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How much wood could a woodchuck chuck, if a woodchuck could chuck wood? Speaking of Alex Wood, he’s got my sundial pointing a high noon. Maybe that’s because I picked him up this week in every one of my points leagues and started him for Monday’s 11 strikeout win. Do you know what I call it when you start a pitcher from the Dodgers in a late game and wake up to find out that he struck out 11 batters? Morning Wood! Click here to see my woody.

I’m not sure how I feel about Wood moving forward. In his five starts so far he has made it past the fifth inning just once. However, he is averaging a little over 17 points per start and a stellar 11.53 K/9 rate. Only Robbie Ray, Jacob deGrom, Chris Sale and Danny Salazar have a better K/9. Alex is a very good pitcher, but his career has been injury riddled, making him hard to trust. If I can erect a decent trade I’d be more than willing to sell. And let’s not forget that Wood goes both ways, having SP and RP eligibility in some leagues.

Despite a 3-2 record in his first seven starts, Chris Sale is currently the top pitcher in points leagues. Averaging more than 25 point per start and more than 12 strikeouts per nine, Sale is rewarding the Red Sox handsomely. Unfortunately for Sale, the run support his team has generated for him is approximately piss poor. Did I say approximately? I meant precisely. Unfortunately for me, I went after Madison Bumgarner this year instead of Sale. Little did I know that MadBum would be auditioning for the sequel to BMX Bandits.

Pitchers I’m selling high on in redraft leagues include Dylan Bundy, Dallas Keuchel, Ervin Santana and Luis Severino. However, when I say “sell high”, I’m not talking about 80 cents on the dollar. I want the full dollar. Except for Santana. I’d take the 80 cents deal with him. How many innings is Bundy actually going to pitch this year? Last season he threw a career high 109 innings. Same deal with Severino, only his max IP is even lower (80.3). As for Keuchel, I just don’t like him. He’s an excellent pitcher that seems to be on track for a repeat of his 2015 campaign, but if now isn’t the perfect sell high time, I don’t know what is. And Santana, well he’s not quite this good and he’s 34 years old.

Don’t look now, but A.J. Griffin is a top ten pitcher in points leagues based on points per start. Averaging about 19.5 points per start, Griffin is doing is best to help Rangers fans forget about Cole Hamels. I’m not all that confident in his ability to maintain this level of performance, but he did have encouraging 2012 and 2013 seasons before injuries derailed his career. Actually I’m pretty sure that Griffin is much more likely to get hurt or shelled than stay the course.

Some pitchers that seem to be underperforming, based on the numbers (points), include Carlos Martinez, Jose Quintana, Matt Harvey, Justin Verlander and Danny Duffy. These players won’t be cheap to acquire, but they might just be a tad bit cheaper than a few weeks ago.

Francisco Liriano might be striking out 10.25 batter per nine, but he’s also walking a horrendous 6.84! That probably explains why he’s averaging just 7.72 points per start. His career numbers are 3.95 walks per nine. If he can get closer to that number, I’m venturing to guess we’ll see his success rate and PPS increase.

My top ten SP (rankings based on a special blend of YTD performance and ROS expectations):

  1. Clayton Kershaw
  2. Chris Sale
  3. Max Scherzer
  4. Yu Darvish
  5. Jacob deGrom
  6. Carlos Carrasco
  7. Stephen Strasburg
  8. Masahiro Tanaka
  9. Johnny Cueto
  10. Michael Pineda

 

 
  1. Mike says:
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    Ozuna (I trade) for strasburg a good deal?

    • malamoney says:
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      @Mike: What’s your scoring and the rest of your roster look like.

      Without knowing these facts, my initial answer is yes.

      • Mike says:
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        @malamoney: my response is a comment below

  2. Blake says:
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    alamoney,

    OK – the injury bug has hit my pts league team (1pt for 1B, 2pts-2B, 3pts-3B,4pts-HR,1pt-R,1pt-RBI, 1pt-SB,1pt-BB – batters 15pts-W,1pt-SO,7pts-S,10pts-CG – Pitchers).

    I only get 10 more adds for the rest of the season. Heyward, kinsler, melancon all have gone down in the past week.
    PLus I already have hanigner, Chen, Happ and Mchugh on the DL. Geeze! only have 2 DL spot so I Need some help with hitters and pitchers to pick up.
    or do I limp along? I need at least one pitcher – which ones should I drop outright and which should I keep for my
    2 DL spots? Haniger and Melancon?

    C: E Gattis
    1B: M Reynolds
    2B: Kinsler –
    3B: Bryant
    SS: C Correa
    OF: J Bautista
    OF: M Cabrera
    OF: Thames
    U: V Martinez

    B:R Braun
    B:MJ Heyward
    DL: Haniger

    P: J Smarddaa
    P: M Melancon
    P: C Martinez
    P: E Santana
    P: J Verlander
    P: M Tanaka
    P: JC Ramirez

    B:W Chen
    B: J happ
    DL: C Mchugh

    Here are some options on the waiver wire

    M Moustakass
    J Harrison
    Y Gurriel
    C Gomez
    A altherr
    J reyes
    Y Alonso
    A Hicks
    Reddick
    Werth
    Gardner

    Pitchers
    Odorizzi
    AJ griffin
    J Chavez
    C tillman
    A conley
    Wilson (closer)
    AJ ramos
    T Watson

    • malamoney says:
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      @Blake: I’d probably dump Chen for Odorizzi and Heyward for Alonso or Hicks.

      • Blake says:
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        @malamoney:

        I have vmart at U, braun back in OF. So pickup Alonso and slot him over vmart?

        Or is Hicks a better option?

      • Blake says:
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        @malamoney:

        Ofprizzi was picked up, darn

        • malamoney says:
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          @Blake: You snooze, you lose unfortunately. I’d prefer Hicks if he was an everyday player, but he’s not, so it’s close.

          • Blake says:
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            @malamoney:

            Well I gotta pickup some pitcher, any of these worth it?

            AJ griffin
            J Chavez
            C tillman
            A conley
            Z wheeler
            Gravean
            Wilson (closer)
            AJ ramos
            T Watson

            • malamoney says:
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              @Blake: If you “must”, then I’d probably take a shot with Griffin.

              • Blake says:
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                @malamoney:

                Since familia will be out a while – do I pickup reed with me lineup>? or will familia be back soon. I would think with a clot he would be out the rest of the season?

  3. Mike says:
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    Harper, trout, manny, beltre when the comes back, jean segura, abreu, just to name a few.

    Thor, cueto, stroman, nova, Salazar, bundy(who I’m trying to shop)

    • malamoney says:
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      @Mike: What about your scoring system?

  4. phil says:
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    Looking for two SP’s that are in the minors that will be up in 2017 and make an impact?

    • malamoney says:
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      @phil: That’s very difficult to answer. I’m not sure any SP currently int he minors will make an impact this season. Berrios is the only one that has a reasonable shot. Other SPs that have potential include Lucas Giolito (struggling) and Josh Hader (control issues).

      Does the impact have to happen in 2017?

  5. Jerry says:
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    Hey, Malamoney. Alonso or Hosmer in a head to head points league? Thanks!

  6. Jerry says:
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    Also, which 2 out of: Morton, Tehran, Tillman and Ray?

    • malamoney says:
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      @Jerry: Teheran and Ray

  7. Ron Pridgen says:
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    I can only carry 3 RP in my league. Who is the odd man out from the list below?

    A. Miller, T. Watson, Devenski, Wood

    Thanks.

    • malamoney says:
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      @Ron Pridgen: How many points do you get for a save? How about a win? I really only like using an SP in the RP spot on two-start weeks.

      • Ron Pridgen says:
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        @malamoney: 3 points for a save and 5 for a win.

        • malamoney says:
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          @Ron Pridgen: Watson or Miller. Probably Watson…

  8. You Know Nothing, J.T. Snow says:
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    Would you consider swapping Bautista for Jackie Bradley Jr. or hold Bautista?

    • malamoney says:
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      @You Know Nothing, J.T. Snow: Both are really sucking it up. I don’t want either, but if I had to have one, it would probably be Bradley. But an argument can be made either way.

  9. Ron Pridgen says:
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    H2H points where all categories (HR, TB, RBI, R, SB, BB) are all 1 point and K’s are -0.5.
    Should I drop any of the guys listed below on My Team for any of the guys on the WW?

    My Team: Bradley Jr., Piscotty (DL), Marte (SSPD), Enciarte, Conforto, Dickerson, Bautista

    Waiver Wire: Pham, Holliday, Werth, Margot, Drury

    Thanks!

  10. gottabesweet says:
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    Dynasty Points – I can give – Duffy, Snell OR Matz in a package with Tyler Oneil and Familia and I’d get Cueto, Robbie Ray or Meija and Giles.

    Thoughts? What pitcher do i want to give up? Duffy, Matz or Snell – Long term keep in mind too.

  11. Thatguy says:
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    Abreu or Santana in H2H points league? Who ya got?

  12. Jekuthiel says:
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    Hey Malamoney, thanks for another really good write up. I have a trade I was thinking about making in my 10 team points league, we get to keep 4 players each year. I’m thinking about trading Willson Contreras, Manny Machado, and Duffy for Buster Posey, Jean Segura, and Verlander or Tanaka.

    Machado losses his SS eligibility next year and I already have Arenado. I am thinking Posey might be a better keeper for our format. I also have no confidence in Duffy right now. Am I giving up to much? Thanks

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