Razzball Fantasy Baseball FIP vs. ERA Comparison

Name	Team	ESPN_POS	IP	FIP	ERA	Diff
Chris Perez	CLE	RP	16.0	5.70	2.25	-3.45
Tanner Scheppers	TEX	RP	22.7	4.15	0.79	-3.36
Travis Blackley	HOU	SP, RP	15.0	6.80	3.60	-3.20
Tom Gorzelanny	MIL	RP	15.7	5.40	2.30	-3.10
Tommy Hunter	BAL	SP, RP	23.3	4.55	1.54	-3.01
Huston Street	SD	RP	19.3	7.20	4.19	-3.01
Trevor Bauer	CLE	SP	16.3	5.45	2.76	-2.69
Jeanmar Gomez	PIT	SP	32.3	5.45	2.78	-2.67
Jeremy Guthrie	KC	SP	59.3	6.05	3.49	-2.56
Kelvin Herrera	KC	RP	19.3	7.20	4.66	-2.54
Ernesto Frieri	LAA	RP	20.0	4.75	2.25	-2.50
Cory Gearrin	ATL	RP	20.0	3.35	0.90	-2.45
Robbie Ross	TEX	RP	19.7	2.83	0.46	-2.37
Jason Marquis	SD	SP	55.0	5.62	3.27	-2.35
Luke Gregerson	SD	RP	18.7	3.20	0.96	-2.24
Sean Doolittle	OAK	RP	19.0	3.04	0.95	-2.09
Matt Moore	TB	SP	55.0	4.36	2.29	-2.07
Jake Westbrook	STL	SP	39.0	3.69	1.62	-2.07
Freddy Garcia	BAL	SP	22.3	6.84	4.84	-2.00
Grant Balfour	OAK	RP	17.3	3.55	1.56	-1.99
Paul Clemens	HOU	RP	27.3	5.94	3.95	-1.99
Tommy Hanson	LAA	SP	28.0	5.84	3.86	-1.98
Scott Feldman	CHN	SP	49.3	4.16	2.19	-1.97
Tom Wilhelmsen	SEA	RP	19.0	2.41	0.47	-1.94
Jonathan Papelbon	PHI	RP	17.7	2.91	1.02	-1.89
Tyson Ross	SD	SP	22.0	4.75	2.86	-1.89
Adam Warren	NYA	SP, RP	19.7	3.25	1.37	-1.88
Jeff Locke	PIT	SP	52.7	4.60	2.73	-1.87
Darren O'Day	BAL	RP	20.7	3.60	1.74	-1.86
Hector Santiago	CHA	SP	35.7	4.63	2.78	-1.85
Jonathan Pettibone	PHI	SP	36.0	4.84	3.00	-1.84
Joe Smith	CLE	RP	16.0	2.95	1.13	-1.82
Ryan Pressly	MIN	RP	21.7	3.44	1.66	-1.78
Ryan Webb	MIA	RP	25.0	3.20	1.44	-1.76
Travis Wood	CHN	SP	60.3	3.98	2.24	-1.74
Rex Brothers	COL	RP	19.3	2.20	0.47	-1.73
Kris Medlen	ATL	SP	56.7	4.75	3.02	-1.73
Joaquin Benoit	DET	RP	19.0	3.15	1.42	-1.73
Santiago Casilla	SF	RP	19.0	3.62	1.89	-1.73
Ramon Ortiz	TOR	SP	15.3	4.07	2.35	-1.72
Josh Roenicke	MIN	RP	23.3	5.16	3.47	-1.69
Matt Guerrier	LAN	RP	15.7	5.13	3.45	-1.68
Zach McAllister	CLE	SP	51.0	4.28	2.65	-1.63
David Hernandez	ARI	RP	19.7	4.83	3.20	-1.63
Troy Patton	BAL	RP	20.0	5.65	4.05	-1.60
Justin Wilson	PIT	RP	25.7	3.00	1.40	-1.60
Eric O'Flaherty	ATL	RP	18.0	4.09	2.50	-1.59
Rafael Soriano	WAS	RP	19.0	3.46	1.89	-1.57
Oliver Perez	SEA	RP	17.0	3.14	1.59	-1.55
Wandy Rodriguez	PIT	SP	44.3	4.79	3.25	-1.54
Sam LeCure	CIN	RP	19.0	2.94	1.42	-1.52
Patrick Corbin	ARI	SP	62.3	2.94	1.44	-1.50
Anthony Varvaro	ATL	RP	23.0	3.85	2.35	-1.50
Mike Adams	PHI	RP	15.0	4.47	3.00	-1.47
Pat Neshek	OAK	RP	17.0	4.08	2.65	-1.43
Luis Avilan	ATL	RP	17.3	3.49	2.08	-1.41
Edward Mujica	STL	RP	19.0	2.83	1.42	-1.41
J.J. Hoover	CIN	RP	19.0	5.20	3.79	-1.41
Mariano Rivera	NYA	RP	18.3	2.87	1.47	-1.40
Hiroki Kuroda	NYA	SP	58.7	3.36	1.99	-1.37
Trevor Cahill	ARI	SP	58.0	3.84	2.48	-1.36
Chris Tillman	BAL	SP	53.7	4.86	3.52	-1.34
Adam Ottavino	COL	RP	22.3	3.34	2.01	-1.33
Jordan Zimmermann	WAS	SP	66.7	2.93	1.62	-1.31
Mike Dunn	MIA	RP	20.7	3.05	1.74	-1.31
Alex Sanabia	MIA	SP	51.3	5.87	4.56	-1.31
Dale Thayer	SD	RP	20.0	4.45	3.15	-1.30
Alexi Ogando	TEX	SP	49.7	4.36	3.08	-1.28
Carlos Marmol	CHN	RP	16.0	6.33	5.06	-1.27
Tyler Clippard	WAS	RP	16.0	4.08	2.81	-1.27
Hisashi Iwakuma	SEA	SP	64.7	3.64	2.37	-1.27
Clayton Kershaw	LAN	SP	73.3	2.60	1.35	-1.25
Tom Koehler	MIA	SP	22.3	4.06	2.82	-1.24
Luke Hochevar	KC	SP, RP	16.3	2.33	1.10	-1.23
Joe Nathan	TEX	RP	17.0	3.32	2.12	-1.20
Tony Cingrani	CIN	SP	33.0	4.47	3.27	-1.20
Andrew Cashner	SD	SP	44.7	4.18	3.02	-1.16
James Russell	CHN	RP	17.3	1.67	0.52	-1.15
Darren Oliver	TOR	RP	17.0	4.32	3.18	-1.14
Mark Melancon	PIT	RP	23.0	1.90	0.78	-1.12
Steve Delabar	TOR	RP	23.0	3.03	1.96	-1.07
Joel Peralta	TB	RP	20.7	2.80	1.74	-1.06
Ross Detwiler	WAS	SP	45.7	3.78	2.76	-1.02
Zack Greinke	LAN	SP	16.7	2.64	1.62	-1.02
Aaron Loup	TOR	RP	22.0	3.88	2.86	-1.02
Logan Ondrusek	CIN	RP	16.0	4.95	3.94	-1.01
Jesse Crain	CHA	RP	20.3	1.90	0.89	-1.01
Bobby Parnell	NYN	RP	19.3	1.94	0.93	-1.01
Lucas Harrell	HOU	SP	56.3	5.63	4.63	-1.00
Edgmer Escalona	COL	RP	24.3	3.58	2.59	-0.99
Kyle Kendrick	PHI	SP	60.7	3.78	2.82	-0.96
Brett Myers	CLE	SP	21.3	8.96	8.02	-0.94
Bryan Shaw	CLE	RP	21.3	2.63	1.69	-0.94
Chad Gaudin	SF	RP	25.7	3.00	2.10	-0.90
Brad Ziegler	ARI	RP	20.7	3.50	2.61	-0.89
Kevin Slowey	MIA	SP	52.3	4.33	3.44	-0.89
Miguel Gonzalez	BAL	SP	35.3	5.46	4.58	-0.88
Shelby Miller	STL	SP	57.0	2.60	1.74	-0.86
Alex Cobb	TB	SP	53.0	3.75	2.89	-0.86
Mike Minor	ATL	SP	58.3	3.63	2.78	-0.85
James Shields	KC	SP	66.0	3.28	2.45	-0.83
Jerome Williams	LAA	SP	38.3	3.88	3.05	-0.83
Chris Sale	CHA	SP	64.0	3.36	2.53	-0.83
Matt Harvey	NYN	SP	63.7	2.37	1.55	-0.82
Cody Allen	CLE	RP	19.3	3.15	2.33	-0.82
Clay Buchholz	BOS	SP	65.7	2.58	1.78	-0.80
A.J. Griffin	OAK	SP	57.7	4.38	3.59	-0.79
Ervin Santana	KC	SP	55.3	3.56	2.77	-0.79
Clayton Mortensen	BOS	RP	22.0	4.47	3.68	-0.79
Rafael Betancourt	COL	RP	17.3	2.32	1.56	-0.76
Koji Uehara	BOS	RP	17.7	2.79	2.04	-0.75
Jared Burton	MIN	RP	19.0	3.09	2.37	-0.72
Juan Nicasio	COL	SP	46.3	5.18	4.47	-0.71
Mat Latos	CIN	SP	58.7	3.61	2.91	-0.70
David Robertson	NYA	RP	18.3	3.64	2.95	-0.69
Stephen Strasburg	WAS	SP	57.3	3.52	2.83	-0.69
Wei-Yin Chen	BAL	SP	47.3	3.71	3.04	-0.67
Dylan Axelrod	CHA	SP	52.3	4.80	4.13	-0.67
Brian Matusz	BAL	SP, RP	17.0	3.32	2.65	-0.67
C.J. Wilson	LAA	SP	55.7	4.38	3.72	-0.66
Kevin Correia	MIN	SP	57.7	4.55	3.90	-0.65
Jim Henderson	MIL	RP	18.0	1.64	1.00	-0.64
Johnny Cueto	CIN	SP	22.3	3.84	3.22	-0.62
Jerry Blevins	OAK	RP	21.7	2.68	2.08	-0.60
Dallas Keuchel	HOU	SP	34.7	5.52	4.93	-0.59
Julio Teheran	ATL	SP	49.7	4.57	3.99	-0.58
Alfredo Figaro	MIL	RP	21.7	3.87	3.32	-0.55
Wesley Wright	HOU	RP	18.7	3.92	3.38	-0.54
CC Sabathia	NYA	SP	65.7	3.97	3.43	-0.54
Bronson Arroyo	CIN	SP	60.3	3.80	3.28	-0.52
Carlos Villanueva	CHN	SP	52.7	4.43	3.93	-0.50
A.J. Ramos	MIA	RP	22.3	3.70	3.22	-0.48
Hector Rondon	CHN	RP	15.7	5.07	4.60	-0.47
Tyler Chatwood	COL	SP	17.7	3.02	2.55	-0.47
Andy Pettitte	NYA	SP	49.3	4.30	3.83	-0.47
Junichi Tazawa	BOS	RP	19.3	3.25	2.79	-0.46
Jorge de la Rosa	COL	SP	50.3	4.04	3.58	-0.46
Matt Reynolds	ARI	RP	19.7	1.36	0.92	-0.44
Jason Vargas	LAA	SP	58.3	3.98	3.55	-0.43
Jon Lester	BOS	SP	65.7	3.57	3.15	-0.42
Burke Badenhop	MIL	RP	17.3	3.02	2.60	-0.42
Mike Leake	CIN	SP	48.3	4.14	3.72	-0.42
Brandon Lyon	NYN	RP	16.7	3.64	3.24	-0.40
Vin Mazzaro	PIT	SP, RP	15.7	3.27	2.87	-0.40
Jeremy Hefner	NYN	SP	45.0	5.38	5.00	-0.38
Scott Rice	NYN	RP	20.7	3.40	3.05	-0.35
Anthony Bass	SD	SP, RP	27.7	2.94	2.60	-0.34
Cliff Lee	PHI	SP	63.7	3.17	2.83	-0.34
Jaime Garcia	STL	SP	55.3	3.87	3.58	-0.29
Darin Downs	DET	RP	20.7	2.90	2.61	-0.29
R.A. Dickey	TOR	SP	62.0	4.78	4.50	-0.28
Jim Johnson	BAL	RP	21.3	4.49	4.22	-0.27
Justin Masterson	CLE	SP	70.0	3.10	2.83	-0.27
Felix Hernandez	SEA	SP	69.7	2.34	2.07	-0.27
Nick Tepesch	TEX	SP	43.0	4.25	3.98	-0.27
Brandon League	LAN	RP	16.3	5.76	5.51	-0.25
Tommy Milone	OAK	SP	57.0	3.71	3.47	-0.24
Erik Bedard	HOU	SP	33.0	6.23	6.00	-0.23
Fernando Salas	STL	RP	16.3	4.08	3.86	-0.22
Wade Miley	ARI	SP	54.0	3.87	3.67	-0.20
Ryan Dempster	BOS	SP	52.7	4.47	4.27	-0.20
Cesar Ramos	TB	RP	17.7	3.26	3.06	-0.20
J.P. Howell	LAN	RP	18.7	3.09	2.89	-0.20
Jonathan Broxton	CIN	RP	18.7	4.53	4.34	-0.19
Jake Peavy	CHA	SP	51.7	3.47	3.31	-0.16
Gio Gonzalez	WAS	SP	51.7	4.16	4.01	-0.15
Aroldis Chapman	CIN	RP	20.0	3.30	3.15	-0.15
Trevor Rosenthal	STL	RP	22.3	2.56	2.42	-0.14
Craig Kimbrel	ATL	RP	17.3	2.73	2.60	-0.13
Brett Cecil	TOR	SP, RP	22.0	2.56	2.45	-0.11
Jose Quintana	CHA	SP	45.3	4.07	3.97	-0.10
Scott Diamond	MIN	SP	39.7	5.07	4.99	-0.08
Justin Grimm	TEX	SP	40.3	4.08	4.02	-0.06
Alfredo Simon	CIN	RP	21.0	3.49	3.43	-0.06
Kyle Lohse	MIL	SP	55.0	3.82	3.76	-0.06
Ryan Cook	OAK	RP	20.7	1.80	1.74	-0.06
Craig Stammen	WAS	RP	22.7	2.84	2.78	-0.06
Jeff Samardzija	CHN	SP	56.7	3.54	3.49	-0.05
Lance Lynn	STL	SP	55.0	3.31	3.27	-0.04
Hyun-Jin Ryu	LAN	SP	55.3	3.44	3.42	-0.02
Cole Hamels	PHI	SP	62.7	4.46	4.45	-0.01
Matt Cain	SF	SP	56.3	5.43	5.43	0.00
Bud Norris	HOU	SP	50.0	4.32	4.32	0.00
LaTroy Hawkins	NYN	RP	19.0	3.31	3.32	0.01
Jose Fernandez	MIA	SP	44.0	3.47	3.48	0.01
Paul Maholm	ATL	SP	54.0	3.81	3.83	0.02
A.J. Burnett	PIT	SP	63.0	2.55	2.57	0.02
Madison Bumgarner	SF	SP	58.3	3.04	3.09	0.05
Drew Smyly	DET	SP, RP	28.0	1.88	1.93	0.05
John Lackey	BOS	SP	32.7	3.26	3.31	0.05
Homer Bailey	CIN	SP	58.3	3.03	3.09	0.06
Yu Darvish	TEX	SP	60.7	2.90	2.97	0.07
Kenley Jansen	LAN	RP	22.3	3.56	3.63	0.07
Brandon Morrow	TOR	SP	45.3	5.09	5.16	0.07
Brandon Maurer	SEA	SP	40.7	5.68	5.75	0.07
Ronald Belisario	LAN	RP	20.7	3.40	3.48	0.08
David Phelps	NYA	SP	42.3	3.75	3.83	0.08
Carter Capps	SEA	RP	23.0	3.81	3.91	0.10
Jarrod Parker	OAK	SP	47.7	5.92	6.04	0.12
Marco Estrada	MIL	SP	51.3	5.32	5.44	0.12
Eric Stults	SD	SP	53.3	3.92	4.05	0.13
Addison Reed	CHA	RP	20.0	2.10	2.25	0.15
Barry Zito	SF	SP	50.7	3.76	3.91	0.15
Jose Cisnero	HOU	RP	18.0	3.81	4.00	0.19
Chad Qualls	MIA	RP	17.3	3.44	3.63	0.19
Jose Veras	HOU	RP	18.0	3.31	3.50	0.19
Jason Grilli	PIT	RP	19.7	0.73	0.92	0.19
Fernando Rodney	TB	RP	16.3	4.76	4.96	0.20
Josh Collmenter	ARI	SP, RP	22.0	2.25	2.45	0.20
Ian Kennedy	ARI	SP	55.3	4.67	4.88	0.21
Evan Scribner	OAK	RP	18.7	5.09	5.30	0.21
T.J. McFarland	BAL	RP	20.7	2.40	2.61	0.21
Jon Niese	NYN	SP	48.3	5.18	5.40	0.22
Jamey Wright	TB	RP	17.3	3.91	4.15	0.24
Scott Atchison	NYN	RP	18.0	4.26	4.50	0.24
Jeremy Horst	PHI	RP	17.7	4.85	5.09	0.24
Roberto Hernandez	TB	SP	44.7	4.97	5.24	0.27
J.A. Happ	TOR	SP	33.0	4.62	4.91	0.29
Yovani Gallardo	MIL	SP	58.0	4.20	4.50	0.30
Bartolo Colon	OAK	SP	54.3	4.00	4.31	0.31
Ricky Nolasco	MIA	SP	61.3	3.63	3.96	0.33
Derek Holland	TEX	SP	60.0	2.97	3.30	0.33
Casey Fien	MIN	RP	18.3	4.09	4.42	0.33
Pedro Hernandez	MIN	SP	32.3	5.51	5.85	0.34
Jon Garland	COL	SP	52.0	4.82	5.19	0.37
Joe Ortiz	TEX	RP	22.3	3.25	3.63	0.38
Joe Saunders	SEA	SP	52.7	5.26	5.64	0.38
Alfredo Aceves	BOS	SP	17.7	8.26	8.66	0.40
Dan Haren	WAS	SP	50.3	5.08	5.54	0.46
Josh Beckett	LAN	SP	43.3	4.69	5.19	0.50
Gavin Floyd	CHA	SP	24.3	4.66	5.18	0.52
Paco Rodriguez	LAN	RP	15.7	2.93	3.45	0.52
Pedro Strop	BAL	RP	17.3	4.67	5.19	0.52
Michael Bowden	CHN	RP	16.7	3.26	3.78	0.52
Drew Storen	WAS	RP	17.3	4.14	4.67	0.53
Justin Verlander	DET	SP	54.0	2.63	3.17	0.54
Brian Duensing	MIN	SP	17.3	2.55	3.12	0.57
Edinson Volquez	SD	SP	48.7	4.97	5.55	0.58
Adam Wainwright	STL	SP	64.7	1.92	2.51	0.59
Ubaldo Jimenez	CLE	SP	40.7	4.70	5.31	0.61
Brad Brach	SD	RP	17.0	4.14	4.76	0.62
Matt Belisle	COL	RP	22.3	3.38	4.03	0.65
Wade LeBlanc	MIA	SP	41.3	4.79	5.44	0.65
Michael Gonzalez	MIL	RP	15.0	2.93	3.60	0.67
Charlie Furbush	SEA	RP	15.3	4.60	5.28	0.68
Chris Capuano	LAN	SP	22.3	4.15	4.84	0.69
Tony Watson	PIT	RP	20.7	4.50	5.23	0.73
Mark Buehrle	TOR	SP	54.0	5.59	6.33	0.74
Jason Hammel	BAL	SP	50.3	4.96	5.72	0.76
Doug Fister	DET	SP	54.7	2.85	3.62	0.77
Tim Lincecum	SF	SP	53.7	3.92	4.70	0.78
Jhoulys Chacin	COL	SP	42.0	3.27	4.07	0.80
Anibal Sanchez	DET	SP	55.3	1.96	2.77	0.81
Dillon Gee	NYN	SP	44.7	5.20	6.04	0.84
Scott Kazmir	CLE	SP	28.3	5.49	6.35	0.86
Wade Davis	KC	SP	40.7	5.08	5.98	0.90
Sergio Romo	SF	RP	18.0	2.09	3.00	0.91
Steve Cishek	MIA	RP	18.3	3.98	4.91	0.93
Jeremy Hellickson	TB	SP	55.7	4.87	5.82	0.95
Clayton Richard	SD	SP	26.3	7.55	8.54	0.99
Hiram Burgos	MIL	SP	26.0	5.58	6.58	1.00
David Price	TB	SP	55.0	4.18	5.24	1.06
Brandon McCarthy	ARI	SP	57.0	3.64	4.74	1.10
Phil Hughes	NYA	SP	41.3	4.74	5.88	1.14
Anthony Swarzak	MIN	RP	26.0	3.01	4.15	1.14
Tim Hudson	ATL	SP	51.0	3.96	5.12	1.16
John Axford	MIL	RP	18.3	6.20	7.36	1.16
Luis Mendoza	KC	SP	36.0	4.28	5.50	1.22
Ryan Vogelsong	SF	SP	46.3	5.94	7.19	1.25
Hector Ambriz	HOU	RP	20.7	4.40	5.66	1.26
Jeff Francis	COL	SP	36.0	4.73	6.00	1.27
Esmil Rogers	TOR	RP	19.7	4.67	5.95	1.28
Wily Peralta	MIL	SP	50.0	4.62	5.94	1.32
Matt Magill	LAN	SP	18.0	4.14	5.50	1.36
Max Scherzer	DET	SP	54.3	2.61	3.98	1.37
Vance Worley	MIN	SP	45.0	4.82	6.20	1.38
Rick Porcello	DET	SP	38.0	4.54	5.92	1.38
Wilton Lopez	COL	RP	22.7	2.52	3.97	1.45
James McDonald	PIT	SP	29.7	4.20	5.76	1.56
Shawn Kelley	NYA	RP	18.3	3.81	5.40	1.59
Brandon Kintzler	MIL	RP	18.7	2.26	3.86	1.60
Garrett Richards	LAA	SP	38.3	3.91	5.63	1.72
Matt Lindstrom	CHA	RP	17.0	3.02	4.76	1.74
Jordan Lyles	HOU	SP	19.0	4.88	6.63	1.75
Corey Kluber	CLE	SP	28.3	3.56	5.40	1.84
Aaron Harang	SEA	SP	24.7	5.41	7.30	1.89
George Kontos	SF	RP	23.3	3.90	5.79	1.89
Brad Peacock	HOU	SP	22.0	7.52	9.41	1.89
Edwin Jackson	CHN	SP	50.0	3.86	5.76	1.90
Nate Jones	CHA	RP	20.3	3.85	5.75	1.90
Joe Blanton	LAA	SP	50.3	4.72	6.62	1.90
Heath Bell	ARI	RP	18.0	2.59	4.50	1.91
Dane de la Rosa	LAA	RP	22.0	2.93	4.91	1.98
Jake Arrieta	BAL	SP	19.0	4.62	6.63	2.01
Mike Pelfrey	MIN	SP	38.3	4.49	6.57	2.08
Raul Valdes	PHI	RP	20.0	5.55	7.65	2.10
Josh Johnson	TOR	SP	19.7	4.67	6.86	2.19
Roy Halladay	PHI	SP	34.3	6.44	8.65	2.21
Brett Anderson	OAK	SP	29.0	3.99	6.21	2.22
Ryan Mattheus	WAS	RP	16.3	2.64	4.96	2.32
Shawn Camp	CHN	RP	16.0	4.89	7.31	2.42
Blake Beavan	SEA	SP	20.7	5.80	8.27	2.47
Felix Doubront	BOS	SP	37.3	3.50	6.03	2.53
Ivan Nova	NYA	SP	16.7	3.83	6.48	2.65
Shaun Marcum	NYN	SP	27.3	3.79	6.59	2.80
Dan Straily	OAK	SP	26.0	4.35	7.27	2.92
Michael Kirkman	TEX	RP	18.7	3.31	6.27	2.96
Jake McGee	TB	RP	16.3	5.20	8.27	3.07
Josh Outman	COL	SP, RP	17.0	2.20	5.29	3.09
Zach Duke	WAS	RP	18.3	3.92	8.84	4.92

NOTES:
FIP: Stands for Fielding Independent Pitching. FIP = ((13*HR)+(3*(BB+HBP-IBB))-(2*K))/IP + constant. The ‘constant’ is a number that gets the FIP onto the same scale as ERA. Razzball’s stat feed does not separate BB from IBB so those are not deducted. This, as well as slight differences in calculated the constant, will lead to slight differences in FIP vs. other data sources. For more info/background on FIP, see here.

FIP-ERA: In general, FIP and ERA should be close to equal with much of the difference tied to luck (HR rates, BABIP, etc.) So pitchers with a positive number are more likely to see their ERA increase while pitchers with a negative number are more likely to see their ERA decrease.

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