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I know I’ve had some requests for more fun pitchers, but Dillon Gee was a guy I ranked high and a guy I kept high.  And very early on “I tried to figure out why… I had him so high!”, but lately dude has been tossin’ gas!

The very under-appreciated Gee ended 2013 on a tear, pitching with a 2.41 ERA from May 30 to September 15 – with 100 Ks in 137.1 IP in 20 starts.  So ridiculously under the radar that Lord Helmet must’ve jammed it!

As a non-Mets fan and non-Gee owner in any leagues at the current present, I haven’t buckled down to watch any of his starts as of late.  And with three scoreless outings out of his past four – giving up two runs total in those four – I decided to break down his start yesterday at the Rockies and if Gee should be owned in a lot more than 38% of leagues:

First Inning: Gee starts this tough matchup at Coors with a fastball inside to Charlie Blackmon.  Another fastball is high, again high, and 3-0 to start the game.  Hmmmm.  Gee then pours one in there, all of these at 89 MPH, then another fastball is fouled off, and the payoff is again fastball at 90 MPH flied out to left, one down.  Charlie Culberson takes a slider at 84 that stays high, then a straight fastball gets laced to the alley in right for a double.  Not an encouraging start.  Now the big boppers are up, and Carlos Gonzalez takes a breaking ball outside, a fastball runs way outside, scary pitch here down 2-0 to CarGo.  Gee goes fastball that is way high and outside, now 3-0.  Fastball is in there, then the 3-1 is a change-up absolutely rocketed to second on the ground, but the play is made for the second out.  Runner now at third, and Nolan Arenado takes a fastball outside, then fastball way inside, yet another 2-0 count.  Luckily for Gee, he gets a start without Troy Tulowitzki getting a Sunday off.  Gee goes with an 85 MPH slider, and he gets around another 2-0 count to get a lazy flyout to left.

Second Inning: The Mets pick up a run, and Gee starts Justin Morneau with a cutter in there, then misses with a cutter, curve then change-up to fall behind 3-1.  Man, can’t believe he’s able to survive being down in the count this much!  And the next fastball is laced hard to the opposite field, but caught on a line in left, one down.  Another hard hit out.  First pitch to Michael McKenry is a slider inside, then a fastball fouled off, another heater fouled off, and then Gee’s best curveball on the day gets McKenry to swing and miss, two down.

Gee-Curveball

This really isn’t a good Rockies line-up without Tulo, Wilin Rosario, Michael Cuddyer… First pitch to Corey Dickerson is a curveball, but this one is a hanger and Dickerson dumps it to center for a single.  So two outs, runner on first, and D.J. LeMahieu takes a fastball way low and outside, then is in there with a fastball, then another heater is hit hard to the mound, but [duh nuh duh, duh nuh duh! - ESPN theme in words?] Gee makes a fantastic behind the back glove stab and he makes a great Web Gem to end the inning.

Third Inning: Picking up another two runs of support, Gee starts the third with his 30th pitch (despite giving up only two baserunners), and it’s his best slider on the day to opposing pitcher Jhoulys Chacin.  Maybe he needed the pitcher up there to relax him a bit.  Fastball is inside, then a cutter chopped foul, then curveball bends outside, slider runs outside, and full count to the pitcher.  Not a very efficient pitch count.  A fastball is fouled back, then finally the 7th pitch of the AB is a fastball at the knees and Chacin looks at strike three.  First pitch slider to Blackmon is fouled off, then a change fouled, followed by a fastball a foot too high, 1-2.  Another fastball is high and a little chin music, and again fastball is too high to run it full.  Three straight high fastballs after getting up 0-2 seems odd.  But the payoff pitch is a great change-up and Blackmon swing through it for back-to-back Ks.

Gee-Change-Up

Gee starts Culberson with a heater high at 92, his fastest on the day, then a nasty curveball bends into the zone, 1-1.  Another good curveball gets a swing-and-miss, a high fastball is fouled off, again high fastball and Culberson hits it pretty well to right, but Curtis Granderson is there a step in front of the track to end the inning.

Fourth Inning: Fastball is inside to CarGo, then another fastball high and tight, a change-up outside is fouled off, another fastball is outside, and it’s another 3 ball count at 3-1.  But Gee escapes again with a fastball on the inner black that’s grounded weakly to second, one down.  The Mets broadcasters claim Gee is pitching with a purpose expanding the zone, but I dunno…  First pitch to Arenado is a four-seamer fouled back, then another fastball fouled back, then a fastball is outside, but a change-up inside that would’ve dipped low gets absolutely rocketed down the third base line for a double – keeping Arenado’s big hitting streak going.  Not a great change-up there.  Morneau is late on an outside fastball and misses, then late again but hits it foul, and back-to-back 0-2 counts – turning it around.  Fastball is fouled off, a good slider is fouled off, and a change-up misses by a millimeter outside, 1-2.  Thought that was a K.  Change-up on the hands jams him, and Morneau pops out to very shallow right.  Two down, and slider is in the dirt to McKenry, a good curve is tapped foul, McKenry is late and misses a fastball, and this has been a good sequence mixing speeds.  The fastball isn’t overpowering, but a few late swings this inning.  A curve is fouled, still 1-2, and McKenry is late again on the outside fastball for Gee’s 4th K.

Gee-Fastball

Fifth Inning: Pitch count is very high for only three baserunners at 67, and Gee’s 68th is a fastball that misses, again misses, then finally hits the top of the zone, 2-1 to Dickerson.  Cutter on the hands is fouled, another fastball fouled, again fastball is fouled back, then a change-up is rolled over getting a weak grounder to first, Lucas Duda bobbles, but is able to get it to Gee covering, one down.  LeMahieu fouls off a fastball, then three straight fastballs are high, 3-1.  These elevated fastballs scare me.  Another fastball in the zone is fouled, then again fastball is way high and tight for Gee’s first walk.  Credit Gee for working around all these 3 ball counts up until now.  Pinch-hitter Brandon Barnes takes a 91 MPH fastball in there, change-up floats high, then another change at 84 gets belted to left for a single.  Hit pretty well there and not a good pitch.  Fastball is an inch outside to Blackmon, then nearly a foot outside, gets a heater in there, then a fastball on the hands gets a really weak grounder to second, hit too weak to get a double play, but they get the lead runner.  So man on first, two down, and Culberson spins out of the way of an inside curveball, then a nasty slider at 77 MPH gets Culberson way out in front, 1-1.

Gee-Slider

After a check on the runner, another nasty slider front doors Culberson, then the 1-2 fastball is grounded to second for an easy play to end the inning.

Sixth Inning: Gee’s 92nd pitch is a curveball that bends low to CarGo, then change-up outside, fastball is high and tight, down 3-0.  Fastball gets the call, then fastball again gets a swing-and-miss, a change-up is fouled, fastball fouled, then another high heater at 91 gets CarGo to swing-and-miss for Gee’s 5th K.  Took 8 pitches, but got it done.  Curveball is high and inside, then another curve gets Arenado to pop it out to shallow center, two outs.  Curveball low and outside to Morneau, fastball fouled back, fastball high, then another high fastball is hit hard to left, but it’s caught on the run on the track and gets Gee his cleanest inning.

Seventh Inning: So they bring Gee back out there at 105 pitches, and McKenry takes a change in there, a curveball fouled off, and up 0-2 early.  Gee goes with a fastball at 89 and McKenry crushes it to right, but it bends a couple of feet foul just inside the park saving Gee from a leadoff double.  Then fastball again, and McKenry again goes opposite field for a hard hit single.  Up 0-2 against a guy he K-ed both times, I don’t get fastball there.  Fastball outside to Dickerson, then a change-up that looked like it got the outside corner is called a ball, 2-0.  Another change gets the zone, but Gee’s next pitch – yet another change – is laced to center for a single.  And that’s Gee’s last pitch giving up two straight singles without getting an out, but luckily neither come across to score to keep Gee’s scoreless outing intact.

Final Line:  W  6.0 IP  113 Pitches (68 Strikes)  0 ER  6 Hits  1 Walk  5 K  Gamescore: 64   Gamescore+: 66.6

Final Analysis: Well, it’s hard to argue the results, but Gee fell behind numerous times and this wasn’t a very efficient outing.  It’s kind of hard to believe a scoreless 6 inning outing with only 7 scattered baserunners would account for a 113 pitch start.  Still, the absence of an earned run and decent Ks scored Gee a solid Gamescore+ even though all the hits were pretty well struck.

Gee starts his arsenal with a fastball around 90 that topped at 92, but it’s anything but overpowering.  He elevated a ton yesterday, but was still able to rebound from getting behind in counts.  Off the heater is a cutter at 88-89, then a pretty good slider in the high 70s, a change-up usually 83-84 and a curveball that – when on – looked solid in the mid-70s.  I wasn’t a fan of the change-up at all this game, as it’s only 7ish MPH slower than the fastball.  But he can use all 5 pitches whenever he needs, which I think is the key to his success.  Mixing speeds with enough movement is powering Gee’s high output of QS since early last year.

Circling back to the title, where is Gee’s spot in fantasy baseball?  While he’s been a really good pitcher as mentioned in the intro, I’m still not boosting him up my rankings.  This start at Coors had no Tulo, Rosario, or Cuddyer, and had a lot of hard hit outs with an inefficient pitch count.  It’s easy to see why his K:BB was 27:13 before yesterday’s start, and I see it staying closer to 2:1 than improving to 3:1 (even though with yesterday’s solid ratio it’s 32:14 now).  In 10ers I’m probably letting him stay out there, but any deeper he’s worth the add as a consistent, albeit low upside, back of the rotation kind of guy.  I don’t ever see the Ks being big and I see some bad WHIP games and low win potential, but he does pitch in the NL in a good park with a pretty bad division.  He gets the Phillies next time out, which would seem like a solid matchup, but he was a 9.00 ERA pitcher in 4 starts against them last year.  Then it’s the Yankees.  So Gee is a guy on my radar, but not loving those next two outings.

Razzball Baseball

JB’s Updated Top 100 SP

(rankings based on 12-team Roto – green for risers, red for fallers)

RANK SP, TEAM
1 Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers
2 Adam Wainwright, St. Louis Cardinals
3 Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals
4 Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers
5 Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners
6 Jose Fernandez, Miami Marlins
7 Cliff Lee, Philadelphia Phillies
8 Madison Bumgarner, San Francisco Giants
9 Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers
10 Chris Sale, Chicago White Sox
11 Michael Wacha, St. Louis Cardinals
12 Masahiro Tanaka, New York Yankees
13 Justin Verlander, Detroit Tigers
14 Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves
15 Zack Greinke, Los Angeles Dodgers
16 Gio Gonzalez, Washington Nationals
17 James Shields, Kansas City Royals
18 Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies
19 Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals
20 David Price, Tampa Bay Rays
21 Mike Minor, Atlanta Braves
22 Jeff Samardzija, Chicago Cubs
23 Andrew Cashner, San Diego Padres
24 Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds
25 Sonny Gray, Oakland Athletics
26 Gerrit Cole, Pittsburgh Pirates
27 Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants
28 Yordano Ventura, Kansas City Royals
29 Homer Bailey, Cincinnati Reds
30 Hisashi Iwakuma, Seattle Mariners
31 Anibal Sanchez, Detroit Tigers
32 Jon Lester, Boston Red Sox
33 Ervin Santana, Atlanta Braves
34 Alex Wood, Atlanta Braves
35 Corey Kluber, Cleveland Indians
36 Chris Archer, Tamp Bay Rays
37 Rick Porcello, Detroit Tigers
38 Hyun-Jin Ryu, Los Angeles Dodgers
39 Scott Kazmir, Oakland Athletics
40 Nathan Eovaldi, Miami Marlins
41 Shelby Miller, St. Louis Cardinals
42 Danny Salazar, Cleveland Indians
43 Francisco Liriano, Pittsburgh Pirates
44 Martin Perez, Texas Rangers
45 Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles
46 Matt Garza, Milwaukee Brewers
47 Lance Lynn, St. Louis Cardinals
48 Drew Smyly, Detroit Tigers
49 Alex Cobb, Tampa Bay Rays
50 Tony Cingrani, Cincinnati Reds
51 Jered Weaver, Los Angeles Angels
52 Zach Wheeler, New York Mets
53 Yovani Gallardo, Milwaukee Brewers
54 C.J. Wilson, Los Angeles Angels
55 Marco Estrada, Milwaukee Brewers
56 Travis Wood, Chicago Cubs
57 Hiroki Kuroda, New York Yankees
58 Doug Fister, Washington Nationals
59 Jake Peavy, Boston Red Sox
60 Wily Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers
61 Justin Masterson, Cleveland Indians
62 CC Sabathia, New York Yankees
63 Jesse Chavez, Oakland Athletics
64 Tyler Skaggs, Los Angeles Angels
65 John Lackey, Boston Red Sox
66 Tim Hudson, San Francisco Giants
67 Ian Kennedy, San Diego Padres
68 Clay Buchholz, Boston Red Sox
69 Dan Haren, Los Angeles Dodgers
70 Mat Latos, Cincinnati Reds
71 Kyle Lohse, Milwaukee Brewers
72 James Paxton, Seattle Mariners
73 Drew Hutchison, Toronto Blue Jays
74 Aaron Harang, Atlanta Braves
75 Mike Leake, Cincinnati Reds
76 Dillon Gee, New York Mets
77 Jason Hammel, Chicago Cubs
78 A.J. Burnett, Philadelphia Phillies
79 Taijuan Walker, Seattle Mariners
80 Jon Niese, New York Mets
81 Garrett Richards, Los Angeles Angels
82 Trevor Bauer, Cleveland Indians
83 Dan Straily, Oakland Athletics
84 Archie Bradley, Arizona Diamondbacks
85 Tyson Ross, San Diego Padres
86 Mark Buehrle, Toronto Blue Jays
87 Zach McAllister, Cleveland Indians
88 Bartolo Colon, New York Mets
89 Ubaldo Jimenez, Baltimore Orioles
90 R.A. Dickey, Toronto Blue Jays
91 Edinson Volquez, Pittsburgh Pirates
92 Tim Lincecum, San Francisco Giants
93 Michael Pineda, New York Yankees
94 Alfredo Simon, Cincinnati Reds
95 Tanner Roark, Washington Nationals
96 Collin McHugh, Houston Astros
97 Jason Vargas, Kansas City Royals
98 Jenrry Mejia, New York Mets
99 Josh Beckett, Los Angeles Dodgers
100 Hector Santiago, Los Angeles Angels

Dropped Out: Jake Odorizzi, Tampa Bay Rays (bad)

  • Well, my B on McHugh, who after cruising through two innings fell apart in the third yesterday.  I didn’t see it all, but did catch a few outs/hits and his hung breaking stuff was getting hit hard then the fastball hit hard right after.  I still have him ranked, but hate him going at Baltimore next time out.  No sir-ee.
  • I’m starting to go all in on Sonny Gray.  I should’ve listened to Grey!  About Gray.  Now I feel gray.
  • Looks like Trevor Bauer is about to get an extended look in the rotation.  I’m still a tad skeptical he can keep the control working, but he certainly has enough upside to crack the top 100.
  • I didn’t like Liriano at all this year, and he’s moving further and further down.  Shocker!
  • How good has Jon Lester been?!  I don’t want to buy in too hard, but felt I had to move him up.
  • Oh man, how about my boy Kluber?!  Nasty, nasty stuff, that helped counter my bad McHugh stream haha.
  • I liked Shelby Miller to bounce back from a bad second half last year, but 26 Ks to 21 BB in 34.1 ain’t gonna get it done.
  • I’m starting to go gaga for Eovaldi.  The first profile I did this year; he’s looked just as sharp in subsequent starts, if not better.
  • I guess I was wrong on Burnett, who apparently pitches better with a hernia.  Makes no sense.  Ahhhh!

I hope everyone had a great week of pitching to finish out April, and happy pitching in the month of May.  Stay cold bats, stay cold!

  1. No Soup for YU says:
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    Offered 2 trades today in 5×5 cats league

    I give Tehrehan and M Perez I get Napoli and M Cain
    or I give Tehrehan and Perez and I get Adams and M Cain

    Not sure if I can take another first basemen because I already have Abreu and Pujols and is it a big downgrade to injured Cain?

    My team
    C Santana 1B Pujols 2B Altuve 3B Miggy SS E Cabrera OF Stanton, Bautista, Marte Util Abreu, Longoria Bn W Myers, G Polanco

    Darvish, Bailey, Tehrehan, Wacha, Ventura, Salazar, Liriano, Perez, Cishek, Romo

    • Cram It says:
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      @No Soup for YU: Why would you trade for a 1B if you have no place to play him?

      • JB Gilpin

        JB Gilpin says:
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        @No Soup for YU: I think I’d hold off on both as @Cram It: mentioned you have great 1B depth and I like Teheran the most at SP

  2. RandomItalicizedVoice says:
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    I appreciate the Gee breakdown. Would love to see a Brandon McCarthy breakdown, as he seems to have revamped his pitching style. Results haven’t been there yet, but if this newfound velocity sticks, and he gets used to using it (which I think could well be the explanation for his early season numbers)…the upside is greater than most people are aware of, IMO.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @RandomItalicizedVoice: Hmmm interesting thought, I did see he was starting to turn it around from a brutal start. If he pitches on a Sat or Sun sometime soon he’ll be in the running!

    • J-Money aka Jaywrong's Stalker says:
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      @RandomItalicizedVoice: I second that proposal for a McCarthy pitcher profile.

  3. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    What leads you to say Bauer will get an extended look?

  4. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    Do you happen to have a Head-to-Head points league rankings?

  5. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    Traded Shelby Miller and Adam Jones for Strasburg and Jay Bruce right before the Bruce injury news dropped. Loved it before the news, but still think I like it. Miller has been sitting on my bench all season anyway.

    What do you think?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @malamoney: I think once Bauer gets called up, which isn’t in the next week sure, he’ll stay in the rotation. I think he’s done enough to get a long run once he’s up, and not just spot start. Nah, I don’t have H2H rankings, it’s hard doing 100 Roto every week, I’d just lean on the big innings eaters ranked higher. Yeah Miller is looking bad, sucks losing Jones, but I remember your format and think you did good!

      • New Jersey Jays Fan says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        I traded Adam Jones and got Hanley Ramirez in return, ss was the only gaping hole on my squad. do you think it was a good deal for me? or are you high on adam jones turning it around for a big year?

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @New Jersey Jays Fan: I think that’s a solid trade given values and needs. I do think Jones turns it around, but HanRam per game should best him, just the injury risk makes those two close for me

  6. Grey

    Grey says:
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    Gray!

    Yours,

    Grey!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Grey: So much Gre[a]y!

  7. Eddie says:
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    Should I trade Blackmon for Wacha straight up? I know Blackmon will regress but it’s hard to trade away someone who has tucked you in bed every night!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Eddie: Haha he has tucked you in so much! Yeah, I absolutely love Wacha, I’d do that one in a heartbeat

    • The Thumb says:
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      @Eddie: do that right now

  8. Cram It says:
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    Have you scouted any Archer starts? Anything coming down the pipe on him? I’ve only watched him a couple of times and I can’t figure him out so he’s a guy I’d like your full evaluation on. I’m trying to hold on to him, but he’s not in the circle of trust. Maybe you can have like a vote counter for readers to choose who you scout next.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Cram It: I think he’s in the circle. I haven’t seen him pitch in a few, but besides the last one the walks weren’t there. He’s another good option for a rundown. I try to pick a guy who pitched on Sunday so it stays topical, maybe I’ll make an informal comments poll Sunday morning of who to pick?

      • Cram It says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Gotcha, didn’t know you stuck to a Sunday starter. That’s fair. Thanks for your vote of confidence.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Cram It: Not exclusively, but I usually go a Sunday guy.

  9. AndrewM says:
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    Still hating on Tyson Ross. He has been pretty solid so far. At the least I am keeping him to start him for home games. K/9 is still there, BB/9 is down to 3.3, his HR/9 is high at 1.03 but his HR/FB% is up 10 14.7%. I like seeing the GB% at 56.2%. I like him going forward still.

    Looking to deal an OF/Mejia for Kluber and or Salazar. You see any problems with salazar going forward? I like his upside with his “stuff” and I am in a keeper league.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @AndrewM: Oh for sure, but since you have to screen his starts so much, it’s hard for me to rank him so high. Def will like him here and there, but overall I scurred. I think Salazar is in the adjustment period and can figure it out, I like him much more as a keeper, but Kluber is probably such a lower pricetag and isnt too old at like 28 I think.

  10. Matt says:
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    Do you like Will Smith more as a prince or as a holds machine?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Matt: Will Smith has been awesome for my Brewers. Although I do like him as a prince! Think he’s locked in his role.

  11. Shake N Bacon says:
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    Man I keep kicking myself for dropping Eovaldi. Now I can only hope that Bauer gets called up and finally reaches his potential.

    I dropped Martin Perez after his beating against Oakland in Texas. Crazy how he could shut them out for 9 innings one game and then get beat like a red headed step child the next outing. I only have 4 starting pitchers (including Bauer) on my team right now. Trying to save my ratios with some MR guys with high K/9. Should I get back on board the Martin Perez train again or leave him out there in my 12-team roto league?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Shake N Bacon: Hah hopefully I fought for Eovaldi hard if you asked me! Yeah I think I hopped him way up there. Well I’m very iffy on Perez tonight, but I’m hesitantly rolling him out there at Coors. Since he’s a groundball guy when on, I am rolling the dice he bounces back. If solid, I think you should grab him tomo, if he’s bad you can wait and see since I doubt your leaguemates will be interested haha.

      • Shake N Bacon says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Good point on Perez. I’ll keep an eye on the box score of that game tonight. Very brave of you to start him there. He is a ground ball machine when he is on though.

        Ha, no I dropped Eovaldi without consulting anyone. I can’t even remember who I picked up. Maybe Garrett Richards. Dang it.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Shake N Bacon: Haha well at least Richards hasnt been awful! Perez gets a lineup without Rosario and Cuddyer too, and Blackmon isn’t as good against lefties so that helped swing me. I am going in well worried about the risks haha

  12. Shawn of the Livid says:
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    He JB, good read as usual. I like Gee too, but don’t own him anywhere. Closest I came was a decision between M. Perez and Gee, easy to pass on him there (for me at least).

    But yeah, Kluber. Holy crap. Strategy made it impossible to start him (if I allowed 2 walks, a couple points on WHIP or ERA I lose the category). But I was watching. The only reason I own Kluber or Porcello is because of your endorsements, so I hope it pays off!

    I just picked up Stroman, would love to see a profile on him in the future!

    Thanks for the read, and that sweet chart!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Shawn of the Livid: Thanks man! Yeah Gee is so under the radar that I felt he was a good choice. Both Klubes and POrcello have been pretty good so far! Kluber has shown the huge upside. Still my boys! Stroman to the bullpen seems a little weird to me, so early 2000s haha. Once he gets into that rotation, he’s def on the short list! Thanks again!

  13. malamoney

    malamoney says:
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    I offered Salazar for Kemp. He rejected and countered with Bauer for Kemp.

    Thoughts? Who wins?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @malamoney: Yeah I’d still take Kemp there, I know your league values the pitchers but that’s a pretty big upside haul

      • malamoney

        malamoney says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Agreed. I still have Felix, Strasburg, Greinke, Gerrit, Gray, Anibal, Salazar and Stroman. And we only start 4.

        Seems like a no-brainer. And I could use Kemp with Bruce going down.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @malamoney: Agreed, nice one!

  14. Andrew A says:
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    10 team, 6×6 (OPS) roto, weekly lineup, need an impact hitter

    would you trade Masterson for Brandon Moss? or hold until his value is higher/hold just for his upside? aiming too high or too low?

    Best free agent options include Tex, Granderson, C. Crawford, Upton, Ramsus, Hart, Dunn

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Andrew A: Yeah I think it’s “aiming” a little low but seems fair. I might float out some offers for hitters slightly better. I don’t think Moss is hugely better than those FAs

  15. Mike says:
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    I am trying to figure out why Salazar and Wheeler are still rated so high. There are laying around as refuge in a number of my leagues and I try to squint my eyes to come up with a reason to pick them up, but I cannot. I am sure I am being stupid and will regret it.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mike: You’re not being stupid at all, they’ve been pretty bad. But I’m ranking for ROS and their upside for big final 3/4 of the season is still pretty big. I think both are good enough to make adjustments from this soph. slump

      • Mike says:
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        @JB Gilpin: thanks – I will keep an eye on them.

  16. Mike says:
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    Do you drop CC Sabathia for Ryu ? Can we assume the injury is not serious?

    Thanks…

    Mike.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Mike: Everything seems like it’s not serious from what I’ve seen today. Yeah Ryu for me

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Mike: Any time man!

  17. tim says:
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    as a lester owner, i dont know if i believe it either, but i’ve noticed you’ve been pretty down on him all year. any reason why? think he’ll be sp3 quality the rest of the year? better/worse?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @tim: yeah heading into the year it was a falling K rate, two straight blah seasons, just didn’t seem like is he had much upside anymore. Proving that wrong! Yeah I moved him up – SP3-4 all year seems right

  18. New Jersey Jays Fan says:
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    Do you think Dozier is the real thing at second? or is he a good sell high candidate? i have Lawrie who is 2b eligible but hes filling in at 3rd till zimmerman is off the DL. 12 team ten cat mixed league.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @New Jersey Jays Fan: I think he can be close to 20/20 and hit like .230 or .240. So that’s definitely ownable, but he’s not going to be like a 40/40 guy like he’s on pace for haha.

      • New Jersey Jays Fan says:
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        @JB Gilpin:

        its ridiculous he has been stuffing the stat sheet on a nightly basis. I could use an ace pitcher do you think i could get a top end guy for him? hes ranked 7th overall in my league right now.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @New Jersey Jays Fan: Probably not, but it’s well worth floating out some offers! Can’t hurt and won’t be insulting to anyone given this start

  19. My Minor Likes Female Pujols says:
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    Great read! I grabbed Gee last week, he was a free agent all season in a 12 teamer. I felt dumb for not grabbing him sooner and dumber for not starting him in coors!! O well sonovabench. Anyways I know you don’t usually do well owned pitchers for profiles but I’d love to read one on Mike Minor to see the form in which he’s returning to the rotation. Or if not maybe Hutchinson would be interesting with his great k rate and only decent era.

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @My Minor Likes Female Pujols: Thanks man! Hutchison is definitely a guy that fits the mold, but yeah Minor coming off the DL is a great choice too – both on the list! Any time!

  20. alex says:
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    So I was just offered abreu and teheran for my goldy. Watcha think? Keeper league with OPS and TB as extra cats. K/bb and holds as extra cats for pitching.

    Hes also offered Puig and teheran for goldy. Whatcha think?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @alex: Nah I don’t think i could do that, Goldy is still so young. Wouldn’t do it for Puig either. Too much inconsistency (well, we haven’t seen it from Abreu yet, but I think some bumps are coming) for your best player and great long-term keeper.

  21. Battle of the Sleepers says:
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    You don’t like Gee higher than that? Good to know. Martin Perez is my bottom pitcher–guessing this answers not to drop him for Gee, but what about Kluber or Smyly?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Battle of the Sleepers: Yeah the low Ks and high pitch counts were concerning. I know he’s been awesome, but I dunno, don’t see much upside. Oh man, Perez is tough, I’m starting to abandon ship. Def keeping Kluber and Smyly above Gee, I think those two are a good bit ahead of the other two, might do the Perez drop after seeing him shelled today.

  22. Eddie says:
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    Start Hutchison tomorrow @Phi?

    Robbie Ray against Houston?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Eddie: Definitely, and probably. I like Hutch more.

  23. Jiggy Nits says:
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    Would you do LaTroy Hawkins (10$) and Roark (5$) for either of these guys?

    Street (1$) or K-ROD (1$)

    NL only roto 5×5 keeper

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jiggy Nits: Hmmm, probably not unless you’re locking and loading to win it this year. Hawkins is obviously like 70 or something, but Roark as an NL only keeper at $5 seems pretty good if you keep a lot of guys. I’d do it for KRod if you’re playing for a title this year.

      • Jiggy Nits says:
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        @JB Gilpin: Cool. this is very sound advice, thanks. We do keep like 10 guys so Roark could be one.

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Jiggy Nits: Yeah I could see it since that’s a pretty good value for a young NL only keeper

  24. Zar says:
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    I picked dozier off waivers and have Gordon and profar. I also picked up a Ryan Zimmerman for when he’s healthy. Them, I picked up frieri last night just as he locks down a save today. I guess I’m feeling lucky?

    But I think my luck may run out with this question. I need wins badly. I nearly threw my phone out the car on Saturday when gray gave up the second run and gio didn’t get run support. Is it worth rostering a vulture with ratios like machi? Heck, he’s tied for he league lead in wins….he’s got a nasty fork ball too.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Zar: Wow, yeah it was weird, Joe Smith was warming up, but I guess when the lead got to three Scioscia went with Frieri for the confidence boost. He said he wants Frieri to close, so a smart move. I know a lot of people like to chase the wins from bullpens, but I personally don’t do it. I’d rather all starters and closers, and get my vulture wins from blown saves haha. Remember what Tyler Clippard did like 2 or 3 years ago? Won like 6 games in April, then ended with maybe 11. Still really good, but nothing you can count on.

  25. Sniff Test says:
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    Sabathia has been pretty brutal, yet he hasn’t moved much in your rankings. Do you think things will get better for him?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Sniff Test: Yeah I do, I’m pretty sure I had him well below the consensus heading into the year, preparing for a bad April like he always does. So I think he can be like a 4.1ish ERA guy with solid Ks here on out? Some wins? I think that’s about right.

  26. Sniff Test says:
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    One other question, what do you see happening with Robbie Ray? Does he eventually get shifted to relief as a good lefty arm to replace Coke? Or does he replace Smyly in the rotation and Smyly becomes the reliable lefty reliever that replaces Coke?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Sniff Test: I think they certainly want Smyly to start and he’s done well. I think Ray just is the stop-gap until Anibal gets back then to the pen or back to minors.

  27. Clint says:
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    Wire has Zack Wheeler, Smyly, Pineda, Gee, Dickey. Any tweaks you suggest to my staff w/this in mind? Currently doing fairly well in everything except wins:

    Teheran, Liriano, Kluber, Eovaldi, Porcello, Cingrani, Masterson
    RP’s: Rodney, Axford, K-Rod, Delabar
    DL: Crain

    • Clint says:
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      @Clint:

      Correction: swapped Delbar with Cecil. And this is a 10 player keeper roto league w/12 teams in it.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Clint: Oh wow, someone dumped Wheeler? I would grab Wheeler for Cecil, Casey Janssen I think is closing in a week to week and a half. I think I have Smyly a good deal above Masterson too, I think I’d do that even though I know Masterson has the pedigree. Smyly has been pretty awesome the past two minus an Abreu HR

  28. Jiggy Nits says:
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    another about Roark… Does his drop in FB velocity concern you at all? Isn’t he down about 2MPH from last year?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jiggy Nits: Wow, didn’t notice that, yeah looks like 1.7 dip. He did have a good long time to loosen it up before callup last year, I think it’ll go back up some. That said, I’m not really that huge on him, btu barely top 100

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