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If anything, highlighting Giancarlo Stanton after doing just that a couple weeks ago means that David Ortiz finally has a worthy challenger to the OPS league crown. Regardless, I’m not changing my picture (at least not yet). Anyway, since I recently discussed how Stanton is arguably #1 in OPS leagues, I was curious to see who has a higher slugging than Giancarlo and take a closer look at those players. On a semi-related note, I’m going to do another OBP roundup next week and will include as many of the players suggested in this week’s comments (first come, first served? typed? discussed?) because I decided on that as I was typing this sentence and now seems like a good place to end it. So here are the guys who have had a higher slugging than Mr. Stanton in 2014:

I’m sure it’s not a surprise to see Troy Tulowitzki here. It’s hard to decide whether his .484 OBP or his .733 slugging is more impressive, or that seeing a 1.000 OPS going forward wouldn’t be a stretch since he’s topped a .900 OPS in four of his past five seasons. This is my way of saying it’s unlikely that he’ll continue at this rate, but he should still continue to be among the best in an OPS league, when healthy.

Apparently moving to Petco can cause you to post a career-high slugging, right Seth Smith? In reality, so far he looks like a better player than we’re used to, with an improved approach (more walks, fewer strikeouts) and increased selectivity (swinging less, more contact). At this point, I’d be shocked if he didn’t top an .830 OPS going forward, which is something he hasn’t done since he called Coors Field his home.

I recently said, “Yasiel Puig never ceases to amaze me. His .398 career OBP isn’t getting enough attention. He’s quietly cementing his place as a top fantasy guy and he still has room to improve, given his age.” Because I’m consistent and a narcissist, I still agree with myself. I believe he’ll come close to maintaining his impressive .331/.423/.607 line going forward.

Victor Martinez’s monster season is mostly a product of an elevated home run to fly ball rate. Unless there’s a reason to expect his rate to increase this year, which I can’t find, it would be appropriate to expect his OPS to be significantly closer to .800 than 1.000. Him and Miguel Cabrera switching jerseys would be a pretty good reason though…

I’ve hinted here and there that I never fully believed in Jose Abreu’s production, since I was worried about his high amount of strikeouts and lack of walks. After his record-setting April, his May numbers (1.6% walk rate, 36.1% strikeout rate, and an .814 OPS) show him being more human than human or something. I think he’ll be closer to an .850 OPS for the rest of the season.

 

You can find Tom Jacks on Twitter @votetomjacks. He spends far too much time praying for the Cubs, planning his next concert, and wondering if there’s an instrument that could ever rival the theremin (there isn’t).

From Around The Web

  1. Swfcdan says:
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    Good time to ask this question I think. Considering offering Davis for Abreu in an OBP keeper. The reason? Not just because Abreu mashes, but because I can keep him for lets say 5 more years after this (6,12,20,20,20) whereas Davis only 2 more after this ($12,12). Thinking with Abreu out but back soon, and Davis finally looking his old self, this might be my chance to get Abreu while I can. Of course we are talking about OBP here and there is a stark difference so far, but do you not expect El Grande Dolors BB rate to climb? I thought he was a walker in Cuba (certainly aint a runner!). I wish I could get Abreu another way, but I dont have other stud keeper assets to tempt him (this guy also has a $0 Puig, lucky bastard…the power of ‘prospects’!)

    Anyway, to get Abreu long term would you do it? Ive had rotten injury luck this year so am more thinking ahead to the future anyway. Some great keepers these players!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Swfcdan: It’s a fair deal, but I’d see if you could get more from another owner because, while Abreu may eventually walk more, I don’t expect him to have an obp that will help you. I think he’ll look closer to Mark Trumbo long term.

      • Swfcdan says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Wow…that has kinda put me off him (no offense Trumbone owners). Think I might be better off keeping Crush then. Who do you expect to have more homers when this years all said and done?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Swfcdan: I think they’re both capable of 40+ homers, but Davis should have a significantly better obp.

  2. Fistered says:
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    Wondering your thoughts on who to pickup for 3b following arenado injury? Plouffe, headley, choisenhall or Dominguez? Thanks in advance

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Fistered: I’d go with Plouffe.

  3. LT says:
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    12 team keeper, roto h2h with walks and BA. Offered me Kershaw for Pujols. I kept Goldy and could move B. Moss to CI. I have Polanco coming up soon and wanted your opinion. Thanks as always.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @LT: I’d do it. That seems like a great deal for you.

  4. Principal Blackman says:
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    How about a little love for Shin-Soo Choo’s .432 OBP & .929 OPS? Both would be career highs (the Arlington effect?), but they are not wildly (unbelievably) out of line with his career averages (.391/.858), and they are right in line with the advances he made last year. Can he keep this up, or is 40 points of OBP and 30 points of slugging too much of an increase above his career averages to maintain for a 32 year old OF?

    ZiPS and Steamer both foresee some regression on the way for him, and indeed a .392 average on balls in play would blow his career BABIP (.352) out of the water. And at the same time, his K% has dipped below the league average, but, on the other hand, he has maintained the improvements he made last year to his already stellar walk rate, and since the beginning of the 2013 season he only has one infield popup (none this year).

    All said, I’m glad I own him in my OPS league, but I wish I had him on more teams.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Principal Blackman: Nice analysis. I’d love to quote part of that in a future post if it’s ok with you.

      Overall I believe that Choo will be able to mostly maintain his insane obp, particularly due to his improvements last year, as you said. His slugging may regress due to his babip, etc., but he looks like a legitimate .900 ops guy right now.

      • Principal Blackman says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Awesome. Thanks for the response. Please, feel free to quote any or all of the above in a future post.

  5. Principal Blackman says:
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    I would also be interested, Tom, in your take on Michael Brantley (relative to OPS leagues). I know that he is Grey’s hero this year, but I imagine he has to be climbing up your list as well (.888 OPS in 2014 vs .726 in his career). Should I be looking to sell high because Regression comin’ (like Omar from the Wire), or should I just sit back and enjoy the ride in my OPS league? I will note that his HR/FB rate is three times his career average (18% vs 6%), which is why his isolated slugging is 105 points above his career average.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Principal Blackman: You nailed it again. I think he’s a sell high candidate and would be surprised if he topped an .800 ops going forward.

      • Principal Blackman says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Awesome, thanks. Brantley is currently ranked 12th overall in Yahoo! and 11th in ESPN. How high is too high to aim. If I’m looking for pitching help. Is a return of someone in the Scherzer/Teheran/Gray range too much to ask for?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Principal Blackman: As a straight up deal, I think you’d be asking for too much. However, a Brantley + solid pitcher for one of those guys would make it reasonable.

  6. Matt says:
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    Have Miggy, Puig, and Choo on my team in an OBP league :)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Matt: You better be winning your league!

  7. Russ says:
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    In a rotisserie dynasty league and currently rostering four catchers; Jaso, Norris, Castro and Pinto. Which of those guys should I be trying to trade and which should I be refusing to part with (if any)?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Russ: I’d most want to hang onto Norris, and be willing to part with any of the others. Castro might draw some interest based on potential, but the other guys should draw some interest based on their production this season.

  8. Eric says:
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    Any updates on upcoming promotions from the minors? My team has been decimated lately via injuries and since I have a few extra roster spots I could use some sound advice on a few quality pick ups that has the chance to turn my second half around.

    Polanco, Guerrero are already taken. I know Andrew Heaney just got promoted to triple A, any idea if he will get a promotion to the big leagues soon?

    • Bye Felicia says:
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      @Eric: Tavares will be up sooner then those guys. Maybe for the yanks series

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Eric: I agree with Bye, pick up Taveras ASAP. Is Taijuan Walker owned? I could see him coming up before Heaney and potentially being more productive.

      • Eric says:
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        @Tom Jacks:

        Taveras is taken and I’ve had Walker all season despite all his set backs.

        Just fishing to see if there’s been any news on June call ups. Additionally, is Strohman worth stashing until his next call up?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Eric: Yeah I’d stash him given your situation.

  9. Bear says:
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    Sup…I have an offer to send Cobb for Blackmon. What do you think? My season totals now have me back of the pack in most hitting cats and top 1/3 in pitching cats. So makes sense on that level but I don’t want to accept a lop-sided trade either. Thank ya for any advice.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Bear: I wouldn’t do it. Blackmon has really cooled off in the past couple weeks.

      • Bear says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Thanks!!

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Bear: No problem!

  10. Ryan741 says:
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    I need help with a couple of trade scenarios in a H2H points league, where we get an extra point for extra base hits and no negative points for K’s. Trade 1) I would be giving up Beltre/Rios/Strasburg and possibly Rosario for Hanley/Machado/Bruce/Wacha. Trade 2) I would give up Beltre/Rios/Melky/Strasburg/Leake/Rosario for Alvarez/Kemp/Choo/Greinke/Ventura/Masterson. I think I get a better deal in the 1st, but in our H2H league SP is super valuable, and I think I lose on the hitting a little in the 2nd deal, but I definitely win the pitching. What are your thoughts?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Ryan741: I’d definitely prefer the first deal, especially if you don’t have to give up Rosario.

  11. Hole says:
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    NL Only OBP league looking to pick up a Met (don’t ask) looking for advise for rest of season stats. Eric Campbell or Wilmer Flores. Thanks in advance

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Hole: I’d go with Campbell.

  12. elipitt says:
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    About what time does the DFS bot update? Thanks.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @elipitt: Not sure, but it looks updated for today.

  13. Tyler says:
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    5×5+ops league, AJP or Russell Martin?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Tyler: It’s close, but I’ll go with Martin.

  14. Fish says:
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    What to make of Justin Upton (great AVG/OBP to-date but inflated BABIP and high K%)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Fish: I’m torn, but I tend to not trust him.

  15. Jayrod Ceol says:
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    With San Diego dealing Chase Hundley to Baltimore, do you think its justified to pick up Yasmani Grandal in a 12team points league where I’d be dropping Pinto. Either guy is my back up for when Rosario can’t make it on any day..

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Jayrod Ceol: Yeah that sounds good to me.

  16. gordon shumway says:
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    I just grabbed chisenhal to replace arenado at util, but laroche just got dropped right before he’s about to come back from his injury. Who would you prefer in a SLG and OBP league? Thanks, Tom!

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @gordon shumway: i’d go Laroche. why the hell would somebody wait that long to drop him? crazy.

      • gordon shumway says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Yeah, I was surprised to see him get dropped the day before he was to come off the DL as well, but i suppose his folly is my gain. Putting in my waiver claim now. Thanks for the advice, guys!

  17. Matt B says:
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    Need some help in my keeper 12 team h2h weekly 1 win 5×5 (OBP instead of AVG).
    We only have 3 OF & 1 Util starting slot. I have OF Stanton, OF C Gomez, OF Springer, OF D Jennings, & DH Ortiz. I’m hating life with having to leave one of these guys on the bench each week. I’ve got a huge hole at 1B (Hosmer–obp neutralizes his avg value, and he never gets hr & sb) & 3B (ryan zimmermann & anthony rendon) so I figure I should target moving one of these guys for an improvement at 1B or 3B.
    Any thoughts of logical OF/DH for 1B swaps? I hate the idea of moving Stanton, Gomez, & Springer but maybe 1 of them is a sell high (this is a keeper though). Thanks

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Matt B: Maybe Gomez for Chris Davis or Votto? Or Springer for Rizzo or Donaldson?

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