Fo’ Shoppach
September 18, 2008
Category: 2009 Keepers, Buy Low, Sell High
Your man, Grey, loves a piece of cheap tail like Ice Cube loves a nappy dugout. (In fact, I might love cheap tail more. This is totally debatable between Ice Cube and I. Anytime you want to grab a podium, Cube, and go word for word. Bring. It.) If you’re in a keeper league (or any league for that matter), you probably got Shoppach for the price of a Capri Sun with a missing straw, but you’re probably thinking, “Well, this year was nice. How about I dunk him back into the free agent pool cause he’s a catcher and a fluky one at that?” Yo, check yo’self before ya wreck yo’self, fool. “So you’re saying Shoppach’s a dream keeper?” Nah, this shizz is neither black nor white. It’s Grey, son. This year isn’t as fluky as you might think. In his last full year of Triple-A, Shoppach showed power hitting 26 home runs. His current .270 average is a bit fluky though. That will come down a bit and with Victor Martinez lurking on the team, Shoppach could be the recipient of a quick hook in ‘09. All of this portends to less value for Shoppach. Not to mention, keeping catchers is a risky and not usually a fruitful exercise. So why keep Shoppach? Because a $1 catcher who could easily hit 20 HRs is a bargain, no matter how you slice your keeper pie. Anyway, here’s some more keepers to keep and not keep for next season:
KEEP
Nate McLouth - Was not a Hirame (that’s a whitefish in a sushi bar, usually fluke). McLouth is a solid bet next year for 20/20/.270. We shall call him, Lastings McHunter.
Chad Billingsley - (<–Early 2009 Cy Young pick. Then again I picked Bedard and Peavy for this year. Hmmm… Anyway!) Billingsley has about a K/IP, he’s cut his walks, he plays in a cavernous caverny cavern thing, he plays a majority of his games against the Padres, Giants and the Diamondhacks, his team should provide offense for wins, he’s going into his third year in ‘09 which is usually the time starters come into their own and he’s only going to be 24 at the start of 2009. Holy heffin’ hey! I will be gushing further this offseason, but right now I have to change my sock.
DON’T KEEP
Jose Valverde - As with anything in fantasy baseball, there’s a time and a place for anything. Is there a time and a place to keep Valverde? Perhaps. I’m having a hard time deciding when that time and place would be. If your other choices are Willy Aybar and Freddy Sanchez? Then, yeah, I keep this schmohawk. If you think keeping a closer who could explode at any moment is a good move, then I got a $400 million dollar bridge to sell you.
James Loney - In the preseason, I was briefly excited about this schmohawk. Why? I haven’t the foggiest. Maybe when I go over my 2009 predictions in the offseason someone can say, “Hey, Grey, Mark Grace looks at Loney and says Loney looks a lot like me, but with less power. And that’s me reminding you!” (BTW, The Hardball Times took a look back at first basemen and used our rankings to compare and contrast. Color me awesome. We will also be taking a look back in the offseason to compare and contrast ourselves against ourselves. Will the mirror be kind? Stay tuned…)
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Tags: Chad Billingsley, James Loney, Jose Valverde, Kelly Shoppach, Nate McLouth
September 18th, 2008 at 11:32 am
@Grey: I thought Giambi gets to more like six balls a month, not a game.
Saito lost Kershaw’s victory, the bastard. I wonder why Torre hooked Kershaw after only 86 pitches when he was rolling.
@Shogun: Ugh, I really needed that win too.
re: Why? — Cause Kershaw’s probably on a rookie pitch count
September 18th, 2008 at 11:39 am
@Grey: You’re probably right re: the pitch count. That’s going to hurt his streamer value the rest of the way.
September 18th, 2008 at 11:58 am
@Grey: Arrgh. Wade cost Saito a vulture win. No luck for the Shogun today.
September 18th, 2008 at 12:00 pm
I had streamed Kershaw. Nice of Torre to pull him after 86 pitches so Saito could blow the win. If Capps gets a save out of this, I’ll be doubly pissed, as my opponent has him. At least I have McLouth and Kemp.
@Shogun: I’d hope for a Broxton vulture win but doesn’t seem that likely since the Pirates are the home team.
@Crafty35a: Kemp just made an awful call by trying to steal third with two outs and a pinch hitter up to bat.
September 18th, 2008 at 12:09 pm
@Grey@Crafty35a: What was it my little league coach told me? Never make the third out at third base? Yeah, that was it. Sheesh.
September 18th, 2008 at 12:12 pm
@Gray:Just what I needed — another excuse for Torre to play Juan Pierre.
September 18th, 2008 at 12:14 pm
On fantasy related stuff, I dropped Ludwick today for Winn. I’d had Ludwick on my bench since he got cold and was getting frustrated by his lack of production. He’s streaky, but I expect to get more from Winn the rest of the year. Too reactionary?
September 18th, 2008 at 12:15 pm
Aviles with a three run jack! He’s gotten hot again at just the right time.
September 18th, 2008 at 12:18 pm
@Shogun: Unbelievable — He’s against me this week.
September 18th, 2008 at 12:22 pm
@Crafty35a: Rough. He had been having a very rough stretch until the past week or so.
September 18th, 2008 at 12:27 pm
@Shogun: Yea, I actually owned him for a while. Dropped him because I was in need of more power. Ha!
September 18th, 2008 at 12:29 pm
@Crafty35a: Damn. I didn’t expect this hot streak either. I thought he was in the process of regressing. Who did you pick up?
September 18th, 2008 at 12:32 pm
Despite his being limited to 86 pitches this week, Kershaw’s one start next week at home against the Padres should yield excellent results, right? I figure he’ll walk Giles once or twice, give up a few singles, maybe a double, and strike out at least 7. Man it’s a great time to be a Padres fan!
September 18th, 2008 at 12:32 pm
Pickup Josh Johnson for Kazmir?
September 18th, 2008 at 12:39 pm
@Shogun: I’ve been alternating between Drew and Tulowitzki with decent results. B. Wood for the last two days, back to Tulo tomorrow.
September 18th, 2008 at 12:47 pm
@Crafty35a: Has Tulo picked it up? Admittedly I had written him off a while back and stopped following his numbers. But he seems like a sleeper candidate for 2009.
September 18th, 2008 at 1:03 pm
Have I mentioned how terrible it is to have your opponent get two steals from his catcher in the first four days of a finals matchup? Thankfully I led the league in steals all year, but I have some catching up to do.
September 18th, 2008 at 1:11 pm
@Shogun: .317/.385/.360 since the break. He’s at the top of my sleeper list — 21 walks against just 27 strikeouts in that time.
September 18th, 2008 at 1:15 pm
Wow, not bad. I’m definitely going to consider him next year. And I’m not going to overvalue Phillips and BJ Upton at 2B (if Upton is even 2B eligible) like I did this year. I overpaid for mediocre results from both those guys.
September 18th, 2008 at 1:38 pm
@Crafty35a: I concur re: Tulo. His struggles early on seemed to be luck based. In March/April he had a LD% over 18 but his BABIP was an anemic .172. I went to a few games that month (LAD and SD) and every time he hit the ball hard it seemed to be directly at a fielder. Also, his HR/FB rate was really low (I’m too lazy to go back to the fangraphs page, but believe me). That chunk of crappy luck should cause him to be available later in the draft than he should be.
September 18th, 2008 at 1:49 pm
Greinke threw a helluva game today. He’s been a lot better than I had expected during the second half. He’s another possible sleeper next year, though I don’t know whether his “breakout” upside is as high as some other sleepers.
September 18th, 2008 at 1:49 pm
In my keeper league, we get a certain number of players above 100 in the detestable Y! ranks. My above 100 guys of interest right now are Crawf, Kazmir, Harang, Tulo, Gallardo, Marmol (it’s a holds league), Capps (bounceback?), Pence, Shoppach, Dukes, and Krispy (I don’t know why I love him so much, as he’s done nothing but spurn me… but my mancrush forces me to include him in this sentence). I’m ranking them Crawf, Kaz, Harang, Tulo, Shoppach, Gallardo, Capps, Pence, Krispy, Marmol, Dukes. I think going by Y! ranks is stupid stupid, but I feel like with Kaz and Crawf above 100, they probably benefit me the most.
September 18th, 2008 at 2:04 pm
@Grey: Nice late-night call on Teahen. 3/3 with a Run, an RBI and an SB.
September 18th, 2008 at 2:14 pm
Torii Hunter stole home. WTF?
September 18th, 2008 at 2:20 pm
Salomon Torres is just absolutely murdering me. Four runs in a non-save situation.
September 18th, 2008 at 2:47 pm
Grey, could you work this into your next entry?
http://deadspin.com/5051838/possibly-the-most-disturbing-baseball-hazing-photo-youll-ever-see
September 18th, 2008 at 2:54 pm
@Shogun: that’s funny, I was just about to post this: http://www.myfoxcolorado.com/myfox/pages/Home/Detail;jsessionid=4752E5DEE11A5F68129BF1E2CA72A741?contentId=7460329&version=4&locale=EN-US&layoutCode=TSTY&pageId=1.1.1&sflg=1
Maybe all this cross-dressing will help the Padres become the new Red Sox!
http://deadspin.com/5048347/the-papelbon-dirty-dancing-videos-are-here-oh-man
September 18th, 2008 at 3:33 pm
Screw you, K-Rod. Gets a save for my opponent, while blowing out my Arredondo’s ERA.
Sheesh.
September 18th, 2008 at 3:41 pm
@Grey: Things have gone seriously downhill for Gary Coleman since you called him out in that ER:
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/entertainment/news/article.cfm?c_id=1501119&objectid=10533060
September 18th, 2008 at 3:50 pm
@Steve: Just came from my local bookstore. No James Ellroy sad to say.
They did have some interesting tomes on frog-gigging and how to build monster trucks.
********First, sorry, I was out at some meetings today. Sorry, if I missed anything. I’m glad you guys were able to amuse yourselves though. Well done.
@Shogun: I don’t think dropping Ludwick is too reactionary. I’m benching him in one league for CarGo.
re: Aviles - Yeah, he’s been money.
@royce!: I’m going with Kershaw in a few leagues for next week. Fo’shaw!
@Shogun: I’d go with Johnson over Kazmir. The Rays will be thinking about the playoffs next week.
re: that pic — I wish they had the Chicken in panties too.
@cubbies299: I’d rank them — Crawf, Kaz, Harang, Tulo, Krispy, Gallardo (health is a big issue, but he’s supposed to be back any day now), Pence, Shoppach, Capps, Marmol (if he gets the closer job, this changes), Dukes.
@Steve: Nice on Teahen.
Gary Coleman’s making headlines in NZ? Is he a big celebrity there still? Also, weren’t we just talking about bowling? Ha!
@royce!: Papelbon thing is great.
@BigFatHippo: Do they not Amazon.com in The Bootheel?
***If I missed anyone, just repost your question. Word.
BTW –
http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/V/Edinson-Volquez.shtml
September 18th, 2008 at 5:56 pm
@Grey: I don’t think Gary Coleman is a big celebrity anywhere!
Boom-tish!
September 18th, 2008 at 6:02 pm
@Grey: Thanks.
@royce!: Hilarious! I knew Pap was a cross-dresser!
@Steve: Ha!
September 18th, 2008 at 6:15 pm
@Grey: I couldn’t type it fast enough.
September 18th, 2008 at 7:12 pm
Maybin’s 4-4 so far tonight, though all are singles. Think he’ll stick around in center, or will Amezaga just move back there when Hanley returns?
Interesting fact re: Maybin- had his first hit, homer, stolen base, and HBP all against Clemens. Not interesting for fantasy purposes, but still.
@royce!: I say he gets maybe four to five starts the rest of the way. I think the real exciting thing will be for keeper leagues, if the Marlins go with him next year.
That is interesting.
EDIT: Typo, boyz!
September 18th, 2008 at 7:30 pm
@Grey: Damn Skippy they Amazon.com in the bootheel.
But you have to climb that pole and call Margaret. I ain’t climbin that pole again.
@BigFatHippo: Can’t Margaret just put some masking tape on her Solo cup so the ‘phone’ is working again.
September 18th, 2008 at 7:39 pm
@Grey: Come on man, don’t you know we fix EVERYTHING with duct tape down here?
Masking tape is for sissies.
*****Lincecum just took a fastball off his fingers as he was trying to bunt. Hopefully, he’s okay.
@Grey: Chill, Grey!
***It looks like he’s okay. There will be more on this, I’m sure.
September 18th, 2008 at 7:44 pm
Too bad for the Giants, who are planning to switch up the rotation in order to give Lincecum two more starts instead of one, presumably in order to make a run for the NL West. http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/sfgate/detail?blogid=22&entry_id=30478 (via rotoprofessor.com)
@royce!: Probably for a combined 275 pitches in those two starts. They’re going to need Sandoval to carry his arm to spring training next year.
September 18th, 2008 at 7:58 pm
Maybe Lincecum is just different: http://www.fantasybaseballgenerals.com/2008/09/tim-lincecum-and-pitch-counts.html
Being born in the same town as Lincecum, I like this idea, b/c it promotes Northwest exceptionalism.
September 18th, 2008 at 8:01 pm
Torres just slayed me tonight. is now the time to drop every Milwaukee player? No Octoberfest for Brewers this year, methinks
September 18th, 2008 at 8:08 pm
grey, cameron maybin 4-4 today to bolster his average to .833. Best of his career. Now not only does the d train trade look bad but for the first time in baseball if he doesnt become a stud, people can ask “what may have been” with his talent. Pun
@royce!: “Northwest exceptionalism” — I think I dated a girl that suffered from that.
@sam: Yeah, they should put him and Corey Hart on a slow boat to China.
@Martin: Hehe
September 18th, 2008 at 11:14 pm
@Grey: Yeah, I think having lived elsewhere for 9 of the last 10 years has mostly cured me of it, fortunately. But every time Lincecum takes the mound it rears its ugly head! Somehow it manages to remain tame when the Mariners take the field…
@royce!: I imagine Zito does nothing for you either.