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As expected, the passing of the Super Two deadline has decimated our list here.  Six of our previous top ten are gone.  Poof.  That means lots of turnover.  We’ve got a new number one and we’ve got some guys making big moves up the board.  The overall upside of the list has sunk for obvious reasons, but there’s still plenty of fantasy help looming in the minor leagues.  Also, notice two exciting names in the Next Five group — Gary Brown is on fire at Triple-A, finally unlocking some of his five-tool potential, and Archie Bradley continues to pitch too damn well to be ignored.

1.   Erasmo Ramirez, RHP, Mariners (Previously Ranked #3):  Erasmo continues to pitch well at Triple-A, although last night’s start was his worst yet with Tacoma (6 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 1 BB, 5 K).  Jeremy Bonderman and Aaron Harang are the only people standing between Ramirez and a full-time gig in the M’s rotation.  Bonderman pitched last night and turned in another solid performance.  Still, I have to imagine that either he or Harang will revert to their old ways, and make space for the Eraser before long.

2.  Michael Wacha, RHP, Cardinals (N/R):  Last night, Wacha made his first MiLB start since being demoted.  The 21-year-old tossed 5 decent frames, allowing 8 hits, 3 runs, and no walks while whiffing 6.  Tyler Lyons currently occupies the fifth spot in the Cardinals rotation, but he’s coming off of his worst start of the season, and another poor outing could reopen the door for Wacha.

3.  Oscar Taveras, OF, Cardinals (#4):  Taveras has only collected 2 XBH in 9 games since returning from an ankle injury, but he’s still Oscar Taveras, and he’ll be up near the top of this list until the day the Cardinals summon him to St. Louis.  Oh, what a glorious day that will be.

4.  Billy Hamilton, OF, Reds (#7):  Hamilton still has some things to iron out at Triple-A, but he’s been much improved over the past month and he’s finally stealing bases at a more familiar clip (11 SB though his last 10 games).  The Reds are still in need of outfield help, and, provided he continues his upward trend in the meantime, the 22-year-old could be roaming center field at Great American Ballpark before August.

5.  Carlos Martinez, RHP, Cardinals (Next 5):  Three Cardinals in the top five?  Is Joe Buck writing this?  No, I’m not Joe Buck, although I do enjoy Mr. Buck more than most.  In any case, the Cardinals have the best farm system in baseball — this is no secret.  They’ve also got questions in their rotation, and, as I mentioned Sunday, C-Mart is stretching out more quickly than I originally anticipated.  His last outing wasn’t his prettiest (5 hits, 4 walks, 3 runs), but he’s pitching deeper into games, and arrival before August isn’t out of the question.

6.  Nick Castellanos, OF, Tigers (N/R):  Castellanos is an immediate upgrade in left field over Andy Dirks, and he continues to hit well at Triple-A Toledo, now up to .293/.368/.477 with 10 home runs in 72 games.  I can only guess as to when the Tigers will call him up, but the 21-year-old is a lock to arrive in the bigs this summer.  He’s not Wil Myers or Oscar Taveras or anything, but an advanced approach should allow him to adapt quickly once he reaches Detroit, offering good AVG, good OBP, and occasional power.

7.  Kyle Gibson, RHP, Twins (Next 5):  I’ve been reluctant to put Kyle Gibson into the top ten here, but with several of the other arms like Cole and Wheeler out of the way, Gibson moves up the board.  He’s also a guy who has reportedly been held back because of Super Two sensitivity.  I expect the Twins to call him up soon, and when they do, he’ll be an intriguing option right away.

8.  Christian Yelich, OF, Marlins (#5):  Yelich is still working his way back from an abdominal injury, but it shouldn’t be long before he returns to action at Double-A Jacksonville.  Excluding Taveras, no one on this list brings more upside than the Marlins’ 21-year-old outfielder.

9.  Kevin Gausman, RHP, Orioles (N/R):  Gausman seems to have blown his opportunity, but he’ll resurface in Baltimore as soon as there’s a need.  He remains a top pitching prospect, and he resumes his Triple-A season today, starting for Norfolk versus Indianapolis.

10.  Mike Olt, 1B/3B, Rangers (N/R):  Olt appears to have put his eye troubles behind him.  He’s back in Triple-A, and he’s on a mini-heater, having hit four homers in his last seven games, including a two-homer game the other night.  As we know, Olt is a streaky dude.  This, I think, is just a taste of what’s ahead.

NEXT FIVE:  Tyler Skaggs, LHP, D’Backs (N/R); Sonny Gray, RHP, Athletics (Next 5); Trevor Bauer, RHP, Indians (Next 5); Archie Bradley, RHP, D’Backs (N/R); Gary Brown, OF, Giants (N/R)

DROPPING OUTGeorge Springer, OF, Astros (Next 5);

NOTEWORTHY MLB ARRIVALS:  Wil Myers, OF, Rays (#1); Zack Wheeler, RHP, Mets (#2); Gerrit Cole, RHP, Pirates (#6); Tony Cingrani, RHP, Reds (#8); Oswaldo Arcia, OF, Twins (#9); Mike Zunino, C, Mariners (#10); Josh Rutledge, SS/2B, Rockies (N/R)

NOTEWORTHY MLB DEMOTIONS:  Michael Wacha, RHP, Cardinals; Kevin Gausman, RHP, Orioles, Tyler Skaggs, LHP, D’Backs

  1. Byron from Austin says:
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    nick franklin has been a “noteworthy arrival”.

    you know, i’m resigned to the fact that hitter-tron hates franklin, even if i don’t get it. hell, wouldn’t most of us take him over anyone else on the arrivals list, outside of maybe cingrani?

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        Sky, you are a gentleman & a scholar.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          I’ll take that as a compliment and not the insinuated insult from Holden there…thanks!

          • Scott Evans

            Scott Evans says:
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            /googles Holden…

            /looks up sparknotes…

            /dozes off at desk…

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      As Sky points out, he was a noteworthy arrival in Week 9’s rankings… he was also ranked as high as #5 on this list while in the minors…

      • Byron from Austin says:
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        @Scott Evans:

        got it, thanks y’all. i guess seeing cingrani/rutledge/arcia on the list (guys that have been up before) threw me off.

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          No worries, man. Yeah, I do my best to keep up… even with the guys who are yo-yo-ing back & forth…

  2. me says:
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    @byron, notable arrivals are only guys called up since the last time he did one of these. Franklin was already up.

  3. k claw says:
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    Are your power rankings based on the players that are close to being brought up that are doing well? just curious cuz I thought there were a few younger players in double A and lower that could be considered in the top 15

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      these are my top 10 soon-to-arrive prospects in MiLB… think of it as the top 10 stashable prospects for immediate impact in mixed leagues… an overall rank would look quite different.

    • k claw says:
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      @k claw: and if so who would your top 10 be that you believe will be brought next season are possibly even the next if they are that good. I’m just scouting out for my keeper minor league draft. thanks for the help

  4. Mr. Fister Furbush says:
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    Nice post Scott (that’s what she said)

    Miguel Sano is 1-15 since being promoted to double A…I figure he will work out the kinks but I didn’t expect him to have such a bad avg. right away.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      big swing w/ holes… not overly surprised that upper levels arms are having their way, but 1-15 is awfully poor. He’ll right the ship, but don’t expect the kind of numbers he was posting at A+ til 2014.

  5. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    Drop Morrow for Erasmo in H2H points league?

    Erasmo, Oswalt or Lyles?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Erasmo has best upside. You can make this move.

  6. DamnYuDarvish says:
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    So after Valverde’s latest clown show, he’s getting the boot.

    12 team keeper league: I’d really like Carlos Martinez or Castellanos, but Dylan Bundy is sitting on the wire too. Is Bundy the obvious add? I have a solid team top-to-bottom, but would like someone with value both this year and over the next few!

    Which of the three fits best as a luxury? Thanks!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Bundy best option in a deep keeper league. Go C-Mart if you need help this season.

  7. DawnoftheDread says:
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    Do you like wheeler or cole more? I’m about to trade granderson and one of them for rizzo and ogando. You like?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I’ve gone back & forth on this… lack of K’s is concerning for Cole… I’d go for Wheeler in a redraft, but I still like Cole’s long-term outlook better than Wheeler’s.

  8. Vandal says:
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    Why don’t we hear more about Springer? Are the Matt Kemp clone comparisons that far off?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      He’s really cooled off over the past couple weeks, but the Kemp comp isn’t crazy. Striking out too much right now & we probably won’t see him til next season.

  9. dave says:
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    Who do you think will be a better fantasy option over the next couple years (2013-2015), Nick Castellanos or Jonathan Singleton?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Singleton should offer more value.

  10. stumanji says:
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    I own Fernandez, Cole, and Wheeler for a keeper price of $3 each in my 10 tm H2H league. I can only keep 5 guys so I obviously wouldn’t be keeping all 3 of them, so I just flipped Wheeler & Sandoval ($13) for a Gio ($10) this morning.

    Are all three of these rooks more or less equal value ROS and next season or does one stand out as having a much higher ceiling in your opinion?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Jo-Fer has best long-term upside IMO. Cole not far behind & Wheeler not far behind Cole… pretty tight threesome…

  11. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    Is it time to start stashing Taveras? I’m hoping a 4 series set vs. AL teams, 3 of them on the road will be an offensive disaster for them and feel the need to call in the big dog, or am I just really waxing wishful thinking?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Seems wishful. I think STL needs an injury for Taveras to step in, but I exist in a world where it’s never too early to stash Taveras. I’d start him in most leagues, if my leaguemates wouldn’t boot me for it…

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
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        @Scott Evans: starting non playing Taveras is probably better than Ethier this year

  12. D Train says:
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    Prediction for Kyle Gibson stat line if he has a full 2014 season with the big club? Or better yet, what would his upside be maybe a couple of years down the line?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Best case: 180 IP, 3.50/1.20/160

      • D-Train says:
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        @Scott Evans: Is that next year or what you project him in say, 2015 or 16

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          That’s my ideal line from him next year… expect the same kind of ratios once he’s settled w/ K/9 in the neighborhood of 7 or 8.

  13. Swat290 says:
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    Among all active and eligible SS’s, where do rank Billy Hamilton for this year? Next year?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      10ish, but I don’t anticipate him arriving w/ SS eligibility.

      • Swat290 says:
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        @Scott Evans:
        Damn, thought I’d have my replacement for Rollins at some point this year. Shoulda grabbed Segura when I had the chance. Thanks for the info!

  14. daniel says:
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    Good stuff Scott. I know you like Raul Mondesi. What kind of numbers could he eventually put up? Also what do you think of chris owings and arismendy alcantara compared to mondesi? I think long term upside isn’t too close but do you think the other 2 could offer some value in the near term? Owings seems like a hit machine and alcantara looks like he could develop into a nice speed/power guy. Thanks homie

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Mondesi is so young it’s tough to project him… could develop plus power, could develop no power… still, I think he’s capable of posting 300/350/450 w/ 15+ homers & 20+ steals, which would be monster from SS… could be better too. Alcantara looks like a future regular SS, but I wouldn’t put him in the same class as Mondesi. The projection I just listed for Mondesi is attainable for Alcantara, but I’m afraid that would be his ceiling-ish (except for HR), while Mondesi has the potential to blow it away. Owings is a plus hit tool guy… won’t help much in other cats aside form AVG & occasional SBs

      • daniel says:
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        @Scott Evans: so on expected arrivals.. sept for owings, sept next season for alcantara? Or do you think we could see them earlier?

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
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          Owings could surface this year. Alcantara, next year. Mondesi 2015.

  15. Zac says:
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    Better upside- Ownigs which I never hear much about, even though he hits for a really high average or Villar?

    Also who are some of the best, must stashes that could make a big impact by 2014? excluding buxton, bogaerts, sano, and baez…because they are already owned.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Owings. Archie Bradley, Jonathan Singleton, George Springer, Yelich, Taillon…

  16. Chris says:
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    Hey Scott, great stuff as always. Looking to deal Fowler in a dynasty league, which side wins Folwer or G Cole.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I’ll take Cole in the dynasty.

  17. Matthew says:
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    How frustrating is it that there is a stud top of the order top guy like Cingrani out there and the Reds have nowhere to put him yet?

    I have Erasmo in 2 leagues stashed. You think R’s gonna be soon? What’s the wait? For every good game Harrang pitches he has a game where he gives up like 6 + ERs?

    All my teams are doing great, 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 3rd, but he would give my SP a boost.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Harang has actually been decent lately & so has Bonderman. As soon as one scuffles, expect to see Erasmo. I’m waiting patiently myself in a few leagues…

  18. chad says:
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    Xander Bogaerts just got promoted to AAA, where does he rank?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      He was in consideration for the next 5… somewhere in the 15-20 range. I’d be surprised if we see him before September, but these call-ups are tough to gauge.

  19. ferris says:
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    do you think we will see cole get to a reasonable strikeout rate this year? right now, he is a category crippler

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Stuff’s too good to be posting these lousy K figures. It’ll come around at some point.

  20. Louis says:
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    There was a lot of controversy with the Zunino promotion, and whether or not it was way too early. What are your thoughts on it?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Too early. Approach isn’t ready & I suspect he’ll be picked apart by big league pitching. Still, he’s a plus-plus makeup guy, so necessary adjustments should be easier for him to make than for most…

  21. Scott says:
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    I’m going back and forth regarding Xander Bogaerts and I just don’t see how he gets any time with Middlebrooks and Iglesias manning that side of the infield for a long long time. Thoughts?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I hear ya… his bat would supersede Iglesias’s glove, though. Still, corner OF post is very much in the equation for Bogaerts.

  22. Oppo Taco says:
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    hey scott, I was offered Joe Mauer and a 5th round pick for Miggy Montero, Gerrit Cole and a 3rd round pick in my 12 team keeper league. we keep 7 players and Cole doesnt figure to be one of my keepers. My worst category is in avg. Playing to win this year but want to stay competitive for a while. Too much to give up? My rotation wouldnt take a hit as i have MadBum, Shields, Zimm, Harvey, Ogando, Wheeler and Erasmo besides Cole. thanks for the input

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I think you can squeeze him for a better pick, but sometimes you gotta overpay to address a need…

  23. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    great job,thanks a bunch

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Thanks, Al!

  24. Jason says:
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    Don’t tell Grey… but this is probably the most useful weekly on the site. A real time saver and thanks for doing it!

    I’ve been stashing Erasmo for a week already in my long term keeper league, what kind of pitcher can I compare him to? If kept he would be $9 ($260 standard budget).

    Thanks!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Thanks, Jason… it’s only a biweekly, though — maybe next year we’ll go weekly. Erasmo is a Medlen type guy, w/ smallish frame, plus fastball & plus-plus change. The rely on different breaking stuff, but its mostly FB/CH.

      • Jason says:
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        @Scott Evans: haha! I paid $9 for Medlen also.

  25. Cooper says:
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    Is Iglesias really much of a road block for Bogaerts? I saw an earlier post asking about this.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Some say yes, but I tend to think the better bat will prevail. Corner OF/3B is still a possible landing spot for Bogaerts, though.

  26. Scott says:
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    What do you project for Jackie Bradley for a full 2014 assuming he takes over in center?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Lots of good defense & not much to offer in the fantasy game outside of AL Only. Never was big on Bradley as a fantasy prospect…

  27. JFK says:
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    Excellent piece!

    With Wacha just having gone back down and C-Mart having his innings progressively extended, which do you figure for the next call-up?
    Keeper league w/a significant need for back-end SP and up against a transaction limit – already have Iwakuma (15th) and Wheeler (21st) as potential keepers for next season, so looking for a solid contributor to buffer my rotation this season and possibly supplant one of the keepers (who I would then trade for playoff upgrades)…would your recommendations be in-line w/the rankings above? Wacha-C-Mart-Gibson-Gausman? On my board they look like C-Mart-Wacha-Gausman-Gibson, but I’m more inclined to trust your expert opinion.

    Thanks!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I figure Wacha resurfaces before C-Mart, and that’s the only reason I rank him higher. I’d stash according to the rankings, but keep in mind that circumstances change regularly with these ETA’s & whatnot.

  28. longbeachyo says:
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    Yeah, I’d say your posts on prospects plus JB’s insight on pitchers are what makes razzball great. Grey has a great eye for talent and is kinda funny and all, but let’s be honest. He’s just a pretty face (mustache) to look at.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Ha! Thanks, man. I think everyone does a great job here — the site is really moving forward with all of Rudy’s work with the streamer tools, player projections & player pages… we also have a great cast of writers to help support Grey’s already fantastic work. And yeah, Grey is looking sexier than ever with that new avi.

  29. Marti says:
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    What can you tell me about cesar puello for the new York mets. They have no outfielders and he is doing well in double a.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Toolsy guy who never really produced, but he’s made some adjustments this season and now he’s pounding the ball at AA. I can see him helping out the Mets this year, but he seems more like a 2014 guy… also keep in mind that he’s wrapped up in the biogenesis scandal, so lengthy suspension is likely…

  30. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    Do we see Singleton this year? And if so, how does he compare to Arenado and the way Billy Butler has been performing?

    Should I be stashing him?

    When do you think we see Erasmo?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Better than Arenado, likely in the same tier as Butler, but probably not quite as good… Doubt we see him til next year though… no reason for the Astros to start his clock.

      And I have no more specific thoughts on Erasmo’s arrival than what I wrote in his blurb above… Wish I could put a date on it, but it’s not that simple.

  31. Kim Jong Un says:
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    It’s time to give up on Rutledge. Maybe next season

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I’m not completely quitting on him yet.

  32. Oz says:
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    10 team, h2h points keep about 25/38 guys. I know it’s early but I’m starting to make decisions. As of right now, who would u want in dynasty? Nick Franklin or Anthony Rendon? Both seem to play 2B primarily although I’m hoping Franklin/Rendon will play enough games (20) to qualify next year for SS and 3B respectively. My alternates at 2B/SS/3B are Utley, Zobrist (2b/SS), Segura, Ryan Zimmerman. Thanks Scott, love the column.

    1 more thing: I know u said Houston won’t rush Singleton up, but I’m hearing that some people believe houston could speed him up, and possibly call him up in July. Any chance of that? I need a 1B and there don’t seem to be many good 1B prospects outside of Singleton and Yelich. Thanks again

    • Oz says:
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      @malamoney: @Oz:

      Also I’m stashing Eraser, Wacha, C-mart, Taveras, Cingrani… and despite my prospect hoarding I’m still 11-0.

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        Best time to stash guys is when you’re out in front. Loadin’ up on lotto tix… I like it!

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Rendon over Franklin.

      I suppose it’s possible Houston calls him up… he’s ready, afterall… but that truly wouldn’t be the prudent thing to do for a last place team & Jeff Luhnow is a very prudent dude. Also, Yelich has never played 1B in his pro career…

  33. nightpandas says:
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    In my 15 team keep 9 should I take a run at Yelich? He was just dropped. Only 6 moves left for year but 60pts back..the repeat is not going to happen this year! Would be dropping one of Straily, Milone, Wacha or Chris Johnson (bench bat)

    • nightpandas says:
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      @nightpandas: or I could grab Singleton

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
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        Yelich over Singleton.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      He’s probably in the neighborhood of a speculative add… Fringy keeper in that format, but I could see going for the upside…

  34. Sniff Test says:
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    With Valverde struggling…does Rondon get a shot at the closer gig soon?

    • Oz says:
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      @Sniff Test:
      Leyland hinted it’s gonna be Benoit.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      It’s not out of the question, but he won’t be the first guy getting a look…

  35. Zac says:
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    Do you think Rendon will hold his 3rd base eligibility for next year? Trying to look forward to next year and trying to see if I need to find a new 3rd baseman because he is currently my only one.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I think it’s likely that he will.

  36. Nate spurs says:
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    Getting towards keeper time. My format is shallow 14 team H2H with 3 keepers. Who should I keep out of Votto, Cano, Segura, Reyes, Kinsler, and Gio.
    I’m thinking Votto, Cano, Segura but I’m worried that Cano may regress. I also own Wheeler Cole and Myers but I doubt they are keepable in this format.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      Votto, Cano, Reyes…

  37. nightpandas says:
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    Martin Perez pitching tonight? where does he rank with the prospect pitchers? Is he a fringe keeper? Got 5 moves left, could drop Straily or Wacha for him…

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
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      I like Perez over Straily at this point…

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