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Paul DeJong (25.7% owned – increase of 19.2%) is batting .313/.331/.602 with nine home runs, 17 runs scored, and 20 RBI in 128 at-bats. Over the past week of regular season games, DeJong is 11-for-16 with five doubles and three home runs. He has hit a home run in three consecutive games! Why am I suddenly walking through a Vegas casino and see a roulette board showing that the last 15 spins have all been red? “Always bet on black.” When trying to dig deeper into DeJong, Fangraphs just happens to be down. Kind of like every missle launch that the Supreme Leader of North Korea, Kim Jong-un has had. Thank goodness the internet has a plethora of options for any and every subject matter. Too much perhaps? North Korea scoffs at the notion, as they have just 28 websites. Anyways, DeJong is striking out 28.6% of the time and has an ISO of .289. The BABIP is also .378, so expect that .313 batting average to come down. DeJong is eligible at 3B/2B/SS, but he’s batting eighth in the batting order. He did hit .299 with 13 home runs in 190 at-bats down in Triple-A, so there’s hope, the same amount as an American going to North Korea and not getting arrested for being a spy. TRASH…

Edit: Fangraphs came back up later in the day. DeJong’s swinging strike rate is 15.2%. Yuck. And he’s only walking 3% of the time. The contact rates are in the 70% and he chases 37% of pitches outside the strike zone.

Whit Merrifield (42% owned – increase of 14.3%)

Interestingly, Merrifield’s ownership increased after a week in which he went 3-for-17 with one extra base hit. For the season, he has a .281/.319/.449 triple-slash with seven home runs, 32 runs scored, 33 RBI, and 14 stolen bases. Remarkably, he’s only been caught once. There’s a lot to like with Merrifield. For starters, he bats lead-off for the Royals. He only strikes out 13.8% of the time, has a reasonable .304 BABIP, and a .169 ISO. He utilizes the whole field, as his pull/center/oppo percentages are all in the 30% range. The swinging strike rate is only 8.4% and the contact rates are in the mid-to-high 80% range. Now, he’s only walking 4.8% of the time and chases 34% of pitches outside the zone. With that said, the overall package is very nice. 2 LeWhit 2 Quit? Does that work or do I need to run to the fridge and crush tomatoes onto/into my face? TREASURE

Cameron Maybin (48% owned – decrease of 11.2%)

For the month of July, Maybin is 4-for-27 with one extra-base hit and one stolen base. U. G. L. Y. He ain’t got no alibi. The triple-slash line is .148/.272/.185. Man….Here’s the thing, though. It’s freaking baseball. Slumps happen. He still bats lead-off for the Angels and he’s 25-for-28 in stolen base attempts. He also has six home runs on the season, so there’s some snap, crackle, and pop. I just went to Fangraphs again and….it’s down. What did they do to the Russians? Is Donald Putin going to be leading the league in home runs when baseball returns from the All-Star break? Anyways, I can’t dig too deep into Maybin but I still think there’s something there. Plus, some guy named Mike Trout is expected to return soon, so that will give that offense a boost. TREASURE

Domingo Santana (60.3% owned – increase of 15.3%)

I’m kind of surprised that he’s only owned in 60% of ESPN leagues. In RCL’s? 100. Anyways, Santana is batting .291 with 54 runs scored, 15 home runs, 50 RBI, and nine stolen bases. Wow. He’s the 13th outfielder on the Razzball Player Rater and 30th overall player. Santana bats fifth against righties and second against lefties. And, Miller Park is great for right-handed power. There’s so much to like here. He has lowered his strikeout rate from 32% to 27% and has a walk rate of 12.7%. Thanks Baseball Reference. Now, if only the freaking Russians would stop trying to input data into Fangraphs that says Donald Putin has a hard contact rate of 119% and a HR/FB rate of 1 billion! From the numbers that I can see, the .372 BABIP really jumps out to me, so some negative regression wouldn’t be surprising. In his brief career, Santana has shown to be a .260-ish hitter, but I’m not expecting that. .270-ish sounds reasonable. With the power/speed combo he possesses, that’s a very valuable asset. TREASURE

 
  1. phil says:
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    drop one… Hernan Perez,
    Paul DeJong, Joc Peterson ?

  2. phil says:
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    drop one… Hernan Perez,
    Paul DeJong, Joc Peterson ?

  3. leon says:
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    playing for 2018.. keeper league.. 18 man… is alex reyes worth trading for to keep? or are his control issues an issue and I should stay away. Especially after tommy?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @leon: You keep if you have him. Trade for him if the price is right. He’s still only 23 years old and Tommy John worries me but wouldn’t scare me away from him. Ceiling is too high to ignore.

  4. Carter says:
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    The lowest wRC+ he has ever had at any level was 123. Including an absurd 309 wRC+ in rookie ball. Of course that was only 45 at bats, but it happened. He was moved along quickly at every stop, so obviously the Cardinals saw something that other teams did not. He is only 23 years old, and wRC+ in the minors is not park adjusted, and the Cardinals ballparks are not super hittery, at least at the AA level. He has 45 home runs over his last 800 at bats stretching back 3 years, the power assuredly is legit.

    Of a funny side note in a recent Yahoo draft he was drafted 3rd overall. It was clearly a mistake as the guy was obviously trying to move him to his queue. The funniest part about it, as it was a midseasonish draft, was that he has actually out performe anyone who would of been taken in his spot to date.
    *see screenshot https://gyazo.com/f9455a65b5e551db2a726965b4f80739

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Carter: Ha! Madness.

      DeJong’s power is legit. I guess we should just call all his homers deJongs huh? Anyways, I have concerns that pitchers will find it easy to exploit his weaknesses for the reasons mentioned in the post.

  5. Glenn Halpern says:
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    hey son,
    who should i pick up?
    pomeranz, straily, peacock or godley?

    thanks!
    glenn

  6. Wacha Wacha says:
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    Hey Son

    I needed to drop one of Conforto, Maybin, c, Santana, c Davis, or pham in order to activate I Desmond in my 10 obp league. Who would you drop?

    Thanks!

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Wacha Wacha: It’s between Maybin and Pham for me. As an Asian, I want to side with Pham. As an American, I want to side against the Vietnamese guy. Maybin gives you more steals and hits at the top of the order. Pham may give more power and average with some steals. I probably drop Pham, but I could easily go Maybin as well. It’s close for me and I guess would depend on what you need.

  7. Jimmy Jack James says:
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    Great content Son. I’m in a deep roto in need of power – what are your thoughts:

    I get: Thames/Rich Hill

    I give: Billy Hamilton/Leake

    Thoughts? Thanks!

      • Jimmy Jack James says:
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        @Son: Thanks Son – would you prefer Hill/Thames or Bruce/Stroman if you had the choice?

        5×5, QS instead of W

        Thanks!

  8. Beastman says:
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    Hey man, nice write-up.

    16 team keeper with OBP. Give $16 Rendon and Hosmer for $33 Freeman and Yuli Gurriel?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Beastman: Thanks Beastman! In a heartbeat.

      • Beastman says:
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        @Son: That emphatically huh? Not buying into Rendon’s career year? Or like I suspect, Rendon’s injury risk and Freeman’s undisputed elite talent is too hard to overlook?

  9. Scoopski Potatoes says:
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    Good work Son. Have to drop one in a 10-team 5×5 league (near the top in SB but a tight race, and middle in HR): Joey Gallo, Melky Cabrera, Cameron Maybin, Carlos Santana. Is Gallo going to get enough starts post-ASB with Beltre and Napoli healthy?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Scoopski Potatoes: For me, it’s Gallo, but I’ve never been a huge fan of his to begin with. In addition, as you questioned, how many starts will he get? I’m not sure.

    • Carter says:
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      @Scoopski Potatoes: how deep are the rosters that you are rostering those 4 guys in a 10 team? I am in a 12 team where all 4 of those guys are on the wire. And somehow I literally have no drops to get Maybin or Santana.

      • Scoopski Potatoes says:
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        @Carter: 30 players in total with starting lineup and bench. Santana was drafted. Maybin picked up when he returned from the DL/Trout went on the DL.

  10. cable says:
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    h/h points

    drop 1

    C Davis
    C Santana
    L Morrison

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @cable: Out of that group, C Davis

    • The Harrow says:
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      @cable: in a standard points league go ask malamoney about how awful c.davis is.

  11. Carreras Cab Company says:
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    Trash or treasure ROS

    Cargo(col)
    Story
    Mazara
    Mancini

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Carreras Cab Company: Trash for Cargo and Story. As for Mazara and Mancini, I wouldn’t throw them in the trash but I also wouldn’t put them on any ring fingers.

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