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When Ike Davis told reporters,”Gag me with a spoon,” red flags were raised.  Why was he talking like he grew up in Reseda?  It wasn’t the dreaded Valley Fever, was it?  Like, oh my god, it might be.  Valley Fever, from what I gathered from Google, WebMD and other non-reliable sources, could knock Davis out a week, two weeks, a month, a year or for his career.  Yes, there’s a lot of space between best and worst case scenario.  Maybe you remember Conor Jackson got Valley Fever and pulled a Kotchman for a year.  The kicker for me is the Mets trainers scare the shizz out of me.  They once diagnosed Casey Stengel with the flu and he had been dead for seven years.  Right now, the Mets are saying it shouldn’t be more than a week for Ike.  I’m not moving him down my rankings yet, but if you’re drafting right now, I’d be very cautious.  Anyway, here’s some more news going on in spring training for fantasy baseball:

Corey Hart – Had knee swelling and went for an MRI.  When the trainer told Ron Roenicke Hart’s issue, he said, “Corey swelling,” and Ron said, “Donna Martin graduates.”  The MRI said (figuratively) Hart needs arthroscopic surgery and will miss the start of the season.  I’d be surprised if we see him at full speed before the third week of April.  Figure, four weeks to recoup and at least one week to go on assignment.  It’s a pretty big blow for Corey Hart and everyone that likes to wear sunglasses at night.

Rickie Weeks – From the Files of “Of Course Rickie Weeks Is Injured” comes a predictable update.  He’s injured.  Maybe if they rename his dossier the files of “Maybe Rickie Weeks Is Healthy,” he might have a fighting chance.

Jesus Montero – Took a foul ball off his mask, inspiring him to turn water into the whine, “Shouldn’t I just be hitting?”  The good news is he was catching.  Hopefully, this is a sign that Montero won’t have to wait long to get catcher eligibility.  I’m guessing with days off and days he just DHs, he’ll need about two to three weeks for 10 games played behind the plate.  The other good news, his punim is fine. 

A.J. Burnett – Broke his orbital bone during a bunting drill.  This is the worst bunting injury since a Set PA over-decorated the seaboard of The Love Boat and bunting fell on Gavin MacLeod during a dress rehearsal and nearly caused a work stoppage.  “We only have Annette Funicello until Friday; get MacLeod back on the set!”  That’s a studio exec in the 70’s.  A.J. is out until at least May.  Probably the nicest thing he’s done to fantasy owners in the past few years, so now no one in their right mind will draft him hoping for a bounce back.

Grady Sizemore – I swear Grady Sizemore’s body is older than Whitman B. Mayo, who played Grady on Sanford and Son, and that actor passed away over ten years ago.  Sizemore’s now out for 12 weeks after undergoing micro-discectomy surgery, which is a surgery performed by a miniaturized Dennis Quaid.

Vladimir Guerrero – It’s being reported that the Marlins are not pursuing Vlad.  Probably for the best.  With his knees, that chase would’ve been a bore.  Instead, the Marlins are pursuing Aaron Rowand.  That could be fun with Rowand’s tendency to run into walls.

Anibal Sanchez – Felt some soreness in his shoulder.  In related news, Grey is holding his breath.

Joel Zumaya – After he has Tommy John surgery performed by Dr. Freeze, he will attempt another comeback.  I’m guessing he’s gonna try to throw with his left arm.

Miguel Cabrera – Booted the first ball he saw at third base.  Frequent commenter, Steve, suggested he try using this glove.  Would allow him to rest between pitches too.

Alex Rios – I think most spring training numbers are meaningless, but one thing to keep an eye on is where people are batting.  Right now, Robin Ventura likes Rios in the three hole.  Giddy up!

Ryan Howard – Had a setback with his surgically-repaired Achilles because of an infection.  Maybe he shouldn’t have tried picking at his wound, yelling “Scabs here” like he was Pauly D.  The Phils are saying this will delay his original May timetable.  I’m beginning to think we should assume we’ll see Howard around the All-Star Break and anything else we get is gravy.  Billy Butler, “Did someone say gravy?”

David Wright – Sitting out the first few games of the spring with ribcage discomfort.  I’m not concerned yet.  Guess what the key word is in that sentence.  Hint:  Starts with a Y ends in a T and it’s got an E in it.

Daisuke Matsuzaka – Red Sox are saying he could be back by June.  Red Sox fans are saying, “Is this really who we’re waiting on?  Trade for someone!”

Carl Crawford – Dealing with inflammation of his left wrist.  You know what’s good for that?  Swinging a bat, if you live in opposite world.

Stephen Drew – Will probably miss the start of the regular season.  I’m thinking J.D. and Stephen’s father was Mr. Glass from Unbreakable.

Alfonso Soriano – Said he’s open to batting leadoff.  That’s akin to me telling Jessica Alba I’d be open to having sex with her.

Freddie Freeman – Partially dislocated his kneecap.  Says it should be, um, re-located shortly.  I say look under your thigh.  It’s probably right there.

Giancarlo Stanton – Mike Stanton changed his name to Giancarlo.  Just when you thought Stanton couldn’t get any sexier, he goes and changes his name to The Sexiest Name Alive, according to People Magazine.  If Molière were alive today and not writing a hacky sitcom for The CW, he’d write a play about Giancarlo, the seducer of fantasy baseballers everywhere.

  1. Mike says:
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    Just how worried should I / you be with Anibal?

    Just drafted him as #4 SP at pick 196 behind Cain, Bumgarner, Beckett, so hoping this is just pre-season soreness…

    • Wilsonian says:
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      @Mike, I just took him yesterday as my SP3 behind Lester and Price. I obviously didn’t know he had shoulder soreness or I would’ve passed. Hopefully it’s not a big deal and he just needs a little rest.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mike, I’d love him at 196.

  2. Hats For Bats says:
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    @Grey, just had to say that was the funniest complete article I have ever read here. I cried with laughter. Oh and to end it all of, Giancarlo . . .

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Hats For Bats, Thanks!

  3. Big Mike says:
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    @grey “Pulled a Kotchman” reminded me of a Razzballish term a friend coined in 2007 from the performance of Jorge Julio. He used to discuss a pitcher GETTING JULIOED: “to be beaten like a drum;” a term used to refer to relief pitchers who perform exceedingly poorly in a single game. (Matt Albers was julioed, giving up six runs in 2/3rds of an IP.) Made me laugh then, makes me laugh now … he’d be honored if you consider it for the Razzball glossary.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Big Mike, Ha, I’ll run it by Rudy to see what he thinks.

      • Big Mike says:
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        @Grey, Thanks. Here’ hoping none of my guys gets julioed early on!

  4. Pig Charmer says:
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    Friggin Rickie Weeks!

    Grey who you keeping? Rickie or Kipnis. I can get Kipnis at half the price.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Pig Charmer, Kipnis

  5. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    grey-10 team keeper league,$300 keep 6,
    beachey-5
    kimbrel=10
    m moore-5
    s miller-5
    verlander-21
    cruz-20
    cudduyer-6
    goldschmidt-5
    kinsler-31
    kipnis-5
    lawrie-5
    konerko-16
    montero-5
    morse-5
    trout-5
    hardy-5
    gardner-6
    morel-5
    7×7 with ave,obp and k,s for hitters,wins and losses for pitchers,thanks

    • chata says:
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      @AL KOHOLIC,

      TO TELL THE TRUTH :

      MY name is GREY Albright .

      beachy
      moore
      lawrie
      montero
      ————— $20
      cuddyer $06
      kinsler $31
      ———————-
      …………………$57 total

      now , go out and go all Tom Post(on)al on them ,
      and buy you some power and speed ,
      (and a pitcher , or three)

      • AL KOHOLIC says:
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        @chata, no morse?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @AL KOHOLIC, Beachy, Moore, Lawrie, Gardner, Goldscmidt, Verlander…

      • AL KOHOLIC says:
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        @Grey, thanks but again,10 teamer,no morse?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @AL KOHOLIC, If you wanna go Morse over Goldschmidt, I could see it.

          • AL KOHOLIC says:
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            @Grey, thank you,would like cudduyer to but with only 6 you have to cut bait

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              @AL KOHOLIC, Yeah, and other guys have more upside for a keeper league. Cuddyer’s never gonna be worth more than he is right now.

  6. schlitzy says:
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    The donna martin graduates reference brings back memories of those carefree days when all I had to do was go to class, drink beer and watch 90210…not that I watch 90210. In fact, I didn’t even get the reference. Who the hell is donna martin?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @schlitzy, Ha!

  7. Mick says:
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    @ Grey, with the news on Wright, would you still take him in the 2nd round? I’ve got a slow draft where I had the 1st pick (grabbed Miggy), and am not sure if I should pair him with Wright & McCutch/Stanton or if I should hold off on a 3B and try to snag the likes of Lawrie in a later round.

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mick, Yeah

      • mic says:
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        @Grey, getting burned by Wright is getting kind of old now, but will give it one more go…

  8. Big Magoo says:
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    Ugh, I just took Ike in the RCL draft yesterday. I felt queasy immediately after hitting the draft button. Do the Mets even have trainers at this point? I think Wilpon just grabbed some guys off the street and handed them rolls of athletic tape.

    • Bourne says:
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      @Big Magoo, I made him my 1b of the future in my dynasty team. But maybe Ike and I can both lose 20 pounds, lose in fantasy world, and win in real life!

      • Big Magoo says:
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        @Bourne, He’s a good pick in a dynasty, I just don’t completely trust him for this year. The 1Bs dried up quickly though so I took a chance. Now I just need Ike, Kendrys, or Gamel to step up for me. Yup, after looking at that last sentence it looks like a trade might be the best option.

  9. El Famous Burrito says:
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    Bad move, Mike.

    Stanton is a surname that begs for a short first name. Gus Stanton, Jack Stanton, Bert Stanton all of those say Guy Who Crushes Ball With Ease And Also Grills a Great Burger.

    Giancarlo Stanton sounds like a male hairdresser in Pittsburgh.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @El Famous Burrito, Don’t agree, but that’s funny.

  10. Purewater says:
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    Grey, Any chance you could throw us Head-to-Head guys a bone & list more comprehensive stats for your top 300? Things like walks, blown saves, losses, doubles/triples, etc. have to be factored in and there’s no way way to do it with your stats. Thx for the consideration.

    • Hondo says:
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      Seconded(all your spare time are belong to us!)

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Hondo, Ha!

  11. Wilsonian says:
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    Grey, don’t go knockin’ micro-discectomy surgery. I’m getting that done tomorrow! I, however, will only miss 2-3 weeks of work and I will still be drafting Wednesday night. I guess I’m just tougher than Grady. But then again, who isn’t?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Wilsonian, That sucks, man. Good luck with it!

      • Wilsonian says:
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        @Grey, thanks! It’s supposed to be a pretty tame procedure (although back surgery never sounds fun) being about an hour or less of same-day surgery. It’s been a year and a half in the making, after chiropractic work, physical therapy, and epidurals (I can now have a baby with ease!). You can’t cough without blowing that shizz back out. And I figure if Grady can handle it, I can too!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Wilsonian, Epidurals help at all?

          • Wilsonian says:
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            @Grey, Yeah, for awhile they did. My doc said that the herniation had pretty much healed, then I did something that herniated the herniation. Could’ve been something like a cough. He said it wasn’t worth it to do another since my life had become too unpredictable. One day I was fine, the next day I needed help getting dressed.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              @Wilsonian, Ouch… Hope the surgery helps!

  12. Andy says:
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    Grey, you win Monday for the Inner Space reference.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Andy, Thanks!

  13. Cl says:
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    Grey:

    I just got offered Gerrit Cole for Dom Brown in my dynasty league. We’ve discussed my lack of pop previously, so I’m slightly hesitant to give up a bat for another SP prospect (I have A.Crow & R.Delgado now).

    On the other hand, with CarGo, A.Jones, Pence, and Werth as my OF now, I feel like I could move Dom especially since he’s being moved to LF. Also, when I saw him play last fall in AAA, he seemed to lack enthusiasm. Plus he Ks a bit too much.

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cl, Sure, go for it.

  14. tyler says:
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    Having brain lock on my last keeper. 12 team mixed, H2H, Yahoo standard positions. Hitter categories = standard 5 + K’s and OPS. Pitcher categories = W, SV, ERA, WHIP, K/9, K/BB. Keep seven players as long as you want with no round penalty or salaries.

    Right now, I have M. Cab., Ellsbury, CarGo, Pedroia, Castro, Sandoval, and Haren as keepers. Note that this league counts K/BB, so Haren becomes more valuable than standard leagues. Three options:

    (1) Stand pat. Keep M. Cab., Ellsbury, CarGo, Pedroia, Castro, Sandoval, and Haren.

    (2) Trade Castro for Strasburg. Keep M. Cab., Ellsbury, CarGo, Strasburg, Pedroia, Sandoval, Haren.

    (3) Trade a 4th rd pick (equivalent of 11th rd pick in redraft) for Strasburg. Keep M. Cab., Ellsbury, CarGo, Strasburg, Pedroia, Castro, Sandoval. A good set of keepers, but I’ve already traded away your 3rd rd pick, so in the first 3 rounds, I’d only pick once. Also, I don’t get any value for Haren – no one will trade me a pick for him.

    Assume the trade offers in 2 & 3 are already on the table, but that they’re the ONLY possible trades (this league really doesn’t trade much). What would you do? Though Haren’s probably more valuable based on his IP and health, I feel like this might be my last chance to get Strasburg before he hits Kershaw territory (or more).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @tyler, 3

      • tyler says:
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        @Grey, Thanks much.

  15. Cole says:
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    Corey Hart also missed most of April last year with an oblique and still managed to hit 26 hrs and .285 in 492 abs. This may be an opportunity to get him at a discount. He did that out of the leadoff spot too so it’s not like loss of prince will impact him directly.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cole, True, unless this year he misses another month in the middle of the summer too.

  16. A Hill O' Beans says:
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    Grey,

    Can I get your thoughts on how I did with this team? Standard ESPN 10 team league.

    C- Posey (13)
    1B- Morse (6)
    2B- Kinsler (3)
    SS- Gordon (12)
    3B- Longoria (2)
    CI- Youkilis (8)
    MI- D.Murphy (21)
    OF- Braun (1), Hamilton (4), Cruz (5), Jennings (10), Francoeur (17)
    UT- I.Davis (22)
    SP- Cain (7), Bumgarner (9), Zimmerman (11), Gio (15), Worley (18), Sale (19), Chapman (25)
    RP- Street (14), Walden (16), Santos (20), Francisco (23), C.Perez (24)

    Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @A Hill O’ Beans, You have a lot of injury risk and Daniel Murphy, huh? How is he drafted in a 10 team league? Not sure why you have Chapman either. Team doesn’t look terrible, but it kinda looks like you’re in a much deeper league than you are.

  17. frank rizzo says:
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    I was in a Yahoo mock last night and Braun fell to me with the 9th pick. I made the mistake of asking “what gives” and was lambasted by a bunch of them telling me he has no protection in the lineup now and isn’t worth a first rounder. Is there some truth to that?

    I’m starting to fall in love with Sandoval as my 3B because I can get him in the 3rd or 4th. Love the BA.

    The Soriano take about Jessica Alba is priceless. She’s been a favorite of mine for years. However, I think I have a new favorite. The girl from the Fiat Abarth commercial, Catrinel Menghia is completely flawless!

    • Tony says:
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      @frank rizzo, dont listen to other people, braun is still a top 4-5 pick…. kemp wasn’t worthy of a 1st rd selection either but this year he is? Did braun ONLY hit because prince fielder was behind him in the line up? I dont think so. No could his stats go down a bit, maybe, but suffer greatly? doubtful….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @frank rizzo, Thanks! Not worried about no Prince in the lineup.

  18. TheNewGuy says:
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    Haha great stuff Grey as always.

    Am approaching the auction for the 2nd year of our 10 team contract keeper league. Rules are to keep players 1 yr (+$3), 2yrs (+$6), or 3yrs (+$8), on top of their auction draft cost (and keep up to 8). So the majority of players kept by teams are “bargains” for this year e.g Grandy at $15.

    Now I was wondering how I should approach our upcoming auction as this is our 1st draft with players already kept. Should I stick to not overpaying for the remaining players based on your dollar values, or should I expect to have to pay a little more for good players in order to get them (seeing as players should have some fair bargains already kept)? And therefore bump up your dollar values by a couple bucks…I have only spent $80 on keepers (didn’t have many good ones) so still need to fill most of my team, especially offense.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @TheNewGuy, Thanks! It’s fine to overpay in your situation, there’s more money on the table because of keepers.

      • TheNewGuy says:
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        @Grey, Ok thanks. So is there any rule as to how much to be willing to overpay for guys? Maybe up to $5 more for top 50 guys, $3 more for top 100 guys, $2 for top 150 etc? I’ve only kept 7 spending $80, so im gonna be needing to do a lot of bidding come the auction, don’t wanna overspend too much though and weaken my chances.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @TheNewGuy, As much as you need to put together a competitive team…

        • schlitzy says:
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          @TheNewGuy, I found a couple articles a few years back that helped me alot in formulating a solid auction strategy. The idea is that you want to try and build a team that is being paid only 78% of what it is projected to be worth, because if you were to pay full price for your roster you will have an average team. So I want to assemble a team worth $333 and I want to pay just $260 to do it. Good keepers give you the ability to over bid for players. If you follow the math in the articles you can calculate the percentage by which you can overbid and still keep on track. With a little time and an Excel spreadsheet you can track this stuff live during the auction. I don’t follow the percentages strictly, but use them more as a guideline to determine what I am able to bid at any given point during an auction. This strategy combined with Rudy’s point shares has been quite lucrative in my big $$ auction league. Here are the links (hopefully they work).

          http://www.baseballnotebook.com/essay.asp?esource=e_022702.asp&topt=On%20Paying%2080%20Percent%20of%20Projected%20Value

          http://www.baseballnotebook.com/essay.asp?esource=e_020605.asp&topt=Keepers and Optimal Bidding

  19. joel says:
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    Grey, this is great. Love your player update posts.

    Q: last year I won my league cause I was lucky enuf to grab jacoby Ells in the 7th. Who are your top 3ish candidates to be that player this year: i.e. a 6th-8th rounder that will perform like a 1st or 2nd and win a bunch of leagues for folks? THANKS!! (this assumes too that Hosmer and lawrie go before the 6th)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @joel, Thanks! They have to be 7th rounders because that’s where you drafted Ellsbury last year?

      • joel says:
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        @Grey, no, I just think Hosmer and Lawrie are gonna go in the 4th round of my draft. Plus, I dealt my 5th round pick (to move from #20 to #13 in round 2). So, I’m looking for your top 3 or so 6th round or later potential Ellsburys for this year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @joel, BJ Upton

    • Bourne says:
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      @joel, a few other names: Bruce is sometimes falling. Heyward, Jennings, and Rios could all perform awesome this year.

  20. Eddy says:
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    Several updates and questions, Grey.

    Longoria, though he should be fine, still sore from getting hit in his hand.
    Chris Perez has that oblique strain
    Jayson Werth was experiencing back soreness
    Shaun Marcum had shoulder inflammation
    Franklin Gutierrez out 4-5 weeks because of his pectoral muscle.

    Wanted to throw those out there for anyone who may be drafting in the coming days.

    Today, I draft my first league. It’s a 14-team roto league with regular categories as well as OPS and Holds. MI/CI present, and we draft 28 players.

    How many MR and closers should I aim for? ANd when should I worry about drafting MR for the purpose of holds?

    From the above list of guys, besides FraGu, are there any you’re skeptical of drafting?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Eddy, Thanks for those updates! Marcum’s the only one I’d be concerned with there. 1 closer and 1 MR in the last rounds.

      • Eddy says:
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        @Grey,

        I think I may have failed to properly phrase my questions. In my roster, how many closers and MR should I have?

        Pretty sure you didn’t mean only one closer and MR for my entire team.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Eddy, 2 closers total, and 1 MR total…

    • mic says:
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      @Eddy, i’m not sure if grey read your question right…

      but i would say try to get 3 closers and 2 MR’s (Grey talked about drafting two solid MR instead of a low tiered SP to help with WHIP and vulture wins/saves, so I don’t see why that doesn’t apply here, especially in a deep league with holds)…

      as far as when to start drafting holds: when someone reaches for kenley or addison reed that should get your attention… but just like closers i don’t think you need top tiered MR’s, its pretty easy to pick up holds… during the season…

      • Eddy says:
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        @mic, Thanks for the tips, Mic. For reference, I looked at their mixed league 15-team LABR draft.

        (http://www.mockdraftcentral.com/draft_grid.jsp?id=189028)

        While they had one more team, it’s as close as a comparison I can get. Grey and Rudy drafted about three closers and two MR. For the most part, everyone drafted three closers and 1-2 MR, with the MR coming in the final 2-3 rounds.

        I don’t think 1 MR will do it in this league, so I’ll try for the same amount of RP Grey and Rudy had, with the exception being I’ll actively chase an above average MR (though not going to jump through hoops for Reed, Chapman or Jensen).

  21. Brandon Allen is putting up some strong fake baseball numbers so far 2-for-5, HR, 7 RBI performance on Sunday

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mr Baseball, Thanks for the heads up!

  22. Simpatico! says:
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    Hey Grey, thanks for the update. I’m working on my keepers, and I get to keep 8. I am already keeping these guys for sure:

    Matt Kemp, Roy Halladay, Adrian Gonzalez, and Ian Kinsler.

    I need to pick four more out of Ryan Zimmerman, Nelson Cruz, Desmond Jennings, Mike Napoli, Elvis Andrus, and Madison Baumgardener.

    I’m leaning Zimmerman, Napoli, Jennings, Andrus, but would look at arguments for any of them. Any thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Simpatico!, Have no idea how many teams in this league… Bum or Cruz over Napoli…

      • Simpatico! says:
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        @Grey, Sorry about that, 10 team, 14 catagory H2H with RBI, HR, Runs, SB, OPS, K, AVG, Pitching K’s, W, L, ERA, WHIP, Saves, and K/BB ratio as catagories. I was thinking about Zimmerman, Andrus, Jennings, Napoli, but you think Cruz and Madison might be better picks than a potential 30 HR catcher?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Simpatico!, Take Bum…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mr Baseball, Ha!

  23. I swear Grady Sizemore’s body is older than Whitman B. Mayo, who played Grady on Sanford and Son – not sure where you came up with that one but its a good one Grey – and an insult to Grady

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mr Baseball, Thanks!

  24. Ryan says:
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    I am in a 20 team h2h dynasty league. This is the 4th year I am in this league. I think I have a pretty solid squad but I am open to shaking things up this year. Anyway I was offered fielder and lester for my bautista capps and brothers. I love how this trade solidifies my rotation. What ya think?

    Also whom would you rather have inns dynasty league and why…Miguel Sano or Bubba Starling!

    c jp arencibia
    1b miguel cabrera
    2b neil walker
    ss yunel escobar
    3b evan longoria
    inf jose bautista
    lf carl crawford
    cf peter bourjos
    rf justin upton
    of carlos lee
    util vernon wells
    util jerry sands
    bn ryan lavernway

    sp clayton kershaw
    sp cliff lee
    sp ubaldo jiminez
    sp josh beckett
    rp jason motte
    rp matt throton
    rp rex brothers
    rp matt capps
    p scott downs
    p brad lincolm
    p brad peacock
    bn aaron harang
    bn scott downs
    bn garrett richards
    bn blake beaven

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ryan, Sano… Take Lester…

      • Ryan says:
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        @Grey, Cool thanks. I was leaning the same way. I’m just worried fielders numbers may go down since he is moving to a pitchers park. Also any specific reason why I should choose Sano?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Ryan, Bit further along…

  25. Drexel Hill Dragons says:
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    In my analysis, I was looking for something to give me an edge when evaluating players in ordering them at given positions and setting up my tiers for my head-to-head points league. If you play in a points league you should find this very interesting.

    What I came up with something I like to call Power Potential Plus (or P3). I know that home runs are one of those stats that everyone looks at, but overall extra base hits tend to be overlooked. Doubles can turn into home runs year to year and extra base hits often contribute directly to runs and RBI. On top of that I’ve been frustrated owning players that possess power, but strike out much more than they walk in essence stealing points from those coveted power points, and those dreaded negative points days in your lineup. I’ve calculated results for 55 key players thus far.

    Power Potential Plus = Extra Base Hits + Walks – Strike Outs

    The top 10 projected for 2012:
    1. Albert Pujols (+94)
    2. Miguel Cabrera (+90)
    3. Dustin Pedroia (+75)
    4. Ian Kinsler (+69)
    5. Jose Bautista (+66)
    6. Prince Fielder (+62)
    7. Joey Votto (+53)
    7. Carlos Beltran (+53)
    9. Billy Butler (+52)
    10. Troy Tulowitzki (+51)

    And the bottom 10 (if you appear on this list and don’t possess speed, that’s a red alert combo):
    1. Drew Stubbs (-83)
    2. Mark Reynolds (-72)
    3. BJ Upton (-37)
    4. Adam Lind (-33)
    5. Matt Kemp (-26)
    5. Michael Bourn (-26)
    5. Adam Jones (-26)
    8. Carl Crawford (-24)
    8. Kelly Johnson (-24)
    10. Jay Bruce (-20)
    10. Dan Uggla (-20)

    I found this study very interesting. While I won’t rely on this study to ultimately guide all of my player vs. player draft day decisions, it is a good way to decide between two similar players in your mind or to even help in your tiering prior to draft day. Before this study, a few similar players like Ryan Braun (+36) vs. Matt Kemp (-26), Pablo Sandoval (+35) vs. David Wright (-1), Dan Uggla (-20) vs. Brandon Phillips (+25) or Gaby Sanchez (+37) vs. Adam Lind (-33), are worlds apart when looking at them from this angle.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Drexel Hill Dragons, Seems like your equation unfairly penalizes Ks….

      • Drexel Hill Dragons says:
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        @Grey, Sure, I guess I could multiply the extra base hits number by 2 or 3 in order to give more weight to those points, but the K’s and Walks make sense to me at an even point since that’s what they’re worth in my scoring system.

  26. Drexel Hill Dragons says:
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    I accidentally left Carlos Santana out of my top 10 results for the Power Potential Plus study. Carlos is 7th with +55

  27. Bossman says:
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    Grey can you talk about Morales- I’m thinking about reaching for him around pick #100. I can’t help but drool over his 2009 numbers, if he turns out well he could be a steal.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Bossman, Not sure why you’d reach for someone 100 picks before they’re being drafted.

  28. Hemmo says:
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    In a 12-team NL-only league with OBP instead of AVG, is Dan Uggla a top-10 player? ie Would you go to $30?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Hemmo, He’s worth around $30, yes.

  29. Awesomus Maximus

    Awesomus Maximus says:
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    Heheh… loved me some Innerspace back in the day. That’s one of the two surgical procedures I had. Would have been great if it involved making out with a young Meg Ryan (even a Meg Ryan circa Hurlyburly would have been sweet).

    Umm, what about Ryan Raburn’s two dinger game? Shouldn’t he be the lead and officially moved just behind Ryan Braun in your Top 20 OFs? Spring training means everything!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Awesomus Maximus, Ha! Hurlyburly… Wow, almost forgot about that. Actually, now that I think about it, I wanted to forget about it.

      • Awesomus Maximus

        Awesomus Maximus says:
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        @Grey, It’s got some great dialogue, though. One of my favorite quotes in movie history:

        “I’m not yelling! I’m raising my voice in emphasis! It’s a perfectly legitimate use of volume!”

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Awesomus Maximus, That is a good line. Not as good as the best line of all time. “You wanna have a go at it? That’s what he said?!”

          • Awesomus Maximus

            Awesomus Maximus says:
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            @Grey, Short Cuts? Julianne Moore’s cheating confession?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              @Awesomus Maximus, Yeah, best scene ever.

              • Awesomus Maximus

                Awesomus Maximus says:
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                @Grey, I can’t remember who plays her husband (and delivers the line). Gah… I hate having to cheat and use IMDb!

                Matthew Modine! His best performance may have been his disappearing act in the ’90s. Coincidentally, he seems to have an interesting role coming up in The Dark Knight Rises.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  @Awesomus Maximus, Yeah, Modine came up big in that scene then fell off the face of the earth. Pulled a Casey McGehee/Baha Man…

                  • Awesomus Maximus

                    Awesomus Maximus says:
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                    @Grey, That’s awesome… I’ve never seen that entry whilst perusing the Glossary before.

  30. Bobby from KC says:
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    Grey, I drafted a team for one of those yahoo pro leagues (stupid that Yahoo! takes 25%, but I had an itch to draft a real team and it wasn’t going unscratched).

    5×5 roto 12 teams – 1400 innings pitched max, daily roster changes

    I think I’m light on steals and saves and maybe average.

    1. (2) Albert Pujols
    2. (23) Adrián Béltre
    3. (26) Andrew McCutchen
    4. (47) Cole Hamels
    5. (50) Dan Uggla
    6. (71) Yovani Gallardo
    7. (74) Asdrubal Cabrera
    8. (95) Matt Wieters
    9. (98) Shane Victorino
    10. (119) Brandon Beachy
    11. (122) Matt Garza
    12. (143) Carlos Mármol
    13. (146) Chris Young
    14. (167) Frank Francisco
    15. (170) Derek Jeter
    16. (191) Jaime García (considering only starting for his home starts and no-brainer road starts due to the crazy home/road split)
    17. (194) Vinnie Pestano
    18. (215) Kelly Johnson
    19. (218) Grant Balfour
    20. (239) Danny Espinosa
    21. (242) Scott Baker
    22. (263) Ben Revere
    23. (266) Francisco Rodríguez

    If you have a minute, let me know what you think – thanks! And additionally thanks for all the daily content – perfect mixture of quality advice and unmatched humor.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Bobby from KC, No problem… Don’t think the Yahoo leagues are terrible if you can’t find people to fill a league. At least there’s some chance people will stay involved with money on the line. You are light on steals and saves. Average looks okay. It’s a solid team, crazy Jeter fell that low. Not a huge fan of his but at 170, that’s good value.

  31. Wilsonian says:
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    8 Team H2H draft coming up on Wednesday (yes I’m in an 8 team league everyone, it does pose it’s own set of issues, and I’m in a 16 teamer to counter this). As I’ve stated before, I’m keeping:

    Prince, Longo, Tulo, Kemp, J-Up.

    I have the 8th and 9th pick. This next list is the guys that have not been kept, but I don’t know which ones will still be there at my turn. Who would you target?

    Stanton, Cruz, Castro, Lawrie, Hosmer, Phillips, Bruce, Youk, Morse, Victorino, BJ, Utley, Kendrick, Kershaw, Verlander, Hamels, Lincecum, Weaver, Haren, Stras, Lester, Bum, Hudson.

    Obviously I’d like to go with the best arm and the best bat with my first two picks, but I’d love some advice. I might be kinda drugged up following the surgery, so I have to plan while my head is clear.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Wilsonian, I’d take a #1 SP and Phillips or Kendrick…

      • Wilsonian says:
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        @Grey, you think I shouldn’t just go for the best available bat with a #1 SP? In such a small league, I’d be willing to roll the dice that Kendrick would be there in rounds 3-4 or later, or deal with Espinosa or the like at 2nd. What do you think?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Wilsonian, If you take Kershaw, who’s going to be there? If Stanton or someone very valuable is, then take them. If you’re choosing between Youk, Morse, Utley, BJ etc then take Phillips or Kendrick…

          • Wilsonian says:
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            @Grey, I doubt Giancarlo will be there. I’m guessing he’s the first pick. I’m hopeful that Bruce would fall to me, but that’s probably a long shot. I also doubt Kershaw would make it, I’m thinking more of Hamels or Stras. But who knows.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              @Wilsonian, You definitely need an ace, after that I’m fine with a few different ways on the hitter.

  32. Post says:
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    Grey- In an auction keeper league and trying to decide who to keep. I’m keeping Longoria, but then it’s between Ellsbury and Desmond Jennings for me. What’s your opinion? It’s a matter of the keeper price. Shell out the big price tag for Ells? Or keep Jennings upside on the cheap and pay more for another top player early on? Thanks Grey.

    • Post says:
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      @Post, two keepers btw. Longoria and….

      • Post says:
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        @Post, Figuring this out for myself…ellsbury’s valued via espn at $31, Longoria’s at $29, and Jennings at $10 in a 10 team league. Leaning towards Jennings over Ellsbury since it’s hard to justify paying more for Ellsbury than Longoria in my mind and Jennings is quite a value at $10.Sorry for all this talking to myself!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Post, I’d take Jennings at $10.

          • Post says:
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            @Grey, Thanks!

  33. Alcesto says:
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    Yo Grey –

    Here’s a Razzball post idea, you put together your ideal team using the ESPN or Yahoo average auction values. Whaddya think?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Alcesto, Okay, I’ll put it under consideration.

      • Alcesto says:
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        @Grey, and you could like, you know, put clever comments about which guys you would pay more for and which guys you would take as a less expensive option if you couldn’t afford the guy you wanted, and different scenarios and shizz.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Alcesto, Ha, okay…

  34. Cabin Fever says:
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    Grey,

    16 team snake draft – if you had your preference, which draft slot would you take?

    Thanks,

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Cabin Fever, 8

  35. JustMatt says:
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    Grey – just went over the results of the LABR mixed draft this weekend. Congrats on getting Longoria with the 20th selection – but you have him at #6 in your overall rankings. Why did you pass on him for Adrian Gonzalez with the 11th pick?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JustMatt, Rudy and I decided to take A-Gon and Wright over Longo and Konerko, but it became moot when Longo was still there.

  36. Paul says:
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    I’m in a 12 team 5×5 mixed keeper. c/1b/2b/3b/ss/3xOF/util and 1450IP.

    I finished in 3rd last year and in a position to contend this year.

    Below I’ll list the players and 3 dollar amounts. The first number is the cost for 2012. The 2nd and 3rd numbers are cost to keep in 2013 and 2014 respectively.

    I’ve been offered;

    Halladay $33, $33, $33
    Car-Go $14, $20, $ 26
    Texiera $22, $22, $22
    Aaron Hill $2, $4, $6

    I’ll be trading away;

    Braun $36, $36, $36
    F-Her $25, $25, $25
    Matt Moore $1, $2, $3
    Avila $2, $3, $4.

    Other than the 4 player I listed above, I am keeping; Ike Davis, Tulo, Aramis, Victorio, Moustakas, Dom Brown, D. Hudson, Luebke, Anibal, Bailey and Betancourt.

    Do I pull the trigger?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Paul, Nope

  37. Grey

    Grey says:
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    ***THERE’S A NEW POST***

  38. Switch Hitter says:
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    Just ran Giancarlo Stanton through an anagram generator. Rearrange those letters and you get Anal Taco Snorting. Wow!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Switch Hitter, That sounds delicious!

  39. Big B says:
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    Haha. Pull a Paulie D – “scabs here!” You continue to entertain me on the fantasy baseball forecast. Draft on the 25th.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Big B, Thanks!

Comments are closed.