Razzball Streamonator – Streaming Pitcher Daily Projections



Streamonator is the ultimate streaming pitcher tool. It has the next 7-10 days’ worth of starts with projections and dollar values. For more information, see the Streamonator FAQ or our Subscriptions page. Monthly subscriptions start at just $4.99/month and daily passes as low as $0.99/day.
Streamonatorpreview

Streamonator Info:

FAQ: Click here. 

Tutorial:

Razzball Streamonator (aka Stream-o-Nator, Stream-o-nater, Streamonater):  This tool is designed to identify attractive short-term pitcher pickups – aka fantasy baseball streamers/streaming pitchers.  It could also be used to determine when to start/sit a pitcher on your roster.  (For Daily Fantasy Baseball games, check out DFSBot). The higher the $ value, the more attractive the start.  Stream-o-Nator MLB pitcher projections rely on Steamer Rest of Season projections as a foundation and then adjust based on several game-specific factors that include opponent strength vs. the pitcher’s handedness, whether the start is home or away and park factors.  Streaming pitchers has inherent risk to it – this tool merely tries to increase the odds for picking a particular start.

What Is The Expected Accuracy Of Streamonator Projections?:  Please see the Razzball Ombotsman for correlations between the Streamonator projections and actual stats.

Filtering Results:  You can filter multiple fields at the same time.  The text fields below the column headers enable several methods for filtering the data.  Here are some examples:

Function Symbol Example Explanation
ANY MATCH ‘NY’ in Opponent field This would filter the results to only pitchers facing the New York Yankees (NYA) and New York Mets (NYN)
OR | David Price|Justin Verlander in ‘Name’ This would display the stats only for David Price and Justin Verlander.
NOT ! !at in Opponent This would remove all away starts (an away game for Atlanta written as ‘at ATL’)
NOR ! | !David Price|Justin Verlander in ‘Name’ This would display the stats for all pitchers EXCEPT David Price and Justin Verlander
GREATER THAN > >10 in $ This would only display rows for pitchers whose projected $ is greater than 10.
LESS THAN < <10 in $ This would only display rows for pitchers whose projected $ is less than 10.
GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO >= >=10 in $ This would only display rows for pitchers whose projected $ is greater than or equal to 10.
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO <= <=10 in $ This would only display rows for pitchers whose projected $ is less than or equal to 10.

Position Eligibility – 20 Games in last season for ESPN and ’2 Catcher’ formats.   5 Games for Yahoo.

Pitchers Included: All probable pitchers for up to the next 7 days.  Pitchers with two starts are listed twice.

$ Values – A pitcher’s projected stats for their start are multiplied by 30 then valued for a 12-team MLB league using the ESPN/CBSSports roster format (13 hitters, 9 pitchers) and a $260 team budget.  While the $ values would vary for any other league format, we would expect the rankings to remain relatively the same.  For 12-team leagues, $4 is about the ‘average’ start.  Anything above $0 is ‘better than nothing’ but may be suboptimal in leagues with IP or GS limits. Please see FAQ for $ targets for other league formats.

1-start vs. 2-start calculator – 

The below chart equates the average $ value of a 2-start pitcher’s two starts to a one-start pitcher’s start for weekly leagues.  So if a 2-start pitcher averages $4 in value across his two starts, that is the equivalent of a single start that is worth $7.  This is based on standard 5×5.

Two Start $ Avg Equivalent $ Value of One Start
1 0.5
2 2.6
3 4.7
4 6.9
5 9.0
6 11.1
7 13.2
8 15.4
9 17.5
10 19.6

Own% –  Based on ownership within the Razzball Commenter Leagues which consists of 84 12-team MLB leagues using the standard ESPN roster format.

Updated: | Maintained by

  1. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    Hi, Rudy! Hey, looks like you have Bauer slated to start on 4/8….moved to pen?

    • will get to it soon – once i figure out the hitter projections.

  2. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    mlb has K.Hendricks starting Sat. Streamonator has him skipped and Arrieta going Sat. Which more likely?

    • @simply fred: more likely Hendricks starts. at this point, i’ve only got probable pitchers for 4-5 days from my feed provider and then my algorithm is filling in the rest. i get an updated file tomorrow or monday that should clarify end of week starters.

  3. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    thanks! not a big deal. just trying to respond to your request to help fill in oddities. (see you outed Bauer… :-)

  4. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    feed hopefully will solidify after games get rolling. it lists Fernandez starting on 4/6 and then again on 4/10…don’t think that will happen.

    • It will. This first week or two are tough on a # of fronts. Once season gets running, things get a little easier.

  5. Lipson says:
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    Hey Rudy, more of a housekeeping request.. any way we can delete call comments from 2015? Also, possible to do a monthly purge to keep the page length short?

  6. A Wesley Snipes Life says:
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    subscribed with $10 in fanduel, i’m guessing i’m in the waiting period (says up to 48 hours) till i can use the bots right?

  7. scott says:
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    rudy is teamonator working? is it included in the $20 sub? keeps asking me to subscribe. I have the roto subscription.

    • Hi. Teamonator is only available in the DFS packages.

      • scott says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        damn. ok. any way to get it as a partial add on to the roto? im in ny so dfs does nothing for me

        • @scott: sorry. I don’t have the flexibility to offer it like that. you can access via day pass but it ain’t cheap ($3/day).

  8. El Gato Grande says:
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    Seems to have some pitchers missing this morning: Happ, Rich Hill, Latos to name a few. My league allows waiver claims on Sundays and Wednesdays so trying to figure out my streamers for the week. Thanks Rudy.

  9. David Kohn says:
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    Hey Rudy,

    Do you know if Conley is pitching against the Mets 4/13 or Atlanta 4/15?

    Yahoo and the streamonator have 4/15, and ESPN has 4/13.

    • you are right. was announced recently that Conley is switching to 4/13 to give Chen more time (who’s pushed to 4/15). all projections have been adjusted.

  10. Chris says:
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    Hi, sorry for the dumb question.
    But how do I access streamonator? I just signed up and deposited in FanDuel via your link.
    Thanks.

    Can’t seem to see a login/signup option on this website?

  11. Steve says:
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    In a 12-team mixed roto league (K/WHIP/ERA/QS/SVHD) that has a 200GS limit, what would be the rough “cutoff” in $ value for a stream? I’m thinking $12 from my experience last year in a 10 teamer (same rules). The FAQ says $4 but I think that isn’t taking into account a GS limit, or may be old.

    • I usually project for something like 180 GS or 1,400 IP/team. I don’t think 200 GS will change it fundamentally. My guess is still around $4 but experience is the best guide. If you’re consistently finding free agents at $10+, go with it. Real hard to come up w/ a universal rule.

      • Steve says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        Ah, well, if you’re factoring in 180GS then I should be in the clear on that. Do you weight QS and W/L the same towards $value, or does Streamonater favor one over the other?

        • The $ factors Wins, ERA, WHIP, and K’s. It does not factor in QS.

          • Steve says:
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            @Rudy Gamble:

            Ah, that may be where the difference in what I look for and what the FAQ suggests comes into play. Good to know! I normally end up looking for something like .60 QS and a relatively high $ value (which is where my $12 value came from last year). Any chance of the Ombotsman tracking QS correlations? I figure it’s safe to assume that a higher $value == more probability at a QS, but the pitchers who have something crazy like a .70+ QS and a sub <$5 value always throw me off.

            (BTW: Thanks for answering, ya'll are the best)

            • Thx. Great request – don’t know why I never thought of it. It’s in there now back-projected through opening day. It’s surprisingly low compared to Wins right now but I think the two will converge. The oddest quirk has been IP/GS has been real low to start the year (5.5 vs my projected 5.9). That’s led to an average QS/GS of 0.43 which is way lower than my projected 0.58. Last year, the QS/GS league-wide was .5 but it’s .54 if you qualify 100+ IP, .56 if you qualify 140+ IP, and .59 if you qualify 160+ IP. Given there are so few ‘replacement’ SPs throwing right now, my average seems more in line with expectations. I think the ‘wrinkle’ is I probably should be discounting IP during the first two weeks of the year.

              • Steve says:
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                @Rudy Gamble:

                SWEET. I agree with your “wrinkle”, April is such a crapshoot even without the postponed games and off days. I wouldn’t be surprised if the 7 postponements and the off days to start are affecting the stats (no idea on how many of those postponed were made up). Checking the 2015 stats, it seems like the correlations for other stats are either similar or higher compared to May of last year (no April?), and the projections improve through the year – so this a great starting point for now. I think I can assume that the correlation is more towards your projections for the “known” commodities, until the IPs start to become as expected, and roll with that.

                Thanks!

                • I made a huge enhancement in late April last year so decided just to show May-September in the Ombotsman. Made gradual improvements throughout year which are helping now in comparison to May of last year.

  12. MarkDeezNutz says:
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    Stream-o-nator likes Pineda today vs. TOR more than Rondon vs. MIN? Do we trust it? I was leaning towards Rondon today

    • Rodon is probably a little ‘safer’. SON likes Pineda’s K potential.

      • MarkDeezNutz says:
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        Going with Rodon. He’ll rack up plenty of Ks against Buxton, Park, etc. I’m just a little surprised with the $ value difference. I would have Rodon in the top 5 for the day like the boys over at ESPN. Do you like Pineda over Taijuan Walker today?

        • I’m not buying in on Rodon until he proves he has improved his control. Solid first start. Before you bury the Twins, worth noting their better bats are RH and they’ve only faced one LHP all year (Quintana who has reverse splits). Won’t be K’ing at same rate.

          I prefer Walker over Pineda today. I think Walker is a definite 12-team start, Pineda is a marginal start that I would bench b/c of the downside, and I wouldn’t start Rodon either.

          • MarkDeezNutz says:
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            very interesting…

          • Ben says:
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            @Rudy Gamble:

            Did you watch his last start? Got squeezed on a couple would be strike 3s that led to walks. Could have easily been 8 or 9 Ks vs 2 or 3 walks. I would not use that last ump’s strike zone as an indication of where he is in terms of his control.

            • @Ben: Rodon had 4.59 BB/9 last year. I’m basing my opinion off that.

  13. Steve says:
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    Hey Rudy,

    If we’ve subscribed to the site, is there any way to get rid of the ads?

    Thanks.

    • @Steve: No, but we took the expanding ads off the subscription pages.

  14. Brett Moore says:
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    Rudy,

    On one of my computers SON works just fine. However on the main computer I use when I sign in I get the “thanks for subscribing, just a minute” message & then the whole Razzball screen goes white. nothing happens after. do you know what the issue might be? thanks

    – Brett

    • @Brett Moore: Hey Brett – What browser are you using on the computer in which it doesn’t work? Have you tried another browser on that same computer?

  15. Ed says:
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    Is there any way to see changes in price from day to day?

    I could have sworn Bartolo Colon was a ~$7 value for todays (4/20/16) start against the Phils up until this morning.

    My first year using this software, is it generally a bad idea to jump on a good stream a few days early?

    Thanks Rudy.

    • @Ed: I archive pitcher projections but overwrite them each morning. The only projections that are saved are the ‘final’ ones which I include in my Ombotsman testing. His $ today is $4.7 so that’s not terribly off from where he was a few days ago. The day-to-day changes come from the following:

      1) Active hitter roster changes – So if, say, Franco went on the DL, Colon’s $ would likely increase as his projected stats would be better. If the pitcher’s offense gets better/worse based on roster changes, this has a slight impact on Win projection. This changes day-to-day.

      2) Today’s Weather – I incorporate weather starting with the ‘morning run’ of today’s projections. Took a look and the wind is blowing out slightly in Philly today (3-4 MPH to CF). So that might have goosed up his ERA/WHIP a bit.

      3) Today’s Lineup – Once that’s posted, this will have an impact similar to #1. It generally shouldn’t hurt pitchers too much since the ‘best’ hitters are generally projected to play. PHI/NYN lineups haven’t posted so not a factor.

      I think you’re doing the right thing in using the Streamonator to identify upcoming attractive starts. But the $ estimates are going to evolve based on the above and you should always take a glance on the day of the game (particularly after lineups post) to make sure it’s still an attractive start.

      Let me know if you have any questions.

      Rudy

      • Ed says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        Thanks for the quick and informative reply. I’ll keep these factors in mind in the future.

        I have found both of your streaming tools to be effective for me already this year. I’m sure they’ll get more accurate as the season progresses as well.

        I think you’re selling this information too cheap, but I guess the market dictates the price.

        • Thx Ed. We could price it higher but we don’t want to price out fantasy baseball fans who don’t play in cash leagues.

  16. Brett Moore says:
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    Rudy,

    the computer that has the issue uses Windows 10 & the newer Microsoft browser (I think its called microsoft edge. I’m in no way a tech guy).

    the one that works fine uses an older version of windows and internet explorer

    – Brett

    • edge has been an issue for sure. Cointent still working on compatibility with it.

  17. Jake says:
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    HI Rudy,

    Sorry to bother you but the daily pitcher streamonator has some funny things going on. Eickhoff is schedule against Carracso on 4/30, but Carrasco doesn’t show up as a starter on 4/30.

    Same things was happening with Samardzija yesterday, but now seems fixed.

    Thanks

    • @Jake: Hmm, weird. Digging into it this morning. Thanks for reporting it!

    • @Jake: fixed. was related to my recent inclusion of lineup links in the Streamonator. dumb code mistake.

  18. John says:
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    Download to CSV! I love you, Rudy. Is there anywhere on the site with an update on how well these tools are doing? I’ve missed out on some points choosing one guy over the other based on dollar values (In a few instances now where both players were expected to have good days) and I’m wondering if it was just luck or if there’s something I could have taken into account that I didn’t. I’m in a linear weighted stats league and minutiae counts (woba and whip being my main guidelines)

  19. gobiggreen says:
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    The Date Field won’t update. You can sort by the column but can’t search for a date.

    • @gobiggreen: We made an update to the filtering yesterday. You need to clear your browser history + cookies/plugins. Let me know if that doesn’t do the trick.

  20. Davis says:
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    I’ve cleared my browser history and cookies, but using the pipe for “and” isn’t working. I’ll get it to show me one guy but as soon as I add the pipe it all disappears and never comes back.

  21. Jesse says:
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    Jonathan Gray’s projection today (5/2) seems off. His projected ERA and WHIP (2.80 and 1.14, respectively) are lower than I would think, but hey it’s the Padres in SD. But what seems really off is the win probability of 0.4 vs a loss probability of 0.26. The Rockies are only slight favorites in this game (-112), going up against Shields who is decent. According to these projections, I should go put some big dollars on the Rockies.

    • i did a double take on that one too. it’s hard to judge rockies based on their yearly projections b/c of the home park disadvantage. i didn’t bid on him in weekly FAAB leagues b/c i don’t trust any rockie pitcher right now for home starts. not going to stream him in daily change leagues but not totally opposed to it. i’m quite surprised to see that Teamonator (razzball.com/teamonator) calls the Rockies 58/42 favorites (-140).

      Gut says SON is a little bullish.

      • Jesse says:
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        Gray proved me wrong.

  22. Jedimasters says:
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    Hey Rudy. I’m a huge fan of SON and have been using it the last three years. If I can make a couple of recommendations. Perhaps you can remove the HBP column and insert a column showing a trend on how hot or cold the opposing team has been. For example, the Padres from 4/27, 4/29 and 4/30 scored 9, 5 and 5. That’s relevant to show that a team is going through a mini hot streak.

    • Thanks for using SON!

      I looked into recent game last year at the individual hitter and pitcher level and found bupkis for its ability to help project today’s games (under ‘pitcher streakiness’ and ‘hitter streakiness). So that would likely also go for team offense. So many noise factors come in like quality of starting pitcher, park factors, home/away, weather, etc.

      It’s not that I totally discount the “gang up on the cold team” but I prefer not to add things to SON which might lead to less optimal decisions.

  23. stan says:
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    The Dan Straily rating on 5/9 v. Pittsburgh is not making sense to me. In Cincy vs. a strong offense for a pitcher that has a high walk rate. What am I missing here?

    • I agree. Steamer likes Straily more than I do. Curious to see if the new algorithm I am working leads to different result for Straily.

  24. Jaret says:
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    What’s the reasoning for having Guerra so high on 5/13. Is it all about playing SD?

  25. Timothy Richter says:
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    Looks like Rich Hill is missing

  26. Ed says:
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    Junior Guerra at $13.5 for tomorrow against the Padres?

    Is he a definite stream, or is that a mistake?

    Thanks

      • Ed says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        Alright. What do you think about streaming against Philly in general? I feel like they’re hitting.

        Definitely better to choose a guy against ATL or SD.

  27. Rudy: How quickly does the SoN react to new data? For example, if a pitcher is on the SoN for his next two starts and does extremely well or badly in the first one, how soon (if at all) will that change his value in the second start? Or if the opposing pitcher is switched out for someone much weaker or stronger, will that impact his chances for a W in the calculations?

    Thanks!

  28. Jesse says:
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    I think Andriese is starting 5/14, not Moore.

  29. david says:
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    Hey Rudy . I’m new to SoN … Please explain why it likes Michael Pineda vs Arizona Dbacks on 5/16? Pineda gets lit up every time…especially gets burned by the long ball. Am I reading it right?
    Thanks!!

    • @david: welcome aboard. reasons for pineda are: 1) his HR/9 are bound to regress. He’s at over 2 HR/9. That’s unsustainable, 2) Strong K rate (with underlying swinging K%), and 3) His BB rate should regress as it’s 3+ BB/9 right now but he’s shown better control. Add to that ARI isn’t a great road team and should have a subpar DH compared to AL teams.

      • david says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: You made some good pts there Rudy. I see what you’re saying. Although, the Yankees Are the road team…not the dbacks.

        • ah..well he gets an SP vs a DH. But takes a ding b/c of it being on the road. fwiw, i wouldn’t be starting pineda in any formats except 15 team or deeper until he shows some positive momentum.

  30. Doug says:
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    Just wanted to give a heads up to anyone looking at Danny Duffy for Sunday 5/15 vs. ATL, per his ESPN player info he will be on a 50 pitch limit, so his chances of getting a win are probably pretty low.

  31. Jaret says:
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    SoN doesn’t seem to hate on Wainwright against Col. Any particular reason other than its played in Stl. Need a good start from him so hopefully it’s right.
    Plus it does like Santiago v Baltimore. Any particular reason. Santiago has been pitching good as of late but Baltimore offense can be scary.

    • Colorado is not a good offense. They just play in a great hitters park. SON holds hope that Wainwright bounces back. Same dynamic with Baltimore to a lesser degree (a good offense boosted by home park) and LAA is a good place to pitch.

  32. Jedimasters says:
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    Hey Rudy SON likes McCullers’ next two matchups vs Tex and Balt. Why is this? Especially vs Balt who has a good offense. Thanks.

  33. Lester says:
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    Hey Rudy,

    Doesn’t look like the starting pitchers for the 1st KC-Bos game are being included; just the 2nd game. Subsequently, looks like the hitter projections are only for the 2nd game as well.

  34. I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor, and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
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    BAL not showing up when you search teams.

  35. Ed says:
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    You like Morgan V ATL or Fiers V Tex better for tomorrow?

    I’d probably go Morgan if the SON didn’t love Fiers.

  36. Jake Kimball says:
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    Hi,

    The lan v. Cin game isnt showing up today yet. But it loved bolsinger when he was scheduled on Monday. You trust him in a pinch? I have a h2h match up vs a 2 start Kershaw and need to go volume.

    Thanks

  37. Jedimasters says:
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    Good stuff Grey. I have Segura and need a fill in until we know his status.

    S. Castro, Lawrie, Dozier, Russell, Schoop, Duffy (Giants get 3 games in Coors starting Fri) are the available 2B in my 10 team points league. Thank you.

  38. Jesse says:
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    I noticed Junior Guerra @ATL went from around +8.0 to -$8.0 at some point. Why the big swing?

    • Was the $8 before today? If so, the three variables would be changes in ATL lineup, MIL lineup (win prob) and weather.

      The MIL lineup looks about normal. Don’t see anything major with ATL lineup (AJP?) either so wind blowing out might be a factor. Sorry – I don’t store previous day projections.

  39. david says:
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    Hey Rudy… I was glancing over at the weekly pts hitters and it shows Adam Duvall 20 spots or so ahead of Lo Cain.
    Would you follow that and start Duvall over Cain for next week?? Thx

    • david says:
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      @david: I also have JBJ…How would you rank these three then for next week?

    • @david: yes, duvall #1. 4 games at coors and three in Cincy. JBJ 2nd, Cain 3rd.

  40. Kirbmeist says:
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    Hey, Rudy, I see Fiers is listed as a top 5 start and above deGrom and Hamels today. Have to say it has me scratching my head and the stream-o-nator burned me bad yesterday in what just so happened to be the day I purchased a season subscription. Any further reasoning you can give to why he is so high up there today?

    • @Kirbmeist: I share your skepticism (to a point) on Fiers. He’s a unique pitcher in that his solid K-rate is bolstered by funky delivery/deception vs pure stuff. He has a higher downside than a standard ace. That said, 4 of his last 5 home starts have been solid (http://razzball.com/player/7754/Mike+Fiers/).

      Clearly, Streamonator is not impressed with the Arizona offense which, like Colorado, seems better than it is b/c of its home park. Looking at the projections, the one that stands out vs DeGrom/Hamels is the Win projection. The feeling is the Astros at home vs Robbie Ray (a pitcher who still intrigues me but is struggling and that’s WITHOUT a DH) are a better bet to win vs DeGrom vs White Sox and Hamels on road vs Cleveland. I agree w/ the latter but I like DeGrom/Mets better.

      So if the question is “Do I think Fiers is a worthwhile stream?”, the answer is yes. If it’s “Do I think it’s better than DeGrom, no”.

      • Kirbmeist says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: Thanks for the quick response, Rudy, much appreciated. I dug into his last few home starts as well and he has shown he can be useful against stronger teams than ARI. Going to throw the tires on him for today and just wanted that extra little nudge. Thanks again and keep up the great work!

  41. Kirbmeist says:
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    Hey, Rudy, curious of your thoughts on Urias today. I have watched every pitch he has made since his debut. The Dodgers have put him in just about the 2 worst situations you could put a 19 year old in with his first 2 starts. I feel like this is a much better position for him today and the SON seems to agree. I watched him make a ton of really great pitches in that those games that the ump just wouldn’t give the young buck an inch on which forced him in more for a mistake or 2. A lot of the hits against the Cubs were incredibly soft contact that were really lucky to find their way past defenders as well. Really would like to hear your thoughts on him for today and overall if you don’t mind sharing.

    • @Kirbmeist: I only watched an inning or two but generally feel that Urias’ minor league performance is no fluke and it should translate in good matchups. Same goes to a lesser extent for Manaea who I rolled the dice w/ in one of my expert leagues. My two concerns with Urias are: 1) how many IP/pitches since he’s being babied and 2) what’s his value ROS given #1.

  42. scotty the captain says:
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    hey rudy– im not sure if im doing something wrong but the streamonator isnt coming up for me. its been a few days now. im pretty sure i paid for the whole year. im wodering if u could look into it for me please??

      • scotty the captain says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: im not to computer savvy. ill have my wife check it out. thanks for the quick reply.

  43. Dick Pole says:
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    Full slate of games today, but only 17 pitchers showing up in today’s streamonator.

  44. SterlingReznor says:
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    Rudy, same thing that’s happening to scotty the captain is happening to me. On Chrome and Safari (iOS). Previously, if StreamONator or HitterTron did not come up automatically, there was a place where I could login again. But that link seems to be missing now. I believe I also paid for the year. In the meantime, what’s the dollar value on Colon tonight in Milwaukee?

    • Hmm, do you have third-party cookies disabled? One easy fix would be to just login at cointent.com and then refresh Streamonator.

      Colon is @ $0.4.

      • SterlingReznor says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: Thanks. Less than I thought, but good to know. As for the cookies, I’ll check. As for logging into conitent.com, the helpful guys in IT seem to have blocked that site, so maybe that has something to do with the overall problem.

        • Blocked Cointent? That’s a first. Can always use phone or Remote Desktop into your home computer if u have one.

  45. Mike says:
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    Hey Rudy, great stuff. I notice that the Sea @ Bos game on 6/19 is missing. I need to see how negative SON is toward Taijuan Walker’s start. Thanks so much!

    • @Mike: thx. No clarity on Red Sox pitchers for next weekend (tbd on sat, price on Sunday) so the algorithm for assigning pitchers can’t work. It won’t be pretty for Taijuan. If not resolved by Sunday, will take a guess at the pitcher.

  46. Steve says:
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    By Rudy,

    How’s Guerra look for Thurs 6/16? Don’t see him listed on SON this morning.

    Thanks

  47. Gerry Randell says:
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    Hey Rudy I have subscribed all season and a couple times I am not able to get in…thoughts?

    • @Gerry Randell: Are you logged into CoinTent? That should really be the only reason you can’t access the tool assuming you are not using IE/Edge.

  48. Jesse says:
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    Rudy, I was just wondering how you feel about hyped prospect pitchers like Giolito, Urias, etc. So far, their SON ratings have been pretty low – I’m guessing they’re based on minor league stats with some adjustment to the majors. Do you think the projected MLB stats tend to overrate or underrate these kinds of guys? For example, Giolito home vs NYM tonight. He’s -$9.7 on SON. That feels loo low to me given the Nats are actually favored (-125) to win this game and o/u is floating between 8 and 8.5. Purely from the gambling standpoint, that tends to around a $0-5 start on average.

    Thanks

    • @Jesse: I’m bearish on hyped rookie pitchers. The Streamonator projections – based on Steamer projections and adjusted for game-day conditions – aren’t great on either. Giolito has 4.31 BB/9 in AA this year! His K/9 is solid (9.13 K/9) but, again, AA. Urias showed better K/9 and much better control in the minors – his SON rates are pretty good when he starts at home.

      Didn’t get to watch Giolito’s start (which looks like it’ll be interrupted at 4 IP but 4 innings of 1 K / 2 BB doesn’t allay my concerns (don’t think he can count on a sub .100 BABIP).

  49. Bart says:
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    Peter O’Brien (Ari OF) is missing from Hittertron. Thanks.

  50. Bart says:
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    My bad, O’Brien is not playing today.

  51. Brian R says:
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    Hey Guys,

    Looks like 8 teams were left off the Yahoo DFS projections/optimizer today. FYI.

    Thank you.

    • @Brian R: Thx. Fixed now. Not sure what happened – Yahoo might’ve posted the salaries a little late for those games.

  52. Pete says:
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    Hey – Lohse is starting today, not Nick Martinez.

  53. Scott says:
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    Garcia is starting 7/15 vs Mia, not Wainwright

    • Thanks. Will be updating tomorrow morning.

  54. Scott says:
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    My ESPN app is telling me some guy named Harrell is pitching for Atlanta tonight.

    • DancinHomer says:
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      @Scott:

      Baseballpress lineups showing the same thing

    • @Scott: thanks! fixed. also Wright now in for Boston (was Eduardo Rodriguez).

  55. Doug says:
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    The Streamonator loves Cody Reed today, should we put that much trust in him? I like his southpaw K upside against the Braves, but I’m a little worried about a ratio-killing blowup. Thanks for your thoughts.

    • @Doug: I was surpised how high SON rated the start but I’m giving Reed a stream in one of my daily roster leagues.

    • Hal Incandenza says:
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      @Doug: I think it depends on your league type, etc. I saw that SON love the last couple of nights but didn’t bite right away. I just added him in a H2H where I have a decent lead in the ratios but don’t want to find myself behind in Ks or QS when it’s too late based on projected starts in the match-up.

  56. WM says:
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    Max Scherzer for 7/23 ?

    • re-running now. bad week for my probable pitcher source :)

  57. Brian R says:
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    Hey guys,

    For DFS tournament play, what have you/subscribers had success with regarding stacking? Going with the top stacks provided on the stackonator and locking those players into the optimizer?… OR…. using the stack feature on the optimizer (which seems to put out only 5 players when Yahoo allows 6)?

    Thank you

    • @Brian R: I don’t think there’s a sure-fire strategy. I think you just experiment until you find something that works for you. I bounce between the two.

      • Brian R says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: Hi Rudy, Thank you for your input. It looks to me like the optimizer limits yahoo lineups to a max of 5 players from a single time, when it should be 6. I’ve even tried locking 6 cheap players from one team and it gives me an error about Yahoo’s lineup rules.

  58. job3rd says:
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    Hey Rudy,

    Thanks for setting up the Scout format. I really enjoyed it. And I wasn’t sure, but I think I like that it ends in August. My squat cobblers are in the money in both leagues I’m in! Both SON and hitter-tron have been a YUGE help!. Anyway, thanks for your hard work and take care!

    • thanks for the feedback re: the Scout leagues and Streamonator/Hittertron! I’m winning one league but crapped the bad on my other team (8th or 9th place). good luck the rest of the month!

  59. keith says:
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    Hmmm. Maeda start at COL is -4.2 value. His 2nd best start of the year was @ COL.

      • keith says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:
        well he did better in that one start @ COL than Price did in two starts

        • @keith: your bet came in. not sure what else to tell you. just about any pitcher – let alone a non-1st tier pitcher like Maeda – is a good start at Coors is crazy and there’s a decade-plus sample of game logs to show it.

  60. keith says:
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    Why such a bad rating for Odorizzi?
    And why does everyone think Maeda will get two starts except for CBS this week, when he pitches on Tuesday and the Dodgers have Thursday off?

    • @keith: Odorizzi is pitching on the road, at one of the better hitter parks (@TOR), and against a dangerous lineup (at least for power). Not a positive matchup outside of top-tier starters. It’s always speculative on probable starters later in the week. Seems like most sources are speculating that the Dodgers start Maeda on normal rest and buy an extra day’s rest for Urias. Definitely plausible.

      • Keith says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:
        Good call on Odorizzi. Unfortunately Cueto didn’t fair any better.

        • Thx. I didn’t have the Cueto start very high either (~$1) but you gotta start someone….I chickened out in one weekly league and used Siegrist over McHugh, Eovaldi, and Friedrich b/c my ratios are getting battered.

  61. Jedimasters says:
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    I think it’s time for you to adjust the formula on Thor. Over the past month the league has been hitting .290+ against him. Clearly the bone spur is affecting him. I get it that using $SON is a personal choice. But this is paid content and I do factor into your score for him each time out. His SON score has been in the Kershaw range. He’s pitching like an SP4.

    • i agree he’s not the same. but the model can’t account for ‘bone spurs’ – for every pitcher who sees a downtick in performance like Syndergaard, there’s another one who is just in a slump.

  62. Jeremiah Knoche says:
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    Hi Rudy,
    Love the Streamonator. I have been streaming most of my pitchers for a couple of years in my 12 team, but this year I joined an AL-only league and have found it difficult to
    Is their an easy way to filter pitchers by their teams league (i.e. NL or AL only?)

    • thanks for subscribing! there’s no super easy way to filter for AL/NL. the only way to do it is to put a string like this into the team filter: *BALT*|*BOS*|*CHA*|*CLE*|*DET*|*HOU*|*KC*|*LAA*|*MIN*|*NYA*|*OAK*|*SEA*|*TB*|*TEX*|*TOR*

      (note: the asterisks wildcard. have to use BALT for baltimore b/c it is filtering on the hyperlink URL and BAL is in razzball which is in all the teams’ URLs)

      • Jeremiah Knoche says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:
        I believe in paying for products I use, and I use Razzball almost every day!
        Guess I get to be lazy now and copy and paste :) Thanks again for all the great work!!

  63. DancinHomer says:
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    Morning Rudy,

    It looks like SON has Bud Norris starting Friday @ CIN, but I think he’s actually starting tomorrow vs. PHI. I’d imagine that would have a somewhat more favorable outlook/$ amount toward him, right?

  64. Jax says:
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    Hi Rudy,

    Thanks for all the work that goes into this.

    Yahoo has Bundy starting against the Red Sox today, and I see that he’s the probable pitcher on MLB.com, but SoN has him going tomorrow…can you confirm? I know it wouldn’t be considered even an average start, but just would like to know how bad it would be

    Thanks Rudy!

    • just saw the orioles scratch on tillman (moving to Saturday). re-running all Orioles starts for next 10 days. should be updated in a few minutes.

  65. Steve says:
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    Hey Rudy,

    Bundy’s pitching v. BOS today (moved up a day) – what’s his updated ranking?

    Thanks

    • it’s running now. should be up in 5 minutes or so.

  66. datdudebp says:
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    Hey Rudy

    The SEA-MIL game for today is missing

    • @datdudebp: will be showing in a couple minutes. The Brewers’ starting pitcher wasn’t in the system.

  67. keith says:
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    What are the chances Maeda actually gets 2 starts this week?

  68. Steve says:
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    Hey Rudy,

    SON loves Brock Stewart’s next start but he’s in AA, think he’s called up tomorrow for the start or is it just a mistake on the site?

    Thanks

  69. Mark T says:
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    How does one subscribe for a daily pass to the streamonator?

    • Hit the subscribe button and choose 1 day.

  70. Hope things get rolling again before tomorrow’s games..I’m frozen on my end..Thanks

  71. Ralphy says:
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    Ok just signed up for the first time. Are pitchers ranked in order and by date? So if I’m looking at tomorrows games are those in order? Meaning Skaggs is ranked ahead of Bumgarner?

    • @Ralphy: Yes, you can input the data into the filter box right under ‘Date’ to look at only tomorrow. The ordering is based on $ which is a 12-team mixed league calculation for the value of the start. There’s a note under the grid that gives guidance on suggested $ values depending on league size.

  72. Mike says:
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    Thanks for all the great work on this. I noticed what apperas to be some bad data this morning. KC is showing Jason Vargas on the days that Danny Duffy is scheduled to start. Kyle Hendricks doesn’t appear in any of the next 10 days for the Cubs. Also, PIT announced Taillon’s next turn would be skipped but he is still showing for that start.

    • @Mike: Thanks! Researched all three cases and I agree w/ you on all three. Updated the probable pitcher list I get from our feed provider accordingly. Should be updated by the time you read this.

      • Mike says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: There are some new problems. Danny Duffy is shown as pitching for the Cubs for his starts on 9/13 & 9/18.

        • @Mike: Re-running. Put Duffy’s ID in Hammel’s spot and vice versa.

  73. Reganzap says:
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    Jake Odorizzi and Tyler Anderson, who I think are pitching Monday, seem to have disappeared.

  74. trick dad says:
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    alex reyes is missing for Sunday

  75. Steve says:
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    Hey Rudy,

    How does the Cubs second-string lineup affect Anderson’s rating? Seems he should get a nice boost. Do you agree? His Sept splits are pretty impressive.

    • @Steve: Lineups have a huge impact for sure. Hard to say the impact until the lineup’s published. My starting % for hitters doesn’t account for ‘extra rest b/c we lapped the field’ :)

      • Steve says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: 14 mph winds at wrigley gave me cold feet on the start…

        • yeah, it’s best to avoid day games at wrigley imo.

  76. Aaron Ever says:
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    Where’s Ivan Nova this week. Didn’t see where he is hurt thought he was starting vs WAS 9/24

    • You’re right. Feed provider skipped him. Added him in. Re-running results now.

  77. Bad Ash says:
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    Hey Rudy, Can we get SoN projections for:

    Brock Stewart (9/22)
    Mike Montgomery (9/23) (If he’s starting … not sure if they’re going with 5 or 6 SPs. You’d know better than I.)
    Martin Perez (9/25)

    Much obliged!

    • @Bad Ash: Good catches. Re-running with Stewart and Perez now. Holding off on Montgomery until formally announced.

      • Bad Ash says:
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        Thanks Rudy! Let’s roll with the Brock Pot.

  78. BAC says:
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    Nova is pitching Saturday I believe.

    • Aaron Ever says:
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      @BAC: Now its missing Nova again. The insanity! haha

  79. BAC says:
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    Thank you!

  80. Scott says:
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    Martin Perez is pitching today for Texas.
    AJ Griffin is pitching tomorrow for Texas.

    • @Scott: i fixed this at the time but forgot to say thanks for the heads up!

  81. BAC says:
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    I think its Hammel tomorrow for Cubs.

  82. Brett says:
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    Rudy,
    In late August my 12 team dynasty league team had Kluber as my only reliable starter. Using SoN and common sense I streamed 4-5 starts a week. My starters were fantastic, lots of wins, not a single blowup & I won my competitive league. SoN is a fantastic resource. Thanks for creating it and keeping it going.
    – Brett

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