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First off, I just want to say a quick thank you to all of the readers who welcomed me this year. Your comments and questions were always appreciated and they are what make Razzball the best site around for fantasy baseball. As Grey mentioned in the BUY post last Friday, the best strategy at this point is to unload anybody who isn’t helping you win right now, so with that in mind we’ll look at three options who are possibly available to help your team gain some ground in steals over these last few games. Just as a general strategy for those in weekly leagues, since steals are a counting stat it would be a good idea to look at guys who have 7 games as opposed to 6 left on the schedule to try to squeeze every last statistical drop out of them. As far as daily leagues go, playing the matchups like we have all year is a good idea. Teams like the Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, Rays, Phillies, Padres, Cubs, White Sox, Astros, Nationals, and Giants have given up the most stolen bases this year and they are all teams to target when deciding who to start against for steals.

Billy Hamilton - NYM, PIT (6 games, 37% owned)

Playing time doesn’t seem to be a concern for the blazing fast Billy Hamilton. Not only did he steal four bases in a game last week, but he got two starts, including one yesterday. Grey even made him the lede in last week’s BUY. He was a perfect 10-for-10 in stolen bases heading into Sunday’s games, and that was in just 10 plate appearances! He’s amazing and if he’s still available you should grab him. Don’t overthink his playing time like I did.

Jarrod Dyson - @SEA, @CWS (7 games, 30% owned)

I’ve been lauding Dyson for a while now, and even though last week was a little thin with only one steal, I still think he’s one of the best options out there if you’re looking for SAGNOF. He’s stolen bases this year at a clip of one steal for every 7 plate appearances. That’s the best in baseball (after Billy Hamilton) and it’s one of the reasons I like him so much. The Royals like to run and he has a nice match-up against the White Sox this week. He’s also one of the more successful base stealers in the league with an 84% success rate. Plus, he has a seven-game schedule this week.

Dee Gordon - @SF, COL (6 games, 2% owned)

Mentioned by Guru in yesterday’s post, Gordon should see an increase in playing time now that the Dodgers have clinched the division and a banged up Hanley Ramirez gets some time off to rest. While he’s not a great bat, Gordon still has value as a base stealer especially in a short term situation like this week. There’s a friendly match-up against the Giants for starters, and I would recommend giving him a look at least for that series.

Teams highlighted in green are in the top ten for most stolen bases allowed.

Teams highlighted in red are in the top ten for least stolen bases allowed.

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From Around The Web

  1. weas says:
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    Any speculation on where Hamilton will go in drafts next year?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @weas: I haven’t put a lot of thought into this yet, but let’s say he projects to something like Bourn in 2010…about .260 AVG with 50+ steals and 90 runs (and I think that is pretty conservative) then he’d fall somewhere in that 90-100 overall range…personally, I might reach even higher just because he has the upside to completely dominate one roto category…great question…thanks for reading!

  2. Tom says:
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    start Hamilton over Simmons or Jed in weekly h2h points final week?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @Tom: Kind of a tough call, since he doesn’t have many projections for ROS out there, but my gut tells me yes. His value in runs scored and SB (tough cat to get points in) could make that worth it…

  3. nation says:
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    At this point, would you drop someone like Segura and grab a Dee gordon? Already have villar/altuve/e. johnson at MI, but chasing steals in one of two util spots would be useful.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @nation: Yeah, I would. In fact, I just made that exact move in my RCL league, swapped Segura for Gordon…

  4. Abdoozy says:
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    So here is my billy Hamilton dilemma: I’m in the finals of my h2h daily league. I currently lead SB 10-2 thanks largely to The Flying Hammer. Problem is that I now need some counting stats to keep pace in other hitting categories.. and my worry is that if I drop Hamilton, my opponent will pick him up, he will have a couple of 4 steal games (don’t laugh) and I lose a cat I have to win (I’m getting killed in Hr and RBI)..

    Plus I can’t drop him — the options at SS are very weak: Dozier, Cozart, Lake, Drew.. and downhill from there. So I think I’m stuck with him and hoping Dusty gives him a few starts.

    Anyway, that’s the downside of hitching your FB wagon to a lightning bolt…

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @Abdoozy: great point abdoozy. I went through a similar thing with Dyson. if I dropped him I would lose the points in steals he gained me. keeping him all but gauranteed I would remain three or four RBIs short though. Too bad there aren’t more five tool players lying around :)

  5. Gregorius Chant says:
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    Mike, thanks for all your hard work this year. This is my first year I totally bought into Razzball. As such, I am likely winning the championship (unlikely I would finish second, but some things could happen). Anyway, I didn’t really give steals much though this year as I focused on guys that could give me some steals across the board. However, as the season went along, I began following your posts more closely (read, did what you told me) and it was amazing how high I was able to finish in steals given my team. Thanks for the help and I hope you return next year as I will pay more attention to steals! Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
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      @Gregorius Chant: I really appreciate that. I’m glad it was helpful! Good luck in the final week…and congrats on your championship!

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