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Jay(Wrong) sent presentation rights over to me with the departure/hiatus of Tom Jacks. Tom passed the torch to me by way of a Captain Planet quote: “The Power is Yourz.”

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You all seemed to appreciate his content, and I hope to fill your passion-buckets with the same sense of quality. I will offer some value in my next post through OPS differential and possible pick-ups, but I wanted to take this time to summarize a few thoughts from Mr. Jacks’ last post, while sharing my general approach. Hopefully Jay(Wrong) strategically publishes this in a slot where you all aren’t salivating for immediate pick-ups! That’s right. In my very first OPS post, I wrote Jay, slot and salivate in one sentence. [Jay's Note: Go easy on the ladies my friend.]

1) Regarding David Ortiz, it’s as simple as VV: value veterans. “VV” especially when they fit your league format. Eric Hosmer by name and potential was enticing, sure, but Brandon Moss (currently at a perfectly sustainable level across the board: HR/FB; K% based on the Ct% and SwStr%) is glorious in OPS, even OBP leagues. If you incorporate these additional rates, then ensure you’re using Razzball’s Player RaterBrandon Moss is the 27th most valuable asset to date if you use AVG and OPS…even better if you’re using OBP and OPS.

2) Mike Trout is glorious. I traded (no joke) Troy Tulowitzki, Freddie Freeman, Buster Posey, Doug Fister and Mookie Betts for Trout, Adam Lind and Asdrubal Cabrera in a dynasty league. I then worked relentlessly to get Freeman back and thank gosh traded Prince Fielder and Madison Bumgarner for him. What am I getting at here?

a) Mike Trout is the best thing since sliced bagels. Forget normal bread. I’m talking a NY sliced salt bagel with bacon, eggs and gooey american cheese.

b) Buster Posey is valuable and well above replacement catcher value normally, but you can always pick-up/trade for catching assets since the value within the position isn’t amazingly distinguishable… thanks Steven Vogt!

3) In general, I like to Win-Now and simultaneously Mitigate-Misk. Either way, the Trout deal was the opposite because it’s a dynasty league and well I want to watch him each day and know that i’m accumulating what he does. My other deals will depict these strategies. I trade prospects to win-now until it’s obvious that I can’t win. I traded Gregory Polanco and Matt Harvey for Robinson Cano and Justin Upton who I then moved with a prospect for Tulowitzki. I trade a tier 3 or 4 starter for lesser-known pitchers with a great repertoire/pitch or two (Tyson Ross’ slider) and hitters and stay active picking up relatively sustainable starters (again based on pitch repertoire, command ratios and balls in play data).  Jesse Chavez, Dallas Keuchel, Josh Beckett and Jason Hammel have propelled me to the top spot by supplementing a #2 starter and superior hitting.

4) Josh Donaldson in general is the real deal, but do you prefer the 2014 homerun counting stat Josh Donaldson, or would you prefer his overall 2013 value instead? When it comes to BABIP, it will take more time for us to know even still, but at the same time, we at least know what’s going on. This year, it seems as though he’s really shooting for the homerun: his HR/FB ratio is up as is his flyball rate in general while his linedrive rate is hideous. He will continue to hit HR’s, but if he doesn’t adjust, it will continue to hurt his BABIP and associated stats (AVG, OBP, SLG, OPS, etc). Keep an eye on his contact rate and type of contact for the rest of this year. It’s not time to sell on him yet.

Moving Forward: I will attempt to not always talk about the Adam Dunn’s and Seth Smith’s of the world’s (clearly general/platoon assets), but still offer prospective pick-ups for OBP/OPS league formats that should provide value based on their approaches. At times i’ll be STATy with it and other times I won’t…I’ll look to your feedback for what you like more.

My first post in the series will look at OPS differential meaning whose been lucky so far because of their Homerun totals and BABIP. OPS is adjusted for luck in these departments. Naturally, I’ll be throwing Albert Pujols under the OPS bus while touting Mike Trout’s horn.

 

Need instant satisfaction? Follow Dano on Twitter @Rotobanter.

 

  1. Tim says:
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    I have a dynasty dilemma. I took over an abandoned team this year in a 16 team, 30 man roster 6×6 h2h (obp and holds). I pulled off a series of trades to get younger with the intention of competing competing next year. However, some of the trades worked really well and I had some good waiver pickups (Richards, Arrieta, Kruger, Holt, Menorca, etc). I know sit in 5th place, about 6 games out of first. Long story made longer, someone dropped aj pollock and I do have an open dl spot and a glut of CF/RF eligible players. Should I drop any of Rasmus, Austin jackson, Arcia, Aoki for him? I also have Bruce, Polanco, JD Martinez in the outfield. I look forward forward to your future posts.

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Tim: I prob would drop rasmus if I need to pick one. Not the other OF’S. I like arcia in ’15&beyond.

      • Tim says:
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        @dano: I agree that Rasmus would be the drop. The question is is (stutterer) pollock an upgrade over him?

        • Dano

          dano says:
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          @Tim: meh. I mean more PA leading to more counting stats? Rasmus is FA too (i Think) so may not be in as good as a hitting environment moving forward. He’s a hr or nothing guy. In a 6×6 his value is worse since he drags you down in avg and obp.

  2. Tyler says:
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    I can’t stop watching the guy pelvic thrust bursts of laser beams. I laugh every time. Great stuff, thank you. Oh yea, and the post was pretty good too!

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Tyler: haha that find was GOLD!

  3. JP says:
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    Dynasty league (OPS). Weak at 1B and pitching. Depth in OF AND 3B. Working on a deal to try to get Goldie. If I give Cargo (the Rockie) and Arenado for Goldie and Wheeler, am I giving too much? I’m happy enough to lose Cargo and his various risks (injury, trade), but hate to give up Arenado, though I still have Longo and Frazier.

    • jef with 1 f says:
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      @JP: Thats a good deal for you…DO IT

    • my sisters friend boyfriend says:
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      @JP: ride frazier and Goldie to glory

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @JP: no it’s not too much. Goldy is in a class with stanton and mccutch. He’s one of 3-5 guys that I will trade 3-5 great guys for in a dynasty league. I’d offer cargo + PUJOLS + something small for Goldy in a dynasty league based on PUJOLS trends and cargos injury proneness. Do it

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @JP: I like arenado and his eventual contact rate/quantity of balls in (colorado) play, but there have been questions about his power. I’d trade him with other ?’s for a sure thing like Goldy, stanton, trout & mccutch

  4. Phil says:
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    Should I go after Wong or N. Walker ?

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Phil: prob wong. I can see late season stl magic.

  5. osnam says:
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    Morning. I was just offered Alex Rios for Trumbo. Should I take it?

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @osnam: I’d say only if you need sb and avg

  6. Chris says:
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    Need a spot starter for tomorrow. Should I go Liriano vs Reds (Cueto) or Gausman vs Yankees (Whitley). H2H Points League and I need some points. Thanks.

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Chris: I’d say liriano between those 2. Flyball tendancies from a young pitcher steers me away from gausman

  7. Bobby says:
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    Just wanted to get your opinion on something. I am in a keeper league and somebody dropped Xander Bogaerts. Would you pick him up and stash him?

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Bobby: ummmmmmmmm yeah.

  8. Joe LoPiccolo says:
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    In a league with 10 keepers. 6×6 OPS and Quality starts. We have three year contracts and can franchise one player. Who shouldmi be keeping?
    Merchado 2
    Brett lowrie 2
    Neil walker 1
    Segura 2
    Dickerson 1 col
    Martinez 1 Detroit
    Bentley 1
    Hamilton 1
    Felix Hernandez franchise
    Kluber 1
    Bumgarner 1
    Ross Padres 1
    Odorozzi 1
    Arretia cubs 1
    I have been offered J Upton 2 for my bumgarner and gordon k.c.?
    Thanks

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Joe LoPiccolo: I might do the Upton deal so that you can keep more offense since you have sufficient pitching. I’d keep all of Felix, Kluber, Ross. I’d try to combo qty for quality too if I were you. I’m certainly keeping Machado and brantleys contact rate. Probably Dickerson too.

  9. my sisters friend boyfriend says:
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    In a standard points league who would u rather have Polanco or Trumbo….K’s are -.5

  10. Billy Beane Is Not My Lover says:
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    I need help asap is it time for me to drop chris davis?? I cant put up with 4 nights of 0-4, and everytime i bench him he will hit one of his scarce homers. blog should i drop him?? i can pick up carter in his stead??

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @Billy Beane Is Not My Lover: I think he rebounds based on my expected hr formula and xBABIP. You’ll see in my next expected (x)OPS post out sometime between today and Tuesday. He’s up there from a potential rebound perspective. I’m not dropping him for Carter.

  11. matlock says:
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    keeper obp 18 teamer: got offered c davis and c hart for headley and d. price….am i nuts to accept this?

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @matlock: youcan prob get more for price. But I’d prefer an elite hitter keeper over an elite pitcher keeper. Price has been elite this year but I’d sell him in right deal.

      • matlock says:
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        @dano: yea, i agree with bats over arms. a few things to consider here as well; im in 15th, with rizzo and goldy locks to be kept. further, some young arms are available on the wavier wire: quintana, degrom, wheeler,stroman,morton,leake. thx for your help; much appreciated

        • Dano

          dano says:
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          @matlock: on the pitch level wheeler is impressive. I think he leaps forward in value next year. I’d pick him up. Stroman too is keeper worthy at least.

          • matlock says:
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            @dano: yea, that who I was leaning towards to replace price with. So the question remains: do I gamble on Chris Davis pulling his head out of his @ss?

            • Dano

              dano says:
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              @matlock: can you acquire a freeman for him? I’d reach a little higher

              • matlock says:
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                @dano: ill give it a go…thx again for taking the time to respond.

  12. gordon shumway says:
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    Glad to have someone taking over the position! This kind of info is really hard to come by so its very much appreciated. Who do you like best for a SLG/OBP league at 2b… scooter or wong.. or possibly alacantra? thanks!

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @gordon shumway: thanksir. Alcantara if he stays up. Have to look at scooter more but I’d take wong over him longterm.

      • gordon shumway says:
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        @dano: Cool, thanks a lot Dano! Good luck with this new column and looking forward to future posts from you!

  13. SwaggerJackers says:
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    Welcome Dano.

    In an OBP league, who would you rather have ROS @ SS:

    Mercer, Alcantera, Suarez

    It’s a weekly format so they need to play everyday.

    Thanks pal!

    • Dano

      dano says:
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      @SwaggerJackers: alcantara unless he’s sent back down then suarez

Comments are closed.