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You say Alcides Escobar, I say Jean Segura…Let’s call the whole thing off!  That’s you and the co-owner of your fantasy team right before your eyes lock after twelve years of friendship and things suddenly get weird.  “Doode, you have nacho cheese on your lip and it’s in a tear drop shape.” “What?” “Nothing. Wanna play touch football? Our team needs a tight end.” On a side-sidenote, doesn’t Jean Segura sound like an actor from the 1950’s?  I imagine him lurking in the shadows of Vienna’s back alleys.  Jean Segura is…The Third Man!… with Joseph Cotten and Ryan Raburn. “Between Switzerland and Milwaukee, they had 500 years of democracy and peace, and what did that produce?  The cuckoo clock and Miller beer.”  That’s Dead Orson Welles schooling you as he waits in line for Zsa Zsa Gabor.  “Is she coming or what?!”  That’s still Dead Orson Welles.  Okay, enough hullabaloney, Segura just missed the cutoff of 150 major league ABs for a 2013 fantasy baseball rookie post, so here he is as a sleeper.  Indeed, because I’m yawning.  Thanks, Random Italicized Voice.  What if I told you Segura once stole 50 bases in the minors?  Does that hold your interest?  Are you still talking to me?  No, I’m talking to everyone.  Sure, that was in A-Ball, but guys don’t just steal 50 bases for s’s and g’s if they’re slow as dog balls. Also, he stole 37 bases last year in the minors in about two-thirds of a season.  Add an extra third and you have 50+ steals, and don’t even get me started with what he can do with that extra leftover 1%.  Have your interest piqued now?  I’m still drowsy, but go ahead.  Ugh.  So what can we expect of Jean Segura in 2013 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

The opening about Alcides wasn’t too far off, but, like a black market that sells dwarfs, it could be selling Segura short.  Alcides never stole 50 bases (close with 46 one year) and never hit 10 homers any season in the minors or majors.  Segura did.  He went 10/50 that year in A-Ball and he hit 7 homers in 102 minor league games last year.  Sure, he didn’t hit for any power last year in the majors, but I wouldn’t hold that against him.  If I said he’s beautiful and I want him in every league, would you hold that against me?  The chances are greater for Segura to have an Ian Desmond-lite power year than a strong Alcides power year.  Meaning:  Segura’s liable to get 12 homers before he hits only three.  He also hits for a solid average, maintaining a decent strikeout rate.  I’ll admit that at the age of twenty-two, we might be a year early on Segura in most mixed leagues, but he’s absolutely worth a flyer for middle infidel slots.  In 2013, I’ll give him the line of 75/5/50/.282/32, assuming he gets to the top of the Brewers lineup by May.  Before you scoff, you scoffer, that’s a solid middle infielder for any fantasy league.  Now why is Ryan Raburn’s shadow twenty feet high and what’s with all of these cuckoo clocks?

  1. IowaCubs

    IowaCubs says:
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    Holy shit! I leave Razzball for 3 months and come back and it’s all grown up looking! Jeebus!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @IowaCubs: Why would you leave us for three months? Jeebus you!

  2. DrEasy says:
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    No no no! Jean Segura sounds like that hot short-haired blonde girl who played in Breathless, which makes her, er… I mean him, another excellent fingercuffing candidate.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @DrEasy: Ha… I think he sounds like a grandmother’s real name but luckily you call her Bubbie.

  3. Terrence Mann says:
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    Can we expect sleeper posts for Weeks, Aoki, and Gomez? Or the secret strikout staff? Are the Brewers the sneaky team to jump on for roto in 2013?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Terrence Mann: Those hitters aren’t sleepers… But you might not be too far off with the SPs…

      • Terrence Mann says:
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        @Grey: Agreed, but those hitters are being taken late or not at all in the 10 and 12 team mocks I’ve done.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Terrence Mann: Hmm… Well, if they continue to not be drafted they will be sleepers… I think it’s just early data on mocks though…

      • Terrence Mann says:
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        @Grey: Bought ya a drink or two today. Does that bribe get me a wwf game? If not, no worries.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Thanks for the donation! re: WWF, I’m headed for za for lunch…

          • Terrence Mann says:
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            @Grey: Nice. Qi a slice or three for me.

  4. rjb says:
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    Segura had 151 ABs in 2012 per ESPN… is this incorrect?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @rjb: It’s correct; he just missed the 150 ABs cutoff to be considered a rookie…

  5. JRB says:
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    Picked him up off the wire towards the end of last season in my NL-only 5×5 roto league. Pretty worthless and was not even on my radar. Grey has opened my eyes!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JRB: As long as you don’t start singing Suddenly I See…

  6. Ned Shakeshaft says:
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    I’ve never heard his name called. Is it “Jean” like Valjean or Grey?

  7. Cole says:
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    The brewers lead the nl in run scored, slugging, and were second in OPS last year. All this after losing Prince. The difference was adding aoki with his on base skills and the further development of Lucroy (and Martin Maldanado’s solid stats when Luc was hurt). Add in Segura’s on base skills to that line-up and it only makes it more potent. I think 75 runs for Segura is conservative.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cole: I hope you’re right… I’d happily take more…

  8. Keeper leagues or NL only roto IMO…

    Way too many tested SS types there in the same potential range (who may come cheaper)… Many on the upswing for the Free Mixed online leagues…. If you miss the top one (my early plan this year)… It can be the last thing you need to worry about in the draft… You can play switchboard operator with them all year too and never worry…

    All but guarantee you, Cabrera of Pads is there – if you are looking for speed.. could be huge!!!
    I think,Cozart breakouts.. I believe!!!
    Old Hardy for nothing whenever you want him.. 20 taters if you need power
    Lowrie of Houston will be forgotten more cheap power
    There will be higher rated ones available real late too.. Heck, you might snag Escobar really late… He languished all last year in 12 team league puddles

    The good thing about this in 12 team leagues is – you are but certain to get your 162 games in with all their incumbent ABs.. While some guy is commited and stuck with an under performing stud – he won’t cut – and winds up leaving 15 to 20 games unplayed at the position on the table.. You just beat him!!

    Another great thing is – if someone has a woody for one of them – yawn – you just take the next one and plug him in… Maybe ,that someone might be Segura – yawn…

      • @t moore: Sorry for the multiple replies, Mr Gray I know you are a busy man… But, you must be made to suffer for your U.C. Davis remarks for a really long time to come..
        Really, I wanted to comment on Eddie Nunez, NYY … He is a true sleeper this year…. He may be big this year.. There is a chance he sees 500 ABs depending on the health of ARod and Jeter… 300, 10, 65, 75, 30+ season is not totally out of the question in that lineup- and all for an afterthought.. plenty of positions played too…

        Think Penny now at Arizona, deserves some light love too… Think he bounces of his low of last year to be respectable in deeper leagues again..

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @t moore: I like Ed Nunez,could have some sneaky value…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @t moore: Everth is a .240 hitter who could get platooned… I like Cozart… Lowrie’s never played more than 100 games*. (*Guessing at the number.)

      • @Grey: @Grey: @Grey:

        True on all counts… But, that is the beauty of 12 team switchboarding… It does not really matter … Plug on – plug off, like Mr Miyagi.. and “Don’t get hit”

        Use’m and lose’m… Play’m when they are hot – toss’m when they are not… 12 team play is a big puddle… Lawrie is OK at times and he is not hurt… Esp. when you have a light games played day… Plug on – Plug off… BANZAI !!!!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ha… True…

  9. DeeVee says:
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    He might post similar numbers to Andrus next year but some scouts project 15-20 HRs from Mean Jean in his prime. Could have a Jimmy Rollins-like career.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I agree, the potential for power is there…

  10. Big Magoo says:
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    I love a cheap MI who gives you speed and doesn’t kill you anywhere. I was looking at Segura as the ’13 version of Altuve, and it looks like your projections are along those lines. Nice to see you, January Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Jan. Grey, “Thanks to November Grey for getting me out of that Turkish prison!”

      • Big Magoo says:
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        @Grey: “Joey, have you ever been in a Turkish prison?” Now, I’ll always associate November Grey with the cinematic masterpiece known as Airplane. Have any of the offseason Greys been watching Top Chef or the Next Iron Chef shows?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I wouldn’t miss either show… Though I kinda miss Top Chef… As in I miss when it was good…

          • Big Magoo says:
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            @Grey: Yeah, I agree… Top Chef is a little weaker this year… I think they planned on John being the most hated, but Josie and even Josh have been the douchiest… the overall “talent” seems to be mediocre… Iron Chef has been decent though

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I think you hit the nail on the head… I’ll add that hated is good, douchiest is not good… Annoying, as Josie is, is even worse…. Stefan has been a big disappointment too… He was so entertaining his first season and he’s floating in the middle, not causing any drama…

              • Big Magoo says:
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                @Grey: Douchiest is definitely not good… At least John is entertaining and Josh gets bonus points for having a handlebar… I cringe every time Josie makes an appearance though… I think Stefan is relishing the lack of negative attention and flying below the radar a bit…

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, I won’t ruin the newest episode for you… I will say this, Josie is still annoying… She reminds of the person who gets assigned to sit next to you in homeroom and you have to endure for the full year but you know at least you don’t have to hang out with her outside of school…

              • Big Magoo says:
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                @Grey: Btw, I have the most recent episode DVRed, so I’m unaware of the most recent elimination. I know that Josh was on thin ice, so I’m mentioning him as though he’s still alive.

  11. Lord Baldrick says:
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    Glurg….can’t wait three more months for next buy/sell….could you do one this month for the Premier League to tide us over?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Is Premiere League anything to do with Premiere Magazine?

  12. adam says:
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    dickey or wainright

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Wainwright

  13. phil says:
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    Off topic, but can we get some baseball podcasts during spring training? I’m itchin for the audio!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think we start broadcasting in March…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      First clip is great… I had seen the 2nd clip, also good though… I didn’t even think of looking what he did in Winter Ball… He’s primed, baby, primed!

      • OaktownSteve says:
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        @Grey:

        You having a tough time putting together the first couple rounds of your rankings this year? I just got back into it (mouring period for the A’s) and I’m finding it to be one of the trickier years. Lots of question marks in the top rounds relative to recent history. Guessing we’ll see a lot more variations.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, I have question marks as early as number three overall… My top ten and 20 are whoppers with shizz all over the place… Top ten will be posted on Jan 14th…

  14. Nate Marcum says:
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    Really like Segura as well. Would you agree that this could be the year for a plethora of underrated, and extremely low ADP for some top/rebounding SS’s this year? Also, when is that trip to St.Louis gonna be? You already have tickets if you need em to watch the Cardinals.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Don’t have any trip to St. Louie planned but you’ll be the second person I tell after my Cougar… There’s a bunch of SS’s, yeah… It looks deeper and more exciting than 2nd basemen…

  15. Big AL says:
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    Do you have plans to do a early mock draft or two with some of the other writers ?
    Need some input.This is really nit picking,but I’d like your opinion on who you would draft. Pick two.Standard 12 team H2H league. J. Heyward, A.Jones, B.Harper, E5, J.Hamilton.
    As always thanks for your opinion.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, we’ll do some mocks at a some point… I like Jones and Hamilton from those…

  16. GTS says:
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    Are we high on Lawrie this year? Last year everybody jumped on the bandwagon but he came back down to earth. What kind of numbers should we expect from him this year?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Projections will be coming in the next few weeks… I’m still fine with him, just had an off year…

      • Bob says:
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        Have the 2nd pick in a 12 team keeper league (keep 5) and I’m probably thinking Lawrie. People too often judge someone by what they did “last” year and not what they will probably do the following year!

        • Tony says:
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          @Bob: damn straight they do, thats where the value is….. go with what ya know, or what grey says, either way.

  17. SwaggerJackers says:
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    Alcides doesn’t take many walks. Is that another unfortunate similarity with Jean?

    If so, Billie Jean Is Not My Segura

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha… Nah, he should take a few walks… Not great but some… Almost twice as many as Alcides…

  18. Pig Charmer says:
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    OK Grey. How would you rank, for re-draft leagues in 2013, J Segura, J Rutledge, and A Simmons?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Rankings will be coming shortly…

  19. royce! says:
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    I watched the most recent episode of Top Chef and fear that it has become purgatory for promising chefs. Whenever anyone loses, they are all, “at least I’m going home to see my family”… Then the producers yank them into another competition, and if they lose that, they have to watch other losers compete with one another. I want to warn new chefs to stay away from Top Chef…YOU’LL NEVER SEE YOUR FAMILY AGAIN!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha… I don’t like this season, as I was saying above… Only person I care about is Kuniko and she’s been gone for 5 weeks… CJ is such a douche too, I forgot about him in those other TC comments… I’m not sure it’s fixable unless they get better (more interesting) people… Even the guy with the mustache seems like a surefire personality and he’s just a docuhe… You don’t deserve facial hair!

      • royce! says:
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        @Grey: Didn’t they have some “Which chef should they bring back?” text poll during the last episode, and Kuniko was winning? I thought I saw something like that, which really cemented the idea that there is no escape…You’re absolutely right about Josh (the dude with the mustache)-imposter!…I still dig Sheldon, and Kristen seems like a good chef and is nice to look at, but she’s a bit boring…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I saw something about that “which chef to bring back” thing but I was praying they were just doing it as a social media outreach program rather than actually planning on bringing back someone plus the winner of Last Chance Kitchen… This might be the first reality show that as a five year run…

          • royce! says:
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            @Grey: In a final twist, they should make the winner battle Julia Child…

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Who they locked away in the stew room ten years ago…

  20. royce! says:
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    And also, it’s my birthday on the 14th; good to know that there’s at least one thing that will make being one year older bearable.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Happy pre-birthday! I’m a Capricorn too… 18th…

  21. Scotty Siegs says:
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    Grey, I’m a long time reader and big time fan, I really enjoy this blog. I have a question though, who wins in a David Price for Evan Longoria trade??

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks for the kind words! Longoria…

      • Scotty Siegs says:
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        @Grey: What makes you so confident that an oft-injured hitter is more valuable than a reigning cy young who has logged over 643 innings in 97 starts over the past 3 seasons in which we’ve seen in increase of k’s into the 200s and a decrease in whip down to 1.10?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I prefer a top hitter to a top pitcher always… Pitching’s abundant, 3rd base isn’t… I still believe in Longoria too…

  22. Hats for Bats says:
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    All I heard in that first paragraph was SAGNOF!

    • Hats for Bats says:
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      @Hats for Bats: last round flyer at best?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Maybe SAGNOF, maybe 7 homers plus SAGNOF… Nah, he’ll be grabbed before that by me… Probably around 200th…

  23. costaricanchata says:
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    so , i remembered how to log in to the forums , but have forgotten how to create a new post .
    can you help a fella out ?

    * fella = http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lMTrthePKU0

  24. Travis says:
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    Grey are you on Twitter?

  25. David Freese says:
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    Grey, what ya think? NL only. 5 keepers with no salary or consequences for who you keep. I’m keeping Cutch, Castro and Stanton assuming he doesn’t get traded to AL. Need to choose 2 from Gio, Gallardo, Waino, Rosario, Lincecum, Utley, Frazier, Crawford.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Gio, Crawford… Could go a few ways with the last one…

  26. Steve says:
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    Jeebus. Friend-of-Razzball Jason Collette just tweeted that he took Edwin Encarnacion with the 7th pick of the 2nd round in a mock.

    Perhaps he’s mocking the mockers. Apparently it’s for some magazine. You’re not doing to too are you, Grey?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah, I’m not doing it… Edwin that early seems kinda crazy…

  27. adam says:
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    Hey Grey, love me some segura… great source of late steals, on that subject what do you think of bonifaceo over/under 40 steals

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Over barely…

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