Razzball Streamonator – Daily Pitcher Projections

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# Name Team Opp Date GT OppPitcher $ QS W L IP H ER K BB HR ERA WHIP OWN%
David Price DET at CLE 9/1 4 CKluber(R) 23.4 0.85 0.37 0.36 7.2 6.4 2.3 6.6 1.4 0.5 2.87 1.08 100
Cole Hamels PHI at ATL 9/1 1 JTeheran(R) 18.4 0.76 0.36 0.37 6.9 6.6 2.6 7.3 1.8 0.6 3.42 1.21 100
Tyson Ross SD ARI 9/1 4 TCahill(R) 17.9 0.65 0.38 0.35 6.2 4.7 2.0 5.6 2.3 0.4 2.93 1.14 100
Corey Kluber CLE DET 9/1 4 DPrice(L) 16.6 0.64 0.35 0.38 6.2 5.3 2.2 5.8 1.7 0.4 3.20 1.13 100
Julio Teheran ATL PHI 9/1 1 CHamels(L) 12.8 0.67 0.36 0.36 6.4 5.9 2.4 5.3 1.8 0.8 3.37 1.21 100
Lance Lynn STL PIT 9/1 2 GCole(R) 11.6 0.63 0.37 0.35 6.2 5.7 2.6 6.1 2.2 0.6 3.72 1.28 98
Drew Smyly TB BOS 9/1 1 Rde la Rosa(R) 11.6 0.58 0.40 0.33 6.0 5.5 2.5 5.3 1.9 0.7 3.79 1.23 89
Gio Gonzalez WAS at LAN 9/1 8 RHernandez(R) 9.6 0.61 0.38 0.35 6.1 5.7 2.7 6.1 2.5 0.5 3.89 1.33 94
Henderson Alvarez MIA NYN 9/1 1 ZWheeler(R) 9.6 0.63 0.38 0.34 6.1 6.2 2.3 4.3 1.4 0.4 3.34 1.24 52
Yordano Ventura KC TEX 9/1 8 CLewis(R) 9.5 0.58 0.40 0.33 5.9 5.0 2.4 4.5 2.4 0.3 3.61 1.24 88
Zack Wheeler NYN at MIA 9/1 1 HAlvarez(R) 8.7 0.55 0.34 0.38 5.9 5.6 2.6 6.7 2.5 0.4 4.01 1.39 99
Kevin Gausman BAL MIN 9/1 1 PHughes(R) 8.0 0.56 0.39 0.34 5.9 5.5 2.6 4.9 2.1 0.8 3.94 1.28 18
Trevor Cahill ARI at SD 9/1 4 TRoss(R) 7.8 0.57 0.34 0.38 5.9 5.3 2.3 5.0 2.5 0.5 3.51 1.32 0
Jason Hammel OAK SEA 9/1 4 CYoung(R) 6.8 0.55 0.42 0.32 5.9 5.8 2.6 4.4 1.9 0.6 4.04 1.31 36
Phil Hughes MIN at BAL 9/1 1 KGausman(R) 6.4 0.55 0.35 0.38 5.9 6.2 3.0 5.3 1.2 1.0 4.58 1.24 67
Jimmy Nelson MIL at CHN 9/1 2 JTurner(R) 6.1 0.52 0.37 0.36 5.8 5.4 2.8 5.8 2.5 0.5 4.43 1.37 12
Gerrit Cole PIT at STL 9/1 2 LLynn(R) 4.6 0.62 0.36 0.37 6.2 6.2 2.8 4.8 2.1 0.3 4.02 1.35 99
Roberto Hernandez LAN WAS 9/1 8 GGonzalez(L) 2.2 0.58 0.36 0.37 6.0 6.1 2.8 4.0 2.0 0.7 4.23 1.34 6
Jacob Turner CHN MIL 9/1 2 JNelson(R) 2.1 0.55 0.37 0.36 5.9 5.8 2.9 4.2 2.1 0.7 4.47 1.34 0
Tim Hudson SF at COL 9/1 4 FMorales(L) -2.3 0.58 0.40 0.33 6.2 7.4 3.5 4.1 1.5 0.6 5.12 1.42 67
Colby Lewis TEX at KC 9/1 8 YVentura(R) -2.4 0.51 0.33 0.39 5.8 6.4 3.1 3.9 1.6 0.9 4.76 1.38 0
Rubby de la Rosa BOS at TB 9/1 1 DSmyly(L) -3.6 0.49 0.34 0.38 5.7 5.7 3.0 4.1 2.6 0.7 4.70 1.48 5
Chris Young SEA at OAK 9/1 4 JHammel(R) -10.0 0.45 0.33 0.40 5.6 6.6 3.4 3.3 2.0 1.2 5.51 1.53 29
Franklin Morales COL SF 9/1 4 THudson(R) -10.1 0.43 0.36 0.37 5.5 6.3 3.5 3.7 2.5 0.9 5.75 1.58 0
Clayton Kershaw LAN WAS 9/2 10 DFister(R) 36.5 0.95 0.41 0.33 7.7 5.8 2.0 8.6 1.7 0.7 2.30 0.98 100
Mike Minor ATL PHI 9/2 7 KKendrick(R) 18.7 0.73 0.41 0.32 6.6 5.8 2.3 6.1 1.9 0.6 3.11 1.17 81
Adam Wainwright STL PIT 9/2 8 JLocke(L) 18.5 0.84 0.39 0.34 7.3 7.0 2.8 6.7 1.6 0.7 3.40 1.18 100
Wade Miley ARI at SD 9/2 10 ODespaigne(R) 16.2 0.67 0.37 0.36 6.3 5.5 2.2 5.9 2.0 0.4 3.14 1.19 21
Bud Norris BAL CIN 9/2 7 MLatos(R) 14.5 0.60 0.42 0.32 6.0 5.1 2.3 5.3 2.1 0.9 3.42 1.19 4
Jake Arrieta CHN MIL 9/2 8 YGallardo(R) 13.8 0.59 0.38 0.35 6.0 5.0 2.4 5.9 2.3 0.7 3.62 1.21 96
Carlos Carrasco CLE DET 9/2 7 KLobstein(L) 12.3 0.59 0.42 0.31 6.0 5.4 2.4 5.0 1.9 0.5 3.62 1.22 43
Odrisamer Despaigne SD ARI 9/2 10 WMiley(L) 9.5 0.58 0.35 0.37 5.9 4.9 2.3 4.6 2.3 0.5 3.45 1.22 8
Sonny Gray OAK SEA 9/2 10 JPaxton(L) 7.6 0.60 0.38 0.35 6.1 5.8 2.5 4.8 2.2 0.3 3.74 1.32 99
Yovani Gallardo MIL at CHN 9/2 8 JArrieta(R) 7.1 0.55 0.35 0.38 5.9 5.7 2.7 5.4 1.9 0.7 4.14 1.30 82
Doug Fister WAS at LAN 9/2 10 CKershaw(L) 7.0 0.70 0.31 0.41 6.6 7.0 2.8 4.8 1.3 0.7 3.80 1.25 99
R.A. Dickey TOR at TB 9/2 7 JHellickson(R) 6.1 0.69 0.37 0.35 6.7 6.7 3.0 4.9 2.1 0.7 4.09 1.32 67
Jon Niese NYN at MIA 9/2 7 BPenny(R) 4.5 0.57 0.37 0.36 6.0 6.4 2.8 5.0 1.8 0.7 4.21 1.37 33
Tommy Milone MIN CHA 9/2 8 HNoesi(R) 4.1 0.58 0.37 0.35 6.0 6.1 2.7 3.8 1.6 0.7 4.05 1.28 1
Jeremy Hellickson TB TOR 9/2 7 RDickey(R) 3.4 0.55 0.36 0.36 5.9 5.7 2.8 3.9 1.8 0.9 4.27 1.27 10
Hector Santiago LAA at HOU 9/2 8 BPeacock(R) 3.1 0.51 0.38 0.34 5.7 5.7 2.8 5.1 2.5 0.9 4.44 1.42 8
Jeremy Guthrie KC TEX 9/2 8 DHolland(L) 2.6 0.66 0.38 0.35 6.5 6.5 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.6 4.15 1.29 1
Derek Holland TEX at KC 9/2 8 JGuthrie(R) 1.9 0.65 0.36 0.37 6.5 6.8 3.2 4.6 2.1 0.5 4.42 1.37 5
Brad Penny MIA NYN 9/2 7 JNiese(L) 1.6 0.53 0.37 0.36 5.8 5.9 2.7 4.0 2.1 0.6 4.19 1.38 0
Yusmeiro Petit SF at COL 9/2 8 JLyles(R) 1.5 0.54 0.37 0.36 6.1 6.9 3.7 5.7 1.4 0.5 5.51 1.35 19
Hector Noesi CHA at MIN 9/2 8 TMilone(L) 1.3 0.52 0.36 0.36 5.8 5.9 2.7 4.2 2.2 0.8 4.24 1.40 0
James Paxton SEA at OAK 9/2 10 SGray(R) 1.1 0.55 0.35 0.37 5.9 6.0 2.8 4.8 2.6 0.5 4.24 1.45 62
Mat Latos CIN at BAL 9/2 7 BNorris(R) 0.3 0.65 0.32 0.40 6.6 7.1 3.7 5.5 2.0 1.4 5.04 1.37 98
Shane Greene NYA BOS 9/2 7 JKelly(R) -0.7 0.50 0.39 0.34 5.7 5.8 3.1 4.3 2.4 0.6 4.85 1.42 4
Brad Peacock HOU LAA 9/2 8 HSantiago(L) -0.8 0.49 0.36 0.37 5.7 5.6 3.1 4.8 2.7 1.3 4.88 1.44 0
Jeff Locke PIT at STL 9/2 8 AWainwright(R) -1.8 0.52 0.34 0.38 5.7 6.0 2.7 3.7 2.2 0.3 4.18 1.44 6
Kyle Kendrick PHI at ATL 9/2 7 MMinor(L) -3.2 0.56 0.32 0.40 6.0 6.9 3.1 3.9 1.7 0.7 4.67 1.42 1
Jordan Lyles COL SF 9/2 8 YPetit(R) -5.0 0.47 0.39 0.34 5.7 6.5 3.2 3.6 1.9 0.9 5.17 1.49 0
Joe Kelly BOS at NYA 9/2 7 SGreene(R) -9.5 0.44 0.36 0.37 5.6 6.4 3.3 3.3 2.3 0.6 5.43 1.57 6
Kyle Lobstein DET at CLE 9/2 7 CCarrasco(R) -9.7 0.45 0.32 0.40 5.6 6.9 3.3 3.3 1.7 0.5 5.34 1.53 0
Felix Hernandez SEA at OAK 9/3 3 JLester(L) 19.0 0.77 0.36 0.37 6.8 6.4 2.3 6.4 1.5 0.4 3.09 1.16 100
Jon Lester OAK SEA 9/3 3 FHernandez(R) 18.4 0.75 0.36 0.37 6.7 5.9 2.3 6.4 1.9 0.4 3.06 1.17 100
Andrew Cashner SD ARI 9/3 10 JCollmenter(R) 16.5 0.74 0.38 0.35 6.7 5.6 2.3 5.2 2.0 0.6 3.10 1.14 87
Ervin Santana ATL PHI 9/3 12 DBuchanan(R) 16.2 0.75 0.41 0.32 6.8 6.2 2.5 5.8 2.0 0.6 3.38 1.21 94
Jordan Zimmermann WAS at LAN 9/3 3 DHaren(R) 15.4 0.76 0.37 0.36 6.9 6.9 2.7 6.0 1.3 0.8 3.56 1.18 100
Danny Salazar CLE DET 9/3 7 JVerlander(R) 13.3 0.59 0.38 0.35 5.9 5.1 2.3 5.7 2.2 0.5 3.48 1.22 44
Miguel Gonzalez BAL CIN 9/3 7 DAxelrod(R) 10.0 0.63 0.43 0.31 6.2 5.8 2.6 4.7 2.1 1.0 3.79 1.26 2
Dan Haren LAN WAS 9/3 3 JZimmermann(R) 9.7 0.59 0.36 0.37 6.0 5.8 2.6 4.7 1.2 0.9 3.81 1.17 64
Matt Garza MIL at CHN 9/3 8 KHendricks(R) 9.3 0.68 0.36 0.37 6.6 6.5 3.1 6.1 2.0 0.7 4.18 1.28 82
Marcus Stroman TOR at TB 9/3 7 CArcher(R) 8.6 0.57 0.37 0.35 5.9 5.7 2.5 5.0 1.8 0.5 3.75 1.27 46
Josh Collmenter ARI at SD 9/3 10 ACashner(R) 8.3 0.58 0.35 0.38 5.9 5.6 2.4 4.7 1.8 0.9 3.61 1.25 4
Kyle Hendricks CHN MIL 9/3 8 MGarza(R) 7.9 0.58 0.37 0.35 6.0 5.6 2.6 4.4 1.7 0.7 3.93 1.22 44
Justin Verlander DET at CLE 9/3 7 DSalazar(R) 7.8 0.67 0.35 0.38 6.5 6.3 2.9 5.3 2.0 0.7 3.95 1.28 74
Hiroki Kuroda NYA BOS 9/3 7 ARanaudo(R) 7.8 0.65 0.42 0.31 6.4 6.5 3.0 4.6 1.5 1.1 4.26 1.25 61
Jacob deGrom NYN at MIA 9/3 7 TKoehler(R) 7.0 0.54 0.36 0.36 5.8 5.9 2.7 5.8 1.9 0.5 4.17 1.35 55
Chris Archer TB TOR 9/3 7 MStroman(R) 6.8 0.60 0.36 0.37 6.1 5.3 2.7 4.8 2.5 0.5 4.01 1.28 93
Collin McHugh HOU LAA 9/3 8 CWilson(L) 6.8 0.55 0.37 0.36 5.9 5.6 2.8 5.2 2.0 1.0 4.23 1.29 63
Shelby Miller STL PIT 9/3 1 EVolquez(R) 5.7 0.53 0.39 0.34 5.8 5.6 2.7 5.2 2.3 0.6 4.22 1.37 62
C.J. Wilson LAA at HOU 9/3 8 CMcHugh(R) 5.3 0.64 0.37 0.36 6.4 6.3 3.1 5.8 2.6 0.6 4.33 1.39 60
Tom Koehler MIA NYN 9/3 7 JdeGrom(R) 4.9 0.54 0.37 0.36 5.8 5.6 2.6 4.9 2.4 0.5 4.02 1.37 13
Jason Vargas KC TEX 9/3 8 NTepesch(R) 4.8 0.63 0.40 0.33 6.3 6.3 2.9 3.7 1.7 0.6 4.07 1.26 31
John Danks CHA at MIN 9/3 8 TMay(R) 4.7 0.64 0.39 0.34 6.3 6.3 2.8 4.3 2.2 0.6 3.95 1.34 1
Trevor May MIN CHA 9/3 8 JDanks(L) -0.2 0.50 0.35 0.37 5.7 5.3 2.8 4.6 3.0 0.4 4.51 1.46 1
Ryan Vogelsong SF at COL 9/3 3 CBergman(R) -1.2 0.48 0.43 0.31 5.7 6.4 3.4 4.5 1.8 0.6 5.28 1.43 15
Edinson Volquez PIT at STL 9/3 1 SMiller(R) -5.1 0.48 0.35 0.37 5.6 6.1 3.0 3.7 2.3 0.5 4.77 1.50 10
David Buchanan PHI at ATL 9/3 12 ESantana(R) -5.2 0.48 0.33 0.40 5.7 6.4 3.0 3.7 2.0 0.4 4.76 1.49 0
Dylan Axelrod CIN at BAL 9/3 7 MGonzalez(R) -6.1 0.46 0.32 0.40 5.7 6.3 3.5 4.4 2.0 1.0 5.57 1.46 1
Nick Tepesch TEX at KC 9/3 8 JVargas(L) -8.3 0.47 0.34 0.39 5.6 6.6 3.2 3.1 1.9 0.6 5.16 1.50 0
Anthony Ranaudo BOS at NYA 9/3 7 HKuroda(R) -13.0 0.41 0.33 0.40 5.5 6.4 3.5 3.4 2.6 0.8 5.83 1.63 1
Christian Bergman COL SF 9/3 3 RVogelsong(R) -17.4 0.38 0.33 0.39 5.5 7.4 4.2 3.0 1.4 0.8 6.87 1.58 0
Max Scherzer DET at CLE 9/4 7 TBauer(R) 23.9 0.79 0.40 0.33 7.0 5.9 2.5 7.7 1.9 0.8 3.21 1.13 100
Ian Kennedy SD ARI 9/4 9 VNuno(L) 20.0 0.66 0.37 0.36 6.2 4.7 2.0 6.0 2.1 0.7 2.86 1.09 75
Vidal Nuno ARI at SD 9/4 9 IKennedy(R) 14.2 0.61 0.35 0.38 6.0 5.4 2.1 5.4 1.7 0.7 3.18 1.18 4
Chris Tillman BAL CIN 9/4 7 MLeake(R) 11.1 0.67 0.40 0.33 6.4 5.8 2.6 5.1 2.3 1.0 3.70 1.25 81
Jake Odorizzi TB TOR 9/4 7 MBuehrle(L) 9.3 0.57 0.39 0.34 5.9 5.2 2.6 5.0 2.2 0.9 3.90 1.24 67
Jered Weaver LAA at MIN 9/4 8 KGibson(R) 8.2 0.67 0.39 0.34 6.5 6.6 2.8 5.0 1.9 0.7 3.91 1.30 96
Justin Masterson STL at MIL 9/4 8 WPeralta(R) 3.7 0.65 0.37 0.35 6.4 6.5 3.0 5.4 2.7 0.5 4.17 1.43 31
Chris Capuano NYA BOS 9/4 7 AWebster(R) 2.8 0.52 0.40 0.33 5.8 6.0 3.1 4.6 1.8 1.3 4.74 1.33 0
Trevor Bauer CLE DET 9/4 7 MScherzer(R) 2.0 0.52 0.33 0.39 5.8 5.2 2.8 4.9 2.8 0.7 4.38 1.39 17
Mike Leake CIN at BAL 9/4 7 CTillman(R) 1.2 0.59 0.34 0.39 6.2 6.8 3.3 4.8 1.5 1.0 4.72 1.34 36
Wily Peralta MIL STL 9/4 8 JMasterson(R) -0.3 0.52 0.36 0.36 5.7 5.9 2.8 4.0 2.2 0.6 4.38 1.41 64
Mark Buehrle TOR at TB 9/4 7 JOdorizzi(R) -0.8 0.60 0.35 0.37 6.2 6.9 3.1 3.8 1.6 0.8 4.47 1.37 51
Roenis Elias SEA at TEX 9/4 8 SBaker(R) -1.6 0.49 0.39 0.34 5.7 6.1 3.0 4.3 2.3 0.6 4.72 1.48 21
Kyle Gibson MIN LAA 9/4 8 JWeaver(R) -3.2 0.50 0.35 0.38 5.7 6.2 3.0 3.6 2.0 0.5 4.64 1.42 5
Scott Baker TEX SEA 9/4 8 RElias(L) -8.5 0.46 0.35 0.37 5.6 6.7 3.4 3.4 1.8 1.6 5.40 1.50 0
Allen Webster BOS at NYA 9/4 7 CCapuano(L) -11.6 0.42 0.35 0.38 5.5 6.2 3.5 3.6 2.7 0.7 5.68 1.62 0
Zack Greinke LAN ARI 9/5 10 CAnderson(R) 26.6 0.77 0.41 0.32 6.7 5.3 1.8 6.3 1.6 0.4 2.41 1.03 100
Stephen Strasburg WAS PHI 9/5 7 JWilliams(R) 24.9 0.71 0.43 0.30 6.4 5.3 2.0 6.8 1.6 0.6 2.79 1.08 100
Alex Cobb TB BAL 9/5 7 WChen(L) 21.8 0.76 0.39 0.34 6.8 5.4 2.3 6.6 2.1 0.5 3.09 1.11 100
Jeff Samardzija OAK HOU 9/5 10 BOberholtzer(L) 20.8 0.74 0.41 0.33 6.7 5.8 2.5 7.1 2.0 0.5 3.32 1.16 98
Mike Fiers MIL STL 9/5 8 JLackey(R) 11.6 0.59 0.37 0.35 6.0 5.6 2.4 5.2 1.7 0.8 3.57 1.21 96
Hisashi Iwakuma SEA at TEX 9/5 8 NMartinez(R) 11.0 0.74 0.44 0.30 6.8 7.3 2.9 4.9 1.3 0.7 3.82 1.25 100
Bartolo Colon NYN at CIN 9/5 7 ASimon(R) 10.7 0.68 0.37 0.36 6.5 6.7 2.7 4.9 1.1 0.7 3.78 1.20 62
John Lackey STL at MIL 9/5 8 MFiers(R) 10.0 0.70 0.36 0.37 6.6 6.8 2.9 5.7 1.5 0.9 3.88 1.26 95
James Shields KC at NYA 9/5 7 MPineda(R) 6.5 0.71 0.37 0.36 6.8 7.1 3.2 5.3 1.7 0.8 4.21 1.31 100
Michael Pineda NYA KC 9/5 7 JShields(R) 6.2 0.56 0.37 0.36 5.9 5.8 2.7 4.4 1.6 0.9 4.15 1.25 71
Alfredo Simon CIN NYN 9/5 7 BColon(R) 6.1 0.56 0.36 0.37 5.9 5.8 2.6 4.6 1.8 0.7 3.92 1.29 48
Wei-Yin Chen BAL at TB 9/5 7 ACobb(R) 5.4 0.57 0.33 0.39 6.0 6.2 2.7 4.8 1.5 0.9 4.07 1.29 38
T.J. House CLE CHA 9/5 7 SCarroll(R) 5.2 0.56 0.41 0.32 5.9 5.6 2.5 3.8 2.1 0.5 3.80 1.32 0
Tsuyoshi Wada CHN PIT 9/5 2 VWorley(R) 5.2 0.54 0.37 0.36 5.8 5.8 2.8 5.1 1.9 0.6 4.30 1.33 29
Rick Porcello DET SF 9/5 7 JPeavy(R) 5.1 0.60 0.40 0.33 6.1 6.4 2.6 3.6 1.4 0.5 3.91 1.29 99
Chase Anderson ARI at LAN 9/5 10 ZGreinke(R) 4.3 0.54 0.31 0.41 5.8 5.8 2.6 5.1 2.0 0.8 4.04 1.35 10
Vance Worley PIT at CHN 9/5 2 TWada(L) 3.6 0.54 0.37 0.36 5.8 6.3 2.8 4.5 1.5 0.7 4.29 1.33 14
Aaron Harang ATL at MIA 9/5 7 JCosart(R) 2.8 0.51 0.36 0.36 5.8 6.0 2.9 5.2 2.0 0.7 4.54 1.40 31
Ricky Nolasco MIN LAA 9/5 8 CRasmus(R) 1.7 0.56 0.40 0.33 6.0 6.6 3.1 4.1 1.5 0.8 4.68 1.34 1
Clay Buchholz BOS TOR 9/5 7 DHutchison(R) 1.6 0.70 0.38 0.35 6.8 7.0 3.5 4.7 2.3 0.7 4.68 1.37 23
Jarred Cosart MIA ATL 9/5 7 AHarang(R) 0.6 0.55 0.38 0.35 5.9 5.8 2.8 4.3 2.7 0.3 4.32 1.45 5
Drew Hutchison TOR at BOS 9/5 7 CBuchholz(R) -0.3 0.49 0.36 0.36 5.7 6.3 3.2 5.2 2.0 1.0 5.03 1.44 29
Jake Peavy SF at DET 9/5 7 RPorcello(R) -0.5 0.59 0.34 0.38 6.3 7.0 3.4 4.9 1.7 0.8 4.85 1.40 60
Brett Oberholtzer HOU at OAK 9/5 10 JSamardzija(R) -1.0 0.63 0.33 0.40 6.4 7.1 3.3 4.2 1.7 0.9 4.62 1.37 1
Tyler Matzek COL SD 9/5 8 EStults(L) -4.4 0.45 0.39 0.34 5.5 5.5 3.1 4.6 3.3 0.5 5.12 1.59 0
Eric Stults SD at COL 9/5 8 TMatzek(L) -7.2 0.53 0.36 0.37 6.1 7.3 3.8 4.0 1.6 0.9 5.62 1.47 0
Jerome Williams PHI at WAS 9/5 7 SStrasburg(R) -7.4 0.47 0.30 0.42 5.6 6.7 3.1 3.8 1.8 0.6 5.05 1.52 1
Cory Rasmus LAA at MIN 9/5 8 RNolasco(R) -9.0 0.42 0.35 0.38 5.5 6.4 3.4 4.4 2.5 0.5 5.57 1.63 5
Scott Carroll CHA at CLE 9/5 7 THouse(L) -12.0 0.43 0.33 0.40 5.4 6.4 3.2 2.7 2.2 0.4 5.24 1.58 0
Nick Martinez TEX SEA 9/5 8 HIwakuma(R) -15.8 0.40 0.31 0.41 5.4 6.5 3.6 3.2 2.5 1.1 5.91 1.67 0
Chris Sale CHA at CLE 9/6 7 CKluber(R) 30.5 0.90 0.37 0.36 7.5 5.9 2.2 8.3 1.9 0.5 2.62 1.05 100
Hyun-Jin Ryu LAN ARI 9/6 9 TCahill(R) 25.7 0.78 0.41 0.32 6.8 5.3 1.9 6.2 1.7 0.6 2.52 1.04 99
David Price DET SF 9/6 1 MBumgarner(L) 21.9 0.84 0.40 0.33 7.2 6.5 2.5 6.4 1.4 0.6 3.12 1.10 100
Johnny Cueto CIN NYN 9/6 4 DGee(R) 20.6 0.63 0.40 0.33 6.1 5.2 2.0 6.4 1.7 0.6 3.00 1.13 100
Corey Kluber CLE CHA 9/6 7 CSale(L) 20.5 0.65 0.35 0.38 6.2 5.0 2.0 6.3 1.7 0.4 2.92 1.08 100
Scott Kazmir OAK HOU 9/6 4 SFeldman(R) 17.0 0.61 0.42 0.31 6.0 5.2 2.2 5.7 1.8 0.6 3.35 1.16 93
Drew Smyly TB BAL 9/6 1 KGausman(R) 15.3 0.60 0.40 0.33 6.0 5.0 2.2 5.2 1.9 0.7 3.33 1.15 89
Francisco Liriano PIT at CHN 9/6 4 TWood(L) 15.2 0.64 0.40 0.33 6.3 5.5 2.6 7.1 2.7 0.5 3.75 1.29 77
Alex Wood ATL at MIA 9/6 7 NEovaldi(R) 13.6 0.58 0.38 0.35 5.9 5.5 2.4 6.4 2.0 0.4 3.59 1.26 100
Phil Hughes MIN LAA 9/6 7 MShoemaker(R) 9.4 0.57 0.36 0.37 5.9 5.9 2.6 5.0 1.2 0.7 3.98 1.20 67
Lance Lynn STL at MIL 9/6 7 KLohse(R) 8.2 0.61 0.38 0.35 6.2 6.1 2.8 5.8 2.2 0.8 4.02 1.34 98
Tanner Roark WAS PHI 9/6 4 ABurnett(R) 8.1 0.65 0.39 0.34 6.3 6.3 2.6 4.4 1.7 0.8 3.71 1.27 94
Matt Shoemaker LAA at MIN 9/6 7 PHughes(R) 8.0 0.57 0.37 0.36 5.9 6.0 2.5 4.7 1.4 0.7 3.78 1.26 87
Brandon McCarthy NYA KC 9/6 4 DDuffy(L) 7.8 0.63 0.38 0.35 6.3 6.3 2.8 4.2 1.3 0.8 3.95 1.20 64
Nathan Eovaldi MIA ATL 9/6 7 AWood(L) 7.2 0.58 0.36 0.37 6.0 5.8 2.6 4.7 1.9 0.4 3.92 1.27 35
Madison Bumgarner SF at DET 9/6 1 DPrice(L) 7.2 0.67 0.33 0.40 6.6 6.9 3.2 6.2 1.7 0.7 4.36 1.31 100
Dillon Gee NYN at CIN 9/6 4 JCueto(R) 4.7 0.62 0.33 0.39 6.3 6.3 2.9 4.9 1.9 0.9 4.14 1.31 33
Jorge de la Rosa COL SD 9/6 8 TRoss(R) 4.5 0.53 0.38 0.35 5.8 5.8 2.8 5.0 2.1 0.8 4.27 1.36 18
A.J. Burnett PHI at WAS 9/6 4 TRoark(R) 3.9 0.62 0.35 0.38 6.3 6.7 3.1 6.0 2.4 0.5 4.41 1.43 48
Tyson Ross SD at COL 9/6 8 Jde la Rosa(L) 3.0 0.58 0.36 0.37 6.2 6.4 3.2 5.7 2.3 0.5 4.69 1.41 100
Kyle Lohse MIL STL 9/6 7 LLynn(R) 1.6 0.61 0.36 0.37 6.3 6.8 3.1 3.9 1.4 1.2 4.43 1.31 73
Kevin Gausman BAL at TB 9/6 1 DSmyly(L) 1.1 0.54 0.33 0.39 5.9 6.0 2.9 4.6 2.1 0.7 4.41 1.38 18
Trevor Cahill ARI at LAN 9/6 9 HRyu(L) 0.8 0.55 0.31 0.41 5.9 6.0 2.7 4.8 2.5 0.5 4.08 1.44 0
Danny Duffy KC at NYA 9/6 4 BMcCarthy(R) 0.6 0.52 0.36 0.37 5.7 5.8 2.8 4.4 2.4 1.0 4.35 1.42 71
Travis Wood CHN PIT 9/6 4 FLiriano(L) 0.5 0.60 0.34 0.38 6.2 6.4 3.2 5.0 2.4 1.0 4.67 1.41 15
Colby Lewis TEX SEA 9/6 8 CYoung(R) 0.0 0.51 0.40 0.33 5.8 6.5 3.1 4.2 1.6 1.2 4.81 1.40 0
J.A. Happ TOR at BOS 9/6 7 Rde la Rosa(R) -4.0 0.45 0.37 0.36 5.6 6.3 3.4 5.0 2.2 0.8 5.44 1.52 1
Rubby de la Rosa BOS TOR 9/6 7 JHapp(L) -5.9 0.47 0.38 0.35 5.7 5.9 3.3 3.8 2.6 0.8 5.28 1.51 5
Scott Feldman HOU at OAK 9/6 4 SKazmir(L) -6.9 0.54 0.32 0.40 6.0 6.9 3.4 3.4 1.8 0.7 5.04 1.44 6
Chris Young SEA at TEX 9/6 8 CLewis(R) -10.6 0.44 0.35 0.38 5.6 6.6 3.5 3.2 2.0 1.2 5.69 1.54 29
Gio Gonzalez WAS PHI 9/7 1 CHamels(L) 17.4 0.64 0.38 0.35 6.1 5.0 2.1 6.4 2.5 0.5 3.05 1.21 94
Cole Hamels PHI at WAS 9/7 1 GGonzalez(L) 15.4 0.76 0.35 0.38 6.9 6.7 2.7 6.7 1.8 0.6 3.53 1.23 100
Carlos Carrasco CLE CHA 9/7 1 JQuintana(L) 15.0 0.60 0.37 0.36 6.0 5.1 2.2 5.5 1.9 0.5 3.29 1.16 43
Adam Wainwright STL at MIL 9/7 2 YGallardo(R) 14.4 0.83 0.38 0.35 7.3 7.5 3.0 6.4 1.6 0.7 3.67 1.24 100
Julio Teheran ATL at MIA 9/7 1 HAlvarez(R) 12.9 0.66 0.36 0.37 6.4 6.3 2.7 6.5 1.8 0.8 3.78 1.26 100
Jason Hammel OAK HOU 9/7 4 DKeuchel(L) 11.4 0.57 0.37 0.36 5.9 5.3 2.4 5.4 1.9 0.6 3.67 1.23 36
Gerrit Cole PIT at CHN 9/7 2 JTurner(R) 11.3 0.62 0.40 0.33 6.2 5.9 2.7 6.1 2.1 0.4 3.93 1.30 99
Mat Latos CIN NYN 9/7 1 ZWheeler(R) 11.1 0.70 0.36 0.36 6.6 6.2 2.8 5.7 2.0 1.2 3.78 1.24 98
Derek Holland TEX SEA 9/7 3 JPaxton(L) 10.9 0.67 0.40 0.33 6.5 6.4 2.8 6.0 2.1 0.4 3.86 1.31 5
Zack Wheeler NYN at CIN 9/7 1 MLatos(R) 10.7 0.56 0.37 0.36 5.9 5.2 2.4 6.0 2.5 0.5 3.74 1.32 99
Jose Quintana CHA at CLE 9/7 1 CCarrasco(R) 10.3 0.64 0.36 0.37 6.2 5.8 2.4 5.0 1.9 0.5 3.50 1.25 44
Jeremy Hellickson TB BAL 9/7 1 BNorris(R) 9.3 0.57 0.38 0.35 5.9 5.4 2.5 4.6 1.8 0.9 3.86 1.21 10
Roberto Hernandez LAN ARI 9/7 4 WMiley(L) 7.4 0.60 0.38 0.35 6.0 5.6 2.3 3.8 2.0 0.5 3.48 1.26 6
Hector Santiago LAA at MIN 9/7 2 TMilone(L) 7.4 0.54 0.40 0.33 5.7 5.3 2.4 5.0 2.5 0.6 3.75 1.36 8
Wade Miley ARI at LAN 9/7 4 RHernandez(R) 7.2 0.64 0.35 0.37 6.3 6.4 2.7 5.4 2.0 0.5 3.84 1.34 21
Henderson Alvarez MIA ATL 9/7 1 JTeheran(R) 6.7 0.62 0.37 0.36 6.1 6.3 2.5 4.0 1.4 0.4 3.65 1.26 52
Bud Norris BAL at TB 9/7 1 JHellickson(R) 4.4 0.57 0.36 0.37 6.0 6.0 2.8 4.9 2.1 0.7 4.22 1.35 4
Dallas Keuchel HOU at OAK 9/7 4 JHammel(R) 4.0 0.59 0.36 0.37 6.0 6.3 2.6 4.2 1.8 0.5 3.83 1.34 65
Yovani Gallardo MIL STL 9/7 2 AWainwright(R) 2.5 0.55 0.35 0.38 5.9 6.0 2.7 4.2 1.9 0.8 4.20 1.35 82
Yordano Ventura KC at NYA 9/7 1 SGreene(R) 1.1 0.55 0.37 0.36 5.9 6.1 3.0 4.8 2.4 0.6 4.56 1.42 88
R.A. Dickey TOR at BOS 9/7 1 JKelly(R) 0.7 0.66 0.39 0.34 6.7 7.4 3.6 5.2 2.1 0.9 4.90 1.43 67
Franklin Morales COL SD 9/7 4 ODespaigne(R) -1.5 0.46 0.40 0.33 5.5 5.7 3.0 4.4 2.5 0.7 4.82 1.48 0
Shane Greene NYA KC 9/7 1 YVentura(R) -1.5 0.50 0.37 0.36 5.7 5.7 2.9 3.7 2.4 0.5 4.63 1.41 4
Jacob Turner CHN PIT 9/7 2 GCole(R) -3.2 0.53 0.34 0.39 5.9 6.4 3.3 4.4 2.1 0.9 5.00 1.44 0
Tommy Milone MIN LAA 9/7 2 HSantiago(L) -3.9 0.54 0.33 0.39 6.0 6.8 3.3 3.8 1.6 0.9 4.92 1.40 1
James Paxton SEA at TEX 9/7 3 DHolland(L) -4.5 0.53 0.34 0.38 5.9 6.5 3.1 4.3 2.6 0.5 4.81 1.53 62
Tim Hudson SF at DET 9/7 8 KLobstein(L) -5.3 0.57 0.39 0.34 6.2 7.7 3.6 3.8 1.5 0.5 5.23 1.47 67
Odrisamer Despaigne SD at COL 9/7 4 FMorales(L) -5.5 0.50 0.35 0.37 5.9 6.5 3.6 4.7 2.3 0.7 5.53 1.50 8
Joe Kelly BOS TOR 9/7 1 RDickey(R) -8.8 0.44 0.36 0.37 5.6 6.2 3.3 3.2 2.3 0.5 5.37 1.53 6
Kyle Lobstein DET SF 9/7 8 THudson(R) -11.4 0.44 0.36 0.37 5.6 7.1 3.6 3.2 1.7 0.7 5.79 1.56 0


# Days Included
Fantasy Baseball Daily League Picks for September 01, 2014 (9/1)
Fantasy Baseball Daily League Picks for September 02, 2014 (9/2)
Fantasy Baseball Daily League Picks for September 03, 2014 (9/3)
Fantasy Baseball Daily League Picks for September 04, 2014 (9/4)
Fantasy Baseball Daily League Picks for September 05, 2014 (9/5)
Fantasy Baseball Daily League Picks for September 06, 2014 (9/6)
Fantasy Baseball Daily League Picks for September 07, 2014 (9/7)

Streamonator Info:

Razzball Streamonator (aka Stream-o-Nator, Stream-o-nater, Streamonater):  This tool is designed to identify attractive short-term pitcher pickups – aka fantasy baseball streamers/streaming pitchers.  It could also be used to determine when to start/sit a pitcher on your roster.  (For Daily Fantasy Baseball games, check out DFSBot). The higher the $ value, the more attractive the start.  Stream-o-Nator projections rely on Steamer Rest of Season projections as a foundation and then adjust based on several game-specific factors that include opponent strength vs. the pitcher’s handedness, whether the start is home or away and park factors.  Streaming pitchers has inherent risk to it – this tool merely tries to increase the odds for picking a particular start.

What Is The Expected Accuracy Of Streamonator Projections?:  Please see the Razzball Ombotsman for correlations between the Streamonator projections and actual stats.

Filtering Results:  You can filter multiple fields at the same time.  The text fields below the column headers enable several methods for filtering the data.  Here are some examples:

Function Symbol Example Explanation
ANY MATCH ‘B’ in Pos Typing B in Pos will filter to any player with 1B, 2B, or 3B eligibility.  Type in more details to filter further – e.g., “1B’, “1B, 3B”, etc.
OR | Ruth|Aaron in ‘Name’ All players with Ruth or Aaron in their name
NOT ! !FM in ‘Halls’ All players who are not in both the Hall of Fame and the Hall of Merit
NOR ! | !F|M in ‘Halls’ All players who are not in the Hall of Fame NOR the Hall of Merit.  Just use the ! once.
GREATER THAN > >30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than 30
LESS THAN < <30 in $ All players whose $ is less than 30
GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO >= >=30 in $ All players whose $ is greater than or equal to 30
LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO <= <=30 in $ All players whose $ is less than or equal to 30

Position Eligibility - 20 Games in last season for ESPN and ’2 Catcher’ formats.   5 Games for Yahoo.

Pitchers Included: All probable pitchers for up to the next 7 days.  Pitchers with two starts are listed twice.

$ Values - A pitcher’s projected stats for their start are multiplied by 30 then valued for a 12-team MLB league using the ESPN/CBSSports roster format (13 hitters, 9 pitchers) and a $260 team budget.  While the $ values would vary for any other league format, we would expect the rankings to remain relatively the same.  For 12-team leagues, $8 is about the ‘average’ start.  Anything above $0 is ‘better than nothing’ but may be suboptimal in leagues with IP or GS limits.

1-start vs. 2-start calculator - 

The below chart equates the average $ value of a 2-start pitcher’s two starts to a one-start pitcher’s start for weekly leagues.  So if a 2-start pitcher averages $4 in value across his two starts, that is the equivalent of a single start that is worth $7.  This is based on standard 5×5.

Two Start $ Avg Equivalent $ Value of One Start
1 0.5
2 2.6
3 4.7
4 6.9
5 9.0
6 11.1
7 13.2
8 15.4
9 17.5
10 19.6

Own%  Based on ownership within the Razzball Commenter Leagues which consists of 84 12-team MLB leagues using the standard ESPN roster format.

  1. Hmmm… Was all ready to start Kluber tonight, but then I saw his pitifully low rating on the stream-o-nator. Is this just early season kinks in the machine, or should I heed its warning??

    • @gleamteam_matt: Grey and I have him as a $5 pitcher this year so a $4 SoN value isn’t particularly low. He’s pitching on the road to a solid offense (Oakland). If you’re in a league with a low IP/GS cap, I’d bench him but otherwise would start him.

  2. Jesse says:
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    Hi Rudy,

    I few guys that stick out to me are:

    - Tommy Milone, $17 vs Sea
    - Hector Santiago, $13 vs Sea
    - Jenrry Mejia, $16 vs Cin

    Out of those, Mejia seems way out of wack – maybe still being projected as a reliever? But between Milone and Santiago, who would you rather start? Or go for both in a 12 team Yahoo mixed league with standard IP limit? Thanks!

    • @Jesse: Mejia is projected as an SP. I’m surprised he’s that high but the key factors are that he’s home, in a good pitcher’s park, to a weak offense (the Reds are overrated b/c they play in a good home park – same with COL). Milone and Santiago make more sense b/c Seattle is a weak offense that is predominantly lefty. I like Santiago best of these three but I’d start any/all of them (with Mejia taking the biggest cajones)

  3. Andrew says:
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    Surprised that Estrada is ranked so high at Boston? And projected to get the win? Thoughts?

    • @Andrew: Good catch. I had failed to adjust his ERA/WHIP to account for having to face a DH. It is now adjusted. I also adjust ERA/WHIP now if it’s an AL pitcher in an NL park (ERA/WHIP goes down) and a slight adjustment if an AL pitcher is facing an NL team at home (b/c NL DHs not as good as AL DHs).

      • Andrew says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        Cool. Peralta is -8, expected Estrada to be closer to that lol.

        • Peralta has been a worse pitcher to date than Estrada. Tons of potential but bad control and the K’s haven’t been there yet.

  4. David Niven says:
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    Hey Rudy, when do you start to trust xfip? May, June? 10 starts?

    Thanks for all the work man. Much appreciated.

    • I don’t think there’s a set # of innings. If a guy is performing to projections, I’m on board immediately. If he is above/below projections, it is about understanding what changed in his stuff/approach. New pitch? Change in velocity?

  5. Troy says:
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    Why so low on Erasmo? Also, would you rather take Hutchison or Niese tomorrow?

    • @Troy: steamer didn’t like Erasmo. One of the few cases I disagreed and grabbed him late in drafts. I’d start him tomorrow in deep leagues. I’d prefer Hutchison – I have no faith in Niese.

  6. B.o.B says:
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    Is Hutchinson’s $14.4 vs. the Yankees pretty much a must start in 10 team leagues?

    • Yes, I think the cutoff is somewhere around $10 for 10-team mixed leagues.

  7. Rico says:
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    I’d like to feature request that this looks further out than 7 days. As of now, I have to wait until 10am on Monday morning to look at the current week in my weekly league. By this time, many good streaming options have been picked over by other teams in the league. 14 day look ahead would be ideal so that in the middle of the week I can start thinking about who to own for the following week of games.

    • Something I’m working on. Need to work through how to project probable pitchers more than 7 days.

      In the meantime, There is no reason to wait until Monday morning to see the perfect weekly view. You can see Next Monday’s starts on Tuesday which lets you see 2-start pitchers.

  8. Andrew says:
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    Will be pitchers projections be updated at some point? I thought I remember last year saying this gets stronger a few weeks into the season once you update?

    • @Andrew: Yes, probably in the next week or two. It won’t change the projections much though. The first 2-3 starts aren’t more important than the track record of the pitcher over the past several years.

  9. Rico says:
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    Using “>4/13″ in the date header doesn’t filter for all dates 4/14 and later.

  10. shaggybevo says:
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    Dustin McGowan (4/10 starter) is switching places with R.A. Dickey and is scheduled to start 4/11.

    Tanner Roark didn’t start tonight (4/9) and is scheduled to start 4/11.

    Hyun-Jin Ryu didn’t start tonight (4/9) and is scheduled to start 4/11.

    • Thanks for the heads up. Will look out for this on tomorrow’s run

  11. Rico says:
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    I feel like a nag. 4/15 and 4/16 would typically have been showing by now. 4/14 is the most distant date shown.

    • @Rico: It’s now in there. Our script for importing the data feed was broken today. Now fixed.

  12. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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    fausto carmona scheduled to go the 14th against ATL instead of against MIA.

  13. Streaming Leake says:
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    I suggest double sourcing the scheduled starters before streaming an SP based on SON. Maybe it’s the early season schedule, but I picked up Tommy Milone for the second straight week based on SON, then found he did not pitch last week, and is not listed as probable starter on MLB.Com for this Sunday.

    • @Streaming Leake: I agree. Best to be safe. There’s a reason it’s called ‘probable’ starters and not ‘posi-definitely’ starters. BTW, Milone was supposed to pitch on 4/4 and that was the game cancelled because of poor field conditions. They then skipped him over. http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/sns-rt-bbo-athletics-mariners-preview-20140411,0,1048743.story

      He’s starting today. Not sure why there was a switch from Sunday to today but it is reflected in today’s SoN.

      • Streaming Leake says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:We have next day rostering. He hits my roster tomorrow!

        • @Streaming Leake: SoN has him now starting on Sunday but doesn’t like the start. I think it’s driven mainly by it being in Texas (good hitter’s park). It’s possible that this factor isn’t as pronounced in April vs. summer…

  14. steve says:
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    Not sure if this has been stated, but it looks like Martin Perez is going to start on Sunday vs. HOU. Seems like a nice option.

  15. KevinS says:
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    I think you mentioned you were going to tweak some of the stats for starters that were relievers last yr to more accurately reflect expected results as starters vs being a reliever. Not sure if you did this or not.

    If you have already done this, I have questions on Robbie Ross and Tanner Scheppers…. Both have been scoring high on the SON.

    As always, thank you very much for this great tool!

  16. Andrew says:
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    Masterson awfully low ranking tomorrow. Paulino has higher ranking than him lol. Very bad sport for him here?

    • @Andrew:That is suprising since the White Sox offense has any fearsome lefty hitters. Given Masterson has the better projected WHIP/K, looks like SoN thinks Masterson might get hurt by the long ball. I don’t mind the start for Masterson but qualifies as a marginal 12-team start.

      • BringDaRuckus says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: So you wouldn’t throw him out there today in a 10-team mixed?

        Thanks Rudy!! The SON is a gift of god!!

        • @BringDaRuckus: This sent me down a rabbit hole. I’ve now added HRs to the SoN and that wasn’t the cause (Masterson is above average at limiting HRs). I found an issue in calculating offensive run index which is used to adjust ERA. So Masterson’s projected ERA was inflated and Paulino’s was likely deflated. The new projections are up and they have Masterson as a marginal 10-team start now.

            • Andrew says:
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              @Andrew:

              Maybe the original projections were right? lol. Masterson got rocked

              • @Andrew: Ha. Yeah, had him going on a couple of 15-team leagues. I think for 10/12 team leagues that he’s only startable for now at home or in NL parks. He just is too prone to these WHIPping post type of starts. Hopefully he finds his 2013 form.

  17. Lipson says:
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    Is it possible to do some weekly housekeeping regarding comments? The comments start last year and makes the page insanely long. Especially when cheering in mobile form.

    • Kevin S. says:
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      @Lipson: I get annoyed with that too but I finally found something that works.

      Got this from an iPad forum but it works on my phone too…

      You’ll be using JavaScript to a Safari bookmarklet (and, this method only works in Safari, not, say, a note taking app, for instance).

      1) Make a bookmark in Safari and title it something like “Scroll to Bottom” (I put my bookmarklets in their own folder on the main bookmark bar).

      2) Edit that book mark and put the following in the URL field (copy this and just paste it in … is easiest). Include the whole line, even that semi-colon at the end:

      javascript:scroll(0,document.getElementsByTagName( %22body%22)%5B0%5D.scrollHeight);

      That’s it. Now, you have a bookmarklet that will jump you to the bottom of a Safari web page. It works on my new iPad running iOS 5.1.

    • Thanks for the kick in the butt. Figured out how to do it. Pruned everything earlier than April 1st.

      • Lipson says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: Much appreciated. I think every 2 weeks would be a nice timeframe to keep things under control.

  18. Jake says:
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    Hi Rudy,

    What’s your thoughts on Robbie Ross in an 8 team AL-only

  19. Jake says:
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    Opps hit enter too quick

    Hi Rudy,

    What’s your thoughts on Robbie Ross in an 8 team AL-only H2H league? Pick up and hold, or stream? Your projections seem to be based off his RP days. The K/9 seems to be holding so far, but the 6 BB vs. the Sawks was dangerous.

    There’s 55 SP rostered. I already have Price, Tanaka, Ventura, Kluber, Straily, (cobb on DL). Bench is 5 deep. We have to pay for pickups over 50, so I’ve been trying to limit to 2/3 pickups per week, but this closer carousel is killing that.

    Maybe roll hiim out this week vs. Sea and CHW and see how it goes?

    Thanks!

    • @Jake: He’s barely rosterable/startable in your format as I’d say he’s not rosterable right now in a 15-team mixed league roto. I like any LHP against Seattle given their best hitters (Cano, Seager, Miller) are lefties.

      • jake says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        Same situation with mcgowan? You think I’m better off just throwing a half-closer in there like gregorson,doolittle, or bass?

  20. Andrew says:
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    How often do you go in and adjust for injuries? R Zimmerman..etc.

    • @Andrew: Every morning. Once a guy goes on the DL, demoted to the minors, or released, he’s taken out of the Hittertron (+ Opponent Offense Factors used in SoN) and typically out of Stream-o-nator.

  21. Joel says:
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    I’m looking for a streamer for tomorrow, and looking at Roark. My league has no IP/GS limits (H2H), so that’s not a concern, and I go with basically 2 starters on my team (Waino and Sherzer), and stream the rest. There is a 35IP minimum per week, so I usually need to make sure I pick up at least 3 starters to make sure I get the innings I need.

    What I’m looking for advice on, is since I’ve never played in a league where the $ value matters that much, what is, roughly, the $ value for a “good” streamer? I’m willing to sell out for W and K, and give up HR, as long as my ratios (we use ERA, WHIP, and K/BB) don’t get out of whack. Any advice on what I should be looking for?

  22. Lipson says:
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    Do I trust Ian Kennedy tomorrow? $17 is pretty damn awesome.

    • @Lipson: It’s never fun watching an Ian Kennedy start when you have him going but it’s a solid matchup. I’m streaming it in RCL.

    • KevinS says:
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      @Lipson: He was a very good streamer for me last year.

  23. Andrew says:
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    Maholm starting instead of Ryu

  24. Lipson says:
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    Smyly is starting Friday night

    • Lipson says:
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      @Lipson: Finally……

  25. Andrew says:
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    Burnett starting, not Pettibone today

  26. Andrew says:
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    Sorry to bug again – but neither shields nor scherzer are starting 4/18.

  27. @Andrew: If you’re posting these for my account, please stop. The probable SPs get updated once a day in the morning. I get them through a data feed from a partner I trust. Chen was a late scratch for KC and Shields started early. Not sure when Smyly was finalized for 4/18 and Scherzer bumped a day.

    If something’s horribly wrong, let me know. If it’s a change caused by somewhat breaking news, just be patient and wait a day before posting.

  28. Master's Son says:
    (link)

    Masterson vs Tor. tonight? 11.0 but he’s been horrible.
    Niese vs. Atl. 9.4, but he’s Niese.
    What do you think?

    • @Master’s Son: Not loving Masterson tonight but starting him in the 15-team league that I have him. Sitting him in 10/12 team is not out of the question. Agree on Niese. I’d be passing on that in 10/12 team.

  29. Looking for pitching says:
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    I’m trying to piece together a pitching staff in the wake of losing Moore and Cobb (for awhile), and the poor showing of Masterson. 12 team league. I have:
    Archer
    Eovaldi
    Erlin
    Porcello
    Tillman
    Niese
    and….Masterson
    The wire is a graveyard, but Skaggs, Martin Perez, hammel, Lincecum, Morrow, Peralta and Morton are still there. Would you drop Masterson (or any of the others) for someone on the wire or hold?
    Thanks for your help.

    • I’d check out the Rest of Season Pitcher Projections – http://razzball.com/restofseason-pitcherprojections/

      Masterson’s been rough so far but I have him much more valuable than Eovaldi and Erlin. I think Lincecum, Skaggs, Morrow, and Morton should have positive value this year in 12-team – at least on a games started basis (assuming injuries). Unless you’re in H2H, I’d prefer to consider everyone but Archer, Tillman, and Masterson droppable if they have 1-2 bad matchups in a row and stream. You can use the extra roster spots for middle relievers/closer lottery tickets and to swap out resting hitters. But if you’re in H2H, 7 SPs make sense to roster.

  30. E says:
    (link)

    What $ would you consider a must start in a 9 team roto league?
    Thanks.

  31. afdngns says:
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    What’s up with Bedard and Hutchinson? Seems like they have been highly rated $ wise.

    • @afdngns: You were right on Hutchison. Looks like Steamer made an ERA adjustment on him b/w pre-season and rest of season. I’ve now switched 100% to rest of season projections in SoN and that’s led to Hutchison dropping about $6. I think the ~$10 estimate feels a little high but no stat is jumping out at me as wrong. Baltimore is a bad OBP team which helps with WHIP but a very good SLG team so there’s more potential ERA risk.

      As for Bedard, the SoN/Hittertron believes Minnesota’s early season offense is a mirage. TB is a good pitcher’s park and LHPs help neutralize two of MInnesota’s best hitters in Mauer and Kubel. Bedard is tough to have faith in and I wouldn’t touch him in a 12-team league but I can see why the start is valued as it is.

  32. Andy says:
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    Is it OK to trust Maholm tonight (v PHI)? I picked him up as a streamer in my 12-team league, but having second thoughts. Had a nice outing last time. Straily is also available, but he got lit up the last time I streamed him and is facing a stronger offense (IMO) than Maholm

  33. Leandro says:
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    4 potential starters today. Do I roll all 4?

    Hamels, Pineda, Cain and Ross

    • @Leandro: I wouldn’t start Pineda @BOS. Ross @SEA is a marginal start but I’d do it b/c the Mariners are cold and are predominantly lefty.

  34. GRUESOME STAFF says:
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    I’ve streamed using the SON since the beginning of the year in a league where I have a maximum GS of 170. It’s a 10 team league. I have only one SP – Jose Fernandez. My streaming stats are ugly. I’ve used only SP’s worth $12 or more on the SON.

    23 Starts for 5.32 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 5 Wins, and 116 K’s.

    I’ve run the numbers and it looks like I could average nearly a $14 SP each day just using the SON. If this holds true here are my projected stats (give or take using average SON stats for $14 SP’s)

    With Jose Fernandez and streamers – 1430 K’s, 87 Wins, 3.382 ERA, 1.202 WHIP
    Without Jose (adding Melancon or similar) – 1446 K’s, 91 Wins, 3.389 ERA, 1.202 WHIP

    My question is this: Should I trade Fernandez for more hitting? Up until I ran the numbers I was considering trading one of my many closers for an SP or two, but the math indicates that it would be a mistake if the SON stats, over the long term, hold up.

    Should I go all in on streaming? At the very least it would be an interesting experiment. By the way, I’m currently leading the league in K’s and SV’s, toward the bottom in Win’s, and dead last in ERA and WHIP.

    • Damn, rough going so far on the streams. No way would I get rid of J-Fer. No reason to stream every spot. I like to have 3-4 SPs I can count on and then stream around those guys. I think going 100% streaming leaves you too vulnerable to what’s available in waiver wire. I find streaming in the low rung hitter spots like 5th OF, UTIL, CI, etc. to be more productive.

      • GRUESOME STAFF says:
        (link)

        @Rudy Gamble:

        Gotcha. I have been doing well streaming hitters, but I’ve had 7 closers and only 3 bench spots so I’ve been tied up with too many players to really rack up the AB’s. I’m almost relieved that a few of the closers I have are going to lose their jobs! Haha. It’ll give me room to maximize AB’s.

        I’ve tried trading closers, but no one wants to give me enough in return. Generally $8-$10 SP’s on the ROS. Which I should be able to stream according to the SON so it doesn’t seem to make sense to trade.

        I guess I’ll stand pat and hopefully the streams become more productive. Thanks for your input.

      • GRUESOME STAFF says:
        (link)

        @Rudy Gamble:

        Had Odorizzi and Smyly today. $13.3 and $15.4. Got me a 5.93 ERA and 1.65 WHIP and 0 W’s. I think my new cutoff will be $15. Maybe that will help.

        • @GRUESOME STAFF: I had Odorizzi going in 3 leagues. Frustrating. He struck out 5 in the first 2 innings but seemed to use up too many bullets. The Twins offense continues to defy meager expectations. Didn’t see the Smyly start but home against a ‘meat’ White Sox pitcher (Rienzo) should’ve netted better results. Nights like this is why I try to minimize my streaming to about 20% of my GS.

  35. elipitt says:
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    Is it possible sort game times for just early games when there is the 12:05 game? <7 excludes those.

    Thanks for all your work on this tool!

    • @elipitt: I’ll look into it. Only idea so far is to change 12 into a decimal so it still looks like 12 but sorts before 1.

      • elipitt says:
        (link)

        @Rudy Gamble: Thanks, I appreciate your help. If you ever to make a paid phone app for the Razzball tools, I’d buy it. Heck, I’d pay for the tools on the site, great stuff!

  36. afdngns says:
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    We’re also not even four weeks into the season and streamers are risky this early in the season. Not a big enough sample size to go off of for most pitchers who are predominantly available in leagues right now. I’ll feel more comfortable using SON in two or three weeks and I’ll rely on it the second half of the season. It’s really killed me the past few weeks, but I know what to expect from it so early in the season. Last year I started using it with eight weeks left in my season(discovered it late) and only lost one week the rest of the season. The numbers I compiled using only SON were ludicrous.

    What I’m getting at….. Give it some time. Deserves the benefit of the doubt from my perspective.

  37. Van says:
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    I am running low on IP. Need to sit either Porcello today or A. Sanchez tomorrow. Suggestions?

  38. Margaret says:
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    Link seems to be broken. Daily SON is displaying hitting projections. Thanks for the great work.

  39. BringDaRuckus says:
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    Am I right on the money for planning to sit Yordano today, or would you roll the dice?

    Thanks

    • BringDaRuckus says:
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      @BringDaRuckus:

      *Shew* Glad I ended up switching things around and playing him last night.

      • that would’ve been an awful sonovabench.

  40. Looking for pitching says:
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    Beckett vs Col at L.A. SON likes him, but…..I’m not very comfortable with this. Especially with the Rockies lefties. What do you think?

    • @Looking for pitching: Sorry I didn’t respond to this one. Had folks in town. Man I hate Beckett. Grew up a Yankee fan and was talking to my Dad about still hating only a couple of those Red Sox players from their WS teams. Tried coming up w/ a list and could only think of Beckett and Papelbon. Beckett also screwed a couple of my teams last year. That said, home Dodger starts are usually gold. Takes a bit of a cast-iron stomach to stream Beckett, Maholm, or Haren but the odds are pretty solidly in your favor in the long run (assuming the SPs are healthy)

      • Looking for pitching says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: I felt much the same way you did and didn’t play him because my ERA is suffering. He had a good night, but it could easily have gone the other way. Thanks for your response.

  41. Lipson says:
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    Maybe I missed it, but what is the $ amount that is a safe play? $10+? $7+?

    • @Lipson: This is noted in the footnotes. Depends on league format but $8 has been the ‘standard’ for 12-team mixed with ~$10 for 10-team going down to $0 for AL/NL-only.

      But, honesty, no $ amount is ever ‘safe’. SPs can always crap the bed.

  42. kandeepan says:
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    What is the minimum # to look for under the Quality Start category?

    • @kandeepan: It depends on league format and how many GS/IP you need from streaming. If you can afford to be picky and are in shallow leagues, $10 is a nice cutoff. $8 is the typical cutoff and I can see going down to $5-$6 in H2H leagues or if your pitching staff has been decimated by injuries.

      • kandeepan says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: I see. I am in a 12 team yahoo roto league and my pitching is kaput – mat moore, anibal sanchez, alex cobb. I picked up J.Chavez and Peralta. The rest is streaming…

  43. L-Boogie says:
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    No SON love for Iwakuma’s triumphant return 5/2?

  44. BringDaRuckus says:
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    Bolsinger or Lackey today? I’m thinking Lackey, but SON disagrees with me. What say you?

      • GRUESOME STAFF says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        I was going to pick up Lackey as well but his history against TB scared me away a little. On the other hand, Bedard’s history against BOS is phenomenal which brings up a question…

        Do you typically apply any weight to a pitchers history against the current opposing lineup? I was thinking of using it as a tie breaker of sorts to help weed out sketchy starts, but wondered what your thoughts were?

        • i don’t use past pitcher/batter history.

  45. Ben says:
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    Martin Perez a -5.7 against Oak coming in with 26 straight scoreless innings including a complete game shutout against the same Oak team in his last outing?

    Seems like the scoring system may be a tad flawed here, no?

    • @Ben: Steamer really doubts Martin Perez. I agree that this looks better than a negative start – even though Oakland is a good offense. I think Streamonator also underestimates SPs pitching in Texas during April. Feels like that doesn’t heat up into a great hitter’s park until it gets hotter.

      • Ben says:
        (link)

        @Rudy Gamble:
        That is the last time I pretend to know more than SON.

        • ha! Perez threw a shutout last time when SON doubted him…

  46. OprahAteMyHomework says:
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    I’m surprised to see Stream-O-Nator this high on Salazar vs. the White Sox today? Not sure I have the guts yet to start him against a good offense.

    • I hear you. Salazar’s been bad except for his last start @SF and the White Sox offense has started hot. SON things both trends will reverse themselves.

      • FWIW, if you have Salazar and aren’t starting him at home against the White Sox, you might as well drop him. No point in carrying an SP who you bench in a fairly attractive matchup.

  47. Jake says:
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    Hi Rudy,

    H2H 8 team WL only. My opponent this week projects to have about 16 more innings than me. Who would be the three below (in order) that’d you’d roll with to even the innings as spot starts? Would you just trust the stream-o-nator? I’m intrigued by Ray, the season he’s having, the sweet matchup, and the element of mystery that he hasn’t been scounted in the bigs?

    Thanks!

    Josh Tomlin MIN
    Jeremy Guthrie at SD
    Dan Straily SEA
    John Danks CHN
    Colby Lewis COL
    Danny Duffy at SEA
    Tommy Milone WAS
    Robbie Ray HOU

  48. E says:
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    Would you start Bailey @ BOS in a 9 team roto league?

  49. Lipson says:
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    Sit or Start on Cashner tonight?

  50. Frank says:
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    16 team league with wins and qs do I sit fisters first start? Chasing wins

  51. Lipson says:
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    Sit or start Kluber tonight?

  52. Andrew says:
    (link)

    Love the SON.

    Couple questions.

    1. There are some guys who SON hates on every start. Such as C Young (mariners). Negative value every time, yet he is dominating this year. Do you go in and adjust for how well he is doing? Or is the SON basically saying the bottom is going to fall out at some point and stay away? He was at home vs. Royals tonight with a negative $12 value and pitched a gem.

    2. Piggyback questions some younger guys (McHugh for example) get very poor ratings. Yet Grey says to buy him and has good stuff. It is hard to stream him though when I see -10 dollar rankings. Is the high negative value due to the high volatility with these young guys in terms of effectiveness?

    Thanks!

    • @Andrew: Chris Young has a FIP of 4.78 and a K/BB of 18/16. So all the fundamentals point to it being a matter of time before he gets crushed. McHugh was a -$3 start @BAL – there’s no reason in my mind to be starting any Astro pitcher @BAL. Helps Chris Davis is out but that’s not a good stadium to pitch at. He was lucky to get out with 2 ERs given 9 baserunners and a HR in 6 IP. He’s at $7 at home vs. the White Sox next. So the negative value on McHugh was due to matchup.

      As for differences vs. Grey, I’d say Grey is a bigger believer in momentum than SON. He likes to ride a hot pitcher like a gambler at a craps table. SON is playing the odds like ‘the house’. Look at McHugh’s minor league track record. MAYBE he’s suddenly found himself. More likely, he’s a AAAA pitcher who isn’t worth considering outside of 15-team mixed or deeper.

  53. EK says:
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    Would you pick up and start Lincecum in 12 team H2H pts?
    SON loves him for both home starts vs ATL & MIA but he really sucks..

    • EK says:
      (link)

      @EK: Leaning Leake v SD and @ PHI but don’t like him much either

      • I don’t like Lincecum either but those are good K matchups. I’d listen to SON for this week and try to trade Lincecum if he has a good week ;)

  54. EK says:
    (link)

    Your thoughts on Matt Harrison @ HOU for 12team H2H pts?
    SON has him for $0.

  55. Andrew says:
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    Colby Lewis is pretty bad, but is @Houston a streamable start in 12 teamers?

    • @Andrew: He’s at $6 which is typically below the $8 stream line for 12-team.

  56. RickPorcello says:
    (link)

    Is there a success rate, or a way to gauge success rate when using certain $$ thresholds and certain pitching criteria? I’ve used this randomly when I can’t decide on a start sit, and usually I get screwed, the latest being tonight’s Jake Peavy fiasco, which should drop me a bunch in era. Thanks Jake for the one K.

    • @RickPorcello: I’ve been collecting this data over the past 2 weeks or so. Still working through how to share it and need larger samples to get a good read. But here’s a cut of the data:

      SON starts rated between $8-$12 from 4/29 to 5/13

      Total: 61
      Average SON $ – $9.7
      Average Actual $ – $7.8
      Median SON $ – $9.6
      Median Actual $ – $8.3
      # of Actual Starts below $8 = 30
      # of Actual Starts $8+ = 31
      # of Actual Starts below/above $8 based on ROS value of pitcher:

      Pitchers with ROS value at $9+ – 9 / 9
      Pitchers with ROS value at $0-$9 – 12 / 15
      Pitchers with ROS value at < $0 - 9 / 7

      So, net-net, for pitchers in the general range of startable ($8-$12), they deliver about that value on average and fall on either side of the fence at a roughly 50/50 rate (as would be expected).

      The difficult part of this is that while projections tend to be close to the average, the actual results are much more extreme (good if it's a plus start, painful if it's like Peavy yesterday). Not sure how readable the below chart is but it basically shows there are a lot more crappy ($<0) and great ($25+) starts that actually happen vs what can be predicted.

      $ | $_SON Count | $_ACT Count
      <0 | 104 | 184
      0-8 | 132 | 30
      8-16 |105 | 26
      16-24 | 45 | 24
      >24 | 12 | 134
      Average 5.9 5.0
      Median 5.9 3.5

      Hope that helps…

      • Rickporcello says:
        (link)

        @Rudy Gamble: thanks for the reply. I find that no matter what system I use (yours, another, just gut feel) I basically hit & miss back and forth. I’m thinking it may be best to just put my guys in for each start and let the chips fall. Last year I calculated my team era based on sitting/starting my pitchers based on matchups vs just starting them always. I found no significant difference.

        • @Rickporcello: quality of pitcher is by far the biggest factor. i think there are some matchups that are no-brainer benchings but otherwise tough to justify owning an SP if you don’t play him most of the time (with H2H where you have a larger pitching staff, you have to make tougher calls)

  57. Lipson says:
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    Do I go against SON and start Kluber today?

  58. Alex says:
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    Would you honestly go Roark, Quintana and then Niese Friday?

    • @Alex: i hear you. niese has been pitching great. i prefer Roark at home vs. Niese on the road – even though Niese has pitched well in his last two road starts. tossup on quintana vs. niese – quintana probably has the better chance at a win with niese a better bet on the other stats.

  59. Squidblob says:
    (link)

    Did Sonny Gray get a handy from Streamonator’s girlfriend back in high school or something? Why the eff does Streamonator consistently hate Sonny Gray so much?

    • @Squidblob: Steamer doesn’t see him as an ace. You can see that in his ROS projections. I like him more than $1 for that start but he’s been a bit lucky so far with BABIP (<.270) and his K/BB is just okay. @CLE doesn’t scare me a lot as an away matchup though.

  60. Rickporcellosdad says:
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    Ok I’m done listening to the streamer regarding Rick Porcello. I need someone to bring down the fantastic era/whip hole Bailey has put me in lol

  61. Rico says:
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    SON and Hittertron haven’t updated today and still show “today” as 5/18.

    • @Rico: thanks. corrected. ran everything on sunday night but forgot that would still consider ‘today’ to be sunday.

  62. Kevin says:
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    Damn, Robbie Erlin’s value is off the charts! Is he a must grab at 18.1 on 5/22? I love me some Petco but that seems more than overly ambitious though I guess the Cubs can’t hit the broad side of a barn on the road, right?

  63. Lipson says:
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    Madbum in COL, recipe for disaster?

  64. Jimmy says:
    (link)

    Hi wondering if you can please clarify how the ER and ERA are being generated for this data set. For instance, ERA of samardzija is showing 3.67 for his start Sun June 1 2014, but his total ERA is far less than that on the year so far (1.46 to date). I Thought the ER column might be their expected earned runs in this particular matchup, but why then the ERA separate? Trying to use the SON to get a read on expected earned runs to play some over/under in vegas shortly (i..e. adding the expected earned runs from each pitcher in a matchup to generate a total, then gambling on how the closing innings will fare!) so would appreciate knowing where the run figures are being generated from. Thanks!

    • Jimmy says:
      (link)

      @Jimmy: Ok not sure where my head is on this saturday morning. My guess is ER is earned runs for this matchup per pitcher, ERA for this matchup based on that earned runs figure divided by expected IP and has nothing to do with season-to-date ERA. Correct?

      • @Jimmy: yes, that’s correct. everything in Streamonator is based on that particular matchup. Worth noting that Samardzija’s FIP is around 3.00 and this is a road start.

  65. Kandeepan says:
    (link)

    Jimmy Nelson (MIA) or Randy Wolf (MIL) for tomorrow?

    • @Kandeepan: i’d say neither. who knows what wolf has left (and probably on a low pitch count)? don’t love rookie pitchers on the road. gun-to-head, i’d take nelson.

  66. kandeepan says:
    (link)

    Hello,

    1) Is samardzija a good start against the giants today? The stream-o-nator gives it $13.6 but I read that his #s are not that good – is he bound to get beat up?

    2) Why is Alex Cobb rated so low for tomorrow against Blue Jays?

    • Jimmy says:
      (link)

      @kandeepan: for 1), note that Cain not playing today so maybe his $ would improve if corrected: ESPN quoting others saying that “[Yusmeiro] Petit will start in place of Matt Cain (hamstring) on Monday against the Cubs”. I’m starting him, Samardzija has pitched great this year it’s the lack of any offense that has hurt him but hopefully the cubs can do better vs.Petit than Cain. Both on 5/5 and 5/16 when Petit filled in for Cain he got hammered, but that was MIA and PIT not the cubs!

      • @Jimmy: Petit is in right now and it does improve Samardzjia’s Win % a bit taking him above $14.

    • @kandeepan: Cobb is low b/c it’s an away start against a good offense in @TOR. Steamer was somewhat bearish on Cobb coming into the year ($10). Others (including Grey) are more bullish on him. If I had Cobb on any team, I’d start him @TOR. Feels more like an $8 start to me.

  67. B.o.B says:
    (link)

    Any idea when Alex Wood will be back in the rotation?

    • @B.o.B: I would think in the next 30 days. Someone will get hurt or they’ll get fed up w/ Harang.

  68. E says:
    (link)

    Pls rank ROS for W, K, ERA, WHIP:
    E. Santana
    Dickey
    Eovaldi
    Hughes
    Vogelsong

  69. Rudy — why do you think the SoN is so down on Pomeranz? His career numbers against the Angels are pretty good, he’s at home, where he has yet to give up a run and where opponents are hitting .106 against him, his opponent (GRichards) got steamrolled at home by Oakland last time he faced them and his career record against the team is bad. Pomeranz’s one minor blemish was at Toronto, but the Blue Jays have been running over everyone lately.

    Is it because he has trouble going deep into games? Or am I missing something else? It almost seemed like a no-brainer to start him, but after seeing the negative rating on SoN, I’m having second thoughts.

    • Pomerania has done well so far busies not have a long track record. SON is balancing his track record with his recent performance.

      • @Rudy Gamble: Gotcha, Rudy. Many thanks. I’m going to start him, then.

        I’m guessing you were writing on a mobile device. Am I right?

  70. Kevin says:
    (link)

    Odorizzi a must stream against Miami on Thursday? 17.9 seems like can’t miss? I’m not sure he can get out of the 5th inning so it seems like a very odd high score…

    • @Kevin: Yeah, his K-potential is very intriguing but he’s impossible to trust now. I’ll have him going in 15-team and AL-only but not 10/12-team.

  71. Question... says:
    (link)

    I’m wondering your thoughts on vogelsong’s start tomorrow @ Cinn. Cinncys been awful this year, even at home..and Volgy has been solid this year statistically, especially lately. I’m surprised that streamer rates him so low

    Also thoughts on Haren tonight? On the other end, it’s making Haren a can’t miss start…and I’m not sure I agree, and I can’t even figure out streamonators logic on it.

    If I had to guess before looking, I’d have said vogelsong at a 12, Haren at about a 9 because he’s home.

    • I’d consider Haren and Vogelsong for home starts only. Vogelsong has a 2.34 FIP at home and a 6.52 FIP on the road (granted, a bad @COL start is a big driver) + Cincy is a hitter’s park. I’d avoid that start outside of NL-only.

      Haren @ Home against a weak White Sox team. What’s not to like about that aside from Abreu?

      • Question... says:
        (link)

        @Rudy Gamble: my thought was that cinncy just can’t hit this year, and is just as bad on offense at home. So I thought Voggy would be ranked a bit higher. Traditionally a start @ Cinny was a bad one for opposing pitchers, but I don’t think this year so much.

        The Sox are 5th in runs scored this year, although admittedly they’re in the bottom third for the last 5 weeks, but much of that has coincided with abreus absence. I’m gonna start Haren, but it worry me a bit.

        Thanks for the response!

  72. Five-On-One says:
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    Two start Jimenez (@TEX -$2.3 on SON and vOAK +0.8), one start Chen (vOAK, 3.4), one start Feldman (@MIN 3.9) or use a MR for the week (Joba)? Is there a SON value at which a MR would be a better choice than a SP? Why is Jimenez at Texas so bad? I didn’t think Texas offense (or the ballpark) were all that scary these days.

  73. Q says:
    (link)

    RUDY!!!

    SON still likes Liriano. Projects him for only 5 walks over his 2 starts next week. But we know, from watching, that he walked 6 his last time out. Do we trust him or is SON weighing his last year too much?

    Thanks!

    • Liriano is a tough one to figure out – he’s in the “stream but not own category” for 12-team IMHO – but I’d taking him at home against the Cubs. That’s a solid matchup.

  74. Dean says:
    (link)

    Why is the SON so high on Stroman today?

    • @Dean: Stroman’s AA/AAA stats are awesome, home start, Cardinal offense not as good as last year, thinks Lynn will get pummelled giving Stroman good chance at win.

  75. Filkarri says:
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    SON doesn’t like Gray against Baltimore, and as good as he’s been, that lineup scares me. Should I be sitting him?

  76. kandeepan says:
    (link)

    Hi,

    Why is Josh Collmenter not a good play in the stream-o-nator against Houston tomorrow?

  77. Five-On-One says:
    (link)

    Hi – Two questions, one specific and noe more general.

    1) Why is Iwakuma so low this week against KC ($2.2)? He has been phenominal for the past two years and KC isn’t exactly an offensive powerhouse. Not sure I get this one. My other options (Roark at $7.9 and Minor at $7.8) are okay, but I view Iwakum as an every week kind of guy, or at least I did until I saw the $2.2 value next to his name.

    2) Is there a SON value at which a team might be better off starting a middle reliever for the week? For ease of calculations, one that might get something like 3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H+W, 3 K’s?

    Thanks.

    • @Five-On-One: His ROS projections look okay so it’s not a case where Steamer hates him. But he’s on the road against a solid offense, has a mediocre K-rate, is due for BABIP regression, and it’s not a great W opp facing Shields (and with the Mariners offense). I like the Roark and Minor starts better.

  78. Todd says:
    (link)

    Jered Weaver (LAA) is pitching today 6/21 against Nick Martinez (TEX) instead of on 6/22 against Darvish like listed. How does this change things today in the Streamonator? Will Weaver fare better today?

  79. Todd says:
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    Also looks like Colorado has changed pitchers today (6/21). They will be putting Christian Friedrich (L) on the mound instead of Juan Nicasio (R).

    • @Todd: no time for another update. way too many morning changes. figure both pitchers would get hit hard w/ the milwaukee RH-hitters up a few more $.

  80. Jimmy Bond says:
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    I think you are missing a samardzija start for this week? ESPN has him starting on June 28 vs WSH in the afternoon game (first part of doubleheader)

    • Jimmy Bond says:
      (link)

      @Jimmy Bond: PS looking back I don’t want to be the guy always harping on Samardzija issues, just happen to be setting my lineup and he’s one of the best I have!

    • @Jimmy Bond: I can’t predict doubleheader SPs more than a week in advance. Samardzija is in there now as 6/28.

  81. Paul says:
    (link)

    Rudy or anyone else,
    Have you been having success with Streamonator this season? I’m considering trading off two starters to fill offensive holes for second half push and filling the SPs with streamers.
    Thanks for the tool!

    • I’ve had some success this year. I think Grey has had more than me though.

  82. Jimmy Bond says:
    (link)

    quick adjustments – Zimmermann start is July 6, not July 5, and Samardzija start July 5 is missing. Both these according to ESPN probably pitcher.

    Don’t mean to clog the comments with this if there is a better way to report it I’d be happy to know! Thanks again for the stats.

      • Jimmy Bond says:
        (link)

        @Rudy Gamble: Samardzija again – now that he’s enroute to Oakland he isn’t playing today vs WAS/Gonzalez. Some reports have him vs Jays tomorrow, Sunday. How would that matchup look? Thx.

        • sorry – wasn’t checking in this weekend as i’m still in baby zone.

  83. Lipson says:
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    1. Smyly you’re dead to me

    2. I think it’s time to purge the comments again

    • @Lipson: tough one with smyly. Lucky for me that grey fell on that grenade in the RCL expert league. Got a solid stream from bolsinger instead

  84. James Alesi says:
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    Is there an API for your site?

    Thanks,
    -Jamie

    • No, we don’t have an API. Appreciate that you think we’re big enough to be supporting APIs.

  85. Pingback: IDP, 2014 Fantasy Football

  86. IUPAC says:
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    Fister starting today for WAS, w/the rainout

  87. jc says:
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    Thoughts on Masterson on 7/12?

    • you mean McAllister (Masterson on DL). would only consider McAllister for AL-only.

      • jc says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        My bad, I think i was looking at the data from yesterday showing his value was around $15 for the Friday start. Obviously doesn’t matter since he’s on the DL now, but I was more curious about how much weight was being placed on his recent struggles, or whether Chicago’s offense is bad enough to outweigh those struggles.

        Regardless I love the Stream-o-nator!

        • @jc: Masterson is a complete mystery. He’s performing way below expectations and an injury is something that can’t be factored into the projections. The projections use in-season data as a component but are not set up to correct for injury-created declines.

  88. Jamie says:
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    What was your take on Hammel against SF last night? Can’t go back in time to check and I wish to know if you were wiser than I and recommended not to start him :-)

    • @Jamie: SON had him as a $9 start. It had Cain at $9 as well. Both of their starts were comparable. Hammel just needed some of those ground balls to be hit at his fielders. I would’ve started him in all formats given it was @SF (so no DH and pitcher’s park)

  89. Jamie says:
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    I would have thought so too. He walked too many guys – killed my WHIP. I had Cain on my team – no longer trust him.

  90. Lipson says:
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    Hahn and Sanchez in the $5 range, do I sit or start?

    • @Lipson: Assuming 12 team mixed, i’d keep Hahn benched. i’m benching him on my RCL team FWIW (http://games.espn.go.com/flb/clubhouse?leagueId=2593&teamId=2&seasonId=2014). no reason to go with $5 starts unless it’s September and you’re well below pace.

      Anibal is a tougher call b/c he has some semblance of Win upside vs Hahn (@LAD). He’s @KC against Duffy who, while I like him in general – has an awful matchup with Detroit’s offense. Seriously, does Detroit have any lefty hitters? Miggy, Torii, Kinsler, the resurgent JD Martinez, Rajai….(V-Mart is a switch-hitter)? So I can see Anibal putting up a mediocre start and still nabbing a Verlander-style win. Push comes to shove…probably sit Anibal but it’s more a coin flip.

      • Lipson says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: Boom! Thanks for the analysis Rudy. I sat Eovaldi and Chavez last week due to lower rating and both put up quite the opposite. I will sit them just because I have the luxury of doing so right now.

        • @Lipson: Yeah, Eovladi got lucky @ARI. 7 IP with 2 Ks on the road in a hitter’s park isn’t going to lead to many quality starts. Chavez at home vs SF was a sonovabench for sure (interleague games always a little tricky).

  91. Sons of Liberty says:
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    Mike Minor $21 on the first day after the break. Is this the same Mike Minor who has pitched so horribly for the Braves this year? I realize that numbers are numbers but does this seem reliable to you or is it kind of an outlier?

    I have used Stream-O-Nator throughout the year with great success. I appreciate all the work that goes into this valuable resource.

    Thanks

    • @Sons of Liberty: I see $19 for his start against MIA vs $21 – maybe it shifted in the last data update. Minor is tough to figure out. Having a rough go of it w/ BABIP and HR rate of late (http://razzball.com/player/10021/Mike+Minor/#seasongs). Hard to know if that’s a fluke or not (generally it is) but I’d venture on the safe side and wait a start or two before starting him.

  92. Charles says:
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    I’m a strong follower of SON. Just had to ask why Liriano is at $16.4 vs the Rockies on 7/18 given how he’s been having terrible control issues all year (6 walks in 4 innings in his last start vs the Reds). And that Rockies lineup is much better than the Reds.

    • @Charles: PNC is a pitcher’s park. The Rockies are a bad road hitting team (bottom third in MLB). The Reds game you are referring to was at Cincy – most pitchers worse on road vs home (especialy when you are comparing a hitter’s park vs pitcher’s park). That start vs Cincy was Liriano’s first off the DL (http://razzball.com/player/3201/Francisco+Liriano/#seasongs). Hard to gauge if he’ll have the same wildness this time out but I stand by the $16 valuation.

  93. Mike says:
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    Hey Rudy,

    I love the SON. I use it both find streamers and set my lineup for a weekly H2H league. It appears that the games on 7/24 are missing for all teams.

    Thanks for all your help.

    • Thanks. Always good to hear from a happy SON user.

      Talking w/ my feed provider about 7/24 probable starters. I expect this will all be resolved by tomorrow morning at the latest.

  94. Lipson says:
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    Eovaldi hasnt been rated highly in weeks. Is he done for? Or just poor matchups?

    • @Lipson: He’s been a $4 pitcher so far and projected at -$2 for ROS. His K-rate is very mediocre (6ish K/9) and Steamer is skeptical he can maintain his huge BB/9 gain (which has led to a solid WHIP). I don’t expect $10+ streams unless it’s a great matchup (Padres?)

  95. Lipson says:
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    According to Yahoo, Alex Wood is starting tomorrow vs. PHL

    • @Lipson: that could be the case. MLB still doesn’t have an official starter listed. If Wood, this should be corrected with tomorrow’s update.

  96. Q says:
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    SON is, understandably, wonky coming out of the break. E.g. Lists 1 start for fister who has 2, 2 for Kennedy and Alex wood who have 1.

    Wondering if and when this will be updated (will update in daily or in “next week” as well?) or if I’m–gulp–on my own.

    • @Q: next 7 days is ok. Next Saturday should be good tomorrow. Next Sunday on Monday

  97. Big James Ain't says:
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    Damn. SON still hating on Garrett

  98. Jamie says:
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    Again I have to ask what you valued Hammel at for yesterday’s start. Forgot to check, he blew up on me. I also left Kluber on the bench vs Detroit and, well, strike two.

    • Hammel was at $10.9 so was a solid bet. Mainly b/c it was a home game @OAK. If that start was in BAL, might be a 0.

      • Jamie says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        What did you have Kluber valued as vs. Detroit? Left him on the bench and paid the price.

        Is there a way to see retrospective values so I don’t have to keep bothering you? :-)

        • @Jamie: Kluber was only at $6.9 as the start was @DET and against Scherzer (depresses Win expectancy). I don’t publish previous SON $ estimates but will think about how to do it. I have an idea.

  99. Aaron says:
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    Nice call with DeGrom tonight.

  100. Jamie says:
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    What’s up with Minor?

    Also, Iwakuma’s start has been pushed back. Taijuan Walker is starting tonight.

  101. Lipson says:
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    Are we trusting Minor on Sunday?

    • @Lipson: Against the Padres + Eric Stults. Hell yeah. I started Kyle Hendricks earlier this week b/c this matchup is so sweet. I would’ve streamed Wada yesterday if 1) I had an extra spot on my RCL team, 2) Kennedy was a stronger opposing pitcher which cut into win expectancy, and 3) SON liked Liriano much better at home vs LAD and I stuck w/ it. Worked out well :)

    • Jamie says:
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      @Lipson: @Lipson:
      Not any further than I can punt him.

  102. Charles says:
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    Why is Kluber rated so low today @ KC? SON has him at $4.7. Is it because of his “almost” complete game last week and high pitch count?

    • @Charles: I looked into it. SON generally likes Kluber. Everything equal – he’s a $13 pitcher. The Royals are an above average offense against RHP and the game is on the road. Both are negatives (despite Kluber’s strong road FIP in 2014). KC is about average as a park for runs and hits (101/102 index). The ratios still feel a little high to me. But the most interesting part is that SON/Steamer have the Royals as a very hard team to K as an RHP. The reduction in K’s probably accounts for something like $4 off Kluber’s value. I checked it out on FanGraphs and this isn’t a fluke – they are by far the toughest team to strike out as an RHP:

      http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2014&month=14&season1=2014&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=4,d

      If I had Kluber in 12-team, I’d run him out there @KC. But I’d expect lower than his season average on K’s.

  103. Baezaworldseries says:
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    Sunday Vidal Nuno is at 13.1 vs the Phil’s. Is that accurate? I always thought of him as a terrible play against any team that has 9 hitters in the line up.

  104. Jamie says:
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    The Phillies have at most two hitters in their lineup at any given time.

    • Baezaworldseries says:
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      @Jamie: Fine. Nine guys(or girls) who can shoulder a bat.

      • @Baezaworldseries: I’m a bit surprised by such a high score for an away game for a mediocre pitcher. Biggest variable here is that the Phillies are awful against LHP. I’m streaming Miley in 12-team for that reason but holding off on Nuno. Contemplating him for 15-team though (did that with W.Y. Chen and Phil Hughes last night – one for two :))

        • Baezaworldseries says:
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          @Rudy Gamble: I’m going for it! Believe in SON!!!!

  105. Lipson says:
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    I was excited to see Hahn get called back. That I got a sad when I saw his SON rating vs. the Braves tonight

  106. Big James Ain't says:
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    Ouch. Travis Wood above Richards today. SON just does not like the kid from LA

    • @Big James Ain’t: yeah, i think Richards has outperformed his SON as much as anyone this side of Sonny Gray. Note that a start @BAL for Richards is much harder than a home start against COL.

  107. Lipson says:
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    Can’t decide where to sit or start Wood and Hahn. 12 team mixed. Thoughts??

  108. can't fight fate says:
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    Any reason why Chris Young is so low?

    • @can’t fight fate: he’s such an anomaly. everything about his peripherals is awful. 5.6 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 is putrid. Skating by on a .215 BABIP that’s not sustainable. so he’s awful according to Hittertron’s reason though he’s performed well based on faith in giraffes.

      • can't fight fate says:
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        @Rudy Gamble: I would buy that explanation if we were a month into the season, which we are not.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @can’t fight fate: Wood, Travis circa 2013. It happens. Doesn’t mean he’s pitching well at all, just means he’s getting the right matchups and it’s working out right. Don’t be surprised if he gets lit up tonight. His stats on the road vs home are drastic and his stats vs lefties on the road extremely bad. Cleveland has 7 lefties in the lineup today. HR or 2 could be in the works along with a short outing.

        • The same logic applies. His ERA is 1.80 lower than his FIP. Unsustainable

  109. Adam Jonesin says:
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    Hey Rudy,
    Are you confident at all in Eovaldi’s $12.6 vs CIN on 8/2? I was really surprised to see him over $8, given his recent struggles.

    • @Adam Jonesin: Streamonator has no respect for Cincy’s lineup right now and it’s admittedly crappy. Add in a home start in a pitcher’s park and this is a solid sneaky stream.

  110. Q says:
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    SON has Alex Wood listed for 2 starts next week. Braves only have 5 games. Do we know that someone is getting skipped or is there a doubleheader I’m missing?

    Also, I know this is an HT question, but I cut Shin Soo Choo. He’s been terrible, despite HT generally liking him vs righties. Do you think HT is right and he’ll bounce back or does it not see what we see this year vs. past years?

    Thanks! (How bout this Polar Vortex down here, eh? Wore a hoodie this morning!)

    • @Q: The farther out you go, the more unreliable the probable pitcher assignment. Whenever it’s 8-10 days in advance, it is based on some logic I put together that assumes 4 days rest for every pitcher (i think it ignores Thursday if it’s an offday). So, in this case, it is skipping Mike Minor because Atlanta is off next Monday as well as Thursday. I think smart money is that they just give everyone a day off and all the Braves pitchers get one start next week.

  111. FRANK says:
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    Josh Tomlin last night and Danny Salazar a $19.2 and the #2 rated pitcher on night tonite ? Really ?

    Sorry but Reds still a major league team ……

    • @FRANK:
      Here are the last 9 starts against Cincinnati. You’re right that Tomlin and Salazar didn’t work out. Jacob Turner was awful as well. But Eovaldi had two great starts plus Koehler and Miley each had one. If you streamed all of these (can’t count Kluber), SON would’ve guessed a $10 average and you would’ve received $2. You remove the Jacob Turner start, both are at around $11.

      The Reds lineup does suck right now. But I agree with you that I’m not convinced it sucks enough to value Josh Tomlin at $17 or Salazar at $19 on the road. At least for Salazar, that has a lot to do w/ Steamer loving him.

      Name Team Date Opponent $_Streamonator $_Actual
      Wade Miley ARI Jul 30 at CIN 12.8 23.2
      Tom Koehler MIA Jul 31 CIN 8.0 27.0
      Nathan Eovaldi MIA Aug 2 CIN 11.4 33.1
      Jacob Turner MIA Aug 3 CIN 7.5 -59.2
      Corey Kluber CLE Aug 4 CIN 26.6 50.7
      Josh Tomlin CLE Aug 5 CIN 17.5 -38.9
      Danny Salazar CLE Aug 6 at CIN 19.2 -24.2
      T.J. House CLE Aug 7 at CIN 3.0 -10.8
      Nathan Eovaldi MIA Aug 8 at CIN 8.0 66.9

  112. Charles says:
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    Please chill out with the scores vs SD. They are no longer a team you can stream against. They have been one of the top scoring teams ever since the ASB.

    • Charles says:
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      @Charles: yes I did use SON and got burned. Three times now with A Wood, Liriano and now Morton.

    • The padres offense is one of the worst an PiT is a pitcher’s park. Worley was a great stream ($56), Liriano was a very good stream ($21) and PIT offense fluke against Stults cost him a win. Morton was one big hit away from a quality stream (still only 6 base runners in 5 IP).

      Alex Wood start was bad. Anomaly. Wainwright has two sucky recent starts too. Shit happens.

      Odds are that SD offense will suck most of time – particularly in pitcher parks. SON plays the odds. If u want to base decisions on momentum or truly believe SD is a solid offense, agree to disagree with SON.

      • Charles says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:
        Thanks for the follow up Rudy and I mean no disrespect to your work. Still following SON as my default site to use streamers. Was just bummed out that I am 0 – 3 against SD and I had three quality pitchers that I thought would have been a hit. Keep up the good work.

  113. Ryan says:
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    I’ve noticed that the projected matchups have been a little delayed in getting updated. This morning I’ve found that Quintana (should be @ SF) and Tillman (should be vs NYY) are both off. Just a general observation, and this is probably the biggest suggestion in regards to perfecting the tool. Thanks for all the hlp

    • streamonator hasn’t been updated this morning. just updating now.

  114. Rick says:
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    Hi Rudy. SON has been terrific for me in the second half. I don’t know if I just changed how I use it (a possibility) or it just has enough data to produce better results. Either way, thank you once again for a great tool. My question is: is it just me or is there no link to the OMBOTSMAN? It’s a tool I use and enjoy checking occasionally, and I keep forgetting it’s name and have to go looking for it. Thx.

    • Thanks Rick. It has been a good 30 days or so for SON users as pitchers in the $7-14 range are over performing projections thanks to a higher than expected percentage of great starts ($28+). There are links to Ombotsman in the notes below SoN. Will add to the main menu soon.

  115. Brian Blacklow says:
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    Just curious why the SON has Jesse Hahn ranked so low for tonight’s start. The walk rate? I guess I’ll bench him, but I can’t really figure out why SON hates tonight’s start so much. Anyone have any reasoning behind it?

    • @Brian Blacklow: I agree. While I dropped Hahn in RCL, this still feels like it should be higher. STL offense not too scary. But Hahn’s success isn’t very sustainable from a BABIP standpoint, his BB rate is poor, and his K’s have been just okay since his first couple starts. I’d pass on this start in shallow leagues. I am streaming Shelby though (won w/ Lynn yesterday).

      • Brian says:
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        Thanks. Makes me wonder if I should start him in my NL Only league. I can use wins, but I also can quickly slip in WHIP.

  116. Lipson says:
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    Thanks Dan Haren. Super job.

  117. Mike says:
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    Normally on Monday morning, the entire upcoming week is on the SON. Today, starts for Sun 8/24 are missing.

    • @Mike: good catch. just checked and sunday’s probable starters weren’t in this morning’s feed. working to get this addressed today.

  118. ERad says:
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    So per SON – I’m trotting out Lackey today – any additional insight as to why SON is so high on him, especially against the Reds?

    • @ERad: While the Reds lineup is slowly getting healthy (Phillips back today, Bruce healthy again, though Frazier is questionable), they have one huge flaw w/ Votto out of the lineup. OBP. They are tied for 3rd worst OBP against RHP this year (.301) and that includes a partial .400 OBP season from Votto. That’s a boon for Lackey’s ratios. Throw in that the start is at home in a relative pitcher’s park and it’s a solid matchup. $20+ seems a bit high to me but I grabbed Lackey in RCL right after the trade and view him as a keeper in 12-team mixed (vs. a streamer).

  119. ERad says:
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    Got another Q for ya

    You steered me in the right direction with Lackey – so now about Gio Gonzalez. Grey says to drop him, but I just can’t quit him yet. Great $ value today – are you buying?

    • @ERad: I don’t have much of an opinion on Gio in general but he’s got two straight good matchups. ARI at home is a great one and @PHI is a good one. I’d buy/hold him for next 2 starts.

      • ERad says:
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        @Rudy Gamble:

        Much appreciated – thanks for all the work you guys do.

  120. Justin Lipson says:
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    We feeling good about Minor as of late?

    • @Justin Lipson: I like the 7Ks in each of the last two outings but not loving his HR-itis given this start is at Cincinnati. Feels like this is a riskier play than I’d like for a $13 stream.

  121. Spammer Jay says:
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    Yo Streamonator! Great call on Smyly today….. you robotic bastard.

    • @Spammer Jay: sorry for the missed stream or sonovabench. smyly on the road against a team w/ two elite RH hitters in Toronto isn’t the normal formula for a shutout. SON highly favored Stroman/Jays in that matchup. Guess that’s why they play the games…

  122. Justin Lipson says:
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    Minor is a must stream against the Mets, right?

    Especially after surviving Cincy?

  123. ERad says:
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    Drew Pomeranz with the spot start tomorrow @HOU

  124. BringDaRuckus says:
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    Would you rank Marco Gonzalez where you have Lyons since he’s starting today in place Lyons??

    Keep up the awesome work!!

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