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My name is Tom Jacks and I’m here to admit that I have a fantasy baseball trade addiction. While I’ve been trying to do my best to keep it from getting out of hand, I’m pretty sure I’ve either made the most or am tied for making the most trades in every single league I’m in this year. So it should come as no surprise that one of my favorite times of the year is approaching in real baseball: trade season. With that in mind, I figured it would be worth taking a look at some of the players who could be traded and how it would affect their value in OBP leagues:

Seth Smith has continued looking like a better player than we’re used to, with an improved approach (more walks, fewer strikeouts) and increased selectivity (swinging less, higher contact). A few weeks ago, I said that, “I’d be shocked if he didn’t top an .830 OPS going forward, which is something he hasn’t done since he called Coors Field his home.” He’s managed to keep up his great performance and I can’t imagine that a move away from Petco would hurt his numbers, though I wouldn’t count on him necessarily hitting any better than he has this year.

Nate Schierholtz and Matt Joyce are both guys who I would have compared to Smith before this season in OPS leagues, but only Joyce is worth owning in OBP leagues at this point. The usual caveat of benching him against lefties still applies.

Ben Zobrist could be a nice buy-low guy because his .332 OBP should improve somewhat going forward and could get an additional boost if he moves to a more hitter-friendly park.

Jimmy Rollins, Alexei Ramirez, and Elvis Andrus are other shortstops who could change teams, but they would all likely be traded to worse ballparks. Of the three, Rollins would be my choice in an OBP league, but I wouldn’t expect anything more than his current .337 OBP and there’s the potential for some downside there.

Adam Dunn had a .388 OBP as of last month and has posted an OBP below .300 the past couple weeks to bring it down to .359. I could see him hovering around that mark regardless of where he ends up after the trade deadline.

Luis Valbuena has reached base closer to league average lately, but still has an impressive .357 OBP on the year. It certainly wouldn’t hurt to have him traded to a team with a better lineup, though the ballpark effect would likely be marginal.

Alex Rios always confuses me. It would be easy to conclude that a move away from his current home park would hurt his numbers, but he’s actually been slightly more productive on the road this year. I wouldn’t expect much of a change in his value.

Who else gets traded this year and to where?

You can find Tom Jacks on Twitter @votetomjacks. He spends far too much time praying for the Cubs, planning his next concert, and wondering if there’s an instrument that could ever rival the theremin (there isn’t).

  1. gareth says:
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    Hey tom,

    Who’s the expendable starter out of tim Hudson, Shelby miller, matt cain and Chris archer?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @gareth: Hey Gareth – I trust Miller the least from that group ROS.

      • gareth says:
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        @Tom Jacks: who’s the next cut after Miller?

        • Steve Stevenson says:
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          @gareth: I agree Miller’s first, and I’d cut Cain next.

  2. Steve Stevenson says:
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    6×6 (OPS) H2H, just gave Abreu for McCutchen. Needed an OF, and AVG and SB were my weakest cats. Replaced Abreu at 1B with Ortiz, and McCutchen moves Werth to the bench most days. Who do you like as a pickup for Util to offset the power loss from Abreu–LaRoche, Cron, Napoli or Duda?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Steve Stevenson: Nice trade. I’d pick up Napoli.

  3. chris says:
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    Which should I keep for ROS Gattis or Mesoroco? Thanks.

  4. Kisses says:
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    Which side:

    Pence+Price or GPolanco+Span+Heaney

  5. OK to stream Marcus Stroman v the pale hose?

    SON = #11 SP for today @ $12.5, seems to think he is good to gook..

    thanks Tom….cheers

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Malicious Phenom: Yep, I’d take a chance on him

          • @Tom Jacks: so far so good, kid has great stuff..I think I will keep him on my team instead of just stream..

            • Tom Jacks

              Tom Jacks says:
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              @Malicious Phenom: Yeah, I could see him consistently putting up starts like today’s.

  6. also add Grilli as the new closer for the Halos?

    • kisses says:
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      @Malicious Phenom: yeah, i’m super curious about the Frieri/Watson situation in Pitt. Watson has been leading the league in Holds and I’m been reaping those stats in my points league. Not sure if he’s getting bumped up to Closer now and I just earned another closer on my roster or if Frieri will take over.

      • @kisses: I think in Pittsburgh, Melon stays as closer, with Ernie setting him up for now.

    • gareth says:
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      @Malicious Phenom: maybe a stash until he can prove capable again. Smith is the clearcut closer.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Malicious Phenom: I think he’s more of a stash right now

      • @Tom Jacks: I kinda feel sad for Ernie, he leaves LA and all it has to offer and a great place to live, to go to Pittsburgh, which has what, steel?? ugh..

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Malicious Phenom: Haha I think it’s supposed to be nice there, but I’ve never been

  7. gareth says:
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    Here’s my take on my three starters. I’ve cut Miller already, but need to drop at least one other as there is a starts limit of 180 in the rcl I’m in and I’m nearly at 100 already.

    Matt Cain: he’s obviously been bad so far, but he did this last year and was great in the second half. Its also seemed like every guy that gets a hit off him ends up scoring. He plays in a pitchers park, is not old and has a pasy history of being a good starter.

    Chris Archer: a talented pitcher who can be inconsistent. The tampa bay offense is awful this year so run support is an ongoing issue. Plays in AL East so not many soft matchups.

    Tim Hudson: he has been amazing this year but has been hit hard his last two starts. His strikeout rate is terrible but his control is impeccable. His lack of walks helps the WHIP category but being the groundball pitcher he is, sometimes alot of those grounders turn into hits, negating the lack of walks.

    All tbese guys have warts of some sort, but who’s the most expendable?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @gareth: I actually trust Cain the most out of them. It’s close but I’d cut Archer.

  8. gareth says:
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    I drafted cain (Hudson and archer were free agent pick ups). I almost dropped him after the padres start but held off as i feel hes better than this.

    For me its between Hudson and archer. They seem liklier to regress.

    • @gareth: Cain is gonna party with big time tinny bong hit and learn how to no-hit the Padres..HA

      Could you drop a bat instead and just throw the 3 only when they have those, they can’t possibly fuck this one up, match-ups?

      • gareth says:
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        @Malicious Phenom: already expunged extraneous bats. Have no bench bats right now.

  9. Endershadow says:
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    Pick 2 from Segura, Desmond, Alexei.

    Standard cats plus BB, TB, OPS. Thanks

  10. LMFAO, should be timmy, I think i am getting a secondary high every time i type dudes name…

  11. Christopher says:
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    Should I drop Rosario for cj cron?

    • Christopher says:
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      @Christopher:

      Sorry. Meant to say I also have Maher. Have abreu, Votto as 1b. 12 team standard yahoo.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Christopher: I’d prefer to hang onto Rosario, but it sounds like you should see if you can trade a catcher in a 2 for 1 deal. Maybe one of your catchers plus an OF for a better OF, or something like that.

  12. gordon shumway says:
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    Hi Tom.. thanks as always for providing those of us in OBP leagues with valuable info that’s hard to find elsewhere. I”m in an OBP/SLG no AVG league and could stand to improve my pitching. Was offered Votto/A. Wood for my Laroche/Arenado. What do you think? Good deal or is Votto a wash for the year? If so, would you offer either of those chaps for a bit of morning wood? Thanks again!

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