of these guys if they’re still on the board four to six rounds after their Average Draft Position.”  I ended up putting McCann above Mauer in these rankings for a simple reason.  I want 20+ home runs way more than I want a .320+ average.  If McCann gets his stupid eyes figured out and hits like he should for a 27-year-old, this will be his season.  I know Posey is way more exciting than McCann, but unless you’re dating Posey’s sister, exciting isn’t going to get you laid in fantasy baseball.  2011 Projections:  80/25/95/.280/3

2. Joe Mauer – It’s amazing to me how fickle fantasy baseball ‘perts are.  Read recently a ‘pert talking about how Mauer will never hit 20 home runs again.  These are, of course, the same people that swore his 28 homers in 2009 was the real deal.  Can’t anyone separate what someone did the previous year compared to what they will do.  I don’t think he will hit 28 home runs either, but I didn’t think he’d do it 2010 and thought it was fluky as shizz in 2009 when he actually did it.  Search the site if you’re new to Razzball.  It’s all there.  Mauer is a 14-17 home run hitter with a great average.  If he gets lucky, he hits 20 homers.  If he’s unlucky, he hits 9 homers like last year.  It’s not brain surgery.  And it is a’ight, but I won’t own him because of where he’s drafted.  2011 Projections:  90/15/90/.325/3

3. Victor Martinez – I already went over my Victor Martinez fantasy when I took a scalpel to his Tigers signing.  If you click that link, it’ll transport you to a whole new post.  It’s magic!  2011 Projections:  70/18/85/.300

4. Buster Posey – I suppose he could be the best catcher for 2011, but what about Mike Napoli?  I mean, Mike Napoli’s mom is showing you nips and you still got no love for him?  You don’t like MILF nips?  You a prude?  Are you one of our three girl readers?  If so, then maybe I should stop now before we end up with no girl readers.  I don’t dislike Posey.  All I’m saying is Wieters looked like a surefire bet going into 2010 too.  For where you have to draft Posey, I’m not going near him.  2011 Projections:  75/18/80/.310

5. Mike Napoli – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Posada.  I call this tier, “I’ll try to grab a catcher from this tier and if it doesn’t happen then c’est la vie.”  Honestly, you probably don’t have to draft Napoli because whoever drafts him will probably drop him by mid-April.  No one wants to own Napoli.  You’re all a bunch of Sciosciapaths!  He hits 20+ home runs and steals a few bases.  That’s all you need from a catcher.  Stop trying to turn your catcher slot to eleven.  Oh, and his move to the Rangers ups his power a bit, but he’s not suddenly going to hit for .300.  2011 Projections:  65/24/75/.255/5

6. Matt Wieters – Now that Wieters’ draft position has come down to earth, I don’t mind him at all.  Could easily be the top catcher for fantasy in 2011.  That ain’t idle chatter.  He’s just needs to emerge from his nasty sophomore slump and do what he’s capable of.   He was unlucky last year and his walk rate went up while his K-rate went down.  They’re all good signs.  Here’s to him getting back on the map.  (And because no Oriole mention is complete without a Wire mention, I was pulled over the other day for talking on my phone while driving.  I know, Oprah would’ve been so disappointed.  I’m also the jackhole who usually yells at other drivers, “Hands free!” but I just got a phone call at the wrong time.  Anyway, the cop walks up to my window and I read his name tag and immediately yelled out his name, “McNulty!”  He’s like, “Do I know you?”  “No, but I watch The Wire.”  He sighs like he’s heard it a thousand times before and gives me a ticket.  Woo-hoo, I got a ticket from McNulty!)  2011 Projections:  60/18/85/.280

7. Geovany Soto – In 105 games last year, he hit 17 home runs.  Yes, he too can be the number one catcher in 2011 fantasy baseball.  Now that Piniella and his infatuation with Koyie Ugly is out of town, Soto should see all the ABs he can handle.  Tough break for The Koyie Hill Fan Club, which affectionately calls itself The Koy Pond.  2011 Projections:  60/18/75/.270

8. Miguel Montero – Unlike Napoli, Wieters or Soto, Montero doesn’t have the big power upside.  With my projected 15 home runs I’ve given him, I’m probably just about touching his ceiling.  He’ll probably get tiresome at some point in the season making you want to drop him for a hot-as-of-right-now waiver wire catcher.  If you do Ron Popeil him, he should be able to give you a solid, if unremarkable catcher season.  2011 Projections:  55/15/70/.275

9. Jorge Posada – After about ten years of ignoring Posada, I think his value has finally caught up with his draft position.  I’d like to say his BABIP was low last year, but his skills are declining.  He might not hit over .260 again without some luck.  Also, like a preacher, he has Jesus breathing down his neck.  Still, the ballpark, the lineup around him and the fact he’ll see DH ABs, makes him attractive.  2011 Projections:  50/17/70/.255

10. Carlos Santana – This is a new tier.  This tier is just Carlos Santana.  This tier I call, “I’m not owning Carlos Santana unless he falls very far in my drafts.”  Bill James has Carlos Santana down for 22 homers.  Bill James is smoking crack cocaine.  Carlos Santana might be great in 2011, but I need the ulcer to see if he’s healthy?  I have enough stress in my life.  I’m letting Carlos Santana prove his mettle on someone else’s team.  What, I’m gonna miss out on a 15-homer, .280 season from a catcher?  Big whoop, friend.  Big effin’ whoop.  2011 Projections:  55/15/65/.280

11. Kurt Suzuki – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here until Carlos Ruiz.  I call this tier, “I’m only listing them so you know I don’t want them on any teams.”  I stared at the screen for three minutes trying to think of something positive to say about Suzuki.  What you ended up with was me confessing to you that I had nothing positive to say about him.  That about sums it up.  2011 Projections:  60/14/70/.260/3

12. Yadier Molina – Oh.  My.  God.  Get me the hell out of this tier.  For reals.  2011 Projections:  40/7/55/.270/7

13. A.J. Pierzynski – Not only is he a terrible pick but his last name is impossible for me to spell.  Just let Tyler Flowers flourish or flounder, for suck fake. (Say that fast 117 times.)  2011 Projections:  50/12/55/.275

14. Carlos Ruiz – Carlos Ruiz makes Kurt Suzuki seem like an upside pick.  2011 Projections:  35/10/55/.265

15. Chris Iannetta – This is a new tier.  This tier goes until the end of the post.  I call this tier, “It’s late in the game and I’m taking some upside.”  You might look at the tier names and think to yourself, why doesn’t he just move Iannetta above Suzuki if he’s ignoring Kurt?  I guess I could, but I’m not taking Iannetta or any of these late names until the guys above them are already drafted.  So by listing Iannetta here you know who has to come off the board before you draft one of these late round fliers.  If you were to draft Iannetta before, say, Ruiz is off the board, I wouldn’t be mad at you, but you might be reaching.  As for Iannetta, “Meh, at least he’s got some upside.”  2011 Projections:  40/15/60/.245

16. Russell Martin – I don’t like Martin then he went to the Yankees and I was slightly more interested.  Put a big flashing sign on “slightly” to emphasize it.  In the absolute last round of a draft, I’d consider him.  There, I said it.  Are you happy you’ve embarrassed me?  2011 Projections:  70/10/60/.270/10

17. J.P. Arencibia – First, let’s see what I said when he was first called up, “In Triple-A, Arencibia hit 32 homers in 412 ABs.  That’s-a one spicy prospect!  To go all Latin America on you, there’s a caveat.  That was in the PCL, which is like playing on the moon with an aluminum bat.  He’s not quite the prospect of Wieters, Posey or Carlos Santana, pre-Kalish yelling at him, ‘Eat everything off your plate!’”  And that’s me quoting me!  Arencibia might not be a huge impact guy in 2011, but he can be.  At catcher, I like to gamble.  2011 Projections:  40/15/55/.240

18. Ryan Doumit – He never stays healthy but in some ways that doesn’t matter for a catcher.  Since everyone only owns one of them, there’s plenty of catchers on waivers for Doumit’s thrice-annual trip to the DL.  2011 Projections:  35/15/55/.250

19. John Jaso – I look at Jaso’s number and I see a poor man’s Russell Martin.  That’s not a compliment.  But Jaso is a bit more of an unknown so maybe there’s some more upside there.  That’s barely a compliment.  2011 Projections:  60/6/45/.270/6

20. Miguel Olivo – It’s kinda sad when the upside tier has Doumit, Olivo and Russell Martin.  Catchers suck.  2011 Projections:  45/15/55/.235/7

After the top 20 catchers for 2011 fantasy baseball, there’s plenty of names, but here’s three I want to point out:

Jesus Montero – If he gets an everyday job out of Spring Training, which I don’t think he will, he’ll shoot up this rankings list.  I’d move him up to 9th overall.  If he does get the everyday job, his price tag will probably be too steep for my blood though.  I also went over my Jesus Montero fantasy already.  Click that thing-a-ma-boob.  By all means, grab him in keepers if your bench is deep enough, but with the Martin addition, I don’t think we see Montero until late summer at the earliest (barring an injury).  2011 Projections:  20/5/30/.290 in 100 at-bats

John Buck – I usually like to end these top 20 posts with some exciting names, but we’re talking about catchers when I highlight John Buck.  He’s usually forgotten on draft day and he’s good for teen power.  Should you draft him at any point before the final round?  Buck that!  2011 Projections:  40/15/55/.245

Jarrod Saltalamacchia – There was a point in the not that distance past that Jarrod Saltymochachino was a touted prospect.  “Shizz happens, write him off, let’s move on, Grey.”  That’s you talking.  “He’s not quite old; he’ll be only 26 years old in 2011.  In the last round of draft, you got better things to do than to draft an upside catcher in a hitters’ park and lineup?  Yeah, I didn’t think so.”  That’s me talking.  2011 Projections:  55/16/70/.255/5 <– optimistic but whatevs

Top 20 Catchers, 2010 Fantasy Baseball

October 07, 2010 By: Grey Category: 2010 Fantasy Baseball Rankings 87 Comments →

It feels like yesterday the baseball regular season started.  You wrote “I heart baseball” in permanent marker on your arm, then you met a girl who wrote “I heart guys who heart baseball” on her arm, then, during sex in September, you screamed out “I love you, Tulo!” and now you don’t have baseball or your girlfriend.  C’mon, calender, make like a soldier and turn to March.  The only cure for the post-baseball season blues — recapping the preseason top twenty lists and being hand-fed Doritos.  First up, Cool Ranch and our preseason Top 20 Catchers for 2010.   It’s important to look back before we look ahead to 2011.  To paraphrase the one and only B-Real, “How do you know where you’re at, if you don’t know where you’ve been?  Understand where I’m coming from?”  It wouldn’t be fair for me to preseason rank the players then rank them again in the postseason based on my opinion, so these postseason top 20 lists are ranked according to ESPN’s Player Rater.  It may not be wholly accurate, but it’s wholly unbiased.  Anyway, here’s the top 20 catchers for 2010 fantasy baseball and how they compared to where I originally ranked them:

1. Joe Mauer – I predicted the homers would come down.  Literally.  Only I didn’t think they’d fall as far as they did.  It was the Hubert H. Homerfree Retrodome factor that I just couldn’t fully know back in January.  Mauer ended up number one and I’d contend he was still overrated and will be so again next March.  Certain guys just get a pass from the fantasy community because they seem likable or have can’t-put-your-finger-on-it-ness. Preseason Rank #1, 2010 Projections:  100/20/85/.330/3, Final Numbers:  88/9/75/.327/1

2. Victor Martinez – V-Mart’s age still hasn’t caught up with him (sorta pun!), but I think, in retrospect, we’re going to look back at this season as the beginning of the end for him.  Preseason Rank #3, 2010 Projections:  85/25/110/.300, Final Numbers:  64/20/79/.302/1

3. Buster Posey – I ranked him 16th in the preseason and here he is 3rd.  The scary thing is, besides the average, I was pretty right on with his projections.  That means it was another yawnstipating year from catchers.  Preseason Rank #16, 2010 Projections:  55/14/65/.290/3, Final Numbers:  58/18/67/.305

4. Brian McCann – I love McCann, there I said it.  He gives you what I want from a catcher.  Good homers, decent RBIs and doesn’t hurt you elsewhere.  Much prefer that to Mauer’s MI-type catcher output.  Preseason Rank #2, 2010 Projections:  80/28/105/.295/3, Final Numbers:  63/21/77/.269/5

5. John Buck – This was the most bang from your Buck since Midnight Cowboy.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  53/20/66/.281

6. Mike Napoli – I Ron Popeil’d him in a few leagues and I’m glad I did.  Even it wasn’t for the Sciosciapath, he probably would’ve hit 30+ homers. Sure, the average wasn’t great, but, as I’ve said many times, since there’s fewer ABs from catchers, you’re fine with a guy like Napoli.  Preseason Rank #6, 2010 Projections:  60/19/70/.260/5, Final Numbers:  60/26/68/.238/4

7. Miguel Olivo – Well, I ranked Iannetta around here in the preseason and I told you to grab Olivo in April so I wasn’t completely Mr. Bungle on Olivo, but, considering his post-All-Star break numbers were egregious, I’d say his high ranking here is more about the state of catchers.  They’re really bad, ya’ll.  Preseason Unranked, 2010 Projections:  30/16/45/.245, Final Numbers:  55/14/58/.269/7

8. Geovany Soto – Member when I told everyone to draft him?  Good times.  Or, more appropriately, okay times.  For a catcher, not bad times.  Here’s what I said at the Geovany Soto sleeper post last January, “Soto’s 2009 was off the charts unlucky.  His BABIP went from .337 in 2008 to .251 last year.  I.e. His average should come up to .270 levels.  His power was zapped because of a shoulder injury.  When he started to get healthy in June, he hit 6 homers that month.  Then an oblique injury sidelined him.  Bad luck followed by terrible luck.”  And that’s me quoting me!  Preseason Rank #7, 2010 Projections:  65/18/80/.280, Final Numbers:  47/17/53/.280

9. Carlos Ruiz – Honestly, if you jumped out of DeLorean and told me in the preseason Ruiz would be ranked this high and told me his final stats, I still wouldn’t have drafted him.  8 homers and no steals?  Who are you, Willy Aybar?  Ruiz was unranked, but he made the preseason catchers to target post.  Preseason Unranked, 2010 Projections:  45/14/65/.260/3, Final Numbers:  43/8/53/.302

10. Jorge Posada – About two years ago, I jumped off the “Ever drafting Posada again” bandwagon and I’m never going back.  Too old, too tired, too effin’ blind.  Okay, maybe not the last one.  Preseason Rank #9, 2010 Projections:  50/17/75/.280, Final Numbers:  49/18/57/.248/3

11. A.J. Pierzynski – Looking back on these catchers makes me feel like Creighton on a New Orleans ferry.  A.J. was in the don’t draft tier along with Yadier and Suzuki and, looking back, I wouldn’t change a thing.  Preseason Rank #14, 2010 Projections:  55/12/65/.280, Final Numbers:  43/9/56/.270/3

12. Kurt Suzuki – I’d go as far to say Suzuki was actually better than A.J. because he was injured and you were getting stats from someone else while Suzuki was hurt, or, if you were really lucky, you just dropped him.  Preseason Rank #12, 2010 Projections: 65/12/65/.270/6, Final Numbers:  55/13/71/.242/3

13. Yadier Molina – His numbers are even more yawnstipating than Crapolanco.  Preseason Rank #13, 2010 Projections:  40/7/55/.285/5, Final Numbers:  34/6/62/.262/8

14. Ramon Hernandez – Do you see a theme here?  Catchers were so bad, a guy who didn’t even play in 100 games or crack 10 homers is ranked this high.  If you take nothing else away from this post, please punt catchers next year.  Please.  Preseason Rank #20, 2010 Projections:  55/17/65/.265, Final Numbers:  30/7/48/.297

15. John Jaso – I’ve been looking at Jaso as a potential sleeper for next year, but I just don’t think his power or speed upside is great enough.  He might be “The Old Russell Martin (Or Maybe That’s A Young Russell Martin)” at best.  You know, the Martin that actually had value.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  57/5/44/.263/4

16. Yorvit Torrealba – If you owned Torrealba for longer than two months, you didn’t win your league.  There’s just no way.  Preseason Unranked, Final Numbers:  31/7/37/.271/7

17. Ryan Doumit – Chew on this:  If Yuniesky Betancourt were a catcher, he’d be ranked in the top ten.  Preseason Rank #15, 2010 Projections: 50/16/60/.280/3, Final Numbers:  42/13/45/.251/1

18. Rod Barajas – Ladies and gentlemen, I bring to you your 2010 fantasy baseball catchers.  They are the new blech.  2010 Projections:  Please/Don’t/Draft/Him, Final Numbers:  Do/You/Really/Care?

19. Miguel Montero – I’d say Wieters was the much, much bigger bust than Montero simply because Montero was injured for an extended stretch so you had a chance to get someone else’s numbers from him.  But, don’t get me wrong, Montero was a rather supersized disappointment too.  Preseason Rank #5, 2010 Projections:  65/17/80/.280, Final Numbers:  36/9/43/.266

20. Matt Wieters – Finally, the Billy Butler-sized bust.  As I practice my Saberhagenmetrics, Wieters will be on quite a few teams of mine next year.  Sucks if you got caught in the crossfire of his down year, but one bad season at 24-years-old doesn’t take his future shine off.  The Orioles could surprise next year.  Yeah, I said it!  And kinda mean it.  Though they’ll still only land in third or fourth place.  Preseason Rank #4, 2010 Projections:  70/18/85/.305, Final Numbers:  37/11/55/.249

Rollins With The Homies

June 23, 2010 By: Grey Category: Fantasy Baseball Daily Notes 315 Comments →

Jimmy Rollins went 0-for-4 in his return from the DL.  After the game, Charlie Manuel said… Actually, no one’s sure because he was chewing a piece of straw at the time.  I wouldn’t just yet start blowing your vuvuzela at your TV set that’s broadcasting the Philly game expecting an explosive 2nd half from Rollins.  J-Roll lost 16 steals from 2008 to 2009 and is now 31-years-old and on a bad set of wheels.  He’s in a great place to succeed — the Philly lineup and hitter-friendly Citizens Flank.  In a half a season, you may only get 10/15 with a .270 average.  It’s nice, but this isn’t your slightly older brother’s NL MVP anymore.  This is a guy that is one poor 2nd half away from plummeting in the shortstop rankings.  Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday in fantasy baseball:

Jamie Moyer – 8 IP, 1 ER, 3 baserunners, 5 Ks.  He attributes his success to how well he prepares for each opponent.  Here he is checking the Indians’ scouting report.

Mat Latos – 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 baserunners, 8 Ks vs. the Rays.  Has a WHIP of 0.95 and a 2.93 ERA.  He’s real and he’s spectacular.  Now I’m more concerned about the Padres actually battling for the NL West and putting too many innings on Latos’ arm.  Please don’t do that, I wanna own him next year.

Jose Bautista – 2-for-3 with 2 homers.  I wonder if Aaron Hill watches him, muttering, “I was the toast of Toronto!”

Brett Cecil – 5 IP, 6 ER, 9 baserunners, 4 Ks.  I wouldn’t read too much into this if it hadn’t come right after a 5 earned in 6 inning game vs. the Padres.  Cecil could be going through a tired arm.

Matt Wieters – 1-for-3 with a home run.  A Matt Wieters Fact:  After Matt Wieters last home run, he went 0-for-16.

Jake Fox – Orioles made their first move for the pennant chase, trading for Jake Fox.  Now if they can get their hands on 9 hitters, 5 starters, a bullpen, a closer and a manager, they could be unstoppable.  I’m the first one to go caca-cuckoo for Jake Fox, but he needs an every day job and needs to hit.  So for now the “Unathletic Like A Fox” t-shirts are still on the shelf.

Mike Gonzalez – Threw a scoreless inning as he started his rehab.  The O’s are looking for the closer role to be ‘A Mike G. Joint’ before the All-Star break.

Roy Oswalt – 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 baserunners, 5 Ks and a no decision.  Is it me or has this been his line every time out?  No, it’s not me.  It has.

Angel Pagan – 4-for-6, 3 Runs and 4 RBIs.  Are you an angel?  Are you a pagan?  A devil worshiping angel?  And neither names are pronounced as they seem?  It’s all very confusing.  What is not confusing is he’s the Metropolitans’ best hitter.  Can’t bench Pagan for Beltran.  Cannot do it.  People need to show up at Metco with “Benchy Frenchy” signs.  Take some initiative, Mets fans.  You’re our only hope.

Jose Reyes – 3-for-6 with his 18th steal.  Hmm… Let’s see, I’d like him to have 27 steals by the All-Star break.  Make it happen.  Oh, bee tee dubya, Reyes has the same number of RBIs as Jason Bay.  Zoinks!

Justin Verlander – 2 IP, 5 ER, 8 baserunners, 2 Ks.  I recognize this line from somewhere.  I know!  It’s one of his April lines.  June to Verlander, come in Verlander.

Brennan Boesch – 2-for-3, 3 RBIs and his 11th homer.  I’m waiting for the bottom to drop out with Boesch, but I’m enjoying him on a few teams in the meantime, which I guess makes it happytime.

Andy Oliver – Will take over Porcello’s rotation spot for the time being.  Oliver is only 14 starts into his pro career, rocking a 8+ K/9, 3.61 ERA and 1.28 WHIP at Double-A Erie, which makes it scary that the Tigers are promoting him already.  It’s one way to kill a prospect’s confidence.  Another way is to hide “You suck” notes in their locker and sign them, “Love, Mom.”  With his Ks, I’d grab him in deep H2H leagues and AL-Only leagues for a chance at lightning in a bottle.  Or if you feel like it’s a last ditch effort to save an already declining team, add Oliver and the always precocious, Brian Bonsall.

Nelson Cruz – 0-for-3 as he returned from the DL.  I just hope this doesn’t now mean it’s Vlad or Hamilton’s turn to get injured.  Please let the Texas scales of injury tip towards Matt Treanor.

Julio Borbon – Hit his 2nd homer of the year.  Otherwise known as one more homer than Ian Kinsler.

Tommy Hunter – 6 IP, 2 ER, 9 baserunners, 6 Ks.  Hard to recommend him outside of deep leagues because of his K-rate, but he’s pitching well and had a good July last year.  Or so I read yesterday.  Hey, wait, I wrote that yesterday too.  Weird!

Brian McCann – Hit his 8th homer yesterday.  Let me guess, his eyes are better?  Stupid McCann with his stupid eyes.

Tommy Hanson – 3 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 14 baserunners, 0 Ks, now has a 4.17 ERA on the year.  I was criticized pretty heavily in the preseason when I said I was avoiding Hanson in all of my leagues (also in that tier of avoidance:  Vazquez and Scherzer).  Luckily, those critics are back tweeting funny karaoke stories with Matthew Berry.

Carlos Quentin – 2-for-4 with a three-run homer.  And this preseason sleeper of mine hasn’t looked as good.  He really is more talented than what he’s shown, but he has been severely disappointing.  (Hey, who said has been?)  Maybe this is the start of something.  Though I wouldn’t hold my breath.  You could die.

Scott Baker – 6 IP, 5 ER, 9 baserunners, 7 Ks.  Geez, Baker, make up your freakin’ mind.  You turning your season around or aren’t you?  Very frustrating.  (BTW, I saw A. Burnett gave up two runs in middle relief for the Twins and for a second I was like, “Damn, A.J. Burnett is now giving up runs for the Twins on his day off?”)

Jhoulys Chacin – 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 9 baserunners, 5 Ks vs. the Sawx.  Sonavabench!

Huston Street – Was activated from the DL, but Matt Belisle got his 2nd career save as Tracy made a point about not rushing Street back into a pressure situation.  This has to be one of the sillier things a manager does.  He’s been a closer his whole career, it’s three outs, just throw Street.  I wouldn’t grab Belisle unless you’re crazy desperate for saves.  I wouldn’t drop Corpas either because who knows how long Street’s going to be nursing from Tracy’s teet.

Matt Kemp – Hit his 12th homer, but no one was on base because he was batting seventh.  TORRE!!!

Bronson Arroyo – 8 IP, 2 ER, 5 baserunners, 1 K.  His lack of strikeouts is obvious, but he’s a 2nd half beast that’s turned it on already.

Coco Crisp – Returned from the DL early and hit his first homer of the year.  Oh, snap! *soft voice* Crackle, pop.

Jason Vargas – 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 baserunners, 7 Ks.  There’s a lot of smoke mirrors going on with Vargas, but his ballpark does end in -co.

Trevor Hoffman – Ken Macha said Hoffman could reclaim the closer role.  Then Axford asked why.  Then Macha said cuz.  Then Axford went out and got his fifth straight save.

Carlos Silva – Start is being pushed until Saturday due to a hamstring injury.  Silva told the media, “This is very disappointing because for many years I’ve shown nothing but love for everything associated with ham.”

Anibal Sanchez – 6 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 baserunners, 3 Ks.  I wonder if Anibal and Gaby have ever been on a double date with two girls named, Bill and Kevin.