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It’s gotta be tough having the same name as a famous person. You’re some how indirectly responsible for whatever they’re doing, or have ever done. I can relate, for mine is the same as world renowned fashion designer Ralph Lauren. Well, at least his government name. So perhaps that’s my bias when rooting for Astros outfield prospect Derek Fisher. I feel his pain… While sharing a name with the former Lakers point guard turned homewrecker isn’t what it used to be. He’s got to be sick to death of silly puns like my title, Amirite?  Celebrity names aside, Fisher has been one of the best performers in the minors this season. He’s in the midst of a 16 game hitting streak, that’s seen him slash .394/.429/.712 with 5 homers, and 2 steals. An Astros outfield that once seemed so hard to crack doesn’t seem so insurmountable. Make no mistake that last statement has as much to do with Fisher, as it does anyone else’s lack of production. Since first being promoted to AAA on August 7th of last season, Fisher’s numbers are eye-popping. Over his first 52 AAA games the outfielder is slashing .309/.373/.547 with 13 homers, 9 steals, and an 8.3% walk rate. That’s not to say there aren’t some flaws, he’s always struck out around 25% of the time, and he’s not the most efficient basestealer either. So it wouldn’t surprise me if he struckout over 25% of the time in the majors, and saw his steal totals capped around 10-12 per season. But that’s not why I’m excited, it’s the fact that Fisher seems to be getting better. Following  a roughish start to 2016 in AA, Fisher was promoted to Fresno as a challenge last season, and he rose to the occasion. I think he can be a very ownable outfielder in 12 team mixed leagues, if he finds himself seeing a majority of the starts in Houston this summer. Expect a .270ish average 20+ home run pop, and some steals mixed in. He’s an exciting player, and one that should be owned in all leagues with prospects or minor leagues of any kind. Here’s who else is making noise in the MiLB.

 

  • I love Jon Duplantier, he’s definitely one of my favorite breakout pitchers of the early going. Friday night he moved to 3-0 going 5 scoreless innings, allowing 2 hits, 1 walk, and striking out 8. His K/9 now sits at 11.8, while his Bb/9 is at 1.9. That’s beautiful work coming from the Diamondbacks 3rd rounder. He’s got the size and the arm, but the murky injury history is a concern. He’s only a couple of strong starts away from a promotion.
  • The 3rd overall pick, in the soon to be legendary 2015 draft, Brendan Rodgers has been on fire in his High A debut. He got a late start due to a hand injury, but it doesn’t seem to be effecting him. He’s in the midst of an 11 game hitting streak, while slashing .387/.413/.600 on the season. Only 2 homers so far, and I’d like to see a little more power, but it’s too early to worry about that. He ranked 7th in my pre-season Top 100, and he’s probably still around the same spot.
  • In a rare occurrence these days, former top pitching prospect Lucas Giolito flashed some of his fleeting potential last night. He tossed 6 strong innings of 2 run ball, allowing 4 hits, 2 walks, and striking out 5. It’s been a rough go of it in 2017 for the righty, as his ERA now stands at 6.55. He’s like a completely different player from the guy we saw two years ago.
  • A former high school teammate of Giolito’s at Harvard-Westlake, is headed in the opposite direction. At the moment there are few pitchers hotter than the Cardinals Jack Flaherty. Through 7 starts he’s 6-0 with a 0.99 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 8.9 K/9, and an elite 1.1 Bb/9. The 21 year old righty has prototypical size at 6-4, 205, and his pinpoint control, and command are his calling card. His arsenal is comprised of a low to mid 90’s fastball, an above average slider, plus changeup, and an average curve, that’s more effective against lefties. Profiles as a solid and safe mid-rotation type.
  • Don’t call it a comeback, Dylan Cozens has hit 3 homers in his past two games, including consecutive walk-off jobs. He’s a big man with a lot of power, and Philly has no reason to not call up Cozens sometime this summer to see what he can do. He’ll hit some homers, steal some bases, and kill your average.
  • Was great to see Ian Happ get the surprise callup, and slam a homer in his debut. He’s continued his assault on the PCL since coming off the DL last Sunday, going 10 for 20 with 8 RBIs, raising his average to .298. I love Happ, and pray he’s traded to a team with an open place in the everyday lineup , preferably an AL team with a good hitting environment.
  • A great follow on twitter is CJ Wittmann @CJWittJr, he’s a northeast scout, and has some great reports. This week he took in the Erick Fedde vs Justus Sheffield dual in Trenton. He came away impressed with Fedde, saying he could get swings and misses on his slider whenever, describing it as 81-86 with tilt and hard bite. His fastball was 95 even in the 6th inning with heavy sink. He seemed less impressed with Justus Sheffield describing him as tiring as the game wore on, losing velocity on his fastball, and elevating many of his pitches.
  • My 53rd overall prospect Triston McKenzie whiffed a career high 14 in his start Wednesday. His K/9 is now 12.25 on the season, with a 1.95 ERA, and he’s not even getting lucky, his strand rate is 68%. He’s got three plus pitches in his fastball, curveball, and changeup, and throws them all from a big downhill plane. His long lanky frame is reminiscent of a Stretch Armstrong doll. He’s still just 19, and looks like he could touch the major leagues late in 2018. There’s ace upside here.
  • Saw an interesting stat on twitter from Eric Longenhagen regarding Brendan McKay Louisville’s star hitter and pitcher. Much debate has followed McKay regarding what route he pursues in the pros. Well let the following be a knock toward those of us believing in the bat. Vs. ACC opponents, or conference games, McKay has a .188 ISO with 3 homers in 103 plate appearances, while in Non-Conference games McKay has a .519 ISO, with 12 homers, in 102 plate appearances. This is significant because non-conference games are played during the week, where teams aren’t starting their best pitchers. So the stat implies he’s beating up on poor pitching. Still not swaying me from wanting McKay to go the hitter route.
  • So far in 2017 it’s more of the same from Michael Kopech really. Lots of K’s, lots of walks, and lots of talk. He’s gone 6 innings in his last 3 starts, allowing a total of four runs over that span. At the moment Kopech isn’t ready to start in the majors, and he won’t be until he dials back the walks a little.
  • I suppose he’s no longer a prospect, and this is technically major league shizz, but Jose Berrios was actually really good yesterday. He went 7 2/3rds, allowing 1 run, 2 hits, a walk, while striking out 4. I’m sure he’s owned most places, and he’s not really a hold in RCLs…..yet.
  • Dodgers first base prospect Edwin Rios remains one of the most slept on hitters in the minors. He’s slashing .331/.356/.551 with 6 homers, and 29 RBIs in 32 games. He’s not one for approach, but he hits the ball hard, and he makes lots on contact. He’s widely available in lots of leagues, I think he’s worth a flier.
  • In other news Dave Dombrowski’s awful decision-making hangs over my head like a halo of shame. It’s bad enough that Travis Shaw is going ham and cheese hot pocket. But Mauricio Dubon is back to the batting average and steals guy he always was. He actually leads all of AA at the moment with 18 steals. I’m not sure where he gets everyday playing time, but if he finds some time in Milwaukee, he’ll be a great source of steals, as the Brewers like to run.
  • The Padres Luis Urias is the hit tool king of the minors right now, he has to be. He’s hitting .333/.430/.500 as a 19 year old in AA. His walk rate (14.5%) is higher than his strikeout rate (11.2%), and he’s been hitting for more power this year. You have to figure, a player with a bat this advanced at such a young age, has the ability to tap into some power between now and his peak years. He’ll definitely be in my next top 100.
  • San Francisco first base prospect Chris Shaw snapped a 7 game hit streak with an 0 for 3 showing. Shaw’s not one of my favorite prospects so I rarely cover him. I just can’t get that gassed about a power hitting San Francisco spec. Doesn’t matter because he’s been excellent this season slashing .311/.419/.515 with 4 homers. I think he’s a major leaguer, maybe a second division regular type, but a major leaguer.

Follow me on Twitter @Ralphlifshitzbb, and check out my weekly Live Baseball Show on Fantrax YouTube channel Tuesday’s at 9 PM EST

Going to a minor league game? Lend a hand to our crowd sourced scouting project. Simply take a quick 30 second video of an at bat and email it to me at [email protected]ball.com.

   
  1. Al Koholic says:
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    Great stuff love the rookie nookie

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Al Koholic: Thank Al!

  2. Marti says:
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    Thoughts on alex verdugo

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Marti: Very advanced contact hitter for his age, hasn’t hit for power yet this year. I teeter between him being a boarderline all-star or a really solid pro.

    • apox says:
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      @Marti: yeah, if the power doesn’t develop he’ll be a pretty meh OF for fantasy.

  3. J-FOH says:
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    This ain’t no poker game !

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @J-FOH: You’re on the minor league update dude!

  4. Saints says:
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    Love your Minor League updates. Love it more if you mention my players very positive :) (Fisher this time last time Acuna

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Saints: I’m basing all my opens on your team, the other guy who plays that position is next!

  5. Lary says:
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    Zimmer has also been on fire recently. Assuming good health for both would he get called up ahead of Naquin if the tribe needed on OF?

  6. Omar says:
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    5×5 AL Only Standard Roto. Pick a side:

    Linder, JD Martinez, Gallo

    -or-

    Trout, Moncada

    THanks

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Omar: Pretty even, but I’ll go Trout and Moncada.

  7. Chud says:
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    Great stuff as always!

    Are you placing Fisher above Meadows long term yet?

    Also in a full keeper league who would u rather have long term – Castellanos or Aledmys Diaz?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chud: No I’ll still take Meadows, and I’d lean Diaz.

  8. Packers says:
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    Ralph, I have a dynasty keep all. 12 team roto. It was new this year and I actually drafted to win this year. That isn’t happening. So, I’m starting to stash some prospects on my 4 man reserve roster and starting to get a couple in the actives like Happ and Tapia. I don’t want to get to crazy however. I have a couple tweaks I could do and am asking for your thoughts.
    1. Berrios over Velasquez.
    2. Drop Calhoun or Renfroe for Tapia.
    3. Hoskins werth a roster spot. I have Bird.
    Thank you.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Packers: I would take Berrios over V2, drop Calhoun for Tapia, and add Hoskins, I prefer him to Bird.

  9. Hometown Heroes says:
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    When do you think Derek Fisher comes up? I’m assuming he takes for Aoki?

    Another question, would you trade Casilla for D Norris in an AL 12 team league?

    Thanks again

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Hometown Heroes: I would guess after an injury or early mid-June.

      Yes I would if I needed saves.

      • Hometown Heroes says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I give Casilla, I lost Hamels but I’m not sure Norris would actually help my team

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Hometown Heroes: Yeah I’m sure you can find better streams. Use the SON for guidance.

  10. Nick the quick says:
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    No way Cubs sending Happ down yet. Over/under on 5 games played this week?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Nick the quick: I’m going to say under 5 Nick the Quick. Any relation to Dick?

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I don’t know how I feel about this. Feels like some kind of infringement

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @J-FOH: Unless it’s an alias….

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz: phony rappers who do not write
            phony rappers who do not write….poor excuse, money please, I get loose off of orange juice

  11. BM says:
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    I own Max Fried and Sandy Alcantra. What should I make of their awful stat lines so far? I’m leaning towards maybe holding on Alcantra for now, but maybe doing a Duplantier for Fried swap off waivers tonight. Go for it? Another arm that’s intriguing me right now is Beau Burrows.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @BM: I’d dump Alcantara and hold onto Fried. The later has been a little unlucky Alcantara had been bad. I’d Duplantier for the upside, if you’re looking to go safe grab Burrows.

  12. BM says:
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    Also I was offered Mitch White and Christian Pache for Jesus Sanchez, but I declined. Smart move? Pache seems to have zero power, but it was hard to pass up on White.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @BM: I would have taken it but, I understand the intrigue of Sanchez’s power ceiling.

  13. Adam says:
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    Travis Shaw or Aaron altherr ROS?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Adam: Shaw

  14. Sparty Scott says:
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    How would you rank these SS in a keeper league – Correa, Seager, Lindor, Xander?
    I currently own Xander but I am looking to package him with others to get the best SS. Or are these 4 too close to call?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Sparty Scott: Seager, Correa, Lindor, and Xander. The top three are a ways away from Xander for me.

  15. Nelson says:
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    Bradley Zimmer heating up recently. If the tribe need an OF and both are healthy, does he or Naquin get the call?

    • Tom says:
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      @Nelson:

      I still think Zimmer is a bit “underrated” due to his strikeouts. Springer struck out a ton too but has been somewhat successful so far. Based on his defense alone, I think Cleveland needs to give him a shot.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Nelson: Agree with Tom, his K issues are a little worse than Springers though. Springer is definitely the superior talent, but Zimmer is similar.

      The problem is Tito loves his vets, I would guess Zimmer is up in June.

  16. Tom says:
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    Acuna vs Tucker vs Fisher. How would you rank them?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Tom: Tucker, Acuna, and Fisher.

  17. Tom says:
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    Albies vs Urias. How would you rank them?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Tom: I prefer Albies, due to the speed. That’s not a knock on Urias, but Albies can steal 30+ bases.

      • Tom says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        Taking speed out of it (not important in my league), who has the better upside with the bat?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Tom: Urias has more power upside.

  18. Tom says:
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    Joseph is heating up a bit, so it looks like we will have to wait a bit longer on Hoskins. If Joseph continues to hit, it becomes a nice problem for the Phillies. But what do they do? Can either Joseph or Hoskins play a different position?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Tom: No, I assume Joseph will suck again. I’m really not a Joseph believer. He has been good in May though. My guess is Hoskins is up in June.

  19. Raoul Duke says:
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    Those of us anxiously awaiting Eloy Jimenez’s season debut last night received a judo chop to the jugular when mother nature decided she had other plans. Looks like we will get a double header today. Hopefully he plays in both games, but you never know since he is coming back off injury.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Raoul Duke: Yeah I wouldn’t worry about both games, he’s not going to be up this year anyway.

  20. Whatever says:
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    Should I start A.J. Griffin or Kendall Gravemen? OAK at TEX. Or start both? We use W-L+QS instead of Wins and I am way below innings and I have big lead on ERA/WHIP so I can afford a some risk.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Whatever: Then start both of you can afford risk. I prefer Griffin.

  21. Joey Lost At Bats says:
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    Thanks for all the info Ralph. You’re my go to fantasy prospect writer.

    16 team dynasty points league with 31 man rosters, currently carrying 5 milb players and with a ton of injuries can’t afford any more. Barreto, Willie Calhoun, Vogelbach, Reid- Foley and Jeff Hoffman are rostered ( big jays fan so biased/ know the players in/ formerly from that system better, but missed on vlad, bichette and alford)

    After reading your previous article, I put a claim in for Florial while dropping Vogelbach. Right move?

    Others that I’m really intrigued about, you have mentioned and are available ; Brett Phillips, Duplantier (can’t find him on CBS any idea why?), Marcus Wilson, Harrison Bader, Basabe

    Should i pick up any of above for Reid-Foley?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Joey Lost At Bats: Is hold onto to Reid-Foley, cut Vogie and Hoffman for Florial and Bader.

      • Joey Lost At Bats says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Much appreciated!

        • BM says:
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          @Joey Lost At Bats:

          Yep just went to try and add Duplantier on CBS and he’s not even in the system! Come on CBS!!

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @BM: @Joey Lost At Bats: You should be able to ask your commissioner to make a placeholder. I’ve done it a few times.

  22. Anodyne says:
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    Who do you like better in dynasty leagues, Mazara or Fulmer?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Anodyne: Still Mazara as he’s the hitter and has huge upside.

      • Anodyne says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Yeah, I think so too. I’ve been getting so many lowball offers on Mazara, I was starting to think I was losing my mind for keeping him. Somebody just offered me Dexter Fowler for him. I mean, come on.

  23. Oppo Taco says:
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    I traded Buxton for Mazara in our keeper league? Like that move? I couldn’t handle Buxtons struggles any longer, wanted to reshuffle my deck. Also would you trade Ian Happ for Dellin Betances? It is a keeper but I am stashing Moncada already and have DJL and 2B, plus Im concerned with what the Cubs plan to do with him. Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Oppo Taco: Like the move and I’d hold, unless it’s a K/9 and holds league. Tough to give up on a potential star hitter for a reliever otherwise.

  24. James T Kirk says:
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    Not a rookie anymore, but thoughts on Swanson? Is he just struggling due to all the pressure placed on him being the face of the franchise? Or is it something mechanical? Or is he not as good as we all thought?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @James T Kirk: I can’t be sure, but my guess is he’s in a funk and will work out of it. He does seem overmatched but the Braves have faith. Reminds me of Dustin Pedroia in his first two months with the Sox. He’s a rookie, I’d be patient in dynasty, and move on in redraft.

  25. Soft toss aced says:
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    Great write up as usual ralph. Look forward to your articles every week. In a dynasty league im in a major rebuild. Should I drop winker and pick up phillips? Also someone cut peraza should I pick him up over wong? Thanks

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Soft toss aced: Yeah Peraza and then Phillips, if you’re making two moves.

  26. Jason says:
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    Tapia or Buxton in a 12 team dynasty, keep everybody? Production for2017 not an important factor?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jason: Buxton

  27. Another Dan says:
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    Excellent stuff as usual Ralph.

    In a 10 team dynasty (no milb roster though, just NA roster spots) roto 6×6 (OBP, H, HLDS, QS) league, am carrying far too many bench bats (but the benches are quite large), so did a trade
    my Bregman, Yasmany Tomas and VV
    his Springer and Justin Turner

    Roster : C Rupp (frankencatcher) 1B Bellinger 2B Altuve 3B Villar SS Segura OF Stanton, Myers, JD, Util Springer
    BN Belt, Cano, Turner, Franco, Conforto ( sonuvabench!!)
    SP : Carrasco, Cueto, Fulmer, Severino, Ray, Duffy, Nova, Gausman
    RP : Bedrossian, Melancon (DL’ed) and 3 rotating HLDS based pitchers
    NA: Winker, Weaver (can only pick up players who have previously played in the majors)

    A) was the trade a good one ? Fair one ? Or poor one ?
    B) No one seems to want to trade for Cano, but he’s too good to cut right ?
    C)
    D) any of the pitchers droppable for a streaming spot ?

    Hope you had (are having) a good weekend ? Weather was good(ish) here, spent time outside with the kids and their cousins (who stayed for the weekend).

    Dan

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Another Dan: Hey Dan! Yeah I like that trade, added two good players. I wouldn’t trade Cano, and Gausman is droppable.

      Yeah, was a busy weekend here with Mother’s Day today. Rained all weekend, but we got in my son’s baseball game yesterday morning.

  28. David says:
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    Ralph, if you could pick up any minor league SP for a dynasty team (other than Buehler) who would it be? Thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @David: Kolby Allard

  29. mike says:
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    Bregman or Gallo ROS?

    • apox says:
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      @mike: Gallo for me. IF Bregman’s power comes around, then I could see it as a wash. Gallo’s stealing bases now, too. Damn I wish I didn’t drop him in the off season.

  30. Fungazi says:
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    Would you grab happ or rosario in a keeper for potential to help this year? Considering playing time issues with both?

  31. Steve Stevenson says:
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    AL only keeper, 5OF, no bench, not competitive this year, $5/yr inflation except on minor leaguers:

    1. Who’s the drop to activate JD Martinez–Moss, Pearce or Grossman?
    2. Drop JC Ramirez to activate Manaea this week, or wait a week and see if I can DL someone else/confirm Manaea’s return?
    3. Was offered Bregman $5, Buxton $4, T. O’Neill $1 and A. Cobb $1 by a team who is competitive for Keuchel $17, Longoria $17 and Pillar $2. Strongly leaning no but interested in your thoughts. We only get 3 minors slots and you have to hold them until callup–currently have K. Lewis and Rutherford so O’Neill would lock me up for a while. And of course the shine’s off Buxton a bit.

    Feel like Keuchel can fetch more from a contender (& that owner also has Benintendi) either this year or next given the crazy value (for example, Sale’s salary is over $50).

  32. Saints says:
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    Hay Ralph i think you are the dynasty guy in this crew so i have a dynasty Question.
    I try to contend and have currently a ugly SS Situation. My guys for SS are Story, Reyes and Brad Miller. They are all playing not really good. A rebuild team is selling Zack Cozart.
    First of all what do you think about his Season value and beyond ?

    My opponent team wants to have Sandy Leon even though my Catcher situation is pretty ugly with having Alex Avila (who plays well) and Nick Hundley (who isnt that bad if hes playing). Leon isnt the answer at C as well (as we learned here: http://razzball.com/frankencatcher-report-draft-edition/).
    What are your thoughts on the situation and this kind of trade ?

    Thanks a lot

  33. mrbaseball says:
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    Who would you say would be the top 3 prospects that will come up from now to end of the season

    Is there a certain long shot that you will be counting on

    • mrbaseball says:
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      Moncada was added last year in league – The prospects setup is as Yahoo adds so most of them are not on rosters as of yet

      • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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        @mrbaseball: yeah i’m in a yahoo like that, it’s not standard yahoo the comish had to hit the “players aren’t in database till they play” option. yahoo’s missing enough prospects without hitting that “option”. it’s not even accurate either, from year to year they’ll put some in the system before they even play. mazara in 2016 started year in system before he ever played in MLB as an example. there were at least 3 names this year that were in system without having played too, can’t remember which.

  34. ryanoger says:
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    Best option for saves Norris or Neris?

  35. hothot says:
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    As someone living in an minor league town, thanks for churning out these deep milb/prospect posts, Ralph.

    Got free tix to a Texas League game on Wednesday night, featuring Luis Urias vs. THE Jon Singleton, who has fallen to AA. Yikes.

  36. K2H says:
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    Love the updates Keep up the great work
    Just gonna bounce this question off everyone
    Dynasty league keep forever no salary’s around 200 minor league players carried league wide. These guys are past prospect status but wondering what to do with them
    Matt Wisler
    Adam Conley
    Robert Stephenson
    Blake Snell
    1)Are the first 2 droppable or do they have a shot at rotation spot this year?
    2)2nd two hold value but will control ever come there way? or should I look to sell low on them I do feel like I miss the sell high windows
    3)I was looking to Add Jacob Faria or Patrick Weigel and cut Wisler or Conley or both

  37. master bader says:
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    Austin Meadows or Amed Rosario in 12 team h2h OPS? Thanks for the continued great work!

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