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It’s no secret that offense has been in decline across the board in major league baseball in recent years. It seems like only, uh, 17 years ago that the race was on to see who could break Roger Maris’ single season home run record. Last season, only Nelson Cruz reached the 40 HR mark and just ten other players managed to knock 30 out of the park. Remember Vince Coleman’s string of three consecutive 100+ steal seasons from ’85-’87? No? Too young, eh? If you’re familiar with the video game R.B.I. Baseball for the original 8-bit Nintendo, he’s the guy who’s able to steal bases at will. It was basically the same deal in real life. Pretty darn impressive feat, especially when you consider the fact that only four players reached the 40 SB mark last year.

But just how much has the offensive landscape changed though? It probably wouldn’t be very useful to compare recent league-wide production to that of the PED era. Kind of like comparing apples and oranges, or maybe organic apples to genetically-engineered ones. Instead, let’s take a look at some MLB stats from the past three seasons to see if this decline is just a myth or if it’s a reality:

Season PA HR R RBI SB
2012 184179 4934 21017 19999 3229
2013 184873 4661 20255 19271 2693
2014 183928 4186 19761 18745 2764

Can we lower the pitcher’s mound already, or at least move it back a couple of feet? How about authorizing the usage of aluminum bats? As you can see, power and run production in general has declined across the board in each of the last two seasons. Stolen bases is the only category that rose slightly from ’13 to ’14 after declining drastically from the previous season. What does all of this mean?

It means that it’s time for this week’s exercise, guys and four girl readers. Since offensive production is down across the board, I thought that it might be useful to identify the players who have been across the board contributors, specifically in the power and speed categories (aka home runs and stolen bases). On to this week’s search criteria:

2013-14 MLB seasons

Hit at least 20 home runs

Steal at least 20 bases

Really taking this whole K.I.S.S. approach to another level, aren’t I? The idea behind this is to determine which players averaged double digit HRs and SBs per season over the last two. The requirements might look laughably simplistic, but it might surprise you to learn that only 36 players met the criteria. I’ve split the results up into two separate tables featuring 18 players in each one. Table #1 contains the qualifiers who averaged at least 15 HRs per season (or at least 30 total), and can be seen here:

Name Team PA HR R RBI SB BB% K% BB/K ISO AVG
Mike Trout LAA 1421 63 224 208 49 13.60% 22.50% 0.6 0.254 0.305
Adam Jones BAL 1371 62 188 204 21 3.20% 19.60% 0.16 0.198 0.283
Paul Goldschmidt ARI 1189 55 178 194 24 13.70% 21.40% 0.64 0.246 0.302
Todd Frazier CIN 1260 48 151 153 26 8.10% 21.00% 0.39 0.18 0.254
Carlos Gomez MIL 1234 47 175 146 74 6.80% 23.30% 0.29 0.207 0.284
Hunter Pence SF 1395 47 197 173 35 7.50% 17.60% 0.42 0.184 0.28
Andrew McCutchen PIT 1322 46 186 167 45 12.30% 16.30% 0.75 0.209 0.316
Ian Desmond WAS 1303 44 150 171 45 6.80% 25.20% 0.27 0.174 0.267
Brian Dozier MIN 1330 41 184 137 35 10.50% 18.70% 0.56 0.172 0.243
Alex Gordon KC 1343 39 177 155 23 8.70% 19.90% 0.44 0.161 0.266
Carlos Gonzalez COL 717 37 107 108 24 8.40% 26.20% 0.32 0.25 0.276
Yasiel Puig LAD 1072 35 158 111 22 9.60% 20.60% 0.47 0.197 0.305
Shin-Soo Choo – – – 1241 34 165 94 23 13.70% 21.30% 0.64 0.157 0.266
Hanley Ramirez LAD 848 33 126 128 24 9.80% 16.00% 0.61 0.216 0.308
Coco Crisp OAK 1120 31 161 113 40 11.30% 11.70% 0.97 0.152 0.254
Michael Brantley CLE 1287 30 160 170 40 7.10% 9.60% 0.75 0.147 0.307
Will Venable SD 963 30 111 86 33 6.40% 23.40% 0.28 0.163 0.248
Ian Kinsler – – – 1340 30 185 164 30 6.00% 10.30% 0.58 0.141 0.276

A few thoughts and observations concerning these results:

• Trout, Gomez, McCutchen, and Desmond are the only players who have averaged 20/20 or better over the last two seasons. You’ll have to pay top dollar for them on draft day, but they’ve proven themselves to be extremely valuable fantasy options. None of these players has turned 30 years old yet either.

• Speaking of young players, only Trout and Puig are in the 25 and under club among these qualifiers. The best may be yet to come for these young studs.

• Can Todd Frazier continue to steal 10+ bags or was last season a fluke? Either way, his power looks to be legitimate.

Shin-Soo Choo is one of my favorite rebound candidates this season. The perennial 20/20 threat might be more of a 15/15 player these days and still struggles mightily against left-handed pitching. He still gets on base at a solid clip though, contributes at least a little bit in each category, and can be had with a mid-round pick in many formats this season.

• CarGo (the Colorado version) and Hanley are the risk/reward options here. Fantastic production when healthy, but will they be able to avoid missing a significant portion of the season due to injury?

Here’s table #2 which features the qualifiers who averaged 10-14.5 HRs (20-29 total) over the 2013-14 seasons:

Name Team PA HR R RBI SB BB% K% BB/K ISO AVG
David Wright NYM 1078 26 117 121 25 9.00% 17.80% 0.51 0.15 0.286
Jacoby Ellsbury – – – 1271 25 163 123 91 7.60% 14.60% 0.52 0.138 0.285
Starling Marte PIT 1111 25 156 91 71 5.20% 24.20% 0.22 0.161 0.286
Brett Gardner NYY 1245 25 168 110 45 8.70% 21.00% 0.41 0.154 0.264
Drew Stubbs – – – 905 25 126 88 37 8.20% 30.60% 0.27 0.159 0.259
Alejandro De Aza – – – 1203 25 140 103 37 7.40% 22.10% 0.33 0.138 0.258
Charlie Blackmon COL 906 25 117 94 35 4.20% 16.00% 0.26 0.154 0.294
Jason Heyward ATL 1089 25 141 96 22 10.60% 15.70% 0.67 0.137 0.264
Desmond Jennings TB 1144 24 146 90 35 9.70% 19.50% 0.5 0.148 0.249
Jason Kipnis CLE 1213 23 147 125 52 10.40% 20.00% 0.52 0.132 0.263
Jimmy Rollins PHI 1275 23 143 94 50 9.60% 15.10% 0.64 0.122 0.248
Alex Rios – – – 1183 22 137 135 59 5.40% 17.00% 0.32 0.138 0.279
Daniel Murphy NYM 1339 22 171 135 36 5.30% 13.50% 0.39 0.122 0.287
Ben Zobrist TB 1352 22 160 123 21 10.90% 12.90% 0.84 0.125 0.273
Alexei Ramirez CWS 1331 21 150 122 51 3.80% 11.20% 0.34 0.115 0.279
B.J. Upton ATL 1028 21 97 61 32 9.80% 31.50% 0.31 0.116 0.198
Dexter Fowler – – – 997 20 132 77 30 13.10% 21.40% 0.62 0.133 0.27
Howie Kendrick LAA 1187 20 140 129 20 6.00% 16.80% 0.36 0.121 0.295

• Looking for elite speed without sacrificing power? Jacoby Ellsbury and Starling Marte are a couple of prime targets.

• Rollins, Murphy, Zobrist, Ramirez, and Kendrick seem to fall into the boring, aging middle infield tier for many fantasy players. While the aging part might be correct, these players have consistently produced solid numbers across the board from positions of scarcity. With the possible exception of Ramirez, none of them should require the use of a premium pick on draft day.

Charlie Blackmon and Jason Heyward are two of the most polarizing players in fantasyland. Heyward has been frustrating to own at times due to his inconsistency, but he’s still just 25 years old, possesses a nice combo of power and speed, and fantastic plate discipline to boot. Was Blackmon just a one-year wonder? I don’t have that answer, but last year was pretty special. He was just 1 HR and 2 SBs shy of a 20/30 season, and plays half of his games in the most hitter-friendly environment in baseball.

Desmond Jennings and Dexter Fowler are penciled in as the opening day leadoff hitters for their respective clubs. Both offer good speed and a little bit of pop. They’re currently available in the late rounds in most mixed league formats and have even gone undrafted in some leagues. You could do worse for a #5 OF or a bench bat.

Do you prefer the Chris Carter and Billy Hamilton types of players who dominate in one or two categories? Or are the more balanced players prioritized on your draft boards?

   
  1. EA says:
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    I’m hoping Joc Pederson can be a great late round value in those categories. Definitely planning on snagging him.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @EA: Pederson definitely fits the power/speed mold. Same with Betts, Souza, and several other rookie and second year players who haven’t yet logged the plate appearances necessary to meet these requirements.

      • james says:
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        @Big Magoo:

        I cannot help but think the decline of the power speed combo is a result of SABRmetriclly driven teams. A player needs to steal at a 75% clip to be valuable, so guys who cannot do that never get the green light (so a lot of guys who would have been good for 10-20 per season in the past, simply never run), and they are taught to gear their swing to line drives rather than the long ball.

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @james: I think it depends on the team and managerial philosophy. Players like Stanton, Werth, and Adam Jones have had terrific success rates on SB attempts but pick their spots in terms of when they take off. On the flip side, players like Aoki, Bourn, and Parra (19 for 36 over the last two seasons – yikes!) seem to be allowed to run fairly often despite their lack of success doing so.

          In terms of the swing path, I think that’s probably true for the up the middle players (2B, SS, CF) more so than for the corner infielders and outfielders. Teams still value those players who hit for power in the middle of the lineup. You can’t shift a home run. But yes, the players who are able to both hit homers and steal bases at above average rates are extremely uncommon these days.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @job3rd: Thanks! Sign up, razzballers!

  2. Ryan says:
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    Hey Magoo-

    Speaking of Heyward, He was offered to me in a deal. Let me know what you think. 16 team keeper.

    Rizzo/Heyward for Goldy

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Ryan: Tough call because I really like Goldy, but in a 16 teamer, I think I’d give the edge to the Rizzo/Heyward side there.

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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      @Ryan: au rizz almost as good as au shizz. take that.

  3. sport says:
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    I try to be as balanced as possible but I always end up having to chase a one cat guy late. Which kind of leads me to my question. I am, and always have been, just a roto guy. Last night I got duped into taking over my 1st H2H team, immediately following it’s draft. It’s regular 12 team yahoo public rules. I ended up with C-McCann, 1B-A.Gonzalez, 2B-Wong, 3B-Longo, SS-Baez, OF – ADAM Jones, Harper, Yelich, UT – Voto and Soler. Do I Regie Roby SB at this point? Nice power in the line up so is it worth holding on to Yelich if I have little speed? I’m not crazy about Votto. Would like to trade him for balance or speed if if it’s worth it.

    Also, I’m so new to H2H. Do I use the 6 maximum transactions/week to stream hitters, SP, or both? The team ended up with Andrew Miller AND wade Davis late. Do they hold value in H2H?

    Thanks for any feedback!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @sport: I’m mostly a roto guy as well, so you might want to get a few other opinions, but I’m under the impression that batting average, speed, and relievers aren’t quite as valuable in H2H as roto. Ideally, you want to maximize power on offense (which it looks like you did – very nice!) and focus on maximizing IP and strikeouts on the pitching side. Miller and Davis should hold some value for extra Ks and ratio help if your matchup is close in those categories. Good luck!

      • sport says:
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        @Big Magoo: thanks for the feedback. Always enjoy your research and work.

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @sport: No problem. Thanks for the kind words!

  4. Ante GALIC says:
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    Big Magoo!

    Nice article. The combination of 20/20 and all the other tidbits in the table make this list quite comprehensive.

    Added Joc dropping Wil Myers (21st round). Am I insane?

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Thanks! I do like Pederson a bit more than Myers, but Myers still has some upside as well. Is there anyone else that you’d be able to drop instead?

  5. Cram It says:
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    Every time I see your Numbers Game headline, the Thievery Corporation song pops into my head. That’s all. No, wait, that’s not all. I don’t like the all or nothing guys. I try to draft balanced power/steal guys where available over the all power/speed with the typically crappy AVG that comes with that.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Cram It: I’m usually cruising through the neighborhood just like that when I’m writing these posts. Weird!

      Yeah, I prefer the balanced players over the all power or speed guys when possible too. Easier to make adjustments to your team if a player get hurt or underperforms.

  6. royce! says:
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    Crazy how SB totals dropped so much between 2012 and 2013. As far as know, they had been increasing ever since bottoming out in 2004, and basically had an inverse relationship with total HR. Could be all sorts of things causing this, including teams valuing catcher defense (resulting in players making it on base less and being thrown out more), and the top SB guys having crappy OBP. Totally anecdotal, but it also seems that SB guys are always getting hurt, pulling hammys and what not.

    Anyhow, interesting article. And in response to your Q, I generally avoid drafting one stat contributors, especially for steals. I don’t have any principled reasons for doing so, but off the top of my head, it seems that if you are relying on one or two people to carry you in one stat category, you’re screwed if they bomb or get hurt, whereas you can more easily rebound if you lose a player who contributes in 4 or 5 categories.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @royce!: Thanks, royce! I think that you might be on to something with your OBP comment. Most of the high OBP players these days are the Bautista/Abreu/Miggy slugger types who don’t run much at all. The Rickey Henderson types of speedy players with elite BB-rates just don’t exist anymore.

      I’m with you on favoring the balanced players as well. If Billy Hamilton or Dee Gordon pull a hamstring, they’re essentially worthless from a fantasy perspective. Same with a Chris Carter if opposing pitchers just decide to walk him or get him to chase outside the zone. He’s either going to strike out or hope that a teammate drives him in while going station-to-station on the basepaths. Tougher to replace that type of player also as you mentioned.

  7. job3rd says:
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    Great article (as I wrote above).

    I definitely prefer the multi-category hitters over guys that can kill 2/3 cats. Love where Frazier, Dozier, Kipnis, Heyward, Fowler and Jennings can be had. Love Marte but prolly not at the going rate. Also, there are a lot of questions: Pence/A Gordon-wrist/Soo Choo/Wright/Rios/A Ram-regression. I think RCL’s are too harsh on a Brantley regression. Zobrist doesn’t interest me at all and Hanley won’t stay healthy.

    I did a screen for just a simple, 2-year Avg: .260/70R/70RBI/15HR/7.5SB …not too stringent (or so I thought.) Only 14 passed. All first rounders except J-Up, Pence, Seager, Desmond, Werth, Cano, A Gordon, Brantley and Kinsler. Probably only Werth/Pence/A Gordon can be had outside of the 6th round and their all hurt!

    • job3rd says:
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      @job3rd: After going through some projections, it looks like both Souza and Pederson have definite double-double potential but their proj BAs are not ideal. Also, a Grey sleeper that looks like 15+HR and 10+SB is Avisail Garcia. He hasn’t stolen much in the majors but his minor league profile hints at 20 SB being plausible. More plausible in my mind than 17/18 HRs.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        @job3rd: Souza and Pederson both have power and speed, but are average risks as you mentioned. Garcia is an interesting player. He hasn’t accomplished much at the major league level yet, but he’s still only 23 years old. Solid power potential in that park. Could steal around a dozen bags or so. Has a chance to hit 5th in the order behind Abreu and LaRoche. Definite sleeper.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @job3rd: Yup, that’s why I relaxed the requirements for this exercise. It’s crazy to see the limited number of players who are able to qualify for the simplest of criteria. That’s the current environment though.

  8. John Oliver says:
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    Marte skills are really trending up may end up with a cutch like season but with say 10-15 BA points lass maybe 5+ less homers and about 10+ more steals, and going much later. Could we see 280-19hr 33sb?

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @John Oliver: I consider Marte to be Carlos Gomez lite. .280/15/30 type of player, and he has more power upside beyond that as well (avg fly ball distance of 299.92 ft last season – 13th highest in MLB). Playing half of his games in Pittsburgh kind of caps his ceiling though. That park is brutal on right-handed power.

    • Nude Intruder says:
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      @Nude Intruder: 3 more spots!!! come on yall!

  9. J-FOH says:
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    You say power and speed and I say hard and fast

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @J-FOH: Hustle and blow?

  10. Wake Up says:
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    Agreed on Choo.

    I’d add Rios. He could give you Marte ten rounds later.

    A GMO apple that doesn’t bruise? Sounds like a healthy snack for the Brett Myers’ family…

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Wake Up: no way! Marte is the next Gomez! (that was sarcasm)

      • Wake Up says:
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        @J-FOH: Martes’ the next Tuesday…Mesoraco looks more like Gomez…

      • Wake Up says:
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        @J-FOH: Oh, I didn’t read the comments yet…I see what you did there…

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Wake Up: Marte’s owners might be shaken not stirred.

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        @J-FOH: Careful, calling someone the next *insert name here* gets the internets up in arms…

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Wake Up: Yeah, Rios is a tough projection. Never know what that guy is gonna do.

      I could see Myers snacking on some hard cider…

  11. GhostTownSteve says:
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    Jennings is no longer slated for the lead off spot. Looks like he’ll be hitting 5th.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @GhostTownSteve: Yeah, could be. He’s listed at leadoff on rosterresource. With the exception of Longo at 3-4, that entire lineup looks to be pretty fluid though.

  12. Lville Jim says:
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    Been waiting for Nick Franklin to break out. I held him for a couple years but gave up and waived him last season but was able to get him back off waivers as soon as he was traded. His defense sucks for a middle infielder and he strikes out at a disgusting rate. His minor league performance keeps me hoping that somehow he will morph into that player. Would you hold him or pick up Wilmer Flores off waivers who also is 2b/ss eligible? Flores is no offensive juggernaut but he at least has shown improvement over the past two seasons.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Lville Jim: Depends what you’re looking for out of that MI slot. Flores has more power upside while Franklin is likely to chip in a few more steals. If you’re just looking for the best overall production, I’d go with Flores. More power and a much better contact rate (85.5% career Contact% to 73.7% for Franklin).

  13. SallyCips says:
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    I looked at Choo in both of my drafts, but ultimately didn’t grab him. He may be a trade target. I have Dozier on both my teams, so hoping for more, he’s also one of few holdovers from last season. One guy from last year I didn’t draft or think about was Blackmon, just felt like I was riding the lightning the entire season.

    Good stuff, Magoo!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @SallyCips: Choo played on a bum ankle for the majority of last season, and still displayed good power and a solid BB-rate. Couldn’t do anything on the basepaths though. I think he’s still a 12-15 steal player. Dozier is a good power/speed option in the middle infield. One thing about Blackmon – throw out his blazing hot start, and from May 1st until the end of the season, he hit .271 with 14 HRs and 21 SBs. Hit at least 2 HRs in each month and stole at least 5 bases in 4 different months (and at least 2 in all of them). Surprisingly consistent.

      Thanks!

  14. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    Magoo – big fan as always.

    I’ve just joined a new league and inherited a team, as well as a particular set of scoring settings. This one is h2h and includes net steals and net saves. I hate these categories. I don’t feel like these categories should potentially be negatively affected by things (more) outside a players control Ie. errors or mistakes on account of other players. tell me that’s reasonable and net anything sucks

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @SheriffMcRawDawg: Thanks, Sheriff!

      Net anything sucks – it’s a fact! Honestly, I’ve never played in any leagues with those specific categories. Just give a slight boost to the more efficient base stealers (Ellsbury, Escobar, Reyes, Brantley, etc.) and downgrade the closers with questionable job security and low K-rates. Shouldn’t be much of an issue, though there might be a week or two during the season where you find yourself cursing the settings…

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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        @Big Magoo: thanks! it just seems unnatural! ig also includes quality starts and OPS so it’s an interesting one. good thing it’s an auction league so I’ll have a shot at everyone I want to target.

        quick follow up though – as it is h2h (wkly lineups) with another pitching category, would you invest more heavily in a #1 (or several)? Normally I like to stay frugal with pitchers and fill out my offense, but in this format I can’t help but thing I need at least 1 legit ace. what is your usual $ breakout offense/pitching? thanks again!

        • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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          @SheriffMcRawDawg: why wouldn’t it be considered more natural, blowing saves and getting caught stealing are bad things for real baseball; why so weird in fantasy?

          • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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            @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: don’t really have highly developed counterpoints, but the fact you can take a -1 hit for another player’s throwing error, or a coaches decision to throw a double steal on and someone gets caught, or maybe a hit and run where the batter screws up, etc. kind of stinks. it’s like let me keep my 0 in that case. in the end it really doesn’t matter I guess, just a d’ruther..

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @SheriffMcRawDawg: In terms of dollar value, I usually go with a 67/33 hitting/pitching split more often than not. I’d use that as more of a baseline rather than insisting on that exact breakdown though.

          As far as the ace goes, in that format, I’d try to secure one of the elite options. At least one of the 2nd tier SPs like Cueto, Lester, or Zimmermann. Pitchers like Hamels and Wood can be bumped up a bit in this format too. Don’t have to worry as much about run support and win potential. SPs in good situations like Lynn and Lackey in Stl, Peavy in SF, and Ryu and McCarthy in LA look like solid options as well. They should be able to produce a high % of quality starts.

          • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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            @Big Magoo: awesome that’s good to know about Hamels/wood types. thanks again Magoo

              • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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                @Big Magoo: Magoo – last thing. I’m in a 20 team h2h standard league. the pitching requirements as follows – 3 SP, 2 RP and 2 P. I don’t know my draft position until a half hr before the draft, but would you possibly recommend grabbing carrasco or wood SP/RP types and punting saves altogether? never completely punted before and it intrigues me in a league this deep..

                • Big Magoo

                  Big Magoo says:
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                  @SheriffMcRawDawg: I usually wouldn’t advocate punting as an ideal strategy in most leagues, but in that format, it’s certainly a viable option. 20 teams deep, H2H instead of roto, and only 2 RPs slots makes it worth considering. Check out this post for pitchers with dual SP/RP eligibility:

                  http://razzball.com/sprpeligiblepitchers2015/

                  Carrasco, Wood, Shoemaker, Duffy, Chavez, and Petit are some of the names to target there. If some decent closers happen to fall in the draft, you could switch gears and go with a more traditional balanced strategy, but I wouldn’t reach for RPs in that format. Good luck!

  15. JxK9 says:
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    Take a look at CarGo’s numbers, they are almost identical to Trouts on a per plate appearance basis. Doubling his HR, SB, RBI, Runs equals Trouts in almost exactly half the PAs. It’s too bad he lost a good portion of 2 season right in the middle of his prime.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @JxK9: Despite his injuries, CarGo produced four consecutive 20/20 seasons from 2010-13. Hit at least .295 in each of those seasons too. It is a shame, because while he’s been a very good player, he had a chance to be great. The various injuries have killed his momentum over the years. Still is only 29 years old, but the K-rate has been climbing and I’m not sure that he’ll be willing/able to run as much as he used to.

  16. Andre says:
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    Magoo – big fan as always! Great article.

    Im in a long term keeper league and we just rest after 5 seasons..I won it all last season, but with amazing keepers (Stanton, Cutch, Posey, Felix, Rendon)…this season, I was smack dab in the middle at pick number 5 of a 10 team league and I drafted CarGo (Colorado) in the 6th round.

    I have received a few low ball offers for him, with teams banking on my reluctance to keep an oft injured player who might have little value in a few months…I generally try and take 5 category guys with 20/20 upside and two interesting offers I’ve received include as the centerpiece 1) Soler and 2) Marte…do you see Soler eventually knocking on the door of double digit steals, given his leg injury history? Do you think Marte can be a Carlos Gomez type player? Which trade would you go for? Also…it’s possible I keep CarGo and pick up a guy like AJ Pollock on waivers. My team feels like I might be a season or two away so I’m trying to be proactive.

    Thoughts? Thanks for the help!

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @Andre: Thanks, Andre! So, you’re saying that your league started over and you lost Stanton + those other four, and you don’t anticipate being in contention this year? Am I reading that correctly?

      CarGo is the risk/reward player there. Highest ceiling, but quite a bit of risk due to his lack of durability. Marte has the highest floor of the three. PNC Park will limit his power upside, but I see him as a .275-.280/15/30 type of player for the next 2-3 years. Soler is an intriguing player. Lots of power upside and is penciled in to the cleanup spot behind Rizzo right now. I like him the best out of the bunch long term. Right now, he’s probably a .265/25/5 hitter. And if you are able to pick up Pollock off of waivers, I would certainly make that move.

      Hope this helps!

      • Andre says:
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        @Big Magoo:

        Yes you’re reading that correctly. As of now my only potential keepers are Kershaw, Rendon and Donaldson….and if he’s able to stay healthy (big IF) is CarGo..

        The two owners who’ve made those offers have made the strongest pitches so far by at least offering guys that have room to move up a tier…I feel like Soler might end up being the best bet but he doesn’t have the speed component to his game I usually look for but given the lineup he’ll eventually be in with Bryant, it might be worth it. . It’s a bit frustrating I made my team as potent as I did and won it all, to just have to start over. But I guess if you’re able to pull it off again that’s where the bragging rights come in!

        • Big Magoo

          Big Magoo says:
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          @Andre: With Kershaw, Rendon, Donaldson, and CarGo, you should have a chance to contend. That’s a nice core. And yeah, I think I’d roll the dice on CarGo there unless you can get the Soler owner to add another player to his offer. Pick up Pollock, who could end up being Marte-lite, and you’re on your way to defending the title!

          • Andre says:
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            @Big Magoo:
            I hope so!….keep up the good work this season, Magoo. Love the articles! And thanks for the help!

            • Big Magoo

              Big Magoo says:
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              @Andre: No problem. Thanks for the kind words!

  17. BEASTDOG says:
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    4th pick Tonite in 12 team H2H roto. You still going Giancarlo over Cutch and Goldy? Im leaning that way,one or 2 of them will still be there.

    • Big Magoo

      Big Magoo says:
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      @BEASTDOG: I don’t think that you can go wrong with any of those three. I’d rank them Goldy, Stanton, Cutch in that format.

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