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Drafting Michael Bourn? That’s a paddlin’. Focusing on steals in an OPS league? That’s a paddlin’. Drafting a SAGNOF who hurts your OPS and doesn’t steal bases? Oh, you better believe that’s a paddlin’! In all honesty (which implies that I’m rarely honest with you?), I feel sorry for fantasy owners who were counting on him for stolen bases. Don’t you feel that way too, Matt Kemp? They had their fantasy teams left cold and ashamed, lying naked on the floor. No, let’s not get into Rihanna right now. But I really don’t know where to start with Michael, so I’ll begin at the beginning and go on till I come to the end, then stop. His current .288/.341/.381 line is fine in OBP leagues, but hurts in leagues that use slugging. The fact that he only has 13 steals is puzzling, considering that he’s a guy you would pencil in for 50 a year. Perry Farrell told me to note that Bourn’s been caught stealing seven times, a potential indicator of less speed. To make a not-so-long story short, I wouldn’t count on Bourn turning his season around. Anyway, here are some other guys I’m watching in OPS leagues:

David Ortiz – I mention him all the time, but he has as many stolen bases as Bourn in the past month! And it’s a non-zero number!

Carlos Gomez – Unlike Michael, this guy is stealing bases in bunches. Not to mention that his power looks legit. Oh wait, I guess I just mentioned it. I was very skeptical of the new CG, but now I’m thinking that he could make a former life of Jacoby Ellsbury jealous. Count me on board with this rare bright spot of the 2013 Brewers.

Neil Walker – Ugh, am I really going to recommend him? Oh wait – I already did.

Starling Marte – This year he’s had an OPS in the high .800s in April and June, but an OPS in the .600s in May and July. What does this mean, my fellow detectives? I’m guessing that either he doesn’t like months with a “y” in its name and should be amazing the rest of the year, or he’s probably going to be somewhere in between going forward. My fortune cookie says, “signs point to the latter.”

Manny Machado – For whatever reason (how’s that for clarity?), I never really liked him too much for 2013. Where is the love, Black Eyed Peas? Since his hot start, his season embodies a certain Tom Petty song. I think his June line of .303/.325/.437 could be on the higher end of what to expect for the final two months of the season.

Dayan Viciedo – In May, I said, “He might be available in your league and I think that his current .276/.328/.448 line is a good baseline for the rest of 2013.” Being a narcissist, I agree with myself.

Prince Fielder – Why yes, I would love to buy low on Prince if given the opportunity. There’s a great chance he has a power surge and makes it rain, of the purple variety.

Michael Morse – He’s coming back from the DL this week and is available in a lot of leagues. Before the season, I thought his upside was .280/.330/.480, which isn’t spectacular for his position, but can help if you need some slugging (and who doesn’t?).

Billy Butler – Looks like he’s rounding into form. Pun intended.

Tom Jacks is sporadically on Twitter @votetomjacks

48 Responses

  1. harkrider says:
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    I’m looking for a SP for the final push of the season. My current keepers (we get 5) are Stanton, Goldy, McCutchen, Machado, and Rizzo or Castro. Thoughts on trading Heyward for Garza? Neither would be keepers, but Garza should be strong enough and hopefully win enough to pay off down the stretch, but is Heyward’s potential too much to give up for Garza?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @harkrider: I think Heyward is a little too much to give up for Garza, but if you need pitching and wouldn’t keep Heyward anyway, then that isn’t a factor. Go for it if it’s the best pitcher you can get for him.

  2. ryanjoe13 says:
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    Need to chose 2 out of these 4 for ROS, gotta drop the other two: Billy Butler, Chase Headley, Alex Gordon, C Yelich

    • ryanjoe13 says:
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      @ryanjoe13: (re-draft)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @ryanjoe13: Thanks for mentioning that it’s a re-draft. Definitely go with Butler. It’s close between Headley and Gordon, but I’d go with Headley.

  3. Marv says:
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    Hey, H2H 10-team Keeper(keep 12) Stacked in hitting, weak in pitching. Been going back and forth with a guy to acquire Kershaw. What do you think of My Braun/Desmond/Rizzo/Hellickson/Medlen for His HanRam/Kershaw/Sale/Lohse ? Too much or maybe not enough? thoughts?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Marv: I think that’s fair. I wouldn’t want to give up too much more than that.

  4. Fister Furbush says:
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    What’s up Tom?

    I’m getting a kick out of these huge like icons. ^^^

    Anyways I have two questions for you

    My closers are Balfour and Cisek…R.Soriano was just dropped. Should I try and claim him off waivers and drop Cisek?

    Scond question…
    I have Yadi Molina and Gattis as my catchers.

    I was offered Adam Jones for Molina and Lynn. My depth at SP is pretty good, Jones would make my outfield and Util look like this

    Stanton
    Cargo
    Puig
    Jones

    This guy is in dire need of a catcher. Should I pull the trigger and just put Gattis at catcher?

    Thanks
    -FF

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Fister Furbush: Hey FF – I know! These icons are freaking me out! Haha…

      Yeah, I’d try to do that closer swap. I just don’t trust the Marlins to hang on to their guys in a weak trade market.

      Yeah, I’d trade Molina for Jones. Seems like a great deal for you, even with Molina continuing to defy age. Your OF/U would be silly good.

  5. Larry says:
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    I was offered billy butler and mike minor for e5 and romo. Saves+holds league — guys like ryan cook, axford, walden, doolittle are available to replace romo. Have seager to move into CI for butler. 6×6 with obp and QS. could use a SP for sure

    Do the deal?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Larry: Yeah, it’s fair. I’d do it, considering you can use a SP.

      • Larry says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Thank you Tom Jacks

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Larry: No problem Larry

  6. ty says:
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    Garza, Greinke or Gio for Wil Myers in a keeper. any takers?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @ty: To get Myers? I’d trade any of them for Myers in a keeper, but would prefer to trade Garza.

  7. MB says:
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    Hola.

    Can you name a range in your ROS player rater — QS league where I should look to aim to trade Jose Fernandez for in redraft league? Worried about innings cap. League has no innings cap.

    Gracias

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @MB: Hola MB – I’d see if you can get a top 50 player for him. I don’t think that’s too optimistic, especially if you can find somebody who has been underperforming.

  8. Ron says:
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    If I were to deal Fowler is Morse an adequate replacement?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Ron: Yeah, I guess. He’ll likely be a bit worse, but not a significant downgrade, so I’d consider that adequate.

      • Ron says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Grey just gave me a few other Fowler replacements.

        Schierholtz, Viciedo, L. Martin.

        Where does Morse fall among this trio?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Ron: I’d want Schierholtz before Morse. If you need steals, I’d take Leonys ahead of Morse too. Viciedo is a little behind Morse.

  9. jjj says:
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    holliday or stanton for the rest of the season

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @jjj: Stanton

  10. Doc says:
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    You like Aoki or Marte ROS? Just watched Aoki steal second and third earlier. Mostly interested in steals as my league is H2h and I have cutch, puig, trout in my OF slots and would just be looking to plug Aoki in my utility slot if I’m losing in steals around Thursday/Friday. Thanks again Tom, enjoyed the article as always.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Doc: Thanks Doc! I’d go with Aoki. Marte has cooled off to the point where I slightly prefer Aoki for the rest of 2013.

  11. Kobayashi Maru says:
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    Who would you rather have next year: Fowler $3, Cole $3, Andrelton $3, Burnett $1, or Derek Holland $2? Runner up?

    I’ve got just enough pieces I can probably snag one last mediocre keeper.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Kobayashi Maru: Fowler first, with Cole as a runner up.

  12. Ferga says:
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    I enjoyed reading this. Nice Simpsons and Janes Addiction references.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Ferga: Thanks Ferga!

  13. Jack says:
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    What range of SP should I look to get in return for Panda? 14 team, 15 keepers.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Jack: Top 25-40 should be reasonable. Obviously trying for the higher end first.

  14. mcBlunty says:
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    better long term keeper option Gerrit Cole or CC Sabathia

    rank the following – a chapman, o tavarres, j heyward, jackie bradley jr, j profar, c yelich, d gregorious

    i need to keep 3 to 4 of these guys in a long term keeper league

    thanks, appreciate the advice

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @mcBlunty: I’d prefer Cole over Sabathia there.

      In a long term keeper, I’d rank them: Profar, Tavares, Chapman, Heyward, Yelich, Gregorious, Bradley Jr. I’d really try to hang on to Profar, Tavares, Chapman, and Heyward.

  15. baby hippo says:
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    traded hamels for heyward.. needed hitting so good right?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @baby hippo: Yeah, I like it.

  16. Last of the Schmohicans says:
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    Iglesias part of the Peavy deal. Bogaerts on his way up?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Last of the Schmohicans: Yeah, I think so. He should be ML ready and could help the Sox win now…

  17. dont listen to the voices says:
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    Latos for Harvey straight up.. H2h league. Who are wins?

  18. Chicken Dinner says:
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    Avisail Garcia to the Pale Hoes. Thing they let him play? If so, Ruf, Marisnick, or Garcia ROS?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Chicken Dinner: I could be wrong, but I don’t think he’ll be up before September. I don’t trust his aggressive approach to be successful in the majors this year either. He could have a nice hot streak, but he could also have a Mark Reynolds type cold streak. I’d rank them Ruf, Marisnick, Garcia for this year.

  19. Papajeansegura says:
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    I’m the lucky guy who’s stuck with Bourn, Cruz, and Pujols, Bourn being the least of my problems. When do I drop Pujols and Cruz and who am I taking of waivers? (My league counts AVG., HRs, Runs, Steals, Hits, and RBIs)

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Papajeansegura: Ouch. Are guys like Nate Schierholtz, Leonys Martin, and Luke Scott available? Maybe Konerko is out there too. He’s been mediocre, but could be worth a gamble to see if he turns things around in the next week or so.

  20. Paz says:
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    how you like this trade:

    giving: Choo sandoval Markakis

    receiving: fielder Austin Jackson and Brett Gardner

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Paz: I love it. Seems like a great buy low on prince.

  21. MB says:
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    My team is shit, on offense.

    Is Morse and Aoki enough in return for Sale?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @MB: I’d want more than that. I don’t mind Aoki as one of two, but I’d want the other one to be better than Morse.

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