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Nick Swisher is one of those guys we love in OPS leagues. Yes, I will be referring to myself in the plural form. It’s easier to win arguments that way, no? Swisher’s been a flop so far this year, but the great thing is, like most politicians, he’s a flip-flopper. To put it less confusingly, I fully expect him to rebound. To put it more confusingly, read this while trying to spell Jeff Samardzija’s name aloud. Swisher has been one of the most consistent guys in OPS leagues and is a sure bet to produce an .800 OPS in a given year. He’s been slowed a bit by injury, but I expect around a .260/.360/.470 going forward. He’s been dropped in some leagues and, if he’s owned, his owner is likely willing to sell him at a discount. Let’s just say that I (we?) don’t think this is the year he collapses. Did I mention that the Chicago Blackhawks are awesome? Now I did. Anyway, here are some guys who have my attention in OPS leagues:

Nate Schierholtz – When I mentioned him a couple months ago, I said, “He’s worth picking up and is available in most leagues. If you don’t see him, try spelling his name again. And again… just to make sure. There’s no reason why he can’t produce an .800+ OPS for the rest of 2013. He’s better in daily leagues where you can bench him against lefties, like the Cubs generally do.” He’s currently rocking a .296/.347/.558 line and is probably available in your league. While he may not continue with his stellar production, I still believe he will have at least an .800 OPS going forward. Just make sure to bench him against lefties.

David Ortiz – It appears that my human sacrifice has continued to appease the OPS Shrine that I keep for Ortiz. Too bad the sacrifice was Jacoby Ellsbury’s power…

Anthony Rendon – Mr. Rendon has me giddy. I’d take the way over on Steamer’s .698 OPS rest of season projection, where “way over” translates to 100 points or so.

Neil Walker – Wait, a middle infielder who has produced an .848 OPS over the past month is getting dropped? Maybe people just don’t want to own him. Is the Pirates stigma still alive and well?

Nick Franklin – Why don’t I trust you, Nick? He’s exceeded my expectations so far and has the right pedigree, but I still have doubts about his ability to maintain his performance for the rest of 2013.

Norichika Aoki – Dude has been terrible over the past month, but his wife just had a baby. This is one of those rare times where I believe that an outside factor is clearly contributing to his struggles. I would buy low if possible.

Carlos Beltran – Maybe I’m being unfair, but he’s a sell high candidate in my mind. Don’t get me wrong – he’s been great, but I expect his production to come down a bit (either by getting tired or injured in the second half).

Yadier Molina – The only explanation is that he stole Paul Konerko’s bat this season. Now that’s not very nice, Yadier.

Adam LaRoche – He’s not a guy that I intended to champion this season, but dude gets no love. Since his abysmal April, he’s had a .900 OPS. Why he isn’t owned in 100% of leagues I’ll never understand, but you can probably get him at a discount.

Prince Fielder – He apparently skipped that every other year production pattern last season and is paying for it now.

Josh Donaldson – About a month ago, I optimistically projected an .810 OPS for the rest of the season for this third baseman. Since then he’s had an .805 OPS. Checkmate.

Josh Reddick – Like Grey, I think he should be owned in every league. He’s like a poor man’s version of Brandon Moss. That’s meant to be a compliment.

Tom Jacks is sporadically on Twitter @votetomjacks

95 Responses

  1. Thomas Mancini says:
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    Hey in a 6×6 Roto with OPS and QS pick a side – Cespedes and Matt Cain vs McCutchen and Joe Nathan. SB is biggest need. Thanks!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Thomas Mancini: I lean towards the Cutch side.

  2. Queso Grande says:
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    Thoughts?? My Cargo/Napoli/Pinedafor his Cutch/Posey/Cain

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Posey side

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Queso Grande: I prefer the Cutch side.

  3. TouchDownCityBaby! says:
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    Is Ortiz going to get busted for steroids? He’s just too good right now.

    Would you trade Scherzer and Hosmer for Pedroia and Cashner?

    Also, we need Iwakuma to be slurpy again.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @TouchDownCityBaby!: Haha who knows with Ortiz. I’m assuming he’s dabbled a bit in Ozzie Guillen’s black magic…

      Yeah, I’d do that trade. I think the hitter upgrade in Pedroia outweighs the SP downgrade.

      Iwakuma is a Fantasy MVP considering how cheap he came…

  4. Wheeler of Fortune says:
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    Should I drop Mark Reynolds to take a flier on Ike Davis?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Wheeler of Fortune: Yeah, Davis could turn things around like he did last year.

  5. bojangles mcgee says:
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    trade parra for reddick?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @bojangles mcgee: You’d get Reddick? Definitely.

      • bojangles mcgee says:
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        @Tom Jacks: yes i get reddick. do you see reddick putting up the second half numbers he did last year?

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @bojangles mcgee: I think he’ll approach his overall numbers from last year in the second half this year. Still would be a good improvement.

  6. Grey

    Grey says:
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    How was your trip?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Grey: Amazing. I met a ton of relatives for the first time who were very welcoming and showed us around La Paz, Bolivia. Beautiful land, great food, and nice people. Couldn’t ask for more. Thanks for asking.

      Have you ever been to South America?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Nope, but I’ve been south in America… If I go to Bolivia, I’m gonna look up the Jacks people, have them put me up…

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Grey: They definitely would. Mustaches are even more respected there…

          My wife’s from Colombia, so you’ve got another option too…

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I love Colombia’s outerwear.

            • Tom Jacks

              Tom Jacks says:
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              @Grey: I’m going to heckle Quintana with that line next time I see him.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Perfect!

  7. nathan says:
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    Would you trade brandon phillips for puig if you have rendon at 2nd?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @nathan: I’m not sure what to expect out of Puig just yet, but I’d do it if you needed OF/U help.

  8. hotjunk says:
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    awesome read as always.

    got ike stashed but swisher and moss available.

    swap for either or keep ike? thx

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @hotjunk: Thanks! I’d drop Ike for Moss right now.

  9. Lines says:
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    What are your thoughts on Hosmer in the 2nd half? Any chance the recent uptick in batting avg blossoms into a full-blown reason I shouldn’t drop the schmohawk?

    Also, any chance Beachy comes back 100% and dominates the after the break? ‘Cause that would be awesome. I’ve been holding him all year, but my DL is getting crowded. Side question: Can you hire a trainer for a fantasy team? I think I need one.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Lines: I don’t think I’m allowed to say what I think of Hosmer haha. I don’t expect him to completely turn it around, but he could be playable in the 2nd half.

      I expect big things from Beachy. Maybe not 100%, but 90% is a possibility in my mind.

      If by trainer, you mean BioGenesis consultant, then I could try to hook you up, but it’ll cost you…

  10. Brett says:
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    Would u trade Garza Latos and Markakis for McCutchen and Cahill? My SP would be Hamels, Santana, Price, Beachey, Ogando, Kendrick, and Santiago. Thanx.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Brett: Yes, I would. I like that you get Cutch, who is the best player in the deal.

  11. FillyP says:
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    Pardon my dumb, but does that mean Moss is a definite own over Reddick? I also have Willingham doing nothing but walks..

    Nice piece.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @FillyP: Yeah, I like Moss more than Reddick. I think Willingham will turn it around at some point and I’d take him over Reddick as well.

  12. bojangles mcgee says:
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    dickey just got dropped.. any chance he turns it around

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @bojangles mcgee: I think so. He’s definitely worth a pick up.

  13. Fister Furbush says:
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    Welcome back Tom! Hopefully you had some time to teach the Bolivans the righteousness of fantasy basbeball. I’ve made some changes to my team in the last month and I’d appreciate it if you’d grade my team in a h2h points league.

    c-Weiters
    1B-Encarnacion/Butler
    2B-Altuve/Aaron Hill… start hill from here on out if he shows that still has that awesome slg % ?
    3B- Beltre
    SS-Franklin/Tulo
    OF-Cargo
    OF-Stanton
    OF-Bruce
    UTIL-Puig

    SP-Gio Gonzalez
    Cole Hamels
    Johnny Cueto
    Patrick Corbin
    Yovanni Gallardo
    Zack Wheeler
    Gerrit Cole

    RP-Sergio Romo
    RP-Grant Balfour

    Top players in the FA pool
    HITTERS
    Aoki
    Parra
    Uggla
    Rendon

    PITCHERS:
    Maholm
    Wilhelmsen
    Peavy
    Burnett
    Cobb

    Move any of my guys to pick of any of these? Cole and (sadly) Butler would be the first to go IMO.

    Alright thanks for your time!

    FF

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Fister Furbush: Haha thanks FF!

      I like the team and don’t think I’d make any changes right now. I trust that Hill will come back strong, but if there are any significant setbacks, I’d grab Rendon.

  14. Rye or the Kaiser Soze says:
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    Hey Tom, nice article. I don’t think those of us in OPS leagues really think about it too much as most good hitters have good OPS, while the low average guys tend to have poor OPS. But there is definitely value to be had if you target the high BB guys (Swisher for example).

    Who would you say are some good buy low OPS targets? I’m in a 10 team so Swisher, Aoki, and Reddick are pretty blah and the Fielder owner ain’t sellin. Thanks.

  15. Malarkey says:
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    What are your thoughts on Braun? You think he comes back 100%?

    His thumb injury is in his right hand, so I don’t think it shouldn’t affect his swing too much

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Malarkey: I’m a bit worried. I don’t think he’ll be 100%. Maybe 85% or so?

  16. TheNewGuy says:
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    Wanna post this on here (partly because the pages much easier to load to my phone, but just wanna show my disgust at Kemps season so far. Know hes activated but im gonna keep him DL’d until he shows signs of life…thats what you call punishment Kemp!

    In fact we should have a glossary term for deliberately not activating a player right away off the DL because they stunk before it, anyone know if we have one?

    Until he outperfoms my 5th OF Myers hes staying there…could be a while! Or I make a transaction, probably tommorow then.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @TheNewGuy: Not sure if we have a term for that…

      Yeah, Kemp deserves punishment. And not the Rihanna kind…

  17. David says:
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    I have Jutsin Upton in an OBP and SLG 6×6, I’ve been offered Beltran (I’m set on speed, thanks to the razzball Segura article run in January). How far off is that deal? I’m dying for RBIs and it may just save my failing team.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @David: I wouldn’t do that deal. It’s tempting now, but I think you would really regret it at the end of the year.

  18. john says:
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    5×5 non ops twelve teamer trade Ryu straight up for Rizzo?

    • john says:
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      @john: I have gio kershaw Price greinke porcello Josh johnson and hellickson

      • Tom Jacks

        Tom Jacks says:
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        @john: Yeah, I’d absolutely do that deal. You are good in pitching without him.

        • john says:
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          @Tom Jacks: thanks tom. I’ve been asking around and people have said in a vacuum they think hjr has more value than rizzo. You think hjr is due for major regression? Or he’d be like a 7-7.5k/9 3.3 era kinda guy?

          • Tom Jacks

            Tom Jacks says:
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            @john: I think Ryu will regress a bit, but I would moreso do the deal because I think Rizzo will be much better for the rest of the season.

  19. Rudacious says:
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    Jed Lowrie or Nick Franklin for the next few weeks. Only that time. Who would you rather have?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Rudacious: For only the next few weeks, I’d rather have Franklin.

  20. stumanji says:
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    Need to make room for Kemp coming off the DL. Who do I drop out of Reddick, BJ Upton, or Kelly Johnson? Leaning towards KJ even though I know he’ll get scooped up; a few teams are hoarding all the MI so there are some very questionable players being started.

    OF (start 5): Adam Jones, Cruz, Puig, Fowler, Reddick, BJ Upton
    2B/MI: Phillips, Hill, Hanley, Rollins, KJ

    Was planning on making a 2 for 1 trade but Hill, Sandoval, and Kemp came off the DL in quick succession.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @stumanji: I agree with your idea of dropping KJ. You’re set at MI and I expect Hill to be solid.

  21. Alex says:
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    but do I go leonys over aoki? 7×7 with obp and slg

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Alex: I prefer Aoki slightly to Leonys. I wouldn’t drop Leonys though.

  22. JK says:
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    TJ, welcome back.

    I’ve been offered Latos for Donaldson and Wheeler.

    14-team mixed, Here’s my 1st and 3rd playerss: Rizzo(1st), Wright (3rd), Donaldson (1st/3rd), Dunn (Utility), C.Carter (Utility), A.Rod (DL).

    Donaldson has been special. Don’t want to give him up for free if he’s gonna keep it up and Wheeler has it in him to be a good as Latos ROS (minus the wins).

    What do you think? Thanks.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @JK: Thanks! I think Donaldson will be what he’s been the past month or so, which is a top 10 3B. I like Wheeler too and agree that I’d pass on the offer (though it’s not a bad one at all).

  23. lonestar says:
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    Another poor showing from Slick Rick. Rate ‘em:

    Porcello, Dempster, Jimenez, Cole

    Gracias!

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @lonestar: No problem – Cole, Porcello, Dempster, Jimenez.

  24. Bryan says:
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    Aramis droppable…have Donaldson and Rendon rostered?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Bryan: No, I wouldn’t drop Aramis.

      • Bryan says:
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        @Tom Jacks: ugh not really tradable either

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @Bryan: If it’s a redraft league, you might be able to trade Rendon for more than he’ll be worth this season.

  25. TheNewGuy says:
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    Offload Hamilton for Cuddyer?

    Look at their stats and its not all that crazy.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @TheNewGuy: I get what you’re saying, but I wouldn’t. I’d prefer to trade him for another struggling star, if possible.

      • TheNewGuy says:
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        @Tom Jacks: Any good names to target?

        I couldnt get Upton for him I wouldnt imagine.

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @TheNewGuy: Maybe Pujols, Kemp, or Reyes?

  26. Abdoozy says:
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    Swisher is a free agent in my league. 14 team 6×6 OPS h2h daily ESPN.
    Tempted to pick him up but not sure who if any I should drop:
    Lucroy, Napoli, Pujols, Franklin, Rollins, Rendon, RZimm, Jones, McLouth, Crisp, Moss.
    Worked out well so far, I’m in first place, but my avg and OPS are really struggling this year (10th and 11th, I’m top 4 in all other categories). I’ve been benching Rollins and Napoli a lot lately, the former because Franklin has been fine, the latter because Moss has faced a string of righties.

    Stand pat or drop someone for Swish? Those mutton chops are so seductive.

    • Abdoozy says:
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      @Abdoozy: Forgot to include Cuddyer in that list. No, I’m not dropping him.

      • Tom Jacks

        Tom Jacks says:
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        @Abdoozy: Yeah, I wouldn’t tell you to drop Cuddyer.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Abdoozy: I’d prefer Swisher to McLouth. Those mutton chops will carry your team.

  27. Abdoozy says:
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    Speaking of Rendon, what is it that so many fanball experts have against him? You can certainly do worse at 2B this season (and believe me, I have).

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Abdoozy: Some experts are skeptical of all rookies. I generally am, but Rendon is an elite prospect who breezed through the minor leagues. Health is the question about him, not talent.

  28. harkrider says:
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    Drop Ryu for Jarrod Parker? Melancon or Axford?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @harkrider: No, I’d prefer Ryu to those guys.

      • harkrider says:
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        @Tom Jacks: sorry, those were 2 questions. Do you like melancon or axford ROS

        • Tom Jacks

          Tom Jacks says:
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          @harkrider: Melancon mainly because I don’t trust Axford.

  29. Andrew says:
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    Josh Donaldson vs. Yovani Gallardo vs. Chris Tillman

    What order ya got?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Andrew: You have the right order.

  30. Ron says:
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    Holliday or Kemp ROS?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Ron: I might look crazy, but I’ll say Kemp. I believe he will turn it around soon.

  31. Thorbs says:
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    Great article, man…picked up Schierholtz on your recommendation a while back and have been riding him against righties ever since with another tater from him tonight!

    Quick Q – been offered J-Up and Cole or J-Up and Sano for Braun in a deep keeper OPS league. Thoughts?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Thorbs: Thanks and I’m glad he’s been helping you out!

      I like the J-Up and Cole offer. It’s tough parting with Braun, but that’s a solid offer, especially given the circumstances.

  32. Fireball Feliz says:
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    Drop Rutledge for Walker? Need homers, hits, and RBI’s, less runs and sb

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Fireball Feliz: Yeah, that makes sense given your situation.

  33. JoeG414 says:
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    S.Smith, Viciedo or JD Martinez. Got to cut one with Reyes coming back. The other two will share a OF spot until Braun comes back. Deep mixed daily roto.
    Other Option FA’ s are Blanks, Stubbs or Kubel . Are they better?
    P.S. I see that Ackley got called up to play the OF. Maybe a good under the rader bench OF?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @JoeG414: I’d cut Viciedo and Martinez. Then pick up Blanks.

      I’m skeptical of Ackley this year, but it’s certainly worth keeping an eye on in case things click for him.

  34. TheNewGuy says:
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    Pick one OF to package with Zimm to upgrade to Longo (got too many OFs now):

    Puig
    Myers
    D Brown
    A Jax
    Kemp

    Tempted to offer Puig but something crazy inside me says he’ll continue to outproduce Kemp, is that possible? Otherwise Id be willing to lose any but Jones and probably Brown.

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @TheNewGuy: I’d actually include Brown. The other owner would probably be high on him and I expect him to regress. I really don’t know yet what to expect of Puig.

  35. Tio says:
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    TJ – At what point do we start to consider that the shoulder injury to Swisher is likely causing the problems? He has been awful…and having watched a lot of Indians games, I think that he is hurt which is limiting his ability to lift the ball. Thoughts?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Tio: I think that is was certainly contributing to the problem, but I am confident that the recent week of rest will help him turn things around.

  36. DJK says:
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    I have Rendon at 2nd after dropping Prado, but Franklin and LeMahieu are available. Who do you like for the rest of the season overall?

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @DJK: I prefer Rendon.

  37. Principle Blackman says:
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    Hey Tom, would you drop Reddick for either Fowler or Swisher in a Yahoo 12-team 6×6 (ops) league? Fowler would require a bid, and I’m working with 39 bucks for the rest of the season, but Swisher could be picked up for free. Is there someone else you would drop instead of Reddick? I can pick up the most ground in HRs and OPS. Here are the rest of my hitters:

    C Sal Perez
    1b Goldy
    2b Pedroia
    ss Segura
    3b Beltre
    of Adam Jones, Cespedes, Aoki
    util Rizzo, Frazier
    bn Starlin Castro, Reddick

    • Tom Jacks

      Tom Jacks says:
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      @Principle Blackman: Hey PB – I’d drop Reddick for Swisher there. Good luck!

      • Principle Blackman says:
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        @Tom Jacks:

        Thanks a bunch. I’m going to do that.

  38. ChrisbCream says:
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    Is this the right order?
    Swisher, Moss, Reddick, LoMo, Carter, Blanks
    Love me some 1B/OF
    OBP, 14 team
    This Gnarly Head is very drinkable!

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