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For the first three months that Mike Moustakas was in the majors last year, he hit .232 with one home run through 250 ABs.  Major league pitching looked all Greek to Moustakas.  Hehe.  Speaking of which, “hehe” is giggling like a schoolgirl, so shouldn’t it be sheshe?  On a side side note, if I opened up a Greek restaurant I’d call it, You’re My Gyro.  Or maybe The Greatest American Gyro.  I have time to decide since I don’t have any plans to open a Greek restaurant.  My suggestion to make Moustakas feel more comfortable last year was for the Royals to hand out bottles of tahini and have their fans squirt each other in the face after a home run.  Don’t think they listened to me, but something put Moustakas at ease.  In September, he hit .352 with 4 home runs.  Looked like the guy who hit 10 homers in Triple-A in only 55 games and 36 homers between Double- and Triple-A the year before.  If he would’ve hit only 2 homers in each of the other three months he was in the majors, he would’ve had 10 homers in half of a season and we’d be talking about how he could hit 25 next year.  And if I had three legs I’d be unbeatable if the word “tripod” came up in charades.  So obviously these hypotheticals aren’t doing us much good with Moustakas, but I just wanted to illustrate how quickly perception can change.  So what can we expect of Mike Moustakas for 2012 fantasy baseball and what makes him a keeper?

For whatever reason, when Moustakas starts playing at a new level of pro ball his OBP looks as appetizing as Miso Mayo.  Last year in the majors his OBP was .309.  First year at Triple-A his OBP was .314, then he followed that up with .347.  Maybe he gets excited as all get out and forgets to wait for his pitch.  Shine a flashlight on the plate so he can focus his attention.  Not many of youse play in leagues with OBP, but I point this out because, “First comes the good OBP, then comes the power, then comes the women,” as the mashup of Moneyball and Scarface character, Billy Beanface, would say.  It’s only natural if Moustakas is feeling more comfortable than he’ll hit better.  Usually I’ll look at a last month of the season as just a month, but maybe that was Moustakas getting comfortable.  He did have some luck with his BABIP, but that was just evening out his miserable luck from earlier in the year, so .270ish looks completely doable.  His September HR/FB% of 10.8 looks repeatable, but to be conservative let’s say he’s around a three homer/month guy, giving him a line around 60/20/80/.270/4.  Considering how weak 3rd base is, I’d definitely keep Moustakas on teams and diner menus.

71 Responses

  1. For keeps, pick 2: Moose, Goldschmidt, Chisenhall? $260 cap, $5 base +$3/yr for every year beyond the first extended.

  2. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    “You’re my Gyro”!!CLASSIC!

    I think any employees would be required to have a mustache (obviously…), white wife beater with a ridiculous amount of chest hair. Gold “jesus” chain, and some slicked back hair.

  3. BrewFreeOrDie says:
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    I think I’d opt for “Did You Ever Know That You’re My Gyro?” but it might be a little long to catch on. I’m still trying to figure out which rookie/sleeper sophomores to get baited on, but I think Moose is up there. I also love the nickname, but every time I look at his last name all I can see is “moustache”.

  4. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @MStark: Moose, Goldschmidt…

    @The Talented Mr. Dope Man: Thanks! I like your additions too. Be cool if they were fake mustaches and fake chest hair on the teenagers that were forced to work there but weren’t able to grow hair.

    @BrewFreeOrDie: Or Show Me Gyro Named Busta, but might be a little too obscure.

  5. Yankees Suck Farm System says:
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    16 team H2H
    12 keepers
    Who do I throw away? Who do I package in trade
    Carlos Santana Eric Hosmer Paul Goldschmidt Dustin Ackley Jimmy Rollins Mike Moustakas Pedro Alvarez Cameron Maybin Logan Morisson Mike Stanton Jacoby Ellsbury Bryce Harper Mariano Rivera Clayton Kershaw David Price.
    I made one dumb trade due to a man crush on Morisson where I threw Cuddyer who will have a great year and Sheilds who is great but not as good as good as the others here. I also have Jordan Zimmerman Jeremy Hellickson and colby lewis but keeping pitchers who arent top 30 doesnt make much sense

  6. AdamH says:
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    Grey, have you formed an opinion on Liriano for 2012?

  7. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Yankees Suck Farm System: So 12 keepers out of 15 guys? Don’t keep Alvarez, Maybin or coin flip Morrison and Mo…

    @AdamH: Wouldn’t go near him…

  8. royce! says:
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    Rizzo’s a Cub, Cashner’s a Padre. Not really stoked on this one. SD need pitching all of a sudden?

    Cool from a fantasy perspective, though. Rizzo’s worth a lot more in Chicago and Cashner benefits greatly, too.

  9. Scalez says:
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    LOL @ Moneyball/Scarface Mashup.

    As the “other” Billy Bean would say, “no women, no kids.”

  10. HOLLA(R) says:
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    @Grey: My concern with stats from September is that, with the expanded active roster size, a lot of teams were using players who don’t really belong in the majors quite yet, which can inflate numbers for the month.

  11. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    @royce!: I think Cashner will be great. Not sure about Rizzo, but Theo’s the Cubs GM now, and he’s the one who traded him to SD (from Boston). So he must like him, and he’ll get full at bats.

  12. royce! says:
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    @HOLLA(R): I think the change from earlier in the season to September is too drastic to be explained by his facing weaker pitching. Also, I don’t think he did: his 4 HR came off Slowey, Humber, Pavano, and Stewart. None of them were called up in September.

    The more likely scenario is that he came around to being able to face major league pitching.

  13. royce! says:
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    @The Talented Mr. Dope Man: The wacky thing is that Theo traded him to Hoyer, and now they’re both in CHI. Now they can both have him. So cute.

  14. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    @royce!: the only pitcher there that is even semi-good is humber… doesn’t help the argument much.

  15. Padres have Yonder Alonso. Alonso is a much better hitter, so you might as well trade Rizzo just so you don’t distract or piss of Alonso. Rizzo was such a weak base in his lower body it destroys all of the quick bat speed he is able to generate. He seriously looks like he is going to screw himself into the ground on some swings, the website link above has a good example at 0:21.

  16. Regurgitating Gordon Wood(got tired of ltf) says:
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    oh the links are in your name? better make sure I delete so people don’t think I am in love with Blake Beavan’s MLB debut!

  17. royce! says:
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    @The Talented Mr. Dope Man: Yes, but none of them were September callups, and one doesn’t have to be hitting HR against the top pitchers in baseball to be a good player. FWIW, Pavano had an ERA under 3 for September, including a 5 hit shutout against the Royals to end the month (two of the hits were Moustakas’). I’m not saying that he would have been as good if he played a bunch of games against Verlander and CC, but I don’t think his improvements were due to a decrease in the competition from teams calling up people.

  18. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    @royce!: I see what you’re saying… To be honest, I’m not a Moustakas fan for this year. Maybe because the players in my league really hyped him up, and i already know he is overvalued… (Dude in my league offered my Moustakas for Andrew Bailey, which i immediately denied [12 tm AL only}).

  19. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    * Sorry – the dude offered me moustakas for MY andrew Bailey.

  20. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    Fellas – seems like a slow day, felt like talking about some of my off-season moves. Check me out:

    12 Team AL Only Auction league: we keep 15 players at a $260 cap.

    I started with this:

    C – JP Arencibia $2
    C – Salvador Perez – $4
    1b – Teixeira – $36 (had to drop him, contract expired)
    2b – Kelly Johnson – $18 (inherited him when A Hill got traded, assigned dollar value based off CBS auction Value)
    3b – Adrian Beltre – $15
    SS – Asdrubal Cabrera – $17
    MI – Eduardo Nunez – $10
    CI – Nick Swisher – $23
    OF – Bobby Abreu – $21
    OF – Joey Bats – $20
    OF – Brett Gardner – $31
    OF – Sean Rodriguez – $6
    OF – Vernon Wells – $20
    DH – Youkilis – $39

    P – Andrew Bailey – $16
    P – Jeremy Hellickson – $5
    P – Brandon League – $10
    P – Alexi Ogando – $10
    P – Felipe Paulino – $3
    P – Michael Pineda – $17
    P – Mariano Rivera – $42
    P – Ervin Santana – $19
    P – Jered Weaver – $29

    This team came in 1st place in my league, i had to trade away all of my young talent (Desmond Jennings, Jesus Montero, Lonnie Chisenhall, etc…) to get Rivera, Weaver, and Teix at the end of the year to secure the victory. Anyway, now in order to turn in my protected list, i had to get down to 15 players and under $260.

    I made the following moves:

    Trade #1
    I gave:
    Brett Gardner $31, Kelly Johnson $18, and Nick Swisher $23

    I get:
    Derek Holland $9 and Mike Carp $10

    Trade #2
    I gave:
    Ervin Santana $19 and Jered Weaver $29

    I get:
    Carlos Santana $2

    I then dropped Youkilis $39 , Teixeira (expired), Wells $20, Rivera $42, Paulino $3, and Abreu (who cares).

    My current team is:

    C – JP Arencibia $2
    C – Salvador Perez – $4
    1b – Carlos Santana $2
    2b – Sean Rodriguez $6
    3b – Adrian Beltre – $15
    SS – Asdrubal Cabrera – $17
    MI – Eduardo Nunez – $10
    CI – Joey Bats $20
    OF – Mike Carp $10
    OF –
    OF –
    OF –
    OF –
    DH –

    P – Andrew Bailey – $16
    P – Jeremy Hellickson – $5
    P – Brandon League – $10
    P – Alexi Ogando – $10
    P – Michael Pineda – $17
    P – Derek Holland $9
    P –
    P –
    P –

    Leaving me $107 left for 8 players (13.375 per player).

    Thoughts? I’m already concerned about my batting average and stolen bases.

  21. JIm says:
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    Have Brett Jackson in a Dynasty league, do you think he has any chance of securing a starting job out of spring training. How many retread interchangeable outfielders are the Cubs going to hold onto? Sticking pins in my Marlon Byrd voodoo doll as we speak.

  22. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @The Talented Mr. Dope Man: Not crazy about your current team, but you have money to still get some players, depending on who is available. You’re spending way too much on relievers too.

    @JIm: Pretty far on the outside looking in right now.

  23. Ned Shakeshaft says:
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    @The Talented Mr. Dope Man:

    I’m an AL-only auction vet so I’ll take a stab.

    First thing I see is your C/1B situation. Santana has the most value to you in your C slot. Going into the auction with Santana in your 1B slot has basically the same effect as making Sal Perez your 1B. Looking at it that way, you’d probably agree you can’t do that.

    I would try and trade Perez. He’s not nearly as good as his 2011 numbers. Seeing how much talent you have on your roster, one or more of the other 11 teams will look at Perez as a guy to take a chance on and build around.

    I would also look to trade Sean Rod and Nunez. They’re overpriced, especially considering neither is guaranteed a f/t job. I’d rather take a $1 guy at 2B and/or MI and spend the savings reacquiring Teixeira or a similar banger for your 1B slot.

    Not sure about Carp at $10 unless you don’t expect there to be a lot of OF talent available at the draft. He does qualify at 1B, too, so there’s that.

    I’ve always found that speed goes for too much in auctions, so if you can get your hands on a decent-priced burner with one or more of these guys go for it. I would also look for an anchor-type pitcher to replace Weaver, though I wouldn’t panic about that because you’ve got several #2 types which is the next-best thing.

    Finally, and I’m assuming your league is 5×5, there’s no way I’d keep Bailey at $16 (too injury-prone) or League at $10 (risk to be traded to the NL or to an AL-club to become a set-up guy).

  24. SteveOhhh says:
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    Better keeper for standard 5×5 auction league: Fielder @ $25 or Hosmer @ $10……other keepers are J. Upton ($14), Jennings ($10), Verlander ($22), Jesus Montero ($5), Cano ($29)

  25. chata says:
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    @The Talented Mr. Dope Man:

    my 1st reaction is to ask how the heck are you going to get any decent
    outfielders for $13 ?

    and you need 4 of them .

    i think that you’re royally screwed ,
    but a lot of it might depend on the level of competition in your league .

  26. chata says:
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    @The Talented Mr. Dope Man:

    maybe it’s not as bad as i originally had thought .
    you do have bautista .
    still , you have to worry about coming up with 5 hitters that have
    close to full-time jobs .

  27. Tony says:
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    @chata: haha thats the average he “should/could” spend if he evenly divided his cash. Say Carl Crawford was available he could shell out $39 on him possibly? And another $40 on another guy then he’d have to find some bargains and a few $1-3 blue chippers at the end.

    He should be fine. Just figuring out who is available etc is key.

  28. Wake Up says:
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    Maybe off topic. Re:Smoking…My New Year’s Resolution has not been going that well. It has not been as easy as I thought it would be to start smoking. It’s been almost 6 full days now and it doesn’t seem to be taking. I still don’t really like the taste and it seems to be making be cough up strange colors. Anyway, maybe if I keep at it. Good luck with your resolutions!

  29. royce! says:
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    @Wake Up: Ha! We should probably trade resolutions…

  30. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @SteveOhhh: Fielder

    @Wake Up: Try cloves or other flavored cigarettes that the kids start with.

  31. chata says:
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    @Tony:

    understand what you’re saying about the money .

    this is a 12 team , A.L. only league , and , with 180 keepers already gone , am wondering how many outfielders with (close to) full-time jobs are left
    in the pool .

    heck …. can anyone , here , even identify 60 american league-only outfielders ?
    i’d be hard-pressed to name half that many !

    pretty sure that crawford is not going to be available .
    but , yeah , go get bret gardner back , ‘cuz morse is your # 1 ,
    and you don’t even have a # 2 .

  32. Elwood blues says:
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    Better trade return: Harper/Rizzo or Harper/Presley… NL only keeper league

  33. Terrence Mann says:
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    I want to open a rice noodle joint: Get Rich or Thai Tryin

  34. Terrence Mann says:
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    I think it’s gonna be tough to draft a team of pitchers from the NL West. The Giants whole staff gets taken early, Latos is gone, guys are arguing whether Luebke should go before Pineda, and Kennedy and Hudson are going early. Plus, who knows about Kuroda?

  35. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Terrence Mann: You’re gonna get us Sioux’d by Fiddy. There seems to always be hodgepadres available. Latos isn’t in the NL West anymore.

  36. Terrence Mann says:
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    If you can win after drafting Stauffer and Moseley, Ill be impressed.

    When I said Latos is gone, meant to the Reds. Dusty’s already got him penciled in for 280 innings.

  37. nyydj2 says:
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    I want to open a dyke bar and call it Lets Be Friends, the T is silent.

  38. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Terrence Mann: re: Latos — Ah, gotcha. Don’t forget about Edinson Volquez.

    @nyydj2: Ha!

  39. chata says:
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    @ Steve :

    this has nothing to do , whatsoever , that , going into last season , i was the manager of the defending champs ,

    nor , that , in this 14 team league , you took over a last place team that was SO far out of the picture that other owners had probably thought that your team had been “contracted” before the season even began .

    nope .

    instead , this has everything to do with me being , far and away , a much superior pitching coach/manager than you .

    Earned Run Average Tiebreaker

    chatas
    3.63930723
    Plucky Kiwis
    3.64056338

    na na na na na na .
    haha haha .
    (and all that other bull-shizz , including “when are you going to learn how to play this game ?”)

    anywho , i’m hoping that your vacation has turned pleasant and sunny , because i am already making plans to continue raining on your parade during the 2012 season .

  40. Terrence Mann says:
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    How bout I serve sushi, too, and call it Get Fish or Thai Trying? No way I lose that lawsuit.

  41. Steve says:
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    @chata: Funny you should say that. It rained almost every day. And now I’m home it’s raining here too.

    I’m fully expecting another tough season, but with absolutely no restrictions or penalties as to how long guys can be kept, it’s not that easy to improve.

  42. Steve says:
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    Forgot to tick the damn ‘Notify me’ box.

  43. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Terrence Mann: As long as you leave the ‘G’ on trying, you’ll be fine.

  44. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    am too impatient to wait .

    what round would you draft moore ,
    and what round would you draft pineda ??

    thanking you , in advance .

    p.s. am not sure if you remember what i told you about his growth spurt ,
    but am hoping that pineda is not being assisted by illegal drugs , and that he is , indeed , 22 years old , and that this spurt is ‘normal’ .

  45. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @chata: Depends on how many teams… Around 150 and 70th overall…

  46. Lance Berkman says:
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    You should do a sleeper post for me because you’ll doubt me again, you followers will ignore me again…and I’ll rake again while you spend the entire season waiting for the bottom to drop out. Therefore, I’ll be a sleeper again. Keep sleepin’ on me and I’ll keep reminding you that I’m here!

  47. Wake Up says:
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    Djust tried a Djarum! I can see Prince enjoying these in between Baba ghanoush sessions. I’m definitely feeling cooler, hip even. Hopefully ghanna catch on before I turn into a “Skinny Bitch.”

  48. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Wake Up: Try it in a hookah, will blow your mind. Try bubble gum flavor. All the fun of chewing gum and smoking.

  49. Wake Up says:
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    @Grey: Will do. Oh and speaking of Skinny bitches…What’s the deal with “Silence of the Commies” up in Chitown?

  50. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Wake Up: Not following…Who?

  51. polczek5 says:
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    10 team 5×5 keeper (keep 7). got to choose 1 of:
    VMart, Phillips, and Konerko

    Leaning toward VMart. I expect at least a couple of decent 2Bs to be available in the draft (e.g., Zobrist) and I have a hard time believing that Konerko isn’t going to totally loose it soon. At the same time, I’m afraid VMart is only going to contribute in average and don’t generally like keeping catchers (although the DH role helps).

  52. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    saw an advertising blurb , the other day , for a new show on the food network .
    this show is to feature some sort of competition between rachel ray and
    guy fieri ….. it may even be some sort of team competition .

    i , for one , am not going to watch it , ‘cuz i think that rachel ray is one of the cheapest bitches that i have ever seen .

    i caught a couple of her shows , where she tries to do denver , or , seattle ,
    or , portland , or , whatever …. on $40 a day … (breakfast/lunch/dinner) .

    besides her “fantastic” advice of asking a local (on the street) where to eat ,
    when visiting a city for the 1st time , this nit-wit has the audacity to walk into an establishment , order one crepe (with house special mango salsa , “that they make fresh here everyday”) ,
    a 3 ounce glass of “delicious” orange juice , a piece of wheat toast with complimentary jam , and a glass of water …which brings her bill to $3.84 …
    so that she can leave a tip of 58 freaking cents .
    and all the while , chatting up the waitress as if they were best friends .

    sometimes , on those “special” trips she’ll even bring along her husband , …(there’s another winner for ya) and enjoy a specialty cheese platter , a huge garden salad and even their own entrees .
    not ONCE , have i ever seen them splurge for so much as a $6 tip for their
    lavish dinner for 2 , that often features music played by local artists , and a complimentary “lovers” cocktail or dessert .

    screw her .

  53. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @chata: HA! Wow, that was one of your best rants to date.

  54. sandles says:
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    @chata
    The Rachel Ray vs Guy Fieri competition started last Sunday.
    It’s two teams of four(so called celebrities)…
    Aaron Carter was the first to be eliminated!

  55. Jobanian says:
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    Grey, 7×7 H2H dynasty league (extra categories are Strikeouts and Total Bases + L’s and Holds). My batting and pitching both need help. Have Matt Moore but other team is shopping Jesus Montero and is asking for Moore. Who would you rather have? thanks.

  56. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    with the mariners signing SP iwakuma ,
    and maybe getting SS kawasaki ,
    to go along with OF’ers suzuki and chiang ,
    you might have to move north
    in order to get the best sushi on the left coast .

  57. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Jobanian: Prefer Montero if he has catcher eligibility. If not, Moore…

    @chata: They supposedly have great sushi already.

  58. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    @Ned Shakeshaft: Thanks man for the insight. In our league the salaries are pretty ridiculous. Closers will usually go for 30+ (regardless of who they are). Perfect example, last year Fernando Rodney and Jake McGee went for 20+. I’m definitely going to try to acquire some speed. Now that i have some good contracts to work with, it should be a little easier.

  59. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    @chata: Ha i know Chata, i’m hoping that my leaugemates have to bust their loads on overpriced infielders (since I have all of my slots full). That will lead me with some decent #3 OF’s to fill my roster.

    I usually hate having to draft a lot of any one position. but atleast OF has the most available players.

  60. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    @Tony: I think that’s my exact game plan. Ellsbury, gardner, Ichiro, Rios, and Pierre will be available. So i’ll focus on getting one of those guys (hopefully not pierre), and then fill my roster with upside young players. Since i’m pretty much covered on the “power” factor i can focus on young players that will hit for a decent average. I’m waiting for the rankings come out so i can identify how many steals i’ll actually need. I’m hoping Nunez and A-Cab can get me 30+ each (which i know is a longshot).

    Thanks for the insight guys, i really appreciate it.

    @Grey: man, i’m dissapointed that you don’t like the team. Hopefully once you’re rankings come out i can grab a few players you got a better feeling about. I followed your advice pretty heavily last year, and you won me the title. greatly appreciated man!

  61. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    @Grey: yeah. I actually feel pretty confident about that team. If Bailey and league were available via the auction in april, bailey would go for 35+ and league 30+. Goes to show you how different every FFB league is.

  62. The Talented Mr. Dope Man says:
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    FBB*

  63. chata says:
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    @The Talented Mr. Dope Man:

    seems like you’re going to have to grab coco “crips” this year ,
    hope he stays healthy ,
    and isn’t too pizzy about not playing for the giants this year .

    though i suspect the 12 mil might go a long ways towards improving
    his attitude .

  64. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @The Talented Mr. Dope Man: It wouldn’t make me feel confident because my league overpaid by closers by twofold. I’d trade Bailey and League to someone for a $35 or $30 hitter.

  65. Wake Up says:
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    “Silence of the Commies” = Starlin Castro

    Chata you hit RR on the head! Now please hit her in the head!

  66. Rob says:
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    which one of these keepers would you go with – will be kept for 3 years

    1. Gio Gonzalez (would cost me my 11th round pick in this years draft)
    2. Michael Morse 1B, OF (13th round pick)
    3. Mike Moose (15th round pick)
    4. Drew Stubbs OF (8th Round pick)
    5. Mike Napoli C (9th round Pick)
    6. BJ Upton OF (4th round pick)
    7. Adam Lind 1B, OF (14th round pick)

    Tough call deciding who i wanna be stuck with the next 3 years. Leaning Morse, but like you said we may have already seen his best.

    Appreciate the help, starting reading last year and won both leagues! Despite drafting Liriano as a top 10 pitcher ;)

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