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The fastest answer to the title is that no, you can not just fix what Trea Turner was giving you and the lack thereof for the next few weeks.  Dude was a man among spatulas.  Twenty two steals in the month of June alone was more then four teams in the entire majors.  For fantasy, he was the only person over 20 in the last 30 games, only person in double digits in the last 15, and now he will get you zero for the next, presumably, six weeks…  So where do you turn?  The answer is: I wish I knew, because the waiver wire is not going to give you that type of production.  Trade?  Sure, if you have the assets, or you can just plain ignore the stat.  Interestingly enough is that if he is gone from the league, it kind of evens the playing field for steals across the board.  Billy hasn’t been Billy in some time, Dee is probably the most prestigious thief left right now is universally owned, and the waiver wire is littered with 2-3 steal guys every 10-game types.  I am not saying that losing Trea Turner is a good thing… it is an excellent thing for everyone that doesn’t own him.  If you are the sad owner of him, replacing Turner is not the biggest need.  In reality, you just need to maintain the fort ion the steals department.  That’s where me and this column come in.  SAGNOF to your wildest content.  The waivers are now your oyster at the SS, OF, or wherever you had TT employed.  Moves a plenty should be made and don’t be afraid to play match-ups versus catchers or pitchers or both.  Luckily for you, I have supplied one after the bump.  Happy post-Independence day.  Cheers!

Name SB CS
Stephen Vogt 42 7
J.T. Realmuto 37 14
Willson Contreras 35 18
Russell Martin 34 6
Tyler Flowers 32 7
Brian McCann 31 7
Miguel Montero 31 1
Salvador Perez 30 14
Matt Wieters 28 8
Austin Hedges 26 13
Travis d’Arnaud 25 4
Yasmani Grandal 25 17
Jonathan Lucroy 25 12
Buster Posey 25 14
Mike Zunino 25 8

Danny Santana – Getting some holiday burn with the Bravos.  Three steals in his last two games is decent enough to buy him an edible arrangement.  Don’t fall in love though, as he may get squeezed for at bats with the health, and playing time in the ATL outfield is not going to be consistent.

Manuel Margot – Spitting hot fire right now.  Batting over .400 with 4 steals since his return to regular activity, and I like him because he has some former big prospect appeal and is going to get all day at at bats for a Padres team that isn’t doing much but showing off it’s youth.

Tommy Pham – He may be the most owned, dropped and re-owned player this year.  Gets hot, then loses at bats.  Then gets injured and has to prove himself again.  Doesn’t look like he is going to woo you in all five categories, but the guy knows how to play ball.  12 runs (which is the 5th most in baseball) and 9 steaks with 3 steals in last 15 with regular at bats is good enough for me.

Denard Span – When looking for SAGNOF-ness, I want a guy hitting lead off regardless of his swagger or ability to steal.  Span is the guy who starts the Giants engine.  Unfortunately, the Giants have been stuck in neutral since Mad Bum went down.  Scoring 13 runs with 3 steals in last 15 makes him shiner then other middling no power guys.

Whit Merrifield – Sounds like a guy who writes about the development of tulips in a secondary growing source other then dirt.  What I love is that in games that he has lead off, the Royals are 16-9.  Since that date in June, 5 steals and 10 runs.  The Royals were the worst scoring team in baseball through the first 30 games, last 40 they are top-6.  Just saying.

Matt Bush – The bush has been trimmed, and the Rangers are going with a landscaper by committee.  LeClerc, Claudio, and Kela (although with his shoulder issue back to backs seem impossible).  Kela is the grab, but if you get stuck with Leclerc, I would be le-Ok.

Bruce Rondon – Seems changed since being re-promotes.  Three appearances, all unscored upon with no more than one hit in each.  The Wilsons’ are not an awesome bunch and look better as trade candidates rather than foundation blocks.

   
  1. Chris says:
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    Thanks Smoke!

    So does Alex Wood keep this up? What side of this trade do you like?

    Wood/Cody Allen for McCuthcen/Cano?

    Thanks!

    • Slimcompoop says:
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      @Chris: McCutchen and Cano…not even close. Wood’s been a stud, but I question his durability.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Chris: easily Cano side

      • Chris says:
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        Thanks smokey and Sliim,

        If I take out Cano and replace him with Pedroia, so wood and allen for mccutchen and pedroia. what do you like then?

  2. Sport says:
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    Do you think Maton gets any SAGNOF this year? Or can I dump him in a 15 team league?

    Thank you. Long time reader of your posts.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Sport: He may later in the year, but even then is he worth the frustration of 1-2 save chances every 10-14 games. I would hold but if need space and help in adjacent categories move on. Thanks for the devotion.

  3. Ryan says:
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    I’m playing in a H2H league and lost Turner. Definitely hurts since I can’t just ride out the lead I have in SBs. Out of the guys you listed, who would you go after to help ease the weekly loss of stolen bases?

    I also just added Simmons(LA) if that would beat out any of these guys.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Ryan: Margot. Simmons should help, but don’t be afraid to move on quick.

      • Ryan says:
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        @Smokey: awesome. Would you rather have Margot than Simmons? I’m keeping an eye out for matchups too. That’s the only way I think I can increase the odds for SBs in these weekly matchups.

        The good news is I’m up by 30 games in my division so I have a good shot at the playoffs. Hopefully Turner makes it back around then.

        Thanks for the help.

        • Smokey

          Smokey says:
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          @Ryan: be greedy get both if possible, comfy lead is good. Turner should be back in 6 weeks as long as all goes well.

  4. Slimcompoop says:
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    Good stuff Smokey! I am one of those sad owners who lost Turner in my H2H, 6×6, keeper league so I appreciate your homage to all of us. Picked up Orlando Arcia to replace him at 2B and then picked up Margot to take Conforto’s spot while he’s on the DL. I think that covers SAGNOF for the time being. Thoughts?

    I’m pretty solid for making the playoffs in my league, but every owner that’s out of it is beating down my door asking me for offers. I’m saying “Bye Felicia” cause I think if Trea Turner puts a full year together he could legitimately be a 15HR/70SB type of player. (1) Do you think that type of expectation is realistic? (2) Do you think Turner is going to be injury prone going forward?

    Appreciate your posts.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Slimcompoop: extremely realistic, and bath stealers over time or so it seems now a days are more prone to injuries. So while i say he isn’t he has additional wear and tear and potential by beating his body up by stealing. it is kind of a price to pay for the goodies he provides.

      • Slimcompoop says:
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        @Smokey: Thanks Smokey!

  5. Old navy says:
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    Lost Turner and trout. It hurt but it is a 10 team h to h league not far out of first.

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Old navy: sad face but yah face

  6. Utah Green Sox says:
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    RoS how would you rank the following in holds leagues:
    Ottavino, McGee, Nicasio, Tommy Hunter

    Thanks a bunch!

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @Utah Green Sox: Otta , Nicasio, McGee, Hunter

  7. sheriff mcrawdawg says:
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    good ish smokey! best target for holds? — boxburger, joe kelly, or nate jones

    • Smokey

      Smokey says:
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      @sheriff mcrawdawg: Kelly, nut keep an eye on Box the Rays are hot…ish

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