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	<title>Comments on: Holliday Sales</title>
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	<description>Fantasy Baseball Advice</description>
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		<title>By: Grey</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64417</link>
		<dc:creator>Grey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 18:32:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://razzball.com/?p=7087#comment-64417</guid>
		<description>@&lt;a href=&quot;#comment-64414&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Quintero&lt;/a&gt;: Lee</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@<a href="#comment-64414" rel="nofollow">Quintero</a>: Lee</p>
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		<title>By: Quintero</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64414</link>
		<dc:creator>Quintero</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 18:26:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://razzball.com/?p=7087#comment-64414</guid>
		<description>I know this is dumb question..but Jorge de la Rosa or Cliff Lee? Thx.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I know this is dumb question..but Jorge de la Rosa or Cliff Lee? Thx.</p>
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		<title>By: Grey</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64405</link>
		<dc:creator>Grey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 17:59:06 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>@&lt;a href=&quot;#comment-64404&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Chupacabra&lt;/a&gt;: You can try to trade him, not sure how much you can get.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@<a href="#comment-64404" rel="nofollow">Chupacabra</a>: You can try to trade him, not sure how much you can get.</p>
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		<title>By: Chupacabra</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64404</link>
		<dc:creator>Chupacabra</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 17:48:43 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Jeez, I could have just done a little search on the net, and I would have seen the Sizemore elbow...instead I bother you.  I suppose it is too late to get someone to trade anyone decent for him at this point.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jeez, I could have just done a little search on the net, and I would have seen the Sizemore elbow&#8230;instead I bother you.  I suppose it is too late to get someone to trade anyone decent for him at this point.</p>
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		<title>By: Grey</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64402</link>
		<dc:creator>Grey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 17:30:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://razzball.com/?p=7087#comment-64402</guid>
		<description>@&lt;a href=&quot;#comment-64399&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Grimlock&lt;/a&gt;: A) Awesome comment B) I love hot sauce C) April Grey is a good friend and he sends his regards.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@<a href="#comment-64399" rel="nofollow">Grimlock</a>: A) Awesome comment B) I love hot sauce C) April Grey is a good friend and he sends his regards.</p>
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		<title>By: Grimlock</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64399</link>
		<dc:creator>Grimlock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 17:26:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://razzball.com/?p=7087#comment-64399</guid>
		<description>Grey: as an economist of sorts, I have always perceived a strange correlation between economics and baseball analysis.  Both disciplines are extremely math-intensive (and even use math along the same basic lines) and purport to yield accurate predictive models, and yet both fields are hugely ego-dependent - meaning they&#039;re attempting to apply a mathematical model to human behavior.  Not surprisingly, both models break down spectacularly at many points and are debatably worse than the &quot;gut instinct&quot; of a well-informed expert.  The human element simply cannot be factored into the equation in a rational way, and so, as rationalists, we ignore it, entirely.

But I can tell you (and you surely know, having played, yourself) that baseball is a hugely mental game - far moreso than any other professional sport other than perhaps golf precisely because it is such an individual sport (your teammates cannot pull you out of a slump) and because the margin of error - the difference between success and failure - is so very small.  Ignoring the irrational is the rational thing to do, but the question becomes: is baseball a rational game?

It may well be that we&#039;ve conflated two wholly different qualities - that baseball, by virtue of the fact that it is a sport based so very much on individual skill, is emminently *quantifiable*, but at the same time hugely *irrational* for exactly the same reason.  Put that in your pipe and smoke it.  At any rate, I think Holliday is a top-15 hitter for the rest of the year, and anything less than 1st round value (which nobody&#039;s going to get) is underselling him at this point.  I&#039;ll take my crow with hot sauce at the end of the season if I&#039;m wrong.

BTW, have you come off the ledge about Kendry Morales yet?  Maybe he reads your blog, because he&#039;s been on a tear ever since you called for a punt.  I&#039;m glad I trusted April Grey over July Grey and held on for one more day...I heeeeeeld on for one more day, and things went my way.  I held on for one more day.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Grey: as an economist of sorts, I have always perceived a strange correlation between economics and baseball analysis.  Both disciplines are extremely math-intensive (and even use math along the same basic lines) and purport to yield accurate predictive models, and yet both fields are hugely ego-dependent &#8211; meaning they&#8217;re attempting to apply a mathematical model to human behavior.  Not surprisingly, both models break down spectacularly at many points and are debatably worse than the &#8220;gut instinct&#8221; of a well-informed expert.  The human element simply cannot be factored into the equation in a rational way, and so, as rationalists, we ignore it, entirely.</p>
<p>But I can tell you (and you surely know, having played, yourself) that baseball is a hugely mental game &#8211; far moreso than any other professional sport other than perhaps golf precisely because it is such an individual sport (your teammates cannot pull you out of a slump) and because the margin of error &#8211; the difference between success and failure &#8211; is so very small.  Ignoring the irrational is the rational thing to do, but the question becomes: is baseball a rational game?</p>
<p>It may well be that we&#8217;ve conflated two wholly different qualities &#8211; that baseball, by virtue of the fact that it is a sport based so very much on individual skill, is emminently *quantifiable*, but at the same time hugely *irrational* for exactly the same reason.  Put that in your pipe and smoke it.  At any rate, I think Holliday is a top-15 hitter for the rest of the year, and anything less than 1st round value (which nobody&#8217;s going to get) is underselling him at this point.  I&#8217;ll take my crow with hot sauce at the end of the season if I&#8217;m wrong.</p>
<p>BTW, have you come off the ledge about Kendry Morales yet?  Maybe he reads your blog, because he&#8217;s been on a tear ever since you called for a punt.  I&#8217;m glad I trusted April Grey over July Grey and held on for one more day&#8230;I heeeeeeld on for one more day, and things went my way.  I held on for one more day.</p>
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		<title>By: Grey</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64393</link>
		<dc:creator>Grey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 17:16:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://razzball.com/?p=7087#comment-64393</guid>
		<description>@&lt;a href=&quot;#comment-64391&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;aconstipatedmonkey&lt;/a&gt;: Forget Milledge and get a 4th or 5th starter throw-in.  Someone like Gaudin or Correia.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@<a href="#comment-64391" rel="nofollow">aconstipatedmonkey</a>: Forget Milledge and get a 4th or 5th starter throw-in.  Someone like Gaudin or Correia.</p>
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		<title>By: aconstipatedmonkey</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64391</link>
		<dc:creator>aconstipatedmonkey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 17:10:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://razzball.com/?p=7087#comment-64391</guid>
		<description>In an 12 team NL only league, which side do you like, Josh Johnson and Milledge for Ibanez?  I&#039;ve got 11/8/9.5/12/9.5 in hitting and 4/3/8/12/12 in pitching for a 4 point lead. I&#039;m only 3.0 IP ahead of pace, and my other starters are De La Rosa, Scherzer, and Sanchez for spot starts.  Should I ask for a 4th or 5th starter for extra spot starts? My ERA and WHIP leads are 0.20 and 0.05 respectively.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In an 12 team NL only league, which side do you like, Josh Johnson and Milledge for Ibanez?  I&#8217;ve got 11/8/9.5/12/9.5 in hitting and 4/3/8/12/12 in pitching for a 4 point lead. I&#8217;m only 3.0 IP ahead of pace, and my other starters are De La Rosa, Scherzer, and Sanchez for spot starts.  Should I ask for a 4th or 5th starter for extra spot starts? My ERA and WHIP leads are 0.20 and 0.05 respectively.</p>
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		<title>By: jamiesonmj</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64390</link>
		<dc:creator>jamiesonmj</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 17:07:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://razzball.com/?p=7087#comment-64390</guid>
		<description>@&lt;a href=&quot;#comment-64385&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;jamiesonmj&lt;/a&gt;: scratch Slowey - out for season</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@<a href="#comment-64385" rel="nofollow">jamiesonmj</a>: scratch Slowey &#8211; out for season</p>
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		<title>By: Grey</title>
		<link>http://razzball.com/holliday-sales/comment-page-4/#comment-64389</link>
		<dc:creator>Grey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Jul 2009 17:07:11 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>@&lt;a href=&quot;#comment-64385&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;jamiesonmj&lt;/a&gt;: Washburn, Liriano...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@<a href="#comment-64385" rel="nofollow">jamiesonmj</a>: Washburn, Liriano&#8230;</p>
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