Fantasy Baseball Advice

Rookies for 2009 Fantasy Baseball

February 27, 2009 By: Grey Category: 2009 Fantasy Baseball Draft, 2009 Rookies 33 Comments →

All of these rookies are worth grabbing at the right spot, but I wouldn’t reach for any of them.  Sorry if that sounds boring, but sometimes Grey needs to instill some right-wing fantasy baseball conservatism into the equation.  Longoria, Soto, Tulowitzki, Braun, Michael J. Fox in the first year of Family Ties, etc. panned out.  But for every time you scored with rookie nookie, there was a time when you struckout, Adam Jones, Johnny Cueto, Fukudome, Towles, Hughes, Parra, Justin Upton, Brian Bonsall, etc.  If you click on the links on the players below, you’ll see I covered all of these rookies for 2009 fantasy baseball back in November/December.   (These fantasy sleeper, rookie doodes are in no particular order.  Well… Technically, I did wrote them down in an order so they are in some order…)  Anyway, here’s some rookies for 2009 fantasy baseball:

David Price – I think he hits 150 innings and makes a huge difference for the teams who own him.  I’d pursue him like a third or fourth fantasy starter.

Matt Wieters – He’s been discussed ad nauseum since I discussed him way back in November.  I won’t have him in any league.

Cameron Maybin – I’m going to go out on a limb and say he’s a top 30 outfielder at the end of the year.  That’s a hunch more than anything.   What, I can’t have crushes?

Colby Rasmus – I like him in NL-Only leagues if he leaves spring training with a gig.

Travis Snider – Cheap source of 20 homer power.

Elvis Andrus – Liked him a whole lot more before Omar “I Will One Day Die At The Hands Of Jose Mesa” Vizquel joined the team.

Andrew McCutchen – Keep your eye on him in NL-Only keepers.  He might be a doughy bagel as soon as 2010.

Carlos Carrasco – I like him more than most, but he needs an injury to someone else to see some RT (that’s Rotation Time.  Acronyms don’t work as well when I have to explain them.)

Brett Gardner – I loved him back in November.  Now I’m a bit lukewarm.  If he can find legitimate PT, he swipes 30 bags.  Two things are going in his favor 1) Melky’s his main competition.  2)  See Number One.

Kenshin Kawakami - Two parts Kuroda, one part Hideki Irabu.

Jason Heyward – Keep Heyward in mind in NL-Only keeper leagues.  He’s my early frontrunner for NL ROY for 2010.

Chris Dickerson – Dusty Baker is talking of playing veterans.  Oh, Dusty.  You card!

Mat Gamel -  If he leaves camp with a full-time gig, he will be worth owning in mixed leagues.

Taylor Teagarden – I’d like him more if the Rangers didn’t have Saltymochachino in front of him.  Yet, I still like him.  I like Salty too.  To quote your Mom’s favorite movie title, “Something’s Gotta Give.”

James McDonald – If McDonald gets the fifth starter job in The Los Angeles City of Los Angeles (<–required by Anaheim law), he could be a great NL-Only sleeper.  James McDonald is a fantasy sleeper?! That’ll be a big seller in Google searches.

2009 Fantasy Baseball Top 300

February 23, 2009 By: Grey Category: 2009 Fantasy Baseball Draft 46 Comments →

Finally, we come to the end of the 2009 fantasy baseball rankings.  (Can we start games already?)  Okay, you know that I like Rickie Weeks better than Howie Kendrick in the top twenty 2nd basemen for 2009.  You know I like Conor Jackson better than James Loney as seen at the top twenty 1st basemen for 2009.  But you don’t know how I feel about where these guys fall in the bigger picture.  Is Rickie Weeks above Conor Jackson?  Nope.  So to show you where I think players fall in relation to each other in 2009 fantasy baseball drafts, I’m putting together a 2009 fantasy baseball top 300.  This still needs to be taken with a grain of salt because of how your team might be filling out.  For instance, if you have a shortstop already and Derek Jeter is still on the board in the 12th round, you don’t draft him if you see Zimmerman and you don’t have a 3rd baseman, even though Zimmerman may be below Jeter on this list.  Because of the length of the top 300, there’s no pithy comments with each name, but you kinda do need to know what I’m thinking for each name, so I advise you go over each position in the 2009 fantasy baseball rankings.  Also, I already went over a Top 100 for 2009 Fantasy Baseball, so I’m not going to cover them again.  This top 300 will go from 101 to 300.  Finally, see our 2009 fantasy baseball player rater for 10 team leagues or for 12 team leagues.  That goes up to 600 players.  Or a list of all players with multiple position eligibility.  Anyway, here’s the 2009 fantasy baseball top 300:

101. Jhonny Peralta – 2009 Projections: 85/25/90/.270/3
102. Francisco Cordero – 2009 Projections: 6-4/3.75/1.32/75, 35 saves
103. Bobby Jenks – 2009 Projections: 3-2/3.20/1.14/50, 35 saves
104. Adam Wainwright – 2009 Projections: 13-7/3.60/1.20/150
105. Joba Chamberlain – 2009 Projections: 12-3/3.00/1.18/130 in 20 starts.
106. B.J. Ryan – 2009 Projections: 3-3/3.15/1.22/65, 37 saves
107. Adrian Beltre – 2009 Projections: 80/25/85/.270/10
108. Robinson Cano – 2009 Projections: 80/18/85/.310/3
109. Brian Fuentes – 2009 Projections: 3-1/3.75/1.14/70, 40 saves
110. Derek Jeter – 2009 Projections: 110/12/70/.305/12
111. Rafael Furcal – 2009 Projections: 95/15/65/.285/35
112. Michael Young – 2009 Projections: 100/10/85/.310/10
113. Ricky Nolasco – 2009 Projections: 11-8/4.00/1.15/160
114. A.J. Burnett – 2009 Projections: 13-9/4.15/1.30/140
115. Jose Lopez – Projections: 80/15/85/.280/5
116. Jon Lester – 2009 Projections: 15-7/4.00/1.30/150
117. Chien-Ming Wang – 2009 Projections: 17-7/4.00/1.30/120
118. Ryan Zimmerman – 2009 Projections: 80/20/90/.285/7
119. Kerry Wood – 2009 Projections: 4-2/3.70/1.10/75, 37 saves
120. Jorge Cantu – 2009 Projections: 80/25/90/.270/5
121. Kelly Johnson – 2009 Projections: 90/14/65/.285/10
122. Matt Cain – 2009 Projections: 14-10/3.35/1.26/200
123. Yovani Gallardo – 2009 Projections: 12-6/3.50/1.25/150
124. Ryan Doumit – 2009 Projections: 60/17/70/.295/2
125. Chris Iannetta – 2009 Projections: 55/19/70/.265
126. Kelly Shoppach – 2009 Projections: 50/18/60/.260
127. Conor Jackson – 2009 Projections: 85/17/85/.300/10
128. Aaron Harang – 2009 Projections: 12-9/4.00/1.25/155
129. Jim Thome – 2009 Projections: 85/30/100/.250
130. James Loney – 2009 Projections: 75/17/85/.295/7
131. Erik Bedard – 2009 Projections: 9-6/3.35/1.15/140
132. Jose Valverde – 2009 Projections: 3-5/3.75/1.20/80, 40 saves
133. Mike Napoli – 2009 Projections: 55/23/65/.245/7
134. Javier Vazquez – 2009 Projections: 15-8/4.15/1.25/200
135. Pat Burrell – 2009 Projections: 70/30/85/.250
136. Milton Bradley – 2009 Projections: 60/18/75/.290/4
137. JD Drew – 2009 Projections: 80/22/75/.280/5
138. Jayson Werth – 2009 Projections: 95/17/70/.270/17
139. Coco Crisp – 2009 Projections: 90/12/60/.280/25
140. Carlos Gomez – 2009 Projections: 90/10/60/.260/40
141. Lastings Milledge – 2009 Projections: 75/18/90/.280/20
142. Xavier Nady – 2009 Projections: 80/24/90/.275
143. Delmon Young – 2009 Projections: 70/15/85/.295/15
144. Miguel Tejada – 2009 Projections: 90/15/75/.285/7
145. Edwin Encarnacion – 2009 Projections: 75/25/90/.285/5
146. Mark DeRosa – 2009 Projections: 75/15/70/.280/5
147. Rickie Weeks – 2009 Projections: 90/15/60/.250/20
148. Alex Gordon – 2009 Projections: 85/22/90/.270/10
149. Carlos Marmol – 2009 Projections: 7-2/2.75/1.00/80, 20 saves
150. Cameron Maybin – 2009 Projections: 85/5/50/.280/40
151. David Price – 2009 Projections: 10-4/3.50/1.10/120
152. Max Scherzer – 2009 Projections: 9-3/3.25/1.20/100
153. Jered Weaver – 2009 Projections: 14-9/3.75/1.25/160
154. Justin Verlander – 2009 Projections: 15-9/4.00/1.30/160
155. Fred Lewis – 2009 Projections: 95/12/50/.270/25
156. Andre Ethier – 2009 Projections: 80/17/75/.290/5
157. Zach Grienke – 2009 Projections: 9-7/4.10/1.30/130
157 1/2. Ervin Santana – 2009 Projections:  11-6/3.75/1.20/125 in 20 starts
158. Matt Garza – 2009 Projections: 14-10/3.50/1.25/140
159. Justin Upton – 2009 Projections: 70/20/70/.260/7
160. Chris Young – 2009 Projections: 11-7/3.50/1.22/160
161. Kevin Kouzmanoff – 2009 Projections: 75/25/95/.270
162. Nelson Cruz – 2009 Projections: 75/25/90/.270/10
163. Travis Hafner – 2009 Projections: 60/22/85/.275
164. Bengie Molina – 2009 Projections: 50/15/70/.275
165. Ramon Hernandez – 2009 Projections: 55/17/75/.260
166. Pablo Sandoval – 2009 Projections: 60/14/65/.300
167. Chad Qualls – 2009 Projections: 6-3/3.00/1.18/70, 35 saves
168. Adam Jones – 2009 Projections: 75/15/60/.275/12
169. Matt Wieters – 2009 Projections: 50/17/60/.290 or the Minors
170. Carlos Guillen – 2009 Projections: 80/14/80/.300/10
171. Josh Johnson – 2009 Projections: 13-6/3.75/1.32/140
172. Johnny Cueto – 2009 Projections: 14-10/3.75/1.25/165
173. Nick Swisher – 2009 Projections: 70/30/80/.255
174. Brandon Morrow – 2009 Projections: 8-4/3.45/1.20/120
175. Kevin Slowey – 2009 Projections: 14-10/3.90/1.17/130
176. John Danks – 2009 Projections: 14-10/3.90/1.28/160
177. Mark Reynolds – 2009 Projections: 75/31/100/.255/7
178. Dallas McPherson – 2009 Projections: 60/20/80/.245/5
179. Mike Lowell – 2009 Projections: 75/20/85/.275
180. Chone Figgins – 2009 Projections: 95/5/55/.295/35
181. Jorge Posada – 2009 Projections: 55/12/65/.270
182. Brett Myers – 2009 Projections: 12-5/4.30/1.32/130
183. Ted Lilly – 2009 Projections: 12-10/4.30/1.25/160
184. Ryan Dempster – 2009 Projections: 9-7/4.50/1.35/120
185. Derek Lowe – 2009 Projections: 14-10/3.60/1.22/140
186. Shin-Soo Choo – 2009 Projections: 70/16/70/.280/11
187. Hank Blalock – 2009 Projections: 55/17/65/.280
188. Heath Bell – 2009 Projections: 4-1/3.75/1.20/65, 30 saves
189. Howie Kendrick – 2009 Projections: 70/7/55/.310/10
190. Joey Devine – 2009 Projections: 4-2/2.75/1.00/65, 20 saves
191. Brian Wilson – 2009 Projections: 3-4/4.00/1.32/65, 32 saves
192. Matt Capps – 2009 Projections: 1-4/3.15/1.00/45, 20 saves
193. Mike Gonzalez – 2009 Projections: 3-1/3.15/1.30/65, 25 saves
194. Clayton Kershaw – 2009 Projections: 11-6/4.20/1.40/140
195. Jair Jurrjens – 2009 Projections: 12-8/3.75/1.35/150
196. Ubaldo Jimenez – 2009 Projections: 10-8/4.20/1.40/165
197. Fausto Carmona – 2009 Projections: 14-9/4.00/1.25/120
198. Mike Jacobs – 2009 Projections: 65/28/75/.260
199. Adam LaRoche – 2009 Projections 70/26/80/.270
200. Gary Sheffield – 2009 Projections: 50/15/60/.255/7
201. Placido Polanco – 2009 Projections: 90/7/55/.310/7
202. Orlando Cabrera – 2009 Projections: 90/7/65/.280/20
203. Edgar Renteria – 2009 Projections: 80/9/70/.285/12
204. Yunel Escobar – 2009 Projections: 90/13/65/.300/3
205. Rick Ankiel – 2009 Projections: 70/22/85/.260
206. Denard Span – 2009 Projections: 90/8/60/.285/20
207. Juan Pierre – 2009 Projections: SAGNOF
208. Willy Taveras – 2009 Projections: SAGNOF
209. Mike Cameron – 2009 Projections: 70/22/75/.245/18
210. Frank Francisco – 2009 Projections:  3-5/3.75/1.32/60 and 25 Saves
211. Elijah Dukes – 2009 Projections: 75/20/70/.265/15
212. John Maine – 2009 Projections: 13-7/3.85/1.35/150
213. Mike Aviles – 2009 Projections: 80/10/55/.295/10
214. Trevor Hoffman – 2009 Projections:  2-5/4.20/1.10/40 and 30 Saves
215. Brandon Lyon – 2009 Projections:  3-2/4.15/1.40/45 and 30 Saves
216. Joel Hanrahan – 2009 Projections:  2-4/3.75/1.40/65 and 25 Saves
217. Chris Perez - 2009 Projections:  4-2/3.75/1.35/55 and 20 Saves
218. Huston Street – 2009 Projections:  5-3/3.50/1.15/55 and 20 Saves
219. George Sherrill – 2009 Projections: 2-4/4.50/1.40/50 and 15 Saves
220. Matt Lindstrom – 2009 Projections:  2-4/3.75/1.40/50 and 25 Saves
221. Troy Percival – 2009 Projections:  1-3/5.00/1.45/30 and 15 Saves
222. Manny Corpas – 2009 Projections:  3-4/4.00/1.35/55 and 10 Saves
223. Hideki Matsui – 2009 Projections: 70/18/80/.285
224. Jose Arredondo – 2009 Projections: 5-2/2.25/1.00/60, 20 Holds
225. J.J. Putz – 2009 Projections: 6-2/3.00/1.20/75, 15 Holds and 7 Saves
226. Hong-Chih Kuo – 2009 projections:  4-2/3.25/1.15/65, 15 Holds
227. Randy Winn – 2009 Projections: 80/12/60/.290/17
228. David DeJesus – 2009 Projections: 70/12/75/.290/12
229. Jason Kubel - 2009 Projections: 80/20/80/.280
230. Scott Baker - 2009 Projections: 12-6/3.95/1.22/150
231. Andy Pettitte – 2009 Projections: 15-10/4.40/1.40/160
232. Hiroki Kuroda – 2009 Projections: 13-9/3.90/1.25/120
233. Justin Duchscherer – 2009 Projections: 5-7/3.85/1.15/70
234. Wandy Rodriguez – 2009 Projections: 10-7/3.75/1.30/160
235. Jeremy Guthrie – 2009 Projections: 12-10/3.90/1.25/130
236. Jeff Francoeur – 2009 Projections: 65/18/70/.260
237. Manny Parra – 2009 Projections: 11-9/4.10/1.40/160
238. Rocco Baldelli – 2009 Projections: 50/12/50/.280/3
239. Chris Snyder – 2009 Projections: 55/18/70/.245
240. Jeff Clement – 2009 Projections: 60/17/70/.250
241. Jarrod Saltamacchia – 2009 Projections: 65/16/75/.265
242. Dioner Navarro – 2009 Projections: 50/10/60/.285
243. Jesus Flores – 2009 Projections: 50/14/65/.245
244. Taylor Teagarden – 2009 Projections: 50/18/65/.265
245. Oliver Perez – 2009 Projections: 14-10/4.50/1.42/190
246. Gavin Floyd – 2009 Projections: 12-11/4.50/1.32/140
247. Jeremy Bonderman – 2009 Projections: 9-10/4.50/1.40/125
248. Armando Galarraga – 2009 Projections: 9-10/4.50/1.26/110
249. Chris Carpenter – 2009 Projections: 9-5/3.70/1.27/110
250. Andy Sonnastine – 2009 Projections: 9-9/4.50/1.30/100
251. Joe Saunders – 2009 Projections: 11-7/4.15/1.26/95
252. Mike Pelfrey – 2009 Projections: 10-10/4.50/1.40/100
253. Yadier Molina – 2009 Projections: 35/7/50/.270
254. Gerald Laird – 2009 Projections: 60/13/65/.270
255. Mark Buehrle – 2009 Projections: 13-10/4.00/1.35/120
256. Chris Ray – 2009 Projections: 1-3/3.75/1.35/40 and 12 Saves
257. Hideki Okajima – 2009 Projections: 5-1/2.75/1.15/60, 24 Holds
258. Scott Downs – 2009 Projections: 4-5/2.50/1.20/60, 25 Holds
259. Scot Shields – 2009 Projections: 4-3/4.00/1.30/70, 27 Holds
260. Rafael Perez – 2009 Projections: 3-3/3.50/1.15/70, 22 Holds
261. Matt Thornton – 2009 Projections: 4-2/3.15/1.10/75, 17 Holds
262. Dan Wheeler – 2009 Projections: 3-2/3.50/1.05/50, 12 Holds and 15 Saves
263. Grant Balfour – 2009 Projections: 5-2/3.00/1.15/75, 22 Holds
264. Kaz Matsui – 2009 Projections: 65/5/40/.280/20
265. Freddy Sanchez – 2009 Projections: 80/10/60/.285
266. Orlando Hudson – 2009 Projections: 75/10/45/.280/5
267. Jason Motte – 2009 Projections:  4-3/3.50/1.00/65 and 10 Saves
268. Jeremy Hermida – 2009 Projections:  70/20/70/.255/7
269. Emmanuel Burriss – 2009 Projections: SAGNOF
270. Eugenio Velez – 2009 Projections: SAGNOF
271. Ian Stewart – 2009 Projections: 65/17/80/.265/5
272. Asdrubal Cabrera – 2009 Projections: 90/12/60/.275/10
273. Ryan Theriot – 2009 Projections: 90/2/40/.295/25
274. Yuniesky Betancourt – 2009 Projections: 65/10/65/.280/10
275. Khalil Greene – 2009 Projections: 65/20/80/.235/5
276. Clint Barmes – 2009 Projections: 75/12/55/.270/12
277. Elvis Andrus – 2009 Projections: 55/3/35/.250/20
278. Jed Lowrie – 2009 Projections: 75/10/80/.260/5
279. Octavio Dotel – 2009 Projections: 2-5/3.95/1.20/90, 20 Holds
280. Cory Wade – 2009 Projections: 5-4/3.15/1.10/55, 30 Holds
281. Tony Pena – 2009 Projections: 5-3/3.50/1.25/55, 25 Holds
282.  Troy Glaus – 2009 Projections:  40/14/50/.250
283. Gil Meche – 2009 Projections: 12-10/4.00/1.33/160
284. Bronson Arroyo – 2009 Projections: 12-10/4.25/1.40/150
285. Kenshin Kawakami – 2009 Projections: 12-8/4.35/1.40/120
286. Chris Volstad – 2009 Projections: 10-7/4.00/1.30/110
287. Randy Johnson – 2009 Projections: 7-4/3.50/1.20/90
288. Dave Bush – 2009 Projections: 10-10/4.20/1.18/120
289. Paul Maholm – 2009 Projections: 10-8/4.10/1.25/150
290. Aaron Cook – 2009 Projections: 12-8/4.00/1.36/90
291. Edwin Jackson – 2009 Projections: 11-9/4.50/1.50/120
292. John Smoltz – 2009 Projections: 5-2/3.00/1.16/60
293. Adam Lind – 2009 Projections: 65/24/85/.275/4
294. Ryan Spilborghs – 2009 Projections: 55/12/65/.300/12
295. Franklin Gutierrez – 2009 Projections: 70/14/75/.260/16
296. Chase Headley – 2009 Projections: 70/20/80/.280/8
297. Chris Dickerson – 2009 Projections: 55/15/50/.250/15
298. Michael Bourn – 2009 Projections: 70/4/30/.240/40
299. Matt Joyce – 2009 Projections: 70/22/85/.250
300. Wladimir Balentien – 2009 Projections: 60/22/65/.250/5
301. Travis Snider – 2009 Projections: 50/15/60/.280

After the 2009 fantasy baseball top 300, there’s a lot of names, but these two stand out:

David Murphy/Marlon Byrd – Together they can go 100/20/100/.285/10.  Platoon them in daily leagues.  Grey out.

ESPN Fantasy Baseball Rankings Rankle

February 23, 2009 By: Grey Category: 2009 Fantasy Baseball Draft 47 Comments →

In 2009, the ESPN fantasy baseball rankings were found inside Matthew Berry’s boob-shaped ice cubes and were later thawed out.  These rankings were then transcribed by an intern who had nothing for breakfast but a Bloody Mary that was heavy on the Tabasco.  Anyway, let’s look at a few choice selections in the top 30 in the ESPN fantasy baseball rankings:

15. Dustin Pedroia – Two ahead of Chase Utley in their rankings.  I already put Pedroia in the overrated fantasy baseball category.  Listen to PE’s Don’t Believe the Hype as ESPN’s fossil fuels drain the rest of the fantasy baseball world of its brain matter.

20. Ryan Howard – Last year his average was .251.  This year they project him for .251.  How convenient!  ESPN’s rankings are famous for their Monday morning quarterbacking.  If Howard hits .265 this year, does anyone want to bet me ESPN projects a .265 +/- .002 for 2010?   I love how they claim he’s a two category guy THEN (caps for emphasis and for those reading from across the room) project him for 100+ Runs.   That makes him a three category guy.  Also, you can count on three fingers how many 1st basemen give you steals and those 1st basemen don’t give you anywhere near 50 HRs and 140 RBIs.

21. Ichiro Suzuki – ESPN’s projections are 104/8/53/33/.314.  Hmm… Isn’t he guilty of the same thing they’re getting down on Howard about?  Oh, wait, they do have Ichiro one slot lower than Howard….  My bad!

29./30. Manny Ramirez/Evan Longoria – ESPN says about Manny, “Manny should continue to bring the fantasy goodness,” and they project him for 92/32/107/.319/2.  ESPN says about Longoria, “Don’t be afraid of the hype.”  They project him for 98/36/113/.272/10.  With those projections for a 3rd baseman, it makes perfect sense to rank him behind a potentially unmotivated outfielder and ten slots behind Ichiro. /sarcasm

I’m going to stop here before my ulcer flares up.  The ESPN fantasy baseball rankings are your grandfather’s fantasy baseball rankings.  They are out of touch.  They try and tell you what they think their mass audience wants to hear.  They are not telling you what you need to know.

Top 80 Outfielders for 2009 Fantasy Baseball

February 22, 2009 By: Grey Category: 2009 Fantasy Baseball Draft 12 Comments →

Here we are at the last of the 2009 fantasy baseball rankings before we get to the top 300 for 2009 fantasy baseball.  Some of these top 80 outfielders are really only worth owning in deep leagues or NL- or AL-Only leagues.  But in those leagues, they could make a big difference and could become fantasy relevant in more shallow leagues.  I probably won’t have a lot of these guys on any of my 12 team league teams, because I like to shore up OF earlier than these guys would be drafted, but that’s not to say I have no love for them.  Oh, I do.  Anyway, here’s the top 80 outfielders for 2009 fantasy baseball:

61. Adam Lind – This is the first tier.  This tier goes from here to Hermida.  I call this tier, “Worth taking a shot on these guys very late.”  By the end of the year, Lind could be worth owning in all leagues.  That’s no idle compliment.  Man, you really know how to make a beanbag your own. That’s an idle compliment.  2009 Projections:  65/22/85/.275/3

62. Ryan Spilborghs – Spilborghs falls into the same camp as Denard Span for me.  I like him, but I kinda wish he’d fall down a staircase with sixty pounds of deer meat and open a spot for Fowler or Gonzalez.  The Rox are saying Spilborghs might be batting leadoff.  I’ve that’s true, it makes me almost as excited as Paula Abdul on any given Tuesday or Wednesday.  2009 Projections:  55/12/65/.300/12

63. Franklin Gutierrez – I’m a fan of The Big FraGu.  Decent shot at being a cheap source of 15/15.  Though he will hurt you a bit in average.  2009 Projections:  70/12/75/.260/16

64. Chase Headley – If he was playing anywhere but Petco, you would’ve already read numerous articles on him.  Definitely worth a real late flier in mixed leagues.  2009 Projections: 70/20/80/.280/8

65. Chris Dickerson – I loved Dickerson last year when he first came up.  I still do.  Temper expectations because Dusty does crazy things and Dickerson was playing a bit over his head batting average-wise in limited time last year.  2009 Projections:  55/15/50/.250/15

66. Michael Bourn – SAGNOF. 2009 Projections:  70/4/30/.240/40

67. Matt Joyce – Besides sounding like a 19th Century poet, he could be this year’s Ludwick, who happens to sound like an 18th Century composer.  It’s the classics!  2009 Projections:  70/22/85/.250

68. David Murphy/Marlon Byrd – Those in daily leagues could use these two as a righty/lefty platoon.  You “pfft” at me now, but together they could go… 2009 Combined Projections:  100/20/100/.285/10

69. Wladimir Balentien – Very similar to Matt Joyce on power potential with some speed, but he’s more raw.  Not to mention, Wladimir Balentien sounds like a cast member on The Real World:  Transylvania.  Wladdy B. always lets the dishes pile up in the sink! 2009 Projections:  60/22/65/.250/5

70. Travis Snider – Very young and raw, but there is some sweet, sweet upside here.  I already went over him in a Travis Snider 2009 fantasy outlook post.  2009 Projections:  50/12/60/.275

71. Chris Duncan – Plagued by back troubles because of years of getting high-fived by his brother, Shelley.  If healthy, Duncan might be worthwhile to platoon against righties.  2009 Projections:  55/17/60/.255/4

72. Matt Diaz – If you’re in daily leagues and you’re hurting at an OF spot, you should be platooning Diaz in when he faces lefties.  A fantasy platoon of him and Duncan could prove fruitful.  Or not.  These really are your choices.  2009 Projections:  45/10/50/.315/5

73. Jeremy Hermida – His prospect status was derailed by injuries.  If he can get back on track, he might be a sleeper.  Though there’s been absolutely no sign of him getting back on track.  2009 Projections:  70/20/70/.255/7

74. Jose Guillen – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here to Byrnes.  I call this tier, “Pass on these guys.”  There’s no point in grabbing one of these outfielders.  They’ll be on waivers at some point anyway.  If you’re choosing an outfielder this late in the draft, you may as well grab one that has upside.  Chances are the upside may not pan out, but if it does it could pay huge dividends.  These aging vets aren’t going to win you a league.  As for Guillen, only draft him if pouting is a category.  2009 Projections:  60/18/80/.265

75. Ty Wigginton – He had a really solid two months last year.  Do you remember where he was when he started on that two month tirade?  On waivers.  If you draft him, he’ll be there again.  2009 Projections:  60/20/65/.270

76. Aaron Rowand – I don’t want him in a 20 team league that uses only San Francisco Giants.  2009 Projections:  75/14/70/.265/6

77. Ryan Church – In his breakout pre-concussion season, he hit 12 HRs and batted .276.  C’mon, yawn with me.  2009 Projections:  60/14/65/.255/3

78. Eric Byrnes – He used his speed for a lot of his value and now he’s older and coming off leg injuries.  Bleh!  2009 Projections:  60/12/50/.255/12

79. Felix Pie – This is a the last tier.  This tier goes from here to the end of the list.  I call this tier, “Fliers.”  Pie has done nothing to warrant this ranking, but, as I’ve said numerous times, when you’re this deep into a position, you take a flier.  Pee-ay is just that.  2009 Projections:  65/7/40/.250/20

80. Ben Francisco – He hit 15 HRs and stole 4 bases in 447 ABs last year, which sounds yawnstipating at best, until you realize he should be stealing 15 to 20 bags.  He might surprise with a 15/15 season.  2009 Projections:  70/17/70/.260/10 (<– fairly optimistic, but whatevs)

After the top 80 outfielders for 2009 fantasy baseball, there’s a lot of names, but here’s two that stand out:

Carlos Gonzalez – Went over Car-Gonz when Holliday was shipped to the A’s.  In keeper leagues, I’d drop a buck to get him.  2009 Projections:  40/7/45/.260/10

Steve Pearce – On any team but the Pirates, I think he sees a lot of time.  It’s not that the Pirates are stacked.  They just make curious decisions… Rinku and Dinesh curious.  2009 Projections:  55/14/65/7/.260 (<– fairly optimistic, but whatevs)

Top 80 Starters for 2009 Fantasy Baseball

February 17, 2009 By: Grey Category: 2009 Fantasy Baseball Draft 20 Comments →

In our 2009 fantasy baseball rankings, we’ve gone to the top 60 starters and top 60 outfielders thus far.  But since it’s advisable by me and everyone else that has every wielded a fantasy baseball quill to draft pitching late, I figured I needed to give you twenty or so more to bring the tally to the top 80.  There will be a top 80 outfielder post too.  Christmas came late, ya’ll!  In mixed leagues, if I’m drafting this late and I have a choice between an NL pitcher and an AL pitcher, I’d prefer to go for the NL pitcher.  They pitch to other pitchers and mostly weaker offenses.  That is a post in itself.  Also, a lot of these pitchers (and others which will be highlighted during the season) will be smart pickups for some match-ups but aren’t worth starting every game unless they get on a roll.  Anyway, here’s the top 80 starters for 2009 fantasy baseball:

61. Manny Parra – This is the first tier of the top 80 starters.  This tier goes from here to Smoltz.  I call this tier, “Major issues with all of these pitchers, but I’ll still be looking at them late in deep leagues.”  Parra will have a sleeper post dedicated to him.  Promise.  See, the thing is, I likey Parra.  Like likey likey.  Though, at times last year, his walks were A to the trocious.  2009 Projections:  11-9/4.10/1.40/160

62. Gil Meche – Meche has been below a 4.00 ERA for two straight years.  Last year, he posted nearly 8 strikeouts per nine innings.  His FIP was 3.61 last year.  Still not convinced?  Neither am I.  Though it’s hard to argue with him as an AL-Only option.  2009 Projections:  12-10/4.00/1.33/160

63. Bronson Arroyo – Great guy to have in leagues with an innings category or a bad guitar players category.  2009 Projections: 12-10/4.25/1.40/150

64. Kenshin Kawakami – Went over him when he signed with the Braves.  2009 Projections:  12-8/4.35/1.40/120

65. Chris Volstad – With a douchey name like he’s a character in a Bret Easton Ellis book, you’d think he’d strikeout more hitters.  If his K/9 wasn’t so bleh, I’d like him more.  2009 Projections:  10-7/4.00/1.30/110

66. Randy Johnson – Son, Randy Johnson’s got acne craters older and bigger than you.   He could be a great steal late in drafts as long as you only expect 15 starts.  2009 Projections:  7-4/3.50/1.20/90 in 15 starts

67. Dave Bush – You could draft him and only start him at home (3.82 career ERA) like the Brewers did at times last year.  His low WHIP always makes him a worthwhile gamble and incongruous with his ERA.  2009 Projections: 10-10/4.20/1.18/120

68. Paul Maholm – Last year, Maholm really broke out.  And, when talking about the Pirates, a breakout is considered a low 4.00 ERA.  2009 Projections: 10-8/4.10/1.25/150

69. Aaron Cook – Jon Garland with a better ERA.  That’s about the best compliment I can… *pinkie to mouth* cook up.  2009 Projections:  12-8/4.00/1.36/90

70. Edwin Jackson – For about three years, I’ve waited patiently for Jackson to turn the corner from Prospect Ave.  Right now, he seems headed to Journeyman Lane, but he’s still young.  2009 Projections:  11-9/4.50/1.50/120

71. John Smoltz – Went over Smoltz when he signed with the Sawx. 2009 Projections:  5-2/3.00/1.16/60 in 12 starts.

72. Jesse Litsch – This is a new tier.  This tier goes from here to Lannan.  I call this tier, “I’m not drafting any of these guys under any conditions.”  Litsch is the Blue Jays number two starter.  Something tells me they’re not going to be competitive this year either.  Litsch can also be found at the top 20 risky pitchers for 2009 post.  2009 Projections:  5-7/4.50/1.30/55 in 20 starts.

73. Todd Wellemeyer – A thirty-year-old breakout? Whatevermeyer.  2009 Projections:  6-8/4.75/1.35 in 20 starts.

74. Rich Hill – Match Game Host, Gene Rayburn, “Last year, Rich Hill was really bad.” Studio Audience, “How bad was he?”  Gene, “He was so bad he ____.”  Went over him further when the O’s got him.  2009 Projections:  4-5/4.75/1.45/60 in fifteen starts.

75. Joe Blanton – Too bad he’s not a lousy pitcher and injury-prone so Carrasco could slide in.  2009 Projections:  12-10/4.75/1.40/110

76. Pedro Martinez – Wasn’t that long ago he was carrying around a good luck dwarf and celebrating a championship.  Now that dwarf is doing better than Pedro’s career.  2009 Projections:  6-7/4.70/1.50/80 in 20 starts.

77. Nick Blackburn – Very little to see here.  2009 Projections:  10-8/4.30/1.34/85

78. Jon Garland -I didn’t go over him when he went to the Diamondbacks, because there’s not much to say.  He’s a much better real world pitcher, racking up innings, than a fantasy pitcher.  He didn’t get 100 Ks last year in 197.2 innings.  Bleh!  2009 Projections:  12-10/4.75/1.42/95

79. John Lannan – Don’t you dare draft him.   He will suck your soul and crush your girl-like emotions.  2009 Projections: 6-9/5.00/1.44/80

80. Brad Penny – This is the last tier.  This tier goes from here to Shawn Hill.  I call this tier, “You can do much worse very late in deep leagues.”  If you throw out Penny’s season last year, where he looked miserable and hurt, he would be coming off a 16-4/3.03/1.31 season in 208 innings.  If healthy, he could be a steal late.  2009 Projections:  14-10/4.00/1.30/130

81. Aaron Heilman – Went over him when Heilman was traded — the 2nd time.  2009 Projections:  9-4/4.00/1.15/120 in 20 starts.

After the top 80 starters for 2009 fantasy baseball, there’s a lot of names, but these three stand out:

Carlos Carrasco – Went over him in the Carrasco keeper post.  Big things, I tell ya.  Big…. Things.  Not sure if he sees time out of the gate, but watch him if a Phillies pitcher gets injured.  2009 Projections:  5-2/3.00/1.32/60 in ten starts.

Mark Buehrle – He’s not flashy with those Big City Ks. You probably won’t want to own him. But for the better part of two years, I’ve owned him off and on. He’s usually good for a few ‘worth-owning’ streaks a year. 2009 Projections: 13-10/4.00/1.35/120

Shawn Hill – Usually I end the lists with an exciting name.  But, guess what?  We’re almost 100 deep into the starters so exciting was barfed into an airplane toilet about six tiers ago and flushed out somewhere over Guatemala.  Word is Shawn Hill will be healthy for the 2009 season, but keep your expectations in check because he’s never been healthy in his career.  Then again, you probably have no expectations of Shawn Hill.  In NL-Only leagues, I’d take a very late flier on Hill.  2009 Projections:  8-6/4.10/1.26/110 in 20 starts.