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Brace yourselves for another revision of the prospect power rankings, this time with more turnover!  There’s been plenty of movement in the past few weeks, both upward and downward, making room for five fresh faces in the top ten/next five.  Nolan Arenado, Dan Straily and Allen Webster, all three on the list last time through, have surfaced in the bigs, while two guys fall from the ranks.  Danny Hultzen drops out thanks to a shoulder injury, which has been deemed mild, but it’s concerning nonetheless.  Nick Castellanos also slips out of the rankings, as he slumps severely at the dish.  We also have a new #1, which is quite exciting — do try to contain your enthusiasm.  Let’s get started.

1.  Wil Myers, OF, Rays (Previously Ranked #2):  Myers hasn’t really done anything on the field worthy of taking over the top spot — .174/.244/.268 with 1 homer in his last 10.  No, his rise to #1 has more to do with the lack of opportunity in the St. Louis outfield for Taveras (something I’ll expand on in a bit).  Still, Myers continues to be a lock for arrival this summer.  The Rays will likely do everything they can to avoid Super Two status with Wil, so don’t be surprised if his call-up is closer to July 1st than it is June 1st.

2.  Oscar Taveras, OF, Cardinals (#1):  In our last installment of these rankings, I talked about how awful Jon Jay had been and how the Cardinals had been using Taveras almost strictly in center field at Triple-A.  Well, Taveras continues to spend most of his time with Memphis in center, but Jay has turned things around considerably.  Batting .379 through his last ten with an OBP at .486, Jay has returned to the leadoff spot in the Cardinals batting order and has, for now, ended speculation that Taveras will supplant him in center anytime soon.  Meanwhile, Taveras has his Triple-A line up to .302/.350/.448, and he remains the highest impact hitting prospect in the minors.

3.  Zack Wheeler, RHP, Mets (#6):  After showing shaky command through his first few outings, Wheeler has settled down, stringing together a couple nice outings:  3 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 12 K through his last 12.2 IP at Triple-A Vegas.  Still on track for arrival before All Star Weekend, Wheeler moves into the top spot among MiLB pitchers for stashing purposes.

4.  Jurickson Profar, SS, Rangers (#4):  Moreland has been much improved over the past couple weeks, effectively closing the door on an immediate Profar arrival.  Still, though, we’re talking about Mitch Moreland, here — how long can this current heater last?

5.  Nick Franklin, SS/2B, Mariners (N/R):  Batting .337/.461/.518 on the year at Triple-A Tacoma, it seems it’s only a matter of time before Franklin takes over shortstop duties in Seattle.  After fighting through some rough stretches over the past few seasons, the 22-year-old finally appears ready for baseball at the highest level.  He’ll be an intriguing MI option in mixed leagues once he surfaces.

6.  Kevin Gausman, RHP, Orioles (N/R):  Grey’s done a nice job of summing up the Gausman situation, so I’ll leave it to him.  Here’s what he said last week:  “There’s some speculation that the 4th overall pick in the last draft might be in Baltimore soon.  Soon is relative here to Uncle Not That Soon.  I think late-June is probably the earliest with early-August more likely.  Why do you care?  Well, with Bundy on the couch, scratching himself and waiting for his elbow to heal, Gausman could be the next arm called up for the 5th spot in the O’s rotation and he’s been utterly dominant in Double-A.  How’s 29 Ks and 1 walk in 28 2/3 IP sound?  Yummo!  He has number one starter upside and should be owned in AL-Only and keeper leagues already.”

7.  Gerrit Cole, RHP, Pirates (#5):  Cole continues pitching sloppily; his K/BB now sitting at 21/17 in 29.1 IP at Triple-A.  His 2.45 ERA reflects a pitcher who’s still throwing effectively, despite awful command.  I expect Cole to find his rhythm and start posting more dominant numbers soon.  If the walks continue, though, I expect his ERA to catch up with the peripheral stats in a hurry, and for him drop off this list altogether.

8.   Trevor Bauer, RHP, Indians (#7):  After yesterday’s start at Triple-A Columbus, Bauer’s MiLB ERA now sits at 1.82 through 24.2 IP.  And with a K/BB ratio north of 3.00, the 22-year-old is making a case to rejoin the big club soon, this time for an extended look.

9. Billy Hamilton, OF, Reds (#8):  Hamilton continues to slump, now hitting .189/.256/.270 at Triple-A Louisville.  I’ve always had my doubts about his ability at the plate, but he’s certainly not this bad.  Hamilton will get it going soon, and when he begins reaching base at a more acceptable clip, the steals will come in droves.  Cincy could really use some help in the outfield, so it might not be long after Hamilton heats up that he gets the call.

10.  Anthony Rendon, 3B, Nationals (N/R):  Rendon has returned to Double-A after a brief stint in the bigs, but with Danny Espinosa’s turd-like play in Washington, it might not be long before we see him back in the bigs.  And if Rendon were to resurface with the Nats, bringing glorious second base eligibility with him, his attractiveness for the fantasy game would be huge.

NEXT FIVE: Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Rays (Next 5); Erasmo Ramirez, RHP, Mariners (#10); Grant Green, 2B, Athletics (N/R); Christian Yelich, OF, Marlins (N/R); Mike Zunino, C, Mariners (Next 5)

DROPPING OUT:  Danny Hultzen, LHP, Mariners (Next 5); Nick Castellanos, OF, Tigers (Next 5)

NOTEWORTHY MLB ARRIVALS:  Nolan Arenado, 3B, Rockies (#3); Dan Straily, RHP, Athletics (#9); Allen Webster, RHP, Red Sox (Next 5); Dee Gordon, SS, Dodgers (N/R), Marcell Ozuna, OF, Marlins (N/R)

NOTEWORTHY MLB DEMOTIONS:  Anthony Rendon, 3B, Nationals

  1. Roger says:
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    Hey Scott! Any feedback here would be apprenticed Which side you like better for a 16 team dynasty league i am getting the Cespedes side, my OF is currently Justin Upton, Alex Gordon & Choo, with Soler and Dahl waiting in the wings, and Matt Adams playing in UTIl till profar and rendon are ready to take over. Another offer is also below, any help would be appreciated. H2H league.

    Cespedes & Beachy for Buckholz, Choo & Matt Adams

    Cespedes for Iwakuma, Choo and Adams

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I’d hold on both offers.

  2. Louis says:
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    Enjoying these rankings! Ultimately, what do you envision Billy Hamilton’s average will settle at when he eventually becomes a major league player? Can he hit .270+? Because I think he needs to hit at around that pace to become valuable.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      OBP will be more important, and I think he’ll need to getting on base at a .350 clip, hopefully better… .270 seems about right, but he could hit a few ticks higher.

  3. Mike says:
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    Dynasty league trade. Bundy/ Carlos Martinez for Shelby Miller/Straily. Who wins? All players involved are last rounders.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Preseason, I would’ve said Bundy/C-Mart, but with the elbow injury for Bundy & bullpen work for Martinez, I’m gonna side with Miller/Straily now.

      • Mike says:
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        @Scott Evans: think Carlos stays in the bullpen for his career or they try him as a SP? Also is Shelby’s upside an ace?

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          I’m afraid Martinez might be working the late innings for the long haul. Too many good, young SP options for STL & his size/durability is a tad concerning. Shelby is a #2, but a championship-caliber #2…

  4. Beau says:
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    Got offered David Price for Wil Myers in a keeper. I need pitching. Gotta take it, right?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Yeah, I’d take it.

    • Beau says:
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      @Beau: Auction keeper, Myers is much, much, cheaper than Price and can be kept longer.

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        Well that certainly throws another wrinkle into the equation, but I still take Price.

  5. Chris says:
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    16 team dynasty
    Give up Holliday/Gyorko for Greinke/McAllister
    Thoughts?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I’d hold.

  6. Rick Lyman says:
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    Erasmo Ramirez went down at the end of Spring with a mystery injury and there haven’t been any updates since then. Anyone know his outlook and when he will be expected back?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      It was a triceps strain (I think), and I’ve seen nothing new on his progress in quite some time… I’ll provide updates as soon as some news surfaces.

      • @Scott Evans:

        Been wondering the exact thing myself. Keeping a close watch cause I think Seattle will likely slot him in fairly immediately. Pre injury, he was my 2013 most likely to replicate Kris Medlen 2012 pick.

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          I love me some Erasmo. The Eraser came up huge for me in. Few leagues last season.

          • goodfold2 says:
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            @Scott Evans: that would’ve been right around the just before and during head to head playoff time. I know i had him too during this time.

    • AdamH says:
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      @Rick Lyman: Mariners beat report Greg Johns says Erasmo is getting close to at least a Minor League rehab stint, as he has been throwing simulated games.

  7. Kyle says:
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    What do you think of some projections for Ozuna?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      250/320/500 w/ 15ish homers if he stays up all year

  8. Stantonovation says:
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    In 12 team h2h seasonal – which if any of these guys are worth owning now as a stash?

    Drop aj or milone to stash wheeler?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Top four are stashable now… wouldn’t drop either of those guys for Wheeler just yet.

  9. Ed says:
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    Should I drop Tillman or Zito for Webster?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Zito… just made that same move yesterday as a matter of fact

  10. Jack Burton says:
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    Drop Doubront for Webster?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Yeah, that’s justifiable

  11. ThePoonTycoon says:
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    what’s can be expected from nick franklin when he gets called up? looks like he may have taken a big step forward with his K and BB rates thus far this season. decent avg and a little pop/little speed kinda MI (like 15-15 over a full season)?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      15-15 next season seems about right… there were once hopes that he’d blossom into a 20-20 shortstop, and maybe he still could when he’s peaking 3 or 4 years from now. Keep in mind that historically, he’s been slow to adjust when stepping up to a new level. Wouldn’t surprise me if he did poorly at first.

  12. Cam_13 says:
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    Dropped James Macdonald for Bauer 2day…do we have a realistic timeline? The shitbags at the back of the Indians rotation are a joke so I’m hoping for 2weeks from now…bullish?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Don’t imagine he’ll linger in the minors for longer than another month…

  13. Frank Grimes says:
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    12 team H2H we keep only 1 rookie with 3 other keepers and only 4 bench spots
    a) would u stash someone now?
    b) you prefer to stash a pitcher or batter?
    c) chose one to grab now who would it be? (Myers is gone) wanting production this year and upside next.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I prefer hitters, so Taveras, then Profar (Profar over Wheeler because you’re able to keep him)

  14. daniel says:
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    Really like these rankings you’re doing this season Scott. Also love the minor accomplishments posts. This past Sunday you talked about danny Salazar. Today ESPN updated his news feed. Same thing happened with Goldschmidt the season before last and I took full advantage of the early updates to grab both guys. I’m sure there have been others too.. thanks for the great work

    • daniel says:
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      @daniel: Actually I believe you took over the prospect stuff last season.. great work nonetheless and please keep it coming

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        Yeah, I started here in October of 2011. And thanks for the kind words! Salazar has been terrific & he’s a good buy in dynasty formats… not too far off, either.

  15. daniel says:
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    Shit maybe Goldy came up last year.. I’m all fucked up on my years now. They’re all blending together lol

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Ha! He first arrived in 2011.

  16. Dave says:
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    What are your thoughts on Derek Dietrich in MIA? I’ve had him on my watch list waiting for a possible promotion and he just got the callup. Seems like a decent source of pop/sb’s for a MI slot in NL leagues, but will he stay up for awhile? Marlins aren’t exactly loaded at 2B or 3B. Thanks.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Good shot to stay up if he’s hitting. Don’t expect too many steals, but above avg pop for a 2B.

  17. Oz says:
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    Hi Scott, I’m in a h2h dynasty points leaguek so pitchers are a PREMIUM, no SP is availble who’s owned in more than 2% of ESPN leagues. I have carlos martinez, but I can’t understand why in the world the Cards would call him up, start his arbitration clock, and have him pitch mop-up duty when his stuff is so filthy. What’s your take on it? Think he might close or start this year? I’m willing to hold him if he starts in 2014 because good SP are hard to find in my league. Thanks.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Cards called him up because their bullpen was in shambles, with Motte’s injury, Boggs’s ineptitude and Rzep pitching like a turd. Martinez is an undersized starter & durability was always a concern — always seemed like a guy best suited for short stints. Adding him to the pen gives them Mujica/Rosenthal/Martinez in the late innings & that’s pretty damn good. Doubt he finds his way to save opps this season, but he’ll be a top tier closer in time. I have no insight on this other than my gut feeling, but with all the other young SP options the Cards have (Rosenthal, Kelly, Wacha, Gast), my guess is that Martinez stays in the pen.

  18. jfields55 says:
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    whens archer coming up?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      This year & could be soon, but Odorizzi has been throwing better thus far & should get first opportunity.

  19. Mariner Mike says:
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    Losing Putz should go after Hernandez? no confidence in Bell What do you think? Is Upton done or would be a stash candidate.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Hernandez is a good speculative garb in roto. I still have some hope in Upton

  20. Mariner Mike says:
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    Have Slowey do you like him better than Grimm in rotation?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I like Slowey over Grimm

  21. Blank cow eyeballs says:
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    Will puig be called up if gonzo hits DL?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Doubtful.

  22. James says:
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    I was wondering is it time to drop either:

    Josh Donaldson, Brandon moss, Werth, or Ike Davis

    For moustakas?

    My second question is what should us Ike Davis owners do at this point? He’s becoming a waste of roster space.. I’m in a ten team H2H league

    Thanks for your advice!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Reply fail… see my response right below.

  23. Scott Evans

    Scott Evans says:
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    I like Moustakas over Donaldson & Moss for ROS

  24. Scott says:
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    When do we see Yelich?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Most likely August/September, but could be sooner depending on needs…

  25. Josh O.

    JoshO says:
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    Should I drop Leonys Martin in a dynasty league to grab Nick Franklin? Martin has not been hitting great this year and is in a strict platoon right now. Martin sits on my bench most days. Long term upside, who should be the better fantasy player?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I lean toward Franklin for the fact he plays a premium position.

      • Josh O.

        JoshO says:
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        @Scott Evans:

        Just to give a little context here. Kinsler is currently @ 2B, Segura is @ SS. My OF consists of Choo, AGon (OF eligible in my league), and Carl Crawford as starters. Backup SS is Rollins, no backup 2B since Kinsler plays almost everyday. Backups in the OF are Martin, Myers (still in minors), and Adam Eaton (DL’d til later this month). Still lean Franklin?

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          Well it’s clear you need the depth in OF more than MI, so that changes things somewhat… no better OF options than Martin on waivers?

          • Josh O.

            JoshO says:
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            @Scott Evans: @Scott Evans:

            There are. I have Martin more for his long term potential in the dynasty format. And thought my OF was solid until the injury bug came over the Dodgers.

            For OF, I see my best options available as Kelly Johnson (eligible in our league, and hot lately, would also provide backup @ 2B), Schierholtz (hate that Sveum is platooning him though, as he’s been solid), Parra (curious where his playing time goes when Eaton is back), and Gardner

            • Josh O.

              JoshO says:
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              @JoshO:

              Which of those would be best?

              • Josh O.

                JoshO says:
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                @JoshO:

                Oswaldo Arcia also available. Considering him given the dynasty format. Your help is appreciated.

                • Scott Evans

                  Scott Evans says:
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                  I’m loving Arcia & he brings great upside for the future. I’d add him over the others available.

  26. TheNewGuy says:
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    Hey Scott, Josh Vitters off to a hot start at Iowa, anything to see here? Remember I added him to my farm last year only for him to stink once he reached the show. Not readding him but should we keep an eye on him once he makes the bigs, and reckon its anytime soon?

    As for the C Gomez for Gallardo trade I made last week, glad I got another solid arm, but mini-Cargo continues to rake. Is the reason you like the trade because you don’t believe in Cargo keeping this up, or more because you believe in YoGa?

    • TheNewGuy says:
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      @TheNewGuy: And as for Bauer, any reason why he might be issuing so many walks in the majors yet not in the minors. Getting too cute and nibbling maybe? Think he needs to trust his stuff more, his last start in the bigs (1H, 7BB) was proof of that. Still got high hopes he can do that? He doesnt seem to be getting hit much, which is a positive.

      Really need him to be usable for me next year, so I can promote him in the offseason.

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        He’s always been too cute… big leaguers will expose that. Completely agree that he’s gotta trust his stuff & lean on best offerings instead of trying to wow the crowd with his deep arsenal. Main problem with Bauer is that he thinks he’s much better than he is… he’ll get there eventually, but he’s gotta tone it down.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Eh, I’d be surprised if Vitters became fantasy-relevant this year.

      Kind of a combo of both on your trade… I believe in Gallardo & I think Gomez regresses — he might not be awful, but this rate of production is gonna be difficult to sustain.

  27. Eng says:
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    How talented in the batters box is Zunino? He seems to have good power but do you think it will translate to hitting major league home runs (unlike Jesus)? You prefer him to D’Arnaud for fantasy keeper leagues? Thanks, love these articles.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      D’Arnaud, if he can stay healthy, has a better fantasy outlook than Zunino. Expect 15+ homers from Zunino & an AVG somewhere around .270

      • Eng says:
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        @Scott Evans: Thanks for the response. So just to clarify, you see .270 15+ being Zunino’s level/upside over a full season? If so, I’ll avoid.

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          Never been huge on Zunino. Don’t get me wrong, I like him a lot as a prospect — he’s got skills that’ll make him an above average MLB regular and his potential to bust is extremely small. But speaking strictly of fantasy value, Travis D’Arnaud/Gary Sanchez upside just isn’t there.

          • Eng says:
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            @Scott Evans: Thanks, Scott. Great to have your insight.

  28. Eng says:
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    *batter’s box.

  29. According to D Rays Bay, myers will be up on July 6. Awesome article about super two status and the financial decision matrix for small market teams…

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Thanks for the heads-up… been looking for an online model to predict for Super 2 cutoff — can you provide link? Don’t see it on their front page…

    • james d says:
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      @I’m Rocking On Your Dime: wellp this is certainly the wrong comment thread. Now I look as dumb as I do ugly

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        Haha you’re always welcome here, James!

  30. Clint says:
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    I struck gold grabbing Shelby Miller late in my draft. How does Wheeler compare to him?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Similar profiles, both look like championship-caliber #2 starters with #1 starter upside. Wheeler has a slider in his repertoire, which Shelby does not. Very close overall, but I’d say Wheeler’s ultimate upside is a tick higher than Miller’s.

  31. Jeff says:
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    who has the best longterm fantasy upside between Gausman, Wheeler, and Taijuan Walker? Also, who is the purest strikeout pitcher of the 3? thanks!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Walker, Walker.

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