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Carlos Santana finally seems to be showing signs of life in the past week. Despite a league-leading 35 walks, his .328 OBP is merely average. I’m confident that he will continue to approach his typical ~.370 OBP going forward. He’s not hitting as many line drives as you’d like to see, but this seems to be one of those situations where his BABIP should improve somewhat dramatically. On a different note, I was blown away by this year’s Riot Fest lineup. Anybody going this year? It was definitely a good time last year. Anyway, here are some other guys on my mind and what it means in OBP leagues:

How about Brian Dozier this year? He had always posted a great OBP in the minors, so maybe I shouldn’t be as surprised as I am at his current .368 mark. I don’t believe he’ll continue to walk at a 15.8% rate, but he could continue to post a double-digit walk rate and an OBP above .330.

Now that Carlos Quentin is back, you should pick him up ASAP.

In 142 plate appearances, Ben Revere has three walks and a .284 OBP. How come so many SAGNOFs seem determined to destroy your OBP?

Matt Adams currently has a 2.5% walk rate, which is contributing to his mediocre .314 OBP. Unfortunately, his .335 mark from 2013 could be on the high end for what to expect from him this season…

My hero, David Ortiz, has been reaching base at a 50% clip the past couple weeks. That’ll do Papi, that’ll do.

Yasiel Puig never ceases to amaze me. His .398 career OBP isn’t getting enough attention. He’s quietly cementing his place as a top fantasy guy and he still has room to improve, given his age.

Yes, it’s only 57 plate appearances, but I’m hopeful that Rickie Weeks could post at least a .330 OBP going forward. He used to consistently post an above-average OBP, so he may not be completely done yet. Or he may be. We’ll see…

Dexter Fowler continues to post a solid OBP. He’s still available in a lot of leagues, so he could be worth an add, especially in leagues without slugging.

For better or worse, I’m starting to believe in Ike Davis for the millionth time. If you need a decent bat against righties, and the usual group (Seth Smith, Matt Joyce, etc.) are all owned, he’s probably worth an add.

Yes, Kurt Suzuki has a .394 OBP. No, he won’t keep it up. Next question?

There’s no reason why Chase Utley can’t continue to post a sky-high OBP while healthy.

Please pray with me to the fantasy baseball god(s?) that Joey Votto will be alright. I don’t think I could write an OBP article knowing that he was on the DL.

 

You can find Tom Jacks on Twitter @votetomjacks. He spends far too much time praying for the Cubs, planning his next concert, and wondering if there’s an instrument that could ever rival the theremin (there isn’t).

  1. Wilson says:
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    Pray for Votto … he is my keeper in OBP league …. (ouch)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Wilson: Me too, so I’ll be praying!

  2. gordon shumway says:
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    Thanks for writing for those of us in OBP leagues! It can be really hard for us to find info. For an OBP and SLG, no AVG league, who do you like ROS, Arenado or Rizzo? Thanks a lot

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @gordon shumway: You’re welcome. I like Rizzo a bit more.

  3. No Soup for Yu says:
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    Does Andrus go up in value and Desmond down in an 10 team h2h 5×5 OBP league? Would you trade Desmond for ANdrus straight up?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @No Soup for Yu: I think Desmond will do a little better than he’s done and I would prefer him to Andrus, so I wouldn’t do that deal.

  4. Wacha Wacha says:
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    In my OBP categories league I was offered D Gordon for my A Cobb. Is Gordon going to come back down to earth and kill my OBP or is this a trade I should make?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Wacha Wacha: I think Gordon will do what you said, so I wouldn’t do that deal.

      • Wacha Wacha says:
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        @Tom Jacks:

        What about for Dozier or should I still hold onto Cobb?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Wacha Wacha: I’d trade Cobb for Dozier, assuming you have some pitching depth and need MI

  5. BSW says:
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    Is Quentin relevant in a 12 team ops league with only 9 offensive spots?(no extra infield or outfield spots). Que piensas?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @BSW: I’d say yes in a 12 teamer, but having only 9 offensive spots makes him more of a borderline guy depending on your lineup.

  6. Zebrahead13 says:
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    I’ll be @ Riot Fest Chicago. Social D, Bouncing Souls, NOFX, & Me First? Can’t wait! (In my best Bart Scott voice)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Zebrahead13: Awesome! That’s the one I’ll be at. Did you see the announcement about 10 bands playing their “classic” album in full? It keeps getting better…

  7. Scooter G says:
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    Pick 2 adds for 10 team OBP league… At least 1 pitcher. Thanks for sharing your OBP expertise Tom!

    J Chavez, Kluber, I Kennedy, G Richards, Solarte, B Gardener, Mesoraco, Gyorko

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Scooter G: No problem – I’d add Chavez and Solarte

  8. David says:
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    Choo or Blackmon ROS? Thanks

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @David: Still Choo

  9. sam says:
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    Use my waiver to get wieters? Someone just dropped him
    Have Ramos now.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @sam: Yessir!

  10. stash Derek Holland, Carlos Martinez or Marcus Stroman for 2nd half starts…

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Malicious Phenom: I like Stroman the best out of that group

  11. John says:
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    Sorry to pull away from the OBP discussion, but I kinda want to hear what the community has to say (especially TJ) on a trade I was just offered in a 5×5 standard 12 team roto:

    My Fielder, Reed, and Chavez for his Freeman. I’ve still got 4 closers when Grili comes back and a 3 save lead in the league.

    Also, any opinions on Seager for Hamilton? I’m getting crushed on Runs/SB’s and he’s dead last in HR/RBI. Would you rather make a move for Dee Gordon (also on the trading block)?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @John: No problem, I don’t mind non-OBP questions. Fielder is finally starting to look better lately so, while I wouldn’t consider Freeman a downgrade, it seems like a bit of an overpay given the other pieces in the deal. I’m perfectly fine with trading Seager for Hamilton though, but wouldn’t do it for Gordon.

  12. Swfcdan says:
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    Whats the lineup this year?

    Rank these aces for me:
    Felix, Price, Verlander, Tanaka (has to be classed an ace right now), Shields

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Swfcdan: It’s probably the only fest in history with The Cure, Wu Tang, and Slayer.

      I actually would have them in that order.

  13. Swfcdan says:
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    And what slash line do you expect from Blackmon from here on out? Certainly been a stud so far, but we can’t expect this level of production to continue…

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Swfcdan: That’s a tough one. It seems like it shouldn’t continue, but I can’t find any red flags in his numbers. He should be able to at least resemble his .309/..336/.467 line from last year, with a bit less average and more OBP and slugging. Around .290/.340/.480 is where I’m thinking.

  14. Billy Beane Is Not My Lover says:
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    getting Dozier on the waiver wire an d drafting Melky with my last pick are the main reasons im in first place in my league atm. I got the MLB package Dozier is just a treat to watch a def throw back of a player. Great pop and he swipes bags to boot, not to mention the 38 runs scored thanks to his discipline at the plate.

  15. J-MoneyIV says:
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    I play in an 6×6 league with OPS so I always appreciate your work on this topic.

    Choo is currently sporting a .431 OBP and last year he ended up with a .423 OBP.
    Grey mentioned yesterday that Choo was a sell high now, not because he is bad, but because he will regress a bit which makes sense.

    Just wanted to get your thoughts on Choo and if I were looking to sell, what kind of return I should be expecting.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @J-MoneyIV: Thanks. I’d be ok with selling, but I’d want a top 25 overall player at this point or a combination of guys worth that amount. Maybe you could buy low on somebody like Fielder, Longoria, etc.?

      • J-MoneyIV says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Top 25 player it is and a buy low sounds like a good idea. I already own Fielder and was actually thinking about trading him away as well (already own Goldy). Are you a believer in Fielder returning to form?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @J-MoneyIV: I think he’ll mostly return to form. Maybe not first round value, but I could see second round value from here on out.

  16. was just offered this trade in my 10 team 5×5 roto league..

    I get Felix and Headly for Minor and Beltre

    what do you think..

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Malicious Phenom: It’s fair. I don’t really like Headley, but if you need pitching, it’s fine. I’d see if you could get something else thrown in though because Beltre should improve upon his slow start.

  17. Billy Beane Is Not My Lover says:
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    Hey another question, I picked up Quentin off my waiver wire are you expecting good things from him? by good things I mean a consistent 3rd or 4th of that could play every day and give you the numbers you need from that spot.

  18. tom says:
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    im in a 12 team h2h weekly league and I have been sitting on dominic brown and everth all year long just waiting and waiting for them to play like they did last year. TIME TO CUT TIES ?? would you suggest dropping Brown or Marlin Byrd for carlos quentin ? this would be my starting 3rd outfielder. I also have kyle calhoun coming back off of the Dl which prolly would be my 3rd OF. Thx for your info. !

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @tom: I don’t believe in Brown much at this point, but I’d cut Byrd first and would take Quentin over him.

  19. King Trout says:
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    My Puig, Liriano, Headley
    For
    Goldy, Cuddyer, Symyl and Jfer(cheap keeper next year)

    • King Trout says:
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      Almost forgot, good writeup. Thanks

      • Tom Jacks

        Tom Jacks says:
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        @King Trout: Thanks!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @King Trout: I like that deal for you

  20. Night pandas says:
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    Obp league, my weakest cats are SB, hits and OBP (15 teams, keep 11)

    Was offered Dozier, Castellenatos, Bruce

    For my

    Phiillips, Longo, Cruz

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Night pandas: I’d hold. Bruce won’t do much for OBP ROS and Longo should be improving soon, so I think you’d be selling low on him.

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