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Baseball’s hot stove season has been largely dominated by the new-look Marlins. The last time a Miami team made such headlines in free agency, it was the controversial Miami Heat “Dream Team.” Although they did not have their own hour long ESPN special and subsequent public hatred like Lebron and his gang, the new-look Marlins have come to play. Opening a new name, a new stadium and a new brand, the Miami Marlins have been spending money indiscriminately, almost bafflingly. In the blink of an eye, the Marlins organization became populated with a fiery new manager, multiple perennial all-stars, future hall of famers, gold furniture and miniature giraffes. Seemingly not satisfied, the Marlins are rumored to be in pursuit of many of the big names still on the market. In baseball home-grown talent generally trumps big market acquisitions, but if there was a model for free agency winning championships, this certainly is not a bad start. Let’s take a minute and assess the fantasy fallout of this mind-blowing series of moves.

The first domino to fall was the Heath Bell signing, but in retrospect that is little more than a drop in the pond. The big prize was Jose Reyes, whose signing represented a bit of a shocker to the baseball world. Reyes will struggle to play full seasons (he has not exceeded 140 games played in 4 seasons), but his presence at the top of the lineup will be a major upgrade as long as he is on the field. From a fantasy perspective he gets an upgrade as he joins a lineup with more firepower than the Mets could muster. Additionally Ozzie Guillen is likely to be aggressive in his use of his leadoff hitter, meaning a return to 50 SBs is within the realm of possibility. Still, all the press surrounding this signing will likely drive up the price on draft day, and I’m not sure I’d be willing to pay it. I think it will ultimately be a better play to reap the benefits that this upgraded lineup will confer on the rest of the lineup. This becomes all the more poignant if the Marlins make another big offensive signing. Even though they missed the Pujols boat they still reportedly want to bolster the offense. Curiously, they are reportedly out on the Prince Fielder sweepstakes because apparently no matter how many tofu tacos he eats he cannot rally the Hispanic market (funny, I thought homeruns were the universal language). One possible alternative is the Cuban shortstop Cespedes. The easy transition from Cuba to Miami makes it a fit for not only the player but also for the Marlins, who help that aforementioned Hispanic market.

Lost in all of these moves is the fact that the Marlins actually had a decent squad last year. After Trader Jack McKeon took over the team they played reasonably well, and certainly have talented pieces to work around. The primary beneficiary of this managerial change was Hanley Ramirez, who rebounded from a slow start to post respectable numbers until being shut down with an injury. Hanley will likely remain on the team even with the acquisition of Jose Reyes (despite rumors that he may be shopped), and hopefully Ozzie Guillen can motivate the superstar in the same way that Jack did.

Hanley’s situation is very interesting from a fantasy perspective because Reyes’s signing has forced Hanley to make a switch to 3rd base. This means that Hanley will bring his 5 tool talents to a new gig- dual eligibility at two of fantasy’s scarcer positions. Unlike Alex Rodriguez who made the same position shift, Hanley is not a true slugger. His power and speed combo will be truly unique at 3rd this year, but his power stroke will need to return in a big way for him to be considered a legitimate option at third base. Fortunately, his dual eligibility will allow owners who take him early to have great flexibility later on in filling these tough positions.

Another bystander from last year’s team who stands to benefit is young superstar Mike Stanton. Stanton’s power was historic in 2011, and his ability to overcome the adjustments pitchers made against him proved he was no fluke. If fantasy owners had one complaint about his 2011 season, it was likely in the RBI department. He was shuffled up and down the lineup all year, and seemingly hit nothing but solo shots. Regardless of whether the Marlins’ signings prove to be good or bad, the short term lineup looks to get a major boost, and Stanton’s RBI numbers should improve dramatically. There were numerous other Marlins position players who were mixed league relevant who can expect a similar boost as well (I’m looking at you, Logan Morrison and Gaby Sanchez). Buy buy buy.

In stark contrast to the new-look offense, the Marlins’ rotation looked to be more of the same with Ricky Nolasco and Josh Johnson as the headliners (provided the latter’s injury rehab goes smoothly). After that a slovenly band of journeymen and veterans consisting of Anibal Sanchez, Chris Volstad and newly-acquired Wade Leblanc rounded things out. The Marlins, correctly realizing that this rotation was a recipe for disaster, made a game-changing signing — Mark Buehrle. Buehrle has been consistently solid for a long while in the tougher American League, and should benefit from a move to the senior circuit. He should be a formidable piece of the Marlins rotation and a coveted mid-tier fantasy starter on draft day.

Another area that the Marlins did manage to upgrade was their bullpen via their somewhat surprising acquisition of Heath Bell. Bell’s peripherals are not nearly what they once were, but he should be a clear upgrade over the “Artist formerly known as Leo Nunez” Juan Oviedo. Oviedo himself becomes a dicey fantasy play unless he is non-tendered and latches on elsewhere as a closer. However it seems fairly likely that the Marlins will keep him around for depth purposes. I’d shop him in keeper leagues before the dust settles.

Whether the Marlins have built a championship contender is still a matter of debate. They have certainly generated a buzz in the baseball world that will hopefully translate to attendance at their new ballpark. Regardless of the outcome, there will be many fantasy options coming out of this lineup this year, but don’t draft on hype alone. The value is there only if you know where to look.

From Around The Web

  1. Yeah, I Remember When says:
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    you know, the Marlins didn’t sign LeBlanc. They TRADED for him. They sent Buck to the Padres.

    and you’re writing on a fantasy baseball site?

  2. chata says:
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    “Mark Buehrle … should benefit from a move to the senior circuit. He should be a formidable piece of the Marlins rotation and a coveted mid-tier fantasy starter on draft day.” ……….. ?

    Mark Buehrle born 3/23/79
    GS 31 .. 205 IP .. 221 H .. 93 R .. 45 BB .. 109 K … .277 avg … 1.23 whip

    Player X born 4/23/79
    GS 21 .. 113 IP .. 120 H .. 55 R .. 24 BB .. 80 K … .273 avg … 1.27 whip

    how much difference is there , between these two starting pitchers ??

    incidentally .. Player X also made the move to the easier senior circuit .

  3. Tony says:
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    @Yeah, I Remember When: your point? LeBlanc did sign a contract didn’t he? Whether he was a FA or traded to the Marlins?

  4. Ned Shakeshaft says:
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    Screw the Marlins. This is their once-a-decade spree of spending way over their heads. Yeah it could very well result in a title, but in 3 years they’ll be stripping it bare and playing for the first overall pick in an empty park.

    Cheering for the Marlins (or the Heat for that matter) is like dating a stripper. Sure it’s fun and games now but things are gonna turn real ugly on a dime.

  5. Frezdc says:
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    The Marlins were actually one of the only teams in baseball that DIDN’t need Reyes. Why they made such a push, angering their best player, is beyond me. Also, Guillen is a psychopath. My guess is that by the All-Star break Ozzie and Hanley won’t even be able to be in the same room together. I know they needed to make a big splash in free-agency to sell tickets, but this just seems like wasted money. I would have taken Reyes’ money and put it towards either Puljols or Fielder, signed Aramis Ramirez to play 3rd, and then worked on my pitching. Buehrle is not a bad signing (although they paid too much), and maybe trading for a guy like Gio Gonzalez, or even Jeremy Helickson (if those rumors are true) would have been a good way to bolster their rotation. A pitching staff like that, with Bell as their closer, and a line-up infused with Albert or Prince and A-Ram would have made them an instant contender. The way it looks now is just a lot of money spent, for more questions than answers. I’m a 4 for 4 (Phillies, Eagles, Sixers, Flyers) Philadelphia fan, and can tell you first hand that signing free agents without a true plan is a recipe for disaster. We’re all suffering through this exact same situation here with the Eagles. Oh well, like I said, I’m a Phillies fan, and it isn’t my money…

  6. FANTHEAD says:
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    Awesome Razzball contribution. By the way, I hate it when critics ignore the true content that is shared only to nitpick at trivia. Comes across as mighty petty if that’s ALL you can add to the conversation, Mr or Ms Yeah, I Remember When.

    Sometimes I’ll read a great piece here or elsewhere and some reader will write in to say, “Hey jerk. You misspelled Rzepczynski and you’re writing on a fantasy baseball site?” or “Hey jerk. Rzepczynski had a 2.83 ERA for Lansing in 2008, not 2.86, and you’re writing on fantasy baseball site?”

    Errors and typos happen. They fall from the limbs of every human being. What doesn’t fall from everyone’s limbs is smart commentary and fresh insights.

    One thing I love about Razzball.com is that the reader commentary can be just as smart and funny and anti-petty as the Razzball commentators themselves. I hope that trend continues!

  7. Smokey

    Smokey says:
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    @chata: About 150 LBS..

  8. Wake Up says:
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    I’ve never had a tipo in my live

  9. Wake Up says:
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    Let’s not forget about the Phi. Eagles(they’re a football team Grey). They had a “Dream Team” this year too. Didn’t work out that great so far.

    Hanley, with all this turmoil, is a total wildcard. Ozzie is the new face of the org. If Stanton can keep his BA up…they’ll just need to identify some brains…then they’ll be A team.

  10. @chata: Fangraphs shows slightly different stats than those for Buehrle and Player X, and you’re commenting on a fantasy baseball site? /sarcasm
    A lot of people don’t seem to remember The Golden Rule these days, if it was even taught in the first place.

    Good point, plus Buehrle’s career stats are .19 xFIP lower, .12 WHIP lower, a full K/9 higher, and 3 straight Gold Gloves higher than Player X so he’s got a bit of an advantage to begin with. Will be interesting to see how things play out.

    Does Erik use a different name as a commenter?

  11. chata says:
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    @Smokey:
    @centralohguy:

    for clarification , Player X is carlos silva

  12. Erik

    Erik says:
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    @centralohguy nope, this is my username. I am just now getting to read all the comments.

    As for the typo posts, I legitimately forgot about that trade (shame on me for forgetting a trade of such epic proportions as Buck for Leblanc). Still, the criticism is still valid, even if a bit nitpicky. My bad.

    As an Eagles fan, that comment hit close to home about the “dream team.” At least no one on the Marlins has been dumb enough to call it the dream team yet like Vince Young.

    I don’t get the Buehrle to Silva connection. Maybe I’m wrong, but Silva has always been just a warm body pitcher who happened to have one pretty good year. Buehrle has been consistently very very good for his entire career. The poster that cited the career numbers was spot on IMO.

    @FANTHEAD thanks for all the support, I agree with your sentiment to keep the comments content-oriented. When you write you put yourself out there for others to criticize, so getting used to that is part of the gig. Still posts like yours are nice for a change.

    I also liked the dating a stripper joke, nice analogy there.

    Let’s keep the comments coming, I love Mike Stanton this year, maybe some of his HRs will be more than solo shots this year.

  13. @chata: That’s who I figured, but didn’t want to ruin your surprise. Fangraphs really did have some different info for both guys, but the idea is the same. I had forgotten about Silva’s out of nowhere 2010.

    @Erik: Sorry, I’m not a frequent enough commenter to remember everybody’s handle so I wasn’t sure. My take on the Buehrle comparison is that it supports your assertions he could improve his #s too. Thanks for contributing, whether everyone agrees with you or not.

  14. re: Stanton, I was looking at a visual comparison of Miami’s new stadium vs. PETCO the other day and they’re fairly similar in size.
    http://www.fishstripes.com/2011/12/4/2610969/courtesy-of-fish-stripes-own-chris-towers-here-is-an-overlay-of-the
    I also did a quick overlay of his 2011 HR from here
    http://www.hittrackeronline.com/detail.php?id=2011_3264&type=hitter
    in Photoshop and just about all of his “True” HR landing spots would still have gone yard in the new stadium.
    http://dl.dropbox.com/u/5107246/StantonHR_Vs_NewStadium.jpg

    Good to know for both him AND Miami pitchers, including Buehrle.

  15. Kris says:
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    Just wondering why Anibal Sanchez was lumped in with the “slovenly band of journeyman veterans” filling out the rotation. Did you check what he’s done the past two years? Ricky Nolasco is older and noticeably worse. Maybe you got the two mixed up.

  16. steve b says:
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    I wouldnt touch Hanley unless he’s there in the 5th round.His stats have been going south for 3 years.How does the new Miami stadium compare to the Mets park for hitters?

  17. Jeff From Tallahassee says:
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    @Yeah, I Remember When:

    The funny thing about this comment is that they didn’t sent Buck to the Padres, they sent Baker.. And you comment on a fantasy baseball site?!? How dare you!?!

Comments are closed.