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You know the Sciosciapath on the top step of the dugout down there in the Los Angeles Suburb of Los Angeles?  He loves these players.  These Peter Bourjos players.  I’d argue — or at least state, as I’m about to do — that he’d give one of ‘these players’ 500 plate appearances even if they’re hitting .220.  Erick Aybar saw 589 plate appearances last year just for rolling out of bed and getting to the ballpark on time to walk The Rally Monkey around the grounds so it didn’t shat in Scioscia’s office.  To go further, Bourjos’ glove will keep him in the lineup.  Like Michael Bay on a movie set, he’ll have his 500 PAs.  So when Bill James gives Bourjos 281 plate appearances and 6 homers and 19 steals, I shake my Magic Eight Ball and it says, “My reply is no.”  True fact:  If Napoli stole 15 bases and hit .240 with zero homers, he would’ve played every day.   So what do I think we can expect of Peter Bourjos for 2011 fantasy baseball and why is he a sleeper?

SAGNOF!  We’re getting that out of the way, for sure.  He’s crazy fast.  You know the episode where Alex P. Keaton takes speed pills and starts moving a mile a minute in his rolling chair?  That’s Bourjos.  Bourjos just ran into your room, mussed your hair, re-combed it to exactly the same place and left the room before you even noticed.  25 steals is a given.  But I wanna talk about the fizzle in his pop.  In 181 ABs last year, he hit 6 homers.  In 414 ABs in Triple-A last year, he hit 13 homers.  The power is hurting his average.  He should be slapping the ball and legging out hits.  For further reading on the subject, see Stubbs, Drew.  The word on the streets of Bobby Grichville is the Angels are going to try to emphasize to him to stop trying to hit the ball out of the yard.  Whatever.  He’s going to hit 10 homers in 2011.  Since he’s such a burner, my 30 steals is very conservative.  He could swipe 35+ bags.  Say his line for next year is 70/10/55/.255/30.  He’s not the greatest 12 team mixed league option, but as you get in deeper leagues, he’s a must look at sleeper.

  1. Eddy says:
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    ***Razzmock open for Wednesday, Jan. 26th at 8:30 p.m EST***

    It is RCL style and the password is fatheadberry.

    PLEASE, if you don’t know if you’re available that day, don’t sign up. Sadly, we haven’t had full drafts yet. There are always at least two people who don’t show up. I expect more out of razzballers.

    Also note that this is slightly deviating from the usual Thursday mocks at 7.

    Hope to see you there!

  2. Pops says:
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    I don’t know if anyone read this article concerning Jose Tabata… but it’s promising.
    http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/sports/pirates/s_717891.html

    Here are the cliff notes: Tabata has bulked up noticeably, boosting his weight to 212 pounds — and it’s muscle, not fat.

    “He’s filled out a bit,” general manager Neal Huntington said. “Remember, Jose’s still only 22 years old.”

    Huntington believes Tabata has untapped home run potential and expects the left fielder to eventually hit upwards of 20 or more homers a year.

  3. Jay says:
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    Bourjos could be good but I think even with the Sciosciapath in charge, he’s gonna have a tough time reaching 500 PAs. With Napoli likely to DH a lot, that means Juan Rivera might play a lot of RF/LF, forcing Hunter to CF. Basically, Bourjos needs to outperform Rivera in April, or else Scioscia is gonna use him off the bench or send him down. I’d probably only be willing to spend $1 on him because his playing time is a big ‘if.’

  4. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Pops: Thanks for the heads up, but those articles are like when a player says he’s in the best shape of his life. Grain of salt…

    @Jay: I think Mike’s already committed to Bourjos because of how he inserted him into the lineup last year and moved Hunter. Unless Bourjos completely collapses (possible), I think he’s in center.

  5. Jay says:
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    @Grey: Yeah, he is supposed to be a very good outfielder, too, right? Scioscia loves defense (why Napoli doesn’t catch).

    Nevertheless, spring training will be very telling, not only for what the Angels decide to do, but also how fantasy players react if Bourjos is officially named the starting CF.

  6. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: Yeah, he’s very good with his glove, that’s the main reason why I think Scioscia will play him.

  7. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Perhaps, Bill James figures if he goes all Chris Davis on half the guys in baseball and all Peter Bourjos on the other half, he figures he can probably look back at the end of the season and say he came out even.

    Elsewhere, can Ludwick hit 20 this year?

  8. Steve says:
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    @Steve: Bill James says he can (emoticon).

  9. Pops says:
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    @Grey: I agree, but I thought that the Huntington quote was telling.

  10. Stephen

    Stephen says:
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    @Pops: Also, I think he’ll mature into a 15 hr/20 SB.

  11. Penguin says:
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    Yeah, I’m hoping Bourjos doesn’t become this year’s Borbon. Hopefully he can move into a slap hitting role, take over where Figgins left off in that lineup.

  12. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: re: Ludwick — 24 homers, +/- 3…

    @Pops: Yeah, we’re on the same page. It’s good to hear, just don’t overrate that kind of info.

    @Penguin: Ugh, Borbon. Did you have to mention him?

  13. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Cool. Bourjos (#262) and Ludwick (28#3) round out my OF in the slow 16-team mock…

  14. polczek5 says:
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    anyone heard any news on Nathan’s recovery? I’m in a slow draft and 14 closers are off the board, not including Nathan. Not sure when to pull the trigger, if at all. I’d usually lean toward skipping out on a closer with big question marks, but it is a keeper league and if he has a big season he could be good pre-2012 trade bait.

  15. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Nice intuition.

  16. According to Stan McNeal of the Sporting News, the Rays have expressed interest in Angels catcher Mike Napoli.

    If they can complete a trade, the Rays would use Napoli as their primary designated hitter in 2011 and probably cut off talks with free agent Manny Ramirez. Napoli slugged a career-high 26 home runs in 140 games last season and is owed around $5.5 million via arbitration. As long as the Rays are cool with that price, they have the farm system to get a deal done.

    Napoli with 600 AB’s would be pretty exciting, and his lackluster pitcher handling/game calling wouldn’t be holding him back at DH.

  17. I have the opportunity to “steal” Gorgeous Bourjos or Cameron Maybin in my 16-Team Dynasty League.

    Consequences: I have to hand them a guarenteed contract for 2011, so they must remain on my 25 man roster unless they get sent to Minors or get injured.

    I already have Lorenzo Cain, and he does have roster flexibility. I can send him down if he sucks.

    Should I do it? If I “steal” Bourjos and he gets sent to the Angels’ bench, I have to eat that roster spot all year. Ugh.

  18. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Elijah: He’s not getting 600 ABs on any team but that would be good for his value.

    @Joseph Buccellato: Really don’t think Bourjos goes to the bench. His glove is too good.

  19. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Had already picked Ludwick (emoticon).

  20. GopherDay says:
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    @Eddy: I tried to join, but MDC is going all strange on me…Don’t know why.

  21. Yep, I said it! says:
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    Is it just me, or are folks way down on Coco Crisp this year, more so than normal, I mean? He had 8 HRs and 32 SBs last season in 328 PAs. I know the injury risk, but his BA and OBP are a little north of Rajai and others, and he has security in the lineup, so why isn’t this guy the super bargain SAGNOF’er? I’m thinking he’s a good 20th-round pick or so.

    It’s just me, right?

  22. Simply Fred

    simply fred says:
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    @Stephen: Thanks, Stephan. Looks like Nathan’s value takes a hit with the thought process of “not having to pitch on back-to-back days” (with Capps available).

  23. Spartacus says:
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    @Grey and @Eddy,

    Thanks for your feedback. I am not the commish and would not want to be. But the commish is a friend of mine and he was interested in feedback from the ‘perts..

    Thanks.

    Sparty

  24. Penguin says:
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    @Grey: Maybe Borbon was just more committed to becoming a post-hype sleeper.

  25. BKK says:
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    @Eddy: @Grey: Regarding the tiered cheatsheet, I think Tom said he wanted to share one with the Razzhands. In fact he did here, http://razzball.com/top-20-outfielders-for-2011-fantasy-baseball/ …comment 34.

    Also, I have been creating my own as Grey feeds us the next morsel each day, if Figgy or Tom don`t come through, I`d share what I have. FWIW.

  26. LMack says:
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    Might’ve tanked average too badly on this team. A lot of young guys, but most of them have atleast 1 good MLB season under their belt. Not really pleased with this draft, where’d I go wrong?

    C Jorge Posada NYY R14 P2
    1B Ryan Howard PHI R1 P11
    1B Gaby Sanchez FLA R11 P11
    2B Aaron Hill TOR R12 P2
    2B Gordon Beckham CHW R19 P11
    SS Elvis Andrus TEX R5 P11
    3B Ryan Zimmerman WAS R2 P2
    3B Chase Headley SD R22 P2
    OF Andrew McCutchen PIT R3 P11
    OF Jason Heyward ATL R4 P2
    OF Jay Bruce CIN R7 P11
    OF Brett Gardner NYY R15 P11
    SP Yovani Gallardo MIL R6 P2
    SP Francisco Liriano MIN R8 P2
    SP Max Scherzer DET R10 P2
    SP Hiroki Kuroda LA R13 P11
    SP Jhoulys Chacin COL R16 P2
    SP Jordan Zimmermann WAS R20 P2
    SP Bud Norris HOU R21 P11
    SP Aaron Harang SD R23 P11
    RP Jonathan Papelbon BOS R9 P11
    RP Octavio Dotel TOR R17 P11
    RP Matt Thornton CHW R18 P2

  27. Tom Reale says:
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    Napoli to Canadia

  28. FOX Sports’ Ken Rosenthal reports that the Angels have traded Mike Napoli to the Blue Jays, pending a physical. Yep Tom…

  29. GopherDay says:
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    Dang, Canadian Napoli. w00t!!

  30. Steve says:
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    Scoscia confirmed, though, that Napoli’s mother was not part of the deal and would be staying in LA.

  31. Mets fan says:
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    Grey how does the Napoli trade affEct his value as well as linds value?

  32. Wilsonian says:
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    I guess JP has no value this year, unless the Jays go all Sociapath on Napoli and play him twice a week.

  33. RE: Greg.
    “@Joseph Buccellato: Really don’t think Bourjos goes to the bench. His glove is too good. ”

    Is he worth roster spot in a 16-Team League? I’m hesitant because I got burned last year in the same scenario with Gutierrez. Guts played every game, but he sucked, and I couldn’t cut him.

    If you project him the same as Cain (currently my starter, with minor league options for my fantasy team), then I should ignore Bourjos.

    If you project him as a solid contributor, then I should “steal” him.

    You dominate.

  34. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Yep, I said it!: He’s a guy that’s perputeally on waivers in most leagues.

    @Penguin: Ha

    @BKK: Thanks!

    @LMack: You went wrong with the amount of guys you’re looking for the best case scenario from:

    1B Gaby Sanchez FLA R11 P11
    2B Aaron Hill TOR R12 P2
    2B Gordon Beckham CHW R19 P11
    SS Elvis Andrus TEX R5 P11
    3B Chase Headley SD R22 P2

    All fine except Headley. But it’s asking a lot that they they all come through.

    @Tom Reale: Bleh

    @Elijah: Bleh

    @Mets fan: It throws a wrench more into Arencibia. If Lind hits, he’s playing.

    @Steve: Ha!

    @Wilsonian: Yup

    @Joseph Buccellato: Just go with Cain. Similar enough that you don’t need both.

  35. Howard says:
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    I’m glad to have Bourjos in my 20 team mixed league. Thanks Grey!

  36. LMack says:
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    @Grey:

    That makes sense with my low roto projections. I’m guessing I was more bullish on all my players than whoever does the MDC projections was.

  37. GopherDay says:
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    Update in the Napoli situation…The Jays send Vernon Wells to the Angels.

  38. Carl says:
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    Looks like the Jays are sending Wells to LA in return for Napoli.

  39. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Howard: No problem.

    @LMack: Yup

    @GopherDay: That does nothing for his value.

    @Carl: That does nothing for his value.

  40. k roc says:
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    Well Vernon just went the Angels so where will Bourjos play now? I guess there’s still a spot for him, if Abreu DH’s, get rid of Rivera.

  41. Grey

    Grey says:
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    It does sorta hurt the post these comments are on. Stupid Wells.

  42. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @k roc: Yeah, Bourjos’ value was just sapped.

  43. You spend all this time putting together a pretty report Greg, and F’n Wells wastes your time.

    :)

    I’ll be back for next report.

  44. Steve says:
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    “This trade works for us on a number of levels,” continued Sciosca.

    “We get a quality bat for the middle of our line-up and I get to continue to piss off the fantasy community for at least another season.”

    Jeff Mathis declined to comment.

  45. Jake in Columbus says:
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    The Angels are getting old, so they trade for Wells? Might go after Vlad and or Pods too? Wha?

  46. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Ha!

    @Jake in Columbus: The Angels like to throw aging vets around utility men. It’s their MO.

  47. k roc says:
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    Well actually Rivera just went to the Jays as well, and Abreu is going to DH. Looks like the kid still has an opening.

  48. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Apparently TMZ have just snapped him entering a bar with Napoli’s mother.

  49. Sir Larry says:
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    @k roc: I would agree with you. At his age, and really poor range, Wells profiles more as the Angels’ new LF.

  50. Sir Larry says:
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    @Sir Larry: Correction, lesser researched Sir Larry…Wells is probably more likely to replace Hunter in RF, and push the incumbent to LF, given Wells’ better rated arm

  51. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Sir Larry: Does the better researched Sir Larry still feel like Bourjos is going to play center?

  52. Sir Larry says:
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    @Grey: He does…but, even the better researched Sir Larry seems a bit questionable in his judgement right now. Perhaps a drink or two will help. The half-cut Sir Larry is more likely to be better balanced.

  53. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Sir Larry: Let’s get some booze in Sir Larry then.

  54. Sir Larry says:
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    @Grey: Any thoughts on Abreu’s 2011 year? If he doesn’t have to lug that beer gut around the outfield, does he have a nice fantasy year (maybe a BA bounce-back)?

  55. Jay says:
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    @Grey: I think the Angels’ front office were in full-on Sir Larry Mode when they agreed to take on Vernon Wells’ salary.

  56. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Sir Larry: Seems like he’s settled into a 17/17 player, +/-5 for each. There’s nothing inherently wrong with that, but at his age he’s not suddenly explode into a top 5 OF.

  57. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: Yeah, no kidding. Anything to lose Napoli, I suppose.

  58. Yep, I said it.... says:
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    Rays just signed both Damon and Manny. Interesting.

  59. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Yep, I said it….: That cinches that Desmond Jennings is not starting the year with the Rays.

  60. Jay says:
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    @Grey: Who backs up Mathis now? Conger?

  61. Stephen says:
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    Looks like the Rays will have a decision about when to play Desmond Jennings now that Johnny Damon and Manny are in Tampa.

  62. Stephen says:
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    @Stephen: A day late and a dollar short.

  63. Jay says:
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    @Stephen: Are they really going to let one of those two play LF all year? I’m wondering if maybe they’ll DH one and see if the other can learn 1B, since Dan Johnson is not exactly set in stone there. Damon played some there one year with the Yankees but I can’t say he was any good…

  64. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jay: Yup

  65. Greg Gallagher says:
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    As if having a Sciosiapath for a manager wasn’t bad enough, today’s events indicate the Angels are owned and run by Nurse Ratchett and the inmates from ‘One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest.’

    I mean…..it’s cray-zee.

    No-one was in doubt of Scioscia’s ABN (Anyone But Napoli) policy at catcher….but that doesn’t justify this insanity. Does Scioscia run the front office too? Trade Juan Rivera, fine, but…. him and Napoli for Vernon Wells and $86 million guaranteed?

    Maybe I’m dreaming. I must be. Because this can’t be happening. It can’t…….

  66. Jay says:
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    @Greg Gallagher: Reports are that the Jays will still eat some of the contract, but still… terrible contract.

  67. Greg Gallagher says:
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    @Jay

    That would make some sense. But the fact that the Jays have gotten one very useful and one serviceable player in exchange makes the Angels look awfully dumb regardless.

    J.P. Ricciardi might be able to show his face in Toronto again after this…the Angels have seen his stupidity and raised it.

  68. Eddy says:
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    @Grey:

    You mentioned that you’ve only done 2 1/2 mocks this off-season.

    I’m curious, do you leave the mocks to February Grey or do you just not do past 10 every off-season?

  69. quimmy says:
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    Word is the Rays signed ManRam and Damon tonight.

    Grey, whats your thoughts on ManRam if he is their fulltime DH?

  70. Eddy says:
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    @Grey:

    Wow, that’s impressive. Though I guess some of that can be attributed to the fact that you’ve probably been doing fantasy way longer than I have, so you got a lock on everything.

    I’m over here trying to dip my fingers into all MDC pies and you’re sitting in your chair, twirling your ‘stache, spewing out almost-exact projections of about 300 guys–WITH wit and humor to boot.

    Good stuff, Grey, good stuff.

  71. Bartaksu says:
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    Doesn’t this trade actually help lock Bourjos into CF? With Abreu at DH, Wells in LF and Hunter in RF, right?

  72. Greg Gallagher says:
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    @ Bartaksu

    That is a logical take. I wouldn’t bet the house on it though.

    Abreu, Hunter and Wells. That would be a spry, mobile outfield…..

  73. Eddy says:
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    @Greg Gallagher:

    Every time they’d run down a flyball, you’d hear the sound of wooden floorboards creaking rapidly.

  74. mr baseball says:
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    High Toxicity Chemicals – MANNY RAMIREZ

    This is going to be a major distraction for the Devil Rays

  75. BKK says:
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    @Greg Gallagher: J.P. Richardi is long gone. Alex Anthopoulos is now the Senior Vice President, Baseball Operations and General Manager for the Blue Jays. Or are you saying because the Alex unloading the contract, Torontonians may be more inclined to forgive him…I doubt it!

  76. Eddy says:
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    Reports that Orioles may land Vladdy.

    Though that would have been the all-star team about 5 years ago, I think they’re a bit more formidable now. The only bad spot I see is that Wieters will be hitting 6th at best.

  77. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @quimmy: I just went over Manny in the top 40 OFs.

    @Eddy: Thanks!

    @Bartaksu: If Abreu is at DH, has that been reported?

    @mr baseball: Ha!

    @Eddy: Thanks for the heads up!

    ********THERE’S A NEW POST FOR FOLLOWUPS.*******

  78. Any update on Bourjos’ projections now that he looks like a lock for 500-600 PAs and how much you’d be willing to pay in a 13tm 30man roster mixed 5×5 league?
    I got him for $6 and banking on 15HR/30SB .260BA.
    Wish he wasn’t slated to hit 9th though.
    Comparable numbers to NYY Brett Gardner in 2010?

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