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A quick preamble about the 2012 fantasy rookie series that is coming all this month.  Rookies are picked through MLB eligibility requirements, less than 130 ABs or 50 IP.  That means no Brett Lawrie, no Lonnie Chisenhall, no Mike Moustakas.  Last November I said, he is the best prospect currently in the game with under 130 ABs.  Only that “he” wasn’t Mike Trout last year, it was Desmond Jennings.  With DJ off the ones and twos for top fantasy baseball prospects because of eligibility requirements, we have Mike Trout.  He’s currently ranked number two on Stephen’s top 50 fantasy baseball prospect list.  He’s ranked number one for me.  Numero uno.  The Big Mahoff.  He’s the big Statue of Liberty in New York, not that girly one in Paris!  (Or that weird one in Israel that overlooks a goat farm.)  Last year in Double-A, Trout had 11 homers, 33 steals and a .326 average in 91 games.  Combine that with his major league ABs and he had 16 homers and 37 steals in 131 games.  In 2010 in the minors, he had 10 homers and 56 steals between different levels of A ball.  A ball, indeed.  As in what he had in the minors.  You may have noticed I didn’t mention his Triple-A stats.  That’s cause he didn’t have any.  The Angels skipped him right past Triple-A.  Bee tee dubya, Trout’s not legal to drink, i.e., he’s twenty years old, i before e except in Teixeira, there’s room to grow.  So what can we expect for Mike Trout in 2012 fantasy baseball?

He’s never had an OBP lower than .388 at any stop in the minor leagues, so I don’t think the bottom is going to fall out on that in 2012.  If he’s getting on base, he’ll be stealing bases and scoring runs, whether he’s slotted leadoff or ninth.  Is he much more than SAGNOF?  Yes and no.  He can be more than SAGNOF for 2012, but, worst comes to worst (or wurst comes to wurst, if you’re German) he’s going to steal bases.  There’s the possibility of him getting 5-8 homers and he has the power for 12.  In mixed leagues, Trout will be worth drafting late as your fifth outfielder if he has a starting job.  NOOOOOO!!!  WHAT DO YOU MEAN IF?  Sorry, Al Caps, the Los Angeles Angels That Aren’t In Los Angeles County have a crowded outfield.  If the Sciosciapath somehow figures out a way to get Abreu, Hunter or Wells out of the lineup or if there’s a serendipitous injury to one of the 2005 All-Stars, then Trout will start.  In 2012, I expect a line of 55/7/30/.270/20 in 300 ABs, that’s worth a 5th outfielder flyer in redraft leagues because of his upside.  You should go after him so hard in keepers that you dance your panties off.

  1. Yeah, I Remember When says:
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    I guess i’m freeballin’ it ’cause I got Trout in a Keeper League.

  2. sean says:
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    You have to be concerned about 4 SB in 123 MLB ABs. Bourjos only swiped 22 bags in 502 ABs.

    Also, it’s a myth that the Angels are demons on the basepaths, Dan Brown. The Yanks stole more bases last season.

  3. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    That SoL in Israel is actually overlooking a restaurant; their goat farms are WAY nicer:

    http://bit.ly/s2tyqs

    Real World? Survivor? You’re killing me here!

  4. Tony says:
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    ESPN artcle says the Mets might look to move David Wright. What do u think? All espn hub bub or actually something that might happen. We all know REYES is goneeeeeee…. Keeping Wright around with nothingggg else around him doesn’t make a ton of sense. I hate seeing teams do this though. Like the Astro’s shipping Pence for nothing. Just always seems like keeping the star over the “potential” makes more sense. Unless you’re the indians, they seem to schwing some deals…..

  5. MKEeast says:
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    @Tony: They might be looking to move Wright, but they also said that one of the big reasons they were moving in the fences at Metco was to fix Wright’s brain/confidence/swing… Seems to me their front office does way more talking than actual thinking.

  6. Josh says:
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    Keeper league where we keep 4 and lose the round they were drafted in previously. Who do I keep?

    AGon (3)
    Miggy (1)
    Kemp (1 but would count as a 2 if I keep Cabrera as well)
    Reyes (5)
    Trout (25)
    Santana (10)
    Pineda (15)
    Gordon (25)
    Morse (25)

  7. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Yeah, I Remember When: Nice

    @sean: Nah, not too concerned.

    @Awesomus Maximus: I still haven’t watched Real World cause I got sucked into watching other things like American Horror Story. I did, however, watch Survivor. One of the best episodes in a while. I loved Cochran’s move from a TV standpoint. Not sure I totally understand it from a game standpoint. I think he was just sick of Keith talking crap to him. He wanted payback. The speech Coach gave to Cochran was brilliant and gave me a new appreciation of Coach. I didn’t realize he was that perceptive. Finally, how has no one called him out for being a lawyer named Johnnie Cochran?

    @Tony: I think the Mets should keep Wright and do keep him. As the Mets, you can’t go into the season with Ike Davis as your biggest star. If anything, they need to add names, not lose them.

    @Josh: Top four.

  8. black_toshiba says:
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    If you had to choose one of these SP to keep for 2012.
    Billingsley, Rodriguez, B Anderson, Kuroda, Bucholz & T Hudson?
    Thanks

  9. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    @Grey: Agreed on Coach. I still think he’s a big bowl of douche soup, but I have to admit that it was impressive to see him apply what he’s learned from the previous outings when he broke down the situation to Cochrane.

    As for Coch, I think he did the best with what he’s got. He has no respect from his old tribe, and the other tribe wouldn’t have respected him if he just kept rolling along. At least this way some people have his back (as much as can be expected in the game) and they respect him for standing up to his bullies. Now, he’ll probably go ruin that next week by whimpering and apologizing, but his only shot at winning is the “one vote at a time” route (it’s worked for others).

    And really, how many multi-person alliances have worked post merge anyway? It could be an advantage to be the guy that no one wants to be aligned with, if played well. All factions will try to secure your vote, and you get to hear everyone’s plans… not to mention the “no one really likes him, I want to go up against him in the finals” factor.

  10. Eddy says:
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    What’s up fellas, hope everyone has been surviving the off-season!

    Wanted to drop the news that the Melk-Man has been traded to SF for Jonathan Sanchez and a minor league pitcher.

    The classic “great for real baseball, terrible for fantasy” trade.

  11. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Awesomus Maximus: Agreed to an extent. I wonder though if it was his best move or just a move. If he would’ve survived the rock pick he’d weak in challenges but it would serve his purpose now because he’d be no threat and he might’ve then went with Dawn and Jim to the final three. But he would’ve probably lost there because he would’ve done nothing to get to the final three. It’s a tough call.

    @Eddy: Thanks for the update! Is it great for real baseball?

  12. Boomer19 says:
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    I like Lorenzo Cain for the starting spot now that Melky is gone. What do you think? Decent 4th or 5th OF in 5×5 roto?

  13. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Boomer19: I like him too, but he should’ve had a starting spot last year and he didn’t. We’ll see if they get all the way to April with him starting.

  14. Eddy says:
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    @Grey:

    Yeah, you would think so. Giants offense is starving for some production and Melky provides that. And Royals get a solid arm in their rotation. It actually took me a while to think who were their best SP. Bruce Chen, apparently, was number one.

  15. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Eddy: Move’s better for the Royals. Melky doesn’t really do anything to the Giants that Torres or Schierholtz couldn’t do.

  16. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Not sure that American Horror Story is up my alley.

    Serial killler documentaries are more my thing in that genre (if indeed they’re the same genre).

    Watched quite a good America Exposed: Uncut doco on a white supremacist nutcase the other night too.

  17. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: It’s not up my alley either. Not sure if I’ll go back for the 2nd episode even, but the 1st was good. Hey, what’s this America Exposed business? We never get New Zealand Exposed! No wonder everyone thinks our country is bonkers.

  18. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Not much to report down here (emoticon). It’s a fascinating country you have there, though.

    This same series also featured Just, Melvin: Just Evil once too. Google it – no need to provide a synopsis here.

    I really like the two Aileen Wuornos docos too.

  19. chata says:
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    melky traded to the giants must come as a shock to coco crips ,
    who stated , earlier , that he would sign with them .

  20. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: I haven’t seen all of those. If they’re on Netflix instant streaming, I’m all about them. If they’re not, I’m gonna have a hard time seeing them. Going to the Immortals premiere tonight, should be more excited, but it’s totally not a movie I’m gonna be into.

    @chata: Poor Coco.

  21. Steve says:
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    @Grey: You can’t keep a good Rourke down.

    Or even Mickey Rourke. Oofa!

    Yeah – those docos are all pretty old, so you might struggle. All great though. Need Netflix here!

  22. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: The instant streaming is the best and worst service ever. Really convenient to watch anything…Assuming it’s on instant streaming, which a lot of things aren’t. So you get sucked into watching things you never had any intention of watching. Hey, maybe I’ll watch Gordon Ramsay’s Kitchen Nightmares… All 45 episodes! Now where did my last weekend go?

  23. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Ah yes – Kitchen Nightmares.

    “Hey, my restaurant sucks, but I still know more about running a kitchen than some guy with three Michelin stars.”

  24. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Hehe… Yeah… Actually ate at Gordon’s LA restaurant a year or two ago, wasn’t that impressed.

  25. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Yeah – I think he spread himself a bit too thin for a while there.

  26. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Just read a bunch of stuff on that Penn State scandal. What a terrible, sad story that is. They should hang some people.

  27. Steve says:
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    @Grey: I know – I’ve been following it for a couple of days now. Just awful.

    More than two heads (ie over and above the two accused that quit today) need to roll there, and I reckon Paterno’s should probably be one of them.

  28. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: Definitely, JoePa should be out. Whole thing is disgraceful.

  29. Steve says:
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    @Grey: On a somewhat happier subject, I see David Chang has opened a Momofuku in Sydney. Next time I’m there, maybe…

  30. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: His restaurant in NYC that I went to didn’t disappoint at all. Pork belly, sooooo good.

  31. Steve says:
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    @Grey: You went to Ko?

    I’m not worthy.

  32. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    how are you going to advise february Grey to rank these three ?
    jennings , heyward , trout ?
    thanks .

  33. chata says:
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    @Grey:

    if you have any of your yahoo league homepages still up ,
    i’d like to compare stats .

    while i’m conscious of keeping up with my IP ,
    i’m always shocked by the offensive #’s vs their limits .
    i think it’s time to re-think my priorities .

    anyway , here’s what i have …. standard 1-C , 5×5 … but only 4 OF’s :

    C …. -34 games
    1st … -19
    2nd .. -19
    3rd .. -37
    SS … -30
    CI … -34
    MI … -40
    OF … -70
    UT … -33

    hoping you have some numbers to compare these to ,
    but , even if you don’t , thanking you , in advance ,
    for your comments .

  34. Loic says:
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    Dear Grey,

    Sorry for commenting on such an old post, but I have a little question about the Rookie eligibility. Wikipedia reads that a player should have indeed 130 at bats but before September 1. In the Lawrie’s case, he had only 89 AB in august and then 61 in September, so logically he is eligible for 2012′s ROY, no ?

    I would really be grateful if you could answer me, as I’m working on ROY projections for 2012. Thank you very much !

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