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I was in no rush to review the signing of Victor Martinez by the Detroit Tigers.  No, it wasn’t all the tryptophan.  Players going to a new club that won’t change their fantasy value doesn’t really float my boat.  So let’s talk about what’s really on my mind, what a crock of shizz Paranormal Activity was.  Hey, girlfriend, I have an idea, let’s put baby powder on the ground. How about you dump the girl who can’t act, isn’t that pretty, makes bead jewelry and is being followed around by a demon?  That would’ve been my first thought.  Thankfully, I just had to order it on Netflix’s Instant thing-a-ma-movie-boob.  That, friends, is the best invention in the history of mankind behind the round beach blanket, which is my invention that I haven’t mass-produced yet.  You never have to turn it when the sun moves!  Martinez doesn’t have great career numbers at Comerica, but he wasn’t hitting right in front of or behind of Miguel Cabrera when he put up those numbers.  Plus, he was a visitor.  Anyone who has ever visited Detroit will have a pretty good idea why someone might not have the best time.  Martinez has never not hit (double negative!) and I don’t (triple!) think he suddenly stops never not hitting now.  (And he lands the Triple Lindy of double negatives!).  Could his numbers take a bit of a hit since he won’t be hitting doubles off the Green Monster?  Sure, but not enough to drop him below the third best catcher in the majors.  Anyway, here’s some more moves and their fantasy baseball repercussions:

Jarrod Saltalamacchia – This is actually interesting for me in fantasy.  The Salty sleeper post is already written.  As they say at supermarkets about receipts, it’s in the bag.  Sure, Salty hasn’t done a damn thing in the majors the last few years, except come down with a case of the yips, but he’s going to be a cheap catcher in fantasy drafts that will be hitting in the Red Sox lineup.  Thank you, come again!

Javier Vazquez – Signs with the Marlins, and just like that Vazquez gets value again.  In his last year in the NL East with the Braves, he had an ERA of 2.87 (which was above his xFIP, for those pushing their glasses up their nose) and a K/9 9.77.  That was in 2009.  2009 wasn’t that long ago.  I still have a 2009 Hello Kitty calender hanging in my kitchen.  I told you last year to stay away from Vazquez in The Stadium They Built Next To The House That Ruth Built.  This year, I’m saying the opposite.  He’ll be in a stadium that suppresses home runs, in a division where he’ll face two of the bottom seven worst offenses per 2010 (the Gnats and the Mess).  I don’t think Vazquez simply returns to his 2009 numbers, but around a 3.75 ERA is still quite possible.  Yeah, I modified with “quite.”  Get used to it!

Aubrey Huff – The re-signing of Huff by the Giants does little to nothing for his fantasy value, i.e., it stays what it was last year, i.e., he either repeats his great season or does what everyone expected him to do before his great season and underperforms, i.e., he’ll probably be a fantasy bust.

Clint Barmes – Finally, the Astros have a replacement for Craig Biggio.  Only it’s the Biggio we saw in his last major league season when he hit 10 home runs and batted .251 and stole 4 bases.  In NL-Only leagues, I could see Barmes having some value as a late flier to see if he can hit fifteen home runs and steal ten bases (both numbers are his ceiling), but his average will probably be tizz-errible.

Eric Young Jr. – Even if you just started reading Razzball, you’re well aware I love me some Eric Young Jr.  I’m naming my firstborn Eric Young Albright Jr.  With Barmes out of town, Young should have regular time at second base.  He will definitely get a sleeper post in the near future.

Felipe Paulino – For pitchers with at least 80 IP, Paulino threw the 2nd hardest fastball behind only Ubaldo.  Like hanging out with the elderly, there’s trouble with the walks.  On the bright side, his FIP was 3.44 compared to his 5.11 ERA.  Paulino may not warrant fantasy consideration in all leagues, but in deeper mixed leagues (think 14+ teams) Paulino has the upside worth drafting.

  1. Eddy says:
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    What round do you think Vasquez warrants a pick in to be considered fair? EY?

  2. Fanthead says:
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    My good man, I belong to a dynasty league where I am thinking about rebuilding my team of vets with curious young bloods. Would you please peer into your remarkable crystal ball and tell if any of the following young bloods excite you and are worth holding onto for possible LONG-term rewards?:

    BATS
    Brandon Allen, ARZ
    Felix Pie, BALT
    Ryan Kalish, BOS
    Josh Sale, TB
    Allen Craig, STL

    ARMS
    Chris Narveson, MLK
    A. Ranaudo, BOS

    I must also wonder whether you see a re-emergence of Pablo Sandoval.

    Much thanks!!!

  3. SwaggerJackers says:
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    If you had to guess today, where will Cliff Lee, Crawford and Werth end up?

  4. Stephen

    Stephen says:
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    @Fanthead: Kalish is going to a 20-20 type player. Brandon Allen has 30 home run potential but needs to prove himself. Allen Craig has 25 home run potential but is playing out of position.

    Honestly, I really like Kalish as a young blood with long-term rewards. Allen and Craig have intriguing power potential. Sale hasn’t played in the minors yet and I don’t know too much about him.

  5. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Eddy: Between the 15-17th….

    @Fanthead: Allen, Kalish… Sandoval could hit 20 homers and a .300 average.

    @SwaggerJackers: Yankees, Angels and Padres…

  6. Fanthead says:
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    Thanks, dudes! That really hit the spot. Now if I could just entice you two to be my third- and first-base coaches, respectively.

  7. Eddy says:
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    @Grey:

    I think that “EY” came off as a Canadian “eh?”. Was that 15th-17th for Vasquez or Eric Young Jr? Sorry for the mix up

  8. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Fanthead: No problem.

    @Eddy: They’ll both be around 200th overall, give or take 20+ picks.

  9. ThE sHiT says:
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    @Grey: Blurbs like the one for Paulino really make me miss baseball season. Keep up the good work! Paulino comparable to dlR for next season?

  10. Eddy says:
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    @Grey:
    Let’s hope it stays that way. Hopefully ESPN doesn’t gloss over the fact that EY will be the primary 2B. And Vasquez *should* remain somewhat unnoticed come March. I think FA signings that happen early in the off-season are forgotten after a few months.

    Speaking of EY Jr., I think Bill James’ projection of 69 runs is pretty conservative considering he expects him to steal 46 bases.

  11. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @ThE sHiT: He has dlR upside but he’s not nearly as safe and dlR himself isn’t that safe. Lots of risk with Paulino.

    @Eddy: Very conservative, but I’m not sure how many ABs James is giving him.

  12. Stephen

    Stephen says:
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    @Eddy: @Grey: Not to compare the Rockies and Astros offense, or to raise the level of pessimism in the middle of a dreary day, however, Michael Bourn in 2008 had 41 steals with 57 runs while getting 467 at-bats (514 plate appearances). Granted his slash line was .229/.288/.300. Personally, I think Bourn’s 2010 season would be what we could expect from EY2: .265/.341/.346 with 52 steals and 84 runs.

  13. Eddy says:
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    @Grey:
    He has him at 482 PA in 131 games.
    @Stephen:
    That’s actually a great point and a very good comparison. I would take that from a double digit round MI any day of the week.

  14. ThE sHiT says:
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    @Grey: Ok, yeah I guess I was referring to his upside. Who knows what his downside can be with his control issues. dlR will be a late round target of mine in drafts. I’m a sucker for high K pitchers just like you. Have an awesome day! I’m off to work in a couple hours on my day off, logging in some good ol’ overtime.

  15. Terrence Mann says:
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    @Grey: Paulino is the definition of a Grey pitcher. He’s a poor man’s Filthy Sanchez. I owned him in Razz and after looking at his numbers I realized he was somehow unownable in Razz. Even though he was 0-7 at the time and pitching in Houston, he was unownable! Pitching in the same division as the Cubs and Pirates should be enough to put him in the 5th starter slot you had Sanchez in last year. He’s also a bigger unknown than Sanchez was going into last season. Further, should anyone really be afraid of the Cardinals and Reds lineups? Not with those K/9 numbers! I’m too lazy to do it, but I’d like to see his numbers from June 1st on. He had some really good starts after he got his first win.

  16. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Eddy: That’s a decent game/PA projection.

    @ThE sHiT: Gotcha… Yeah, dlR is the guy to target in most leagues. Paulino’s for deeper leagues. Have a good day!

    @Terrence Mann: He’s such an unknown that makes me think he could be a steal in the very last round of drafts, but he might also be Sanchez in 2009 and need one more year.

  17. Eddy says:
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    @Terrence Mann:
    It’s impossible to look at his post-June 1st stats because he had no starts past the month of June. I must say I did not know he finished 1-9. He didn’t even pitch 100 innings. And from the looks of it, he’s a home scholar (0-5 on road with a 6.8 K/9). He had a 9.1 K/9 at home in case you were wondering. Regardless, he had 6 (out of the 10 games he started) games where the ‘Stros gave him 0-2 runs of support. I’m definitely with you on his sleeper factor and he’s someone I’d target late in the draft as well.

    Btw, all that info came from baseball reference if you’re interested in reading up on him some more.

  18. Eddy says:
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    @Eddy:
    Quick correction, 14 GS in 2010, not 10.

  19. Steve says:
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    Uribe to the Dodgers, 3 years, 21 mill.

    @Grey: Felipe and I have trust issues. Don’t ask me how I remember, but in ’09 I grabbed him for a spot start in the RCL.

    I asked you if I should start him, you said no.
    “Pah – what does Grey know?”, I said to myself – and started him. Of course he gives up something like 9 earned in 2 innings or somesuch.

    There’s a moral in there somewhere…

  20. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Steve: God the Dodgers make terrible moves on offense. And that’s the problem with Paulino, he can do that and be soul-crushing.

  21. tHe sHiT says:
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    @Steve: @Grey: Not a good time to be a Dodger fan. I thought the Garland signing was bad, and now Uribe. They should have just saved some of that money and stood pat with what they have. Maybe the losing party of the McCourt divorce is pulling the strings on these deals to get revenge…

  22. Steve says:
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    @Grey: Yeah – Uribe did some great things in the postseason, but day-to-day there’s no reason to think he’s suddenly going to turn into something other that what he’s always been – a streaky, low-average hitter.

    And Garland will probably do a job for them. He appeals as one of those guys who’s more valuable to a real team than a fantasy one.

  23. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @tHe sHiT: Uribe’s such a negative wherever they play him. I think someone’s ghost riding that team.

    @Steve: He’s the prototypical rally killer. Dreadful move. Garland’s just what he is, an innings eater.

  24. Chris says:
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    I imagine Vazquez will be going around the 11th-12th with the Wandy’s and Nolasco’s of the world, no? Yeah, he was terrible last year, but all of the high strikeout NL guys with some record of success get hyped up going the season.

    If he makes it to the 15th rd, I’ll have him on every team.. but I doubt I’ll get the chance.

  25. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @Chris: You might be right, but he did have a 5+ ERA last year. Think he falls a few rounds after where you’re predicting him to go.

  26. GopherDay says:
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    @Grey: Grey, with the same dynasty league I asked you about yesterday, what outfielders would you give up for Moustakas? That position is a black hole for me, currently occupied by Cuddyer. Blech.

    Anyways, the guy with Moustakas has really old outfielders and not any up and coming ones either.

    These are all of my outfielders both on my minor league and major league roster:
    Shane Victorino
    Chris Young
    Delmon Young
    Manny Ramírez
    Ryan Kalish
    Michael Saunders
    Michael Taylor
    Jaff Decker
    Josh Sale

    Which of those players is Mous worth?

    Thanks Grey!

  27. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @GopherDay: Any of the last four guys… Or Manny.

  28. Grey

    Grey says:
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    @big o: Tempus does fugit way too fast. And Scully is the greatest. Sad thinking this will be his last year.

  29. GopherDay says:
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    Tulowitski and Rockies finalizing 10 year deal.

  30. GopherDay says:
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    @Grey: Yeah, and by the time he finishes out the contract he’ll be in the franchise short stop in his mid-thirties negotiating a new contract. Sound familiar?

    He will also be the first player under contract for 2020.

  31. big o says:
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    @Grey:

    scully deserves to go out with a winner .
    instead , the (mc)courts are leaving him with a bunch
    of latchkey kids .

  32. GopherDay says:
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    Rockies close to signing De la Rosa to a 3 year deal. My dynasty league is saddened that he didn’t find a more pitcher friendly park to call home.

  33. Scott says:
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    Rockies getting Jose Lopez going to cut into EYjr’s ABs.

    It sucks that a guy who killed my squad last year in a re-draft league is now going to take AB’s from a guy I’ve had waiting his turn in a keeper.

    (In other words, Jose Lopez is nowhere near done pissing me off.)

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