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SAGNOF ALERT!!! And maybe who you’re not thinking of (unless of course you tetras’d the title together in your brain place). No, we’re not talking Travis ‘All I Do is Singles/Steals’ Sebastian Jankowski, although he could bring some value if you’re looking solely for steals. But there’s a better option out there. Someone who preseason had the chance to be Jarrod Dyson 2.0 with enough at bats. And then the at bats didn’t come. This isn’t the first time that storyline played out, though. Every spring training there seems to be some player that comes along, plays well, gets some low key hype leading into the draft and then absolutely bombs. Typically those players wallow in the kiddie pool of minor league baseball mediocrity all year until a September roster expansion call-up, but sometimes…sometimes they prove they belong far before September. I was hopeful it would be mid-April that we would see these stats accumulate for our Creeper of the Week, but an 0-16 start effectively ruptured all chances of contributing early and exited his presence from our fantasy minds. Now, with a 5-5 game under his belt and 5R/3SB in his past three games, somebody’s creeeeeeepiiiinn….

  • Keon Broxton, OF (5.7% owned) – I tried to be sneaky in an NL-Only and a few RCL’s by drafting Broxton with one of my final picks, then looked mighty silly two weeks later when he was sent packing to AAA. A close look at the stat sheet over the past 30 days turns that frown upside down, though. In 45 at bats (2/3 of which came in the last two weeks) his slash line reads .378/7/2/9/5 with a 1.126 OPS! Now, the power isn’t what you’re buying here, but it shows his potential elevates him over other SAGNOF’s like Jankowski. I love looking at Total Bases as a strong stat for true value, and Broxton has 24 in his past 15 days. Is that a lot? Um, no. He’s no Charlie Blackmon (51 TB in past 15), but when you consider he’s only amassed 33 at bats to reach those 24 TB, and Cargo has 26 TB in 32 AB, you see the context. If you’re reaching for some speed with a little extra pop in the other categories, you an do worse at this point in the season…especially from a guy owned in less than 6% of ESPN leagues!

Now…enough creepin’. Here are the Top 100 Hitters for Week 20!

Note: These rankings are considered ROS trade value.

RED = Falling
GREEN = Rising
BLUE = New to the 100

Rank Name Pos Team
1 Jose Altuve 2B HOU
2 Mike Trout OF LAA
3 Mookie Betts OF BOS
4 Anthony Rizzo 1B CHC
5 Manny Machado 3B/SS BAL
6 Josh Donaldson 3B TOR
7 Edwin Encarnacion 1B TOR
8 Kris Bryant 3B/OF CHC
9 David Ortiz DH BOS
10 Nolan Arenado 3B COL
11 Charlie Blackmon OF COL
12 Paul Goldschmidt 1B ARI
13 Ian Desmond SS/OF TEX
14 Xander Bogaerts SS BOS
15 Carlos Gonzalez OF COL
16 Joey Votto 1B CIN
17 Starling Marte OF PIT
18 Nelson Cruz OF SEA
19 Corey Seager SS LAD
20 Daniel Murphy 2B/3B WAS
21 Adam Jones OF BAL
22 George Springer OF HOU
23 Miguel Cabrera 1B DET
24 Robinson Cano 2B SEA
25 Francisco Lindor SS CLE
26 Rougned Odor 2B TEX
27 Ryan Braun OF MIL
28 Wil Myers 1B/OF SD
29 Brian Dozier 2B MIN
30 Jonathan Villar SS MIL
31 Ian Kinsler 2B DET
32 Carlos Correa SS HOU
33 Buster Posey C/1B SF
34 J.D. Martinez OF DET
35 Jackie Bradley Jr. OF BOS
36 Freddie Freeman 1B ATL
37 Justin Turner 3B LAD
38 Victor Martinez DH DET
39 Kyle Seager 3B SEA
40 Jay Bruce OF NYM
41 Gregory Polanco OF PIT
42 Matt Carpenter 3B STL
43 Jose Abreu 1B CWS
44 Albert Pujols 1B LAA
45 Mark Trumbo OF BAL
46 Christian Yelich OF MIA
47 Jason Kipnis 2B CLE
48 Mike Napoli 1B CLE
49 Troy Tulowitzki SS TOR
50 DJ LeMahieu 2B COL
51 Eric Hosmer 1B KC
52 Jake Lamb 3B ARI
53 Chris Davis 1B/OF BAL
54 Brandon Belt 1B SF
55 Stephen Piscotty OF STL
56 Carlos Beltran OF NYY
57 Dee Gordon 2B MIA
58 Lorenzo Cain OF KC
59 Matt Kemp OF ATL
60 Adrian Beltre 3B TEX
61 Ben Zobrist 2B/OF CHC
62 Dustin Pedroia 2B BOS
63 Anthony Rendon 2B/3B WAS
64 Dexter Fowler OF CHC
65 Khris Davis OF OAK
66 Bryce Harper OF WAS
67 Jonathan Schoop 2B BAL
68 Max Kepler OF MIN
69 Eduardo Nunez SS/3B SF
70 Hunter Pence OF SF
71 Wilson Ramos C WAS
72 Marcell Ozuna OF MIA
73 Miguel Sano 3B/OF MIN
74 Evan Longoria 3B TB
75 Todd Frazier 3B CWS
76 Jonathan Lucroy C TEX
77 Billy Hamilton OF CIN
78 Brad Miller SS/OF TB
79 David Dahl OF COL
80 Jean Segura 2B/SS ARI
81 Tyler Naquin OF CLE
82 Hernan Perez 3B/OF MIL
83 Jose Ramirez SS/2B/3B/OF CLE
84 Andrew Benintendi OF BOS
85 Neil Walker 2B NYM
86 Nick Castellanos 3B DET
87 Maikel Franco 3B PHI
88 Evan Gattis C HOU
89 Devon Travis 2B TOR
90 Yasmany Tomas 3B/OF ARI
91 Salvador Perez C KC
92 Rajai Davis OF CLE
93 Logan Forsythe 1B/2B TB
94 Carlos Santana 1B CLE
95 Andrew McCutchen OF PIT
96 Odubel Herrera OF PHI
97 Adam Duvall OF CIN
98 Javier Baez 2B/SS/3B CHC
99 Didi Gregorius SS NYY
100 Michael Saunders OF TB

Dropped from Rankings: Giancarlo Stanton (17), Jose Bautista (48), Alex Bregman (97)

  • Brad Miller still holding it down for the Creeper of the Year. Broxton’s not someone who will enter the 100, but can bring situational value. Next year Miller’s making a case for a top 10 SS, even with the improvement at the position. Another multi-eligibility SS, Jose Ramirez, is red hot as of late. The added pop and steals of the past two weeks are a huge bonus, but I’m not skying him in the rankings quite yet. When I think Jose Ramirez my fear quotient is still in the light yellow level. What does that mean? I don’t freaking know. I just fear he has a bad cold streak still in his next six weeks. Nunez, Segura and Perez all continuing to play well as either spot.
  • Please, oh, please try your best to make moves based on stats and not just name value. Feel hesitant about dropping McCutchen for Dahl, Paquin or Benintendi? Don’t. You have six weeks left…no time to waste on name upside.
  • Speaking of Benintendi…IT’S MOOKIE BETTS 2.0! Can’t wait to see this Sawx lineup next year once Moncada joins, as well.
  • Lastly, once more I’ll proclaim my love for Joey Votto

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That’s all. DROP THOSE COMMENTS!

 

 
  1. JoeG414 says:
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    You like Randal Grichuk or Eddie Rosario as an extra OF ?
    6×6 roto
    Thanks

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @JoeG414: I’d rather Have Rosario, but neither are really doing it for me rest of the year.

  2. gregjeffries says:
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    Hey M@, Great stuff as always!

    With Castellanos at 86, do uou see him returning in minimal DL time to contribute during Sept? (thinking about stashing on my DL for the last month, but I know those wrist injuries can be deadly)

    Thanks!

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @gregjeffries: Thanks Greg! Love getting to do this! Yes, I kept Castellanos in there thinking he’s coming off quickly and can still give some numbers similar to those on the bottom of the list. Dropped Stanton and Jose because one is done and one might be. We’ll see, though. As you said, wrist injuries can be the devil.

  3. PED Inc says:
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    No Trea Truner or did I miss him?

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @PED Inc: DAD BLAM IT! He should have been in there. Horrible oversight. He was queued for my list and for whatever reason didn’t get put in. He would have slotted in at 86. I’m not fully bought into the kool-aid (OH YEAH!) yet, though. Need to see a little more than just hit contact rate and legs bringing value.

  4. Don says:
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    I dropped Brandon Belt a couple weeks ago in a shallow league. I’m not convinced he belongs in the top 100, certainly not #54.

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Don: I may just be a fan boy because that OBP and OPS are always so strong. Sneaky strong from 1B. Looking more into it #54 may be lofty, but I definitely think he deserves to be in here. Someone like Adrian Gonzalez? Um, no. But Belt…yes.

  5. Noam says:
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    Does Heyward warrant a number one waiver claim in a 15 team dynasty league? I’m fine with him riding my bench for a while if you think he’ll eventually figure it out

    Thanks!

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Noam: In a dynasty format I’d consider it. Depends on who you’re dropping for him, though. Who is the casualty?

      And if you do, I’d definitely sit him for the rest of 2016.

      • Noam says:
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        @M@:

        No one of significance. We have deep rosters

        • M@

          M@ says:
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          @Noam: Then yes. If you don’t, someone else will. And if he returns to his .275/90/18/80/15 form next year you’ll be pist. With a t.

  6. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Nice piece! In a 10 team H2H redraft league tracking OBP and OPS (not AVG), if Todd Fraizier isn’t in a hot streak by playoffs, would you drop him to make room for streamers or a hot bat?

    Frazier is currently my bench bat along with Aaron Judge (who I’ll drop before playoffs unless he goes on a tear). My starting 3B and 3 OFs are Bryant, Trout, Springer, Hamilton/Judge (based on needs). When Frazier plays, I plug Bryant into OF…

    Other possible bench bats over Fraizer/Judge are a recently dropped Bautista (tempting stash since I’ve got a big lead for the playoff bye and if he returns and is healthy, that could be big) and Benetendi…but I would probably stick with 1 or zero bench bats and load up instead on pitching/streamers…

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Smart call on Judge. Drop him if he’s cold. No reason to hold onto potential come playoff time.

      I’d drop Frazier for either of them, and make sure I got Bautista as a stash. He could be a boon for your run to end the year. I really like Benintendi, and while the obvious non-AVG hurting you as a cat for Frazier, I’m just not high him. Your OF is solid, though, and I’d keep Bryant at 3B as much as I could; that’s where he’ll bring you the greatest value.

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @M@: Very helpful, particularly your note about Bryant, who I’ve been playing mostly in OF with Frazier, but am now reconsidering. Thanks! I may hold onto Frazier for now (until playoffs, for the same reason as Judge), and instead drop my bottom starter (Moore or Paxton) to stash Bats. Feels lower risk to lose a random starter instead of a potential boomer if he has a hot streak left in him.

        • M@

          M@ says:
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          @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Absolutely right. The hot bats can carry you, and streamer pitchers are just that…streamer fodder.

  7. Jonathan A says:
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    Adam Jones or Evan Longoria for next year and beyond. Looking for the more productive player.

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Jonathan A: Adam Jones for both now and future. Both are potentially facing a dropping production soon, but now that Jones is healthy, for the first time since 2014 essentially, he’s showing he’s still a top 15 OF.

  8. Pete says:
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    Do you order purely objective data from the menu for your top 100 or is there also a side of subjective?

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Pete: There’s also a lot of subjective. This isn’t a pure player rater, but extracting stats, looking deeper, attempting to project and some personal preferences mixed into a rankings cocktail. Typically what I say is that once you get to #60-70 you’re pulling a lot of preference.

  9. jb says:
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    I am looking at Braxton for SAGNOF. Tried out TJ the last two weeks, but he can run cold as well as hot, so took Trea Turner where I could and dropped TJ. Still kept TJ in 2-out-of-8 leagues. Dropped him for Dahl in another one, but don’t think Dahl has one SB yet. Braxton is the fallback. Do you think Dahl will steal some bases down the stretch so he could be another option? Thanks!

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @jb: Not sure if he’ll run necessarily, because he’s known for his pop, not his legs. Sure, he could add a few, but if you’re just dying for SB then Broxton is the option.

  10. B the Esq. says:
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    Your rank of McCutcheon…you say that we only have 6 weeks left. How about in a keeper? What do you see for Cutch next year? Where would he rank, or how would he compare to the other OF for 2017?

    Thanks

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @B the Esq.: I’d still draft him as a top 15-20 OF next year. Massive fallouts from MVP to barely restorable just don’t happen very often. I’d say he’s a great bounce back candidate, and a buy-low target. 45-60 range?

  11. Goldschmidt says:
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    How far is Choo from the top 100?

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Goldschmidt: He’s a name to consider if your preference is him, but I’m hesitant to rank him because he could be back on the DL yesterday. Ha! You could take him over Saunders, for instance, easily, I’d just rather have Saunders and his (this year) reliability of at bats.

      • M@

        M@ says:
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        @M@: And just like that…minutes later…broken arm. Season done. Sheesh.

  12. Chris says:
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    Nice list, but leaving out Brandon Moss seems like a pretty glaring mistake. I know he isnt the sexiest name right now, but he is demonstrating more power than Napoli this year. True his team isnt quite Cleveland for counting stats, and he did have an injury there, but he seems be and RBI machine again.

    Thoughts?

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Chris: Somehow you’re right. Moss and Napoli carry similar stats, and Moss has a higher ISO. However, Napoli has continued to mash over 160 ABs more than Moss. I’d give my nod to Napoli continuing his trajectory more than Moss. You can easily make the argument to slot him into the bottom 10-15 names, and most of that is preference anyways. I’m just not super high. And it’s proving me wrong. I wouldn’t say he’s glaring, though, as he’s basically a straight platoony toon option vs. RHP only (20 HR v. RHP, 1 HR v. LHP).

  13. powerade says:
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    Where do you rank Arron Judge now and rest of season?

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @powerade: He intentionally hasn’t cracked the Top 100 for ROS. Moving forward he has the potential to be a, and wait for it, because no one is probably comping him to this player…..Michael Saunders. But 50 LBs heavier.

      They share similar ISO numbers through the minors, Judge may seem to have more upside, but Saunders may have a little more speed. Seriously, don’t shoot much higher than this. He’s not the next Adam Jones.

      • powerade says:
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        @M@:

        Hmmmm….I can see it, hoping for more of course, but took a chance dropping Naquin. I know I know but hitting is stacked (Marte, Hamilton, Polanco – Edwin, Rizzo, Hosmer for Util/1b). I only like to have one bench hitter to rotate in and stack SP like Grey.

        Thank you for the response!

        • M@

          M@ says:
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          @powerade: Yeah, take whichever you want. And when you have a stacked lineup as is, take the absolute highest upside, which might still be Judge. Don’t hate that at all.

  14. Huddy says:
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    Is Jayson Werth “worth” adding (pardon the pun) by dropping James Paxton?
    Also would you drop Duvall for Kepler?
    Thanks

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Huddy: Hahaha, dude…pun away! I almost did when I highlighted Werth a few months back. Opted for the Rhianna route instead. If you need another bat and are ok with SP, then yes, make the move. Paxton’s essentially a streamer option.

      Yes, I would. And I have them at about a 30 spot gap in the rankings.

      • Huddy says:
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        @M@: Ha! Thanks, yeah my SP are JoFer Kluber Carrasco Darvish Bundy Shoe and handful of RPs (Jansen Melancon Kimbrel Diaz Gilles)

        • M@

          M@ says:
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          @Huddy: Man. That sounds awful. Seems like you have a wretched pitching staff……………………………

          • Huddy says:
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            @M@: ok ok fine I get it ;) thanks again, great read

            • M@

              M@ says:
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              @Huddy: Haha, love the comments! Thanks for being a part of the community. And good luck rest of the way!

  15. Alex says:
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    SBs are in need for me, but so are runs… Would you drop D. Travis for Broxton?

  16. Alex says:
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    SBs are in need for me, but so are runs… Would you drop D. Travis for Broxton?

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Alex: I’d have a hard time doing that. I know SB is favoring Broxton, but Travis potentially adds a lot more all around. I lean towards Travis, even with the said need.

  17. Jon says:
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    I was proposed Polanco for Chris Davis. Really struggling to make a decision. What would you do?

    Thanks!

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @Jon: Ugh. Neither giving you all the feels. Unless the feels are the runs. And neither getting a lot of those, either! Alright, I’m done. Haha.

      I’d rather have Davis. Reluctantly. I know I put Polanco higher (41 to 53), but the more and more his injuries linger, and the more the Pirates aren’t competing, I could see the Pirates shutting down Polanco to give him rest and bring up Meadows for a cup of tea in September. Davis seems a shade safer, albeit full of flaws still.

  18. bossmanjunior333 says:
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    What do you expect from Pollock if he makes it back before September? Looking to pick him up in my h2h league when my DL spot opens up (If Hill ever starts a damn game!). Hoping he could be a game changer the last month of the season.

    • M@

      M@ says:
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      @bossmanjunior333: He’s my top DL stash. Period. If do whatever I could to get him, as his ceiling for September could absolutely put you over the top. I have him stashed in 4 leagues; wish I had him in all.

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