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Bob Seger, Chevrolet’s poet laureate, once wrote, “Who wants to play those eights and aces/Who wants a raise/Who needs a stake/Who wants to take that long shot gamble?” The tune was “Fire Lake” and while not his best, (Give me “The Famous Final Scene”) or the best thing out of Detroit (give me The Stooges any day), I do like the line on taking a long shot. I’m a ramblin’ gamblin’ man. Recently we rolled the dice on Marlon Byrd and hit it like a hard ten/a woman’s best friend (For all our Mormon readers, that’s a good thing). Sometimes taking a chance pays off big and it’s Cristal and caviar, sometimes you’re busted and it’s Pabst and pork rinds. We have taken our chances this season, often throwing stats and logic aside. I got a feelin’! Oh, it’s just gas. Stupid pork rinds. Yes indeed, fellow Razzballer’s, we had jammer/crammers that we hit on like Raul Ibanez, Nick Franklin and Koji Uehara. Others left us bankrupt. Damn you Ike Davis!  I’m crying real tears over my fake baseball team here. It’s time to take some risks and find us a longshot. Time to put on some Seger, don the Ray-Ban’s and slide across the living room floor in our underwear. It’s time to jam it or cram it.

Jam or Cram: Junior Lake, 3B/OF, Chicago Cubs

Availability: 71% Yahoo, 60% ESPN

Stats Last Week: 3 R, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB, .484 AV, 1.130 OPS

The Gist: It was a great first week in baseball for Junior. Does he have anything left? Lake has always had the tools, but never did much with them. Perhaps he just likes wearing the hard hat and the tool belt while singing “In the Navy”. His career average in the minors is .271 and he’s never hit more than 12 home runs. However, Lake had 38 stolen bases in 2011 and 21 last season. SAGNOF!

Key Stat: Junior likes to swing. He has struck out 579 times in 619 minor league games.

A Gooey Factoid: Junior is the first Cub to get a hit in his first seven games since Jerome Walton did it in 1989. Jerome is also remembered for being the only Walton who refused to say, “Goodnight, John-Boy.”

X-File: Lake only had 40 career games at Triple-A before being called up.

Jam it or Cram it: Great week, Junior. Everyone is so proud. All the girls think you’re so toolsy! And with Alfonso Soriano gone and the Cubs going nowhere, Junior’s going to get thrown in the lake of fire. We may not see him again ’til the fourth of July. Can the hotness continue? He gets the Brewers and the Dodgers this week. I’ll take a gamble. JAM. Kudos if you got the Meat Puppets reference.

Jam or Cram: Henry Urrutia, OF, Baltimore Orioles

Availability: 95% Yahoo, 99% ESPN

Stats Last Week: 1 R, 2 RBI, .333 AV, .750 OPS

The Gist: Viva La Cuba! Puig, Cespedes, Urrutia! Someone get me a mojito! Urrutia was tearing it up like a muddler through mint in the minors. In 67 games he hit .366 with seven homers and 43 RBI. Urrutia will have a solid average, hit home runs and struggle against left-handers. It’s a Platoony Tunes.

Key Stat: Urrutia slashed .397/.461/.597 in 305 at-bats with 12 home runs and had more walks (32) than strikeouts (23) in 2010, his last year in Cuba.

X-File: Urrutia was terrific in Cuba and great in the minors. Can he continue to produce in the majors? Where’s my mojito?

Jam it or Cram it: Ok Razzballer’s , today’s blog has been about gambling on a long shot. I don’t see the Puig-type power. This year. Urrutia is a guy I’m scooping up in dynasty leagues and in leagues where I need average. Urrutia has upside and… Damn, this all sounds like one of those fantasy baseball writer cop outs. Screw it. I’m all about taking a chance. Grab Urrutia and buy me a mojito later. JAM.

Jam or Cram: Jake Marisnick, OF, Miami Marlins

Availability: 97% Yahoo, 99% ESPN

Stats Last Week: 4 games, 16 AB, 1 Hit, my abacus says that’s a…hold on…I got it, .063 average.

The Gist: I’m assuming my fantasy friends followed Sir Grey’s advice and already added the other Marlin, Christian Yelich. Ok? Good. Hope it works out for you. Marisnick? May I just call him Jake from here on out? It’s a pain to type Marisnick. Jake was the key player in the blockbuster trade with Toronto over the winter. Jake hit .294 with 12 home runs and 11 stolen bases in 67 games this season in Double-A Jacksonville. Jake is going to be getting the starts in centerfield from here on out. Unless of course another Cuban floats into Florida and can hit a fastball. Elian Gonzalez, we turn our lonely eye to you.

Key Stat: In 2011, Jake hit .327 in the minors. In 2012 he hit .250. This year he hit .294.

X-File: Jake’s had a schizophrenic minor league career with numbers all over the place. He also wears a tinfoil hat and continues on in his quest for the Holy Grail.

Jam it or Cram it: Jake’s going to struggle in the majors. More seasoning would be nice, but the Marlins are essentially a Triple-A team anyways so why not throw him in the deep end and see if he can swim. Expect a low average and high strikeouts. He may have similar minor league numbers to Yelich, but he just doesn’t have the “it” factor. What’s the “it” factor? A bad reality show that followed out of work actors around LA. The show should have been called “Homeless Waiters”. CRAM.

Jam or Cram: Juan Lagares, OF, New York Mets

Availability: 97% Yahoo, 96% ESPN

Stats Last Week: 5 R, 1 HR, 6 RBI, 2 SB, .417 AV

The Gist: It looks like the Platoony Tune days are over for Lagares. After a terrible first half ‘Ol Juan appears to have won the starting center field job for the Mets. Batting .391 in July and winning NL Player of the Week honors certainly helped.

Key Stat: Lagares’ BABIP is .355. Me likey.

X-File: Lagares’ walk rate is 3.9% and his K rate is 25%. Me no likey.

Jam it or Cram it: Juan put up better numbers last week than the other outfielders I own. But I think I’ll stick with Adam Jones, Carlos Gomez and Alex Rios. As the old Razzbal proverb goes, “all hot schmotatoes get cold eventually.”  So will Juan. But this does remind me.  The other day Mom asked me if I was still writing about “make believe baseball.” I said yes and sweetly asked for a Hot Pocket. It was delicious. The end. CRAM.

*Bonus Tracks* Other potential long shot winners:

Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez, SP, PHI: The Cuban invasion continues. The Phillies won the bidding war for Gonzalez, signing him to a 6-year $50 million deal. At 26 he could help the team now, but will likely not see the majors until September. Stash him if you have the room. Expect big things next year. BIG things I say. JAM.

Devin Mesoraco, C, CIN: Mesoraco hit .385 with two homers last week. If you’re a chronic rosterbator at the catching position, Mesoraco’s your man. That all sounded dirty. Who am I? Carlos Danger? CRAM.

David Lough, OF, KC: Lough is a guy I grabbed in one of the deep, deep leagues I play in and it’s been paying off for the last month. Lough is hitting .300 with three homers, 10 RBI and a steal over his last 30 games. He’s a reach, but worth it. Lough was a top 50 fantasy guy last week. JAM.

 

Thanks for the playing along Razzballer’s. The Goo is playing some Texas Hold ‘Em today, but is available for all your jammer crammer questions. Follow The Guru on Twitter @TheGuruGS for the daily jam or cram, fantasy roster 411’s and other gooey shenanigans.

  1. Captain Kangaroo says:
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    C.C. or Lester ROS?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Howdy Captain. CC has really looked off. Lester looks lost at times. Think it’s about even ROS, but I’m leaning Lester.

  2. Jack Full of Hate says:
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    got any Jam or Cram on Schierholtz?

    I grabbed and stashed Bogarts yesterday, can you get a hands across New England prayer cluster for Xander’s call up going?

    Did I mention I saw the Stooges last month?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I am liking Schierholtz the next 4 days. Jam.

      Please, please, we pray to you Jeebus, call up Xander.

      I’m a little jealous about you seeing the Stooges. I’ve seen Iggy a few times, but never with the Stooges. First time I saw Iggy he was opening for the Pretenders.

      • Jack Full of Hate says:
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        @The Guru: It was pretty amazing, I got a little glassy eyed…..don’t tell anyone. Gimme Danger and Funhouse were pretty awesome and of course I Wanna Be Your Dog. Did I mention they played with the Dead Kennedy’s and that sound amazing.

        Is it strange that every time I see Xander’s name I think of this

        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tsr4Onkkitc

        love the roller skate jump

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          Xanadu! You kill me, Jack. Nice work.

          Dead Kennedy’s and the Stooges. Nice. Too bad it wasnt 1977. Get in the Guru wayback machine!

          • Jack Full of Hate says:
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            @The Guru: for some odd reason the soundtrack for Xanadu are in the family record collection

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @Jack Full of Hate: where was that at jack? i heard they were touring again. I have the new album.

  3. cubjet says:
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    I posed this question late last night and only for one response. I apologize for being repetitive but am looking for multiple feedback.
    I have Miguel Montero at catcher and an outfield of Carlos Gonzalez, Stanton and bautista and wil Myers at my utility spot.
    I have been offered Napoli for my Puig. This is a keeper league.
    Would you guys do this deal?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      No way, especially not in a keeper league. I usually stream whatever catcher is going good.

    • philthebluntman says:
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      @cubjetno way you do that deal. That’s a garbage deal fror you. Puig was just traded for mccutchen in my keeper league. If puig can be kept at a cheap price that’s the type of player you should be aiming for. If you’re set on getting a catcher for him it had better be yadier or posey.

      • The Guru

        The Guru says:
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        Agreed. Thanks for Razzballin’.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @philthebluntman: anybody willing to give mccutchen for puig is insane.

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          There’s a lot of man crushes on Puig. Sell high!

  4. AJ says:
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    Hey there Guru, thoughts on Adam Jones Straight up for Tulo?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I’d hold onto Jones. I don’t trust Tulo or his Kit-Kat bones. Expect a better ROS from Jones.

      • AJ says:
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        @The Guru: nice thanks…so I ended up trading Reyes for Cano..now need to fill the void left by Reyes…plenty of SS options out there..who would you recommend? Miller, Simmons, Aybar or Villar? I really like Villar SB potential

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          Nice trade. Miller is a guy I’ve picked up on a few of my teams. Look for a good week from him.

  5. JoeG414 says:
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    B. Miller or Rendon as a backup middle infielder the ROS? Deep mixed daily 6×6 roto.

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Really like what I’m seeing from Miller. Pick him up and look for solid numbers this week.

  6. Russ says:
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    I’m trying to get Hunter Pence, can’t seem to get a trade offer from the other owner that doesn’t include my giving up Tony Cingrani plus more. Is it worth it?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Keeper league? If not and your pitching is good, I’d trade Cingrani for Pence.

  7. Chicken Dinner says:
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    Better stash for the playoffs push M.A.G or C-Mart?

    Also, with Pujols done Jam or Cram Calhoun?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I’d roll with C-Mart. Cram on Calhoun. Think you can do better.

  8. Abdoozy says:
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    Always appreciate a Puppets ref even though most of the 14 readers who got that one only got it because Cobain sang it unplugged on MTV..

    You like Miller over Mark Ellis? I have Franklin and can swing him either way but am hesitant to go with two middle infidel Mariners.

    Anyway, see you again on the Fourth of July.

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Thanks for reading, Abdoozy. Always thought the Puppets were an underrated band. Good stuff.

      Ellis has been hot lately, but I’m rolling with Miller.

  9. Harris says:
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    Some advice. My offense is very streaky. I’m deep in SP’s. I was offerred Matt Carpenter for Archer. What do you think?

    • Harris says:
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      @Harris: btw h2h league.

      • The Guru

        The Guru says:
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        Good deal for you. Pull the trigger before he comes to his senses. Thanks for writing in, Harris. Good luck on the rest of the season.

  10. Eric S says:
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    Victor Martinez and Chris Archer for Doumit/Cuddyer? Who do you like?

    With pujols injury the team offered me a trade for cuddyer and I need a catcher and could use a pitcher. I have been using cuddyer as an outfielder and can plug in Eaton throughout his platoon and Alex Gordon or the Junior Lake.

    Should I pull the plug or ride it out with cuddyer?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Seems like a good time to sell Cuddyer. Think you could do better, but it’s a fair enough deal.

      • Eric S says:
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        @The Guru:

        what about bumgardner and Martinez for Cuddyer and Doumit?

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          I’d rather have Bum over Archer.

  11. JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
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    From what I have read on M.A.G. most project him as a back end of the rotation pitcher…some even just a bullpen guy. Best I have read/heard, which is not the consensus, is that he could be a number 3…maybe.

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I’ve read the same stuff. But I’ll take a chance next year. Best case he turns out to be Luis Tiant, worst case he’s Jose Contreras.

      • JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
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        @The Guru: Oops, must have hit send twice…my bad. But yeah, next year taking a chance can’t hurt…no harm in drafting him as a back end type, or or one you could be fine dropping if he doesn’t start out doing all that well. I say this without seeing much of him, aside from a little video here and there…maybe he turns out to be better than what’s said on paper. We shall see.

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          Agreed, I’m curious to see him pitch. Prob late August we will have a better idea.

  12. JoeMorgan'sMustache says:
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    From what I have read on M.A.G. most project him as a back end of the rotation pitcher…some even just a bullpen guy. Best I have read/heard, which is not the consensus, is that he could be a number 3…maybe.

  13. The Red Cyclones says:
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    Nick Franklin smashed two homers again today. Does he project as a top twenty 2B in drafts next season?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Like what I’m seeing from Franklin and Miller. Top 20? I could see that.

  14. Shmorgie S. Board says:
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    Strop or Soria: who is the better pick up for potentially taking over for a traded closer?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I’d roll the dice on Strop. Can’t see Texas trading Nathan despite the rumors.

      • Shmorgie S. Board says:
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        @The Guru: Yeah, that makes sense to me. Thanks!

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          No prob, thanks for writing in.

          • Shmorgie S. Board says:
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            @The Guru: Follow-up, oh magnanimous Guru!

            I have Street, should I pick up Gregerson or Thayer as a handcuff in case Street is traded? I hear stronger rumors on Gregerson than Street.

            • The Guru

              The Guru says:
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              Not a bad plan. I grabbed Thayer yesterday. Could be a lot of relief pitcher shuffling going on the next couple of days.

              • Shmorgie S. Board says:
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                @The Guru:

                Thayer > Gregerson?

                • The Guru

                  The Guru says:
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                  Prob Gregerson, especially if he ends up on the Tigers.

                  • Steve Stevenson says:
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                    @The Guru: Given Ax spitting the bit again today (thankfully on my bench), I’m giving up on him for spec saves. Already holding Gregerson–hedge my bet by adding Thayer, or go for Bastardo since Philly’s going into sell mode?

                    • The Guru

                      The Guru says:
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                      Think I’d go Bastardo. Pap is prob a goner.

                    • Shmorgie S. Board says:
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                      @Steve Stevenson: IMO, because of Papelbon’s gigantic contract, he’ll be really hard to move unless Philly eats a ton of money. Seems like other relief pitcher deals would have fewer obstacles to getting made.

  15. Brooks Jacoby says:
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    Evan Longoria and Yu for Adam Jones, which side? Terrified Longoria is going to be handicapped by plantar facitis all season hasn’t been the same since it flared up.

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Still like the Longo/Yu side. Understand the concerns though. Longo for Jones I’d do, but not with Yu. Maybe add a lesser arm.

  16. Momuirnin says:
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    Oh mighty one… Do you think Pujols is done for the year?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Yes, Pujols is toast and so are the Angels. If you need a 1B, Justin Smoak and Yonder Alonso are a couple guys available.

      • Momuirnin says:
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        @The Guru: @The Guru: Cool! Thanks for the insight.

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          No prob, thanks for writing in.

  17. Clint says:
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    Junior Lake hasn’t had a hit since you guys noticed him.

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Damn, I jinxed him! Still like his matchup vs the Brewers this week.

      • BERK says:
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        @The Guru: Yeah, zero hits since I picked him up! I’ve had a rough year at SS, starting with Rutledge, then trying Gregorious, then going back with Rutledge, then sticking my head in an oven. I have a pretty good team offensively, but I don’t even know who to trade for SS-wise. Here’s hoping Junior turns it on again!

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          I hear you on Rutledge. I’ve been streaming at SS until I traded Puig for Tulo.

  18. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    would you just drop albert then,

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Not yet if you have DL room. Doesn’t look good for him though.

      • AL KOHOLIC says:
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        @The Guru: thanks i dont really ,do you thinl Grilli gets another save this year or drop him,league where grabbing saves is next to impossible

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          If Grilli comes back when they expect him to it will be around the last week of the season. Maybe he gets a save or two. Prob can drop him. Did you grab Melancon by any chance?

          • AL KOHOLIC says:
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            @The Guru: he was taken 3 months ago,closers and next in lines all gone in the ECFBL,but thanks,i prolly should drop him then

            • The Guru

              The Guru says:
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              Good luck, Al. Bastardo? Gregorson? Thayer?

              • AL KOHOLIC says:
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                @The Guru: cool i have bastardo,grabbing thayer now

                • The Guru

                  The Guru says:
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                  Cheers, Al. Good to hear from you and good luck rest of the year.

                  • AL KOHOLIC says:
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                    @The Guru: im in 2nd/3rd in a very tough ECFBL league,these 2 injuries wont help me any but with a little luck i can still hang in there,thanks again,you guys on the weekend shift here at razzball rock

                    • The Guru

                      The Guru says:
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                      Thanks, Al. If you are in the Twitterverse, feel free to hit me up anytime.

  19. griff says:
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    Who do you like better ros: erasmo ramirez or ryu from the dodgers?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Ryu by a lot. Wish I had some of that stock.

  20. Bryan says:
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    Franklin or Asdrubal Cabrera ROS?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      While I really like Franklin, Asdrubal has been hitting well the last two weeks. Give me the Indian.

      • Christophe Lachance-Tardif says:
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        @The Guru: I have the same problem. Having both Franklin and Cabrera. The thing is, Franklin’s been a pretty decent SS all season long. (Only one cold stretch 2-3 weeks ago). Cabrera, on they other hand, has a better track record, is, when lock in, a better a ROS player and like you said it, had 2 good weeks. The Indians are now in playoff contention and I do think that Cabrera will be a very good SS for the rest of the season. If you can get them both on your lineup, I would do it. I have Kendrick at 2nd base and I recently benched him for Franklin and Cabrera took over at SS. Botom line, roll with the hot hand and go with Cabrera.

        • The Guru

          The Guru says:
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          Agreed, Cabrera looks like he’s returning to what we thought he’d be when the season started. Franklin has been a good surprise though. If you have both, it’s a nice problem to have.

  21. Doc says:
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    A click away from dropping Albert… Who’s with me?? (Yes my DL is full with granderson and Dom brown).

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      You’re not alone. I don’t think he makes it back this year. If you need the room, Pujols is a goner.

  22. Doc says:
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    Yahoo’s damn can’t cut list is breakin my balls right now. Gonna miss out on yonder or a Joakim soria saves spec!

    • Doc says:
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      @Doc: this in reference to Albert btw

      • The Guru

        The Guru says:
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        Bastards! Never understood that.

  23. Jet says:
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    Regardless of the roster who’s more valuable, Jacoby Ellsbury or Matt Harvey ROS?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I’d say Jacoby. He gives you stats every day, he’s producing in a contract year and the Mets will shut Harvey down at some point.

  24. chunk says:
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    Can you push Enter like, two more times right before you introduce your next player? That would make me irrationally happy. If it’s any more difficult than that don’t worry about it. Thanks!

    Great stuff

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Thanks, Chunk. Don’t think that would be a problem. I’ll run it by the editor.

      • chunk says:
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        @The Guru: Thanks!

  25. mr. man says:
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    when do you think Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez will be available on the espn waiver wire?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Sorry, I’m not sure when his name will pop up. I do expect MAG to be pitching by late August, though.

  26. bossmanjunior says:
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    Hopefully this isn’t too late to answer…

    Im officially done with Erasmo and J. Parker. Neither has a friendly schedule coming up so Im intent on making a move. Im already planning on dropping one for Ryu (on waivers) but can’t decide who the other should be.

    Available pitchers: Lincecum, Miley, Porcello, Nolasco, Wheeler, Delgado, Chatwood

    After his start today, I thought Lincecum would be the clear cut answer, but he goes up again the Rays this week, as does Miley. SON likes the start for Lincecum, but then again, SON has a hard on for Blanton.

    Here are some of the next few starts for these guys…

    Lincecum: @TB, vMIL, @NAT, vBOS
    Miley: @TB, vTB, vBAL, @PIT
    Porcello: vCHW, @NYY, @CHW, vMIN
    Nolasco: @CHC, @STL, vTB, @PHI

    So who would you pick up? Thanks Guru!

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Hey Bossman, Porcello is a guy I’ve grabbed. He has 4 good matchups coming up. I have no confidence in Lincecum and understand your frustration with Erasmo. I dropped him 2 weeks ago. Good luck.

  27. Doc says:
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    Lake or rendon ROS?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Probably Rendon ROS. But I like Lakes next 4 games.

  28. Papajeansegura says:
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    Who’s a steal pitcher i can pick up off waivers? probably gonna drop lincecum

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Without knowing your league it’s hard to say. Archer, Beachy, Milone, Doubront are some guys I’ve grabbed.

  29. Frank White says:
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    Sup Guru… Who do you like better to pickup cause I need to drop Smoak. Yonder, Nick Franklin, Schierholz or Carlos Quentin?? The guys you mentioned were taken

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      Hi Frank, grab Schierholz for the next 4 games.

  30. Alex says:
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    Do I risk starting Cliff Lee this week?

    or go with cody allen, quintana or iwakuma?

    • The Guru

      The Guru says:
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      I’d roll with Lee.

  31. High Home says:
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    Kudos to you for acknowledging The Meat Puppets and not Nirvana!

Comments are closed.