Don't be shellfish...Share on FacebookTweet about this on TwitterShare on Google+

Billy Hamilton is the fastest player in the game.  There’s really no disputing it, at this point.  In his first 51 games at High-A, Hamilton has 60 steals.  Over his last ten games, he’s been on a bit of a rampage, swiping 20 bags (!!!) and putting himself in position to surpass 100 steals before July.  Now that’s just plain silly.  Hamilton tallied 103 in a full season at Low-A Dayton in 2011, and people thought that was ridiculous.  And while there’s no denying the truly remarkable nature of what he’s accomplishing this year, it’s important to keep in mind the other end of this equation:  the opposing defenses.  I absolutely believe that Hamilton is the fastest dude in baseball, at any level.  That speed, however, is only being tested by A-Ball defenses.  Pitchers are slower to the plate, catchers misfire to second, infielders are sloppy with tags.  Watch any highlight reel of his, and you’ll see what I mean.  Not to suggest that his wheels won’t translate as he climbs the ladder — he’ll be stealing plenty of bags when he arrives in the bigs with the Reds.  But, don’t expect this kind of absurdity on the basepaths.

Travis D’Arnaud | C, Blue Jays — He continues to murder the ball at Triple-A.  He’s now hitting .323/.376/.586 with 12 homers.  I anticipated a late season arrival for D’Arnaud, but his recent hot streak has pushed him into the picture for a much sooner call-up.  Should this pace continue, we could see him in Toronto before July.

Mike Olt | 3B, Rangers — Olt is having no trouble in Double-A, where he’s hitting .304/.404/.576 along with 25 XBH (12 HR) through 226 PA.  He’s been getting some time at first base recently, and with Adrian Beltre entrenched at 3B for the foreseeable future, I wonder if 1B is where Olt fits in with the Rangers.

Zach Wheeler | RHP, Mets — The Mets must be pleased with their take in the Carlos Beltran swap at the deadline last year.  Wheeler has been great at Double-A Binghamton, posting a 1.88 ERA and a 10.3 K/9 through his first nine starts.  What’s even more impressive is that he’s lasted 7+ innings in each of his last three outings.

Jedd Gyorko | 3B, Padres — Through 77 PA at Triple-A, Gyorko has already blasted five homers along with a slash line at .319/.351/.583.  The San Diego system has an abundance of exciting prospects who project as above-average big leaguers.  Gyorko is no exception, and he looks on pace for a September call-up.

Andrew Chafin | RHP, D’Backs — Pitching in the hitter-friendly California League isn’t so bad when everyone’s whiffing at your offerings.  Chafin leads the league in K’s with 82 in just 63 IP, and his filthy slider has been embarrassing High-A batters.  I don’t imagine he’s too far from a bump up to Double-A.

Nolan Arenado | 3B, Rockies — Arenado isn’t driving the ball as well as many thought he would at Double-A, following an impressive spring in big league camp.  He has just 3 XBH over his last 42 PA, and it’s going to be difficult for Colorado to justify promoting their star prospect if he doesn’t pick up his pace.  It’s looking increasingly likely that we won’t see Arenado in the bigs ’til 2013.

Nick Castellanos | 3B, Tigers — Through 229 PA at High-A, Castellanos is hitting .404/.463/.547.  The 20-year-old is barreling everything FSL pitchers have to offer, and it’ll be interesting to see if the Tigers choose to promote him to Double-A before the year is through.

Gary Brown | OF, Giants — San Francisco’s prized outfield prospect hit his first homer of the year on Thursday.  His line on the season at Double-A sits at .245/.325/.303Pretty bad, indeed.

Matt Laporta | 3B, Indians — Laporta has 14 HR at Triple-A Columbus and his OPS sits at 1.007.  Still, I’m not sure if this is even worth noting.

Vladimir Guerrero | OF, Blue Jays — After blasting four homers in 20 PA at High-A, Vlad is headed to Las Vegas for his first career shot at Triple-A baseball.  He’s on track to return to MLB action before long.

38 Responses

  1. YourMomsBoyfriend says:
    (link)

    So, you basically tell us to temper our expectations about Hamilton because of his level, but don’t do the same about D’Arnaud? That dude’s playing in Vegas. Even you can slug .400 there, ’cause it’s “like playing golf on the moon with an aluminum bat”.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @YourMomsBoyfriend, The ballpark factor at Vegas can’t be ignored — we can agree on that. But the D’Arnaud blurb is more about ETA than his projection. He’s hot & his development is nearing completion. He’ll be up before long is what I’m saying. Not trying to suggest that he’ll hit 10 homers per month once he is up…

    • JG_ism says:
      (link)

      @YourMomsBoyfriend,
      awesome name

  2. bfeels says:
    (link)

    Trade my Brett Lawrie and Alcides Escobar for Jose Reyes and Gio Gonzales? I’ll be getting Sandoval back from DL and no CI so Lawrie is utility. Keeper league and can keep forever. Thanks!

    • TheNewGuy says:
      (link)

      @bfeels, That aint a prospect question dude…ask Grey.

      • Scott Evans

        Scott Evans says:
        (link)

        @TheNewGuy, All questions are welcome. Even Grey needs a day off from time to time & I’m happy to lend advice regarding all fantasy matters.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @bfeels, I like your end of the deal. Take it and run.

    • @bfeels, I’m not sure I’d want to lose Lawrie in a keeper league, but it’s hard to make a judgment call without knowing some of your keeper details and your full roster.

  3. TheNewGuy says:
    (link)

    How much do you value a 1st round prospect draft pick in a keeper league. Traded my 2013 pick to boost my staff this year, getting M Garza and B Myers thrown in. Did I do good?

    Also rough estimate on Hultzen and W Myers ETA?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @TheNewGuy, It’s a win-now deal, so if Garza & Myers are gonna lead you on a run toward a championship this year, then you gotta make that move. If you’re already in the cellar, I would’ve advised against it.

      Re: ETA’s — I’m confident we’ll see both before August. Hultzen could be much sooner if opportunity arises. I think Myers is on track for July call-up.

      • TheNewGuy says:
        (link)

        @Scott Evans, Yeah its a deal to win-this year, thanks man.

  4. bean says:
    (link)

    Gary Brown can take his time because if the Giants sew up Melky, he can park a chair in Fresno for a while.

    Still do not understand why Chafin is sitting in A-Ball other than the fact they might have him with a better pitching coach in Drabek? There is room in AA now or maybe they might skip a step and bring him to AAA?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @bean, Agree on both points. Thought Chafin would be pitching in AA by now, but I really can’t imagine Arizona skipping him over AA. Just hope we see him there soon.

  5. JG_ism says:
    (link)

    Pull the trigger?
    In first place due to pitching, hurting for trades..I have Frieri & Reed with Storen on the DL. Been offered Brett Myers (SP/RP) for Chris Sale. Rest of rotation is Weaver, Gallardo, Zimm, Beachy, McDonald, Hammel & Milone.

    Its a no brainer..I shouldnt even ask..

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @JG_ism, Grey featured Sale as his only sell candidate in his post on Friday. Injury risk at peak of performance right now. I think you could shop him for more, but it might not be a terrible idea if saves are hurting you… Remember, saves are easy to come by on waivers if your league isn’t the most active.

  6. JG_ism says:
    (link)

    Itchy finger accepted it already…would love any thoughts on this move tho..

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @JG_ism, Yea, see above. Wrote that before I saw your follow up.

      • JG_ism says:
        (link)

        @Scott Evans, yea…figured just leave him in an SP slot and vulture whatever he gives..

  7. Elwood blues says:
    (link)

    Arenado or Yellich? NL Only 4×4. ETA?
    Better return in a trade?

    • Elwood blues says:
      (link)

      @Elwood blues, Rizzo or Bauer may be
      Possible, target them instead? How would
      You rank the 4?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @Elwood blues, I’m bumping Arenado’s ETA to 2013 given recent performance. That can change, of course. Yellich seems on track for late 2013 or early 2014. This is a tough trade to gauge & I really thing it comes down to your roster needs. I lean slightly toward Arenado for ballpark factor & opportunity.

      • Elwood blues says:
        (link)

        @Scott Evans, Should i target riz or bauer
        Instead?

  8. MrHappytime says:
    (link)

    A guy just offered me King Felix for Dickey and Casilla. No brainer right

    • @MrHappytime, sure, take it.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @MrHappytime, Absolutely.

  9. Josh says:
    (link)

    When is your ETA for Trevor Bauer? Last in a 12 team Roto league and need an upper hand on some intel. Thanks and nice reporting.

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @Josh, His command comes & goes. D’Backs would love to see him more consistent in that regard before the call-up, but this one really comes down to opportunity. Arizona has a crowded rotation & no clear candidate for demotion. Still think there’s a good chance we see Bauer later on this month or early July.

  10. Re: Billy Hamilton, if he sees time in 2013 and gets 350 at bats, will he make 30 SB in your estimation?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @ChrisV82, If by 2013 you mean 2014, then yes. His bat won’t be ready in time to collect 350+ AB next year.

  11. Dropability says:
    (link)

    Arenado droppable in 12team h2h keeper? I feel like if he strings together a couple good weeks he’ll be up…

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @Dropability, He’ll need to catch fire, but it’s not impossible, I suppose. If you’ve got room to stash him in your keeper & you plan on holding on to him for next year, go ahead.

  12. Big Zeke says:
    (link)

    Why didn’t you include Wil Myers here? He has been on fire at AAA after tearing up AA. When do you think he gets the call if he keeps hitting?

  13. TheNewGuy says:
    (link)

    Totally sick of Mike Montgomery now, will this guy ever get it going? Think most fantasy owners have given up on him now thats why we dont hear about him anymore, and for good reason too.

    Well I want to give up on him on my farm now too, two guys I can see are available: Trevor May and Andrew Chafin, which one you like the best?

    • Scott Evans

      Scott Evans says:
      (link)

      @TheNewGuy, I like May better. Might be early to quit on Montgomery, though.

      • TheNewGuy says:
        (link)

        @Scott Evans, Thanks but why’d you say that though. This guy has 1 good start then blows up again! Even his good starts he doesn’t strike many guys out. He’s clearly not using this ‘plus’ stuff he has effectively.

        When do you get to the point then when you say ‘screw you’ to a prospect no matter how highly rated they are? And lets be honest though Monty’s a good but not can’t miss prospect.

        • Scott Evans

          Scott Evans says:
          (link)

          @TheNewGuy, I understand your concern/frustration. It wouldn’t be completely out of the question to swap him out for May, but I wouldn’t… not yet, at least. Through 11 outings, Monty’s been hot garbage. His #s are terrible, and his peripheral indicators are even worse. BUT: based on stuff alone, his ceiling is higher than May’s. That’s what you’re looking for on your fantasy farm… at lest that’s what I’m looking for.

          Now, don’t get me wrong here. You’re fed up, and scooping May would be reasonable, indeed. I’m just saying I’d hold out another month… see if Monty’s plus stuff plays up as the summer takes hold in Omaha.

          • TheNewGuy says:
            (link)

            @Scott Evans, Ok thanks for the well reasoned response. It just seems like I keep holding onto him and holding into him and I just don’t feel he’s getting any better. I’ll give him one last shot, another month or so to see if he improves, otherwise he’s a dogs dinner. You’re right though a lot about prospects is potential upside.

Comments are closed.