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We’ve reached it folks, the All-Star break. Though not really the halfway point of the season, it’s a good time to assess our teams and start thinking about how to make the final push for championship glory. Use this in tandem with Grey’s list of top-100 for the second half. I’m writing this assuming Grey is writing his. While Grey is quite the dependable guy, I don’t fully trust that mustache. Shhh. Wait, is it staring at me? Quick, hide! Does it see me? I think it hears us. I’m getting the ef out of here bro. You go left, I’ll go right. If I don’t ever see you again, let Grey know that Braun has a great line of shavers and trimmers, as stated here.

BUY

Brandon Belt — Yes, I know we’ve all been Belted before. Well, I guess technically we could call it being Aubrey Huffed, but there are some encouraging signs nonetheless. Wait, maybe it’s being Bochy’d? So hard to decide! After starting slow, Belt started picking things up in May, hitting four home runs, doubling the amount of walks drawn, and hitting .266. After hitting .289 in June, Belt still has a bit of room to grow. His deflated BABIP and improved Contact% might be enough to give you something like Adam LaRoche, not bad, considering.

Yoenis Cespedes — His underwhelming year so far looks heavily BABIP driven. Both Contact% and SwStrk% look okay. He doesn’t seem to be hacking wildly, in fact, he’s actually taking less swings on pitches outside of the zone AND making more contact on those pitches when he does swing, by nearly three percent. Pitchers are still throwing the same way to him. FB% is up, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing. K% is a bit high, but not many other red flags. The biggest worry is his LD%, but that takes a looooong time to stabilize, so I’m not worried. Perfect buy-low.

R.A. Dickey — Yes, I know, at this point, you must be convinced it’s my number one goal to Dickey you around by handcuffing you to this bandwagon. Technically, I’m still writing my epic love letter on the guy I started back in April. Hey man, don’t hate the player, hate the game. Or, ya know, more specifically, hate the back injuries. Look at this way: I’d rather have an injured pitcher with a high ceiling that’s recovering, than a healthy pitcher with an average ceiling. Splitting hairs? Maybe. While the results haven’t shown through yet, his velocity is returning slowly, so Dickey should be primed for a stronger second-half.

Nick Franklin — Consider this a pity gift for the fact that he just barely missed my recent Top 100 Keepers post. I like Franklin, I do. And I think he’ll do just fine. But the greatest strength is that he does everything well. That’s also his greatest weakness, because he doesn’t do anything special. So what’s he doing here? Well, Franklin, along with Brad Miller, who I also dig, and would recommend picking up, will get plenty of at-bats as Seattle continues to fade. And while I don’t think Franklin has this much power, I believe in the hitting profile. 270/330/420 seems reasonable, which, in terms of the MI, is a pretty good effort. And hey, best case scenario, I’m wrong, and the guy pulls a Kyle Seager. You can’t lose here. I mean, I guess I can, but my loss is your gain. And that’s okay with me. What can I say? I’m a really great guy. Now go tell all your lady friends that.

Cole Hamels — The mystery of Cole Hamels has yet to be discovered. While he hasn’t been useless, a 4.38 ERA and 3 wins was not exactly what was expected. Is he hurt? Is he on the downward slope of career? I think it’s Obama’s fault. Hamels represents an interesting case study in pitching entirely the same way as you’ve always done, but getting entirely different results. K/9, BB/9, BABIP, GB%, HR/FB, velocity, Contact%, you name the stat, I’ll show you numbers that are all within career norms. Could be a sneaky buy-low.

Josh Hamilton — Remember me? I’m the guy who told you early on to drop Hambone like it’s, um, hot? No, that doesn’t make any sense. Like it’s ham? Hot ham? Hot ham water? Told you to drop Hambone like it’s hot ham water. Errr. Regardless, give heed, now is the time to pick Hambone off the floor, wipe off all the hairs and dirt and, eww, what is that? Just Purell it and put him back on your team. Is he going to be the Hamilton we once knew and loved? No, absolutely not. That’s why I’m here. I will love you. Ultimately, I just can’t believe that he will continue doing his best impersonation of Pete Kozma for another 70 or so games. There will certainly be some regression, so why not take a chance while he’s in the bargain bin? In the last couple of weeks, he’s hit .260 with a four home runs and doubled his BB% from June. Just saying.

Tim Lincecum — So far, Lincecum has been who I thought he was going to be. And that’s a mid-rotation starter with some K’s. Granted, plenty of the shine has been wiped away since his 5.18 ERA showing last year, and the 4.61 ERA this season is nothing to squint at. Wait, why are we squinting? Believe it or not, there is still room to grow here. His FIP is sitting at 3.48, and the K/9 and BB/9 have improved from last season. His BABIP is also a bit inflated. We probably won’t ever see vintage Lincecum again, but the peripherals are showing a solid starter hidden under all the muck.

Chase Headley — Homer alert! Hey buddy, I’ve advocated two Giants already, so I’ve earned this blurb. I will admit, the disappearance of Chase has me all shivery and sweaty. And yes, we are on a first name basis. Have no fear, the outburst last year was no fluke. I’m not sure if I meant that to rhyme, but it certainly sounds snazzy. One only has to look at his career .333 BABIP compared to his .281 BABIP this season to feel better. You are the one, so go look. After a putrid June, Chase is already hitting close to .300 the last few weeks with improved plate discipline. And there doesn’t seem to be any huge discrepancies with his batted ball profile either.  Don’t forget, last season, in the first half, Headley hit 267/368/413. Second half? 308/386/592. Not saying that’s a ‘how’. More like, ‘it’s happened before.’

Jeremy Hellickson — After years of over-performing his peripherals, Hellboy now finds himself in the opposite situation. While I don’t believe for a minute he’s a true talent 3.00 ERA guy, his BABIP is 50 points higher than his career number, combine that with his improved K/9 and BB/9, there’s no reason not to consider him an above average option from here on out. In fact, after a solid June with a FIP of 2.87, he’s started July on fire.

Eric Hosmer — I really did not want to write about another possible Hosmer resurgence. I feel like he burned this bridge quite a while ago. In fact, enjoy this wonderful haiku I wrote about him. He must have read it, because in the last few weeks, he’s hit about as many home runs as Chris Davis. In the same period, he’s only struck out three times, or once every eleven at-bats. Previously, he had been striking out in every six at-bats. Hosmer’s biggest problem has always been his GB%, which already has dropped by five percent since June. This might be something. Please?

Nick Markakis — Yes, not really the most impact-guy in fantasy baseball, I understand. But keep in mind that Andre Ethier was drafted, on average, around three rounds earlier. Markakis has put up a solid year and no one has really noticed. He’s on a pace for a career high in home runs and over 100 runs. While the speed isn’t there, he’ll provide a stable average hedge and drip-drop production for the second half. A solid if not spectacular #4 outfielder, a good value for a low cost.

Miguel Montero — I’m pretty sure he’s already been mass dropped in most leagues, but I think there’s a rebound around here somewhere. If you have an underwhelming option at the backstop position, I’d pick him up. The BB% and K% are within career norms, and while his batted ball profile shows he’s hitting the balls into the dirt a bit more than usual, the Contact% and SwStr% are right in line with what he’s done before. Coming off a solid June where he hit .278 with a couple dingers, there is a bit more room to grow.

Rick Porcello — Bacon here was a last minute add. I wanted to go with him OR Jeremy Hellickson, not both. The simple reason is I didn’t want to play with fire, sorta speak. In this case, fire means multiple starts of 3 innings or less with 7 earned runs or more from the both of them. But I just have this feeling about Bacon. I mean Porcello. Well, both actually. Remember, money can’t by happiness. But it can by a lot of bacon, which is pretty effing close. Anyhow, yes, I know Grey has been off and on this bandwagon for quite a while. I’m here now, and I’m begging you to get on and stay on this time. We’ll get through it together, I promise. Porcello’s K/9 is the highest it’s ever been at 7.25, combined with the lowest BB/9 of his career, 1.72. With a FIP of 3.52, something’s going to give. Not to mention there’s evidence that Porcello may be an entirely new pitcher this year. He’s changed the sequencing, throwing more curveballs and changeups, with less sliders. And he’s shifted over on the rubber, which has shown in his effectiveness against righties. In June, he had a K/9 of 7.13 which has raised to 8.31 in July with a FIP of 2.68. Seriously, just trust me on this one.

Martin Prado — Everything I said about Miguel Montero can be applied to Martin Prado. The only difference being, Prado is already on pace to have a career high in home runs, so the opportunity to buy low is intriguing. The plate discipline and batted ball numbers all line up, so expect some second half regression for another D’back.

David Price — This window may be closing fast, but there’s still a shot to land an ace pitcher at a discounted rate from owners who are still wary from his 4.18 ERA, 3 wins, and recent injury, for which we will not speak of (just in case), shhhh. Technically, I was bit worried too, as his velocity had been down from last season. But in his last two starts, the fastball is back at around 94 MPH… so far. While the sample is small, I would call the velocity uptick encouraging. His K/9 and BB/9 look fine, and Price’s FIP of 3.59 and career high BABIP of .328 compared to a career mark of .280 show better days lay ahead.

Anthony Rizzo  – I like the improved BB% and FB%. His plate discipline looks the same as last year, except he’s actually swinging less and improved his SwStr%. Rizzo’s ISO has actually gone up from last year, and really, the only thing holding him back is a lower than normal BABIP. Personally, I think it’s only a matter of time before Rizzo goes Rza on us. That’s a good thing. Unless it’s a movie. Then, not so much. Stick to the rapping bro.

SELL

Patrick Corbin — I like Corbin just fine. I’d actually prefer Korben Dallas, but Patrick will do. MULTI-PASS. I liked him more than most, as I saw a mid-rotation starter where others might have seen a back-end pitcher. Heh, back-end. Obviously, he hasn’t pitched like any one of those neat labels. In fact, he’s going for the label of staff ace. I’m just not fully convinced yet. His entire profile is roughly the same one he had last year, except for two things: 1) 2012 BABIP– .317. 2013 BABIP– .238. 2) 2012 LOB%– 71.2%, 2013 LOB%– 81.1. So while the velocity is up a tick, and yeah, that is one nasty slider, there will be regression. He’s a very fine pitcher, and will continue to be one. But just not as fine as he is now, so make use of that fact.

Michael Cuddyer — Batted ball, same as always. Plate discipline is actually worse, as Cuddyer is making less contact, SwStr% is up. And, OH MY GOD, look at that BABIP. It’s sitting at .370 right now. Actually, that’s not sitting, that’s doing jumping jacks. While a 27-game hit streak is laudable, that does nothing for you in the second half, when I’m sure his career .309 BABIP will conjure the regression gods to smite and whatever else it is they do. Drink milkshakes maybe.

Carlos Gonzalez — The most ‘gut’ call on this list, besides ordering pizza for dinner while typing said list… I just have this nagging feeling that he’s due for an ef-me hamstring pull, or, I don’t know, his oblique will explode. Point is, I foresee some DL time ahead. If you need a legitimate reason, silly you, his batted ball profile is a little strange, in that his GB% and FB% have flipped and he’s only hitting the ball about four feet further this year than last. Don’t get me wrong, he’s having an amazing year and I still think he’s a great, if not risky, long-term asset. But for this year, and more specifically, for this second-half, the power and some of the batting average might be a bit fluky. So if you can net top dollar, I’m certainly selling.

Adam Lind — Do I really need to explain this one? It’s Adam Lind. That should be good enough for you. What, it isn’t? I’m pretending I’m you right now. Just go with it. Yes, I’m actually typing this out to myself pretending I’m you, pretending to tell me while pretending this is all normal. Uhhh. Right. Anyhow, this looks entirely BABIP driven, as it’s currently sitting at .349. It was .282 last year and his career BABIP stands at .298. And believe it or not, even with the numbers Lind has put up, he’s done it with a lower Contact% and higher SwStrk% than last season. Consider yourself warned.

Jeff Locke — So yeah, Jeff Locke is went to the All-Star game and Stephen Strasburg did not. Fascinating. Then I remember I don’t really care about the All-Star game. And I’m sure you don’t care that I don’t care about the All-Star game. Uh, what were we talking about again? Oh, right, selling Jeff Locke. I’m open to the idea that mediocre fastball guys can succeed and outperform their peripherals, ala Brandon McCarthy, but there is little room for error when your BB/9 is 3.88. Oh, and his .228 BABIP this season is lower than Clayton Kershaw. Call me crazy, but I don’t see that continuing.

Matt Moore — Just in time for this post, Moore has just finished throwing his 5th quality start in a row. I’m selling now because I just don’t trust the command yet. The 9.06 K/9 is encouraging, but the 4.61 BB/9 is not. His BABIP is 20 points lower than his career mark and his velocity is down almost two miles per hour from last season. Combine that with the fact hitters have a higher Contact% and lower SwStr%, and, anecdotally, if you’ve seen some of his starts this year, he hasn’t exactly been the model of stability. I think his future is still bright, but I’m not motivated to hold onto him during the eventual second-half regression.

Jhonny Peralta – I’ve considered Peralta dead to me on several occasions. First in 2006, then 2009, then 2012. So really, I’m pretty sure we should be avoiding any contact with him in 2015. That being said, while he’s putting up a strong showing so far, it looks to be all smoke and mirrors. He’s posting the second highest K% of his career and making almost five percent less contact. Can I get a BABIP check brotha? .383? Yeah… I rest my case.

Jaywrong is a 30-year old Korish writer who finds solace using Makers Mark as a vehicle to impress average-looking women, and also has an affinity for making Jennifer Lawrence GIFs. You can follow him @jaywrong, read his blog Desultory Thoughts of a Longfellow, or, you can find his GIFs at his tumblr, named Siuijeonseo.

  1. chunk says:
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    Fielder+D-Corn for C. Davis? What about a Salad? Keeper. Nice Write up! Loving the all star break articles.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @chunk: I’m okay, but I’m a believer in Davis. Thanks!

  2. One Man Crusade says:
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    Thoughts on Kris Medlen?

      • Steve D. says:
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        @jaywrong:

        Word is Alex Wood replaces him in the rotation by the end of the month… as a Medlen owner, do I hit the panic button? Can’t really move him for anything of value right now, tho.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Steve D.: Maybe Hambone?

  3. bossmanjunior says:
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    @Jaywrong

    In the Porcello blurb, you meant to use K/9 and BB/9 instead of K% and BB%. Great write up though!

    • VinWins

      VinWins says:
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      @bossmanjunior: Thanks for the heads up. It has been changed.

      • Jay

        jaywrong says:
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        @VinWins: Thanks Vin!

  4. Hi Jaywrong … who do you like more for the second half between Miller and Profar? No specific needs in this league (AVE and SB are modest needs) … just a decent backup SS. Thanks!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Enrique: Brad Miller, mostly because of expected playing time.

  5. bossmanjunior says:
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    Need your advise…

    In my 10 team h2h league, I have both Hill and Altuve with no MI position. So Altuve has pretty much just been sitting on my bench the past few weeks. Going into the season, I was a big Hill fan and I still prefer him ROS over Altuve. I tried to trade Altuve but no one seems interested. The only time I play Altuve is when Hill sits (which is rare) or Choo faces a lefty, in which I play Altuve at UTL.

    So should I hang onto Altuve and continue to use him in this fashion, waiting until another team needs a second baseman, or should I drop him for another bat to plug in at UTL when the right opportunity arises?

    • bossmanjunior says:
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      @bossmanjunior:

      Here is my offense: C Perez 1B Goldschmidt 2B Hill 3B Longoria SS Rollins OF Stanton OF Jones OF Heyward UTL Choo BN Altuve

      I would say my weakest position is SS but I also need a bat to platoon with Choo when he faces LHP.

      Here are some available bats on the wire: Franklin, Aybar, Alexi Ramirez, Laroche, EY, Brantley, De Aza, Morales, Kendrick, Gardner, Gyorko, Reddick, Rendon

      Thanks so much for your insight!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @bossmanjunior: It’s okay what you’re doing, but if you don’t need the speed, he doesn’t do much else. I would try one last ditch effort to trade him to the guys who are lagging in SB, and if not, drop for Gyorko if you want general production.

  6. FilthyRich says:
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    Which would you take for ROS: Rollins, Franklin or Starlin Castro

    How about choosing between M. Montero or Napoli?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @FilthyRich: Leaning Franklin and Napoli for power, Montero for everything else.

  7. Ryan DeLeo says:
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    Any suggestions on what you’d try to get for CarGo? I’m in first in a 10 team 5×5 keeper (add $5) in a close race with 2nd and 3rd so I need his stats now… only categories I’m not 3rd or better in are AVG, Ws, and whip. He’d be $42 next year, btw. Thanks for any help.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Ryan DeLeo: Top-25 starter plus a top-100 prospect. Like, hmm, David Price+Billy Hamilton. Something like that.

  8. 123 kid says:
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    Keeper league, need saves. My Medlen for his Rivera? Thanks.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @123 kid: Sure, as I don’t really believe in Medlen’s keeper value for the immediate saves return on Mo.

  9. cubjet says:
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    ROS: keeper league
    I have doubront right now.
    Would you drop for porcello, straily or Miley

    Thanks in advance.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @cubjet: Oh yeah, Porcello in a heart beat. Then Straily. But if you couldn’t tell from the post, I’m pushing Porcello hard. BACON!

  10. knighttown says:
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    Frieri/Prado/Cain for Hellickson/Choo/Loney

    Which side? And is it close?

    13 team, daily 5×5

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @knighttown: It’s close. If you can afford the loss of saves, I’m leaning the Hellboy side slightly. I would try to drop Prado and Loney from the deal, would be better for you.

      • knighttown says:
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        @jaywrong:

        I’m actually the guy who needs the saves so I’d be taking the Frieri side. I’m guessing this is a no then?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @knighttown: I’m assuming its Matt Cain? Or is it Lorenzo?

          • knighttown says:
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            @jaywrong:

            It’s Matt.

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
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              @knighttown: hmm, if you need saves, I’m okay with it.

  11. Tbone says:
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    Dumb question I know, but in a league that keeps 110-115 players every year…deal Peavy who can be kept for 2 more years near end rounds for Price ROS? Peavy is so old and frail, but still has this magic over me.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Tbone: Totally. And I know leagues like that. I’m in two that keep 240 players. It’s a love/hate relationship.

  12. bb says:
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    medlen or teheran rest of season in a k/bb league?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @bb: It’s close, but I’m leaning Teheran. Little more potential there.

  13. Ryan741 says:
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    Need to make a decision in a H2H points league. Currently sitting in 5th, but pretty much have a playoff spot locked up. Would you trade Verlander for Beltre and Weaver? I currently have Seager and Headley also at 3B, although we do have 2 utility spots we can use. Also have A-Rod sitting on the DL. Starting pitching is huge in our H2H matchups, so I don’t really want to give up JV, but I think Weaver is good enough. Also have Kershaw, Strasburg, Cain, Dickey, Josh Johnson and Parker as my main SP along with some matchup/steamer types like Doubront/Nolasco/Kluber.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Ryan741: Not a Weaver guy. I would hold, you have plenty of fire power. I like Headley for the second half. And Seager has been sneaky good.

      • Ryan741 says:
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        @jaywrong: I could also possibly get Adam Jones or Choo to help my OF instead of Beltre. I’ve got Bryce/Cuddyer/Craig in the OF plus Kemp on the DL, start 4 OF + 2 Utlity. But I play either Cuddy or Craig at 1B quite a bit depending on Hitter Tron since I play Lind/Dunn based on matchups.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Ryan741: Yeah, OF might be better.

          • Ryan741 says:
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            @jaywrong: Sorry, 1 last scenario. The other guy has Grandy on his DL, so I could maybe squeeze Grandy from him in the Beltre/Weaver offer

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
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              @Ryan741: That helps it a bit. I think Verlander has a strong second half, but that deal fills more holes for you.

              I’m still leaning hold though. It’s tough.

              • Ryan741 says:
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                @jaywrong: I’m probably going to pass, since the other owner backed off Beltre or Jones and is offer Weaver/Grandy/Edwin for Verlander/Allen Craig. Although I do love Edwin in our scoring system since power hitters benefit more

                • Jay

                  jaywrong says:
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                  @Ryan741: Yeah, still not moving the dial for me.

  14. Clint says:
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    I just traded for Matt Kemp. What say you, sir, keep him and hope he rebounds or flip him for someone like Cespedes, Hamilton, or Rizzo? My hitters look like this and the only pitching I think I’m lacking is maybe an upgrade at closer unless the trade deadline falls just right for Henderson/Brothers to land the gigs again:

    1B: Goldy
    2B: Kendrick
    3B: Wright
    SS: Han-Ram
    OF”s: Braun, Harper, Bruce
    Util: Ellsbury, Kemp
    Bench: Aoki, Leonys Martin

    Thanks again Jay!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Clint: In a keeper, hold. Redraft? I like Rizzo, Cespedes, and Hamilton in that order.

      • Clint says:
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        @jaywrong:

        Sorry, forgot to mention. 12 team Yahoo 5×5 roto redraft league. Currently sitting at or near the top of all batting categories except steals where I’m around 9th out of 12.

      • Clint says:
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        @jaywrong:

        So you’re of the mind to flip Kemp once he gets hot for one of Rizzo, Cespedes, or Hamilton?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Clint: It depends. If Kemp gots hot, it could be the start of something. I still might hold.

  15. ManuteBologna says:
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    I was just offered de Aza for my Markakis and now I see him on your buy list, should I hold? I’m in 6×6 roto with ops instead of avg and we count k against hitters. Ks are where Markalis has a nice advantage right now

  16. One I'd Willy says:
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    To balance out a trade, who would you part with: Alvarez, Nava, Fowler

  17. Steve D. says:
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    Aramis Ramirez or A Rod ROS in a 5×5, 10 team redraft?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Steve D.: ARam.

  18. PB&J with a baseball bat says:
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    So you have Porcello ahead of guys like Doubront, Straily, Miley, and Wei-Yin Chen. Lets get an even better gauge on your Porcello love: how do you rank Bacon ROS in relation to Erasmo and Kluber?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @PB&J with a baseball bat: Kluber slightly, better K potential. But Porcello is right behind him. I like Erasmo, but he needs a little more time before we start believing.

  19. Will says:
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    Who do you like better ROS? Brian McCann or Jonathan Lucroy?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Will:McCann.

  20. Whizzer55 says:
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    Outlook for Matt Adams in second half, if he gets somewhat consistent playing time. Maybe 12 HRs and .280 average? Many thanks!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Whizzer55: Maybe a couple less HR’s, but I think you got it pegged.

  21. the tone ranger says:
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    so, i can keep teix, belt, and rizzo for last round picks…
    do you think they are all markedly different from each other?

    how would you rank them for value?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @the tone ranger: Rizzo, Belt, then Tex. Age, health, and upside is what holds Tex back.

  22. fitz says:
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    ROS redraft H2H 6×6 with inclusion of BB and QS

    Segura or David Price

    My remaining SP would be Greinke, Latos, Gio, Kluber, Lester, H. Santiago, J. Turner
    My current MI is Utley, Rendon, Asdrubal, Iglesias

    Thank you!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @fitz: Based on your team, I’m leaning Price. Utley, Rendon, and Adrub should be enough to hold the fort, unless you are desperate for steals.

  23. The Founteeners says:
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    Who do you like better ROS – AROD, Miller, Straily or Dozier…

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @The Founteeners: Is that Shelby Miller? If so, Miller, Straily, AROD, Dozier

      • The Founteeners says:
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        @jaywrong: Sorry – was Brad Miller…

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @The Founteeners: Gotcha.

          If so, I’d say Miller, Straily, AROD, Dozier

  24. black & white says:
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    Was thinking about offering Rios + Bartolo for Cespedes…

    • black & white says:
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      @black & white:

      And would pick up Porcello off FA

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @black & white: In a redraft, I feel that’s an overpay. In a keeper, I’m fine with it.

  25. Scott says:
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    Trade deadline in our keeper league today- who wins, Harvey (7th round) and Puig (20th round) for Harper (16th round) and Miller (19th round)

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Scott: Assuming that’s Shelby Miller, I love that side with the round value.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Scott: If its Brad Miller, I still like it for you.

      • Scott says:
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        @jaywrong: It is shelby miller, and I would get harvey and puig so I guess don’t make the deal?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Scott: I would hold. In a vacuum, maybe, but the round value there really makes the case.

          Unless I have your round value backwards. In that case, I’ve been drinking… yes… drinking.

  26. Phil Rizzuto Is Alive!!! says:
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    Nice column. Would you take Howie Kendrick for Matt Moore? Thanks.

  27. Alex In SoCal says:
    (link)

    Please rank top 4 from these SPs for ROS … Thank you!

    Milone
    Nolasco
    Porcello
    Archer
    Kluber
    Wheeler
    Erasmo
    Strailey
    Cashner

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Alex In SoCal: Kluber, Porcello, Straily, Cashner

  28. brick says:
    (link)

    Great read, I want Cespedes bad in the second half too!
    So I recently took over a team in a friends league, 12 team roto standard categories: I’m last in all pitching except wins and k’s, also very poor in RBI’s

    Was recently offered:

    I give Gio, Reyes, Upton
    I get Crush Davis, Asdrubal Cabrera, Medlen

    I already have votto at first, and my rotation is lynn, de la rosa, kuroda, chen, kendrick, cole, and buchholz comin off the DL.

    Seems a bit steep right? especially since pitching is where I need to make up ground, but the thought of Crush and Votto has me drooling…

    Thanks!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @brick: Yeah, in that case, I would hold. But I that combo makes me drool too.

  29. Andrew Brownspot says:
    (link)

    Since you recommend the sell high on Matt Moore, what do you think about offering him and Gerrit Cole for someone like Bumgarner or Zimmerman? Just right or too much?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Andrew Brownspot: In a redraft, just right. In a keeper, I wouldn’t do that.

  30. Spyre says:
    (link)

    Great write up. I believe in Rizzo as well. Cespedes is a FA, I really want to pick him up as I believe in him as well, but I have no batters to drop (Rizzo or Craig are my options)

    Looking at my 3rd-place team (H2H points), Jeremy Hefner is my top performing player in the past 30 days (over Trout, Cano, Harvey, etc). I haven’t been able to see any of his starts, but I like that his ERA dropped from 5.00 on May 18, to 3.33 today. Over that time he’s gone 4-1 only allowing more than 2 runs once (and it was only 3 in that start). Basically I’m asking, is he for real?

    I want to pick up Porcello, but I’m unsure who to drop. Wei-Yin Chen, Cingrani, Erasmo, and Hefner are the options… Leaning towards Cingrani, as he won’t be in the rotation when Cueto comes back, and I’m gonna need pitching in September for the playoffs. Thoughts?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Spyre: Jeremy Hefner is very possibly Kris Medlen, and we just haven’t figured out how he’s in two places at once.

      Out of those, I would drop Erasmo or Cingrani, though JB might call me crazy.

      • Spyre says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: Thanks Jay. I just dropped Cingrani for Porky.

        I was going to give him a few starts to suss him out, but would you drop Erasmo for Straily?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @jaywrong: You’re crazy! But yea @Spyre: I’d drop either, probably Cingrani as well

      • Jay

        jaywrong says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: Hah. Yeah, I’ve been having people with Cingrani q’s go to you. Gives me plausible deniability.

  31. Wilsonian says:
    (link)

    Of my bottom SPs in an 8 Team H2H, who is the spot you would most likely dump for a streamer:

    Kluber, Lackey, Hellickson?

    I like having a stream spot in a league this shallow. You can find a great start nearly every day (although you can take a few in your teeth while you’re at it). Or would you just ride those SPs for the time being instead of taking a stream spot?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Wilsonian: I would ride them. Each of them have positives and negatives.

      Who are the top3 on the wire right now? It’ll give me an idea of what you would be streaming with.

      • Wilsonian says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: Leake, Griffin, Nolasco, Porcello, Dickey, Lester, Gallardo, EJackson

  32. shibboleth says:
    (link)

    When you compare Belt to Laroche, does that include his power? I worry he doesn’t have enough oomph to, erm, belt them out of his home park.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @shibboleth: Yeah, like 280ish with 20ish homeruns is his ceiling. That’s what I imagined as LaRoche. I love OOMPH!

      • shibboleth says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: tanks!

  33. D. Jackson says:
    (link)

    14-team H2H keeper, heavy pitching emphasis: Colon, Cuddyer & Leonys for Hambone & Matt Carpenter. Who’s getting robbed?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @D. Jackson: I actually like the Hambone side here.

  34. Jack Full of Hate says:
    (link)

    David Lough? Go…

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Jack Full of Hate: marginal babip guy that doesn’t walk.

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: 2nd half?

  35. chris says:
    (link)

    why does the hitter tron always like Rizzo? I don’t get it, his AVG is awful, he don’t get on base. His power numbers are dreadful… Doesn’t even hit a homer on weekly basis. I have Cuddyer and Craig, I should use them at 1st right?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @chris: I hear ya. My feelings are in the post on both Rizzo and Cuddyer. But you should hold until one stops hitting and the other starts.

  36. John Kreese says:
    (link)

    5X5 redraft, would you deal Hosmer for Headley straight up? I have Prince & Votto as my 1B’s so I can never get Hosmer in my lineup, but my 3B is Longo…looking for some insurance in case he gets hurt. My current 3b back-up is Rendon.

    Thanks…and remember, No Mercy!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @John Kreese: yeah, I would do that. I’m bearish on both though.

  37. Josh says:
    (link)

    What would be a fair trade to get Hamilton? The team needs SPs

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Josh: maybe like a medlen or lackey. I wouldn’t give up anything special, nor should you have to.

  38. Fireball Feliz says:
    (link)

    which combo do you like best? Friend wants to trade a closer for SP, He wants either Shark or Minor from my end and he’s willing to deal reed or holland. My Shark for his Holland, sounds like the best deal for me?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Fireball Feliz: I’d rather sell minor.

  39. hankp says:
    (link)

    Better bet for an impact in the 2nd half as a bench bat in a 14 team 5×5: Garret Jones, Matt Joyce, DJ LeMahieu?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @hankp: Joyce.

  40. Jason says:
    (link)

    Would you start Peavy at home against ATL his first start after the DL stint?

    • OaktownSteve says:
      (link)

      @Jason:

      I would but I only have him in a weekly league and he’ll get the back half of the double start against Detroit so I’m sitting him. He a veteran though and he should be ready to roll. Braves are a decent match up for K’s.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Jason: its a personal policy to hold off one start after a DL stint. It’s a coin flip. Against ATL, good k potential though, so I wouldn’t blame you for rolling it.

  41. Rachet77 says:
    (link)

    Drop Kelly Johnson for either Beckham or Brad Miller?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Rachet77: prolly Miller.

  42. T Moore says:
    (link)

    Mr Wrong: SMOAK SMOAK SMOAK!!!! How could he do worse..

    Prediction on BJ Upton.??? Any hope there???

    Could you sacrifice your neighbor’s yapping Jack Russel terrier; read his entrails for me and let me know the results of your divinations on the Upton question??

    Do you have many small animals left neighborhood???

    Hamels was round filed by me.. Had to open up a his spot… I get at least 3 times the GS out of that slot… I held him too long as it was… He wounded me… I loath him now… FOREVER!!!

    I play light in GS early… 2nd half provides better chances in the selection of the best matchups – and they Home starts too most often ( a huge advantage, Home games) – This is better than relying on one SP to hand you the keys to the kingdom IMO…

    Sadly, every year some yokel jumps up to be with the leaders of their league by burning his IPs or GS… Only to have to stand by and watch his place in the Ws and Ks CATs fall in the end… They are usually quite bitter…

    PS: I’m digging life having you “The Star of the Show” on here for my FBB mornings…

    Let it last forever…

    Are you one of the 1000 points of light G Bush Sr.was talking about??? ( I never had any idea what was on about with that – Don’t think many others did either..) But, I know, I often have to wear sunglasses when reading your words as they sparkle off my screen!!!

    I am just dreading the return of that other horrible man – the one, who is regularly on here in the mornings… Mustn’t think about that now… This is all too wonderful to let the “BAD” destroy it..

    Signed: Your most devoted reader…

    • OaktownSteve says:
      (link)

      @T Moore:

      Hey T Moore. I like Smoak a lot second half. He has a little bit of playing time issue but if he stays hot should be almost everyday. His Aug/Sept numbers last year were very rosterable.

      • T Moore says:
        (link)

        @OaktownSteve:

        SteveO: I grabbed him last week and he hit a tatter for me in his first game as a MAGPIE..

        The next day I ran out his stablemate M Saunder (who had a super 2nd half las year) and he hit a tatter too… HAHAHAHA GO MAGPIES!!!

        Both are on fire..

        I think, Morse’s struggles along with Smoak’s smoak’n bat will keep him in the lineup…. Do you remember that Smoke Smoke Smoke That Cigarette C/W tune???… They should play it when he comes to bat…

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @T Moore: I want them to play the smoke monster bwahmmm from Lost.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @T Moore: I own Smoak everywhere, and hate myself for it. Almost. You’re adoration is the flame to my dark room.

      BJ Upton… I think this is who he is.

      And I don’t understand anything with Bush. That’s was sexual innuendo. But you should have seen that coming.

  43. Teblow! says:
    (link)

    Who would you rather have – Brett Lawrie or ARod? I have Lawrie on the DL, but it appears he is back and I was considering dropping him for ARod. It is an 11 Team Roto League.

    Thanks much Jaywrong and nice job with the list.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Teblow!: thanks. I’m leaning Lawrie… barely for now. No clue what to expect from Arod.

  44. Mark says:
    (link)

    Trade Braun for Cespedes in keeper? best finish possible is 2nd obp and slg count too

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mark: Eh, I’d want one more piece. Maybe a top100 prospect.

  45. Larry says:
    (link)

    So if I sell Cuddyer in 6×6 with obp, which of the buys should i target?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Larry: Headley or Cespedes? Maybe even Rizzo.

  46. Jorge says:
    (link)

    Who do I start this week?

    Lohse v. Miami & SD
    Fister at Kc, Philly

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Jorge: Lohse.

      • Jorge says:
        (link)

        Thanks @jaywrong:

  47. T Moore says:
    (link)

    Mr Wrong: Forgot!!!… Ask the FBB Gods when you “DO” that Jack Russel, “Who should I go with tomorrow – Gaudin or Doubront????” TIA

    Leaning towards Gaudin as it’s ARI and Kennedy is pitching ..

    Hate, Yankee V Beantown matchups too… Hate to bet against Andy in a Big Game too

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @T Moore: tough. I’m going opposite with Doubront. I might get burned on that one. Total gut call.

      • T Moore says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong:

        Mr. Wrong: I went with both… I cut Loney.. He has been empty of stats of late… Watch him go nutz now… I really couldn’t play him anyway… I have LaRoche sitting as well with SMOAKie going in their stead

      • T Moore says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong:

        Guadin was just busted for “Gross Lewdness” in Los Vegas in the off season… I’m liking this guy more all the time..

        What is Gross Lewdness, anyways ????

        Must be something like going # 2 on the floor of the casino – when not wanting to lose a hot slot that is finally paying off …

        Bet the catchers worry what is going to happen, when they give the sign for the deuce with this guy on the mound!!! Typical for the Giants

        • goodfold2 says:
          (link)

          @T Moore: he groped some woman at a vegas hospital, as she was passed out on a gurney. No explanation as to why she was unconscious, who she was, nor why he was even at the hospital in the first place. Weirdest part of the story was that the Giants’ lawyers didn’t get involved immediately and shut this down before it became news. Probably was on X and bringing in a friend who was so fucked up he had to go the emergency room from dehydration or something like that.

  48. OaktownSteve says:
    (link)

    How sad is it that 4 days without baseball seems like forever? Junkie.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: it does feel like a long break, but when you write about it, it does feel… alright, ya know?

      But I’m eager to get the second half going. Trade deadline is my favorite part of the year.

    • Big Magoo says:
      (link)

      @OaktownSteve: Between that and the mid-summer heat, going crazy over here.

  49. Alex says:
    (link)

    My Sale for his Hamels/Butler fair? too much? too little? QS league with inn limit

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Alex: I’m fine with it.

      • Alex says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: He wants laroche with sale, still do it?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Alex: Eh, no. Too much.

  50. Moth says:
    (link)

    What do you expect out of David Freese for the second half? Counting on him to improve…

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Moth: yeah, I think he’ll do better. I thought about him for this post, but 10000 words for this week… I needed a nap.

  51. The Dredd Pirate says:
    (link)

    Non Keeper 12 team mixed sorry I know its a keeper post…So a couple scenarios for you, as I said yesterday I just picked up Au Shizz for J. Zimmerman and Billy Butler. So now my pitching is Price, Ryu, Lincecum, Erasmo and a bunch of Relief guys for ratios. We have and innings limit I have 473 left and our trade deadline is August 18th.
    I thought I was gonna have another deal for Straus but it fell through. So some of the options I was thinking either.
    1. hold the staff is fine for that many innings
    2. Trade for another big name pitcher because my league values pitchers a lot so I figure before the deadline I can flip one of them for more hitting.
    So 2 possible trades would be,
    A. Guy wants Verlander for McCutchen too much in my opinion but I could use saves so I could throw in one of his closers rivera, belfaur, or soriano?
    B. different guy wants to do Salty and Cliff Lee for Segura and Cruz. I coud us a catcher I’m using zunino and I have Brad Miller to replace segura.

    Sorry so long thanks.

    • The Dredd Pirate says:
      (link)

      @The Dredd Pirate:

      His Verlander my McCutchen

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @The Dredd Pirate: this post is for redrafts too. Buy/Sell in general.

      I like the second deal for you.

  52. Teblow! says:
    (link)

    One more if you don’t mind Jaywrong. Would you drop Ramos for Montero in a 12 Team H2H with Holds and OPS? I have been circulating Catchers through my lineup for the entire season, but am regretting dropping Castro a few weeks back. I was going to add him again at the end of the week (a stunt that has burned me on more than one occassion), but my wife grabbed him first. Doh! Where’s the love!

    Thanks much Jaywrong.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Teblow!: there’s no love in fantasy sports… Only heartache.

      Yeah, I’d pick up Montero.

  53. FillyP says:
    (link)

    Trade that went down in my league to the 2nd place team in my division:
    Miggy + Stras + Lackey + Fowler + 12th round pick
    for
    Peralta + Crawford + Jo-Fer + Beckham + 2nd round pick

    Miggy & Stras aren’t keeper-eligible in our league, but WTF! Shouldn’t that have been vetoed? Still feeling butthurt…

    Anyway, would you drop Moss for: Eaton, Reddick, Infante? I could also drop Escobar, but I have Miller as my everyday SS right now. Weeks is my MI. Only got 6 moves left on the season..

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @FillyP: I don’t believe in veto’s, but that trade is a bit tilted. But no keeps on the big guys and the round upgrade with Fernandez… its not bad.

      With only six moves… I’d hold.

  54. Ryan741 says:
    (link)

    Verlander/Allen Craig or Weaver/Edwin/Grandy?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Ryan741: ugh. Coin flip… I’m leaning Verlander… barely.

  55. Spike Owen says:
    (link)

    Team is below. I need to cut 1 guy to pick up a catcher again and 1 other guy to activate Eaton (unless I drop Eaton himself). Who should they be? Dickey and Frazier are my leading candidates, except I’m worried about Panda’s health and Frazier is my backup 3B (on waivers there is Arenado and not much else). And dropping a Cy Young Winner sucks…especially when you’re a Jays fan…

    Thoughts?

    Yahoo! / 12 Team / Roto Keeper (5 players)

    Standard 5 x 5 (Hitting: R / HR / RBI / SB / AVG Pitching: W / SV / K / ERA / WHIP)

    C –
    1B – Goldschmidt
    2B – Pedroia
    SS – Reyes
    3B – Sandoval
    CI – Chris Davis
    MI – Kipnis
    OF – McCutchen
    OF – Pence
    OF – Rios
    OF – Jennings
    OF – Choo
    Util – Braun
    BN – Frazier
    BN – Laroche
    DL – Eaton
    DL – Willingham

    SP – Lee / Moore / Zimmerman / Dickey / Ryu / E. Ramirez / Cingrani
    RP – Holland / Mujica / Gregg / Rosenthal

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Spike Owen: Leaning Frazier.

      • Spike Owen says:
        (link)

        Thanks! And the other one? Is it Dickey? Or Eaton?

        @jaywrong:

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Spike Owen: Eaton. I like Dickey.

          That sounds dirty.

  56. Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    You’ve made your man-love/homerism for Headley quite clear. Any thoughts on Venable though? Still not starting against lefties, but there aren’t many other power/speed guys available at this point. ROS line is….

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Big Magoo: I don’t think he’ll ever start against lefties. I still like him though. Streaky, but he’s not that far off from what Jennings will give you. I’d say 35/7/35/240/10 is doable.

  57. Kimosabi says:
    (link)

    Which side of the family drinks more?

    Who’s the closer in Boston ros? Bailey or koji?
    Wanna drop one for dickey or porcello.

    Fellow Korean bro. I love bacon and kimchi with rice. Ever try samgyeopsal?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Kimosabi: I’d say its equal.

      And yeah brah, I do BBQ at least once a week in my household. Samgyeopsal, Spicy Bulgogi, Sliced Pork Belly, etc.

      I’d say Bailey gets a shot, but I wouldn’t t drop any of those starters.

      • Kimosabi says:
        (link)

        Lol! Now that’s a BBQ worthy of plenty of soju. Homer Simpson drool.

        Thanks, brah, for the effing hilarious write ups and quips. BACON!!!

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Kimosabi: Anytime. It’s what I do yo!

          • Kimosabi says:
            (link)

            No more bailey to deal with.

            Almost soju time. Need help in the meantime:
            5×5. 10 team Rotisserie. 5keeper league.
            I want to add BACON but who do I drop?
            Infield: Lucroy, Prince, Uggla, zobrist, machado
            OF: trout Harper puig
            UT: Beltran
            Bench: l. Martin, m. Adams, trumbo, o. Taveras, x. Bogaerts
            SP: Strasburg, liriano, minor, dickey, lincecum
            RP: koji, Benoit, soriano, Frieri,

            Hold?

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
              (link)

              @Kimosabi:Yeh, I think you gotta hold.

              • Kimosabi says:
                (link)

                Here’s a shot of soju and a toke at 420 for ya, bro. Thanks and have a great weekend. Keep up the great work and analysis.

                • Jay

                  jaywrong says:
                  (link)

                  @Kimosabi: Haha, thanks yo.

  58. No mas pantalones says:
    (link)

    Was thinking of offering cargo for kershaw, do you think I’m offering too much…
    Also I’d have to drop a pitcher so do you think I’d be better off dropping erasmo or Lynn…thanks for any help

    • fitz says:
      (link)

      @No mas pantalones: It’s fair if you need pitching but I’d prefer Cargo.

  59. Mr. Glass says:
    (link)

    would you try flipping Ryu for either Shields or Cole Hamels in a weekly H2H kinda thinking Ryu is going to get figured out

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mr. Glass: I’m okay with that, yeah. Rather have Hamels here than Shields.

  60. weeklyheadache says:
    (link)

    Rank ROS:

    CI: Frazier, Davis, M Adams

    OF: Eaton, Reddick, R Davis

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @weeklyheadache:
      CI: Davis, M Adams, Frazier

      OF: Eaton, Reddick, R Davis

  61. Juice_0321 says:
    (link)

    Thoughts on Myers ROS and in a keeper league. Would you trade Ajax for Myers?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Juice_0321: I like Myers, just not crazy about him. I think he’s more Jay Bruce than, say, I dunno, whatever other comps there are. If you need AVG, I’d do that trade. If you need power, I’d hold.

  62. Chicken Dinner says:
    (link)

    Granderson/Cahill for MY Aoki/Shelby/Cole.

    I need to drop someone but don’t want to. H2H points league trying to increase roster space. Too much?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Chicken Dinner: Yeah, I’d hold. Maybe figure out another path.

  63. Mariner Mike says:
    (link)

    Do you like Eaton second half also have D. Brown do you see comparable production going forward.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mariner Mike: Eaton should be okay, but I’m not relying on him. I think Brown slows down a bit.

  64. Mariner Mike says:
    (link)

    Time to move Samardja do ya think. Not seeing much. Thank you for the thoughts

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mariner Mike: I’d hold. Peripherals still look strong.

  65. Mike says:
    (link)

    Well, I just traded Peralta for Belt, so lets hope there is some Razzball magic in this post!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mike: Amen brotha!

  66. Prezz says:
    (link)

    Medlen hater++! Dont doubt the flat billed pitchapus!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Prezz: Hah! Fair enough.

  67. WantsToGetFunkedUp says:
    (link)

    Give CarGonzalez & HanRam for Cano, Stras, & Rizzo?

  68. chris j. says:
    (link)

    Jay – whats your thoughts on F. Liriano’s 2nd half. He and Porcello are available in my dynasty league, who should I grab?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @chris j.: I’d feel safer with Porcello, which I know, sounds crazy… but I just got that feeling. Like the song.

  69. Mariner Mike says:
    (link)

    Sorry for the scattered thoughts (scattered brain) but have Cespedes,D. Brown,Ellesbury,Marte,Bautista,and Eaton in OF. With Ellesbury and Marte on roster doesn’t Eaton become a roster waste. Also have but not using Butler(have Encarcion at first) so maybe somekind of package of Eaton, Butler, and Samardja for anything they all seem to be roster wastes. Pitching staff is Kershaw,Harvey,Corbin,Sherzer,Archer,and Hefner so strong there so maybe look for a hittin’ OF. Man I’m confused but trying. Thanks a lot for your thoughts!!!!!!!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Mariner Mike: I would try to unload Eaton and Butler to someone, but your pitching looks good. I’d actually hold onto the Shark. Maybe strengthen other ares on your team. Catching, MI, etc.

      • Mariner Mike says:
        (link)

        @jaywrong: I have Rosario,Hill at second,A.Caberra at short and Longo in the infield Machado backing up Longo. Maybe a move to get Reyes at short. Team is fairly good but become frustrated in certain areas and don’t know whar to do,probably show more patience. Once again thanks you for the help.

        • Mariner Mike says:
          (link)

          @Mariner Mike: League I’m in no one seems to trade unless robbery is involved so maybe a drop on Eaton,Rasmus and Quinton on waiver so maybe pick one of them up. Thanks for the read.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
          (link)

          @Mariner Mike: I like going after Reyes, yah.

  70. Wilsonian says:
    (link)

    Have been offered Kuroda for Mujica. I could then pick up Bastardo in hopes that Papelbon gets dealt. I left that one open and also offered back my Mujica for Hamels. If that gets denied, would you take the Kuroda deal?

    SPs: Latos, Moore, Nolasco, Dempster, Porcello, Parker, Peralta
    RPs: Mujica, Uehara, Veras

    16 Team H2H – W, L, SV, Ks, Ks/9, ERA, WHIP

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
      (link)

      @Wilsonian: Yeah, looks good. I’d rather have Hamels though.

  71. Frank Kim says:
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    Great post. Just wondering, would you trade Lincecum for Cuddyer in a 15 team OPS league? I have an offer from a guy and I want to take it but your column has me reconsidering.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Frank Kim: I’d actually hold. I could be wrong on both, but the stats are telling me that you are selling and buying at the wrong time.

      • Frank Kim says:
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        @jaywrong: Thanks for the advice! I thought it might be a good time to sell because of his no hitter. Does his high pitch count from that game worry you?
        Also noticed Razzball rest of season values for Cuddyer are higher than Lincecum.
        I am going to try to get more but not sure how much more to make it happen. Asked for Fowler as a throw-in but don’t think that will happen.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Frank Kim: If you get Fowler, I think that’s a good deal for you.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Frank Kim: On the high pitch count, we’ll see the next couple of starts, that’s usually when something like that can show.

          • Frank Kim says:
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            @jaywrong: Thanks Jaywrong!

            • Jay

              jaywrong says:
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              @Frank Kim: no prob.

  72. Yolanda says:
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    Jay, my pitching staff is decent but I could use advice. 10-team mixed, 7 pitching categories: W, L, K, IP, era, whip, saves + holds (closers are devalued).

    Staff is: Sherzer, Hamels, Kuroda, Dickey, Holland, Peavy, Colon, Lincecum, Hafner, stream slot.

    Waiver wire: Bacon, Kluber, Erasmo, Chacin, DeLaRosa

    Should I hold because the staff is solid enough? Drop Hafner or Lincecum for Kluber? I could trade Aaron Hill (have Kipnis) for an upgrade. Thanks!

    Ryan

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Yolanda: I would drop Hafner for LIncecum or Kluber. I might actually try to trade Hefner and Hill for something, and try to fit Bacon onto the roster.

  73. Ugh.. says:
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    Rizzo and Hosmer are on the wire. I have Goldy (1B) and Fielder (utl). I would like to trade Fielder for an upgrade to my OF, but I’m having trouble getting any interest for owners of top-10 outfielders. What kind of an OF would I need to receive in return for fielder to justify downgrading to Rizzo at Utl? I would be replacing Pence or Jennings.

    Or should I shut up and hold?

    Thanks!

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Ugh..: Maybe JoeyBats? I don’t mind the downgrade, at this point, its not a huge shift.

  74. Teblow! says:
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    This is really the last question.

    Would you trade Max Scehrzer and Jean Segura for Robby Cano in a non-keeper 5×5 Roto League? I am in need of HRs and RBIs. My pitching would take a hit, but I could really use the offense.

    Thanks again Jaywrong.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Teblow!: If you’re desperate, yes. Who is going to replace MadMax? That could be the difference.

      • Teblow! says:
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        @jaywrong: Desperate is too strong a word. I would honestly not consider myself desperate. I am in the middle of the pack in HRs and Ribblets. And my pitching would definitely be weaker as I would only have Gio, JZimm, Medlen, Teheran, Kluber, and Erasmo. I already traded away Samardjiza and Jennings for Stanton (pretty sweet deal, no?). I would also need to get a SS without Segura. That’s scary.

        It sound like it’s a “NO.” Thanks much for the advice Jaywrong.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Teblow!: Yeah, I’d hold then.

          Nice trade. I like Samardjiza, but you got good value there.

  75. Wilsonian says:
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    Anyone that cares to chime in – what do you think about this trade?

    A) Fielder/Utley
    B) Pedroia/either S.Castro, Hosmer, De Aza, Fowler, Rasmus, Leonys, C.Crawford

    I could move Davis to 1st and Jennings to every day OF.

    H2H – H, R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OB+SLUG

    *other option would be Fielder for Pedroia straight up.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Wilsonian: Fielder for Pedroia is your best bet, I’m not crazy about the other options.

      • Wilsonian says:
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        @jaywrong: basically I would then play Davis at 1st, Sparky at 2nd, Jennings would take over in the OF, and Pedro and Utley would swap in out of the UTIL slot. Do it, or not? I’m on the fence. Don’t really like Fielder, but I don’t trust Utley at 2nd, either.

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Wilsonian: Yeah, I think it’s worth shoring up your MI. I don’t trust Utley as well.

  76. baseballss says:
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    I have an excess in saves and am looking to trade either jim johnson, perkins, or mujica and I need sb. anyone come to mind?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @baseballss: Depends who needs saves. You could get anywhere from Jennings to Gardner, maybe Revere.

  77. Pope says:
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    So I’ve never been a big Prado fan, but I’m thinking about trying to ship my Garza for Prado. Could use him at my 1B/3B slot over Chris Carter. What do you think?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Pope: I think it could work.

      • Pope says:
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        @jaywrong: Just kidding, Carter is my backup/utility. I’ve got Gyorko at 1B/3B. Prado isn’t a big enough upgrade there to get rid of Garza, right?

        • Jay

          jaywrong says:
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          @Pope: Garza peripherals worry me a bit, but you might get more, sure. I’d prefer to keep starting Gyorko if that’s the case.

          • Pope says:
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            @jaywrong: Gotcha thanks

            • Pope says:
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              @Pope: If I’ve got Sal Perez catching, would you trade Garza for Weiters?

              • Jay

                jaywrong says:
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                @Pope: if you need power, sure.

                • Pope says:
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                  @jaywrong: Thanks man. I think that’ll conclude the Garza questions for tonight

  78. Jail says:
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    Who would you expect a better 2nd half from, Shields or Iwakuma? Roto.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Jail: I’m sticking with Iwakuma. There will be regression, but I think he sticks more.

  79. Jail says:
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    thanks j-weezy. another question: will there be a big difference between samardzija and kluber at the end of the year?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Jail: yes, advantage shark.

  80. Puddin371 says:
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    I am in an AL only roto league and have Peavy coming off the DL Saturday. I am concerned about a possible trade to the NL and am not sure about dropping a young keeper for him. Its either Kyle Gibson, Jordan Lyles, Alex Torres or Bruce Chen ( not a young keeper but more stable). I trust Gibson the least, but he has future potential at a cheap price right now. I am desperate for better ERA and WHIP. Any advice?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Puddin371: Yeh, I’d go with Gibson. But I think he could still stay in the AL.

  81. Pierce says:
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    What’s your feeling on arod, worth a pickup?

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Pierce: ehhh, if you have a spot, I have no idea what to expect.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Pope: Haha, nice!

  82. Rocky says:
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    What would you consider top dollar in an NL-Only League for Cargo? Kershaw is about the only guy I would trade straight up for him. I love Posey, Votto, Goldy, David Wright, McCutchen, Bruce, Upton, Bryce, etc as much as the next guy but I don’t think I would buy any of them of over CarGo. Looking to make some moves, and he’s certainly a huge chip in a package deal but curious who you would target that’s an upgrade.

    • Jay

      jaywrong says:
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      @Rocky: I would do it for Goldy, Cutch, Harper, and Kershaw. The rest, I agree with you. And I’m assuming this is a keeper.

  83. TheGoods says:
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    I’m in a 12 team H2H keeper… i want to pick up a nice keeper for next season, thoughts on Castellonos, Hamilton, Archie Bradley or Carlos Martinez?

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