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I’m sure you’re sitting there thinking that you do not have these types of fantasies.  Not me, you say.  I have no desires such as Socrates, Plato and the scholars of the church.  Well, my fellow points-leaguers, you partake every day from April until October.  In points leagues, you need not follow roto rules to fill out all your categories.  Every category becomes as important as the next.  All you need is points… points.  Points is all you need.

There seems to be a lot of variance in scoring systems for points leagues, so the most important thing you can do in a points league is to find the categories that carry a higher or lower point total potential and use that to your advantage.  Because you’re scoring system is customized, there is very little material out there on it.  As such, a great majority of points league players still look to 5×5 analysis for help.  Take advantage of your foolish compadres using the name recognition of guys who are touted in category leagues to trade or drop, for a player more useful to your scoring format.

Here are some guys that I see gaining value for the rest of the season compared to their perceived value now in points leagues…

Henderson Alvarez – Unless your league dishes out points for K’s, like Draftkings, or doesn’t reward IPs, Alvarez is a great low-end option.  He’s shown an affinity for going deep into games when he’s on.  (He has 3 complete game shutouts in his last 25 starts dating back to last season.)  No, he doesn’t punch a lot of guys out, but he’s young and still learning how to pitch.  He plays his home games in a cavernous field with great defense behind him.  He’s also an Aries from Venezuela, who likes pastels, which makes him a perfect fit for the Marlins.

Gavin Floyd – The Braves have already proven that the way they teach guys to pitch is far superior with Aaron Harang being OWNABLE! for the first time in at least half a decade.  There’s also an example every year… With Floyd, there will likely be two this year.  Floyd was actually a pretty decent pitcher with the White Sox for years.  He kinda hung on the cusp of “ownable in all formats” and kept barely slipping off the edge.  He’s been a guy that many ‘perts have picked as a breakout candidate multiple times in recent history.  He missed all of April, so he probably slipped through the cracks of your league so far.  I’ve never been that high on him, but the Braves work in mysterious ways.  It’s alright to buy Gavin.  It’s alright.

Yasiel Puig – If Puig can harness his rambunctiousness, I see him being on par with Paul Goldschmidt for points leagues.  He’s a stellar power and contact hitter with speed.  The knock on him (besides loving to run into walls) is that he’s far too aggressive and, thus, foolish at the plate.  Still with less than a full season of the show under his belt, Puig has improved his BB% to 11.4% compared to last year’s 8.6%.  There are typically two ways that hitters drastically improve their value in points leagues (1) improving BB/K rate dramatically and (2) moving to the heart of a dominant batting lineup.  Puig seems to now have both of those things working in his favor.  Unless you think he’s going to run his career into outfield walls, I seriously recommend buying Puig.

Andrelton Simmons and Jean Segura both had surprisingly productive rookie years.  It’s not too surprising to see them not immediately build off of those stellar campaigns.  Both of these guys have been very unlucky to start the season in terms of their BABIP, as beautifully highlighted in yesterday’s post by the beautiful and talented Dano: Getting STATy With It: Expected (x)BABIP and the Guarantee Fairy.  If you didn’t check out his piece you should do it now.  Ya’ll are so dirty.  I meant read his article.  Leave his schmecker alone.  Segura is widely considered a better offensive prospect, but Simmons does a great job of not striking out and his 50 XBH last year bodes well in points league formats (Segura only had 42 XBH).

May is a good time to make moves in your league so be aggressive with your moves now if it makes sense.  Just remember, above all else:

POINTS ARE POINTS.  SELL THE NAME TO WIN THE GAME.

Hit me in the comments ya’ll.

  1. lynnguppy says:
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    How much longer should I give Andrelton Simmons the benefit of the doubt? I already picked up Villar and have been playing him for 2 weeks while Simmons collects dust on my bench and I keep my fingers crossed. Nostalgia for his name seems to be the only reason I’m still hanging on.

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @lynnguppy: I guess it depends on who you could replace him with. Honestly he hasn’t been too much worse than last year but the lineup as a whole is underperforming. They are 2nd to last to SD in runs and OPS. I know that will change for the better. Hold for now.

      • lynnguppy says:
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        @Schlurricane:
        Hmm. Maybe my question needed to be: WHY ISN’T ANDRELTON SIMMONS BETTER? :) Thanks for the advice! Holding, wishing, waiting, sighing…

  2. malamoney says:
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    Great line about “points are points”. So true. You gotta treat these players like stocks and sometimes the best thing you can do is not know the players’ names. The names just cloud your judgement.

    What I do is I download HitterTron and Stream-o-nator’s projections and plug them into my league’s scoring formula to help determine who to start, pickup, target, trade, etc.

    While I hate head-to-head points league because there is way too much luck involved as it more often than not comes down to the luck of the draw of the schedule than skill, I find myself in my 11th season in my league. But that’s only because this league is the main thing keeping me in contact with 9 of my buddies for my hey day.

    But with that said, there are plenty of us in points leagues and it would be great to see some more points league content on Razzball.

    I’d be happy to contribute content to the cause.

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @malamoney: Thanks for reading. I’d been doing some clamoring for it and before you know it I’m writing it. I think we’re gonna switch it to Fridays, but you should start seeing weekly installments going forward.

  3. jake says:
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    Hear, hear! The more I play fantasy, the more I prefer roto, but my main league is still points.

    Here’s a question based on my league’s scoring: where/what do you use to rank/project quality starts? In my league, we don’t award points for innings directly. A win gets 15 pts, and a QS gets 10. I usually just look to lower ERA/WHIP guys assuming the giving up of fewer runs and putting fewer guys on base means they’re more efficient. Ks are just a plus (+1 to be precise, while BB are -1).

    Also, we award Holds at 12 pts and Saves at 13. Wacky, but we’re 16 teams with 25 man rosters.

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @jake: I personally don’t use any advanced systems. Take a pitcher’s QS% and weigh it against the potency of the offense they’re facing.

  4. Rags says:
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    Points keeper league with heavy emphasis on RBI and hits and minus points for Ks.

    Would you rather give

    A) Butler@12, Springer@12, Rizzo@15 and Taveras@11
    for Nathan@7, Kinsler@19, JJ Hardy@11, Longoria@ 25 and M. Montero@1

    or B) Springer@12, Taveras@11, Kluber@1
    for Segura@15 and Anibal Sanchez@18.

    I need a SS, don’t really need SP at all although it never hurts.

    I hate to give up Rizzo for so cheap, but getting Kinsler and Longo back seems like the better play, right?

    • jake says:
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      @Rags: i like A better, but because it lets you unload springer for proven players and on B, I dislike sanchez.

      • Rags says:
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        @jake: Thanks. If I could do E5@ 30 instead of Sanchez, would you still take A?

        • jake says:
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          @Rags: barely A. Coin flip for me personally. If you really like e5, I’d go that route. He’s getting on track and has been super consistent. He’s not a guy to bet against.

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @Rags: A all day! Is this dynasty?

      • Schlurricane

        Schlurricane says:
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        @Schlurricane: You said that… I’m a writer not a reader… gotta stick to my strengths!

        I would recommend B if you can get E5, but Kluber for $1 is amazing going forward.

  5. OneBadMetFan says:
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    Based on you post I just made the following trade in a 16 team Dynasty Head to Head Points. I’m in first place BTW and just lost JoFer to Tommy Wong surgery

    I traded
    Xander Bogaerts , Mike Foltynewicz and Max Fried
    for
    Andrelton Simmons and Drew Smyly

    I was a bit surprised it was accepted shortly after I offered it, so it got me thinking maybe I gave up to much? Maybe Simmons will make me regreat trading the Bogey Man??

    Thoughts?

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @OneBadMetFan:Anytime a trade happens that easy you just left value on the table. I don’t think you gave up too much but the guy you traded with did. I usually let opponents make the offers for that reason and negotiate outside of official offers. That allows you to gage your counterparts barometer. Bogaerts is highly touted but I think everyone’s obsession with Simmons’ glove leads them to think he can’t hit all that well.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Schlurricane: there’s all sorts of reasons why a trade may get agreed to right away without value being left. some owners simply are the type of people that decide things quickly one way or the other (like a female poker player, even a well regarded pro does, as compared to most male pros), or maybe the other owner simply really likes one of the players involved (like boegarts in that deal). or maybe they’re in a certain mood and just “want to make a deal”, i see that all the time.

  6. Ryan741 says:
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    Would you trade Rios for Rizzo in a points league?

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @Ryan741: I would want to own Rios hands down

  7. Philsfan76 says:
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    looking for some input in a 12 team pts league here. Do I stay the course with these bats? I’m 2-10 on the year. We play 2 per week. Injuries and underproduction have killed me.

    C Ramos, Wilson(C) WAS
    1B Pujols, Albert(1B) LAA
    2B Phillips, Brandon(2B) CIN
    3B Frazier, Todd(3B) CIN
    SS Escobar, Alcides(SS) KC
    MI Bogaerts, Xander(3B,SS) BOS
    CI Napoli, Mike(1B) BOS
    OF McCutchen, Andrew(OF) PIT
    OF Pence, Hunter(OF) SF
    OF Rios, Alex(OF) TEX
    OF Springer, George(OF) HOU
    DH Craig, Allen(1B,OF) STL

    Bench (1B) Cron, C.J.(1B) LAA
    Bench (OF) Gardner, Brett(OF) NYY
    Bench (OF) Harper, Bryce(OF) WAS

    P Bailey, Homer(P) CIN
    P Kennedy, Ian(P) SD
    P Masterson, Justin(P) CLE
    P Melancon, Mark(P) PIT
    P O’Day, Darren(P) BAL
    P Porcello, Rick(P) DET
    P Ventura, Yordano(P) KC

    Bench (P) Bauer, Trevor(P) CLE
    Bench (P) Hammel, Jason(P) CHC
    Bench (P) Liriano, Francisco(P) PIT
    Bench (P) Montero, Rafael(P) NYM
    Injured (P) Cobb, Alex(P) TB

    • jake says:
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      @Philsfan76: it looks more like your pitching is the weaker spot than the lineup. Your bats should even out, though. What’s your pitching scoring system?

      • Schlurricane

        Schlurricane says:
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        @jake: Agreed. Unless it’s a dynasty I would say try to get some hype value out of Bogaerts and Springer to bring back some stability and some more pitching. You seem very thin on closers too. What’s the IP/GS format and roster spots look like?

  8. Miz says:
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    Wuddup, Is Jaime Garcia worth starting in H2H pts league?

    • jake says:
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      @Miz: So far he’s tracking just like he did in 2011. He’s middle of the road. Maybe in 2 start weeks if you have weekly lineups, or otherwise just based on matchups. He has a higher than average WHIP and a career 7 k/9.

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @Miz: I don’t really think he’s worth owning considering his arm is dangling from his body by yarn. If he’s starting he’s worth inserting into the lineup as a streamer but expect that each start could be his last.

  9. E says:
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    Great stuff..
    Love Salazar a must own/hold in a 9 team roto league?
    I have Cobb and Cingrani coming off the DL soon. Only other drop is perhaps Aybar (have Segura starting over him lately)…
    Thanks

    • E says:
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      *is he

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @E: I like Salazar as much as either Cobb or Cingrani talent-wise so yeah I’d try to keep him. You can always make a deal to free up a roster spot so you don’t have to drop the guys you like.

  10. J Slaughter says:
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    I have Andrelton Simmons, but Wong was just recalled and I am considering making the move. After reading this you seemt o be high on Simmons. How do you compare to Wong?

    • jake says:
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      @J Slaughter: Simmons is a known quantity. Stick with him until Wong shows he can do better.

    • Schlurricane

      Schlurricane says:
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      @J Slaughter: I like Wong quite a bit as well, but St. Louis apparently thinks he’s chopped liver. I HATE the way they’ve treated him so far. Mark Ellis is crap and they’re trying to make him feel good about himself rather than the supposed 2B of the next decade. I don’t get why teams do this (Bochy). Anyhoo… keep Simmons on your roster and your finger on Wong in case it’s time to pull the trigger.

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