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“What’s it short for?  Ya know, like Rosstopher?”  “Just Ross!”

I had cautious optimism heading into the year for Tyson Ross, and he looked pretty wild early on.  And not the good kind of wild.  No one in San Diego is wearing Wild Thing-Ross T-Shirts.  I caught most of his debut against the Dodgers, and he didn’t look right.  Hitchy delivery, lower velocity, and terrible control.  Since he was fringy anyway, in the one league I owned him (deeper 10-team), I cut him loose for some scrub closer.  I don’t even know who, probably Matt Lindstrom, who at least vultured a win for me yesterday.

Anyway, I saw Ross was bad again in his second effort, racking up 9 walks to only 9 Ks through two games, somehow escaping with a 4.50 ERA because he piled up 6 unearned runs.  Needless to say, I was pretty content to ignore him, but yesterday he turned it around against the offensively-charged Tigers.  Since it’s still early, maybe he had an early mechanical issue that got worked out, and he’s back to picking up where 2013 left off.  So I decided to break down his start, and see if he needs to be scooped off waivers in leagues where he was dropped or undrafted:

First Inning: The first pitch is a 92 MPH fastball to Rajai Davis.  Even on the first pitch, his delivery looks a little less hitchy than that first start I saw.  93 MPH is another called strike, then a slider gets an easy flyout to left, one down.  94 MPH fastball again is in the zone to Ian Kinsler, Ross bends in a slider for a strike for back-to-back 0-2 counts, a heater is fouled off, then again fastball at 95 gets an easy groundout, two down.  The announcers are now talking about how much smoother Ross looks as well – maybe something has changed.  95 MPH fastball is low to Torii Hunter, a good slider makes it 1-1, Ross misses with a fastball then another is fouled off, 2-2.  A good slider almost gets a swing but it dips low, then another slider gets a pop out to short, 1-2-3 inning to get it started.

Second Inning: A rolling slider stays high to Miguel Cabrera, then a 91 MPH fastball is in the dirt and outside, and this is the Ross I saw in his debut.  Ross gets a slider in there, 2-1, then somehow Cabrera is late on a 93 MPH fastball 2-2.  A hot Miggy kills that one.  The 2-2 is a 95 MPH fastball that almost paints the outside corner, very close.  Probably his best pitch thus far.

Ross-Fastball 1

Then 94 on the fastball gets Cabrera swinging for his first K.  Ross misses to Victor Martinez twice, then a fastball is hit pretty hard to left, but it’s caught in front of the track for the second out.  Fastball misses, then is in there, 1-1 to Austin Jackson followed by a slider that gets in there, 1-2.  Slider is way outside, then a  rolling slider that stays high is fouled off, fastball fouled off, then the 2-2 slider gets a tight late break into the dirt and Jackson swings and misses.  That wasn’t a great pitch, started low from the get go, but Jackson chased a bad one.

Third Inning: Ross starts the 3rd with a 92 MPH fastball outside, hits virtually the same spot, 2-0 to Nick Castellanos, then a slider gets a big hack and miss, 2-1.  Another slider is in there, then a 94 MPH fastball gets a swing-and-miss, three straight Ks for Ross.  Alex Gonzalez looks at a fastball for a strike, then a 95 MPH fastball gets an inside out swing for a single.  A 92 MPH fastball gets bunted by Max Scherzer  and it’s a good one, moving Gonzalez to second with two outs.  A very very nice slider gets a swing-and-miss from Davis, who hurts his hamstring on the swing.

Ross-Slider

Probably Ross’ best slider so far, and thankfully Davis is OK.  Another big slider gets another empty swing, Ross again goes slider and Davis nubs it, and it’s hit so soft Davis gets an infield single.  While a lucky hit, Ross went to his third straight slider with Davis badly fooled on the first two, and hung that one a little bit.  Predictable pitch there, and Ross didn’t deliver a good one – another slider in the dirt gets a K.  Runners first and third with two outs, and the first pitch is a slider that Kinsler hits to second to end the inning.

Fourth Inning: 41 pitches so far for Ross (using his fastball and slider combo exclusively) and he starts Hunter with a fastball that looked outside to me but gets the call, then he’s for sure outside 1-1, then a 92 MPH fastball is hit hard down the right field line for a leadoff double.  Not a good pitch, velocity not great, big contact.  First pitch to Miggy is a slider and Cabrera laces it hard to right, but it’s caught on the run on the track.  Can you say Petco?!  Probably off the wall if not a homer in most parks.  Hunter moves to third, then the first pitch to V Mart is a fastball that Martinez crushes up the middle for an RBI single.  Ross is getting hammered right now.  But he responds well with a really good slider to Austin Jackson that gets a whiff, then is high with it, 1-1.  A really good two seamer eats up Jackson for a foul, 1-2.  Haven’t seen a lot of that running action today, so that’ll help his arsenal.  An 86 MPH slider stays right down the middle, but Jackson is in front of it for a swing-and-miss.  Jackson was looking fastball and was late, and it’s 4 Ks for Ross.  Castellanos comes up empty with another good slider from Ross, then a fastball gets a late swing, quickly 0-2.  Ross has responded really well after three straight hitters got good contact.  A slider is way outside, then one is fouled, and a pretty good 94 MPH fastball gets poked to second for a pretty easy groundout to end the inning.

Fifth Inning: Ross gets some actual run support, surprisingly picking up a 4-1 lead against Scherzer, and a slider catches the outside corner to Gonzalez to start the 5th.  A high slider gets a bad swing from Gonzalez who fouls it back 0-2, then another slider is outside in the dirt, 1-2.  A fastball at 91, I think a two-seamer, gets a pretty hard hit groundout to third, one down.  Fastball at 91 is a strike to Scherzer, a 93 MPH fastball is fouled off, 0-2.  Slider is outside, 94 MPH fastball fouled off, then a 93 MPH fastball is smoked up the gap, but Jedd Gyorko makes a web gem of a diving stop and gets Scherzer out at first.  Petco and defense helping Ross today!  First pitch to Davis is a good slider taken for strike one, then a fastball hits Davis in the arm.  Rough game for Davis at the plate, almost threw out his hammy on a bad swing then gets beaned.  Ross almost picks off Davis, nice pickoff move there, and Ross then throws a bad fastball where his mechanics looked jacked up again, 0-1.

Ross-Fastball 2

Maybe it’s pitching from the stretch that messed up that pitch.  Then to the slider, and Kinsler gets just enough of it to the third base side of short that Everth Cabrera can’t make the play and it’s infield single.  That was hit decently though.  Slider gets him ahead of Hunter 0-1, then another slider gets a swing-and-miss, 0-2.  Again to the slider outside, and Hunter can’t hold his swing in time for another K for Ross.  Bad hack there from Hunter, and Ross gets out of it.

Sixth Inning: At 71 pitches, he gets ahead of Miggy, then a fastball way outside, 1-1.  Again, just not the same mechanics, and again he looks wonky and a fastball is way off the plate, 2-1.

Ross-Fastball 3

Looking back at the GIF, it looks like he’s falling off to the first base side.  A much better fastball gets a foul tip, 2-2, then a fastball is hit pretty hard towards the gap, but Everth ranges to it and makes a great play.  Another big play from that infield defense for Ross.  86 MPH slider bends in for strike one to V Mart, an 88 MPH change-up gets a strike, haven’t seen that yet, then 93 MPH fastball gets a lazy popout to shallow right.  Two down.  Fastball is outside to AJax, then slider bends low, another slider gets the top black 2-1, then a slider is way outside, 3-1.  Fastball gets fouled off, then another slider is outside and Ross walks his first better.  Credit Ross for lasting this long without giving a free pass!  Castellanos fouls the first-pitch fastball out of play, fastball is high, then another fastball is murdered to left, but Seth Smith at full sprint and full extension robs Castellanos of at least a double.  Easily would’ve plated Jackson at first, and the defense makes another big play for Ross.

Seventh Inning:  At 88 pitches, Ross starts Gonzalez with a 91 MPH fastball for a strike, then a two-seamer is fouled off, then a good fastball at 93 gets some good sink for Ross’ 6th K.  Pinch-hitter Tyler Collins fouls one back, then an 86 MPH change-up gets the zone, nice pitch there.  A really good slider gets a swing-and-miss, and quick work for his 7th K.  Slider is high to Davis, fastball fouled off, then a slider low, 2-1.  An 85 MPH slider gets hit hard between short and third for a single.  Nice hitting from Davis there.  A slider is low to Kinsler, and Ross’ final pitch is a two-seamer that is hit hard right to Gyorko who makes the play to first.

Final Line:  W  7 IP  100 Pitches (71 Strikes)  1 ER  7 Hits  1 Walk  7 K  Gamescore: 67   Gamescore+: 67.8

Final Analysis:  Well, the stat line looked good, but I was not impressed.  My Gamescore+ calculation was right at his real Gamescore, but I still think Ross got luckier than the line would indicate.  Miguel Cabrera had a liner caught on the Petco track in the 4th that would’ve been a homer in a lot of parks, and Ross got three dazzling defensive plays behind him.  This could’ve been a lot worse, but I do credit him for only allowing one walk.

Including this start, Fangraphs has his average fastball velocity at 91.6 compared to 94.2 last year.  It was up a tick here and there during this start topping out at 95, but when I saw him last year, he was consistently 94-96 and he was usually 91-93 yesterday.  It’s early still, but that’s pretty substantial.  Mixing the fastball with a really good slider, it’s a solid 1-2 punch.  We only saw a few change-ups and that’s it for his arsenal.  I’d like to see more pitches from a starter, and Ross able to work in that change-up a bit more.

So to those mechanics.  I’ve never really liked his delivery even when it’s smoothed out, with a short stride and weird arm motion that doesn’t seem very textbook.  Not that it matters if your delivery is “textbook”, but one hiccup and Ross gets messed up.  He went out of his normal motion at times, and when a guy falls in and out of his mechanics in a start, I’m leery to trust him.

Another factor helping out Ross was only Victor Martinez hitting as a lefty in that Tigers order.  Last year, Ross held righties to .199 vs. .251 to lefties.  .206 to .290 in a small sample this year as well.  Overall, I think if you can single out a start at home against a predominately right-handed line-up, Ross could be a good spot start.  But that’s really picking and choosing, and I didn’t see enough in this start for me to grab him in 10 or 12ers.  I’d sell high in deeper leagues if I could.  Maybe he can get that delivery consistent, but I’m not going to be able to trust him as a sure-fire starter until I see it a few starts in a row.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings based on 12-team Roto – green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, TEAM
1 Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers
2 Adam Wainwright, St. Louis Cardinals
3 Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals
4 Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers
5 Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners
6 Cliff Lee, Philadelphia Phillies
7 Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants
8 Chris Sale, Chicago White Sox
9 Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers
10 Jose Fernandez, Miami Marlins
11 Michael Wacha, St. Louis Cardinals
12 Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers
13 Anibal Sanchez, Detroit Tigers
14 Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves
15 Masahiro Tanaka, New York Yankees
16 Zack Greinke, Los Angeles Dodgers
17 Gio Gonzalez, Washington Nationals
18 James Shields, Kansas City Royals
19 Homer Bailey, Cincinnati Reds
20 Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals
21 Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants
22 Mike Minor, Atlanta Braves
23 David Price, Tampa Bay Rays
24 Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies
25 Jeff Samardzija, Chicago Cubs
26 Gerrit Cole, Pittsburgh Pirates
27 Yordano Ventura, Kansas City Royals
28 Hisashi Iwakuma, Seattle Mariners
29 Tony Cingrani, Cincinnati Reds
30 Andrew Cashner, San Diego Padres
31 Chris Archer, Tamp Bay Rays
32 Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds
33 Shelby Miller, St. Louis Cardinals
34 Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians
35 Sonny Gray, Oakland Athletics
36 Danny Salazar, Cleveland Indians
37 Francisco Liriano, Pittsburgh Pirates
38 Ervin Santana, Atlanta Braves
39 Rick Porcello, Detroit Tigers
40 Clay Buchholz, Boston Red Sox
41 Hiroki Kuroda, New York Yankees
42 Hyun-Jin Ryu, Los Angeles Dodgers
43 Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles
44 Zach Wheeler, New York Mets
45 Matt Garza, Milwaukee Brewers
46 Drew Smyly, Detroit Tigers
47 Alex Wood, Atlanta Braves
48 Lance Lynn, St. Louis Cardinals
49 Archie Bradley, Arizona Diamondbacks
50 Scott Kazmir, Oakland Athletics
51 Alex Cobb, Tampa Bay Rays
52 Nathan Eovaldi, Miami Marlins
53 Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels
54 Jon Lester, Boston Red Sox
55 Yovani Gallardo, Milwaukee Brewers
56 C.J. Wilson, Los Angeles Angels
57 Marco Estrada, Milwaukee Brewers
58 Michael Pineda, New York Yankees
59 Travis Wood, Chicago Cubs
60 Doug Fister, Washington Nationals
61 Jake Peavy, Boston Red Sox
62 Tyson Ross, San Diego Padres
63 Wily Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers
64 Justin Masterson, Cleveland Indians
65 CC Sabathia, New York Yankees
66 Taijuan Walker, Seattle Mariners
67 Tyler Skaggs, Los Angeles Angels
68 Jenrry Mejia, New York Mets
69 Tim Lincecum, San Francisco Giants
70 Martin Perez, Texas Rangers
71 R.A. Dickey, Toronto Blue Jays
72 Dan Straily, Oakland Athletics
73 John Lackey, Boston Red Sox
74 Tim Hudson, San Francisco Giants
75 Hector Santiago, Los Angeles Angels
76 Dan Haren, Los Angeles Dodgers
77 Mat Latos, Cincinnati Reds
78 Ian Kennedy, San Diego Padres
79 Kyle Lohse, Milwaukee Brewers
80 James Paxton, Seattle Mariners
81 Drew Hutchison, Toronto Blue Jays
82 Ivan Nova, New York Yankees
83 Jarred Cosart, Houston Astros
84 Mike Leake, Cincinnati Reds
85 Dillon Gee, New York Mets
86 Jake Odorizzi, Tampa Bay Rays
87 Aaron Harang, Atlanta Braves
88 A.J. Griffin, Oakland Athletics
89 Scott Feldman, Houston Astros
90 Jon Niese, New York Mets
91 Garrett Richards, Los Angeles Angels
92 Edinson Volquez, Pittsburgh Pirates
93 Mark Buehrle, Toronto Blue Jays
94 Joe Kelly, St. Louis Cardinals
95 Zach McAllister, Cleveland Indians
96 Bartolo Colon, New York Mets
97 Ubaldo Jimenez, Baltimore Orioles
98 A.J. Burnett, Philadelphia Phillies
99 Charlie Morton, Pittsburgh Pirates
100 Jason Vargas, Kansas City Royals

Dropped Out: Matt Moore, Tampa Bay Rays, Wade Miley, Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Tough tough injury for Alex Cobb, who shoots down the list with his oblique injury.  I’ll lean towards the 6 weeks out, which is quite a blow.  “Tobias you blowhard!”
  • So I guess I must admit I was wrong on Pineda, who had a lot of backing from you loyal commenters.  I don’t put too much stock into the pine tar thing, but after this week’s start against the Cubs, I’m selling high with it likely a good one.  He’ll have a microscope on him, but should be able to dominate anyway… Couldn’t ask for a better start to prove the haters wrong.   Then in your sales pitch you can be like, “see he doesn’t need pine tar!” to a skeptical leaguemate.
  • Drew Smyly is finally starting.  Rejoice!  Almost moved him down, which would’ve made me frowny.
  • Man, Yordano Ventura is so friggin’ good.  Remember when I ranked him higher than everywhere else? Andddddd, I moved him up.
  • Andrew Cashner I heard had a good game this weekend.  I won’t call you out hating commenter, but I think I’m looking pretty good with his rank.  We’ll just call this commenter by his witsec name: John of the Blending In.  Before you say how good Gray is doing, a 1.21 WHIP and a 0.95 ERA don’t jive.  Still think he’s good, but no Cashner :).
  • Chris Archer looked very solid and I’m regretting my original rank.  I think he’s in store for a big year, and now is like the Rays #2.  Sheesh.
  • I want to move Kazmir up with his great start, but these triceps are annoying.  Somebody show him those P90X exercises that had my triceps burning for days!
  • Chris Tillman has started off strong proving me wrong, and looks really good.  Forced to bump him up a tad.
  • I got some hate for the Burnett ranking heading into the year, and he now owns a 10:14 K:BB rate.  Ouch.
  • Speaking of ouch, Matt Moore I think is destined for TJ and Mat Latos has a jacked up elbow on top of coming back from knee surgery.  Not a good week for baseball Mat[t]s.
  • I’m still not worried about Homer Bailey, and would buy low.  His HR/FB rate through two starts is 100%.  I doubt that’s sustainable!  Has given up 11 line drives though – that needs to go down.  It will help once he pitches to a team that isn’t the Cardinals.
  • I’m sticking with my love for Porcello, but benching him this week against the Angels.  Got shelled in both starts against them last year for a preposterous 28.80 ERA 4.40 WHIP.  Hah!  Deeper leagues can maybe buy low after that start if it’s poopy.
  • Jason Hammel’s BABIP in two starts is .063.  Just wanted to share that when I considered adding him in this week.

As always, let me know your thoughts on the rankings or on this Ross start and let’s look forward to a two-start Yordano this week!

  1. Shake N Bacon says:
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    Holding onto Masterson, but wanting to trade him immediately following the next good start he has.

    I’d be interested in your thoughts on Jesse Chavez (Oak). I think he pitches tonight against the Angels.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Shake N Bacon: yeah Masterson is scary, such an up and down career. Don’t love the Chavez start tonight, a journeyman that was never successful as a reliever, regression coming, but I did have him at around 102 barely didn’t make my 100.

      • Sick McNasty says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Chavez has looked crazy good all spring and all 3 starts. I would much rather start him than at least half the guys in the back 50. His cutter is nasty.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Sick McNasty: Mehhhh I’m not as bullish, but will make my top 100. Like I’d feel better starting him over Volquez probaby

  2. Shake N Bacon says:
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    BTW I agree on Ross. Doesn’t look as good as he did last year. Probably worth holding onto for his home starts against weaker opponents though.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Shake N Bacon: especially like I mentioned if they’re right handed predominate. I have Ross as fringe ownable in my rankings, probably should’ve moved him down a couple more

    • jal179 says:
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      @Shake N Bacon:

      I dropped him for dee Gordon– hope he keeps it up

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @jal179: Yeah totally buy that, at least while Gordon is hot then you can readdress if he cools off

  3. Deebo says:
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    Skaggs ownable or just streamable for now? Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Deebo: I’d say ownable for the upside, sure.

  4. Kingslayer says:
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    Start Latroy Hawkins or Jose Valverde this week in H2H 5×5?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Kingslayer: Hmmm, I think Hawkins

  5. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    Pick 2 to start in a H2H points league this week.

    Shelby Miller (@Mil and @Was)
    Grienke (Ari)
    Sonny Gray (Hou)
    Anibal Sanchez (Cle, LAA)

    • jal179 says:
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      @malamoney:

      sonny anibal

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @malamoney: Anibal is a lock, my Brewers are hot right now but had trouble with Miller last year if I remember correctly, since points league I’ll go Miller with the 2 starts.

  6. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    Here’s my OF:

    Ryan Braun, Adam Jones, Alex Gordon, Yeonis Cespedes, Martin Prado, Kole Calhoun, Brandon Moss, Khris Davis and George Springer (waiting for the call). We only start 4.

    Is there anyone on this list that I should drop in order to stash either Trevor Bauer or Rafael Montero?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @malamoney: Nah I don’t think so

      • malamoney

        malamoney says:
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        @JB Gilpin: how about for Smyly?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @malamoney: Ohhhhh much much closer. Yeah I think I’d have to drop one for Smyly, probably Moss or Springer. I’d also think about trading, especialky a guy like Prado if you’re using him in OF to a team that could use his IF elig

          • malamoney

            malamoney says:
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            @JB Gilpin: I am using Prado at IF, but mentioned him since I could use him in the OF.

            Smyly was picked up last night by another team!!!

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @malamoney: Damn! Yeah I actually was surprised he was available in a few leagues of mine as well, I think people cut bait after two bullpen appearances, but was just due to scheduling

  7. JV says:
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    JBG–Hebrew Hammer here…

    How does my staff in 12 team now look?
    Felix-Zimmermann-Gray-Archer-Porcello-Ross-Haren-Richards

    Also have relievers–Kimbrel, Robertson, Henderson, Doolittle and Cook

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @JV: Yo! I like it, Archer is shooting up in value for me, looks awesome. I really think K Rod can close all year, so Hendo and Cook I think are expendable if you need to make moves, but like it!

  8. I have too many OF and I need to improve on my pitching. Grade this trade.

    I trade: Alex Gordon and CC Sabathia

    I get: Hyun-Jin Ryu

    Theses are my Current Pitchers:
    Wainwright, Wacha, Peavy, Lackey, Buehrle, Iwakuma and CC Sabathia.

    This is my current OF:
    McCutchen, Kemp, Yelich, Pagan, Gordon and Ackley

    Is this too much to get Ryu? Only guy on my league that might consider Alex Gordon with his down OF.

    • jal179 says:
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      @T_Money:
      hmmm its close– I just really like gordons chances for near 100 rbis.

      cc is damn near doppable so its close.

      sell high on pahan maybe?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @T_Money: Yeah I think it’s too much to give up. Wow everyone hates Gordon, he’s still really solid. Who is his next pitcher that’s better than Ryu? I just don’t know if Ryu is enough of a difference maker there.

  9. Chris says:
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    Would you rather own Chavez or Pineda moving forward?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Chris: Def Pineda

  10. Lord Black Beard, Head of the the House of Beard says:
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    Nicely written article JB. After seeing how his control isn’t that good, you talked me out of starting Ross this week. Good luck in your leagues man.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Lord Black Beard, Head of the the House of Beard: Thanks man! Yeah even though SF at Petco looks good, all those switch hitters and lefties scares me a lot, probably should’ve mentioned that, but yeah don’t like it. Good luck to you as wlel!

  11. Oppo Taco says:
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    Starting or sitting Chavez @LAA tonight? My ratios have been horrible with Salazar Ross (of course I had him benched yesterday) and masterson farting in my general direction

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Oppo Taco: Smelled of elderberries! I don’t love it, I think it’s playing with fire. So early I think you can afford sitting and not pushing it yet

  12. Rags says:
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    Thoughts on Erlin?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Rags: Ehh, middle of the road Hodgepadre to me. Like him at home, but still would be scared to start him vs. COL this week.

      • Rags says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Worse than Ross, then?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Rags: Yeah I’d prefer Ross for the upside

          • goodfold2 says:
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            @JB Gilpin: it’s COL on road though, they aren’t good there.

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @goodfold2: Sure, but it’s Robbie Erlin we’re talking about here, and he ended up not pitching so great tonight, so I think I win all the points.

  13. Gene Parmesan says:
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    As always (i.e., baseball or basketball), excellent break-down and article JB. Much like yourself, I was hopeful for Ross entering this year, but I just don’t see it. He did have a good finishing line against Detroit, but his BB’s are going to offset his K’s and he’s simply not consistent enough to roster, outside of streaming, in shallower leagues. The S.O.N. is down on his start at home against the Giants this Friday and I absolutely agree.

    Quick question for you. My H2H, keeper, 10-team league is well underway and I’m 6-14 because my offense hasn’t woke up (i.e., Fielder, Cano and McCutcheon have zero HR’s as of yet). Bailed on Puig last week cause I don’t trust him and got Marte and Archer. Offense aside, how do you view my current pitching staff?

    Scherzer, Bailey, Teheran, Lirano, Archer, Tillman, Porcello and Salazar. My streamers currently are Morrow and Erlin (not a big fan of, although the S.O.N. is for his start tomorrow at home against Colorado). For closers, I have Uehara (DL?), Robertson (DL), Street (destined to be DL’d) and El Poope Grande.

    Good enough and hold tight? Bail on a guy here or there?

    Anyway, thanks in advance. I appreciate your work.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Gene Parmesan: It’s just some idiot with balloons… “Oh is it?!” It’s Gene Parmesan! Thanks man! Yup I hate the Giants matchup and I just commented above, Giants with a lot of lefties and switch hitters. No bueno for Ross. Yeah I like that staff a lot. Bailey I think bounces back, still love Teheran, Scherzer should rebound (but my slightly lower rank of him looks good). I think yeah, hold tight. Bench Porcello this week as I mention under the rankings, Angels murdered him last year. Other than the streamers, yeah I like all your guys and offense should get goin for ya!

      • Gene Parmesan says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Balloons…an underrated, yet, classic disguise. Thanks Gilpin. As you know I rarely show myself for a question, but genuinely appreciate the feedback. Stay classy…

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Gene Parmesan: Will do you the same my man!

  14. Marky Mark says:
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    Could you see Hutchison posting a K/9 north of 8 for the year? I’m counting on him to replace a lot of the Ks I lost with Moore…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Marky Mark: Sure, I think right around there. Consistency will be a little iffy, but yeah I liked him heading into the year

  15. tyler says:
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    Love the article as usual.

    Should I drop Kazmir or Masterson for:

    Zack Wheeler
    Archie Bradley
    Tyler Skaggs

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @tyler: Thanks man! Masterson for Wheeler I would do. Very scared of Masterson. Bradley I still have ranked really well, if you have a lot of SP with an innings limit, Bradley would be in consideration

      • Jonas says:
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        @JB Gilpin: you think he is injured?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Jonas: No just has been inconsistent with long-term ups and downs, this could be a down for a while

  16. Stone cold says:
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    Hey JB I just added dee Gordon (I’m in a 10 tm weekly roster locks h2h format), now would you drop Shane Victorino who still sitting in the DL slot? Victorino would be my 4th OF, here’s who I’d be looking at if I did drop Shane; kole Calhoun, Grady Sizemore, Jackie Bradley jr, Eric young jr , charlie Blackmon, Oscar taveras (as a stash until he’s called up), junior lake, Gregory polanco as a stash, or lastly Dustin ackley who is eligible at 2b & of.

    Here are my of’s Bryce Harper, Matt Holliday, Hunter pence, & been playing prado as my 4th of.

    Next Q, it’s kinda a two part Q but it all ties in together; at Catcher Salvador Perez or Carlos Santana, if I don’t start Santana at C, who do you like better at DH Adam Dunn or Santana. I’m leaning towards Dunn I bet he hits well against Red Sox

    Thanks, keep up the great work!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Stone cold: Ehhh, I think I’m holding the flyin Hawaiin there. I like Calhoun still, buying Blackmon some, but I think Shane is the guy. I think I’d rather Sal Perez and Santana over Dunn right now. Thanks man will try!

  17. Zar says:
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    Heya jb!

    Longoria and porcello for Bautista and sonny?

    I would have Frazier and Sandoval left at 3b and a killer outfield of cargo Stanton and Bautista.

    • Zar says:
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      @Zar: whoops 5×5 roto. I would have an abundance of outfielders left over.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Zar: Yeah I like Bautista this year too, and he and Longo have relatively comparable injury risk, I really like it

      • Zar says:
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        @JB Gilpin: so it’s worth the jump? If go from porcello to gray which I like. Is drop from longo to Frazier and Sandoval. I’d go from cargo Stanton pence Beltran pagan and brown to adding Bautista. I can trade away a of then I guess.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Zar: Yeah I think it’s worth the jump, def try to trade some OF pieces after the fact, but I really like the trade

          • Zar says:
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            @JB Gilpin: I accepted it, I know I have a buyer for Stanton. I can target JoFer or maybe pick up his beltre/another player.

            Thanks!

            • JB Gilpin

              JB Gilpin says:
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              @Zar: Oh nice! I’d def try to grab Beltre there in an epic buy low

  18. papasmurf says:
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    The right handedness of the DET lineup (almost all) definitely helped him.

    His command was off anyway, but the CLEV lineup (Ross’ worst game) had many lefties.

    So I’d definitely keep my eye on the handedness of his opponents as well as the ball park.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @papasmurf: For sure man! Yup if you can pick and choose he’d be a high upside streamer, but that doesn’t lend itself too well into rankings, still think I need to move him down more.

  19. Eric Riptide says:
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    Your hatred of David Price is real. He’s not as good as Jordan Zimmermann? With all due respect, that’s odd to me.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Eric Riptide: Price’s K rate was barely better than JZ last year. Sure Price was nicked up, but yeah I still like Zimmermann more even with the slow start, but they’re close.

  20. GoodSuerte says:
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    Start three this week in a pts lg: t. Ross, Burnett, g. Richards, eovaldi, rosenthal, s. Santos?

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @GoodSuerte: Ah sorry if I was too late, don’t like Ross or Burnett (esp if BB deductions) so Rosenthal Richards Eovaldi for me

  21. SDB says:
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    JB,

    I remember you’re a BumG fan, but for a team needing an upgrade at bat…

    I send:
    M. Bumgarner
    J. Lowrie

    I get:
    J. Bruce
    C. Archer

    Fair trade? Am I getting enough of an upgrade in a bat to swap BumG for for Archer?
    Id’ be sliding D.Ackley into Lowrie’s spot at 2nd in my lineup.

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @SDB: Need the OF depth pretty bad? Then yeah I don’t mind it, Archer has looked awesome so far. Very close tho

      • SDB says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        Yeah I really do need the OF help. It’s ugly. Rolling out Holliday, Calhoun, Markakis, Ackley, Blackmon. Just lost Avisail. Bunch of bums in free agency.

        Archer getting shelled right now is not helping :)

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @SDB: Ugh yeah you need the OF. Rough one tonight but against the Orioles, not like getting lit up by the Padres or something! Cough Max Scherzer Cough

          • SDB says:
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            @JB Gilpin:

            I traded Bumgarner for Bruce straight up. Seems about as fair a pitcher for batter trade as possible. I might do one more of these. Still have a strong staff…

            J.Teheran
            A.Cobb (DL)
            M.Wacha
            S.Gray
            D.Salazar
            Y.Ventura
            D.Smyly
            J.Chavez (where did this guy come from??)
            W.Peralta.

            • SDB says:
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              @SDB:

              ahh i forgot… I also have Alex Wood.

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @SDB: Nice yea really like that staff, Ventura and Wacha are on all my teams. Chavez is going to have a ton of buzz, mehhh, I dunno so much on him will have to look into the deeper numbers after tonight.

  22. B.J. says:
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    What’s up guys? In a 12 team H2H who would you prefer at C: Mesoraco or M. Montero? Lost Ramos and Montero has been less than stellar since picking him up.

    Thanks in advance.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @B.J.: Hmmm, I think I’ll lean Mesoraco, I think he has the upside. Any time!

  23. Shawn of the Livid says:
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    HA! Nice one JB, love this weeks post/breakdown! I watched that Cashner start, mostly because of you, and I have to concede defeat. He is in for a big year, and I won’t get to enjoy any of it!
    I think I have some hate for the guy because I owned him for the last two or three years in multiple leagues and didn’t get much out of it. So, this year I didn’t grab him anywhere and…. well…. I feel like someone peed in my cheerios! Good thing I don’t mind pee.

    Porcello hurt me last week and I lost due to it, I anger dropped him (in one league)and grabbed Smyly hoping that he can do some great things as a starter. I’ve had to make so many pitching changes my head hurts. I owned Parnell, N.Jones, D.Robertson, Cobb…… I mean C’MON!!!!

    I love watching pitchers though, my favorite part of baseball. I think your breakdowns/list are easily one of the best things on this site! I’m a big Pineda fan since Seattle, and if he can bring that stuff back then oh baby! I was probably one of those guys saying you’re underrating him, not sure though. damn booze. Or is it the weed?

    I won’t try to assault your sweet list with critiques every week. Just one critique. Every week :) This week: No bump for Alex Wood after that start!?! He was a bit inefficient with the pitch count I suppose. But still looked great.

    Thanks again JB, look forward to the next one! ~~cough, Smyly’s first start ~cough~ on Wednesday, cough~~..

  24. John of the Blending in says:
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    And BTW, Sonny G is going to surprise you this year! You are right though, “1.21 WHIP and a 0.95 ERA don’t jive”. So I guess we will be watching his WHIP fall below 1.00 in his next few starts ;)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @John of the Blending in: Cashner finally banking in! I never owned him until this year, so we’ve flip-flopped there. Got him at great value when I did. Injuries killin ya! And yeah I think I have Smyly pretty close, so not too bad with that move. Haha you’re buzzin’ on Pineda! Man, that Seattle year I picked him up before the season in all leagues. That was some incredible stuff that first half. Now a little less power and all breaking stuff, I just don’t think the Ks will come. But could be wrong, regardless, he looks good and had to move him up. Haha on Gray, could happen! And yeah, Wood has been good, but I ranked him really aggressively to start with, so I’m just coasting on that. Innings might be an issue for him volume wise as well, but like him a lot. Hah I wish I could do a Smyly one! I’ll be sure to try and watch some of it

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @John of the Blending in: Hah just realized you made this second commenter name hahahaha

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @JB Gilpin: different name, but same picture of frodo when he played that ninja like scumbag from one of those alan moore comics movie adaptations (good stuff that)

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @goodfold2: Yeah I think he went without a line in that movie too!

  25. T-Bone says:
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    Great stuff as usual JB. I couldn’t help but notice Archie Bradley in your top 50. Do you anticipate him getting the call soon? Also, is Travis Wood for real this year? seems like he teases me every season.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @T-Bone: Thanks man! Yeah I think he’s up in mid to late May. I think he’s up really fast and sticks while being really effective. Yeah I had to move Wood up some, really found something with the Cubs! I don’t love the guy, but he has some decent appeal

  26. ShowtimeYork says:
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    What side of the trade do you like better
    Adam jones or
    Bryce Harper and mike Minor?
    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @ShowtimeYork: I think I like the Harper side more

  27. Bob says:
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    This Chavez start tonight is impressive right? He has to be more than top 100 right?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Bob: Yeah as I mentioned above, he was one of my first few out. He’ll crack it by next week barring some sort of horrendous outing his next time out.

  28. G says:
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    Drop Castro for Zunino? Or am I jumping the gun?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @G: I think that’s jumping the gun a tad, but in a shallower league I don’t mind riding someone who is producing then you can move on if you have to

  29. Allen says:
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    Why all the love for Porcello? I mean he’s had 5 years to show that he is fantasy relevant. The only thing he has is wins. I play in a QS league and I am already one of those type of fantasy players that shy away from AL pitchers. Convince me why he would be worth a spot in a 12 team league with 28 player rosters. I have seen him dropped off and on of managers teams through the past few seasons and I even owned him a few times thinking he could maybe finally turn things around. Even in leagues that use wins I don’t see him being very valuable.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Allen: 5 years including a really unispiring first 4.1 years. But after that horrible start against the Angels last year, boosted the K rate (5.46 in 2012 and lower before that, 7.22 last year) and had a new pitch in his arsenal a curveball to help explain some of the improvements. His last start against the Padres was rough, but he’s a groundball pitcher with better defense on the left side with Cabrera to first and Peralta gone. That said, and I mention above and in the comments, benching him everywhere v Angels this week

      • Allen says:
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        @JB Gilpin:
        I guess I am just not very high on him. I have Harang and I don’t even really want to drop him for Porcello. I just feel like Porcello is not consistent enough to roster full time in a QS league. He’s never had a season that he his ERA was under 4. Sure he is a ground ball pitcher but he gets in to trouble way too often.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @Allen: Well we can disagree then, I’ll also add he’s still only 25 and improving, last year a big step. Think he’s easily sub 4 this year. Much rather Porcello over Harang, but we shall see!

  30. Ron says:
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    Speaking of Porcello….Im in a 12-team Roto league with no bench and someone just dropped Huston Street. My lowest ranked pitcher is the aforementioned Porcello.

    Should I hold tight with him or pickup Street off the wire for the WHIP, ERA, and Saves he offers?

    • Ron says:
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      @Ron: I should add that my other two RP’s are Rodney and Papelbon.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Ron: Yeah I think I’d have to grab Street there too. Esp. since you can’t bench Porcello vs. Angels this week haha

  31. Gene Parmesan says:
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    Pick up Street. Especially because Rodney and Papelbon aren’t reliable.

  32. Travis says:
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    Hey JB–great rundown, as always. Posted this same query on Grey’s post, but interested in your thoughts as the pitching expert….

    I love Chavez, especially with his next start against HOU….I’m thinking just holding Chavez through HOU start, then maybe swapping him out for Smyly….

    Kluber, Dickey, Porcello, Eovaldi–any of them droppable for him?

    I’m leaning towards Eovaldi (as much as I love him, consistency might be an issues, lack of run support), or Dickey (can’t seem to trade him, he is kind of bleh).

    Or maybe drop a closer such as Axford (I’d still have Perkins, Reed, Cishek, Papelbon)?

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Travis: Yeah the HOU start looks good, but I still like Kluber Porcello Smyly Eovaldi much more ROS. Hmmm on Dickey, I just don’t think he has upside anymore. I would have no problem losing Dickey for Smyly if I’m looking at youre situation right, I would def do that and hold Chavez

    • Jonas says:
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      @Travis: wish I was in your league.

      • Battle of the Sleepers says:
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        @Jonas: whys that, Jonas? That’s, JB–will prolly cut dickey for Chavez one start, then drop for Smyly if I read that right?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Battle of the Sleepers: Oh I thought you meant you already had Dickey, I would prefer dropping Dickey for Smyly still if had to choose between the 2

          • Battle of the Sleepers says:
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            @JB Gilpin: yeah, I do have Dickey.. So that’s what I said, I’ll drop him for Smyly.

            Thanks!

            • Battle of the Sleepers says:
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              @Battle of the Sleepers: so someone bit on my Dickey trade–getting Archer! I think we were both selling low after bad starts–but I like Archers upside a lot more, despite one bump.

              Now back to should I drop anyone for Smyly, or just hold?

              • JB Gilpin

                JB Gilpin says:
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                @Battle of the Sleepers: Oh nicccccccccccce! Slam dunk trade. I think I’ll go with my rankings, I’d probably take Smyly over Eovaldi, but they’re close

        • Jonas says:
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          @Battle of the Sleepers: just saying I like your team and thats a good problem to have those options. Im dealing with injuries and looking at options after JB’s top 70-80, i.e. im considering adding Drew Hutchinson and I just dropped Richards for Mejia to see if he can pan out.

  33. Frank White says:
    (link)

    JB Wutup Dawg…I came so close winning the Basketball championship bu got 2nd. Good thing e split the pot 60-40, Lol but Thanks so much for all your help buddy!! Anway I’ve had nothing but bad luck on my pitching squad. Lol. But seriously with injuries and pitchers playing so horrible I had to drop but I had to pickup about 5 pitchers off the wire to add to my squad and not stream. Moore is out for the season, ( Which is a blessing in disguise) and Cobb on my DL. This is my whole lineup, 10 team mixed h2h points…
    Wieters
    Fielder
    Gyorko
    Elvis Andrus
    Adam Jones
    Jay Bruce
    Alex Gordon
    Cuddyer
    Desmond Jennings

    Alex Wood
    Jason Vargas
    Masterson
    Robbie Erlin
    Bumgarner
    Samardzija
    Homer Bailey
    Eovaldi
    Jesse Chavez
    Erasmo ( I’m giving him 1 more chance before I drop Him)
    Cobb DL
    Paxton DL ( Only reason why I’m keeping him is because I get 2 DL spots and I’m gonna Replace him with 1 of Seth’s grab n stash guys)
    Glen Perkins
    Jose Valverde
    Mujica ( gonna drop when Uehara is back in 2 games)
    So after picking the guys up off waivers, which are pretty clear who they are, Lol.. 1 – Do you think I have a good squad or do you think I’m heading for more disaster?? I’ll pickup prospects like I always have done but I got a while for that. On top of my injuries I got Masterson and Bailey pitching like crap and some other pitchers doing great but can’t get a win cause batters and bullpen killing them. 2 – Any advise for me?? I’m 0-2 right now with close scores in both but not getting wins are killing me cause it’s 20 points per win an a point per K and inning. Oh and I just picked all these pitchers recently and they haven’t pitched yet so I’m 0-2 without those new guys. Sorry If I was rambling but I just wanted to give you all the details. LOL.. Thanks!!!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Frank White: Woooo nice on hoops! Glad we could help ya get almost there haha. I think your team is fine, I still like your pitching and think Homer B turns it around, Bumgerner is an ace, and your O is fine, Fielder will turn it around. I can’t really think of any advise yet, maybe play your matchups a little bit, but in points you pretty much gotta play whenever they go out. I’m not as strong in points leagues I’m usually a Roto guy, but I think your team will be fine, super early.

  34. AndrewM says:
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    Rank these in order from best to worst:
    Wheeler
    Archer
    Gio Gonzo
    Salazar
    Lee

    It’s a keeper/dynasty format 12 man roto league.

    Also, would you do Jennings/Lindstrom combo for all of those? If not all which one’s wouldn’t you do that for?
    Lastly, if instead of Jennings I traded Cespedes/Lindstrom for one of those… which of them would you do the trade for and which of them wouldn’t you do the trade for?

    Any advice helps.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @AndrewM: Yeah I’d probably do Jennings Lindstrom for all of those guys. I’d still rank them closer to short-term unless you’re for sure rebuilding, so I’d use the rankings I have up which I think would be Lee, Gio, Archer, Salazar, Wheeler. Probably wouldn’t do Cespedes Lindstrom for the last two.

  35. Jonas says:
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    Since I just added him over the likes of Mejia, Niese, and McAllister(…) where do you think Adam Warren ranks with these guys?

    Thanks if we can compare apples to oranges (saves league, no holds)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jonas: I don’t think Warren gets many saves, I’d rather all the SP

      • Jonas says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: thanks.

  36. Funky Tong says:
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    Someone in my OBP/QS roto league just dropped Sabathia, and I grabbed him. Is it worth hanging on to him, or should I just continue streaming with that spot?

    The rest of my staff is Wainwright, Cashner, Cingrani, Ventura, Salazar, Pineda, Skaggs, and Griffin on the DL

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Funky Tong: League depth? I mean, he’s worth holding to see if he can get it going, 10 is close though, def holding in 12 or deeper.

  37. Chris says:
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    Hi Gilpin great article,

    Any help you could give would be awesome! Thanks!
    This is my team 5×5 roto. Do you think I need more pitching or should I stay put? I am thinking of offering Pujols or Rizzo and Lincecum for Jose Fernandez and Chavez SP A’s. Let me know if you think I should stayput or offer it. With Cobb being out I’m a little scared.

    Pitching
    Roberto Hernandez
    T Lincecum
    N Eovaldi
    D Salazar
    Jim Henderson RP
    R Porcello
    Y Ventura
    C Archer
    T Hunter RP
    A Cobb (R)
    C Carrasco (R)
    B Chen (R)
    M Perez (R)
    C Morton

    Goldschmidt
    Gyorko
    Andrus
    Middlebrooks
    E Cabrera
    Pujols
    Rizzo
    Hart
    Harper
    Kris Davis
    Soriano
    Crisp

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Chris: Yeah I think you need more pitching. Although Yordano looks absolutely incredible right now. Yeah I like that Pujols offer, gets ya an ace. Well, another ace next to Ventura :)

  38. Dan says:
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    Harper or Adam jones

    Darvish or Clayton Kershaw

    Rest of the year ?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Dan: Agree with goldfold, very close, would lean Jones for safety. And Darvish ROS as I have him ranked #1 in my rankings above

  39. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    1 coin flip
    2. darvish

  40. AndrewM says:
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    Lost Cole Kalhoun to the DL. I’m in a 12 team 27 player toto league. Should I just drop him?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @AndrewM: Yeah I think he’s a drop with this ligament thing, a real shame, I love this guy

      • AndrewM says:
        (link)

        @JB Gilpin: What are your thoughts between Hector Santiago and Drew Hutchison? Need to drop Mujica as he isn’t going to be closing bc Koji is healthy. Looking for someone to keep around for a while that I can stream if necessary.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
          (link)

          @AndrewM: I have them pretty close in my ranks, Hutchison I like for the upside, I think Santiago is a little safer and is off a really good start, just faces a hot SEA team early on

  41. Jonas says:
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    you still think Kluber is 33?

    Just traded Melancon for him.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
      (link)

      @Jonas: Hah, will move down a tad, highly doubt he’ll fall out of the top 40. Not great today, but numbers aren’t awful the past 3.

  42. Jonas says:
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    34?

Comments are closed.