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Jorge Alfaro | C, Rangers | Born:  6/11/1993

When we published my mid-season top 50 fantasy baseball prospects back in July, naturally there was some discussion in the comments section regarding the list’s more unforgivable omissions.  The one that popped up the most was  Cleveland Indians shortstop prospect, Francisco Lindor, but there were also folks clamoring for guys like Lucas Sims or Austin Hedges or Joc Pederson or any number of other borderline top 50-ish prospects.  No one, however, asked why Jorge Alfaro wasn’t ranked, or how far off he was from cracking the list.  But two months after posting that top 50, Alfaro, in my eyes, is the unforgivable omission.  He’s potentially a top 25 talent, boasting a fantasy ceiling that is as good or better than any other catching prospect in the game.  I’ve been slow to tout the 20-year-old, but I’m trying to make up for lost time with his very own post right here.  Do take note.

Back in March, as part of my Texas Rangers minor league preview, I ranked Alfaro as the #5 fantasy prospect in the Rangers org, stating this about the young catcher:  “Alfaro’s tools profile suggests a guy who could post .275 AVG and 25 or so homers, all while doing an outstanding job defensively behind the dish.  The 19-year-old is already through is first year of full-season ball, and in that regard, he’s right on track developmentally.  As far as translating his raw tools into production on the field, though, Alfaro has a long way to go (.261/.320/.430 in 2012 at Low-A).  He’ll step up to High-A in 2013 where the Rangers hope to see an improved line.”  I went on to slap a 2016 ETA on him, sticking to my tone that this is a high-impact prospect, but an extremely raw one.

Alfaro ended up returning to Low-A Hickory to begin 2013, as the Rangers decided they’d let him experience some on-paper success at the full-season level before moving him up the ladder.  It didn’t take long for him to reveal that he was a far more comfortable player in 2013 than he was in 2012, hitting safely in 13 of his first 15 games.  Alfaro continued to impress throughout the season, posting a line on the year at .265/.346/.463 with 18 HR and 18 SB in 113 games.  The slash line and the power production weren’t especially surprising, but after stealing only 9 bases in his previous 168 professional ballgames, his 18 swipes this year were a promising development.  Scouts have always placed plus grades on Alfaro’s speed, so I never doubted the wheels, but it’s tough to expect that sort of SB production from a guy who spends his days crouched behind home.

Texas waited until late in the season to bump the 20-year-old to a High-A assignment at Myrtle Beach, and around the same time, they announced that he’d also be included on their Arizona Fall League roster.  In an age when catcher valuation is becoming a more exact science, shedding light on the importance of having a premium defender behind the plate, Alfaro should be considered an elite level catching prospect based on the merit of his defensive tools, alone.  His potential on the offensive side of things, however, is really the only thing we’re worried about for the fantasy game.  And that potential is as good as it gets from the catcher position.

22 Responses

  1. TheNewGuy says:
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    Always like these under the radar guys!

    You know what im gonna ask….add Alfaro for Crick, Gallo, Stephenson or C Seager?

    Got a catching prospect in Sanchez but could always use another, even if its a 1 C league (can always trade one).

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      @TheNewGuy: I like Alfaro over Gallo, who’s too one-dimensional, IMO.

      • TheNewGuy says:
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        @Scott Evans: Cut Seager in the end, Gallo was absolutely mashing to end the season (3HR in one game) so I can’t lose that sort of power potential. Plus its an OBP league so if he becomes an Adam Dunn type then he becomes a lot more valuable in that.

        Quick thoughts on Rosie next year? With the way Mujica’s looked the past month, is he almost nailed on to be the closer next year? I guess unless they acquire a closer in an offseason trade (Holland?) then he’ll be back in the pen and closing rather than starting next year. No way the Axford trade makes any difference. Looking forward to promoting him and having him in my lineup though.

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          @TheNewGuy: The Cards will likely let Mujica walk after this year. I don’t see them paying the kind of money necessary to keep him around. They’re a smart club & smart clubs don’t pay for closers these days. It’ll either be Rosenthal, Motte, or C-Mart in the 9th for the Cards next season. My guess — and it’s a complete guess — is that C-Mart wins the role at some point in-season.

          • TheNewGuy says:
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            @Scott Evans: Wins the role over Rosie? I find that hard to imagine, if Rosie gets the job he’ll run with it imo.

            Expect Rosie to make the rotation then? Im still not sure what to expect with him as a starter, could he become Chris Sale (converted reliever) or is that too much to ask at first.

            • Scott Evans

              Scott Evans says:
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              @TheNewGuy: Rosenthal is built for a SP role. C-Mart’s skill set could thrive in any role, but given the Cardinals SP depth, I can see him pitching in relief. This is a tough situation to forecast, and there are others involved outside these two. Just my best guess.

  2. DanThePoorMetFan says:
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    Hey Scott! Love your articles because all I play in are 12+ teams dynasty leagues. One of then is a 20 team league with 30 man rosters and a 5 minor league roster(although we can only roster players listed in the Yahoo universe). I have the number one waiver wire position, one that have been holding onto since the start of the season.

    Do you expect any of top 50 fantasy baseball prospects to be called up(that are not listed on Yahoo)? I’m targeting Bradley but now that Ventura has been called up should I simply give in and select Ventura or hold out hope that Bradley will get called up before the season ends and risk losing out on using that pick?

    • TheNewGuy says:
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      @DanThePoorMetFan: Theres no chance Bradley gets called up now man. I’ve been wanting it to happen all year, no way they start his clock now in meaningless games, and Scott agrees.

      Im intending on shopping him this offseason for a piece like T Walker that I could use next year.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      @DanThePoorMetFan: I don’t see anymore Yordano Ventrua/Taijuan Walker type arrivals for ROS, but it’s impossible to say for certain… Bradley will not be called up, though. I can say that with relative certainty.

  3. Matt P says:
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    Hey Scott, last two spots on my dynasty league roster, who would you keep? SP is my greatest need so I’m leaning Mejia and Luebke…

    Oberholtzer, Mejia, Luebke, Daniel Hudson, Ben Revere?
    One of these younger guys maybe: Burch Smith, Erik Johnson, Pinto, Ruf, Flores, Asche, Semien?

    Any chance Vic Black is the closer in NY next year? Thanks!

    • Matt P says:
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      @Matt P: damn make that last 3 spots, forgot I have Venable too but not sure he’s worthy… maybe Pinto instead of him, hitting C is pretty valuable.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      @Matt P: I think Luebke is your highest upside play… in a dynasty like this, though, don’t you want to go for some extreme upside MiLB types — guys like Kyle Crick, Andrew Heaney, Tyler Glasnow, etc?

      • Matt P says:
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        @Scott Evans:

        True but we each have a minor league team (6 players), those guys are all owned

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          @Matt P: Oh, I see… my bad. I like Luebke’s upside.. I’m also good w/ Mejia, Flores, Ruf & Asche

  4. English says:
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    Hey Scott. I’ve been trying to trade for Alfaro on the 30 team dynasty contract league I’m in. The guy wouldn’t budge though. Ended up doing this in the end;
    My Bryce Harper & Adam Laroche (who was a salary dump)
    For
    K Gausman, O Arcia, M Moreland, C Black, C Buckel, J Polanco, A Claudio, K Sampson & a 2nd round draft pick for 2014 class
    I’m thinking the upside in the guys I got compensates for losing Harper. How do you like some of those guys? Bit worried about Buckel but hopefuhe can turn it round.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      @English: You’ve got some lotto tickets… Gausman is a safe bet to be great & if you’ve been following me this year, you know I love Arcia. The others could go either way, but you’re going for the strength in #s approach & it’s nice to snag that #2 pick.

      All in all, I think you sold a little low on Harper during what will surely be a down year for him. But I don’t think this trade is completely out of line.

      • English says:
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        @Scott Evans:
        What do you make of the other prospects there? Have you seen much of them?
        I’m intrigued by Claudio, can you see him making it as a late innings guy? His changeup is crazy.

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          @English: Well I’m a MWL guy, so I’ve seen Polanco & I’ve always liked him, but he doesn’t stand out a sure thing. Could be above average fantasy 2B, but no high-impact ceiling. Frankly, I’m not too familiar w/ Claudio… But Sampson’s stuff brings plenty of upside & he’s flashed ability to succeed as a SP, although command concerns might lead him to a relief role.

  5. TheNewGuy says:
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    You there man? If so need some opinions on this pretty big call in my keeper league. So far its 1-1 in terms of opinions gathered, so you might be a tiebreaker!

    Ok heres the scoop. I’ve acquired Wright over the past year despite his bad contract. Now is the time it starts to hurt me as he’s tied down for another year at 39 bucks.

    If I decide to cut him the penalty for broken contracts is half his salary for the following year. However with Wright also means I have 10 keepers with only a max of 8.

    So my question is do I cut his ass now/at the end of the year and face a 19 buck penalty off our 266 auction budget and free up space for another keeper, or clench my teeth and keep him for a hefty 39 big ones next year?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      @TheNewGuy: Keep him. He’s left a sour taste in your mouth because of the late-season injury, but unless you have a very good replacement keeper, Wright’s value is closer to +39 than it is to -19.

  6. Kenneth says:
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    How does Alfaro compare with say Christian Bethancourt?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      @Kenneth: Much greater offensive profile. Both project as plus defensive receivers.

Comments are closed.