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In opposite world, news that Andrew Bailey hurt himself comes as a complete shock.  Here’s what I said in the top 20 closers for 2011 fantasy baseball, “Is it me or is this the news once a month for him, “Andrew Bailey has been cleared to start throwing.”  Hey, Bailey, throw already!”  And that’s me quoting me!  Unfortunately, when Bailey is cleared to start throwing he leaves games with tightness in his forearm.  Wouldn’t be surprised to hear Bailey will miss the season for more surgery as he’s off to see Dr. FreezeJustin Duchscherer, Rich Harden and Andrew Bailey board your cross country flight, do you get off and wait for the next one knowing that something bad is bound to happen?  I do.   I take no pleasure in watching Bailey go down; less pleasure in watching Balfour or Fuentes take over.  In leagues where we had the option, we grabbed Fuentes because he has a lengthier closer resume, assuming the Sciosciapath isn’t listed as a reference.  Fuentes could get 35 saves this year.  Would surprise me as much as Bailey’s injury.  Anyway, here’s some other news for fantasy baseball:

Neftali Feliz – Now he wants to be the starter.  And I wanna be the King of Hawaii and wear a coconut bra.  Things don’t always work out the way you want them.  It’s worth grabbing Ogando or O’Day.  Rudy thinks Ogando has better upside; I say O’Day is otay.  You can go with this or you can go with that.  The choice is yours.

Drew Storen – The Nats keep saying they want to go to a closer by committee.  Which is nudge, nudge, wink, wink for, “Storen, pull away with the job!”  Unfortunately, Storen’s nudge, nudge, wink, wink translator was locked up for being within 250 feet of a high school.  If you have room, Clippard is a decent handcuff.

Casey Blake – What, no more closing news?  That’s some bullshizz!  Blake has a sore back.  He’s old; these things happen.  He probably also wakes up 7 times a night to pee.  You shouldn’t be drafting Blake anyway, unless your league has a rule that you must own one player with a wife killer surname.

Mike Morse – I write a post about how you should ignore spring training numbers on Friday then people get excited about Morse hitting five homers in nine games on Monday.  Chris Shelton called, he wants his home runs back.  If there’s any sort of blahtoon in the Nats outfield, Morse is sitting vs. righties.  That kills his value.  If Morse gets 550 ABs, he could hit 24 homers with no speed and a .280 average.  But that ‘if’ has its own zoning project that is currently getting gentrified.  In NL-Only leagues, I’d definitely own him.  In mixed leagues under 15 teams, you’re taking a flyer that is probably going to bore you.

Jason Heyward – Missed two games with back stiffness.  Weird, I get stiffness when I watch him play.  What, too much?  Oh, sorry, Prudey McPrudestein.  I’m not worried about Heyward.  It’s spring training, players have nagging shizz that teams want to baby because these games mean nothing.  He’s good, you’re good, we’re good.

Ian Stewart – About to return from a strained MCL.  (A strained 1150?  Doode, get out of the Middle Ages!)  Stewart will DH out of the gate and then hit against righties once the season starts.  I’m really starting to think Stewart’s not going to be a full-time player, which hurts his and Wigginton’s value.  Really need one to get ghost chili hot and make the other obsolete.

Zach Duke – Broken hand, which gives Diamondback fans two months to enjoy a non-Zach Duke rotation.  This leaves Armando Galarraga, Uncle Barry Enright and Aaron Heilman set to go into the Octagon for the final rotation spots with Heilman probably getting eye gouged.

Johan Santana – Someone in the always-entertaining Mets organization said Johan won’t pitch this year.  Johan said someone in the Mets organization is lying.  I believe Johan, but that still doesn’t mean he’s pitching this year.  If he has one setback and the Mets do their usual Mr. Bungle in the NL East, there’s no rush to bring him back.

Chris Dickerson – Left the game after running into the now-slimmed down Sandoval.  This is like when George “The Animal” Steele used to chew off the turnbuckle.  Don’t run into Sandoval without the padding!

From Around The Web

  1. emporersmonkey says:
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    Nice to see Braun was back in the lineup today after straining his McRibs™.

  2. Mr. T's Schmohawk says:
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    The A’s could fill an apartment complex in Birmingham with just pitchers that they send to Dr. Freeze each year.

  3. Steve says:
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    Watching Balfour’s face get more and more purple in high-pressure situations could be one of the highlights of the season.

    BTW – if anyone wants the Razzball Tiers (with the Top 300 at no extra charge) as an Excel file, shoot me an email at sglyonatgmaildotcom.

  4. Bill says:
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    trade help please, h2h 14 team league..

    i trade CJ Wilson and Espinosa for Gordon Beckham, Delmon Young and Jesus Montero

    Beckham would be my starting 2b i do have Lawrie in my Minors slot, and Young would also help me at OF as I’m weak there…

    thanks!

  5. The Situation says:
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    @Grey: Thoughts on Pineda this year? Looks like he’s going to make the big club out of the gate? Could be a real nice pickup with that awesome K/BB rate last year. Do you like him as much as you like Minor this year?

  6. Eddy says:
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    Grey,

    Should we be concerned with Wandy’s tendinitis even though it’s not in his throwing shoulder?

  7. Howard says:
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    @Grey You must be getting tired of all this mock shizz. We do what we do or should I say how did we do? 10 team roto (candy store draft)! Thanks!
    C Santana R18 P1
    1B A Gonz R1 P10
    2B A Hill R11 P10
    SS Alexei R9 P10
    3B Wright R2 P1
    OF McCutcheon R3 P10
    OF J Upside R4 P1
    OF J Heyward R5 P10
    UT J Bruce R7 P10
    UT H Pence R8 P1
    SP Y Gallardo R6 P1
    SP Scherzer R10 P1
    P Oswalt R12 P1
    P Bumgarner R13 P10
    P Sanchez R17 P10
    P Chacin R19 P10
    RP Axford R15 P10
    RP Kimbrel R16 P1
    BN Thornton R20 P1
    BN Minor R21 P10
    BN Stauffer R22 P1
    BN Volquez R23 P10
    BN B Gardner R14 P1

  8. Eddy says:
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    In addition, would you drop Big Z for Pineda? There are rumblings that they’re going to keep him as the 5th starter assuming he doesn’t bomb the rest of spring training.

  9. Matt says:
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    Grey, what are your thoughts on Moustakas? Any chance he makes the team out of the gate, or are the Royals set on sending him down until June 1? Do you still think he warrants a valuable bench spot if he’s sent down, given his position and potential?

  10. Matt says:
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    Moustakas – Royals or AAA to start the year? Worth a valuable bench spot if he starts in AAA, given his position and potential?

  11. quimmy says:
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    Where is the challenge in these 10 team leagues? Every team looks like an all-star squad. That being said, nice team Howard.

  12. PublicEnemy#1 says:
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    @Howard Killer offense! C. Santana in round 18? Typical retarded chimp draft when you see the Pence in round 8 kind of stuff. If only picking lotto numbers could be that easy. I only see Whip issues for you and probably not a team that will compete for the top ERA. I think the Gallardo thing is the only Grey recommendation I 100% disagree with. The reasoning is that nearly all his sleeper SPs are risky whip high-K guys too. How many K-guys do we really need when we’re targeting the Scherzer, Gio, Volquez, Minor types later on? I say, get those sleepers later on, there are tons of them, but grab a whip anchor first. Otherwise, nicely done.

  13. Cain Fan says:
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    Apparently my boy Matt Cain had an MRI on his elbow about 10 days ago. Only ESPN picked up on it. Elbow discomfort, any reason for concern?

  14. Hypno Toadstool says:
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    Still a few spots left for some Razzballers in our Yahoo 5×5 12 man.

    League Name: The Goobers
    League #: 152352
    League Password: Rocket

    Serious Only Please!

  15. Hypno Toadstool says:
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    Draft tonight!

  16. Dusty Baylor says:
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    Grey-

    OBP and XBH added categories to my league – obviously you would do your best to have none of these guys as your starting 1bs, but in a vacuum, who gets the nod and in what order?

    Ganchez (Gaby Sanchez), Freddie Freeman, Matt LaPorta or Garrett Jones

  17. Ron says:
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    @Grey Here’s my 16-team Keeper auction results. Came in at about 1,030 R/ 260 HR/ 1,030 rbi/ 165 SB/ .273 avg and 3.63 ERA/ 1.23 Whip/ 1,300+ K’s through the War Room. Give it to me straight:

    Iannetta $3
    Teix $35
    Phillips $23
    Alvarez (Sandoval’s Biggie-me) (Kept at $1)
    Jeter $23
    Aviles $4
    Adam LaRoche $8
    CarGo (Kept at $15)
    Krispie (Kept at $2)
    JUpside $29
    Adam Jones $19
    Dom Brown/Ben Francisco $1 each
    LCain $1

    Verlander $27
    Haren $24
    Volquez $13
    DHudson (Kept at $1)
    ESantana $8 (not thrilled about this one)
    Minor $1

    Putz $7
    Benoit $4
    Motte $1

    (Also have Pineda, Coke, Duensing, RMartin and Daniel Murphy on the bench.)

  18. Billy says:
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    trade help needed, h2h 14 team league

    i trade CJ Wilson and Espinosa for Beckham, Delmon Young and Jesus Montero

    Beckham would be my starting 2b i do have Lawrie in my Minors slot, and Young would also help me at OF as I’m weak there…

    thanks!

  19. The Situation says:
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    @Grey: As I was telling Rudy yesterday, this site is great stuff– I’ve been playing for a long time and can’t believe I didn’t find you guys until this year.

    I had my most competitive 12 team, 5×5 keeper league draft (with 2 starting UTIL and a 1400 IP cap) the other day and below are the results (the draft was a little early this year, unfortunately). Do you think any categories need work and/or any trades/FA pickups are in order?

    C: Napoli
    1B: Miggy (K)
    2B: Cano (K)
    SS: Alcides
    3B: Wright (K)
    OF1: Braun (K)
    OF2: Span
    OF3: Bay
    Util1: Lind
    Util2: Tabata
    Bench: Man-Ram

    SP1: J. Johnson
    SP2: Hamels
    SP3: Oswalt
    SP4: Lilly
    SP5: De La Rosa
    SP6: Vazquez
    Bench SP7: Minor

    CL1: Putz
    CL2: Axford
    CL3: Thornton

    Offensively, I worry about my depth behind my stud keepers. Napoli/Lind/Bay all make me feel a little uneasy as my secondary line of power production. Also, Alcides/Span/Tabata are a pretty big power drain, even though I like them all and need their steals.

    I love the staff. WHIP is usually very competitive in my league, so I made an effort to focus on it as well as K’s (which should be OK despite the fact that I don’t have a 200+ K guy).

    Any and all advice welcomed. Maybe a bat and starter for a bat 2-for-1 deal is something I should look at (providing Minor makes the Bravo’s rotation)? Thanks in advance!

  20. OaktownSteve

    OaktownSteve says:
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    @Grey: O’Day was better against left handers last year than I imagine he’ll be in the future with his stuff. Two pitches fastball slider and the slider not that effective to lefties. They hit him at .250 in ’09 and I see that getting worse. “Show me a guy who can’t pitch a side and I’ll show you a guy who can’t pitch.” Paraphrasing Sandy Koufax. Hard to imagine he can be a regular closer.

    Bailey one of my favorite A’s. Great temperment for a closer and four very good pitches. So frustrating to watch the A’s unable to stay healthy year in year out. On the plus side, Chris Carter hit a 1200 foot home run. Or so I hear.

  21. amscalone says:
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    @Grey:
    10 team h2h 10×10, in the middle of the draft, here’s my team so far:
    C:
    1b: Cabrera
    2b: Phillips
    3b: Longo
    SS: Andrus
    CI: Fielder
    MI:
    OF: CarGo
    OF: J. Upton
    OF: Lind (of,1b)
    OF:
    UTL:
    SP: Lincecum
    SP: Jimenez
    SP(x3):
    RP (x4):
    Bench (x7):

    Best available with my next pick will be:
    Utley, McCann, Krispie, Gallardo, M. Young, Rios, Ethier, Weaver, Hamels, Hill, Furcal, Haren.

    What direction do you suggest I go?
    Thanks.

  22. royce! says:
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    Casey Blake is old, but he’s not the one who made a Dixieland pun!

    “Music used to be good! Get off my lawn!”

  23. Mike of Swartz Creek, Mi says:
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    McCann should of been gone by the 5th or 6th round. Gallardo, Weaver and Hammels should of been gone by the 8th round. Hill is going from the 11th through the 15th. I would take one of those pitchers or McCann.

  24. Jake in Columbus says:
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    Ogando, O’Day… ole!

    A buddy said he had a Bhut Jolokia then couldn’t taste for like 3 days. That’s like owning a player once he gets that hot, then not wanting to look at how crummy his stat line is for the rest of the week.

  25. amscalone says:
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    @Mike of SCM: Thanks. We keep 7, and most of my keepers were late picks, so we’re only in the 4th right now.

  26. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @emporersmonkey: Ha

    @Mr. T’s Schmohawk: Ha!

    @Bill: Looks good for you.

    @The Situation: I’ll write a post on him.

    @Eddy: Hopefully it’s nothing.

    @Howard: Everything looks fine, but the WHIP could be an issue.

    @Eddy: Sure

    @Matt: http://razzball.com/mike-moustakas-2011-fantasy-outlook/

    @Cain Fan: He just pitched well yesterday, no?

    @Dusty Baylor: That order

    @Ron: You can see from the War room the results… Team looks okay, I don’t like Ervin, Jeter and Aviles… But they’re not the death of this team.

    @The Situation: Thanks for the kind words! I’d worry too. Seems like you took the keepers then drafted all SPs for like three rounds. It hurt your outfield and the hitting after the keepers. Depends what kind of deal you can get to replace Bay or Span.

    @OaktownSteve: Thanks for the heads up on Carter… Yeah, O’Day’s not terrific, but the not terrific guy sometimes becomes the closer. I still think it’s Feliz’s job.

    @amscalone: McCann, Utley, Rios…

    @royce!: Ha!

    @Jake in Columbus: Nice

  27. Charles says:
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    I’ll be taking Hanley #2 (out of 12) in my draft. 3 OF / 1 UTIL / no CI or MI. My worst case scenario – I miss out on the elite 1B and 3B options, and I’m left with guys like Hamilton, Kemp, the Adverb, Cruz, Pedroia, Lester, Upton, Mauer, etc at #23 and #26.

    I don’t really want to double-up on OF so early, so do I grab Kemp and then reach for Dunn or Bautista? I’m not a fan of taking SP, C, or 2B that early when I’m confident that a combination of Kinsler/Phillips/Verlander/Haren/Weaver/Ubaldo will be around in the 4/5 round.

    Thanks for any help.

  28. Tony says:
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    @amscalone: i know its 10 teams but still how do you have miggy, longo, fielder, cargo and lincecum? thats 2-4 first rounders and a couple 2nd-3rd rounders depending how you view them. Was this a keeper league?

    And how are all those guys still available? what the hell is everyone else drafting!?

  29. Wake Up says:
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    Yahoo 12 team 5×5 (yes I grabbed Bailey…Doh!)

    1. David Wright (NYM – 3B)
    2. Mark Teixeira (NYY – 1B)
    3. Justin Upton (Ari – OF)
    4. Jason Heyward (Atl – OF)
    5. Hunter Pence (Hou – OF)
    6. Justin Morneau (Min – 1B)
    7. B.J. Upton (TB – OF)
    8. Roy Oswalt (Phi – SP)
    9. Max Scherzer (Det – SP)
    10. Chad Billingsley (LAD – SP)
    11. Wandy Rodríguez (Hou – SP)
    12. Andrew Bailey (Oak – RP)
    13. Aaron Hill (Tor – 2B)
    14. John Axford (Mil – RP)
    15. Daniel Hudson (Ari – SP)
    16. Adam Jones (Bal – OF)
    17. Jorge Posada (NYY – C)
    18. James Shields (TB – SP)
    19. Alcides Escobar (KC – SS)
    20. Frank Francisco (Tor – RP)
    21. Tim Stauffer (SD – SP,RP)
    22. Jonathon Niese (NYM – SP)
    23. Edwin Jackson (CWS – SP)

  30. Bristol says:
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    Do you think Minor has the #5 spot wrapped up in Atlanta?

  31. amscalone says:
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    @tony: We keep 7, for 3 years max, improving 1 round each year. I kept CarGo (9th), Lincecum (11), Longoria (13), Upton (14), Lind (20), Jimenez (25). Then drafted Miggy, Fielder and Phillips in the 1st, 2nd and 3rd.

    This is the last year I can keep lincecum, upton and longoria.

  32. amscalone says:
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    @tony: and andrus in the 4th.

  33. Dirty Jersey says:
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    Grrrrrrey!!

    Tis the most wonderful time of the year… draft time!! I am so glad my wife and I chose NOT to get married in March….. I might be divorced….

    Need a solid from you – starting in dynasty league that is drafting for the first time this year (I am sad to see you dont cover keeper ranks much here, and I am forced to read Tristan H Cock…roft’s post on keepers -man his parents hated him with that name-)

    Not gonna bore you with all the particulars, but I believe the winning strategy in this league will be to utilize a handful of roster spots (stars n scrubs) for players on the cheap (under $10) with BIG upside over the next 3-5 years…. any suggestions?

  34. HldOnMgnolia says:
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    More of a housekeeping question here –

    What font does Razzball use? I love it, but Word tells me it’s Cambria and I thought that wasn’t “web-safe”.

    Also, any chance we see an Alex Gordon post before Opening Day?

  35. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @HldOnMgnolia: No on Gordon, not sure on the font. If you use Firebug for Firefox you should be able to figure it out.

  36. cruisinkc says:
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    Not sure how crazy I am about trading before the season starts….but I was offered a tempting deal.

    I get: Jose tabata and Stephen drew
    I give: dexter fowler and Rafael furcal and a 9th round pick

    thoughts?

  37. Tony says:
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    @cruisinkc: id do that…. fowler isn’t guaranteed pt, furcal will get hurt, whats a 9th round pick worth? are there keeps? i’d probably take it.

  38. amscalone says:
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    @Grey: I took Utley. Just felt like the place to take a chance. The thing that pushed me over the edge was the thought of him thriving on my one buddy’s team that I know would have taken him with one of his picks before it gets back to me. Just wouldn’t be able to live with that!

  39. SwaggerJackers says:
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    @Grey: I’m really getting tempted to draft Kershaw in the 3rd or 4th round in a 12 team head to head league. Is that going to completely throw off my team? I would likely end up with
    Round 1 and 2: 1B and 3B
    Round 3 and 4: OF and SP
    Round 5 and 6: 2B

    My core could be Votto, Zimmy, Heyward, Kershaw, Aaron Hill
    Compared to Votto, Zimmy, Heyward, Kinsler, Liriano/YoGa

  40. The Situation says:
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    @Grey: That’s exactly what happened. I kept those 4 bats and then went on an SP run. I know SP is deep and power is not, but I liked JJ, Hamels and Oswalt more than Granderson and Chris Young (the only bats that I really would’ve considered because bats went fast and I didn’t pick until the 5th). What do you think about pursuing a BJ Upton deal? Maybe for Span and a starter? Don’t love BJ at all but he would be a power and steal upgrade over Span. Would my BA be able to withstand Napoli, Lind, Alcides, Upton? Any other ideas? What SP Out of those 3 plus Lilly, Vazquez, dlR, and Minor is most expendable in your opinion?

  41. Tony says:
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    @SwaggerJackers: i’m contemplating the same thing, although i have a crew of guys i’m thinking of taking at my 3rd or 4th round pick. You’re thinking of taking HILL in the 5th or 6th? way to early imo…. wait til at least the 8th or 9th….. there’s much more safe, valuable options at that point!

  42. Timequake says:
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    Would you trade Lester for Howard? It seems like a no-brainer, but I’m worried it would hurt my pitching too much. My other starters are Kershaw, Marcum, Gio, Jhoulys, Dan Hudson, Volquez, and Kennedy. Thanks.

  43. cubbies299 says:
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    Hey y’all, what happened to the Disabled List Informer? He always gave great info on injuries and expert perspective. Is there anyone else that deserves to breath his air? I want to get a real perspective on the Utley injury

  44. SwaggerJackers says:
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    @Tony: Not necessarily Hill in the 5th but someone from the Hill/McGehee talent range would be my 2B drafted in the next couple rounds.

    The question basically comes down to which is a bigger drop off:

    Kershaw to Liriano
    or
    Kinsler to Hill

    Knowing that I can grab a couple other picks before picking up Hill.

    I really like the idea of a staff lead by Kershaw rather than Liriano or Gallardo.

  45. ThePoonTycoon says:
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    @SwaggerJackers: don’t take hill in the 5th or 6th

  46. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @SwaggerJackers: Agree with Tony, that’s early for Hill. Unless it’s a 15 team league.

    @The Situation: I’d do Span and a SP for Upton. Vazquez…

    @Timequake: Yup

    @cubbies299: He folded. I asked him to write for Razzball and he said he would, but we haven’t figured out what yet.

  47. ThePoonTycoon says:
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    @SwaggerJackers: tbh i wouldn’t take kinsler either…too much injury risk. just take another OF bat or a 2nd stud SP if there is value there and wiat awhile on 2B. hill will be there around round 9 or 10 or maybe a little later, or you can just basically punt 2B (if you don’t have a MI spot) and just take beckham or walker or sean rod or kelly johnson or something way late.

  48. SwaggerJackers says:
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    @Grey: It’s only a 12 team league. But if I can get Hill a couple rounds later, would Kershaw in the 4th be an OK move?

  49. ThePoonTycoon says:
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    @SwaggerJackers: depends on what other pitching is gone. if no other SPs have come off the board, you can wait if you want kershaw as your #1. if SPs are going fast, then jump on him if he’s your guy. in my drafts thus far, usually halladay goes in the 2nd round, then there is no more SPs taken until the end of the 3rd/early 4th, so you might be able to wait for the 5th round to take kershaw?

  50. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @SwaggerJackers: It’s only a round early, so it’s not terrible.

  51. The Vaporizers says:
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    Great, what are your thoughts on Joel Peralta? Do you see him as second in line behind Farnsworth?

    I currenlty have Octavio Dotel as one of my MR guys, but I’ve been hearing some good things about Peralta.

    My league does count holds and saves. Knowing that, which guy would you prefer on your roster right now (to fill my 10th bench position)?

  52. cubbies299 says:
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    @Grey: Haha. How about a medical analysis of Chase Utley’s knee, so I know if I can buy low! I don’t know much about runner’s knee, just that it doesn’t sound that bad. I’m kidding, but if he could, I’d be smitten

  53. BEASTDOG says:
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    I’ve been offered a trade I think I should jump all over. 5X5 16 team league. That was a long ass draft! I would trade Tulo, Storen, and Stubbs for Marmol, Desmond and Bruce. My other RP would be Hanrahan who I have in the swing spot right now. Tons of K’s at RP. Like I said, I thonk I should jump before he changes his mind but a little feedback is always appreciated. Thanks guys.

  54. Re: M. Morse — Does anyone remember how highly overrated S. Rod was last year? I think he and Morse may actually have simmer Springs (S. Rod’s 2010 v. Morse’s 2011).

  55. Jared says:
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    Got a couple small maneuvers I can make in my 12 team h2h 5×5. My lineup seems stacked but is lacking stolen bases, and Tabata just went on waivers. I am thinking of claiming him, but would have to drop Fernando Rodney or Fuentes. Do you like the swap, and which (potential) closer would you drop?

    Also, am loving Mike Minor, thinking about dropping Ed Jax for the kid, just to see what he’s made of. I know your lovin Jackson, but this kid seems for real.

  56. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jared: Fuentes for Tabata… Do it. Go with Minor, it’s fine for upside purposes.

  57. Steve says:
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    Grey’s response above kinda suggests it, but Bailey looks as though he might be OK. Dr Andrews says only a forearm strain, can throw when symptom-free.

    No timetable for his return, however.

  58. Wake Up says:
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    @Grey: Thanks for your input. I like the way you talk, ummh.

    PS Beware the Hanson…mmmbop…

  59. mr baseball says:
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    Billy Wagner – they are still drafting him in deep leagues and he just was traded for a good player in my 20 team dynasty league
    what is up with this

  60. Chris says:
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    The Black Sheep reference is prime example of why I keep hitting up Razzball this time of year.

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