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I almost didn’t write this post.  Not because I was trapped under a Pizza Hut/Taco Bell Combo and unable to move my arms, but because Jurickson Profar will either be a huge boost for 2013 fantasy teams or he’ll be irrelevant and it’s not really on him which outcome comes to play.  It depends on the Rangers.  And it’s not like my Wil Myers fantasy which depends on the Royals and their cheapness.  This depends more on, where is Profar going to play?  Scenario Number One:  Andrus is traded this offseason, Profar runs with the shortstop job.  Scenario Number Two:  Hamilton leaves, Kinsler is moved to the outfield and Profar gets a middle infield job.  Scenario Number Three:  There is no scenario number three.  Scenario Number Four:  Kinsler or Andrus are injured; Profar gets the job and yadda.  Scenario Number Five:  Abu Nazir buys the Rangers because they used to be the Washington Senators, and Nazir orders Andrus on a suicide mission, sending him into a bunker with Bud Selig.  Only Andrus seems to be struggling with his decision and then Kinsler calls him and asks when he’s coming home, so Andrus disobeys Nazir, begins working for the CIA and is conveniently traded to the Nationals so he can be near the main branches of government, which allows Profar to get the starting job in Texas.  Scenario Number Five seems less likely.  So what can we expect of Jurickson Profar for 2013 fantasy baseball if he plays?

He’s a 20/20 threat at shortstop with a likely .280 average over the course of next season.  He was born in 1993.  You remember 1993, it was the year you got your driver’s license and told your mom you’re going to follow Sister Hazel on tour.  Profar is the first player to reach the majors born in 1993.  Though, I think Alfonso Soriano briefly claimed to be born in 1993.  In case you’re new to this whole “fantasy thing,” Profar’s going to be a 1st or 2nd round talent very soon.  If you’re new to reading, when I put quotes around fantasy thing, I was being snarky.  If you’re new to the word snarky–well, moving on.  Profar is going to be a star.  His upside is 30/30.  In August when he was called up as a bench bat, I compared him to a young Hanley.  You’re looking at a Rookie of the Year candidate next year if he has an everyday job.  Again, to reiterate on the aforementioned reiteration, Profar needs Andrus to disappear, which seems unlikely but possible.  I’d put the odds of that happening at 20%.  If Andrus isn’t traded in the offseason, there’s a good chance he is by midseason.  If Profar gets the job in April, I’ll put his line at 70/14/40/.275/20.  That’s a beautiful thing.  Or if Ice T is reading, it’s bootyfull.  In reality, his line will probably look closer to 30/5/20/.290/10 in 200 ABs.

30 Responses

  1. Daryl says:
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    I’d go with Andrus getting traded by mid-season. Profar got called up but never got much game time this year. I’d bet they give him more of the same for the first half and then move Andrus to open up a spot.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Daryl, Yeah, you could be right, or could be a totally different looking Rangers by Spring Training…

  2. chata says:
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    will he be a viable fantasy play and inserted into the everyday
    lineup in arlington or will they have him start the year off in the minors ?

    well , the juri is still out … the profar is in the putting .

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha! Look at you, thinking you can just sneak in with a comment… CHATA! What’s up, man? Better yet, you’re alive…Well played…

  3. jwalkerus says:
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    20 team keeper league. My team is

    Votto
    Brett lawrie
    Mccutch
    Jose bautista

    We keep 5 forever

    Who is the better 5th keeper?

    Manny machado or profar?

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @jwalkerus, Machado….It’s really a total tossup though…

  4. royce! says:
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    Just read that the Angels intend to go with an OF of Trumbo, Trout and Bourjos, which could make Bourjos a late round value, though I don’t know how often Wells will sneak in to rob him of any value.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I thought Bourjos would be awesome this year with 12/30 possibility… Now I’m worried that Bourjos is nice in theory but the Angels may never give him 550 ABs… Plus, what happened with the hip? It magically got better?

      • royce! says:
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        @Grey, I think he’s supposed to have hip surgery this off-season. The recovery time is 6-12 weeks, so last Feb., when they considered the surgery, they didn’t go forward with it so that he could be ready for ST. So I just assume that it’ll happen soon. No idea how well he’ll recover, but I would think that we’ll know by ST.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I just read that he decided against surgery in October… So he’s either out of the woods or lame as balls and will still be injured this year…

      • royce! says:
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        @Grey, Oops, just read something newer about his hip- something about it “fraying” and not needing surgery, also that the injury goes back 4-5 years. I guess we’ll have to wait and see if he plays winter ball or how he does in ST.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah, yeah, just replied above before reading this…

  5. JT says:
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    Ah, the post I’ve been anxiously awaiting. I’ve been dying to get my Profar on. His name sounds like a Pfizer product for E.D. I’m really hoping that something is decided in the off-season.

    Sister Hazel reference…yucka! Although, “All For You” would be a great ode to your ‘stache, Grey…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Don’t hate The Hazel… I could actually see my mustache singing The Hazel at karaoke…

  6. JT says:
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    And yes, that was an oxford comma to heighten my post from the depths of Sister Hazel references. I am ashamed.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      HA! Don’t you love that you’re writing about your Oxford Comma in the comments on a fantasy baseball blog…

      • JT says:
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        @Grey, Could be worse…I could do stream of conscious posts with no punctuation. This is a safe place for Oxford commas; we’re all friends bound by our mutual addiction. Sad thing is: I look forward to these posts and subsequent banter. Beats the hell out of the NBA. And Married to Jonas. I know this may open a can of worms, but is Anthony Rendon dead? All the talk of Nats 2B issues and haven’t heard his name once.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I think Rendon is alive but due to his constant health issues I can’t say he is confidently unless I’m in the same room as him which I am not…

  7. Jays Fan says:
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    16 team 6×6 Keeper league Keep 8 plus one player exceeding rookie eligibility this year.

    Current favorites for keeper spots:

    McCutch
    J.Upton
    Hanley
    Carlos Santana
    Hosmer
    Moustakas
    Machado
    Altuve
    Hanson

    I have a chance to move Upton, Hanley, Santana, Moustakas, Hanson, Starling Marte

    for

    CarGo, Starlin Castro, Cueto, Jason Kubel, Wilin Rosario, Mike Napoli

    I hate to give up Justin Upton but does this deal make me better?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Don’t really like the deal for you…

      • Jays Fan says:
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        @Grey, which part of the deal turns you off the most?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          CarGo and Upton is a push…Castro over Hanley is not nearly enough to lose the rest of those guys for a SP who isn’t great and some catchers…

  8. Macaluso says:
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    Hey grey, love reading your stuff. I’m in an 8 team 5 x 5 root league. We can keep 9 player.

    I have:

    Kemp
    Votto
    Cano
    Kershaw
    Lawrie
    Jennings
    Cespedes

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Macaluso, Oh, I see now… There was another comment… Thanks for the kind words! Okay:

      Kemp
      Votto
      Cano
      Kershaw
      Lawrie
      Jennings
      Cespedes
      Darvish
      Mauer
      Sale…

      Last one is tough, could go a few different ways… I’d lean towards Sale right now…

  9. Macaluso says:
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    Try that again…

    Kemp
    Votto
    Cano
    Kershaw
    Lawrie
    Jennings
    Cespedes
    Hallday

  10. Macaluso says:
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    Third times a charm right? The top 4 are no brainers but need your Input on the rest.

    Kemp
    Votto
    Cano
    Kershaw

    Lawrie
    Jennings
    Cespedes
    Halladay
    Sale
    Darvish
    Mauer
    Morse

  11. Macaluso says:
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    Oh and I forgot I have profar too. Ok now I’m really done. Yeesh.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Macaluso, How many can you keep? How many teams in the league? Take follow ups to the newest post…

    • Macaluso says:
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      @Macaluso,

      Grey. Sorry bro, I’m a mess. I can keep 9 of these players:

      Kemp – Locked in
      Votto – Locked in
      Cano – Locked in
      Kershaw – Locked in
      Tulo – almost locked in

      So that leaves me 4 more out of of the following….Now here’s where I get foggy.

      Sale
      Cespedes
      Mauer
      Lawrie
      Kipnis
      Jennings
      Darvish
      Halladay
      Profar

      So of the last nine listed, what 4 do you keep in an 8 team 5X5 roto league?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Lawrie, Mauer, Kipnis, Jennings… I could see going a few different ways though… What’s the team set up like? MIs, CIs and 5 OFs?

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