Melky wont have the power he did last year, but could he go 10-20? absolutely and probably score a good bit of runs.

It’s hard to trust the steals with Francoeur, but his manager sure seems to like to run him, so those could be there.

Hellickson is due for a big regression, but most people factor that into their rankings (I know both Grey and I do), so see where folks you trust rank that kind of player.

Gordon is just a lottery chip for late in drafts, could get 5 steals and bat .220, could bat .260 with 50 steals, no real way of knowing.

Fister better pray that Miggy isnt playing third….

Does that help?

yeah your pitching isnt so great, but it’s a mock – all about finding value and seeing what your tendencies are.

maybe your friend , Joel , would give you his team to publish and comment

there’s another regular Razz reader taking part in the draft ,
but i don’t want to “out him” .

maybe he’ll come forward (?) and give you his team .

we’re in the middle of the 19th round , right now .
Joel drafted out of the 14th spot , and , I the 10th .
this “other” guy has the 11th draft spot and has been know to
snipe a guy right out from under you …. usually when you’re paying
close attention .

it’s a 16 player /25 rounder comprised of 8 or 9 from the CouchManagers’ Keeper League and a few other notables like Ivar (Planet 10) Anderson , Joel Henard , and Scott Gilroy (911 ?) and probably some other writer-type guys that i’m lucky just to be competing against .

It is run via e-mail under the direction of Richard Justmann , who is the commissioner of both the CouchManagers’ Keeper League and JOML .

Last year , our 1st , was won by Matt Adair (<==lucky stiff) .
Matt runs this mock on yahoo as a league .
However , as no managing substitutions are allowed , it is strictly a
competitive way to judge our drafting skills .

14 position players and 11 pitchers …. 5×5 roto .
since there are no substitutions … all 11 pitchers are "going" everyday .

this year , after finishing WELL back , i took papelbon in the 6th , and then not another pitcher until rd #13 , when i took buchholz .

i may be in trouble , here .

I’m pretty sharp on the bouncebacks and breakouts, but tend to miss on these folks who we all know won’t repeat, but should still be owned at some point because even at 80% of their value from their previous year they need to be drafted.

Ok I see your reasoning, thanks man.

Will see how lucky im feeling come our keeper deadline!

Yeah, I still get the reminder e-mails, hmmm odd.

We do have a live interactive chat room as well.

Joel kind of handles all the back end stuff, I do know it’s under the auspices of Baseball daily Digest, but not sure who owns what really….

just started listening , as joel and i are in a slow mock draft , and he provided a link .

it use to be , that i could set up to receive “reminder e-mails” , but i don’t
see that available to me , this year .
i will certainly try to remember to check out the pod-cast listings on mondays ,
so as not to miss your regularly scheduled airings .
do you guys have a live , inter-active chat-room ?

also , is this held under the auspices of Baseball Digest ?
wasn’t that bought out a few years ago by Paul , who started the 911 site ??

I try to shy away from SPs because of the unpredictability/injury risk. If healthy, Gio is worth the $11 next year, but that’s not a given. I think you can also find cheap pitching, so it’s not that hard to replace Gio, whereas you’re in a bind if you’re down $11 for nothing.

It’s more a philosophy than a hard and fast rule, it’s not wrong to keep Gio for the $11 for two years, I’m just a risk adverse fantasy player

caught a pod-cast that featured joel henard and albert lang .

are you that same albert lang ?

I think Gio K’s 200 batters for the first time this season. i dont think he’ll ever get his walks under control to be an upper echelon type, but those K’s are hard to replace. There isnt much to determine control, you have to look at BB rates and see if there is any optimism or if they change the type of pitch they are throwing (Like hanrahan did last year and cut down on his walks). Until there is some change, we have to assume the status quo will continue.

I think you’re overemphasizing the downside of the walks. Walks mean more pitches which mean more chances at Ks, he’ll be fine, just not elite. 2 yrs at $11 seems good to me. but he’s an SP, so i’m probably only want a one-year deal.

Make sense?

Seeing as not many are taking advantage of your free advice atm, I’ve got one more keeper question for you Al. Same sorta question only with Gio Gonzalez this time, can keep him for 1yr ($8) or 2yrs ($11). Now I love Gio and his K potential, and do wanna keep him long term, the only thing is his walks keeping his WHIP high. Do you think he can cut the walks down to a reasonable level over time (like Moore, Kershaw etc, maybe not to same extent) did last year, and is there any stats that us fantasy players might be able to use to determine future improvements in control?

Or am I overemphasizing the walks for a young pitcher, and they should go down as he matures.

How many years would you go with?

Yes, way to sum up my 500 word comment perfectly in like 20 words….but yeah, no reason to do a 9-12 ranked catcher with Perez out there

If so, I like the words you speak.

Using likey reminds me of Tommy Boy for some reason….makes me warm and fuzy

@thenewguy …. “which do you likey?” … really? Likey? are you 10?

I dont buy Morse is a .300 hitter with a 21% k rate and 12% swinging strike rate. Still, should hit .270-.280 with 27 HRs. That’s a near top 10 1b, so he’s probably worth the 2 yr $9 contract.

With that averaged, he should be around a .345 OBP. It isnt a great keeper, but as long as it doesnt block anything its good value.

10 team keeper, got Morse and can keep him for 1 yr ($6) or 2 yrs ($9). Which do you likey? Any risk he might fall back down to earth, or is he legit.

Also is an OBP league and I know he ain’t up there to walk, but wanna be sure his AVG keeps his OBP above the mean .340 mark.