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Happy Sunday gang, time for another Razzball look at what’s become the most important commodity in our favorite game– prospects. Our “Prospect Primer” reflects a handful of the prospects I’m keeping a close eye on heading into Week 20 (for both shallow and deep fantasy leagues). In our constant attempt to frame information and discussions to be as helpful as possible to our readers and fantasy owners, we’re restructuring our bi-weekly prospect columns (Sundays and Wednesdays) to focus on the more “well-known” prospects (our Top 50/Top 100) that are likely going to affect shallow to mid-level fantasy teams.

We will continue our “Panning For Gold” series moving forward for owners in deeper leagues, but these won’t be a regularly-scheduled feature, but keep checking in for true “sleepers” daily… I’ll continue trying to “shine the light” on players that may not impact your leagues in the short-term, while revealing players you might scoop your fellow owners with as time warrants and permits.

Disclaimer: the bi-weekly lists AREN’T a “re-ranking” of our Top 50/Top 100/Organization Lists. The players mentioned will typically be guys that owners in somewhat regular leagues NEED to be aware of (regardless of their current level) to keep from slipping behind as they want to stay competitive in “keeper leagues”. There may be a sleeper mentioned from time-to-time, but they may be more important to managers in deeper and more long-term leagues. The players listed aren’t in any particular order (you’ll notice they’re listed alphabetically), they’re simply guys you need to keep an eye on and someone you might be interested in targeting when you’re wheeling and dealing.

Now it’s time to refill that cup of coffee or take your lunch break and open your spreadsheets – here’s who I’m tracking over the next few days…

(Slash stats are through Friday’s games.)

Kris Bryant, 3B, CHC — Someone mentioned Theo’s quote about not promoting Bryant this season in the question section of Wednesday’s column, but I’m not sure what else he has to do to deserve one – he went 8-19 with 2 2Bs, 2 HRs, 6 RBIs, and scored 10 runs since last Friday. He’s now slashing .341/.448/.688/1.135 with 33 2Bs, 37 HRs, 96 RBIs, and a 70/133 BB/K Ratio covering 416 ABs between AA Tennessee and AAA Iowa so far this season. Javier Baez got the earlier call, but has shown his major flaw in his handful of ABs at the MLB-level – lots of swing-and-miss to clean up. If there’s a minor league hitter that’s more “ready” for a taste of “The Show” than Bryant, I’d love to know who he is.

J. P. Crawford, SS, PHI — Carl’s favorite 19 year old nephew experienced a not so unexpected hiccup as the Phillies continued to aggressively challenge their #16 overall pick in last year’s Draft by pushing him to Hi-A Clearwater earlier this summer. The 2 bombs he hit Friday night likely signal that he’s making the necessary adjustments. The heir-apparent to Philadelphia’s all-time hit leader (Jimmy Rollins) has now upped his season slash line to .288/.377/.405/.782 with 20 2Bs and 9 HRs, and is hitting .304 over his last 22 games.

Tyler Glasnow, RHSP, PIT — I was slightly surprised when no one mentioned Glasnow’s absence from Wednesday’s list since I keep touting him, but he made sure he forced his way back onto the “hot list” by not allowing an earned run over his last two starts – one of which was particularly dominant. Tyler followed up his 6 shutout IP against the Brewers’ Brevard County (Hi-A) squad with another 6 IP/2 hit effort while striking out 11 hitters against the Marlins’ Jupiter affiliate Thursday night. Through 100 innings, Glasnow has now limited opposing hitters to a scary .171 BA with a 1.53 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and a 122/51 K/BB Ratio. Get ready Pirates fans – a Gerritt Cole/Jameson Taillon/Glasnow front three could be a possibility as early as late next season.

Jake Lamb, 3B, ARI — Jake finally got his call Thursday, and as I’ve mentioned a few times earlier it could be even a little later than it should’ve been. Don’t let his 1-8 start scare you – Lamb’s going to hit. He went 9-18 with 4 2Bs, 1 HR, 5 RBIs, and scored 3 runs in the 7 days before his promotion, raising his 2014 slash line to .327/.427/.566/.973 with 39 2Bs and 15 HRs between AA and AAA. Lamb didn’t flinch during his short time in Reno, and he’s definitely capable of making the necessary adjustments to be successful against big league pitching.

Henry Owens,  LHSP, BOS — Yet another of Boston’s stable full of high-end pitching prospects put up another dominant outing in his most recent start. Henry spun 6.2 shutout IP against a Columbus (AAA) lineup featuring Francisco Lindor and James Ramsey in his International League debut, striking out 9, walking 3, and giving up only 2 hits. Before his promotion to Pawtucket, Owens baffled Eastern League hitters while compiling a 2.60 ERA, 1.13 WHIP,  126/47 K/BB Ratio, .201 BAA, and had allowed a miniscule 89 hits during his 121 IP while at Portland. Expect to see Owens as one of several Sox’ Pitchers to potentially get a spot-start between now and the time they shut him down for the season.

Dalton Pompey, OF, TOR — Toronto’s Futures Game representative is on a tear of late – slashing .459/.524/.622/1.145 with 2 2Bs, 2 3Bs, and 5 SBs over his last 10 games. His numbers haven’t dropped off at all since the Jays bumped him to AA, and his impressive 14/18 BB/K Ratio since his promotion signal that he should be able to join their OF mix no later than the 2015 All-Star break.

Carlos Rodon, LHSP, CHW — The White Sox’ braintrust said Rodon’s on the “Chris Sale Plan”, and that should become evident soon. He’s pitched 5 shutout innings in his last two appearances for Winston Salem (Hi-A), striking out 8 and walking 2 while allowing 4 hits. We should see him get a couple outings with AA Birmingham before getting a call to get his feet wet at the major league level before being given a chance to crack Chicago’s rotation next spring.

Luis Severino, RHSP, NYY — Severino continues to impress, rapidly becoming the best Yankees’ “find” since Dellin Betances. They’re taking it understandably slow with arguably their best pitching prospect since Phil Hughes, and he seems to be responding. His last outing for AA Trenton was his longest since his promotion – 5.2 IP with 2 hits allowed striking out 7 hitters while only walking 2. He hasn’t flinched at all, and has limited opposing Eastern League hitters to a .185 BA.

 

Don’t forget you can follow me and my prospect thoughts on Twitter @clvclv_razzball.

From Around The Web

  1. Joe says:
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    Chris would you trade David wright and mat adams for David price?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Joe: yes

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Joe:

      Need a bit more information Joe. Is it a keeper league? Redraft? How many keepers can you have? What categories do you need help in (obviously pitching) are there other options available?

  2. Dude says:
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    Any thoughts on Jose Peraza?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Dude:

      I honestly think there’s an outside chance he’s leading off and playing CF at The Ted next season. The Braves won’t make the same mistake with B. J. that they made with Uggla – if someone offers to send them a bag of batting practice balls and $9 million for B. J., he’s gone.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Chris: what about a can of tennis balls and 2.5 mil. that’s what i’d guess they actually get offered.

        • Chris

          Chris says:
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          @goodfold2:

          That just might get it done for me – think I’d have to hold out for at least $3 million ($1 million per) and the BP balls (they don’t even have to be bright white), but if someone hits that mark I’ll call Frank.

          $3 million would more or less pay Peraza’s salary over the rest of B. J.’s deal.

  3. Better Boston Keeper: Owens or Brian Johnson?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Turd Ferguson:

      Really tough one there – I would almost have to flip a coin. Probably Owens for the Ks, but it’s really close.

  4. Thorbs says:
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    Nice writeup!

    Question about Brandon Drury – what do you see as his ceiling? Could he be Arenado-ish (decent average, mid-teen HRs)?

    Also, Raimel Tapia is a guy you’ve mentioned a few times – are you worried at all with his ability to square up fastballs but whiffing on everything else?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Thorbs:

      Drury’s the Diamondback 3B prospect with better power – Lamb would come closer to an Arenado comp for me. If Brandon’s pitch recognition continues to improve, he could be a legitimate 25 HR guy IMO.

      Contact with advanced breaking stuff is exactly my concern with Tapia. I touched on it in the question section of our Week 17 column…

      http://razzball.com/minor-accomplishments-week-17-3/

      There’s also a YouTube video that will help readers picture what I’ve seen while watching him this season.

  5. Donald Trump says:
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    Bryant is not on the 40 man, and won’t be up this year. But check out Jorge Soler. Seriously, click on his stats. Talk about unreal. And he WILL be up this year. It seems like everyone dismissed him in preseason (reasonable), but to discuss what he is doing this year is not. He should be stashed NOW as the biggest September call up difference maker.

      • Donald Trump says:
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        @Chris: exactly. He was buried at #42 and not mentioned here, meanwhile Grey and lots of others pimp Bryant when Soler has been arguably as impressive with a higher likelihood of call up. I have no real rooting interest (he is already taken in my league), I just don’t know when he isn’t prominently mentioned everywhere.

  6. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    What pitchers do you see getting the call in the next few weeks to get a few starts in the majors?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @malamoney:

      Any number of Boston’s guys may get a look (Owens and Brian Johnson have been the hottest of their group, but they probably need to find out more about Allen Webster and Matt Barnes before deciding whether they might be included in a trade at some point so they may get more of an opportunity). Trevor May struggled mightily in his Twins’ debut last night, but these things happen, and Alex Meyer’s ready to get his feet wet at Target Field anytime now. Archie Bradley has struggled mightily most of the season, but LaRussa’s never been someone that shies away from running a highly touted pitching prospect out there so he can see how he reacts to struggling firsthand (and he’s calling the shots in Arizona now). The Mets may finally rescue Noah Syndegaard from his Las Vegas nightmare so they can decide whether they want to consider dealing an older Pitcher over the winter – I could envision them breaking camp next April with a rotation consisting of Harvey, Niese or Gee (whichever’s not dealt), Wheeler, deGrom, and Syndegaard.

  7. Donald Trump is a fool. Except when it comes to fantasy baseball. Agree with him on Soler. Especially impressive is his eye: controls the zone more than most power hitters.

  8. OllyOllyO says:
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    What do you think of Alex Guerrero’s chances of getting a call this season. With Hanley possibly heading to the DL, it has to be possible, right?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @OllyOllyO:

      I expect Guerrero to be on the postseason roster, but I’m not sure they’re ready to call him up just yet. You’re right though, this would appear to be a really good opportunity to get him regular ABs while getting his feet wet.

  9. KB says:
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    If it were only about Bryant being “ready” then he’d have been called up months ago. I think Bryant will be asked to move to RF in the offseason, work on that in spring training and April and then be promoted as Cubs RF around the same time Springer was this year (April 15th or so).

  10. Steeve says:
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    For next year, who is the best option: Hahn,deGrom, McHugh, Duffy or Shoemaker?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Steeve:

      Hahn over deGrom for me – because of the ballpark. Tough to beat pitching in Petco.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Chris: shoemaker for wins, by a large margin.

  11. Chris says:
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    Bryant will not be called up this season. The earliest we will see him in MLB is late April 2015. As for some of the reasons why he won’t be called up : Bryant is represented by Scott Boras, so service time is more critical to consider with him; he hasn’t had the amount of plate appearances at AAA that Theo & Co prefer their prospects to receive; 2014 is a lost season for the Cubs, and Bryant can’t help the big league club this season.

    And really the primary reason that Baez was promoted this year is (other than not being represented by Boras) that his adjustment period to big league pitching was viewed as likely taking longer than Bryant’s, so it made sense to get him his cup of coffee before the end of the season. Bryant most likely won’t have a long adjustment period like Baez might.

  12. Phil says:
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    What is your take on Michael Taylor?

  13. mindicohn says:
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    In 14tm dynasty would you drop Domingo Santana or Raul Mondesi for Dalton Pompey?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @mindicohn:

      Would depend on the rest of your future OF makeup in Santana’s case – Santana will hit for more power, Pompey will be more of a gap-to-gap guy with better wheels.

      At this point Mondesi still has a lot further to go – his bat still needs to do a lot of developing before KC considers him ready for the next level.

      • mindicohn says:
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        @Chris:

        Here is who we have in minors:
        Bryant
        Seager
        Springer (he will be forces active next yr)
        Alvaro
        Crawford
        Mondesi
        Santana
        Lindor
        J.grey
        Taillon
        Glasnow
        Nelson
        Shipley
        A.Sanchez
        Giolito

        • Chris

          Chris says:
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          @mindicohn:

          I could see dropping Mondesi for Pompey if I’m right in assuming that Crawford is J. P. – Raul would be overkill in that case.

          • mindicohn says:
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            @Chris
            : yes its JP…also have Urias but that wouldn’t change much…thx!

  14. Malicious Phenom says:
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    Hey Chris, who would you start this week in 1 10 team H2H points weekly league…

    SP’s with SON numbers
    CJ Wilson 18.6
    Liriano -4.7
    Paxton -9.9

    The game is a battle for first place, so i am looking for the guy that would hurt me the least..
    Son seems to really like the struggling head & shoulders pitch man…I am skeptical of CJ..

    cheers

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Malicious Phenom:

      Personally a pretty big Paxton believer if he can just stay healthy.

      • @Chris: I agree with that, but would you start him in Detroit over SON’s pick of CJ?

        • Chris

          Chris says:
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          @Malicious Phenom:

          Personally a pretty big Paxton believer if he can just stay healthy.

  15. Another question, better bench bat stash for ROS:

    Soler or Joc?

    thanks, cheers, MP

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Malicious Phenom:

      You have to think it will take a significant injury to one of the Dodgers’ current OFs (or unforeseen trade) to get Pederson added to their roster before the deadline for setting playoff rosters at this point – I’d expect they want him to continue getting regular ABs in the event they need him to step in for someone during the postseason.

      Most wouldn’t have thought we’d see Soler prior to next spring. Of course we were all caught a little off guard by the Baez call-up, so I wouldn’t put anything past Theo and Jed at this point.

      Since there aren’t service-time concerns facing Soler, he’d be the one I’d roster.

  16. Josh Freeman says:
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    Chris, I need an OF for ROS pts league. Here are top10 available. Who’d you take? Thanks.

    Seth Smith
    Venable
    Lagares
    Stubbs
    Parra
    BJ
    Sizemore
    Inciarte
    Tavares
    Dom Brown

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Josh Freeman:

      Upton’s got the most upside of that group, but I don’t think anyone wants to count on him and he’d still need Atlanta’s dismal offense to improve quickly to provide any value even if he did get hot.

      I’d probably go with your next three (in order) after B. J. – Smith, Venable, and then Lagares.

  17. Kato says:
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    It’s the time of the year were you drop your old-batter/pitcher for the next big thing!
    I’m playing in a 14-team dynasty-league and playoffs/end of season (=start of a new season) are in front of us.
    In the course of a season I picked some rosterworthy prospects on my “watch list” and in the past couple of weeks I’ve seen more and more going from Free Agency to a competitors team.

    The transaction report reads like a list of the top-50 prospects. Couple of teams are stacked with prospects (some I’ve never heard of).
    Big names like Baez, Bryant, Correa, Springer etc. were taken since the beginning of the season and kept like a treasure.
    Everyone (inculding me) is hoping for the diamond in the rough (I took a “gamble” on Oscar Taveras, Xander Bogaerts and C.Yellich and some P as well – and pass on attractive trade offers)

    Thus sometimes I’m asking myself – is it worth it?
    How can we know (or hope) that this prospect/rookie will be a better player than an established player on the FA-list/ roster?
    Is it a psychological thing to keep a player who might play at the end of the season cause he has the “stuff”.
    Should I join the hype and buy into the rookie/prospect market and not miss an opportunity?

    Sometimes I think- what the heck!, you’re filling your roster full of “unproven” (in the bigs) guys with name-values, I’ll take the opportunity and add the best available players (which you can’t add because a prospect is blocking the roster spot).
    Other times I think I’m missing the opportunity to go after a future-great-top-50 player for cheap (yeah, he’s blocking a valuable roster spot but he will be big next year, or maybe the year after next)

    Is it (for fantasy purpose) better to go after known and established players and sell high on big future names or is it worth to keep a prospect under any circumstances (despite an offer you can’t resist)

    I know: It depends (league size, roster/bench spots, depth of the waiver wire, is he a top-10 prospect, etc.)
    Often it’s said: “if you can win your league now, do the trade” – but in dynasty you have to ask yourself – what about next year? If I sell my “treasure” (prospects) now, how can I keep up the next years?
    Do I take the chance and pass on trading a prospect for the sake of my team…

    What are your experiences with this issue?

    If I miss on a big name I often find myself saying: “there will be a new chance for the “sure-next-thing” next year – and the vicious circle starts again

    [I know there’s a blog on razzball where the “hot hand”-approach is compared to stay-put-approach. (haven’t seen it for a while) and would love to the see outcome.]

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Kato:

      I’ve always been more of a “go for it” GM – I won’t entirely gut my system if I’m not getting significant return for the prospects I’m trading away (as well as a legitimate chance that I can compete), but I’ve never been afraid to overpay a bit if I can land someone who will make my team much more competitive.

      It’s FANTASY baseball – if you’re not trying to win (and sometimes have a bit of tunnel vision while trying to do so), why are you playing?!?!?

  18. Dude says:
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    Thought on Rusney Castillo? Looks like he will sign soon an curious on what we can wxpect from him? Assume he starts in the minors and quickly makes the big league team.

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Dude:

      Unless Castillo signs quickly – and by “quickly” I mean within the next day or two – it’s hard to see him having enough ABs to be added to a contender’s roster prior to the deadline for finalizing playoff rosters.

      If he chooses to sign with someone that’s not in the middle of the playoff hunt I think we could definitely see him before the end of the year.

  19. Ron says:
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    Rymer Liriano up. I’m in a deep 14 team head to head league. I would have to drop Brett Lawrie who at the earliest would be back for my first week of playoffs. Would you drop Lawrie to pick up Liriano?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Ron:

      I’m not as high on Liriano as some are, but he has been hot and the Padres aren’t calling him up to watch – he should get regular ABs. You could probably pick a worse flier if you need OF help.

  20. Elwood Blues says:
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    Rymer Liriano or Michael Taylor in an NL Only 4×4 Keeper League??

  21. Drussss says:
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    We have 2 spots to grey-stash prospects. I had Baez and Sano. I have one empty spot now who should I add I am leaning towards Carlos Correa .He seems the most highly rated? But he again will be a SS . I have started adding players to my watch list based on your columns but don’t know how they are ranked.

    Here are the choices- Lindor , D Dahl, Lambo , Maikel Franco, Billy Burns , Michael Taylor! Thanks !!

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Drussss:

      Definitely Lindor from that grouping.

  22. goodfold2 says:
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    that’s a shame. those deeper posts were more useful simply due to not having that info any where else. other than pompey (who you have been talking about for a while), these other guys were all highly ranked to start the year (or were just drafted really high recently). if you post more guys when you do the “panning for gold” (even if they are less frequent) it really would be worth about the same as before though. 8-12 was great per week. if somebody is reading this and doesn’t already know about bryant they probably either work for espn or just applied there.

  23. KillerB says:
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    pls bring back the old prospect power rankings… pls and thanks

  24. Nightpandas says:
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    So I’m 33 pts out now in my 15 team roto, time to look for next year. My 11 keepers are:

    Rizzo, Dozier, Longo, Tulo, Jones, Bruce, Polanco
    Darvish, Shields, Chapman
    Last one between: Ventura, Eaton, D Santana, R Zimm

    Is there a prospect that might slip into that last spot?
    Available: Correa, Giolito, Gallo, Franco, Liriano, Meyer

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Nightpandas:

      Ventura, Correa (even if he doesn’t see Houston before late next season for me), Eaton, Meyer, Zimmerman, Gallo, Liriano

  25. Swfcdan says:
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    Owner’s made Stephenson (prosp) and Yordano ($0) available and I like them both, for Gausman (prosp) and Paxton ($0) of mine, Im not huge on either of my two guys, Gausman due to mediocre K’s and big fastball reliance and Paxton due to injury concerns.

    Yordano’s stuff is just filthy and even if he flames out his arm in a few years which seems likely throwing such cheese with a wiry frame and funky delivery, those 2 years could be great. And Stephenson has acelike potential, even though he’s had some control issues this year. I have more confidence in Yordano providing good fantasy value next year than either Paxton or Gausman. Time to make the switch?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Swfcdan:

      Really would have to flip a coin personally. I understand your concerns about Paxton, but I think he has as much upside as Ventura (who is just as much an injury concern IMO).

      Would probably come down to who I liked better – don’t think either side necessarily “wins” that deal.

  26. Swfcdan says:
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    Also this Pompey guy seems intriguing. Take him over Michael Taylor of the Nats, Kyle Crick or Carlos Martinez?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Swfcdan:

      Yes – I like Pompey over all three.

      • Swfcdan says:
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        @Chris: Thanks. Crick the drop? All the love for him seems to have vanished in prospect ranking lists, presumably to his erratic control. Still see Cain upside there, so maybe C-Mart could be the cut?

        • Chris

          Chris says:
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          @Swfcdan:

          I’d drop Taylor – no need to keep a potential 4th OF instead of a P.

          • Swfcdan says:
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            @Chris: Ok seems I missed the boat on Pompey, he was snapped up 2 days ago by a team. DJ Pederson and A Almora have been cut though as a result, which would you rather take over Taylor?

            • Swfcdan says:
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              @Swfcdan: Forget the above Q, rather answer me this. 9 players im looking at, 3 spots available, who are your 3?

              Players:
              A Almora, DJ Peterson, D Vogelbach, Michael Taylor (WAS), Carlos Martinez, Kyle Crick, Nick Williams.

              Thanks a ton.

              • Chris

                Chris says:
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                @Swfcdan:

                Martinez, Crick, and Taylor.

                • Swfcdan says:
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                  @Chris: Thanks Chris. While you’re hear wonder if wanted to finish off our Bogartes vs 1st round milb pick discussion we were having last week. It got interesting, and I added a few more league specific rules to it, take a read and tell me if it changes your mind after reading it:

                  http://razzball.com/minor-accomplishments-midweek-edition-week-18/

            • Chris

              Chris says:
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              @Swfcdan:

              I think I’d hold onto Taylor if Pompey’s been scooped up. Maybe he’ll stay hot and get some playing time with Souza on the DL and Werth banged up and you can get a decent return from him if that happens.

  27. Sherwood says:
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    Who is a better fantasy option for the next few years Wong, or Gyorko?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Sherwood:

      Wong – he should eventually be a 25+ SB contributor, should have a higher AVG/OBP, and I think almost everyone’s been pleasantly surprised with his power. Gyorko might outslug him even though he’s hitting in Petco, but Wong should give you production in more categories.

  28. Jake Stone says:
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    U think Rafael Montero can stick in rotation if DEgrom is out? Montero’s around 100 innings this year.

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @Jake Stone:

      Montero’s been much better this time around in Vegas – he appears to be back to throwing strikes. If he’s over his bout with “the nibbles”, I don’t see why not. His start last Tuesday was certainly impressive.

  29. The Wickler says:
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    Would you drop Gausman for a flier on Bryant?

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @The Wickler:

      Can you keep either beyond this season?

      Only The Shadow knows if Kris Bryant will be called up this season.

  30. fausto says:
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    Stash Or Trash Jorge Soler? Need a boost for playoffs after whiffing on Danny Santana. Solers gotta be coming soon.

    • Chris

      Chris says:
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      @fausto:

      Again, probably need a little more information before the answer’s clear. Redraft league? Can you keep Soler beyond this season if he’s not called up? There’s no way I’d drop him if I can keep him long-term – I’d just have to look for a boost elsewhere.

      Soler is steering the boat that Bryant’s rowing – both are “ready”, and given Jorge’s contract situation there’s arguably more reason to call him up.

  31. Josh says:
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    Roto Al-only keeper league. Considering grabbing Trevor May for JA Happ. Will I get anything out of May this season? The long -term is obvious, but I am still in a battle for money this year so whip, era, k’s and wins are critical. Not sure if the move will cost me in the short-term. Thanks.

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