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It’s all about the value. In the preseason, it’s about the risk vs. the reward in finding value. You know, good ol’ ROI. For instance, this year if you wanted to take a gamble on a massively hyped rookie destined for great things, it may have cost you a fifth round selection. Which rookie? Corey Seager (and maybe even earlier in some drafts, especially those around the LA area). Seager exploded onto the scene late last summer after dominating the minors for the Dodgers. Has he failed to bring a net positive ROI from that fifth-round valuation? Of course not. Check out his line to date: .307/66/17/47/1. He’s topping his projections, universally owned and helping fantasy teams climb atop the leaderboard. But who am I kidding…it’s just a waste of space to talk more about Corey Seager. You’re not picking him up. And you’re overpaying to trade for him. So, instead, why not go for the guy that’s Corey Seager Lite (spelling intended…you’ll see…)? On pace for a .260/70/22/60/8 mark, this week’s Creeper of the Week is just waiting to boost your MI, SS in a bind, or OF due to injuries.

  • Brad Miller, SS/OF (20.1% owned) – I’ve seriously almost highlighted him about five different times this season. Rather than overpay for the hype of a SS like Seager, I typically wait until the final few rounds to take a SS I think can provide similar value (especially in the OPS category). The past three years it’s been Brad Miller. And even this year, it’s led to me finding a new SS about three weeks in, haha. Miller was atrocious to start the year, hitting just .185 through April. Since then he’s posted consistently strong numbers the across every month would land him with a .270/85/25/70/10 tally. That line compared to his current mark seems to have a wide gap, but it’s not that far off the pace. Miller’s rebounded exceptionally well, yet is still overwhelmingly under-owned. He’s a perfect MI candidate that can move into your OF if needed. Missed on Seager? Me too, but I landed on my feet with Miller giving me 80% of his production at 20% of his cost. Now that math is a guess. Don’t quote me on it. The math you can quote me on: he’s hitting .326 coming out of the break. A .226 ISO is hard to find at SS. Miller’s a great option rest of the season and as a cheap target in next year’s draft. Miller is the Lite version of Seager.

Now, enough creepin’…Here are the Top 100 Hitters for Week 18!

Note: These rankings are considered ROS trade value.

RED = Falling
GREEN = Rising
BLUE = New to the 100

Rank Name Pos Team
1 Mike Trout OF LAA
2 Jose Altuve 2B HOU
3 Paul Goldschmidt 1B ARI
4 Mookie Betts OF BOS
5 Manny Machado 3B/SS BAL
6 Josh Donaldson 3B TOR
7 Anthony Rizzo 1B CHC
8 Edwin Encarnacion 1B TOR
9 Kris Bryant 3B/OF CHC
10 David Ortiz DH BOS
11 Nolan Arenado 3B COL
12 Ian Desmond SS/OF TEX
13 Bryce Harper OF WAS
14 Carlos Gonzalez OF COL
15 Xander Bogaerts SS BOS
16 Robinson Cano 2B SEA
17 Charlie Blackmon OF COL
18 Giancarlo Stanton OF MIA
19 Starling Marte OF PIT
20 Nelson Cruz OF SEA
21 Corey Seager SS LAD
22 George Springer OF HOU
23 Yoenis Cespedes OF NYM
24 Miguel Cabrera 1B DET
25 Carlos Correa SS HOU
26 Eric Hosmer 1B KC
27 Adam Jones OF BAL
28 Daniel Murphy 2B/3B WAS
29 Francisco Lindor SS CLE
30 Jose Bautista OF TOR
31 Mark Trumbo OF BAL
32 Gregory Polanco OF PIT
33 Joey Votto 1B CIN
34 Ian Kinsler 2B DET
35 Wil Myers 1B/OF SD
36 Rougned Odor 2B TEX
37 Chris Davis 1B/OF BAL
38 Kyle Seager 3B SEA
39 Jackie Bradley Jr. OF BOS
40 Jay Bruce OF CIN
41 Jonathan Schoop 2B BAL
42 Jonathan Villar SS MIL
43 Buster Posey C/1B SF
44 Victor Martinez DH DET
45 Trevor Story SS COL
46 Jose Abreu 1B CWS
47 Jake Lamb 3B ARI
48 Brian Dozier 2B MIN
49 Freddie Freeman 1B ATL
50 Marcell Ozuna OF MIA
51 Ryan Braun OF MIL
52 Lorenzo Cain OF KC
53 Jason Kipnis 2B CLE
54 Christian Yelich OF MIA
55 Andrew McCutchen OF PIT
56 Hunter Pence OF SF
57 Justin Turner 3B LAD
58 DJ LeMahieu 2B COL
59 Albert Pujols 1B LAA
60 Brandon Belt 1B SF
61 Carlos Beltran OF NYY
62 Troy Tulowitzki SS TOR
63 J.D. Martinez OF DET
64 Eduardo Nunez SS/3B SF
65 Evan Longoria 3B TB
66 Miguel Sano 3B/OF MIN
67 Stephen Piscotty OF STL
68 Maikel Franco 3B PHI
69 Matt Kemp OF ATL
70 Adrian Beltre 3B TEX
71 Dee Gordon 2B MIA
72 Dustin Pedroia 2B BOS
73 Billy Hamilton OF CIN
74 Khris Davis OF OAK
75 Todd Frazier 3B CWS
76 Odubel Herrera OF PHI
77 Michael Saunders OF TB
78 Wilson Ramos C WAS
79 Aledmys Diaz SS STL
80 Adam Duvall OF CIN
81 Nick Castellanos 3B DET
82 Ben Zobrist 2B/OF CHC
83 Jonathan Lucroy C MIL
84 Salvador Perez C KC
85 Alex Bregman SS HOU
86 Jean Segura 2B/SS ARI
87 Mike Napoli 1B CLE
88 Tyler Naquin OF CLE
89 David Dahl OF COL
90 Melvin Upton, Jr. OF TOR
91 Rajai Davis OF CLE
92 Anthony Rendon 2B/3B WAS
93 Evan Gattis C HOU
94 Didi Gregorius SS NYY
95 Dexter Fowler OF CHC
96 Carlos Santana 1B CLE
97 Willson Contreras C CHC
98 Javier Baez 2B/SS/3B CHC
99 Hanley Ramirez OF/1B BOS
100 Kevin Kiermaier OF TB

Dropped from Rankings: Logan Forsythe (78), Danny Espinosa (88), Kendrys Morales (93), Jurickson Profar (99), Yasiel Puig (100)

  • The Bryce Harper drop returns for the second half. He’s hitting under .200 in his past 30 games, and it’s looking more and more like his Ruthian April will be a primary reason for his end-of-year numbers still looking stout. I traded him for Gregory Polanco and Chris Archer in a league. Loving that decision right now. Somehow. And it’s possible this ranking is still too high.
  • The real-life trades don’t affect too much in the rankings. Well, unless your name is Melvin Upton Jr. Perhaps the best value of any player in 2016 has been the older Upton, but he’s reverted back to droppable status over the past six weeks. I worry about his playing time in a talented Jays lineup. He could actually receive a bump from being surrounded by MVP-caliber bats, but he’ll need to bring back the magic pre-AS Break quickly.
  • Anthony Rendon may be back, ladies and gentlemen. Don’t look now, but he’s just under his breakout 2014 numbers that pegged him as a 2nd rounder coming into 2015. May be a great value heading into 2017.
  • Be patient with Alex Bregman. I think the Astros will, unlike other prospects.
  • David Dahl may hit himself into staying in the majors. If this power continues you should add him fast. That pop in Coors can carry you into the playoffs.

Good luck in Week 18! DROP THOSE COMMENTS, and check back next Monday for next week’s edition!

 

   
  1. Ross Watson says:
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    Dexter Fowler at 95 seems criminally low. He’s on par with some guy named Kevin I before E Kiermaier?

    • @Ross Watson: He’s coming off injury, his stats are inflated from a red hot start to the year and there are so many bats in Chicago there’s no way he plays every day. As for Kiermaier, I highlighted him two weeks ago and I’m a big fan of what he could do rest of the year. Any time you get under #70 or so it’s a lot of preference.

      • Ross Watson says:
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        Fair enough, agree to disagree

          • Ross Watson says:
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            As always it just kinda depends on league format. I have him in a points league. Looking at your personal rankings I’d place him in the mid 70s. Odubel Hererra range

  2. Johnny Rocket says:
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    Thoughts on Alex Dickerson? Can he stick as #AGuy

    • @Johnny Rocket: He’s a hot schmotato, to use Grey’s language. I’m not relying on him or dropping anyone established for his hot two weeks.

  3. Darren says:
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    Offer on the table from the 1st place team… (I’m in 2nd)

    12 team dynasty roto

    His: Odubel, Steven Wright, Tyler Oneill

    My: Lucroy, Maitan

    • @Darren: Nope. I don’t care if he’s five years away, I’m not moving Maitan in a dynasty. And rest of season Lucroy is probably a better option than Herrera, especially hitting in Arlington now. I also don’t fully believe in knuckleballer Steven Wright.

  4. Chris Carter says:
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    Any significant change to Carlos Beltran’s value if traded to Texas or Cleveland today?

    • Chris Carter says:
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      @Chris Carter: JUST traded to Texas BTW.

      • @Chris Carter: I think he’s in the lineup every day. They need his bat with so many injuries, especially to the OF. And td a better lineup around him than NYY. I’d move Beltran up a little with the move.

  5. Abe Froman says:
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    Hittertron likes BMiller this week as well. Sit Mazara (@BAL3, @HOU3) for Miller (KC4,MIN3)?

    • @Abe Froman: Yes. What has Mazara really done lately. And he has one less game. And Beltran to take at bats away in his OF. And…

  6. Mel

    Littlecf24 says:
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    Grandal or Wellington ROS?

    • @Littlecf24: Both are just borderline Top 10 options, but If go Grandal slightly higher. Over 1.000 OPS the last 30 days.

  7. Dude of Life says:
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    Trade My Justin Upton for his Travis Shaw?

    • @Dude of Life: No. Haha, I’d still hold out hope for a hot month from Upton rather than try to rely on Shaw.

  8. Gregjeffries says:
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    Thanks [email protected]! Love these rankings.

    I see you have Willson Contreras as a top 100 bat ROS. He’s been pretty bad for the past month and is starting to lose some playing time. That being said, you still like him better than Grandel ROS?

    • @Gregjeffries: Thanks Greg! Yes, Contreras is cooling, and with the trades may lose at bats. He’s a candidate to drop out next week, for sure. I wouldn’t make the switch quite yet, but they’re very close.

  9. vinodole says:
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    No love for Joc back and healthy, on pace for almost 30 hr and 30 doubles? Related… In a keeper points league would you trade Joc for Schoop, both signed through next year? With an eye towards next year?

    • @vinodole: I’d take Schoop. Yes, Joc’s been better since coming off DL, but he’s the perfect hot/cold player. Katy Perry sang about Joc Pederson I believe. Schoop is hitting near .300 all year with just as much power. If Joc can turn his hit tool around I may consider him, but that’s a huge gap in avg, which typically leads to further counting stats, with similar power.

  10. Chud says:
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    Great stuff!

    10 team full keeper trade ?: I get Goldschmidt & trade Arrietta & J. Abreu.

    Thanks

    • @Chud: I’d make that move. Always value hitters over pitchers, and Abreu a full tier (maybe two) under Goldy.

  11. Rondo says:
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    After a 3HR night – Kepleror Dahl the rest of the way in a H2H points league?

    • @Rondo: Both young bombers. Kepler almost made his way into the 100 this week. If he keeps up the hot streak beyond just one game he’ll be in there next week. But I still love Dahl’s potential in Coors a little more.

  12. assy says:
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    where’s the t. turner love?? he’s been better than some of those MIs since he’s been starting every day (and hitting leadoff)

    • @assy: He was definitely considered for it this week, but his value was really only the SB. I think a little more pop comes into the bat, but I wouldn’t choose him over any of the MI on the list. Lemme get five more games to see what he does. Great add as a MI tho.

  13. Jackie Moon says:
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    Mazara, Dahl, Benintendi – long term order for H2H dynasty league??? Thanks

    • @Jackie Moon: Benintendi (I believe all the hype. Remember Mookie two years ago? Well, um, that worked), Mazara, Dahl. I need Dahl to prove it before taking him in dynasty over the other two, but in three weeks I may prefer Dahl. Love the Coors factor.

      • Jackie Moon says:
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        @[email protected]: Awesome, thanks. Love Beni. Def holding him. My OF is stacked though with Harper, Springer, and Bryant. Plus those 3, so can’t keep them all. Pitching injuries have killed me this year, but I’m still barely in the playoff hunt. Just got an offer from a rebuilding team of Noah, Keuchel, Trumbo, Lemehieu and Colome for Dahl, Mazara, Snell, Giolito. Don’t need Colome or Trumbo. Lemehieu a slight upgrade but not a keeper. Keuchel on the fence as keeper. So prob gonna counter with Mazara and/or Dahl and maybe an IR pitcher; Walker, J. Ross, Glasnow for Noah, Keuchel, and Lemehieu.

        • @Jackie Moon: I like the counter you’re giving better than the massive deal. I’d love to get Thor on my keeper squad, though. And with your OF, remember you should be able to slot Bryant at 3B to make room for another one. And BENINTENDI’S UP!!!

  14. knucks says:
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    Traded Villar for Corey Seager at the ASB. I’d like to think I didn’t have to overpay (go me!), as guys like Janky/Revere are available right now, should I need to turn to the pool for some SAGNOF speed. I was able to add Peraza about a week ago, hoping he starts in LF/RF now that Bruce is out of the picture.

    The way they are blocking Peraza in the MI is just plain stupid, in a lost season. BP Dat Dude is a problem. Time for the Cincy Brass to grow a pair and look towards the future! The failure to move Cozart yesterday, while adding Dilson, just compounds the issue.

    • @knucks: Yeah, I’m a big fan of Dilson, and think he’s actually the future at 2B in Cincy. Hopefully Pedraza lands in LF, otherwise he may be offseason trade bait for the Winter Meetings. Love the Villar for Seager move!

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