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One of the main reasons I enjoy writing for Razzball is that I haven’t encountered another fantasy baseball site where the commenters are this active and generally friendly with each other. Another great thing is that even the comments are worth reading because there tends to be some nice insight. Example A is Principal Blackman, likely a pseudonym for Charlie Blackmon, who said this last week, “How about a little love for Shin-Soo Choo’s .432 OBP & .929 OPS? Both would be career highs (the Arlington effect?), but they are not wildly (unbelievably) out of line with his career averages (.391/.858), and they are right in line with the advances he made last year… ZiPS and Steamer both foresee some regression on the way for him, and indeed a .392 average on balls in play would blow his career BABIP (.352) out of the water. And at the same time, his K% has dipped below the league average, but, on the other hand, he has maintained the improvements he made last year to his already stellar walk rate, and since the beginning of the 2013 season he only has one infield popup (none this year).” Since then, Choo has slumped a bit and had his OPS dip below .900. I expect to see him around that level all year, while maintaining his ~.420 OBP. Anyway, here are some other players on my mind in OBP leagues:

Speaking of Blackmon, his recent numbers couldn’t be more different than his hot start, so I wouldn’t look to buy low.

With all of the injuries this year, there might be an opportunity to buy low on any number of guys who are currently injured and could boost your team if healthy. It could be worth seeing if another owner would be willing to sell at a price where it wouldn’t be the end of the world if the player you’re trading for didn’t contribute. This could be especially true if that owner has a number of guys on the disabled list clogging up his or her bench. Mike Napoli and Carlos Beltran could potentially be had at a discount, but I doubt guys like Joey Votto and Josh Hamilton would be available for much less than full value.

I compared Jose Abreu to Mark Trumbo in the comments last week and, while that may seem extreme considering what Abreu did in April, it’s a very real possibility if Abreu continues his miserable May approach upon his return. I think Abreu will still be a good player, but I’d knock him down a bit in OBP leagues.

The Carlos Quentin experience seems to be (mostly) alive and well (for the time being), so go ahead and grab him while you can. I’d also take a chance on Josh Willingham if he’s still available in your league. I think Quentin will produce better numbers than Willingham, but will be out of the lineup more frequently, so keep that in mind. Still, they both should have a .350+ OBP and .800+ OPS while in the lineup.

Adam Dunn is continuing his resurgent season in OBP leagues and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him to continue to top a .360 OBP going forward, though I would be surprised to see him maintain his current .388 mark.

Adam Lind should be owned in all leagues. With the rush to pick up Adam LaRoche and Garrett Jones, Lind remains available in some leagues, despite arguably possessing the most upside of the group.

 

You can find Tom Jacks on Twitter @votetomjacks. He spends far too much time praying for the Cubs, planning his next concert, and wondering if there’s an instrument that could ever rival the theremin (there isn’t).

From Around The Web

  1. Dave says:
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    Drop Khris Davis for Quentin then?

    • geegee says:
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      @Dave:
      nah

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Dave: I’d hang on to Davis

  2. MB says:
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    Which side wins in a 7×7 ops 11 teamer, 3 of 2 ut yahoo style

    Ortiz or pagan and myers

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @MB: I’d prefer Ortiz in a redraft league.

  3. No Soup for Yu says:
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    Could you rank these 3 catchers going forward in an h2h 5×5 OBP league? As a Santana owner I have barely noticed his slump… his OBP is still respectable and he is the number 8 catcher in my league still. It seems like any improvement in the BA the rest of the season will push him into the top 3. What do you think Tom?

    C Santana, W Rosario, D Mesoraco

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @No Soup for Yu: That’s what I was thinking before Santana’s recent concussion. I’m not sure how serious it was, and I’m slightly believing Mesoraco’s hot start, so I’d rank them Mesoraco, Santana, Rosario right now in a 5×5 obp. They’re close though.

  4. Zach says:
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    For an OBP league, how would you rank Napoli, Dunn, and Lind going forward?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Zach: Napoli, Lind, Dunn

  5. Miles says:
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    I have Lind and Dunn filling in while Votto is on the DL (and using the util). Thinking of trading Votto and sticking with Lind/Dunn tandem

    • bill says:
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      @Miles: what do you think you can get for Votto, im in a similar situation and not trusting Votto in his return

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Miles: I’m ok with this depending on what you’re able to trade Votto for. Although there will be a noticeable difference if it’s an OBP league.

  6. Wacha Wacha says:
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    Hey Tom! 10 team 5×5 OBP Which side of the deal do you like better?
    Mesoraco, Britton, and I Kennedy for J Shields and Bentances

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Wacha Wacha: Hey Wacha – I slightly prefer the Mesoraco side.

  7. Scooter G says:
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    Hi Tom. I was going to decline this but now I’m starting to consider it…. What do you think of this trade in H2h OBP nonkeeper?

    I give J Abreu and Marte I get Puig

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Scooter G: I would do it. Puig’s been much better than most people, myself included, have given him credit for.

  8. Crazy old guy babbling in the corner says:
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    So what do you make of Blackmon going forward. I don’t think anyone expected him to maintain that hot start, but not sure anyone expected he’d fall out to .150 either. He still worth rostering for hopes he rights the ship and plays close to APR levels, or it time to cut and move on?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Crazy old guy babbling in the corner: He’s a tough one. If you’re in a deeper league, I wouldn’t cut him yet, especially if you can afford to only play him during home games. I think he’ll perform closer to May levels than April going forward, but still believe he’ll improve from his May performance.

  9. David says:
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    Marte or Desmond ROS and next year?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @David: Desmond may have a slightly lower OBP, but I’d prefer his overall numbers

  10. JustanUncle says:
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    Can you provide a link to that comparison between Abreu and Trumbo because I’m confuzzled as to why you would knock him in OBP leagues…?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @JustanUncle: In my past last week: http://razzball.com/ops-leagues-higher-slugging-stanton/

      “I’ve hinted here and there that I never fully believed in Jose Abreu’s production, since I was worried about his high amount of strikeouts and lack of walks. After his record-setting April, his May numbers (1.6% walk rate, 36.1% strikeout rate, and an .814 OPS) show him being more human than human or something. I think he’ll be closer to an .850 OPS for the rest of the season.”

  11. lottahype says:
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    have C.Blacmnan and S.Marte..SHOULD I drop either one of them for Arcia or MLB super prospect O. Taveras?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @lottahype: Yeah, I’d drop Blackmon for Taveras

  12. Kyle says:
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    Keeper league… Auction

    I give: Braun and Pence
    Get: goldy & Jennings

    My team is pretty much done and I probably wouldn’t keep pence or Braun because of $$. Goldy is reasonable though.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Kyle: I like that deal for you.

  13. Scooter G says:
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    Hey Tom I asked about trading Abreu and Marte for Puig before but what do you think about Abreu and Marte for A Jones in an OBP league?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Scooter G: That’s a lot closer, but I’d prefer Jones.

  14. Maxi says:
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    OBP and SLG league…gotta drop a deuce (2players) in order to clear room for Stroman and Abreu.

    Been starting Norris and Lucroy C/1B since Abreu went down, so I’m thinking of dropping Norris + 1 player. Currently I’m sitting with 6 OFs, which I consider to be excessive in a 3OF league, 2 UTIL league:

    Braun, Cespedes, Bruce, Pollock, Calhoun, Arcia. I also have mofuggin Gyorko taking a spot, but I dropped him same time last year and look what happened…

    Thanks and I dig the OBP stuff!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Maxi: Thanks, I’d drop Norris and Calhoun.

      • Maxi says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Cool appreciate it

  15. Confucius says:
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    Tom, who do you like ros? Hosmer or Lind?

    Thanks for the advice!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Confucius: No problem, I’ll still stick with Hosmer.

  16. Aconstipatedmonkey says:
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    I think Principal Blackman is a reference to the character from Strangers with Candy (with the immortal Stephen Colbert).

  17. Principal Blackman says:
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    Thanks for the kind words, Tom. Keep up the good work.
    The name is indeed a reference to Strangers with Candy.
    If I were Charlie Blackmon, I would hope that I’d be more focused on breaking out of my real life slump then I would be on Choo’s OBP & OPS. Also the fact that I recently declined a trade for myself in an RCL would be embarrassing.

  18. Nightpandas says:
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    Hey Tom,

    In an OBP / SLG league,

    I’ve been offered Granderson, Napoli, CJ Wilson and a high pick for Rizzo, Gordon and a low pick. We keep 11. (15 team league)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Nightpandas: I’d want the Rizzo side in a keeper.

Comments are closed.